Implications of Five Different Risk Models In Primary Prevention Guidelines.

BACKGROUND: A lack of consensus exists across guidelines as to which risk model should be used for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Our objective was to determine potential improvements in the number needed to treat (NNT) and number of events prevented (NEP) using different risk models in patients eligible for risk stratification. METHODS: A retrospective observational cohort was assembled from primary care patients in Ontario, Canada between January 1st, 2010, to December 31st, 2014 and followed for up to 5 years. Risk estimation was undertaken in patients 40-75 years of age, without CVD, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs), a recalibrated FRS (R-FRS), Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2), and the low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 (LR-SCORE2). RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 47,399 patients (59% women, mean age 54). The NNT with statins was lowest for SCORE2 at 40, followed by LR-SCORE2 at 41, R-FRS at 43, PCEs at 55, and FRS at 65. Models that selected for individuals with a lower NNT recommended statins to fewer, but higher risk patients. For instance, SCORE2 recommended statins to 7.9% of patients (5-year CVD incidence 5.92%). The FRS, however, recommended statins to 34.6% of patients (5-year CVD incidence 4.01%). Accordingly, the NEP was highest for the FRS at 406 and lowest for SCORE2 at 156. CONCLUSIONS: Newer models such as SCORE2 may improve statin allocation to higher risk groups with a lower NNT but prevent fewer events at the population level.

Relationship between wait times and post-atrial fibrillation ablation outcomes: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Rhythm control is a cornerstone of atrial fibrillation (AF) management. Shorter time between diagnosis of AF and receipt of catheter ablation is associated with greater rates of therapy success. Previous work considered diagnosis-to-ablation time as a binary or categorical variable and did not consider the unique risk profile of patients after a referral for ablation was made. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to comprehensively assess the impact of diagnosis-to-ablation and referral-to-ablation time on postprocedural outcomes at a population level. METHODS: This observational cohort study included patients who received catheter ablation to treat AF in Ontario, Canada. Patient demographics, medical comorbidities, AF diagnosis date, ablation referral date, and ablation date were collected. The primary outcomes of interest included a composite of death and hospitalization/emergency department visit for AF, heart failure, or ischemic stroke. Multivariable Cox models assessed the impact of diagnosis-to-ablation and referral-to-ablation times on the primary outcome. RESULTS: Our cohort included 7472 patients who received ablation for de novo AF between April 1, 2016, and March 31, 2022. Median [interquartile range] diagnosis-to-ablation time was 718 [399-1274] days and median referral-to-ablation time was 221 [117-363] days. Overall, 911 patients (12.2%) had the composite endpoint within 1 year of ablation. Increasing diagnosis-to-ablation time was associated with a greater incidence for the primary outcome (hazard ratio [HR]1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.02 per month). Increasing referral-to-ablation time did not impact the primary outcome (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.98-1.01 per month). CONCLUSION: Delays between AF diagnosis and ablation referral may contribute to adverse postprocedural outcomes and provide an opportunity for health system quality improvements.

Days alive and out of hospital for adult female and male cardiac surgery patients: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Research shows women experience higher mortality than men after cardiac surgery but information on sex-differences during postoperative recovery is limited. Days alive and out of hospital (DAH) combines death, readmission and length of stay, and may better quantify sex-differences during recovery. This main objective is to evaluate (i) how DAH at 30-days varies between sex and surgical procedure, (ii) DAH responsiveness to patient and surgical complexity, and (iii) longer-term prognostic value of DAH. METHODS: We evaluated 111,430 patients (26% female) who underwent one of three types of cardiac surgery (isolated coronary artery bypass [CABG], isolated non-CABG, combination procedures) between 2009 - 2019. Primary outcome was DAH at 30 days (DAH30), secondary outcomes were DAH at 90 days (DAH90) and 180 days (DAH180). Data were stratified by sex and surgical group. Unadjusted and risk-adjusted analyses were conducted to determine the association of DAH with patient-, surgery-, and hospital-level characteristics. Patients were divided into two groups (below and above the 10th percentile) based on the number of days at DAH30. Proportion of patients below the 10th percentile at DAH30 that remained in this group at DAH90 and DAH180 were determined. RESULTS: DAH30 were lower for women compared to men (22 vs. 23 days), and seen across all surgical groups (isolated CABG 23 vs. 24, isolated non-CABG 22 vs. 23, combined surgeries 19 vs. 21 days). Clinical risk factors including multimorbidity, socioeconomic status and surgical complexity were associated with lower DAH30 values, but women showed lower values of DAH30 compared to men for many factors. Among patients in the lowest 10th percentile at DAH30, 80% of both females and males remained in the lowest 10th percentile at 90 days, while 72% of females and 76% males remained in that percentile at 180 days. CONCLUSION: DAH is a responsive outcome to differences in patient and surgical risk factors. Further research is needed to identify new care pathways to reduce disparities in outcomes between male and female patients.

Indirect impact of the war in Ukraine on primary percutaneous coronary interventions for ST-elevation myocardial infarction in Poland.

INTRODUCTION: The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 resulted in the displacement of approximately 12.5 million refugees to adjacent countries including Poland, that may have strained healthcare service delivery. OBJECTIVES: Using the ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) data, we aimed to evaluate whether the Russian invasion of Ukraine has indirectly impacted the delivery of acute cardiovascular care in Poland. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analyzed all adult patients undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) for STEMI across Poland between 25th February 2017 to 24th May 2022. Centers were allocated to regions of <100km and >100km of the Polish-Ukraine border. Mixed effect generalized linear regression models with random effects per hospital were used to explore the associations between the war in Ukraine starting with several outcomes of interest, and whether these associations differed across regions of 100km from the Polish-Ukraine border. RESULTS: A total of 90,115 procedures were included in the analysis. The average number of procedures per-month was similar to predicted volume for centers in the >100km region, while the average number of PCI was higher than expected (by an estimated 15 (11-19)) for the <100km region. There was no difference in adjusted fatality rate or quality of care outcomes pre- vs. during-war in both <100 and >100 km regions, with no evidence of a difference-in-difference across regions. CONCLUSIONS: Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there was only a modest and temporary increase in primary PCI predominantly in centers situated within 100km of the border, although no significant impact on in-hospital fatality rate.

Safety and feasibility of early discharge after transcatheter aortic valve implantation with ACURATE Neo-the POLESTAR trial.

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) serves a growing range of patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS). TAVI has evolved to a streamlined procedure minimizing length of hospital stay. AIMS: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of an early discharge (ED) strategy after TAVI. METHODS: We performed an international, multi-center, prospective observational single-arm study in AS patients undergoing TAVI with the ACURATE valve platform. Eligibility for ED was assessed prior to TAVI and based on prespecified selection criteria. Discharge ≤ 48 h was defined as ED. Primary Valve Academic Research Consortium (VARC)-3-defined 30-day safety and efficacy composite endpoints were landmarked at 48 h and compared between ED and non-ED groups. RESULTS: A total of 252 patients were included. The median age was 82 [25th-75th percentile, 78-85] years and the median Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality (STS-PROM) score was 2.2% [25th-75th percentile, 1.6-3.3]. ED and non-ED were achieved in 173 (69%) and 79 (31%) patients respectively. Monitoring for conduction disturbances was the principal reason for non-ED (33%). Overall, at 30 days, all-cause mortality was 1%, new permanent pacemaker rate was 4%, and valve- or procedure-related rehospitalization was 4%. There was no difference in the primary safety and efficacy endpoint between the ED and non-ED cohorts (OR 0.84 [25th-75th percentile, 0.31-2.26], p = 0.73, and OR 0.97 [25th-75th percentile, 0.46-2.06], p = 0.94). The need for rehospitalization was similarly low for ED and non-ED groups. CONCLUSION: Early discharge after TAVI with the ACURATE valve is safe and feasible in selected patients. Rhythm monitoring and extended clinical observation protracted hospital stay.

Decision analysis in cardiac surgery: a scoping review and methodological primer.

OBJECTIVES: Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for evidence generation in medicine but are limited by their real-world generalizability, resource needs, shorter follow-up durations and inability to be conducted for all clinical questions. Decision analysis (DA) models may simulate trials and observational studies by using existing data and evidence- and expert-informed assumptions and extend analyses over longer time horizons, different study populations and specific scenarios, helping to translate population outcomes to patient-specific clinical and economic outcomes. Here, we present a scoping review and methodological primer on DA for cardiac surgery research. METHODS: A scoping review was performed using the PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science databases for cardiac surgery DA studies published until December 2021. Articles were summarized descriptively to quantify trends and ascertain methodological consistency. RESULTS: A total of 184 articles were identified, among which Markov models (N = 92, 50.0%) were the most commonly used models. The most common outcomes were costs (N = 107, 58.2%), quality-adjusted life-years (N = 96, 52.2%) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (N = 89, 48.4%). Most (N = 165, 89.7%) articles applied sensitivity analyses, most frequently in the form of deterministic sensitivity analyses (N = 128, 69.6%). Reporting of guidelines to inform the model development and/or reporting was present in 22.3% of articles. CONCLUSION: DA methods are increasing but remain limited and highly variable in cardiac surgery. A methodological primer is presented and may provide researchers with the foundation to start with or improve DA, as well as provide readers and reviewers with the fundamental concepts to review DA studies.

Untangling the Complex Multidimensionality of the Social Determinants of Cardiovascular Health: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: The cardiovascular literature is limited by the lack of consensus on what are the best metrics for reporting social determinants of health (SDH) or social deprivation, and if they should be reported as a single metric or separately by their domains. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature on cardiovascular surgeries and procedures was conducted, identifying articles from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2023, that studied the relationship between health outcomes after cardiovascular procedures or surgeries and SDH/social deprivation. The cardiovascular procedures/surgeries of interest were coronary and valve surgeries and procedures including coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), valve replacement or repair, and transcatheter aortic valve intervention. RESULTS: After screening 638 articles, we identified 47 papers that met our inclusion and exclusion criteria. The most common procedure evaluated was CABG and PCI; 46 of the studies focused on these 2 procedures. Almost all of the articles reported a different metric for SDH/social deprivation (41 different metrics); despite this, all of the metrics showed a consistent relationship with worse outcomes associated with greater degrees of SDH/deprivation. Only 9 reported on the individual domains of SDH/social deprivation; 3 studies showed a discordant relationship. CONCLUSIONS: Although our systematic review identified numerous articles evaluating the relationship between SDH/social deprivation in cardiovascular disease, there was substantial heterogeneity in which metric was used and how it was reported. This reinforces the need for standards as to the best metrics for SDH/social deprivation as well as best practices for reporting.

Complication Rates of Central Venous Catheters: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Central venous catheters (CVCs) are commonly used but are associated with complications. Quantifying complication rates is essential for guiding CVC utilization decisions. Objective: To summarize current rates of CVC-associated complications. Data Sources: MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and CENTRAL databases were searched for observational studies and randomized clinical trials published between 2015 to 2023. Study Selection: This study included English-language observational studies and randomized clinical trials of adult patients that reported complication rates of short-term centrally inserted CVCs and data for 1 or more outcomes of interest. Studies that evaluated long-term intravascular devices, focused on dialysis catheters not typically used for medication administration, or studied catheters placed by radiologists were excluded. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed risk of bias. Bayesian random-effects meta-analysis was applied to summarize event rates. Rates of placement complications (events/1000 catheters with 95% credible interval [CrI]) and use complications (events/1000 catheter-days with 95% CrI) were estimated. Main Outcomes and Measures: Ten prespecified complications associated with CVC placement (placement failure, arterial puncture, arterial cannulation, pneumothorax, bleeding events requiring action, nerve injury, arteriovenous fistula, cardiac tamponade, arrhythmia, and delay of ≥1 hour in vasopressor administration) and 5 prespecified complications associated with CVC use (malfunction, infection, deep vein thrombosis [DVT], thrombophlebitis, and venous stenosis) were assessed. The composite of 4 serious complications (arterial cannulation, pneumothorax, infection, or DVT) after CVC exposure for 3 days was also assessed. Results: Of 11 722 screened studies, 130 were included in the analyses. Seven of 15 prespecified complications were meta-analyzed. Placement failure occurred at 20.4 (95% CrI, 10.9-34.4) events per 1000 catheters placed. Other rates of CVC placement complications (per 1000 catheters) were arterial canulation (2.8; 95% CrI, 0.1-10), arterial puncture (16.2; 95% CrI, 11.5-22), and pneumothorax (4.4; 95% CrI, 2.7-6.5). Rates of CVC use complications (per 1000 catheter-days) were malfunction (5.5; 95% CrI, 0.6-38), infection (4.8; 95% CrI, 3.4-6.6), and DVT (2.7; 95% CrI, 1.0-6.2). It was estimated that 30.2 (95% CrI, 21.8-43.0) in 1000 patients with a CVC for 3 days would develop 1 or more serious complication (arterial cannulation, pneumothorax, infection, or DVT). Use of ultrasonography was associated with lower rates of arterial puncture (risk ratio [RR], 0.20; 95% CrI, 0.09-0.44; 13.5 events vs 68.8 events/1000 catheters) and pneumothorax (RR, 0.25; 95% CrI, 0.08-0.80; 2.4 events vs 9.9 events/1000 catheters). Conclusions and Relevance: Approximately 3% of CVC placements were associated with major complications. Use of ultrasonography guidance may reduce specific risks including arterial puncture and pneumothorax.

Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation Wait-Time Management: Derivation and Validation of the Canadian TAVI Triage Tool (CAN3T).

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has seen indication expansion and thus exponential growth in demand over the past decade. In many jurisdictions, the growing demand has outpaced capacity, increasing wait times and preprocedural adverse events. In this study, we derived prediction models that estimate the risk of adverse events on the waitlist and developed a triage tool to identify patients who should be prioritized for TAVI. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included adult patients in Ontario, Canada referred for TAVI and followed up until one of the following events first occurred: death, TAVI procedure, removal from waitlist, or end of the observation period. We used subdistribution hazards models to find significant predictors for each of the following outcomes: (1) all-cause death while on the waitlist; (2) all-cause hospitalization while on the waitlist; (3) receipt of urgent TAVI; and (4) a composite outcome. The median predicted risk at 12 weeks was chosen as a threshold for a maximum acceptable risk while on the waitlist and incorporated in the triage tool to recommend individualized wait times. Of 13 128 patients, 586 died while on the waitlist, and 4343 had at least 1 hospitalization. A total of 6854 TAVIs were completed, of which 1135 were urgent procedures. We were able to create parsimonious models for each outcome that included clinically relevant predictors. CONCLUSIONS: The Canadian TAVI Triage Tool (CAN3T) is a triage tool to assist clinicians in the prioritization of patients who should have timely access to TAVI. We anticipate that the CAN3T will be a valuable tool as it may improve equity in access to care, reduce preventable adverse events, and improve system efficiency.

Sex difference and outcome trends following surgical aortic valve replacement from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) Database.

BACKGROUND: Based on worldwide registries, approximately 50% of patients who underwent aortic valve replacement (AVR) via surgical aortic valve replacement are females. Although AVR procedures have improved greatly in recent years, differences in outcome including mortality between sexes remain. We aimed to investigate the trends in SAVR outcomes in females versus males. METHODS: Using the 2011-2017 National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database, we identified hospitalizations for patients with diagnosis of aortic stenosis during which SAVR was performed. Patients' sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, procedure complications, and mortality were analyzed. Piecewise regression analyses were performed to assess temporal trends in SAVR utilization in females versus males. Multivariable analyses were performed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 392,087 hospitalizations for SAVR across the USA were analyzed. Utilization of SAVR in both sex patients decreased significantly during the years 2011-2017. Males compared to females had significantly higher rates of hyperlipidemia, chronic renal disease, peripheral artery disease, coronary artery disease and tended to be smokers. Differences in mortality rates among sexes were observed for SAVR procedures. Women had higher in-hospital mortality with 3.7% compared to men with 2.5% (OR 1.38 [95% CI 1.33-1.43, P<0.001]). In a multivariable regression model analysis adjusted for potential confounders, women had higher mortality risk with odd ratio (OR 1.38 [95% CI 1.33-1.43], P<0.001). Women had significantly higher rates of vascular complications (5.1% compared to men with 4.6%, P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Utilization of SAVR showed a downward trend during the study period. Higher in-hospital mortality was recorded in females compared to males.

Mapping Theories, Models, and Frameworks to Evaluate Digital Health Interventions: Scoping Review.

BACKGROUND: Digital health interventions (DHIs) are a central focus of health care transformation efforts, yet their uptake in practice continues to fall short of their potential. In order to achieve their desired outcomes and impact, DHIs need to reach their target population and need to be used. Many factors can rapidly intersect between this dynamic of users and interventions. The application of theories, models, and frameworks (TMFs) can facilitate the systematic understanding and explanation of the complex interactions between users, practices, technology, and health system factors that underpin research questions. There remains a gap in our understanding of how TMFs have been applied to guide the evaluation of DHIs with real-world health system operations. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to map TMFs used in studies to guide the evaluation of DHIs. The objectives are to (1) describe the TMFs and the constructs they target, (2) identify how TMFs have been prospectively used (ie, their roles) in primary studies to evaluate DHIs, and (3) to reflect on the relevance and utility of our findings for knowledge users. METHODS: This scoping review was conducted in partnership with knowledge users using an integrated knowledge translation approach. We included papers (eg, reports; empirical quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods studies; conference proceedings; and dissertations) if primary insights resulting from the application of TMFs were presented. Any type of DHI was eligible. Papers published from 2000 and onward were mainly identified from the following databases: MEDLINE (Ovid), CINAHL Complete (EBSCOhost), PsycINFO (Ovid), EBM Reviews (Ovid), and Embase (Ovid). RESULTS: A total of 156 studies published between 2000 and 2022 were included. A total of 68 distinct TMFs were identified across 85 individual studies. In more than half (85/156, 55%) of the included studies, 1 of following 6 prevailing TMFs were reported: Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (n=39); the Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation, and Maintenance Framework (n=17); the Technology of Acceptance Model (n=16); the Unified Theory on Acceptance and Use of Technology (n=12); the Diffusion of Innovation Theory (n=10); and Normalization Process Theory (n=9). The most common intended roles of the 6 TMFs were to inform data collection (n=86), to inform data analysis (n=69), and to identify key constructs that may serve as barriers and facilitators (n=52). CONCLUSIONS: As TMFs are most often reported to be applied to support data collection and analysis, researchers should consider more clearly synthesizing key insights as practical use cases to both increase the relevance and digestibility of their findings. There is also a need to adapt or develop guidelines for better reporting DHIs and the use of TMFs to guide evaluation. Hence, it would contribute to ensuring ongoing technology transformation efforts are evidence and theory informed rather than anecdotally driven.

Complex High-Risk Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Types, Trends, and Outcomes in Nonsurgical Centres.

BACKGROUND: Limited data are available on complex high-risk percutaneous coronary intervention (CHiP) trends and outcomes in nonsurgical centres (NSCs), particularly in health care systems where most centres are NSCs. METHODS: Using data from a national registry, we studied the characteristics and outcomes of CHiP procedures performed for stable angina from 2006 to 2017 according to the presence or absence of on-site surgical cover. Multivariate regression analyses and propensity score matching were used to determine risks for in-hospital death, major bleeding, and major cardiovascular or cerebral events (MACCE). RESULTS: Out of 134,730 CHiP procedures, 42,433 (31.5%) were performed in NSCs, increasing from 12.5% in 2006 to 42% in 2017. Compared with surgical centres (SCs), patients who had a CHiP procedure undertaken in NSCs were, on average, 2.4 years older and had a greater prevalence of cardiovascular risks. Common CHiP procedures performed in NSCs included poor left ventricular function (41.6%), chronic renal failure (38.8%), and chronic total occlusion percutaneous coronary intervention (31.1%). NSC-based CHiP is associated with lower odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.5-0.8) and major bleeding (aOR 0.7, 95% CI 0.6-0.8). In both groups, MACCE odds were similar (aOR 1.0, 95% CI 0.9-1.1). CONCLUSIONS: CHiP numbers have steadily increased in NSCs. NSC patients were older and had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risks than SC patients. Mortality and major bleeding odds were significantly lower in those cases undertaken in NSCs, although MACCE odds were not different between the groups.

Comparing Costs of Noninvasive Cardiac Diagnostic Tests-a Population-Based Study.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive cardiac diagnostic tests (NITs) for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease have been estimated to cost >$3 billion annually in the United States alone and have recently undergone scrutiny over concerns of overuse. Consequently, comparing costs of different NIT testing strategies is of urgent importance to health care planning. METHODS: We utilized population-based administrative and clinical data from Ontario, Canada, to compare downstream costs between 4 available NIT testing strategies (graded exercise stress testing [GXT], stress echocardiography, cardiac computed tomography angiography [CCTA], and myocardial perfusion imaging [MPI] as well as no testing), among patients evaluated for chest pain. To compare costs among the tested (overall and by testing strategy) and nontested groups, we used a log-gamma generalized linear model to account for the skewed distribution of health care cost data, adjusting for relevant clinical covariates. RESULTS: A total of 2,340,699 patients were included in our cohort, of whom 481,170 (21%) patients received 1 of the 4 NITs. Among patients who received a NIT, 254,492 (53%) received a GXT as their initial test, 154,137 (32%) received MPI, 69,160 (14%) received a stress echo, and 3,381 (<1%) received a CCTA. After adjustment for differences in baseline patient characteristics, receipt of any NIT was associated with an approximate 12% reduction in downstream 1-year mean costs (cost ratio = 0.88; 95% CI, 0.87, 0.89) compared with those without any testing. Comparing the different testing strategies with no testing, both GXT (cost ratio = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.79-0.81) and stress echocardiography (cost ratio = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.83) were associated with the lower downstream costs, while both MPI (cost ratio = 1.26; 95% CI, 1.25, 1.27) and CCTA (cost ratio = 1.29; 95% CI, 1.23, 1.35) were associated with higher downstream costs. CONCLUSIONS: In a large population-based cohort consisting of >2 million people evaluated for chest pain, we report that receipt of noninvasive testing was associated with a 12% reduction in downstream costs when compared with no testing. Graded exercise stress testing and stress echocardiography were associated with the least downstream costs, whereas CCTA and MPI were associated with higher costs when compared with no testing. These findings may help inform testing decisions in chest pain patients.

Validation of the European SCORE2 models in a Canadian primary care cohort.

AIMS: Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Model 2 (SCORE2) was recently developed to predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in Europe. Whether these models could be used outside of Europe is not known. The objective of this study was to test the validity of SCORE2 in a large Canadian cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: A primary care cohort of persons with routinely collected electronic medical record data from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2014, in Ontario, Canada, was used for validation. The SCORE2 models for younger persons (YP) were applied to 57 409 individuals aged 40-69 while the models for older persons (OPs) were applied to 9885 individuals 70-89 years of age. Five-year ASCVD predictions from both the uncalibrated and low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 models were evaluated. The C-statistic for SCORE2-YP was 0.74 in women and 0.69 in men. The uncalibrated SCORE2-YP overestimated risk by 17% in women and underestimated by 2% in men. In contrast, the low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated worse calibration, overestimating risk by 100% in women and 36% in men. The C-statistic for SCORE2-OP was 0.64 and 0.62 in older women and men, respectively. The uncalibrated SCORE2-OP overestimated risk by more than 100% in both sexes. The low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated improved calibration but still overestimated risk by 60% in women and 13% in men. CONCLUSION: The performance of SCORE2 to predict ASCVD risk in Canada varied by age group and depended on whether regional calibration was applied. This underscores the necessity for validation assessment of SCORE2 prior to implementation in new jurisdictions.

In this study, new tools [Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Model 2 (SCORE2)] that were developed across Europe to predict heart attack and stroke risk in healthy individuals were tested independently for the first time in a Canadian setting. Key findings are as follows:The accuracy of predictions from SCORE2 in Canadians depends on the age group considered and whether uncalibrated or recalibrated equations are being used.Independent assessment of tools such as SCORE2 remains useful prior to widespread implementation in new jurisdictions.

Lifetime Management of Patients With Severe Aortic Stenosis in the Era of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement.

Aortic stenosis is the most common valvular disease. Surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) using mechanical valves has been the preferred treatment for younger patients, but bioprosthetic valves are gaining favour to avoid anticoagulation with warfarin. Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) was approved in recent years for the treatment of severe aortic stenosis in intermediate- and low-risk patients as an alternative to SAVR. The longer life expectancy of these groups of patients might exceed the durability of the TAVR or SAVR bioprosthetic valves. Therefore, many patients need 2 or even 3 interventions during their lifetime. Because it has important implications on the feasibility of subsequent procedures, the decision between opting for SAVR or TAVR as the primary procedure requires thorough consideration by the heart team, incorporating patient preferences, clinical indicators, and anatomic aspects. If TAVR is favoured initially, selecting the valve type and determining the implantation level should be conducted, aiming for positive outcomes in the index intervention and keeping in mind the potential for subsequent TAVR-in-TAVR procedures. When SAVR is selected as the primary procedure, the operator must make choices regarding the valve type and the potential need for aortic root enlargement, with the intention of facilitating future valve-in-valve interventions. This narrative review examines the existing evidence concerning the lifelong management of severe aortic stenosis, delving into available treatment strategies, particularly emphasising the initial procedure's selection and its impact on subsequent interventions.

Cusp overlap method for self-expanding transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

BACKGROUND: Conduction disturbances and the need for permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation remains a common complication for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), particularly when self-expanding (SE) valves are used. AIMS: We compared in-hospital and 30-day rates of new PPM implantation between patients undergoing TAVR with SE valves using the conventional three-cusp coplanar implantation technique and the cusp-overlap technique. METHODS: We retrospectively compared patients without a pre-existing PPM who underwent a TAVR procedure with SE Evolut R or PRO valves using the cusp-overlap technique from July 2018 to September 2020 (n = 519) to patients who underwent TAVR using standard three-cusp technique from April 2016 to March 2017 (n = 128) in two high volume Canadian centers. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in baseline RBBB between the groups (10.4% vs. 13.2; p = 0.35). The rate of in-hospital new complete heart block (9.4% vs. 23.4%; p ≤ 0.001) and PPM implantation (8% vs. 21%; p ≤ 0.001) were significantly reduced when using the cusp-overlap technique. The incidence of new LBBB (30.4% vs. 29%; p = 0.73) was similar. At 30 days, the rates of new complete heart block (11% vs. 23%; p ≤ 0.001) and PPM implantation (10% vs. 21%, p ≤ 0.001) remained significantly lower in the cusp-overlap group, while the rate of new LBBB (35% vs. 30%; p = 0.73) was similar. CONCLUSION: Cusp-overlap approach offers several potential technical advantages compared to standard three-cusp view, and may result in lower PPM rates in TAVR with SE Evolut valve.