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PURPOSE: This study investigates the care provision and the role of infectious disease (ID) specialists during the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. METHODS: A survey was conducted at German study sites participating in the Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2 infected patients (LEOSS). Hospitals certified by the German Society of Infectious diseases (DGI) were identified as ID centers. We compared care provision and the involvement of ID specialists between ID and non-ID hospitals. Then we applied a multivariable regression model to analyse how clinical ID care influenced the mortality of COVID-19 patients in the LEOSS cohort. RESULTS: Of the 40 participating hospitals in the study, 35% (14/40) were identified as ID centers. Among those, clinical ID care structures were more commonly established, and ID specialists were always involved in pandemic management and the care of COVID-19 patients. Overall, 68% (27/40) of the hospitals involved ID specialists in the crisis management team, 78% (31/40) in normal inpatient care, and 80% (28/35) in intensive care. Multivariable analysis revealed that COVID-19 patients in ID centers had a lower mortality risk compared to those in non-ID centers (odds ratio: 0.61 (95% CI 0.40-0.93), p = 0.021). CONCLUSION: ID specialists played a crucial role in pandemic management and inpatient care.
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PURPOSE: In patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer, after failure of gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel, this trial compares the efficacy of second-line therapy with FOLFIRI vs. OFF (1:1 randomisation) with cross-over to the vice-versa regimen as third-line therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The primary endpoint was PFS (progression-free survival: time from randomization until progression or death) of second-line therapy. The trial aimed to demonstrate non-inferiority of FOLFIRI vs OFF (non-inferiority margin of a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.5, power of 80% and a significance level of 5%, 196 events needed). Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival of third-line therapy and safety. The trial is registered with EudraCT Nr. 2016-004640-11. RESULTS: The trial was terminated with 60 evaluable (37 with FOLFIRI, 23 with OFF) patients due to insufficient recruitment. PFS of second-line therapy was 2.4 (95% CI 2.3-2.6) months with FOLFIRI vs 2.4 (95% CI 2.2-2.7) months with OFF (HR: 0.80, 95% CI 0.45-1.42, P = 0.43). OS was comparable between the arms (HR: 0.95, 95% CI 0.54-1.66), P = 0.84). Only 4 out of 28 (14%) patients receiving third-line therapy achieved a disease control (partial remission or stable disease). Both second-line regimens were well tolerated without new or unexpected safety signals being observed. CONCLUSION: The exploratory analysis of this early terminated trial suggests that FOLFIRI and OFF have similar efficacy ant toxicity as second-line therapy of PDAC after failure of gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel. Third-line therapy regardless of regimen does not provide satisfactory efficacy in this sequential treatment algorithm.
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Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica , Fluorouracilo , Irinotecán , Leucovorina , Oxaliplatino , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/patología , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Masculino , Fluorouracilo/administración & dosificación , Fluorouracilo/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Leucovorina/administración & dosificación , Leucovorina/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Oxaliplatino/administración & dosificación , Oxaliplatino/uso terapéutico , Irinotecán/administración & dosificación , Irinotecán/uso terapéutico , Adulto , Camptotecina/análogos & derivados , Camptotecina/administración & dosificación , Camptotecina/uso terapéutico , Supervivencia sin Progresión , Estudios CruzadosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are widely used for tumor treatment, including metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). So far, there are no biomarkers that reliably predict resistance to anti-VEGF mAbs like bevacizumab. A biomarker-guided strategy for early and accurate assessment of resistance could avoid the use of non-effective treatment and improve patient outcomes. We hypothesized that repeated analysis of multiple cytokines and angiogenic growth factors (CAFs) before and during treatment using machine learning could provide an accurate and earlier, i.e., 100 days before conventional radiologic staging, prediction of resistance to first-line mCRC treatment with FOLFOX plus bevacizumab. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 15 German and Austrian centers prospectively recruited 50 mCRC patients receiving FOLFOX plus bevacizumab as first-line treatment. Plasma samples were collected every two weeks until radiologic progression (RECIST 1.1) as determined by CT scans performed every 2 months. 102 pre-selected CAFs were centrally analyzed using a cytokine multiplex assay (Luminex, Myriad RBM). RESULTS: Using random forests, we developed a predictive machine learning model that discriminated between the situations of "no progress within 100 days before radiological progress" and "progress within 100 days before radiological progress". We could further identify a combination of ten out of the 102 CAF markers, which fulfilled this task with 78.2% accuracy, 71.8% sensitivity, and 82.5% specificity. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a CAF marker combination that indicates treatment resistance to FOLFOX plus bevacizumab in patients with mCRC within 100 days prior to radiologic progress.
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Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica , Bevacizumab , Neoplasias Colorrectales , Resistencia a Antineoplásicos , Fluorouracilo , Leucovorina , Compuestos Organoplatinos , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Bevacizumab/uso terapéutico , Bevacizumab/administración & dosificación , Leucovorina/uso terapéutico , Leucovorina/administración & dosificación , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Compuestos Organoplatinos/uso terapéutico , Compuestos Organoplatinos/administración & dosificación , Masculino , Fluorouracilo/uso terapéutico , Fluorouracilo/administración & dosificación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Biomarcadores de Tumor/sangreRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Active malignancies have been identified as an independent risk factor for severity and mortality in COVID-19. However, direct comparisons between SARS-CoV-2-infected patients with active (acP) and non-active cancers (n-acP) remain scarce. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of cancer patients with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, enrolled from March 16, 2020, to July 31, 2021. Data on demographics, cancer, and laboratory findings were collected. Descriptive and subsequent regression analyses were performed. Endpoints were "deterioration to severe COVID-19" and "infection-associated mortality." RESULTS: In total, 987 cancer patients (510 acP vs. 477 n-acP) were included in our analysis. The majority was >55 years old, more men than women were included. At detection of SARS-CoV-2, 65.5% of patients had mild/moderate symptoms, while deterioration to severe COVID-19 was slightly more common in acP (19 vs. 16%; p = 0.284). COVID-19-associated mortality was significantly higher in acP (24 vs. 17.5%, p < 0.001). In terms of laboratory tests, severe cytopenia and elevated levels of inflammatory markers were common findings in acP at baseline, particularly in those who developed a severe infection or died. Multivariate analysis revealed that ferritin (HR 14.24 [2.1-96], p = 0.006) and CRP (HR 2.85 [1.02-8.02], p = 0.046) were associated with severity and mortality. In n-acP, association was seen for ferritin only (HR 4.1 [1.51-11.17], p = 0.006). CONCLUSION: Comparing patients with active and non-active cancer, the former showed higher mortality rates. Also, inflammatory markers were significantly increased, assuming higher levels of inflammation may play a role in the adverse outcome of COVID-19 in aCP.
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COVID-19 , Neoplasias , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudios Retrospectivos , FerritinasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The role of high-resolution nerve ultrasound (HRUS) and corneal confocal microscopy (CCM) in the early detection of taxane-induced polyneuropathy (TIPN) is unclear. The present prospective longitudinal controlled observational pilot study estimates the role of HRUS and CCM in the early diagnosis of TIPN in breast cancer patients. METHODS: Fifteen breast cancer patients receiving paclitaxel and 15 healthy age matched controls were included. Visits before and 3 weeks, 8 weeks and 6 months after treatment included clinical examination, the total neuropathy score, nerve conduction studies (NCS), monocular CCM including corneal nerve fibre length, density and branching and HRUS of bilateral median, ulnar, radial, tibial, peroneal and sural nerves. Patients were compared between different visits and to healthy controls. RESULTS: Total neuropathy score increased from 2.2 at baseline to 5.8 (p < 0.001) at week 8. NCS showed a decreased sensory amplitude in the sural, radial, ulnar and median nerve after 6 months (p < 0.001). HRUS revealed a significant increase of cross-sectional area in the sural nerve (p = 0.004), the median nerve (p = 0.003) at the carpal tunnel and the ulnar nerve in the forearm (p = 0.006) after 6 months. CCM showed no changes at different visits. CONCLUSIONS: Corneal confocal microscopy and HRUS do not detect early signs of TIPN during the paclitaxel treatment period. HRUS and NCS might detect congruent signs of an axonal, predominantly sensory polyneuropathy after 6 months. The clinical examination remains the most sensitive tool in the early detection of TIPN in breast cancer patients.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Neuropatías Diabéticas , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico , Polineuropatías , Femenino , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Neuropatías Diabéticas/diagnóstico , Microscopía Confocal , Conducción Nerviosa/fisiología , Paclitaxel , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico/inducido químicamente , Enfermedades del Sistema Nervioso Periférico/diagnóstico por imagen , Polineuropatías/inducido químicamente , Polineuropatías/diagnóstico por imagen , Estudios Prospectivos , Taxoides/efectos adversos , Proyectos PilotoRESUMEN
Arterial (ATE) and venous (VTE) thromboembolic complications are common causes of morbidity and mortality in BCR-ABL-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). However, there are few studies that include all MPN subtypes and focus on both MPN-associated ATE and VTE. In our single-center retrospective study of 832 MPN patients, a total of 180 first thromboembolic events occurred during a median follow-up of 6.6 years (range: 0-37.6 years), of which 105 were VTE and 75 were ATE. The probability of a vascular event at the end of the follow-up period was 36.2%, and the incidence rate for all first ATE/VTE was 2.43% patient/year. The most frequent VTE localizations were deep vein thrombosis with or without pulmonary embolism (incidence rate: 0.59% patient/year), while strokes were the most frequent ATE with an incidence rate of 0.32% patient/year. When comparing the group of patients with ATE/VTE (n = 180) and the group without such an event (n = 652) using multivariate Cox regression analyses, patients with polycythemia vera (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.660; [95% confidence interval [CI] 1.206, 2.286]) had a significantly higher risk of a thromboembolic event than the other MPN subtypes. In contrast, patients with a CALR mutation had a significantly lower risk of thromboembolism compared with JAK2-mutated MPN patients (HR: 0.346; [95% CI: 0.172, 0.699]). In summary, a high incidence of MPN-associated VTE and ATE was observed in our retrospective study. While PV patients or generally JAK2-mutated MPN patients had a significantly increased risk of such vascular events, this risk was reduced in CALR-mutated MPN patients.
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OBJECTIVES: The use of remdesivir (RDV) as the first drug approved for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains controversial. Based on the Lean European Open Survey on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infected patients (LEOSS), we aim to contribute timing-focused complementary real-world insights to its evaluation. METHODS: SARS-CoV-2 infected patients between January 2020 and December 2021 treated with RDV were matched 1:1 to controls considering sociodemographics, comorbidities and clinical status. Multiple imputations were used to account for missing data. Effects on fatal outcome were estimated using uni- and multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: We included 9,687 patients. For those starting RDV administration in the complicated phase, Cox regression for fatal outcome showed an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 0.59 (95%CI 0.41-0.83). Positive trends could be obtained for further scenarios: an aHR of 0.51 (95%CI 0.16-1.68) when RDV was initiated in uncomplicated and of 0.76 (95% CI 0.55-1.04) in a critical phase of disease. Patients receiving RDV with concomitant steroids exhibited a further reduction in aHR in both, the complicated (aHR 0.50, 95%CI 0.29-0.88) and critical phase (aHR 0.63, 95%CI 0.39-1.02). CONCLUSION: Our study results elucidate that RDV use, in particular when initiated in the complicated phase and accompanied by steroids is associated with improved mortality. However, given the limitations of non-randomized trials in estimating the magnitude of the benefit of an intervention, further randomized trials focusing on the timing of therapy initiation seem warranted.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Tratamiento Farmacológico de COVID-19 , Estudios de Cohortes , AntiviralesRESUMEN
Establishing the optimal treatment for COVID-19 patients remains challenging. Specifically, immunocompromised and pre-diseased patients are at high risk for severe disease course and face limited therapeutic options. Convalescent plasma (CP) has been considered as therapeutic approach, but reliable data are lacking, especially for high-risk patients. We performed a retrospective analysis of 55 hospitalized COVID-19 patients from University Hospital Duesseldorf (UKD) at high risk for disease progression, in a substantial proportion due to immunosuppression from cancer, solid organ transplantation, autoimmune disease, dialysis. A matched-pairs analysis (1:4) was performed with 220 patients from the Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-infected Patients (LEOSS) who were treated or not treated with CP. Both cohorts had high mortality (UKD 41.8%, LEOSS 34.1%). A matched-pairs analysis showed no significant effect on mortality. CP administration before the formation of pulmonary infiltrates showed the lowest mortality in both cohorts (10%), whereas mortality in the complicated phase was 27.8%. CP administration during the critical phase revealed the highest mortality: UKD 60.9%, LEOSS 48.3%. In our cohort of COVID-19 patients with severe comorbidities CP did not significantly reduce mortality in a retrospective matched-pairs analysis. However, our data supports the concept that a reduction in mortality is achievable by early CP administration.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/terapia , Análisis por Apareamiento , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diálisis Renal , Inmunización Pasiva , Sueroterapia para COVID-19RESUMEN
Although there is strong evidence that SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with adverse outcomes in certain ethnic groups, the association of disease severity and risk factors such as comorbidities and biomarkers with racial disparities remains undefined. This retrospective study between March 2020 and February 2021 explores COVID-19 risk factors as predictors for patients' disease progression through country comparison. Disease severity predictors in Germany and Japan were cardiovascular-associated comorbidities, dementia, and age. We adjusted age, sex, body mass index, and history of cardiovascular disease comorbidity in the country cohorts using a propensity score matching (PSM) technique to reduce the influence of differences in sample size and the surprisingly young, lean Japanese cohort. Analysis of the 170 PSM pairs confirmed that 65.29% of German and 85.29% of Japanese patients were in the uncomplicated phase. More German than Japanese patients were admitted in the complicated and critical phase. Ethnic differences were identified in patients without cardiovascular comorbidities. Japanese patients in the uncomplicated phase presented a suppressed inflammatory response and coagulopathy with hypocoagulation. In contrast, German patients exhibited a hyperactive inflammatory response and coagulopathy with hypercoagulation. These differences were less pronounced in patients in the complicated phase or with cardiovascular diseases. Coagulation/fibrinolysis-associated biomarkers rather than inflammatory-related biomarkers predicted disease severity in patients with cardiovascular comorbidities: platelet counts were associated with severe illness in German patients. In contrast, high D-dimer and fibrinogen levels predicted disease severity in Japanese patients. Our comparative study indicates that ethnicity influences COVID-19-associated biomarker expression linked to the inflammatory and coagulation (thrombo-inflammatory) response. Future studies will be necessary to determine whether these differences contributed to the less severe disease progression observed in Japanese COVID-19 patients compared with those in Germany.
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Advanced age, followed by male sex, by far poses the greatest risk for severe COVID-19. An unresolved question is the extent to which modifiable comorbidities increase the risk of COVID-19-related mortality among younger patients, in whom COVID-19-related hospitalization strongly increased in 2021. A total of 3,163 patients with SARS-COV-2 diagnosis in the Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-Infected Patients (LEOSS) cohort were studied. LEOSS is a European non-interventional multi-center cohort study established in March 2020 to investigate the epidemiology and clinical course of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Data from hospitalized patients and those who received ambulatory care, with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, were included in the study. An additive effect of obesity, diabetes and hypertension on the risk of mortality was observed, which was particularly strong in young and middle-aged patients. Compared to young and middle-aged (18-55 years) patients without obesity, diabetes and hypertension (non-obese and metabolically healthy; n = 593), young and middle-aged adult patients with all three risk parameters (obese and metabolically unhealthy; n = 31) had a similar adjusted increased risk of mortality [OR 7.42 (95% CI 1.55-27.3)] as older (56-75 years) non-obese and metabolically healthy patients [n = 339; OR 8.21 (95% CI 4.10-18.3)]. Furthermore, increased CRP levels explained part of the elevated risk of COVID-19-related mortality with age, specifically in the absence of obesity and impaired metabolic health. In conclusion, the modifiable risk factors obesity, diabetes and hypertension increase the risk of COVID-19-related mortality in young and middle-aged patients to the level of risk observed in advanced age.
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Modern Multimodal Concepts for Advanced and Metastatic Esophageal Cancer Abstract. In case of locally advanced esophageal carcinoma, the clear recommendation for multimodal therapy has been established in the guidelines. This also applies to systemic therapy in the palliative, metastatic situation. Against the background of increasing experience with multimodal concepts and a parallel trend towards more and more personalized tumor therapy, therapy options that go beyond this are increasingly being used. The most recent chapter here is the successful use of antibodies and immune checkpoint inhibitors in the adjuvant, additive or palliative setting. Salvage concepts and the salvage operation are also used. These are efficient options to be able to react surgically from a situation of clinical remission and close observation in case of tumor recurrence. The limited radical surgical procedures with reconstruction according to "Merendino" and the "double tract procedure" with limited resection of the distal esophagus and proximal stomach via abdominal approach are options for high-risk patients or very elderly patients. They show great advantages with regard to the operational stress and - especially the "double tract procedure" - with regard to the quality of life. The oligometastatic situation is also the subject of ongoing studies. Under strict clinical observation, it may make sense not to exclude patients with very limited metastases from a curative concept. Numerous cases of long-term survival encourage this. In the palliative setting, in addition to classic chemotherapy and best supportive care, immunotherapy is also playing an increasingly important role, and here, too, a conversion to a curative concept is possible if the response is good. Palliative esophageal resections in the case of disseminated metastases, infiltration of vertebral bodies, aorta or trachea or main bronchi must be strictly avoided and must unfortunately be described as incurable.
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Neoplasias Esofágicas , Calidad de Vida , Anciano , Terapia Combinada , Neoplasias Esofágicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patología , Neoplasias Esofágicas/terapia , Humanos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Cuidados PaliativosRESUMEN
Chemotherapy and Radio-Chemotherapy of Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer Abstract. Surgical resection alone of locally advanced esophageal carcinoma leads to long-term survival in only about 30% of cases. The multimodal strategy for locally advanced tumors, especially neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy and chemotherapy, has significantly improved the long-term prognosis. Multimodal therapy concepts have been developed which improve overall survival. Therapy planning must be performed pretherapeutically in an interdisciplinary tumor board, preferably at a high-volume center. For squamous cell carcinomas, neoadjuvant radio/chemotherapy followed by resection or definitive radio/chemotherapy are currently the therapies of choice. For adenocarcinomas, neoadjuvant radio/chemotherapy followed by resection or perioperative chemotherapy are considered equivalent therapeutic standards. After neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy, adjuvant immunotherapy is currently recommended in case of only incomplete histopathological response.
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Adenocarcinoma , Neoplasias Esofágicas , Adenocarcinoma/patología , Adenocarcinoma/terapia , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Terapia Combinada , Neoplasias Esofágicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Estadificación de NeoplasiasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: International registries have reported high mortality rates in patients with liver disease and COVID-19. However, the extent to which comorbidities contribute to excess COVID-19 mortality in cirrhosis is controversial. METHODS: We used the multinational Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-infected patients (LEOSS) to identify patients with cirrhosis documented between March 2020 and March 2021, when the wild-type and alpha variant were predominant. We compared symptoms, disease progression and mortality after propensity score matching (PSM) for age, sex, obesity, smoking status, and concomitant diseases. Mortality was also compared with that of patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) without SARS-CoV-2 infection, a common bacterial infection and well-described precipitator of acute-on-chronic liver failure. RESULTS: Among 7096 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection eligible for analysis, 70 (0.99%) had cirrhosis, and all were hospitalized. Risk factors for severe COVID-19, such as diabetes, renal disease, and cardiovascular disease were more frequent in patients with cirrhosis. Case fatality rate in patients with cirrhosis was 31.4% with the highest odds of death in patients older than 65 years (43.6% mortality; odds ratio [OR] 4.02; p = 0.018), Child-Pugh class C (57.1%; OR 4.00; p = 0.026), and failure of two or more organs (81.8%; OR 19.93; p = 0.001). After PSM for demographics and comorbidity, the COVID-19 case fatality of patients with cirrhosis did not significantly differ from that of matched patients without cirrhosis (28.8% vs. 26.1%; p = 0.644) and was similar to the 28-day mortality in a comparison group of patients with cirrhosis and SBP (33.3% vs. 31.5%; p = 1.000). CONCLUSIONS: In immunologically naïve patients with cirrhosis, mortality from wild-type SARS-CoV-2 and the alpha variant is high and is largely determined by cirrhosis-associated comorbidities and extrahepatic organ failure.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMEN
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.ailsci.2021.100020.].
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AIMS: Coagulopathy and venous thromboembolism are common findings in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and are associated with poor outcome. Timely initiation of anticoagulation after hospital admission was shown to be beneficial. In this study we aim to examine the association of pre-existing oral anticoagulation (OAC) with outcome among a cohort of SARS-CoV-2 infected patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed the data from the large multi-national Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2 infected patients (LEOSS) from March to August 2020. Patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were eligible for inclusion. We retrospectively analysed the association of pre-existing OAC with all-cause mortality. Secondary outcome measures included COVID-19-related mortality, recovery and composite endpoints combining death and/or thrombotic event and death and/or bleeding event. We restricted bleeding events to intracerebral bleeding in this analysis to ensure clinical relevance and to limit reporting errors. A total of 1 433 SARS-CoV-2 infected patients were analysed, while 334 patients (23.3%) had an existing premedication with OAC and 1 099 patients (79.7%) had no OAC. After risk adjustment for comorbidities, pre-existing OAC showed a protective influence on the endpoint death (OR 0.62, P = 0.013) as well as the secondary endpoints COVID-19-related death (OR 0.64, P = 0.023) and non-recovery (OR 0.66, P = 0.014). The combined endpoint death or thrombotic event tended to be less frequent in patients on OAC (OR 0.71, P = 0.056). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-existing OAC is protective in COVID-19, irrespective of anticoagulation regime during hospital stay and independent of the stage and course of disease.
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Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Trastornos de la Coagulación Sanguínea/tratamiento farmacológico , COVID-19/mortalidad , SARS-CoV-2/efectos de los fármacos , Tromboembolia/tratamiento farmacológico , Anciano , Trastornos de la Coagulación Sanguínea/virología , Comorbilidad , Europa (Continente) , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tromboembolia/virologíaRESUMEN
In patients with bcr-abl-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), concerns are often raised about the use of anticoagulants because of an increased bleeding risk. However, there are few MPN studies focusing on bleeding. To investigate bleeding complications in MPN, we report our retrospective, single-center study of 829 patients with a median follow-up of 5.5 years (range: 0.1-35.6). A first bleeding event occurred in 143 of 829 patients (17.2%), corresponding to an incidence rate of 2.29% per patient/year. During the follow-up period, one out of 829 patients (0.1%) died due to bleeding. Regarding anticoagulation, most bleeding occurred in patients on antiplatelet therapies (60.1%), followed by patients on anticoagulation therapies (20.3%) and patients not on anticoagulation (19.6%). In multivariate analysis, administration of antiplatelet (HR 2.31 [1.43, 3.71]) and anticoagulation therapies (HR 4.06 [2.32, 7.09]), but not age, gender or mutation status, was associated with an increased bleeding risk. Comparing the "probability of bleeding-free survival" between the MPN subtypes, no significant difference was observed (p = 0.91, log-rank test). Our retrospective study shows that antiplatelet and anticoagulation therapies significantly increase the risk of bleeding in MPN patients without affecting mortality. However, there is no reason to refrain from guideline-conform primary or secondary anticoagulation in MPN patients.
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Hemorragia/epidemiología , Hemorragia/etiología , Trastornos Mieloproliferativos/complicaciones , Trastornos Mieloproliferativos/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Biomarcadores , Biomarcadores de Tumor , Biopsia , Coagulación Sanguínea , Médula Ósea , Niño , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Susceptibilidad a Enfermedades , Femenino , Proteínas de Fusión bcr-abl/genética , Hemorragia/diagnóstico , Hemorragia/terapia , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Trastornos Mieloproliferativos/diagnóstico , Trastornos Mieloproliferativos/genética , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
PURPOSE: While more advanced COVID-19 necessitates medical interventions and hospitalization, patients with mild COVID-19 do not require this. Identifying patients at risk of progressing to advanced COVID-19 might guide treatment decisions, particularly for better prioritizing patients in need for hospitalization. METHODS: We developed a machine learning-based predictor for deriving a clinical score identifying patients with asymptomatic/mild COVID-19 at risk of progressing to advanced COVID-19. Clinical data from SARS-CoV-2 positive patients from the multicenter Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2 Infected Patients (LEOSS) were used for discovery (2020-03-16 to 2020-07-14) and validation (data from 2020-07-15 to 2021-02-16). RESULTS: The LEOSS dataset contains 473 baseline patient parameters measured at the first patient contact. After training the predictor model on a training dataset comprising 1233 patients, 20 of the 473 parameters were selected for the predictor model. From the predictor model, we delineated a composite predictive score (SACOV-19, Score for the prediction of an Advanced stage of COVID-19) with eleven variables. In the validation cohort (n = 2264 patients), we observed good prediction performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.73 ± 0.01. Besides temperature, age, body mass index and smoking habit, variables indicating pulmonary involvement (respiration rate, oxygen saturation, dyspnea), inflammation (CRP, LDH, lymphocyte counts), and acute kidney injury at diagnosis were identified. For better interpretability, the predictor was translated into a web interface. CONCLUSION: We present a machine learning-based predictor model and a clinical score for identifying patients at risk of developing advanced COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Puntuación de Alerta Temprana , Área Bajo la Curva , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Humanos , Aprendizaje Automático , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
AIMS: Patients with cardiovascular comorbidities have a significantly increased risk for a critical course of COVID-19. As the SARS-CoV2 virus enters cells via the angiotensin-converting enzyme receptor II (ACE2), drugs which interact with the renin angiotensin aldosterone system (RAAS) were suspected to influence disease severity. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 1946 consecutive patients with cardiovascular comorbidities or hypertension enrolled in one of the largest European COVID-19 registries, the Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2 (LEOSS) registry. Here, we show that angiotensin II receptor blocker intake is associated with decreased mortality in patients with COVID-19 [OR 0.75 (95% CI 0,59-0.96; p = 0.013)]. This effect was mainly driven by patients, who presented in an early phase of COVID-19 at baseline [OR 0,64 (95% CI 0,43-0,96; p = 0.029)]. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significantly lower incidence of death in patients on an angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) (n = 33/318;10,4%) compared to patients using an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi) (n = 60/348;17,2%) or patients who received neither an ACE-inhibitor nor an ARB at baseline in the uncomplicated phase (n = 90/466; 19,3%; p<0.034). Patients taking an ARB were significantly less frequently reaching the mortality predicting threshold for leukocytes (p<0.001), neutrophils (p = 0.002) and the inflammatory markers CRP (p = 0.021), procalcitonin (p = 0.001) and IL-6 (p = 0.049). ACE2 expression levels in human lung samples were not altered in patients taking RAAS modulators. CONCLUSION: These data suggest a beneficial effect of ARBs on disease severity in patients with cardiovascular comorbidities and COVID-19, which is linked to dampened systemic inflammatory activity.