End of 2022/23 Season Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Primary Care in Great Britain.

BACKGROUND: The 2022/23 influenza season in the United Kingdom saw the return of influenza to prepandemic levels following two seasons with low influenza activity. The early season was dominated by A(H3N2), with cocirculation of A(H1N1), reaching a peak late December 2022, while influenza B circulated at low levels during the latter part of the season. From September to March 2022/23, influenza vaccines were offered, free of charge, to all aged 2-13 (and 14-15 in Scotland and Wales), adults up to 49 years of age with clinical risk conditions and adults aged 50 and above across the mainland United Kingdom. METHODS: End-of-season adjusted vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against sentinel primary-care attendance for influenza-like illness, where influenza infection was laboratory confirmed, were calculated using the test negative design, adjusting for potential confounders. METHODS: Results In the mainland United Kingdom, end-of-season VE against all laboratory-confirmed influenza for all those > 65 years of age, most of whom received adjuvanted quadrivalent vaccines, was 30% (95% CI: -6% to 54%). VE for those aged 18-64, who largely received cell-based vaccines, was 47% (95% CI: 37%-56%). Overall VE for 2-17 year olds, predominantly receiving live attenuated vaccines, was 66% (95% CI: 53%-76%). CONCLUSION: The paper provides evidence of moderate influenza VE in 2022/23.

Benefit-Cost Analysis of the HHS COVID-19 Campaign: April 2021-March 2022.

INTRODUCTION: This study estimated the benefits and costs of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' We Can Do This COVID-19 public education campaign (the Campaign) and associated vaccination-related impacts. METHODS: Weekly media market and national Campaign expenditures were used to estimate weekly first-dose vaccinations that would not have occurred absent the Campaign, weekly Campaign-attributed complete vaccinations, and corresponding COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths averted. Benefits were valued using estimated morbidity and mortality reductions and associated values of a statistical life and a statistical case. Costs were estimated using Campaign paid media expenditures and corresponding vaccination costs. The net Campaign and vaccination benefit and return on investment were calculated. Analyses were conducted from 2022 to 2024. RESULTS: Between April 2021 and March 2022, an estimated 55.9 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines would not have been administered absent the Campaign. Campaign-attributed vaccinations resulted in 2,576,133 fewer mild COVID-19 cases, 243,979 fewer nonfatal COVID-19 hospitalizations, and 51,675 lives saved from COVID-19. The total Campaign benefit was $740.2 billion, and Campaign and vaccination costs totaled $8.3 billion, with net benefits of approximately $732.0 billion. For every $1 spent, the Campaign and corresponding vaccination costs resulted in benefits of approximately $89.54. CONCLUSIONS: The We Can Do This COVID-19 public education campaign saved more than 50,000 lives and prevented hundreds of thousands of hospitalizations and millions of COVID-19 cases, representing hundreds of billions of dollars in benefits in less than one year. Findings suggest that public education campaigns are a cost-effective approach to reducing COVID-19 morbidity and mortality.

Use of a Large Language Model to Assess Clinical Acuity of Adults in the Emergency Department.

Importance: The introduction of large language models (LLMs), such as Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4 (GPT-4; OpenAI), has generated significant interest in health care, yet studies evaluating their performance in a clinical setting are lacking. Determination of clinical acuity, a measure of a patient's illness severity and level of required medical attention, is one of the foundational elements of medical reasoning in emergency medicine. Objective: To determine whether an LLM can accurately assess clinical acuity in the emergency department (ED). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study identified all adult ED visits from January 1, 2012, to January 17, 2023, at the University of California, San Francisco, with a documented Emergency Severity Index (ESI) acuity level (immediate, emergent, urgent, less urgent, or nonurgent) and with a corresponding ED physician note. A sample of 10 000 pairs of ED visits with nonequivalent ESI scores, balanced for each of the 10 possible pairs of 5 ESI scores, was selected at random. Exposure: The potential of the LLM to classify acuity levels of patients in the ED based on the ESI across 10 000 patient pairs. Using deidentified clinical text, the LLM was queried to identify the patient with a higher-acuity presentation within each pair based on the patients' clinical history. An earlier LLM was queried to allow comparison with this model. Main Outcomes and Measures: Accuracy score was calculated to evaluate the performance of both LLMs across the 10 000-pair sample. A 500-pair subsample was manually classified by a physician reviewer to compare performance between the LLMs and human classification. Results: From a total of 251 401 adult ED visits, a balanced sample of 10 000 patient pairs was created wherein each pair comprised patients with disparate ESI acuity scores. Across this sample, the LLM correctly inferred the patient with higher acuity for 8940 of 10 000 pairs (accuracy, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.89-0.90]). Performance of the comparator LLM (accuracy, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.83-0.84]) was below that of its successor. Among the 500-pair subsample that was also manually classified, LLM performance (accuracy, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.86-0.91]) was comparable with that of the physician reviewer (accuracy, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.83-0.89]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of 10 000 pairs of ED visits, the LLM accurately identified the patient with higher acuity when given pairs of presenting histories extracted from patients' first ED documentation. These findings suggest that the integration of an LLM into ED workflows could enhance triage processes while maintaining triage quality and warrants further investigation.

Effects of the Marek's Disease Vaccine on the Performance, Meat Yield, and Incidence of Woody Breast Myopathy in Ross 708 Broilers When Administered Alone or in Conjunction with In ovo and Dietary Supplemental 25-Hydroxycholecalciferol.

The effects of the Marek's disease vaccine (MDV) on the live performance, breast meat yield, and incidence of woody breast myopathy (WBM) of Ross 708 broilers were investigated when administered alone or in conjunction with in ovo and dietary supplemental 25-hydroxycholecalciferol (25OHD3). At 18 d of incubation (doi), four in ovo injection treatments were randomly assigned to live embryonated Ross 708 broiler hatching eggs: (1) non-injected; (2) commercial MDV alone; or MDV containing either (3) 1.2 or (4) 2.4 µg of 25OHD3. An Inovoject multi-egg injector was used to inject a 50 µL solution volume into each egg. The birds were provided a commercial diet that contained 250 IU of cholecalciferol/kg of feed (control) or a commercial diet that was supplemented with an additional 2760 IU of 25OHD3/kg of feed (HyD-diet). In the growout period, 14 male broilers were placed in each of 48 floor pens resulting 6 replicated pens per in ovo x dietary treatment combination. Live performance variable were measured at each dietary phases from 0 to 14, 15 to 28, and 29 to 40 d of age (doa). At 14 and 40 doa, pectoralis major (P. major) and pectoralis minor (P. minor) muscles were determined for one bird within each of the six replicate pens. At 41 doa, WBM incidence was determined. No significant main or interaction effects occurred for WBM among the dietary or in ovo injection treatments. However, in response to in ovo 25OHD3 supplementation, BW and BWG in the 29 to 40 doa period and BWG and FCR in the 0 to 40 doa period improved. In addition, at 40 and 41 doa, breast meat yield increased in response to in ovo and dietary 25OHD3 supplementation. Future research is needed to determine the possible reasons that may have been involved in the aforementioned improvements.

Developing and assessing the measurement properties of an instrument to assess the impact of musculoskeletal pain in children aged 9 to 12-the pediatric musculoskeletal pain impact summary score.

BACKGROUND: Despite the high prevalence of musculoskeletal (MSK) pain in children, there is a lack of instruments to measure the impact of MSK pain on children's activity and participation. OBJECTIVE: To assess the reliability and construct validity of the Pediatric MSK Pain Impact summary score in school children (aged 9 to 12) with MSK pain. METHODS: We used a pragmatic approach in a reflective framework to assess internal consistency, structural validity, convergent validity, and discriminative validity in a sample of 615 children with MSK pain. RESULTS: The confirmatory factor analysis results indicate that the summary score has limited internal consistency and construct validity. The estimated Cronbach's alpha was 0.63, and most goodness of fit indices met the recommended thresholds (SRMR = 0.030; GFI = 0.993, CFI = 0.955, RMSEA 0.073), although they were close to the lower bounds of the thresholds. The convergent validity showed appropriate correlation of the summary score with quality of life (r = -0.33), care-seeking (r = 0.45), and medication intake (r = 0.37). Discriminative validity showed that the instrument can discriminate between the impact of pain on children with frequent and infrequent (2.93; 95% CI: 2.36 - 3.50) MSK pain. CONCLUSION: The Pediatric MSK Pain Impact summary showed limited internal consistency and construct validity; however, it can discriminate between children with frequent and infrequent pain. The results are promising for clinical and research practices as it is a short and convenient tool to be used in school-aged children.

Implementation of a day-stay joint replacement pathway in an Australian regional public hospital: A descriptive study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the implementation, feasibility and safety of a day-stay joint replacement pathway in a regional public hospital in Australia. METHOD: Over a 12-month pilot period, a prospective descriptive analysis of consecutive patients undergoing total knee and hip arthroplasty was conducted. The number of eligible day-stay patients, proportion of successful same-day discharges and reasons for same-day failure to discharge were recorded. Outcome measures captured for all joint replacements across this period included length of stay (LoS), patient reported outcomes, complications and patient satisfaction. The implementation pathway as well as patient and staff identified success factors derived from interviews were outlined. RESULTS: Forty-one/246 (17%) patients booked for joint replacement surgery were eligible for day-stay and 21/41 (51%) achieved a successful same-day discharge. Unsuccessful same-day discharges were due to time of surgery too late in the day (7/20), no longer meeting same-day discharge criteria (11/20) and declined discharge same-day (2/20). Over the implementation period 65% (162/246) of all patients were discharged with a LoS of 2 days or less. Patient satisfaction for the day-stay pathway was high. Complication rates and patient-reported outcomes were equivalent across LoS groups. CONCLUSION: The day-stay joint replacement surgery pathway was feasible to implement, safe and acceptable to patients. Day-stay pathways have potential patient and system-level efficiency benefits.

Evaluating Large Language Models for Drafting Emergency Department Discharge Summaries.

Importance: Large language models (LLMs) possess a range of capabilities which may be applied to the clinical domain, including text summarization. As ambient artificial intelligence scribes and other LLM-based tools begin to be deployed within healthcare settings, rigorous evaluations of the accuracy of these technologies are urgently needed. Objective: To investigate the performance of GPT-4 and GPT-3.5-turbo in generating Emergency Department (ED) discharge summaries and evaluate the prevalence and type of errors across each section of the discharge summary. Design: Cross-sectional study. Setting: University of California, San Francisco ED. Participants: We identified all adult ED visits from 2012 to 2023 with an ED clinician note. We randomly selected a sample of 100 ED visits for GPT-summarization. Exposure: We investigate the potential of two state-of-the-art LLMs, GPT-4 and GPT-3.5-turbo, to summarize the full ED clinician note into a discharge summary. Main Outcomes and Measures: GPT-3.5-turbo and GPT-4-generated discharge summaries were evaluated by two independent Emergency Medicine physician reviewers across three evaluation criteria: 1) Inaccuracy of GPT-summarized information; 2) Hallucination of information; 3) Omission of relevant clinical information. On identifying each error, reviewers were additionally asked to provide a brief explanation for their reasoning, which was manually classified into subgroups of errors. Results: From 202,059 eligible ED visits, we randomly sampled 100 for GPT-generated summarization and then expert-driven evaluation. In total, 33% of summaries generated by GPT-4 and 10% of those generated by GPT-3.5-turbo were entirely error-free across all evaluated domains. Summaries generated by GPT-4 were mostly accurate, with inaccuracies found in only 10% of cases, however, 42% of the summaries exhibited hallucinations and 47% omitted clinically relevant information. Inaccuracies and hallucinations were most commonly found in the Plan sections of GPT-generated summaries, while clinical omissions were concentrated in text describing patients' Physical Examination findings or History of Presenting Complaint. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of 100 ED encounters, we found that LLMs could generate accurate discharge summaries, but were liable to hallucination and omission of clinically relevant information. A comprehensive understanding of the location and type of errors found in GPT-generated clinical text is important to facilitate clinician review of such content and prevent patient harm.

It's OK to move! Effect of a brief video on community confidence in activity despite back pain: A randomised trial.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the difference in confidence to become active despite low back pain in people who were exposed to one of two video interventions delivered on social media, compared to no intervention. DESIGN: A proof of concept three group randomised controlled trial, in a 1:1:1 ratio. METHODS: Participants aged 18 years and over, with and without low back pain, were recruited via the social media channel Facebook, to view either a humorous video, a neutral video or to no intervention. The videos were delivered online, explained evidence-based management for low back pain, and were designed to "go viral". The primary outcome was confidence in becoming active despite pain, measured using the Pain Self Efficacy Questionnaire(Item 10) [range from 0 (not at all confident) to 6 (completely confident)] immediately after watching the video. We aimed to capture the real-time impact and immediate reactions that contributed to the content's reach. RESULTS: Among 1933 randomized participants (mean [SD] age 58.9 [14.0] years, 1285 [75%] women) 1232 [70%] had low back pain and 88.8% completed the primary outcome. 1264 participants were randomised to receive a video intervention, and 633 participants did not receive a video. On a 6-point scale, individuals exposed to either video (n=1088) showed a mean confidence level 0.3 points higher (95% CI 0.1 to 0.6) compared with no video (n=630). CONCLUSION: Participants who viewed a brief video intervention reported a very small difference in confidence to become active despite low back pain, compared with no intervention. The difference may lack clinical relevance.

Adverse Childhood Experiences and Diabetes Risk in Mississippi Adults.

Despite Mississippi's high diabetes prevalence and the growing literature finding significant associations between adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and diabetes, no research has examined the relationship between ACEs and diabetes risk in Mississippi adults. This study utilized data from the 2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) to determine if such a relationship existed. Data for Mississippi respondents were weighted to account for nonresponse bias and non-coverage errors. Each respondent's total ACE exposure score was calculated based on the number of ACE categories experienced. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to model the relationship between diabetes and ACE categories and diabetes and total ACE exposure scores. Variables that were significant at p<0.05 were retained in the final (best-fitting) models. All models were adjusted for sex, age, race, level of education, income, and body mass index (BMI). After adjusting for covariates, those experiencing physical abuse (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 1.72, 95% CI 1.69; 1.75) or sexual abuse (AOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.53; 1.58) had the highest odds of ever being diagnosed with diabetes. Experiencing one ACE (AOR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01; 1.03) was associated with slightly higher odds of having diabetes, while experiencing seven ACE categories (AOR 2.20, 95% CI 2.10; 2.31) had the highest odds. Overall, this study shows a strong association between ACEs and a diagnosis of diabetes in the state of Mississippi. This relationship represents an important focus area for prevention efforts in legislation, public health campaigns, and universal screening procedures in primary care that may decrease the prevalence and burden of diabetes in Mississippi.

Intercellular Signaling Pathways as Therapeutic Targets for Vascular Dementia Repair.

Vascular dementia (VaD) is a white matter ischemic disease and the second-leading cause of dementia, with no direct therapy. Within the lesion site, cell-cell interactions dictate the trajectory towards disease progression or repair. To elucidate the underlying intercellular signaling pathways, a VaD mouse model was developed for transcriptomic and functional studies. The mouse VaD transcriptome was integrated with a human VaD snRNA-Seq dataset. A custom-made database encompassing 4053 human and 2032 mouse ligand-receptor (L-R) interactions identified significantly altered pathways shared between human and mouse VaD. Two intercellular L-R systems, Serpine2-Lrp1 and CD39-A3AR, were selected for mechanistic study as both the ligand and receptor were dysregulated in VaD. Decreased Seprine2 expression enhances OPC differentiation in VaD repair. A clinically relevant drug that reverses the loss of CD39-A3AR function promotes tissue and behavioral recovery in the VaD model. This study presents novel intercellular signaling targets and may open new avenues for VaD therapies.

Accounting for albedo change to identify climate-positive tree cover restoration.

Restoring tree cover changes albedo, which is the fraction of sunlight reflected from the Earth's surface. In most locations, these changes in albedo offset or even negate the carbon removal benefits with the latter leading to global warming. Previous efforts to quantify the global climate mitigation benefit of restoring tree cover have not accounted robustly for albedo given a lack of spatially explicit data. Here we produce maps that show that carbon-only estimates may be up to 81% too high. While dryland and boreal settings have especially severe albedo offsets, it is possible to find places that provide net-positive climate mitigation benefits in all biomes. We further find that on-the-ground projects are concentrated in these more climate-positive locations, but that the majority still face at least a 20% albedo offset. Thus, strategically deploying restoration of tree cover for maximum climate benefit requires accounting for albedo change and we provide the tools to do so.

HIV and COVID-19: two pandemics with significant (but different) central nervous system complications.

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cause significant neurologic disease. Central nervous system (CNS) involvement of HIV has been extensively studied, with well-documented invasion of HIV into the brain in the initial stage of infection, while the acute effects of SARS-CoV-2 in the brain are unclear. Neuropathologic features of active HIV infection in the brain are well characterized whereas neuropathologic findings in acute COVID-19 are largely non-specific. On the other hand, neuropathologic substrates of chronic dysfunction in both infections, as HIV-associated neurocognitive disorders (HAND) and post-COVID conditions (PCC)/long COVID are unknown. Thus far, neuropathologic studies on patients with HAND in the era of combined antiretroviral therapy have been inconclusive, and autopsy studies on patients diagnosed with PCC have yet to be published. Further longitudinal, multidisciplinary studies on patients with HAND and PCC and neuropathologic studies in comparison to controls are warranted to help elucidate the mechanisms of CNS dysfunction in both conditions.

Adipose Tissue in Breast Cancer Microphysiological Models to Capture Human Diversity in Preclinical Models.

Female breast cancer accounts for 15.2% of all new cancer cases in the United States, with a continuing increase in incidence despite efforts to discover new targeted therapies. With an approximate failure rate of 85% for therapies in the early phases of clinical trials, there is a need for more translatable, new preclinical in vitro models that include cellular heterogeneity, extracellular matrix, and human-derived biomaterials. Specifically, adipose tissue and its resident cell populations have been identified as necessary attributes for current preclinical models. Adipose-derived stromal/stem cells (ASCs) and mature adipocytes are a normal part of the breast tissue composition and not only contribute to normal breast physiology but also play a significant role in breast cancer pathophysiology. Given the recognized pro-tumorigenic role of adipocytes in tumor progression, there remains a need to enhance the complexity of current models and account for the contribution of the components that exist within the adipose stromal environment to breast tumorigenesis. This review article captures the current landscape of preclinical breast cancer models with a focus on breast cancer microphysiological system (MPS) models and their counterpart patient-derived xenograft (PDX) models to capture patient diversity as they relate to adipose tissue.

MV-based relative electron density estimation (iMREDe) for MR-LINAC dose calculation.

BACKGROUND: MR-LINAC systems have been increasingly utilized for real-time imaging in adaptive treatments worldwide. Challenges in MR representation of air cavities and subsequent estimation of electron density maps impede planning efficiency and may lead to dose calculation uncertainties. PURPOSE: To demonstrate the generation of accurate electron density maps using the primary MV beam with a flat-panel imager. METHODS: The ViewRay MRIdian MR-LINAC system was modeled digitally for Monte Carlo simulations. Iron shimming, the magnetic field, and the proposed flat panel detector were included in the model. The effect of the magnetic field on the detector response was investigated. Acquisition of projections over 360 degrees was simulated for digital phantoms of the Catphan 505 phantom and a patient treated for Head and Neck cancer. Shim patterns on the projections were removed and detector noise linearity was assessed. Electron density maps were generated for the digital patient phantom using the flat-panel detector and compared with actual treatment planning CT generated electron density maps of the same patient. RESULTS: The effect of the magnetic field on the detector point-spread function (PSF) was found to be substantial for field strengths above 50 mT. Shims correction in the projection images using air normalization and in-painting effectively removed reconstruction artifacts without affecting noise linearity. The relative difference between reconstructed electron density maps from the proposed method and electron density maps generated from the treatment planning CT was 11% on average along all slices included in the iMREDe reconstruction. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed iMREDe technique demonstrated the feasibility of generating accurate electron densities for the ViewRay MRIdian MR-LINAC system with a flat-panel imager and the primary MV beam. This work is a step towards reducing the time and effort required for adaptive radiotherapy in the current ViewRay MR-LINAC systems.

The probability of edge existence due to node degree: a baseline for network-based predictions.

Important tasks in biomedical discovery such as predicting gene functions, gene-disease associations, and drug repurposing opportunities are often framed as network edge prediction. The number of edges connecting to a node, termed degree, can vary greatly across nodes in real biomedical networks, and the distribution of degrees varies between networks. If degree strongly influences edge prediction, then imbalance or bias in the distribution of degrees could lead to nonspecific or misleading predictions. We introduce a network permutation framework to quantify the effects of node degree on edge prediction. Our framework decomposes performance into the proportions attributable to degree and the network's specific connections using network permutation to generate features that depend only on degree. We discover that performance attributable to factors other than degree is often only a small portion of overall performance. Researchers seeking to predict new or missing edges in biological networks should use our permutation approach to obtain a baseline for performance that may be nonspecific because of degree. We released our methods as an open-source Python package (https://github.com/hetio/xswap/).

Outcomes of the EMDataResource Cryo-EM Ligand Modeling Challenge.

The EMDataResource Ligand Model Challenge aimed to assess the reliability and reproducibility of modeling ligands bound to protein and protein/nucleic-acid complexes in cryogenic electron microscopy (cryo-EM) maps determined at near-atomic (1.9-2.5 Å) resolution. Three published maps were selected as targets: E. coli beta-galactosidase with inhibitor, SARS-CoV-2 RNA-dependent RNA polymerase with covalently bound nucleotide analog, and SARS-CoV-2 ion channel ORF3a with bound lipid. Sixty-one models were submitted from 17 independent research groups, each with supporting workflow details. We found that (1) the quality of submitted ligand models and surrounding atoms varied, as judged by visual inspection and quantification of local map quality, model-to-map fit, geometry, energetics, and contact scores, and (2) a composite rather than a single score was needed to assess macromolecule+ligand model quality. These observations lead us to recommend best practices for assessing cryo-EM structures of liganded macromolecules reported at near-atomic resolution.

Patient video cases in large-group medical student teaching: A qualitative study of learner and educator perspectives.

BACKGROUND: Patient video cases (PVCs) are short video recordings of real patients during clinical encounters or instructed activities. Although widely used in healthcare professionals' education, their use in large group teaching (LGT) remains relatively unexplored. This study aims to explore the perceptions of medical students and academic staff regarding the use of PVCs to support LGT. METHODS: A purposive sample of medical students and academic staff from Leicester Medical School was obtained. Data were collected through focus groups (students) and semi-structured interviews (staff) in which two sensitising PVCs were used as a stimulus to discussion. Data analysis was undertaken using grounded theory through a process of open, axial, and selective coding, leading to core categories and themes. RESULTS: Sixteen medical students and four academic staff members participated. Four overarching themes were identified covering the benefits of using PVCs, ways in which they are used in LGT, the challenges faced by and how to optimise PVCs for LGT. This final theme covered design, choice of clip and how it is then used by the educator within the teaching session. Key considerations were the need to align the PVC with other content and to consider the student experience. CONCLUSION: Our findings support the use of well-chosen and well-designed PVCs within LGT and offer practical insights to use them effectively. PVCs are a potentially powerful tool within medical undergraduate LGT (a widely used instructional method) and further research into its use is needed.