Development of a Predictive Nomogram for Intra-Hospital Mortality in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Using LASSO Regression.

Background and Purpose: Ischemic stroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability globally, necessitating accurate prediction of intra-hospital mortality (IHM) for improved patient care. This study aimed to develop a practical nomogram for personalized IHM risk prediction in ischemic stroke patients. Methods: A retrospective study of 422 ischemic stroke patients (April 2020 - December 2021) from Chongqing Medical University's First Affiliated Hospital was conducted, with patients divided into training (n=295) and validation (n=127) groups. Data on demographics, comorbidities, stroke risk factors, and lab results were collected. Stroke severity was assessed using NIHSS, and stroke types were classified by TOAST criteria. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was employed for predictor selection and nomogram construction, with evaluation through ROC curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. Results: LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression identified four independent IHM predictors: age, admission NIHSS score, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) diagnosis, and white blood cell count (WBC). A highly accurate nomogram based on these variables exhibited excellent predictive performance, with AUCs of 0.958 (training) and 0.962 (validation), sensitivities of 93.2% and 95.7%, and specificities of 93.1% and 90.9%, respectively. Calibration curves and decision curve analysis validated its clinical applicability. Conclusion: Age, admission NIHSS score, COPD history, and WBC were identified as independent IHM predictors in ischemic stroke patients. The developed nomogram demonstrated high predictive accuracy and practical utility for mortality risk estimation. External validation and prospective studies are warranted for further confirmation of its clinical efficacy.

Low concentration of serum vitamin B12 may be a strong predictor of large-artery atherosclerosis stroke: A case-control study.

INTRODUCTION: Identifying controllable risk factors for large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) stroke is crucial due to its significant role as a leading cause of ischemic stroke. We aimed to validate the correlation of serum vitamin B12 with LAA stroke. METHODS: Inpatients with LAA stroke and healthy controls were retrospectively collected for a case-control study from January 2020 to May 2022. Serum vitamin B12 concentration and other blood indicators, demographic, lifestyle factors and comorbidities were investigated. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the correlation of serum vitamin B12 concentrations with LAA stroke, meanwhile adjusted for confounding factors. RESULTS: Patients with LAA stroke had significantly lower serum vitamin B12 concentrations in comparison to those of controls. In the fully adjusted model, vitamin B12 (per 1 interquartile range increase, odds ratio [OR] = 0.84, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.77-0.91), vitamin B12 < 200 pg/mL (OR=7.70, 95 %CI: 2.19-27.03) and vitamin B12 < 300 pg/mL (OR=4.19, 95 %CI: 1.82-9.66) were independently factors for LAA stroke. Furthermore, the optimal cut-off values for vitamin B12 to predict LAA stroke were 305.25 pg/mL (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.71) when unadjusted and 308.25 pg/mL when adjusted for age and sex (AUC=0.68). Lower vitamin B12 concentrations were significantly associated with male sex, smoking, older age, higher neutrophil count, higher creatinine, lower folate and higher total homocysteine. CONCLUSION: Results indicate that low concentration of serum vitamin B12 may be a strong predictor for the risk of LAA stroke.

Developing and Validating a Nomogram Model for Predicting Ischemic Stroke Risk.

Background and purpose: Clinically, the ability to identify individuals at risk of ischemic stroke remains limited. This study aimed to develop a nomogram model for predicting the risk of acute ischemic stroke. Methods: In this study, we conducted a retrospective analysis on patients who visited the Department of Neurology, collecting important information including clinical records, demographic characteristics, and complete hematological tests. Participants were randomly divided into training and internal validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. Based on their diagnosis, patients were categorized as having or not having ischemic stroke (ischemic and non-ischemic stroke groups). Subsequently, in the training set, key predictive variables were identified through multivariate logistic regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression methods, and a nomogram model was constructed accordingly. The model was then evaluated on the internal validation set and an independent external validation set through area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) analysis, a Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to verify its predictive efficacy and clinical applicability. Results: Eight predictors were identified: age, smoking status, hypertension, diabetes, atrial fibrillation, stroke history, white blood cell count, and vitamin B12 levels. Based on these factors, a nomogram with high predictive accuracy was constructed. The model demonstrated good predictive performance, with an AUC-ROC of 0.760 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.736-0.784). The AUC-ROC values for internal and external validation were 0.768 (95% CI: 0.732-0.804) and 0.732 (95% CI: 0.688-0.777), respectively, proving the model's capability to predict the risk of ischemic stroke effectively. Calibration and DCA confirmed its clinical value. Conclusions: We constructed a nomogram based on eight variables, effectively quantifying the risk of ischemic stroke.

Serum levels of vitamin B12 combined with folate and plasma total homocysteine predict ischemic stroke disease: a retrospective case-control study.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to identify and quantify the association and investigate whether serum vitamin B12 alone or vitamin B12 combined with folate and plasma total homocysteine (tHcy) levels could be used to predict the risk of acute ischemic stroke. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective case-control study was conducted in the Department of Neurology, First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University. It included 259 inpatients experiencing their first-ever acute ischemic stroke and 259 age-matched, sex-matched healthy controls. Patients were categorized into groups based on the etiology of their stroke: large-artery atherosclerosis (LAAS, n = 126), cardio embolism (CEI, n = 35), small vessel disease (SVD, n = 89), stroke of other determined etiology (ODE, n = 5), and stroke of undetermined etiology (UDE, n = 4). The associations of serum vitamin B12, folate, and plasma tHcy levels with the risk of ischemic stroke were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the diagnostic power of vitamin B12, folate, and tHcy levels for ischemic stroke. RESULTS: Serum vitamin B12 and folate levels were significantly lower in ischemic stroke patients compared to controls, while plasma tHcy levels were significantly higher. The first quartile of serum vitamin B12 levels was significantly associated with an increased risk of LAAS (aOR = 2.289, 95% CI = 1.098-4.770), SVD (aOR = 4.471, 95% CI = 1.110-4.945) and overall ischemic stroke (aOR = 3.216, 95% CI = 1.733-5.966). Similarly, the first quartile of serum folate levels was associated with an increased risk of LAAS (aOR = 3.480, 95% CI = 1.954-6.449), CEI (aOR = 2.809, 95% CI = 1.073-4.991), SVD (aOR = 5.376, 95% CI = 1.708-6.924), and overall ischemic stroke (aOR = 3.381, 95% CI = 1.535-7.449). The fourth quartile of tHcy levels was also significantly associated with an increased risk of LAAS (aOR = 2.946, 95% CI = 1.008-5.148), CEI (aOR = 2.212, 95% CI = 1.247-5.946), SVD (aOR = 2.957, 95% CI = 1.324-6.054), and overall ischemic stroke (aOR = 2.233, 95% CI = 1.586-4.592). For predicting different types of ischemic stroke, vitamin B12 alone demonstrated the best diagnostic value for SVD, evidenced by a sensitivity of 71.0% and negative predictive value of 90.3%, along with the highest positive likelihood ratio (+ LR) for SVD. Vitamin B12 + tHcy + folate are valuable in predicting different types of ischemic stroke, with the most significant effect observed in SVD, followed by LAAS, and the weakest predictive effect in CEI. Additionally, vitamin B12 alone in combination with other indicators, such as folate alone, tHcy alone, and folate + tHcy could reduce negative likelihood ratio (-LR) and improve + LR. CONCLUSIONS: Vitamin B12 was an independent risk factor for acute ischemic stroke. The risk calculation model constructed with vitamin B12 + tHcy + folate had the greatest diagnostic value for SVD.

Spherical 2-acetylene-(copper metal-organic framework) preparation and efficient photocatalytic hydrogen evolution over combined bimetallic sulfides.

The charge density and charge transfer resistance of the assisting catalyst have a significant impact on the hydrogen evolution performance of bimetallic sulfides. However, existing mechanistic discussions often overlook the charge density between the two catalysts and whether the assisting catalyst produces enough photo-generated electrons. Here, we propose a simple method for the synthesis of 2-acetylene-(copper metal-organic frameworks) (ACu-MOFs) to improve the hydrogen evolution performance of bimetallic sulfides. Compared to copper metal-organic frameworks (Cu-MOFs), these ACu-MOFs have higher charge density and lower charge transfer resistance. More importantly, the introduction of alkyne-based Cu-MOFs further promotes the hydrogen evolution performance of bimetallic sulfides under 5 W LED light, and XPS is used to determine the difference in charge density between ACu-MOFs and Cu-MOFs and the improvement in contact electron transfer after bimetallic sulfide modification. This work mainly discusses the charge density, charge transfer resistance, and the number of photo-excited electrons generated, and provides a reasonable explanation.

Methylprednisolone as Adjunct to Endovascular Thrombectomy for Large-Vessel Occlusion Stroke: The MARVEL Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: It is uncertain whether intravenous methylprednisolone improves outcomes for patients with acute ischemic stroke due to large-vessel occlusion (LVO) undergoing endovascular thrombectomy. Objective: To assess the efficacy and adverse events of adjunctive intravenous low-dose methylprednisolone to endovascular thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke secondary to LVO. Design, Setting, and Participants: This investigator-initiated, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was implemented at 82 hospitals in China, enrolling 1680 patients with stroke and proximal intracranial LVO presenting within 24 hours of time last known to be well. Recruitment took place between February 9, 2022, and June 30, 2023, with a final follow-up on September 30, 2023. Interventions: Eligible patients were randomly assigned to intravenous methylprednisolone (n = 839) at 2 mg/kg/d or placebo (n = 841) for 3 days adjunctive to endovascular thrombectomy. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary efficacy outcome was disability level at 90 days as measured by the overall distribution of the modified Rankin Scale scores (range, 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]). The primary safety outcomes included mortality at 90 days and the incidence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage within 48 hours. Results: Among 1680 patients randomized (median age, 69 years; 727 female [43.3%]), 1673 (99.6%) completed the trial. The median 90-day modified Rankin Scale score was 3 (IQR, 1-5) in the methylprednisolone group vs 3 (IQR, 1-6) in the placebo group (adjusted generalized odds ratio for a lower level of disability, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.96-1.25]; P = .17). In the methylprednisolone group, there was a lower mortality rate (23.2% vs 28.5%; adjusted risk ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.71-0.98]; P = .03) and a lower rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (8.6% vs 11.7%; adjusted risk ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.55-0.99]; P = .04) compared with placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with acute ischemic stroke due to LVO undergoing endovascular thrombectomy, adjunctive methylprednisolone added to endovascular thrombectomy did not significantly improve the degree of overall disability. Trial Registration: ChiCTR.org.cn Identifier: ChiCTR2100051729.

M2a macrophages regulate fibrosis and affect the outcome after stroke via PU.1/mTOR pathway in fibroblasts.

The moderate formation of the fibrotic scar plays an important role in functional recovery after stroke. M2a macrophages have been identified as an important source of early fibrosis after cerebral ischemia. However, the underlying mechanisms by which macrophages interact with fibroblasts in this context remain largely unknown. Therefore, our study aimed to further investigate the potential mechanisms underlying the effects of macrophages on fibroblasts following ischemic stroke. In vitro and in vivo, recombinant rat interleukin 4 (IL4) was used to induce macrophages to polarize into M2a macrophages. In vitro, primary Sprague-Dawley newborn rat meningeal-derived fibroblasts were treated with PU.1 knockdown, the PU.1 inhibitor DB1976 or the mTOR inhibitor rapamycin, which were then co-cultured with M2a macrophage conditioned medium (MCM). In vivo, Sprague-Dawley adult rats were infected with negative control adenoviruses or PU.1-shRNA adenoviruses. Ten days after infection, an injury model of middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion (MCAO/R) was constructed. Subsequently, IL4 was injected intracerebroventricularly to induce M2a macrophages polarization. In vitro, M2a MCM upregulated PU.1 expression and promoted the differentiation, proliferation, migration and extracellular matrix generation of fibroblasts, which could be reversed by treatment with the PU.1 inhibitor DB1976 or PU.1 knockdown. In vivo, PU.1 expression in fibroblasts was increased within ischemic core following MCAO/R, and this upregulation was further enhanced by exposure to IL4. Treatment with IL4 promoted fibrosis, increased angiogenesis, reduced apoptosis and infarct volume, as well as mitigated neurological deficits after MCAO/R, and these effects could be reversed by PU.1 knockdown. Furthermore, both in vivo and in vitro studies showed that IL4 treatment increased the levels of phosphorylated Akt and mTOR proteins, which were markedly decreased by PU.1 knockdown. Additionally, the use of an mTOR inhibitor rapamycin obviously suppressed the migration and differentiation of fibroblasts, and Col1 synthesis. In conclusion, our findings suggest for the first time that M2a macrophages, at least in part, regulate fibrosis and affect the outcome after cerebral ischemic stroke via the PU.1/mTOR signaling pathway in fibroblasts.

Efficacy and safety of tirofiban combined with endovascular therapy for basilar artery occlusion stroke due to large artery atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of adjuvant tirofiban in patients with acute basilar artery occlusion due to large-artery atherosclerotic (LAA) receiving endovascular therapy (EVT). METHODS: This was a non-randomized, multicenter study using data from the Endovascular Treatment for Acute BASILAR Artery Occlusion (BASILAR) registry. Patients with acute basilar artery occlusion due to LAA within 24h of symptom onset who underwent EVT were included. Patients were divided into tirofiban and non-tirofiban groups according to whether tirofiban was used. The primary outcome was the ordinal modified Rankin scale score at 90 days. Safety outcomes were mortality within 90 days and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) within 48 h. RESULTS: A total of 417 patients were included, of whom 275 patients were in the tirofiban group and 142 patients in the non-tirofiban group. Compared with patients in the non-tirofiban group, patients in the tirofiban group were associated with a favorable shift in functional outcome at 90 days (6[4-6] vs 5 [2-6]; adjusted common OR, 2.51; 95 % CI, 1.64-3.83). The mortality was lower in the tirofiban group than the non-tirofiban group (40.7 % vs 58.5 %; adjusted OR, 0.35; 95 % CI, 0.21-0.56). The rate of sICH was 12.2 % in the non-tirofiban group and 5.2 % in the tirofiban group (adjusted OR, 0.37; 95 % CI, 0.17-0.80; P = 0.012). CONCLUSION: Tirofiban plus EVT might improve functional outcomes with a good safety for patients with acute basilar artery occlusion due to LAA. The results need to be confirmed in a randomized trial.

Low vitamin B12 levels may predict the risk of ischemic stroke: A cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: To examine serum vitamin B12 concentrations in relation to the risk of ischemic stroke among hospitalized patients in the Department of Neurology. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study involving 2,212 inpatients discharged from the Department of Neurology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, from January 2020 to January 2022. The results of laboratory assays such as serum vitamin B12, homocysteine, and folate levels were measured. Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the association between serum vitamin B12 concentrations and ischemic stroke, with adjustment for a number of relevant demographic and lifestyle factors and comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 961 (43.4%) patients had an ischemic stroke. In the fully adjusted model, logistic regression analysis suggested a positive association between serum vitamin B12 levels<150 pg/mL (aOR: 1.42; 95% CI 1.02-1.97; p = 0.035), serum vitamin B12 150-300 pg/mL (aOR: 1.37; 95% CI 1.11-1.68; p = 0.003) and the prevalence of ischemic stroke. Furthermore, an inverse association was observed between serum vitamin B12 levels ≥ 900 pg/mL (aOR: 0.38; 95% CI: 0.19-0.77; p =0.007) and the prevalence of ischemic stroke. Moreover, the cut-off value of vitamin B12 concentration was 316.4 pg/mL and the discrimination power of the score evaluated by AUC-ROC was 0.71 (95%CI 0.68-0.73, p<0.001) in the vitamin B12 and ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that low vitamin B12 levels may predict the risk of ischemic stroke, early and timely supplementation of vitamin B12 can improve the short-term prognosis of ischemic stroke patients.

Correlation between Vitamin B12 and Mental Health in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

To conduct the association between vitamin B12 and mental health in children and adolescents. Five databases were searched for observational studies in any language reporting on mental health and vitamin B12 levels or intake in children and adolescents from inception to March 18, 2022. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed study quality. Qualitative and quantitative analysis of data were performed. The review was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42022345476). Fifty six studies containing 37,932 participants were identified in the review. Vitamin B12 levels were lower in participants with autism spectrum disorders (ASD) (standardized mean difference [SMD], -1.61; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], -2.44 to -0.79; p ＜ 0.001), attention deficit hyperactivity disorders (SMD, -0.39; 95% CI, -0.78 to -0.00; p = 0.049) compared with control group. Vitamin B12 intake were lower in participants with ASDs (SMD, -0.86; 95% CI, -1.48 to -0.24; p = 0.006) compared with control group, but showed no difference between depression group (SMD, -0.06; 95% CI, -0.15 to 0.03; p = 0.17) and the control group. Higher vitamin B12 intake were associated with lower risk of depression (odds ratio [OR], 0.79; 95% CI, 0.63-0.98; p = 0.034) and behavioral problems (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-0.99; p = 0.04). The vast majority of included studies supported potential positive influence of vitamin B12 on mental health, and vitamin B12 deficiency may be a reversible cause for some mental health disorders in children and adolescents.