Impact of a novel prognostic model on allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation outcomes in patients with CMML.

Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a clonal hematopoietic stem cell malignancy, and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) is the only curable treatment. The outcomes after transplant are influenced by both disease characteristics and patient comorbidities. To develop a novel prognostic model to predict the post-transplant survival of CMML patients, we identified risk factors by applying univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression to a derivation cohort. In multivariable analysis, advanced age (hazard ratio [HR] 3.583), leukocyte count (HR 3.499), anemia (HR 3.439), bone marrow blast cell count (HR 2.095), and no chronic graft versus host disease (cGVHD; HR 4.799) were independently associated with worse survival. A novel prognostic model termed ABLAG (Age, Blast, Leukocyte, Anemia, cGVHD) was developed and the points were assigned according to the regression equation. The patients were categorized into low risk (0-1), intermediate risk (2, 3), and high risk (4-6) three groups and the 3-year overall survival (OS) were 93.3% (95%CI, 61%-99%), 78.9% (95%CI, 60%-90%), and 51.6% (95%CI, 32%-68%; p < .001), respectively. In internal and external validation cohort, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the ABLAG model were 0.829 (95% CI, 0.776-0.902) and 0.749 (95% CI, 0.684-0.854). Compared with existing models designed for the nontransplant setting, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis showed that the ABLAG model revealed a high consistency between predicted and observed outcomes and patients could benefit from this model. In conclusion, combining disease and patient characteristic, the ABLAG model provides better survival stratification for CMML patients receiving allo-HSCT.

A novel risk model for predicting early relapse in acute myeloid leukemia patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation.

Relapse remains the leading cause of death in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients following allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), limiting the efficacy of allo-HSCT. Thus, the ability to identify high-risk patients in a manner that permits early intervention has the potential to improve survival outcomes. We retrospectively enrolled 414 younger patients (aged 14-60 years) with AML who received allo-HSCT between January 2014 and May 2020. From June 2020 to June 2021, 110 consecutive patients were included prospectively in the validation cohort. The primary outcome was early relapse (relapse within 1 year). The cumulative incidence of early relapse after allo-HSCT was 11.8%. The overall survival rate for patients who relapsed within 1-year was 4.1% at 3 years after relapse. After multivariable adjustment, statistically significant associations between primary resistance, pre-transplantation measurable residual disease, DNMT3A mutation, or white blood cell count at diagnosis and early relapse were observed. An early relapse prediction model was developed based on these factors and the model performed well. Patients deemed to have a high risk or a low risk of early relapse had early relapse rates of 26.2% and 6.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). The prediction model could be used to help identify patients at risk for early relapse and to guide personalized relapse prevention.

Preemptive low-dose interleukin-2 or DLI for late-onset minimal residual disease in acute leukemia or myelodysplastic syndrome after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Minimal residual disease (MRD) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) heralds high risk of relapse. Whether preemptive recombinant interleukin-2 (pre-IL2) is effective for patients with late-onset MRD (LMRD) remains unknown. We retrospectively compared the efficacy and safety of pre-IL2 (n = 30) and pre-DLI (n = 25) for LMRD in patients receiving allo-HSCT for acute leukemia or myelodysplastic syndrome. The 1-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 86.7% and 78.4% (P = 0.267), 83.3% and 75.6% (P = 0.329), the cumulative incidence of grades III-IV acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) at 100 days post-preemptive intervention was 3.3% and 12.0% (P = 0.226) in the pre-IL2 group and pre-DLI group, respectively. The 1-year cumulative incidence of moderate/severe chronic GVHD (cGVHD), relapse (CIR), and non-relapse mortality (NRM) were 7.7% and 27.9% (P = 0.018), 13.6% and 20.0% (P = 0.561) and 3.3% and 5.5% (P = 0.321) in the two groups, respectively. No remarkable differences in CIR, OS, and DFS between the two intervention groups were found in multivariate analysis. The GVHD-free and relapse-free survival (GRFS) were better in the pre-IL2 group than in the pre-DLI group (HR = 0.31, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.12-0.76; P = 0.011). In conclusion, preemptive low-dose IL2 and preemptive DLI yield comparable outcomes for patients with LMRD receiving allo-HSCT, in terms of aGVHD, NRM, relapse, OS, and DFS. However, preemptive low-dose IL2 has a lower incidence of moderate/severe cGVHD and a higher CRFS. Preemptive low-dose IL2 may be an alternative method for patients who develop LMRD after allo-HSCT, particularly for patients who cannot receive preemptive DLI.