A model for predicting poor survival in patients with cirrhosis undergoing portosystemic shunt embolization.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Portosystemic shunt embolization (PSSE) is a promising treatment for hepatic encephalopathy (HEP) and gastric varix (GV) in cirrhotic patients with a spontaneous portosystemic shunt. However, PSSE may worsen portal hypertension causing hepatorenal syndrome, liver failure, and mortality. This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model that helps identify patients with a risk of poor short-term survival after PSSE. METHODS: We included 188 patients who underwent PSSE for recurrent HEP or GV at a tertiary center in Korea. To develop a prediction model for 6-month survival after PSSE, Cox proportional-hazard model was used. The developed model was validated in a separate cohort of 184 patients from two other tertiary centers. RESULTS: In multivariable analysis, the 1-year overall survival after PSSE was significantly associated with baseline levels of serum albumin, total bilirubin, and international normalized ratio (INR). We therefore developed the albumin-bilirubin-INR (ABI) score by assigning 1 point each for albumin < 3.0 g/dL, total bilirubin ≥ 1.5 mg/dL, and INR ≥ 1.5. Time-dependent areas under the curve of the ABI score for predicting 3-month and 6-month survival were 0.85 and 0.85 in the development cohort and 0.83 and 0.78 in the validation cohort, indicating good discrimination performance. The ABI score showed a better discrimination and calibration performance than the model for end-stage liver disease and the Child-Pugh scores, especially in high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: The ABI score is a simple prognostic model that helps decide whether to proceed with PSSE for the prevention of HEP or GV bleeding in patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt.

Safety of direct oral anticoagulants compared to warfarin in cirrhotic patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) compared with warfarin in patients with both nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) and clinically confirmed liver cirrhosis (LC) has not been well studied. We compared the risk of a major bleeding event between DOAC and warfarin treatments in this patient population. METHODS: A total of 238 cirrhotic patients with AF were retrospectively analyzed. The major bleeding event risk was compared between DOAC- and warfarin-treated groups. The median follow-up duration was 5.6 years. RESULTS: Among the 238 study patients with LC and AF, 128 (53.8%) received DOACs and 110 (46.2%) received warfarin. The mean patient age was 68.8 years, and 78.2% were men. A major bleeding event occurred in 10 and 20 patients in the DOAC and warfarin groups, respectively, most commonly caused by gastrointestinal bleeding (70.0%). The cumulative risk of major bleeding did not differ between the groups by log-rank test (p = 0.12). This finding did not change when using 60 propensity score-matched pairs. A multivariable Cox regression model indicated that the concomitant use of antiplatelet agents (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00 to 4.30; p = 0.048) and presence of esophageal or gastric varices confirmed by endoscopic examination (aHR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.03 to 5.17; p = 0.04) were associated with major bleeding in the entire cohort. CONCLUSION: A major bleeding event risk is not increased by DOAC compared with warfarin treatment. Antiplatelet agent use and varices are independently associated with a higher risk of major bleeding during anticoagulation.

Extraction characteristics of subcritical water depending on the number of hydroxyl group in flavonols.

This study compared the efficiencies of using subcritical water, hot water, and organic solvents to extract flavonols from black tea, celery, and ginseng leaf. The effect of key operating conditions was determined by varying the temperature (110-200°C), extraction time (5-15min), and pressure (about 10MPa) and the extracts were analysed quantitatively using HPLC. The yields of myricetin, quercetin, and kaempferol from plants were maximal at extraction temperatures of 170°C, 170°C and 200°C, respectively, and they depend on the number of hydroxyl groups included in the chemical structure of the flavonols, with more of those with fewer hydroxyl (OH) groups attached being extracted at higher temperatures. The results also showed that the yields of flavonols by subcritical water extraction were 2.0- to 22.7- and 1.8- to 23.6-fold higher than those obtained using the ethanol and methanol as traditional extraction methods, respectively.