Synthetic phage-based approach for sensitive and specific detection of Escherichia coli O157.

Escherichia coli O157 can cause foodborne outbreaks, with infection leading to severe disease such as hemolytic-uremic syndrome. Although phage-based detection methods for E. coli O157 are being explored, research on their specificity with clinical isolates is lacking. Here, we describe an in vitro assembly-based synthesis of vB_Eco4M-7, an O157 antigen-specific phage with a 68-kb genome, and its use as a proof of concept for E. coli O157 detection. Linking the detection tag to the C-terminus of the tail fiber protein, gp27 produces the greatest detection sensitivity of the 20 insertions sites tested. The constructed phage detects all 53 diverse clinical isolates of E. coli O157, clearly distinguishing them from 35 clinical isolates of non-O157 Shiga toxin-producing E. coli. Our efficient phage synthesis methods can be applied to other pathogenic bacteria for a variety of applications, including phage-based detection and phage therapy.

Crisis management for the future: Building a platform to provide information on emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases from normal times in Japan.

At the beginning of the mpox (disease caused by monkey pox) epidemic, there was no platform in Japan to provide appropriate information on emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases (EIDs), and the number of accesses to bioterrorism-related information sites increased rapidly. Even though the interest in mpox was much smaller than in coronavirus infectious disease, emerged in late 2019 (COVID-19), the increase in the number of views were much greater than during the COVID-19 epidemic. This may not be because mpox is bioterrorism-related as an analog of smallpox, but rather because there were no other websites providing information on mpox. For future crisis management, there should be a platform to provide information on possible epidemics of EIDs from normal times in Japan.

Safety and tolerability of OP-724 in patients with haemophilia and liver cirrhosis due to HIV/HCV coinfection: an investigator-initiated, open-label, non-randomised, single-centre, phase I study.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with haemophilia and HIV who acquire hepatitis C virus (HCV) after receiving contaminated blood products can experience accelerated progression of liver fibrosis and a poor prognosis, making liver disease a prominent cause of mortality among these patients. In the current study, we aimed to evaluate the safety and tolerability of the potential antifibrotic agent OP-724-a CREB-binding protein/ß-catenin inhibitor-in this patient subset. DESIGN: In this single-centre, open-label, non-randomised, phase I trial, we sequentially enrolled patients with cirrhosis following HIV/HCV coinfection classified as Child-Pugh (CP) class A or B. Five patients received an intravenous infusion of OP-724 at doses of 140 or 280 mg/m2 for 4 hours two times weekly over 12 weeks. The primary endpoint was the incidence of serious adverse events (SAEs). Secondary endpoints included the incidence of AEs and improved liver stiffness measure (LSM), as determined by vibration-controlled transient elastography. This study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04688034). RESULTS: Between 9 February 2021 and 5 July 2022, five patients (median age: 51 years) were enrolled. All five patients completed 12 cycles of treatment. SAEs were not observed. The most common AEs were fever (60%) and gastrointestinal symptoms (diarrhoea: 20%, enterocolitis: 20%). Improvements in LSM and serum albumin levels were also observed. CONCLUSION: In this preliminary assessment, intravenous administration of 140 or 280 mg/m2/4 hours OP-724 over 12 weeks was well tolerated by patients with haemophilia combined with cirrhosis due to HIV/HCV coinfection. Hence, the antifibrotic effects of OP-724 warrant further assessment in patients with cirrhosis. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04688034.

Characterization of mutations in hepatitis B virus DNA isolated from Japanese HBsAg-positive blood donors in 2021 and 2022.

Missense mutations in certain small envelope proteins diminish the efficacy of antibodies. Consequently, tracking the incidence and types of vaccine-escape mutations (VEMs) was crucial both before and after the introduction of universal hepatitis B vaccination in Japan in 2016. In this study, we isolated hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA from 58 of 169 hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-positive blood samples from Japanese blood donors and determined the nucleotide sequence encoding the small envelope protein. DNA from six (10%) of the samples had VEMs, but no missense mutations, such as G145R, were detected. Complete HBV genome sequences were obtained from 29 of the 58 samples; the viral genotype was A1 in one (3%), A2 in three (10%), B1 in nine (31%), B2 in five (17%), B4 in one (3%), and C2 in 10 (34%) samples. Tenofovir-resistance mutations were detected in two (7%) samples. In addition, several core promoter mutations, such as 1762A>T and 1764G>A, and a precore nonsense mutation, 1986G>A, which are risk factors for HBV-related chronic liver disease, were detected. These findings provide a baseline for future research and highlight the importance of ongoing monitoring of VEMs and drug resistance mutations in HBV DNA from HBsAg-positive blood donors without HBV antibodies.

Recommendations and guidelines of integrative medicine for COVID-19 care: The APEC project outcome.

This article - Recommendations and Guidelines of Integrative Medicine (IM) for COVID-19 Care - was one of the outcomes from an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Project (Integrative Medicine (IM) and COVID -19 Care) during the time between May 2022 and March 2023. With the efforts from care providers, researchers, health policy makers and healthcare administrative leaders among APEC economies, the purpose of this file was to provide comprehensive IM systems for COVID-19 care as recommendations and suggestive guidelines including care methods, tools, procedures, symptom conditions and targets selections, and points need to be considered during care applications. All cited COVID-19 care practices have confirmed their efficacy and usefulness either used alone or combined with conventional medicine. This article provides current useful medical information on IM for COVID-19 care which could benefit APEC economies and world health communities on their healthcare system.

Efficacy and Safety of 5-Day Oral Ensitrelvir for Patients With Mild to Moderate COVID-19: The SCORPIO-SR Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Treatment options for COVID-19 are warranted irrespective of the presence of risk factors for severe disease. Objective: To assess the efficacy and safety of ensitrelvir in patients with mild to moderate COVID-19. Design, Setting, and Participants: This phase 3 part of a phase 2/3, double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial was conducted from February 10 to July 10, 2022, with a 28-day follow-up period, at 92 institutions in Japan, Vietnam, and South Korea. Patients (aged 12 to <70 years) with mild to moderate COVID-19 within 120 hours of positive viral test results were studied. Interventions: Patients were randomized (1:1:1) to receive 125 mg of once-daily ensitrelvir (375 mg on day 1), 250 mg of once-daily ensitrelvir (750 mg on day 1), or placebo for 5 days. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was the time to resolution of the composite of 5 characteristic symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection, assessed using a Peto-Prentice generalized Wilcoxon test stratified by vaccination history. Virologic efficacy and safety were also assessed. Results: A total of 1821 patients were randomized, of whom 1030 (347 in the 125-mg ensitrelvir group, 340 in the 250-mg ensitrelvir group, and 343 in the placebo group) were randomized in less than 72 hours of disease onset (primary analysis population). The mean (SD) age in this population was 35.2 (12.3) years, and 552 (53.6%) were men. A significant difference was observed between the 125-mg ensitrelvir group and the placebo group (P = .04 with a Peto-Prentice generalized Wilcoxon test). The difference in median time was approximately 1 day between the 125-mg ensitrelvir group and the placebo group (167.9 vs 192.2 hours; difference, -24.3 hours; 95% CI, -78.7 to 11.7 hours). Adverse events were observed in 267 of 604 patients (44.2%) in the 125-mg ensitrelvir group, 321 of 599 patients (53.6%) in the 250-mg ensitrelvir group, and 150 of 605 patients (24.8%) in the placebo group, which included a decrease in high-density lipoprotein level (188 [31.1%] in the 125-mg ensitrelvir group, 231 [38.6%] in the 250-mg ensitrelvir group, and 23 [3.8%] in the placebo group). No treatment-related serious adverse events were reported. Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial, 125-mg ensitrelvir treatment reduced the time to resolution of the 5 typical COVID-19 symptoms compared with placebo in patients treated in less than 72 hours of disease onset; the absolute difference in median time to resolution was approximately 1 day. Ensitrelvir demonstrated clinical and antiviral efficacy without new safety concerns. Generalizability to populations outside Asia should be confirmed. Trial Registration: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials Identifier: jRCT2031210350.

Favorable Virological Outcome, Characteristics of Injection Site Reactions, Decrease in Renal Function Biomarkers in Asian People with HIV Receiving Long-Acting Cabotegravir Plus Rilpivirine.

Long-acting cabotegravir plus rilpivirine has revolutionized the concept of antiretroviral therapy, but as the causes of virological failure and satisfaction can depend on patient background, real-world data are needed. In this single-center study, we reviewed clinical records of people with HIV (PWH) who received injectable cabotegravir plus rilpivirine between June 2022 and January 2023. We assessed virological and safety outcomes, including injection site reactions (ISRs) and changes in serum creatinine and cystatin C. Seventy-four patients were included. There were no virological failures. Approximately 80% of individuals achieved HIV-RNA undetectable in all visits up to 14 months (median 13 months) after switching. Pain upon injection was significantly more common at the rilpivirine injection site, while delayed pain was significantly more common at the cabotegravir injection site. The serum creatinine (mean difference -0.12 mg/dL, p < .0001) and the cystatin C (mean difference -0.077 mg/dL, p < .0001) decreased significantly after switching, and in multivariable regression analysis, baseline characteristics did not affect the decrease in these renal function markers. Long-acting cabotegravir plus rilpivirine showed excellent antiviral efficacy and safety in PWH in Japan. ISRs were characterized differently at the cabotegravir and rilpivirine injection sites. Although cystatin C showed decrease after the regimen switch, further confirmation is needed whether cabotegravir plus rilpivirine can improve renal function.

Attenuation of hepatitis A antibody after immunization with hepatitis A vaccine (Aimmugen) in people living with HIV.

AIM: Hepatitis A (HA) is a vaccine-preventable disease. In regions with good sanitation, men who have sex with men (MSM) are the key affected populations. During the 2018-2019 HA outbreak among MSM in Japan, we actively vaccinated MSM living with HIV (MSM-LWHIV) with Aimmugen. As previously reported, their antibody seroconversion rate due to vaccination was lower than that of healthy individuals. However, the durability of Aimmugen in people living with HIV has not yet been reported. We evaluated attenuation after the one-series vaccination (comprising three inoculations) and the factors associated with attenuation. METHODS: We retrospectively examined anti-HA immunoglobulin G (anti-HA-IgG) titers and other clinical data from our hospital's medical records. Patients with no history of vaccination or HA infection (i.e., negative HA-IgG titers) who received one series of Aimmugen, achieved seropositivity, and anti-HA-IgG antibodies were tested ≥2 years after three doses were included. Fisher's exact test and the Mann-Whitney U-test were performed. p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Fifty-one MSM-LWHIV were included. All were seropositive after the third dose with a median HA-IgG titer of 10.1 (interquartile range, 7.2-12.2) (sample/cut-off values [s/co]). In 45 (40-49) months, seropositivity decreased to 90% (46/51) and was attenuated to a median of 4.4 (2.3-6.5) s/co. Lower baseline B cell counts (p = 0.049), lower anti-HA-IgG levels after the second dose (p = 0.002), and lower anti-HA-IgG levels after the third dose (p = 0.003) were associated with seronegativity. CONCLUSIONS: Anti-HA-IgG titers of vaccinated MSM-LWHIV may be attenuated; thus, additional immunizations should be considered.

Association of gut microbiota with the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in people living with HIV.

BACKGROUND: People living with HIV (PLWH) with chronic inflammation may have an increasing risk for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity; however, the impact of their gut microbiota on COVID-19 is not fully elucidated. Here, we analyzed the temporal changes in the gut microbiota composition of hospitalized severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-infected PLWH (PLWH-CoV) and their correlation with COVID-19 severity. RESULT: The 16S rRNA analysis results using stool samples (along the timeline from disease onset) from 12 hospitalized PLWH-CoV, whose median CD4 + T cell count was 671 cells/µl, were compared to those of 19 healthy people and 25 PLWH. Bacterial diversity in PLWH-CoV is not significantly different from that of healthy people and SARS-CoV-2 non-infected PLWH, but a significant difference in the microbiota diversity was observed in the classification according to the disease severity. Immediately after the disease onset, remarkable changes were observed in the gut microbiota of PLWH-CoV, and the changing with a decrease in some short-chain fatty acid-producing bacteria and an increase in colitis-related pathobiont. In the second week after disease onset, relative amounts of specific bacteria distinguished between disease severity. One month after the disease onset, dysbiosis of the gut microbiota persisted, and the number of Enterobacteriaceae, mainly Escherichia-Shigella, which is potentially pathogenic, increased and were enriched in patients who developed post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC). CONCLUSION: The changes in the gut microbiota associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection observed in PLWH in this study indicated a persistent decrease in SCFA-producing bacteria and an intestinal environment with an increase in opportunistic pathogens associated with enteritis. This report demonstrates that the intestinal environment in PLWH tends to show delayed improvement even after COVID-19 recovery, and highlights the importance of the dysbiosis associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection as a potential factor in the COVID-19 severity and the PASC in PLWH.

Brief communications: changes in inflammatory biomarkers and lipid profiles after switching to long-acting cabotegravir plus rilpivirine.

We assessed whether the impact of cabotegravir plus rilpivirine on inflammation reduction differs from that of oral antiretrovirals, using real-world data. Inflammatory biomarkers and lipid profiles were followed from baseline to 8 months after switching. Seventy-eight participants were analyzed. The CD4/CD8 ratio and C-reactive protein did not change. There were transient decreases in CD8 and CD4 counts in the group that switched from the dolutegravir-based regimen, but not in the tenofovir alafenamide-based regimen group. High-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol increased, resulting in a decrease in the total-cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio, whereas there was no significant change in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

Recent advances in hepatitis A virus research and clinical practice guidelines for hepatitis A virus infection in Japan.

In 2018, there was a hepatitis A outbreak in Japan, and hepatitis A virus (HAV) infection is considered a sexually transmitted disease. In general, patients with hepatitis A should be given attention, and this disease should be prevented more than ever. The Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED) Hepatitis A and E viruses (HAV and HEV) Study Group has worked on the project to create "Recent Advances in Hepatitis A Virus (HAV) Research and Clinical Practice Guidelines for HAV Infection in Japan". The group consists of expert hepatologists and virologists who gathered at virtual meeting on August 5, 2023. Data about the pathogenesis, infection routes, diagnosis, complications, several factors for the severities, vaccination, and current and future treatments for hepatitis A were discussed and debated for a draft version. The participants assessed the quality of cited studies. The finalized recommendations are presented in this review. The recent advances in HAV research and clinical practice for HAV infection in Japan, have been reviewed by the AMED HAV and HEV Study Group.

Differential peripheral memory T cell subsets sensitively indicate the severity of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

AIM: Differential patterns of peripheral memory T cell subsets in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were assessed using flow cytometry (FCM) to elucidate their association with NAFLD severity and provide a new noninvasive method to sensitively detect the disease severity in addition to existing biomarkers. METHODS: We assessed the differential frequencies of peripheral memory T cell subsets in 103 patients with NAFLD according to the degree of liver fibrosis (FIB) using FCM analysis. We focused on the following populations: CCR7+ CD45RA+ naïve T, CCR7+ CD45RA- central memory T cells (TCM), CCR7- CD45RA- effector memory T, and CCR7- CD45RA+ terminally differentiated effector memory T (TEMRA) cells in CD4+ and CD8+ T, Th1, Th2, and Th17 cells, respectively. To evaluate the pathological progression of the disease, these frequencies were also examined according to the degree of the NAFLD activity score (NAS). RESULTS: Several significant correlations were observed between laboratory parameters and peripheral memory T lymphocyte frequencies according to the degree of liver FIB and NAS in NAFLD. In univariate and multivariate analyses, the frequency of CD8+ TEMRA cells predicted severe FIB, and the predictive power was validated in an independent cohort. Furthermore, the frequencies of several memory T cell subsets sensitively indicated the pathological progression of NAFLD (Th17 TCM: steatosis, CD4+ TCM: lobular inflammation, and CD8+ TEMRA and effector memory T cells: hepatocellular ballooning). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the analysis of peripheral memory T lymphocyte frequencies can noninvasively predict severe FIB and sensitively indicate the pathological progression of NAFLD.

Characterization of a SARS-CoV-2 EG.5.1 clinical isolate in vitro and in vivo.

EG.5.1 is a subvariant of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron XBB variant that is rapidly increasing in prevalence worldwide. However, the pathogenicity, transmissibility, and immune evasion properties of isolates of EG.5.1 are largely unknown. Here, we show that there are no obvious differences in growth ability and pathogenicity between EG.5.1 and XBB.1.5 in hamsters. We also demonstrate that, like XBB.1.5, EG.5.1 is transmitted more efficiently between hamsters compared to its predecessor, BA.2. In contrast, unlike XBB.1.5, we detect EG.5.1 in the lungs of four of six exposed hamsters, suggesting that the virus properties of EG.5.1 are different from those of XBB.1.5. Finally, we find that the neutralizing activity of plasma from convalescent individuals against EG.5.1 was slightly, but significantly, lower than that against XBB.1.5 or XBB.1.9.2. Our data suggest that the different virus properties after transmission and the altered antigenicity of EG.5.1 may be driving its increasing prevalence over XBB.1.5 in humans.

Refractory Intestinal Behçet-Like Disease Associated with Trisomy 8 Myelodysplastic Syndrome Resolved by Parenteral Nutrition.

Intestinal Behçet disease (BD), associated with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), is often refractory to treatment. An 80-year-old man with trisomy 8 MDS (refractory anemia) developed intermittent fever. Despite investigations to exclude infectious disease, autoimmune disease, and malignancy as the cause of the fever, the etiology could not be determined. A colonoscopy revealed several shallow round ulcers in the ileocecal region and ascending colon, and the biopsy specimens showed nonspecific inflammation. Thereafter, the patient experienced abdominal pain and diarrhea. Other than an oral aphthous ulcer, the patient did not show symptoms to meet the diagnostic criteria for BD. The patient was diagnosed with intestinal ulcers (intestinal BD-like disease) with MDS and trisomy 8. After treatment failure with 5-aminosalicylic acid, steroid, colchicine, and azacitidine, cerebral infarction occurred. Eating was difficult because of the patient's impaired consciousness; hence, total parenteral nutrition (TPN) was commenced. The fever and abdominal symptoms improved with bowel rest over approximately 1 month. Small amounts of food were orally administered to the patient following recovery from the after-effects of the cerebral infarction, but diarrhea and fever repeatedly flared up. Therefore, TPN was continued at home. The patient has not experienced any further intestinal BD symptoms for approximately 1 year with bowel rest. Nutritional therapy, including bowel rest, may be an effective treatment option for intestinal BD with MDS, and might be used as an induction therapy of remission or a supportive therapy for other treatments.

Injection drug use and sexually transmitted infections among men who have sex with men: A retrospective cohort study at an HIV/AIDS referral hospital in Tokyo, 2013-2022.

Men who have sex with men (MSM) who use injection drugs (MSM-IDU) are at high risk of sexually transmitted infections (STIs), but the long-term incidence is unclear. We conducted a single-centre retrospective cohort study using the clinical records of non-haemophilia men with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) who visited the Institute of Medical Science, the University of Tokyo (IMSUT) Hospital, located in Tokyo, Japan, from 2013 to 2022. We analysed 575 patients including 62 heterosexual males and 513 MSM patients, of whom 6.8% (35/513) were injection drug use (IDU). Compared to non-IDU MSM, MSM-IDU had a higher incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) (44.8 vs 3.5 /1,000 person-years (PY); incidence rate ratio (IRR) [95% confidence interval (95% CI)], 12.8 [5.5-29.3], p < 0.001) and syphilis (113.8 vs 53.3 /1,000 PY; IRR, 2.1 [1.4-3.1], p < 0.001). The incidence of other symptomatic STIs (amoebiasis, chlamydia, and gonorrhoea infections) was <4/1,000 PY. In multivariable Poisson regression analysis, HCV incidence was associated with MSM (IRR, 1.8 × 106 [9.9 × 105-3.4 × 106], p < 0.001), IDU (IRR, 10.1 [4.0-25.6], p < 0.001), and syphilis infection during the study period (IRR, 25.0 [1.2-518.3]/time/year, p < 0.001). Among men with HIV, the prevalence of IDU in MSM and the long-term incidence of STIs in MSM-IDU were high. IDU and sexual contact are important modes of transmission of HCV among HIV-infected MSM in Tokyo.

Antiviral efficacy against and replicative fitness of an XBB.1.9.1 clinical isolate.

The emergence and spread of new SARS-CoV-2 variants with mutations in the spike protein, such as the XBB.1.5 and XBB.1.9.1 sublineages, raise concerns about the efficacy of current COVID-19 vaccines and therapeutic monoclonal antibodies (mAbs). In this study, none of the mAbs we tested neutralized XBB.1.9.1 or XBB.1.5, even at the highest concentration used. We also found that the bivalent mRNA vaccine could enhance humoral immunity against XBB.1.9.1, but that XBB.1.9.1 and XBB.1.5 still evaded humoral immunity induced by vaccination or infection. Moreover, the susceptibility of XBB.1.9.1 to remdesivir, molnupiravir, nirmatrelvir, and ensitrelvir was similar to that of the ancestral strain and the XBB.1.5 isolate in vitro. Finally, we found the replicative fitness of XBB.1.9.1 to be similar to that of XBB.1.5 in hamsters. Our results suggest that XBB.1.9.1 and XBB.1.5 have similar antigenicity and replicative ability, and that the currently available COVID-19 antivirals remain effective against XBB.1.9.1.

Airway surveillance and lung viral control by memory T cells induced by COVID-19 mRNA vaccine.

Although SARS-CoV-2 evolution seeds a continuous stream of antibody-evasive viral variants, COVID-19 mRNA vaccines provide robust protection against severe disease and hospitalization. Here, we asked whether mRNA vaccine-induced memory T cells limit lung SARS-CoV-2 replication and severe disease. We show that mice and humans receiving booster BioNTech mRNA vaccine developed potent CD8 T cell responses and showed similar kinetics of expansion and contraction of granzyme B/perforin-expressing effector CD8 T cells. Both monovalent and bivalent mRNA vaccines elicited strong expansion of a heterogeneous pool of terminal effectors and memory precursor effector CD8 T cells in spleen, inguinal and mediastinal lymph nodes, pulmonary vasculature, and most surprisingly in the airways, suggestive of systemic and regional surveillance. Furthermore, we document that: (a) CD8 T cell memory persists in multiple tissues for > 200 days; (b) following challenge with pathogenic SARS-CoV-2, circulating memory CD8 T cells rapidly extravasate to the lungs and promote expeditious viral clearance, by mechanisms that require CD4 T cell help; and (c) adoptively transferred splenic memory CD8 T cells traffic to the airways and promote lung SARS-CoV-2 clearance. These findings provide insights into the critical role of memory T cells in preventing severe lung disease following breakthrough infections with antibody-evasive SARS-CoV-2 variants.

Noninvasive approach to indicate risk factors of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis overlapping autoimmune hepatitis based on peripheral lymphocyte pattern.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) clinically includes autoimmunity as indicated by antinuclear antibody (ANA) positivity and overlap of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Discriminating AIH-overlap NASH from NAFLD/NASH is required for proper treatment, and typically involves pathological diagnosis by invasive liver biopsy. Differential patterns of peripheral lymphocytes in NAFLD and AIH were assessed to noninvasively indicate risk factors of AIH-overlap NASH by flow cytometry (FCM). METHODS: We assessed the differential frequencies of peripheral lymphocytes in 115 patients: 70 NASH (ANA negative:positive:AIH-overlap = 36:20:14), 18 NAFL, and 27 AIH (acute:chronic = 12:15) patients diagnosed by FCM. We focused on the following populations of lymphocytes: T cells, B cells, natural killer (NK) cells, NKT cells, helper T cell (Th) subsets (Th1, Th2, and Th17), and regulatory T cells; we also examined programmed cell death (PD) 1 and cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen levels. RESULTS: Several significant differences in laboratory parameters and peripheral lymphocyte frequencies were found among the NAFLD and AIH subgroups. In univariate and multivariate analyses, hyaluronic acid level, liver stiffness, and the frequencies of Th17 and CD8+ PD1+ T cells were independent risk factors of NASH in NAFLD. Regarding overlap of AIH, only the frequency of CD8+ PD1+ T cells (odds ratio, 0.01; 95% CI 0.00-38.9, p = 0.004) was an independent risk factor in NASH and significantly decreased in AIH. CONCLUSIONS: The decreased frequency of peripheral CD8+ PD1+ T cells is an independent risk factor of NASH overlapping with AIH in the present cohort. Our findings will facilitate development of a new noninvasive FCM method for indicating risk factors of NASH, including autoimmunity.

Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients. METHODS: In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients). RESULTS: During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.