RESUMEN
Geometric mean concentrations of fecal indicator bacteria E. coli and enterococci are commonly used to evaluate the microbial quality of irrigation, recreation, and other types of waters, as well in watershed-scale microbial water quality modeling. It is not known how the uncertainty of those geometric mean concentrations depends on the time period between sampling. We analyzed data collected under baseflow conditions from three years of weekly and several daily sampling campaigns at Conococheague Creek in Pennsylvania. Standard deviations of logarithms of geometric mean concentrations were computed over weeks, months, and seasons. The increase in standard deviations from weekly to seasonal time scale was on average about 0.1 and 0.2 for log(E. coli) and log(enterococci), respectively, and in most cases was statistically significant. This may need to be accounted for when evaluating the uncertainty of measurements for modeling purposes and in risk assessment of microbial water quality.
RESUMEN
Microbial quality of irrigation waters is a substantial food safety factor. Escherichia coli (E. coli) and Enterococci are used as the fecal indicator bacteria (FIB) to assess microbial water quality. Analysis of temporally stable patterns of FIB can facilitate effective monitoring of microbial water quality. The objectives of this study were (1) to investigate the spatiotemporal variation of E. coli and Enterococci concentrations in a large creek traversing diverse land use areas and (2) to explore the presence of temporally stable FIB concentration patterns along the creek. Concentrations of both FIB were measured weekly at five water monitoring locations along the 20-km long creek reach in Pennsylvania at baseflow for three years. The temporal stability was assessed using mean relative deviations of logarithms of FIB concentration from the average across the reach measured at the same time. The Spearman rank correlation coefficients between logarithms of FIB concentrations on consecutive sampling times was another metric used to assess the temporal stability of FIB concentration patterns. Logarithms of FIB concentrations had sinusoidal dependence on time and significantly correlated with temperature at all locations Both FIB exhibited temporal stability of concentrations. The two most downstream locations in urbanized areas tended to have logarithms of concentrations higher than the average along the observation reach. The location in the upstream forested area had mostly lower concentrations (log E. coli 1.59, log Enterococci 1.69) than average (log E. coli 2.07, log Enterococci 2.20). concentrations in colony-forming units (CFU) (100 mL)-1. Two locations in the agricultural and sparsely urbanized area had these logarithm values close to the average. The temporal stability was more pronounced in cold seasons than in warm seasons. No significant difference was found between pattern determined for each of three observation years and for the entire three-year observation period. The Spearman rank correlations between observations on consecutive dates showed moderate to very strong relationships in most cases. Existence of the temporal stability of FIB concentrations in the creek indicates locations that inform about the average logarithm of concentrations or the geometric mean concentrations along the entire observation reach.
