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1.
J Res Health Sci ; 24(1): e00602, 2024 Mar 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39072538

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sleep quality is affected by a plethora of different factors, although its relationship with chronic diseases is still unclear. This study explored perceived sleep quality and its associated determinants among the adult population of Malta. Study Design: A cross-sectional study. METHODS: An anonymous online survey was distributed through social media targeting adults residing in Malta. Data pertaining to socio-demographic, medical history, lifestyle, well-being, sleep, and daytime sleepiness were gathered, and descriptive, univariant, and multiple binary logistic regression modelling analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 855 adults responded, out of whom 35.09% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 31.90, 38.41) reported sleep difficulties, especially females (81.33%; 95% CI: 76.36, 85.49), while 65.33% (95% CI: 59.61, 70.65) reported suffering from chronic disease(s). Sleep problems were positively associated with multimorbidity (odds ratio [OR]: 2.17; 95% CI: 1.38, 3.40; P=0.001), sleeping<6 hours (OR: 3.79; 95% CI: 1.54, 9.30; P=0.040), and the presence of moderate anxiety symptoms (OR: 1.99; 95% CI: 1.10, 3.59; P=0.020). They were also related to the presence of mild (OR: 2.25; 95% CI: 1.46, 3.45; P=0.001), moderate (OR: 2.40; 95% CI: 1.24, 4.64; P=0.010), and moderately severe (OR: 15.35; 95% CI: 4.54, 31.86; P=0.001) depressive symptoms after adjusting for confounders. CONCLUSION: Chronic conditions, including anxiety and depression, along with short sleep duration, appear to contribute to poor sleep quality in Malta. A multifaceted approach is required to deal with the issue holistically and safeguard the health of current and future generations.


Asunto(s)
Calidad del Sueño , Trastornos del Sueño-Vigilia , Medios de Comunicación Sociales , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Malta/epidemiología , Trastornos del Sueño-Vigilia/epidemiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Enfermedad Crónica , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Modelos Logísticos , Estilo de Vida , Adolescente , Sueño
2.
Curr Atheroscler Rep ; 26(9): 485-497, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38976220

RESUMEN

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Evaluation of social influences on cardiovascular care requires a comprehensive analysis encompassing economic, societal, and environmental factors. The increased utilization of electronic health registries provides a foundation for social phenotyping, yet standardization in methodology remains lacking. This review aimed to elucidate the primary approaches to social phenotyping for cardiovascular risk stratification through electronic health registries. RECENT FINDINGS: Social phenotyping in the context of cardiovascular risk stratification within electronic health registries can be separated into four principal approaches: place-based metrics, questionnaires, ICD Z-coding, and natural language processing. These methodologies vary in their complexity, advantages and limitations, and intended outcomes. Place-based metrics often rely on geospatial data to infer socioeconomic influences, while questionnaires may directly gather individual-level behavioral and social factors. Z-coding, a relatively new approach, can capture data directly related to social determinant of health domains in the clinical context. Natural language processing has been increasingly utilized to extract social influences from unstructured clinical narratives-offering nuanced insights for risk prediction models. Each method plays an important role in our understanding and approach to using social determinants data for improving population cardiovascular health. These four principal approaches to social phenotyping contribute to a more structured approach to social determinant of health research via electronic health registries, with a focus on cardiovascular risk stratification. Social phenotyping related research should prioritize refining predictive models for cardiovascular diseases and advancing health equity by integrating applied implementation science into public health strategies.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Fenotipo , Determinantes Sociales de la Salud , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Procesamiento de Lenguaje Natural
3.
Cancers (Basel) ; 16(14)2024 Jul 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39061155

RESUMEN

This manuscript examines the synergistic potential of prospective real-world/time data/evidence (RWTD/E) and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to enrich healthcare research and operational insights, with a particular focus on its impact within the sarcoma field. Through exploring RWTD/E's capability to provide real-world/time, granular patient data, it offers an enriched perspective on healthcare outcomes and delivery, notably in the complex arena of sarcoma care. Highlighting the complementarity between RWTD/E's expansive real-world/time scope and the structured environment of RCTs, this paper showcases their combined strength, which can help to foster advancements in personalized medicine and population health management, exemplified through the lens of sarcoma treatment. The manuscript further outlines methodological innovations such as target trial emulation and their significance in enhancing the precision and applicability of RWTD/E, underscoring the transformative potential of these advancements in sarcoma care and beyond. By advocating for the strategic incorporation of prospective RWTD/E into healthcare frameworks, it aims to create an evidence-driven ecosystem that significantly improves patient outcomes and healthcare efficiency, with sarcoma care serving as a pivotal domain for these developments.

4.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2382948, 2024 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39046804

RESUMEN

Value-based healthcare payment models are an alternative insurance payment system that compensates healthcare providers based on their patients' outcomes rather than the individual services healthcare workers provide. This shift from the current fee-for-service model that predominates our medical system has received renewed popularity and attention within organized medicine such as the American Medical Association. Advocates believe that this new payment model will address many of the unsolved issues in healthcare such as medical waste and unsustainable healthcare costs. In practice, however, this model is plagued with a myriad of unresolved issues of its own. In this commentary, we outline these issues and suggest that the intentions of those advocating for value-based payment models are either misguided or disingenuous. We then offer solutions that preserve our current fee-for-service model while making necessary changes that will benefit both physicians and patients nationwide.


Asunto(s)
Planes de Aranceles por Servicios , Atención Médica Basada en Valor , Humanos , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Mecanismo de Reembolso , Estados Unidos , Atención Médica Basada en Valor/economía , Seguro de Salud Basado en Valor/economía
5.
Health Serv Res ; 2024 Jul 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38952231

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To assess differences in hospitals' collection and use of data on patients' health-related social needs (HRSN) by availability of programs or strategies in place to address patients' HRSN and social determinants of health (SDOH) of communities. DATA SOURCES: The 2021 American Hospital Association Annual Survey and 2022 Information Technology (IT) Supplement. STUDY DESIGN: This cross-sectional study described hospitals' engagement in screening and the availability of programs or strategies to address nine different HRSN. We assessed differences in screening rates and uses of data collected through screening among hospitals with and without programs or strategies in place to address HRSN or SDOH using Chi-squared tests of independence. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: Analyses were restricted to IT Supplement respondents with complete data for social needs questions asked in the Annual Survey (N = 1997). PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In 2022, hospitals used social needs data collected through screening for various purposes including discharge planning and clinical decision-making at their hospital as well as to refer patients to needed resources and assess community-level needs. Hospitals with a program or strategy in place had higher rates of screening across all domains and higher rates of using of data collected through screening for uses involving exchange or coordination with external entities. CONCLUSIONS: Collection of social needs data may help inform the development of programs or strategies to address HRSN and SDOH, which in turn can enable providers to screen for these needs and use the data in the near term for care delivery and in the long term to address community and population needs.

6.
MedEdPORTAL ; 20: 11415, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38957527

RESUMEN

Introduction: Community partnership is a key strategy for addressing the social determinants of health and achieving health equity. There are few examples of curricula for undergraduate medical education that teach all, rather than self-selected, medical students to collaborate with community members to improve health. We describe the design and implementation of the Community Health Advocacy Initiative (CHAI) curriculum, a new yearlong educational program for medical students at Northwestern University's Feinberg School of Medicine. Methods: CHAI aimed to fill the curricular gap in social determinants of health education by providing medical students with the knowledge and skills to improve the health of patients through collaborations with community partners. This longitudinal curriculum included structured faculty mentorship and an applied community experience. Results: The CHAI curriculum was delivered to 164 second-year medical students in academic year 2021-2022. Faculty mentors rated most students as meeting expectations for application of community partnership principles and demonstration of professionalism. Qualitative analysis of faculty mentor comments demonstrated that medical students exhibited positive outcomes in engaging with community organizations, overcoming barriers, developing feasible and impactful goals, and advancing their own knowledge and skills. Discussion: Implementing a community health curriculum for all medical students is feasible and represents an important model for teaching about the importance of community partnerships in addressing the social determinants of health.


Asunto(s)
Curriculum , Educación de Pregrado en Medicina , Estudiantes de Medicina , Humanos , Estudiantes de Medicina/psicología , Estudiantes de Medicina/estadística & datos numéricos , Educación de Pregrado en Medicina/métodos , Aprendizaje Basado en Problemas/métodos , Determinantes Sociales de la Salud , Estudios Longitudinales , Mentores
8.
Can J Public Health ; 2024 Jul 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39037568

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common chronic condition that is often undiagnosed or diagnosed after many years of symptoms and has an impact on quality of life and several health factors. We estimated the Canadian national prevalence of OSA using a validated questionnaire and physical measurements in participants in the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA). METHODS: The method used individual risk estimation based upon the validated STOP-BANG scale developed for OSA. This stratified population sample spans Canada to provide regional estimates. RESULTS: In this sample of adults aged 45 to 85 years old, the overall prevalence in 2015 of combined moderate and severe OSA in the 51,337 participants was 28.1% (95% confidence intervals, 27.8‒28.4). The regional prevalence varied statistically between Atlantic Canada and Western Canada (p < 0.001), although clinically the variations were limited. The provincial prevalence for moderate and severe OSA ranged from 27.5% (New Brunswick and British Columbia) to 29.1% (Manitoba). Body mass index (BMI) was the dominant determinant of the variance between provinces (ß = 0.33, p < 0.001). Only 1.2% of participants had a clinical diagnosis of OSA. CONCLUSION: The great majority (92.9%) of the participants at high risk of OSA were unrecognized and had no clinical diagnosis of OSA.


RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Le syndrome de l'apnée du sommeil (SAS) est une maladie chronique courante qui est souvent non diagnostiquée ou diagnostiquée plusieurs années après l'apparition de symptômes et qui a un impact sur la qualité de vie ainsi que plusieurs autres facteurs de santé. Nous avons estimé la prévalence nationale canadienne du SAS à l'aide d'un questionnaire validé et de mesures physiques chez les participants de l'Étude longitudinale canadienne sur le vieillissement (ÉLCV). MéTHODES: L'étude mesure l'estimation du risque individuel du SAS basée sur l'échelle validée STOP-BANG qui a été développée pour l'évaluation du SAS. Cet échantillon de population stratifié couvre tout le Canada et permet de fournir des estimations régionales. RéSULTATS: Dans cet échantillon d'adultes âgés de 45 à 85 ans, la prévalence globale du SAS modéré et sévère chez les 51 337 participants était de 28,1 % en 2015 (intervalles de confiance à 95 %: 27,8‒28,4). La prévalence régionale variait statistiquement entre le Canada atlantique et l'ouest du Canada (p < 0,001), bien que les variations cliniques soient limitées. La prévalence provinciale du SAS modéré et sévère variait entre 27,5 % (Nouveau-Brunswick et Colombie-Britannique) et 29,1 % (Manitoba). L'indice de masse corporelle représentait le facteur dominant de la variance entre les provinces (ß = 0,33, p < 0,001). Seulement 1,2 % des participants avaient un diagnostic clinique du SAS. CONCLUSION: La grande majorité (92,9 %) des participants présentant un risque élevé du SAS n'étaient pas identifiés auparavant et n'avaient aucun diagnostic clinique du SAS.

9.
Health Res Policy Syst ; 22(1): 80, 2024 Jul 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38978095

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The link between public health spending (PHS) and population health outcomes (PHO) has been extensively studied. However, in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the moderating effects of governance in this relationship are little known. Furthermore, studies have focused on mortality as the main health outcome. This study contributes to this literature by investigating the moderating role of governance in the relationship by simultaneously assessing three dimensions of governance (corruption control, government effectiveness and voice accountability) using disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) as a measure of outcomes. METHODS: The study applies the two-stage moderation approach using partial least squares structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM) to panel data from 43 SSA nations from 2013 to 2019. The study also uses domestic general government health expenditure (DGGHE) as an independent variable and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) as the dependent variable in this relationship. RESULTS: The analysis reveals that DGGHE affects DALY negatively and that governance improves the effect of DGGHE on DALY, with bigger improvements among countries with worse governance. CONCLUSION: These findings provide evidence that good governance is crucial to the effectiveness of PHS in SSA nations. Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries should improve governance to improve population health.


Asunto(s)
Gastos en Salud , Salud Pública , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Humanos , África del Sur del Sahara , Análisis de los Mínimos Cuadrados , Salud Poblacional , Gobierno , Análisis de Clases Latentes , Personas con Discapacidad , Mortalidad , Financiación Gubernamental
10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38985327

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: People with learning disabilities have complex challenges and needs that differ from people without these conditions. Accessing needed health and mental health care may be affected by level of independence and severity of learning challenges. Our study examined factors and associations which impact help seeking and satisfaction with mental health care in a Canadian nationally representative sample. METHODS: Logistic regression and multinomial logistic regression was used to analyze the 2012 Canadian Community Health Survey- Mental Health (CCHS 2012) cross-sectional survey. We investigated the odds of distressed individuals (1) perceiving a need for mental health care, (2) seeking out professional mental health care, and (3) if their needs were met by mental health services. The presence of a learning disability was assessed as a moderator variable in all models. RESULTS: Distressed adults with learning disabilities did not perceive a need for mental health care as often as distressed adults without a learning disability (OR = 3.82;95%CI:1.64,8.93 vs. OR = 12.00;95%CI:9.19,15.67). Distressed adults with a learning disability weren't as likely to seek out mental health services, but were more satisfied with the mental health care they received as compared to adults without a learning disability. CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that adults with learning disabilities have unmet needs. They are less likely to perceive a need for treatment, or to seek treatment, when they are distressed. Future investigation is necessary to understand the factors that influence perceived need and treatment seeking in this under-served population.

11.
J Sci Med Sport ; 2024 Jun 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003169

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The validity of the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire has not been thoroughly evaluated among Hispanics/Latinos. In this cross-sectional study, we assessed the concurrent validity and correlates of discordance of the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire by comparing it to accelerometry in estimating sedentary behavior, moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, and meeting United States physical activity guidelines by sociodemographic, behavioral, and health characteristics. DESIGN: The Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos is a 4-site cohort study of United States adults aged 18-74 years enrolled from 2008 to 2011. METHODS: Participants (n = 11,873) completed the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire and wore an accelerometer for 1 week. Lin's concordance and Pearson correlations assessed concurrent validity between self-reported and accelerometry-assessed measures of sedentary behavior and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Kappa coefficients assessed agreement of meeting physical activity guidelines. Linear and logistic regression models identified correlates of discordance. RESULTS: The overall Lin's concordance and Pearson correlations between the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire and accelerometry estimates were 0.10 (95 % confidence interval 0.09, 0.12) and 0.24 (0.21, 0.27) for sedentary behavior, and 0.04 (0.03, 0.05) and 0.18 (0.15, 0.22) for moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, respectively. Agreement was poor for meeting the physical activity guideline classifications (Kappa coefficients: 0.12 to 0.26). Over a 16-hour day, sedentary behavior was under-reported by 3.8 h and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity was over-reported by 1.9 h. CONCLUSIONS: The concurrent validity of the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire in measuring moderate-to-vigorous physical activity and sedentary behavior when compared to accelerometry was poor among Hispanic/Latino adults.

12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38980597

RESUMEN

Life expectancy (LE) is a health indicator of a population's health and well-being. Modeling the trajectory of LE aligns with the objectives of Indonesia's Vision 2045 and Oman's Vision 2040. This study examines the influence of health status-resources (HSR), macroeconomic (ME), and sociodemographic (SD) factors on LE in Indonesia and Oman. These two nations navigate the challenges of the middle-income trap in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation. This study adopted a national-scale population-based approach that focuses on retrospective observations. We used partial least square structural equation models with World Bank data from 1980 to 2020 to analyze the relationship between the mentioned factors and the LE of Oman and Indonesia. For Indonesia's model, the results showed that ME has a total effect of ß = 0.737 (p < 0.05) on LE, SD has a total effect of ß = 0.675 (p < 0.05) on LE, and HSR has a total effect of ß = 0.823 (p < 0.05) on LE. In Oman's model, ME has a total effect of ß = 0.848 (p < 0.05) on LE, SD has a total effect of ß = 0.755 (p < 0.05) on LE, and HSR has a total effect of ß = 0.335 (p < 0.05) on LE. The findings underscore the need for policies that meld health and societal perspectives to improve public health in both nations. A shift in public health interventions and perceptions towards socioeconomic well-being and societal issues is pivotal for advancing LE growth, potentially steering these countries from the middle-income trap.

13.
Popul Health Manag ; 2024 Jul 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38968396

RESUMEN

The health care industry is experiencing a transformative shift from traditional fee-for-service models to value-based care (VBC), emphasizing improved patient outcomes, enhanced quality, and reduced costs. While Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Innovation Center models focus on financial and quality outcomes, a critical opportunity for reform lies in organizational culture. VBC signifies a cultural and systemic evolution aligned with the quintuple aim of enhancing equitable patient outcomes, improving quality, reducing costs, and prioritizing provider well-being. Cultural impacts play a pivotal role in this transformation.

14.
J Burn Care Res ; 2024 Jul 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38970335

RESUMEN

Unhoused burn patients (UBP) have historically been more likely to leave against medical advice (AMA) and suffer worse health outcomes than the general population. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic created a major strain on the healthcare system, resulting in worse overall health outcomes for burn patients. We sought to investigate how COVID-19 impacted treatment for UBP, specifically the rate of leaving AMA. We conducted a retrospective chart analysis of patients admitted to a regional burn center between June 2015 and January 2023. March 1, 2020, was used as a cut point to separate the cohorts into patients seen pre-COVID-19 (p-CV) and during COVID-19 (CV). Outcomes included leaving treatment AMA and readmission within 30 days. 385 patients met criteria for being unhoused and were included in our analytic sample, of which 199 were in the p-CV cohort and 186 in the CV cohort. UBP were significantly more likely to leave AMA during CV compared to p-CV (22.6% vs. 7.5%, p<0.001). Housed burn patients did not experience an increase in discharges AMA during this time period. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in an increase in discharges AMA among unhoused patients only. While the etiology is unclear, our findings suggest that this vulnerable patient population is receiving inadequate care post-COVID. Future research should determine the driving force behind these increases and identify early interventions to mitigate them.

15.
Epilepsy Behav ; 158: 109933, 2024 Jul 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38970894

RESUMEN

RATIONALE: Incorporating pharmacists into interdisciplinary healthcare teams can improve patient outcomes across disease states; however, there is little evidence describing pharmacists' contributions to epilepsy care. Previous research from our group revealed that community pharmacists are well positioned to serve as patient advocates, monitor medications, and provide education for people living with epilepsy. However, pharmacists would like to receive additional training in epilepsy management. Advanced training in neurology is not a practical approach for community pharmacists who engage daily with patients having a variety of conditions and medications. OBJECTIVE: To develop and evaluate a flexible, community pharmacist-centered training program to improve both confidence and competence in delivering epilepsy care. METHODS: The training program consisted of five 1-hour, self-paced online modules and two 90-minute synchronous virtual sessions. Topics included the classification of the epilepsies, comorbid conditions, antiseizure medicine (ASM) therapy, special populations (pregnancy, people of childbearing potential, older adults), seizure emergencies, and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP), as well as social determinants of health. The training program was delivered over 6 weeks to pharmacists located at two community pharmacies in Washington State. Learning was assessed using a pre- and post-training questionnaire containing questions that evaluated knowledge and confidence in the training material. RESULTS: The training program did not significantly change pharmacists' mastery of the material. However, the pharmacists' confidence in delivering the material significantly improved in 14 of the 16 areas that were evaluated. Pharmacists' mastery and confidence were strongest in areas around ASM management, SUDEP and seizure emergencies, people of child-bearing potential and older adults with epilepsy, and comorbidities, whereas social health disparities in epilepsy care remained an area that required further training. CONCLUSION: Our findings support the idea that community pharmacists are well positioned with the knowledge to play an important role in epilepsy care. However, dedicated training tailored to community pharmacists' needs may improve their confidence in providing such care.

16.
Alzheimers Dement ; 2024 Jul 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39023302

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Risk prediction models aim to identify those at high risk to receive targeted interventions. We aimed to identify the proportion of future dementia cases that would be missed by a high-risk screening program. METHODS: We identified validated dementia risk prediction models from systematic reviews. We applied these to European Prospective Investigation of Cancer Norfolk, a large population-based cohort of 30,387 individuals with 29 years of linked healthcare data. RESULTS: A maximum of 16.0% (14.7,17.2) and 31.9% (30.2,33.5) of cases arose from the highest risk decile and quintiles, respectively. For every 1000 people considered to be at high risk, a maximum of 235 (215, 255) developed dementia. DISCUSSION: Seven in every 10 cases of dementia arose from people at normal risk, and eight in every 10 people at high risk did not develop dementia. Individual-level prevention approaches targeted at high-risk groups are unlikely to produce large reductions in disease incidence at the population level. HIGHLIGHTS: Dementia, a significant public health challenge, is not an inevitability of aging; risk reduction is possible. Several dementia risk prediction models have been validated in the general population, and these aim to identify people at high risk of the disease who can then be targeted with primary prevention interventions. An alternative prevention approach is to focus on interventions that reduce risk across the population, irrespective of risk status. In our study, seven out of every ten people who developed dementia during 29 year follow-up were classed as 'normal-risk' (rather than 'high risk') at baseline. Eight out of every ten people who were at high risk at baseline did not go on to develop dementia. Even if effective, dementia risk reduction efforts based upon targeted high-risk approaches are unlikely to reduce incidence of disease at the population level.

17.
Med J Aust ; 221(2): 103-110, 2024 Jul 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003689

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To examine changes in multiple myeloma incidence and mortality rates during 1982-2018, and to estimate its incidence, mortality, and prevalence for 2019-2043. STUDY DESIGN: Population-based statistical modelling study; analysis of and projections based on Australian Institute of Health and Welfare multiple myeloma incidence, mortality, and survival data. SETTING: Australia, 1982-2018 (historical data) and projections to 2043. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Changes in multiple myeloma incidence and mortality rates, 1982-2018, determined by joinpoint regression analysis (age-standardised to 2021 Australian population); projection of rates to 2043 based on age-period-cohort models; estimated 5- and 30-year prevalence of multiple myeloma (modified counting method). RESULTS: The incidence of multiple myeloma increased during 1982-2018 (eg, annual percentage change [APC], 2006-2018, 1.9%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-2.2%), but the mortality rate declined during 1990-2018 (APC, -0.4%; 95% CI, -0.5% to -0.2%). The age-standardised incidence rate was projected to increase by 14.9% during 2018-2043, from 8.7 in 2018 to 10.0 (95% CI, 9.4-10.7) new cases per 100 000 population in 2043; the mortality rate was projected to decline by 27.5%, from 4.0 to 2.9 (95% CI, 2.6-3.3) deaths per 100 000 population. The annual number of people newly diagnosed with multiple myeloma was estimated to increase by 89.2%, from 2120 in 2018 to 4012 in 2043; the number of deaths from multiple myeloma was projected to increase by 31.7%, from 979 to 1289. The number of people living with multiple myeloma up to 30 years after initial diagnosis was projected to increase by 163%, from 10 288 in 2018 to 27 093 in 2043, including 13 019 people (48.1%) diagnosed during the preceding five years. CONCLUSION: Although the decline in the mortality rate was projected to continue, the projected increases in the incidence and prevalence of multiple myeloma in Australia over the next 25 years indicate that investment in prevention and early detection research, and planning for prolonged treatment and care, are needed.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Mieloma Múltiple , Mieloma Múltiple/mortalidad , Mieloma Múltiple/epidemiología , Humanos , Australia/epidemiología , Incidencia , Prevalencia , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Predicción , Distribución por Edad
18.
Popul Health Metr ; 22(1): 15, 2024 Jul 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38992670

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The gaps in healthy life expectancy (HLE) between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians are significant. Detailed and accurate information is required to develop strategies that will close these health disparities. This paper aims to quantify and compare the causes and their relative contributions to the life expectancy (LE) gaps between the Indigenous and non-Indigenous population in the Northern Territory (NT), Australia. METHODS: The age-cause decomposition was used to analyse the differences in HLE and unhealthy life expectancy (ULE), where LE = HLE + ULE. The data was sourced from the burden of disease and injury study in the NT between 2014 and 2018. RESULTS: In 2014-2018, the HLE at birth in the NT Indigenous population was estimated at 43.3 years in males and 41.4 years in females, 26.5 and 33.5 years shorter than the non-Indigenous population. This gap approximately doubled the LE gap (14.0 years in males, 16.6 years in females) at birth. In contrast to LE and HLE, ULE at birth was longer in the Indigenous than non-Indigenous population. The leading causes of the ULE gap at birth were endocrine conditions (explaining 2.9-4.4 years, 23-26%), followed by mental conditions in males and musculoskeletal conditions in females (1.92 and 1.94 years, 15% and 12% respectively), markedly different from the causes of the LE gap (cardiovascular disease, cancers and unintentional injury). CONCLUSIONS: The ULE estimates offer valuable insights into the patterns of morbidity particularly useful in terms of primary and secondary prevention.


Asunto(s)
Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Esperanza de Vida , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Australia , Pueblos Indígenas , Northern Territory/epidemiología
20.
Can J Public Health ; 2024 Jul 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39048849

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the prevalence and population attributable fraction (PAF) of 12 potentially modifiable risk factors for dementia in middle-aged and older Canadians. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of 30,097 adults aged 45 to 85 with baseline data from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (2011‒2015). Risk factors and associated relative risks were taken from a highly cited systematic review. We calculated the prevalence of each risk factor using sampling weights. Individual PAFs were calculated both crudely and weighted for communality, and combined PAFs were calculated using both multiplicative and additive assumptions. Analyses were stratified by household income and repeated at CLSA's first follow-up (2015‒2018). RESULTS: The most prevalent risk factors were physical inactivity (63.8%; 95% CI, 62.8-64.9), hypertension (32.8%; 31.7-33.8), and obesity (30.8%; 29.7-31.8). The highest crude PAFs were physical inactivity (19.9%), traumatic brain injury (16.7%), and hypertension (16.6%). The highest weighted PAFs were physical inactivity (11.6%), depression (7.7%), and hypertension (6.0%). We estimated that the 12 risk factors combined accounted for 43.4% (37.3‒49.0) of dementia cases assuming weighted multiplicative interactions and 60.9% (55.7‒65.5) assuming additive interactions. There was a clear gradient of increasing prevalence and PAF with decreasing income for 9 of the 12 risk factors. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study can inform individual- and population-level dementia prevention strategies in Canada. Differences in the impact of individual risk factors between this study and other international and regional studies highlight the importance of tailoring national dementia strategies to the local distribution of risk factors.


RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Nous avons étudié la prévalence et la fraction attribuable dans la population (FAP) de 12 facteurs de risque de démence potentiellement modifiables chez les Canadiens d'âge moyen et plus âgés. MéTHODE: Nous avons mené une étude transversale de 30 097 adultes de 45 à 85 ans à l'aide des données de référence de l'Étude longitudinale canadienne sur le vieillissement (ELCV) (2011‒2015). Les facteurs de risque et les risques relatifs associés ont été extraits d'une revue systématique fréquemment citée. Nous avons calculé la prévalence de chaque facteur de risque à l'aide de poids d'échantillonnage. Les FAP individuelles ont été calculées à la fois sous forme brute et pondérées selon leurs points communs; les FAP combinées ont été calculées à l'aide d'hypothèses multiplicatives et additives. Les analyses ont été stratifiées selon le revenu du ménage et répétées au premier suivi de l'ELCV (2015‒2018). RéSULTATS: Les facteurs de risque les plus prévalents étaient la sédentarité (63,8 %; IC de 95%, 62,8­64,9), l'hypertension artérielle (32,8 %; 31,7­33,8) et l'obésité (30,8 %; 29,7­31,8). Les FAP brutes les plus élevées étaient la sédentarité (19,9 %), les traumatismes cranio-cérébraux (16,7 %) et l'hypertension artérielle (16,6 %). Les FAP pondérées les plus élevées étaient la sédentarité (11,6 %), la dépression (7,7 %) et l'hypertension artérielle (6,0 %). Selon nos estimations, les 12 facteurs de risque combinés représentaient 43,4 % (37,3‒49,0) des cas de démence en supposant des interactions multiplicatives pondérées et 60,9 % (55,7‒65,5) en supposant des interactions additives. Il y avait clairement un gradient d'accroissement de la prévalence et de la FAP avec la diminution du revenu pour 9 des 12 facteurs de risque. CONCLUSION: Les constats de l'étude peuvent éclairer les stratégies individuelles et populationnelles de prévention de la démence au Canada. Les différences d'impact des facteurs de risque individuels entre cette étude et d'autres études internationales et régionales montrent l'importance d'adapter les stratégies nationales de prévention de la démence à la répartition locale des facteurs de risque.

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