Prognostic Factors That Affect Mortality Patients with Acinetobacter baumannii Bloodstream Infection.

Background: To evaluate the clinical features of patients with Acinetobacter baumannii bloodstream infection (BSI). Methods: Totally 200 inpatients with Acinetobacter baumannii BSI were included, clinical features of Acinetobacter baumannii BSI inpatients between 90-day survival and 90-day mortality groups, between 30-day survival and 30-day mortality groups, between patients infected with multidrug-resistant (MDR group) and sensitive Acinetobacter baumannii (sensitive group) were analyzed. The prognostic factors of 90-day mortality were analyzed by univariate logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression. The survival curve in bloodstream infectious patients with multidrug-resistant (MDR group) and sensitive Acinetobacter baumannii (sensitive group) was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: The 90-day mortality patients had significantly higher carbapenem-resistant bacterial infection and critical care unit (ICU) admission. The 90-day and 30-day mortality groups showed higher C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum creatinine (Scr) levels and lower red blood cells (RBC) and albumin (ALB) levels than their survival counterparts, respectively. Critical surgery, ICU admission and delayed antibiotic treatment were independently prognostic risk predictors for 90-day mortality in Acinetobacter baumannii BSI patients, while critical surgery and diabetes were independently prognostic risk predictors for 90-day mortality in carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii BSI patients. Compared with sensitive group, MDR group showed significantly longer ICU and whole hospital stay, lower levels of lymphocytes, RBC, hemoglobin, lactate dehydrogenase and ALB, higher frequency of infection originating from the skin and skin structure. Moreover, patients in the MDR group had a significantly worse overall survival than the sensitive group. Conclusion: We identified the prognostic factors of Acinetobacter baumannii BSI and carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii BSI patients. Critical surgery, ICU admission, delayed antibiotic treatment or diabetes were significantly associated with the mortality of those patients. Moreover, aggressive measures to control MDR Acinetobacter baumannii could lead to improved outcomes.

Use of circulating tumor cells and microemboli to predict diagnosis and prognosis in diffuse glioma.

OBJECTIVE: Circulating tumor cell (CTC) detection is a promising noninvasive technique that can be used to diagnose cancer, monitor progression, and predict prognosis. In this study, the authors aimed to investigate the clinical utility of CTCs in the management of diffuse glioma. METHODS: Sixty-three patients with newly diagnosed diffuse glioma were included in this multicenter clinical cohort. The authors used a platform based on isolation by size of epithelial tumor cells (ISET) to detect and analyze CTCs and circulating tumor microemboli (CTMs) in the peripheral blood of patients both before and after surgery. Least absolute shrinkage and selector operation (LASSO) and Cox regression analyses were used to verify whether CTCs and CTMs are independent prognostic factors for diffuse glioma. RESULTS: CTC levels were closely related to the degree of malignancy, WHO grade, and pathological subtypes. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that a high CTC level was a predictor for glioblastoma. The results also showed that CTMs originate from the parental tumor rather than from the circulation and are an independent prognostic factor for diffuse glioma. The postoperative CTC level is related to the peripheral immune system and patient survival. Cox regression analysis showed that postoperative CTC levels and CTM status are independent prognostic factors for diffuse glioma, and CTC- and CTM-based survival models had high accuracy in internal validation. CONCLUSIONS: The authors revealed a correlation between CTCs and clinical characteristics and demonstrated that CTCs and CTMs are independent predictors for the diagnosis and prognosis of diffuse glioma. Their CTC- and CTM-based survival models can enable clinicians to evaluate patients' response to surgery as well as their outcomes.

Predictors of seizure outcomes in stereo-electroencephalography-guided radio-frequency thermocoagulation for MRI-negative epilepsy.

Background: One-third of intractable epilepsy patients have no visually identifiable focus for neurosurgery based on imaging tests [magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-negative cases]. Stereo-electroencephalography-guided radio-frequency thermocoagulation (SEEG-guided RF-TC) is utilized in the clinical treatment of epilepsy to lower the incidence of complications post-open surgery. Objective: This study aimed to identify prognostic factors and long-term seizure outcomes in SEEG-guided RF-TC for patients with MRI-negative epilepsy. Design: This was a single-center retrospective cohort study. Methods: We included 30 patients who had undergone SEEG-guided RF-TC at Sanbo Brain Hospital, Capital Medical University, from April 2015 to December 2019. The probability of remaining seizure-free and the plotted survival curves were analyzed. Prognostic factors were analyzed using log-rank tests in univariate analysis and the Cox regression model in multivariate analysis. Results: With a mean time of 31.07 ± 2.64 months (median 30.00, interquartile range: 18.00-40.00 months), 11 out of 30 patients (36.7%) were classified as International League Against Epilepsy class 1 in the last follow-up. The mean time of remaining seizure-free was 21.33 ± 4.55 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 12.41-30.25], and the median time was 3.00 ± 0.54 months (95% CI 1.94-4.06). Despite falling in the initial year, the probability of remaining seizure-free gradually stabilizes in the subsequent years. The patients were more likely to obtain seizure freedom when the epileptogenic zone was located in the insular lobe or with one focus on the limbic system (p = 0.034, hazard ratio 5.019, 95% CI 1.125-22.387). Conclusion: Our findings may be applied to guide individualized surgical interventions and help clinicians make better decisions.

Importance of Tissue Doppler Evaluation in Dilated Cardiomyopathy: The Value of Diastolic Filling Pattern as a Prognostic Predictor.

(1) Background: The presence of restrictive left ventricular diastolic filling pattern (LVDFP) is associated with an unfavorable prognosis in many cardiac diseases, but few data are available on the prognostic implications of this pattern in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). We aimed to establish the main prognostic predictors at the 1- and 5-year follow-ups in DCM patients and the value of restrictive LVDFP in increasing morbidity and mortality. (2) Methods: A prospective study of 143 patients with DCM divided in non-restrictive LVDFP group (95 patients) and restrictive group (47 patients). The patients were evaluated at a 5-year follow-up through an in-patient visit during the pre-pandemic period and hybrid methods (face-to-face, teleconsultation and home monitoring with a telemedicine application) during the pandemic period. Statistical analysis compared the two groups in terms of NYHA class, quality of life, hospitalizations/emergency department (ED) visits due to HF exacerbation and total mortality. (3) Results: The mortality rate in the restrictive group was markedly higher than that in the non-restrictive group at 1 year (17.02% vs. 10.59%, respectively, p < 0.05) and at 5 years (68.08% vs. 50.53%, p < 0.05). In the restrictive group, hospitalizations/ED visits due to HF decompensations at 1 year were significantly higher (85.11% vs. 57.89%, p < 0.05), with hospitalizations for ventricular arrhythmia being almost three times higher (21.28% vs. 7.37%, respectively, p < 0.05). The percentage of patients with a favorable evolution (in terms of NYHA class and quality of life) at the 1- and 5-year follow-ups were higher in the non-restrictive LVDFP group. The main prognostic predictors in patients with DCM at the 1-year follow-up were: restrictive LVDFP, age > 75 years, markedly dilated LV, comorbidities (DM, COPD), 2nd-degree mitral regurgitation and severe pulmonary hypertension (p < 0.05). (4) Conclusions: At the 1- and 5-year follow-ups, the presence of the restrictive LVDFP in DCM patients was independently associated with a poor prognosis, being the best clinical predictor for unfavorable evolution, after adjustment for other well-established predictive parameters in DCM patients.

Predictive value of nutritional indicators with regard to the survival outcomes in patients with metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with camrelizumab.

Nutritional indicators have been implicated in the survival outcomes of various malignant tumors. However, there are few studies on the association between nutritional indicators and immunotherapy for esophageal cancer. The present study aimed to explore the value of nutritional indicators with regard to the survival outcomes in patients with metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with camrelizumab. A retrospective cohort analysis of 158 metastatic ESCC patients treated with camrelizumab in The Affiliated Xinghua People's Hospital, Medical School of Yangzhou University (Xinghua, China) between September 2019 and July 2022 was conducted. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off values of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and albumin (ALB). The cut-off value for body mass index (BMI) was set at the normal lower limit (18.5 kg/m2). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the differences in PFS or OS between groups were compared using the log-rank test. The prognostic value of each variable was analyzed based on the univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. The optimal cutoff values of PNI, ALB and BMI were 41.35, 36.8 g/l and 18.5 kg/m2, respectively. Lower PNI, ALB and BMI were closely associated with shorter PFS [hazard ratio (HR) for PNI, 3.599; P<0.001; HR for ALB, 4.148; P<0.001; HR for BMI, 5.623; P<0.001) and OS (HR for PNI, 7.605; P<0.001; HR for ALB, 7.852; P<0.001; HR for BMI, 7.915; P<0.001) times. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that lower PNI, ALB and BMI were independent risk factors of PFS and OS in patients with metastatic ESCC receiving camrelizumab treatment. In conclusion, PNI, ALB and BMI are promising predictive indicators to assess the survival outcomes in patients with metastatic ESCC treated with camrelizumab. Moreover, PNI, ALB and BMI may have prognostic significance in these patients.

Latent disconnectome prediction of long-term cognitive-behavioural symptoms in stroke.

Stroke significantly impacts the quality of life. However, the long-term cognitive evolution in stroke is poorly predictable at the individual level. There is an urgent need to better predict long-term symptoms based on acute clinical neuroimaging data. Previous works have demonstrated a strong relationship between the location of white matter disconnections and clinical symptoms. However, rendering the entire space of possible disconnection-deficit associations optimally surveyable will allow for a systematic association between brain disconnections and cognitive-behavioural measures at the individual level. Here we present the most comprehensive framework, a composite morphospace of white matter disconnections (disconnectome) to predict neuropsychological scores 1 year after stroke. Linking the latent disconnectome morphospace to neuropsychological outcomes yields biological insights that are available as the first comprehensive atlas of disconnectome-deficit relations across 86 scores-a Neuropsychological White Matter Atlas. Our novel predictive framework, the Disconnectome Symptoms Discoverer, achieved better predictivity performances than six other models, including functional disconnection, lesion topology and volume modelling. Out-of-sample prediction derived from this atlas presented a mean absolute error below 20% and allowed personalize neuropsychological predictions. Prediction on an external cohort achieved an R2 = 0.201 for semantic fluency. In addition, training and testing were replicated on two external cohorts achieving an R2 = 0.18 for visuospatial performance. This framework is available as an interactive web application (http://disconnectomestudio.bcblab.com) to provide the foundations for a new and practical approach to modelling cognition in stroke. We hope our atlas and web application will help to reduce the burden of cognitive deficits on patients, their families and wider society while also helping to tailor future personalized treatment programmes and discover new targets for treatments. We expect our framework's range of assessments and predictive power to increase even further through future crowdsourcing.

Oncogenic alterations reveal key strategies for precision oncology in melanoma treatment.

Background: Molecular profiling with next-generation sequencing (NGS) has been applied in multiple solid tumors, including melanomas, to identify potential drug targets. However, the association between clinical outcomes and the molecular alterations has not yet been fully clarified. Methods: A total of 108 patients with melanoma were included in this study, 95 of whom had both sequencing data and clinical outcomes were collected. We analyzed the genetic alterations of 108 malignant melanoma patients using the OncoCare panel, which covers 559 genes. Results: A model was also established to predict side effects through a combination analysis of clinical data and somatic variants, yielding an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) score of 0.8. We also identified epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation was excellent predictor for progression-free survival (PFS) for patient who received immunotherapy (log-rank P=0.01), while tumor mutation burden (TMB) was found to not be significantly associated with PFS (log-rank P=0.87). Combining clinical features with genetic analysis, we found that patients carrying both DNA POLD1/ALOX12B or POLD1/PTPRT mutations had a significantly lower survival rate. Conclusions: Overall, these results demonstrate the benefits of applying NGS clinical panels and shed light on future directions of personalized therapeutics for the treatment of melanoma.

The Predictive Value of Systemic Inflammatory Factors in Advanced, Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated with Camrelizumab.

Objective: Systemic inflammatory factors are independent risk factors in the formation and progression of various solid tumors. However, whether systemic inflammatory factors are associated with effect and prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with immunotherapy remains unknown. The aim of this study is to assess the value of systemic inflammatory factors in the efficacy of camrelizumab for patients with advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 90 patients with advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received treatment with camrelizumab in Xinghua People's Hospital between August 2019 and October 2021. The optimal cut-off values of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) for predicting efficacy and prognosis were identified based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences in PFS or OS between groups were compared by the Log rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to analyze prognostic values of each variable. Results: The optimal cutoff values of PLR, NLR and SII predicted survival outcomes were 157.7, 3.84 and 750.8, respectively. Higher PLR, NLR and SII were associated with shorter PFS (HR for PLR = 2.899, P = 0.001; HR for NLR = 3.629, P < 0.001; HR for SII = 10.251, P < 0.001) and OS (HR for PLR = 4.583, P < 0.001; HR for NLR = 3.921, P < 0.001; HR for SII = 38.606, P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that high PLR, NLR and SII were independent risk factors of PFS and OS in the advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving camrelizumab. Conclusion: PLR, NLR and SII are potentially effective prognostic predictors in advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with camrelizumab.

Efficacy of Phenobarbital and Prognosis Predictors in Women With Epilepsy From Rural Northeast China: A 10-Year Follow-Up Study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the efficacy of phenobarbital (PB), factors associated with it, reasons for early treatment termination, and mortality rates in adult women living in rural Northeast China. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted in seven counties of Jilin Province from 2010 to 2020. Adult women diagnosed with convulsive epilepsy were recruited into the study and baseline demographics recorded upon enrollment. Seizure frequency, prescribed drug dose, and adverse reactions were monitored monthly by door-to-door survey or telephone interview. RESULTS: A total of 1,333 women were included in the study. During the follow-up period, 169 participants (12.7%) were lost to follow-up, and 100 of them (7.5%) died. The percentage of seizure-free participants was 45.3% in the first year, 74.6% in the third year, and 96.6% in the 10th year. A higher baseline seizure frequency (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009), more frequent loss-of-consciousness seizures (OR = 1.620, 95% CI: 1.318-1.990), a higher daily dose of PB in the first year (OR = 1.018, 95% CI: 1.014-1.022), a younger age at onset (OR = 0.990, 95% CI: 0.982-0.998), and more severe drowsiness (OR = 1.727, 95% CI: 1.374-2.173) were associated with an increased risk of seizures in the first year, and the higher baseline seizure frequency was still associated with the occurrence of seizures in the third (OR = 1.007, 95% CI: 1.004-1.010) and fifth year (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.008). Age at enrollment (HR = 0.983, 95% CI: 0.971-0.994) was the only factor that correlated with withdrawal from the study and with the death of the participant during the follow up period, but the correlation in each case was in opposite directions. SIGNIFICANCE: PB has high effectiveness, retention rate, mild side effects, and tolerability when used as a treatment for epilepsy in women from rural areas. Baseline seizure frequency is an important predictor of prognosis regardless of treatment duration. PB is still a valuable tool for the management of epilepsy in adult women from poverty-stricken areas.

Perioperative clinical parameters associated with short-term mortality after colorectal perforation.

PURPOSE: Although early prediction of mortality is useful for the management of patients with colorectal perforations, no significant perioperative predictive factors have been identified. The purpose of this study was to identify useful prognostic factors for patients with colorectal perforation. METHODS: This single-center retrospective study included consecutive patients undergoing emergency surgery for colorectal perforation from January 2012 to December 2019. The primary outcome was combined 30 day and in-hospital mortality. Patient- and disease-related factors obtained perioperatively were evaluated for mortality prediction. A scoring system was developed to enhance clinical utility. RESULTS: Overall, 146 patients were included and 20 (14%) died after surgery. Multivariate logistic regression identified five predictive factors: age, hemodialysis, uncommon perforation etiology, plasma albumin level, and decreased platelet count. The area under the receiver operating curve for the scoring system using these parameters was 0.894 (95% CI 0.835-0.952). Patients at high-risk of mortality were classified by the proposed score with a sensitivity of 90.0% and negative predictive value of 98.0%. CONCLUSION: This study identified five perioperative factors significantly associated with mortality of patients with colorectal perforation. Although these parameters predict mortality of patients with colorectal perforation using a score with high discrimination, further study is required to confirm these findings.

Comparison of the Metastasis Predictive Potential of mRNA and Long Non-Coding RNA Profiling in Systemically Untreated Breast Cancer.

Several gene expression signatures based on mRNAs and a few based on long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been developed to provide prognostic information beyond clinical evaluation in breast cancer (BC). However, the comparison of such signatures for predicting recurrence is very scarce. Therefore, we compared the prognostic utility of mRNAs and lncRNAs in low-risk BC patients using two different classification strategies. Frozen primary tumor samples from 160 lymph node negative and systemically untreated BC patients were included; 80 developed recurrence-i.e., regional or distant metastasis while 80 remained recurrence-free (mean follow-up of 20.9 years). Patients were pairwise matched for clinicopathological characteristics. Classification based on differential mRNA or lncRNA expression using seven individual machine learning methods and a voting scheme classified patients into risk-subgroups. Classification by the seven methods with a fixed sensitivity of ≥90% resulted in specificities ranging from 16-40% for mRNA and 38-58% for lncRNA, and after voting, specificities of 38% and 60% respectively. Classifier performance based on an alternative classification approach of balanced accuracy optimization also provided higher specificities for lncRNA than mRNA at comparable sensitivities. Thus, our results suggested that classification followed by voting improved prognostic power using lncRNAs compared to mRNAs regardless of classification strategy.

Advanced Dementia: Brain-State Characteristics and Clinical Indicators of Early Mortality.

There is an urgent need in advanced dementia for evidence-based clinical prognostic predictors that could positively influence ethical decisions allowing health provider and family preparation for early mortality. Accordingly, the authors review and discuss the prognostic utility of clinical assessments and objective measures of pathological brain states in advanced dementia patients associated with accelerated mortality. Overall, due to the paucity of brain-activity and clinical-comorbidity predictors of survival in advanced dementia, authors outline the potential prognostic value of brain-state electroencephalography (EEG) measures and reliable clinical indicators for forecasting early mortality in advanced dementia patients. In conclusion, two consistent risk-factors for predicting accelerated mortality in terminal-stage patients with advanced dementia were identified: pressure ulcers and paroxysmal slow-wave EEG parameters associated with cognitive impairment severity and organic disease progression. In parallel, immobility, malnutrition, and co-morbid systemic diseases are highly associated with the risk for early mortality in advanced dementia patients. Importantly, the authors' conclusions suggest utilizing reliable quantitative-parameters of disease progression for estimating accelerated mortality in dementia patients entering the terminal disease-stages characterized by severe intellectual deficits and functional disability.

Long-term outcomes and prognostic predictors of 111 pediatric hemorrhagic cerebral arteriovenous malformations after microsurgical resection: a single-center experience.

Comparison in pediatric hemorrhagic arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) to clarify the long-term neurological outcomes and prognostic predictors after surgical intervention was relatively rare, especially in the selection of surgical timing. The objective of this study was to elucidate these points. The authors retrospectively reviewed the pediatric hemorrhagic AVMs resected in their neurosurgical department between March 2010 and June 2017. The natural history was represented by rupture risk. Neurological outcome was assessed with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) for children. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the risk factors for disability (mRS > 2). The hemorrhagic early phase was defined as less than 30 days after bleeding. The corresponding prognosis of different surgical timing (early intervention or delayed intervention) was compared after propensity-score matching (PSM). A total of 111 pediatric hemorrhagic AVM patients were evaluated. The average patient age was 11.1 ± 4.0 years, with a mean follow-up of 4.3 ± 2.1 years. The annualized rupture risk was 9.3% for the pediatric hemorrhagic AVMs, and the annualized re-rupture risk was 9.8%. 7.2% of the patients had disabilities (mRS > 2) and 82.0% achieved neurological deficit-free (mRS < 2) at the last follow-up. Pre-treatment mRS (P = 0.042) and flow-related aneurysms (P = 0.039) were independent factors for long-term disability. In terms of short-term outcomes, early intervention was better than delayed intervention (P = 0.033), but the long-term outcomes were similar between the two groups (P = 0.367). Surgical intervention for pediatric hemorrhagic AVMs is recommended, most of the patients can achieve good neurological outcomes. Moreover, early surgical intervention is preferred after the initial hemorrhage.

Prognostic Analysis of Emergency Decompressive Craniectomy for Patients with Severe Traumatic Brain Injury with Bilateral Fixed Dilated Pupils.

OBJECTIVE: For patients with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) with bilateral fixed dilated pupils (BFDP), the value of aggressively decompressive craniectomy (DC) treatment is still controversial. The objective of this study was to analyze and validate the outcome of DC in patients with sTBI with BFDP. METHODS: We retrospectively collected data from 44 patients with sTBI with BFDP who underwent DC treatment from July 2011 to June 2018. Outcomes used as indicators were mortality and favorable outcome. The analysis was based on the Glasgow Outcome Scale score recorded at discharge, 6, and 12 months after trauma. RESULTS: The overall survival was 36.4% (16/44) at discharge and 25.0% (11/44) at 6 and 12 months, and the favorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score = 4-5) at discharge, 6, and 12 months after injury was 9.1% (4/44), 13.6% (6/44), and 20.5% (9/44), respectively. Sex (P = 0.046), preoperative Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score (P = 0.031), injury-surgery intervals (P = 0.022), and tracheotomy (P = 0.017) were independent associations to 6 and 12 months follow-up survival, whereas only preoperative GCS score (odds ratio, 6.088; confidence interval, 1.172-31.612; P = 0.032) and injury-surgery intervals (odds ratio, 0.241; confidence interval, 0.065-0.893; P = 0.033) were independent associations with 12 months follow-up favorable outcome. CONCLUSIONS: BFDP indicates a grave prognostic sign after sTBI, but the higher preoperative GCS score and shorter injury-surgery intervals in patients who underwent DC treatment might independently predict favorable outcome for patients with sTBI with BFDP, and patients might benefit more than expected if the DC treatment were applied more aggressively and positively.

Gunshot injury to spine: An institutional experience of management and complications from a developing country.

PURPOSE: Gunshot wounds are the second leading cause of spinal cord injuries. Surgical intervention for gunshot injury to the spine carries a high rate of complications. There is a scarcity of data on civilian gunshot injuries to the spine in Pakistan. Approximately 60 cases over the last 10 years have been recoded, with unusual presentation and neurological recovery. Thus it is imperative to fill this gap in data, by reviewing cases of civilian gunshot injuries to spine presenting at a tertiary care hospital (Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi). METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study. Patients of all ages who presented to the emergency department of Aga Khan University Hospital, with gunshot injuries to spine between January 2005 and December 2016 were included in the study. Data were collected on neurological status (American Spinal Injury Association score was used for the initial and follow-up neurological assessment), extent of cord transection, motor and sensory deficits. The patients were further grouped into those with cord transection, and those with fractures of the bony spine but an intact spinal cord. These patients were then followed and the outcomes were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 40 patients were identified. The mean ± SD of patients age was (30.9 ± 9.5) years. Of the 40 patients with gunshot wounds, 31 had the medical imaging performed at the facility, and hence they were included in this categorization. The remaining 9 patients were excluded from this additional grouping. Thirteen patients were managed surgically and 27 patients underwent the conservative management. The mean ± SD of follow-up was (8.7 ± 7.2) months. In our study, the thoracic spine was the most commonly injured region in gunshot injuries. Of the 31 patients with medical imaging performed at our institute, 17 (54.8%) had cord transection, of whom 8 (47%) ultimately developed paraplegia. CONCLUSION: The prognosis of gunshot injuries to the spine can be varied depending on whether the spinal cord is intact or transected. This will help healthcare providers to plan the further management of the patient and counsel them accordingly.

Management of adenoid cystic carcinoma of the head and neck: a single-institute study with over 25-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Adenoid cystic carcinoma is a rare malignant tumor arising from exocrine glands such as the major and minor salivary glands of the paranasal sinuses or the external auditory canal. Although multiple retrospective clinical studies of ACC have been reported to date, clinical questions, such as 1) long-term prognosis beyond 20 years, 2) usefulness and suitability for treatment of therapeutic interventions, 3) therapeutic goal to aim for, and 4) prognosis by recurrence sites, are still unclear. METHODS: To improve understanding and management of adenoid cystic carcinoma of the head and neck (ACC), a retrospective study with 58 new ACC cases between 1991 and 2016 was performed. The median observation period was 66.8 months (range 3-316 months). The overall clinical stages were as follows: I, 6.9%; II, 25.9%; III, 19.0%; and IV, 48.2%. Histology was cribriform/tubular type (C-T type) in 62.0% and solid type in 27.5%. The main treatment strategy was definitive surgery, which was performed in 75.2% of cases. RESULTS: Overall 10-year, 20-year, and 25-year survivals were 63.7, 27.3, and 20.0%, respectively. Similarly, disease-specific survival (DSSs) was 65.7, 51.2, and 38.4%, respectively, and disease-free survival was 25.2, 9.4, and 9.4%, respectively. Conducting surgery (HR: 0.19, 95% CI: 0.06-0.61, p = 0.005) and C-T type (HR: 0.32, 95% CI: 0.11-0.93, p = 0.036) were independent prognostic predictors of DSS. DSS was significantly prolonged after salvage surgery for both locoregional recurrence (p = 0.004) and lung metastatic recurrence (p = 0.012, vs best supportive care). CONCLUSIONS: In ACC cases, both initial surgical treatment and repetitive surgical resection of resectable recurrent lesions, including both locoregional and lung metastases, resulted in longer survival. The major goal of treatment for ACC may be long-term survival including cancer-bearing survival, resulting in either natural death or intercurrent-disease death, since judging cure of ACC is almost impossible. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Retrospectively registered.

Gunshot injury to spine: An institutional experience of management and complications from a developing country / 中华创伤杂志(英文版)

PURPOSE@#Gunshot wounds are the second leading cause of spinal cord injuries. Surgical intervention for gunshot injury to the spine carries a high rate of complications. There is a scarcity of data on civilian gunshot injuries to the spine in Pakistan. Approximately 60 cases over the last 10 years have been recoded, with unusual presentation and neurological recovery. Thus it is imperative to fill this gap in data, by reviewing cases of civilian gunshot injuries to spine presenting at a tertiary care hospital (Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi).@*METHODS@#This is a retrospective cohort study. Patients of all ages who presented to the emergency department of Aga Khan University Hospital, with gunshot injuries to spine between January 2005 and December 2016 were included in the study. Data were collected on neurological status (American Spinal Injury Association score was used for the initial and follow-up neurological assessment), extent of cord transection, motor and sensory deficits. The patients were further grouped into those with cord transection, and those with fractures of the bony spine but an intact spinal cord. These patients were then followed and the outcomes were recorded.@*RESULTS@#A total of 40 patients were identified. The mean ± SD of patients age was (30.9 ± 9.5) years. Of the 40 patients with gunshot wounds, 31 had the medical imaging performed at the facility, and hence they were included in this categorization. The remaining 9 patients were excluded from this additional grouping. Thirteen patients were managed surgically and 27 patients underwent the conservative management. The mean ± SD of follow-up was (8.7 ± 7.2) months. In our study, the thoracic spine was the most commonly injured region in gunshot injuries. Of the 31 patients with medical imaging performed at our institute, 17 (54.8%) had cord transection, of whom 8 (47%) ultimately developed paraplegia.@*CONCLUSION@#The prognosis of gunshot injuries to the spine can be varied depending on whether the spinal cord is intact or transected. This will help healthcare providers to plan the further management of the patient and counsel them accordingly.

Prognostic patterns and predictors in epilepsy: a multicentre study (PRO-LONG).

OBJECTIVES: To describe the long-term prognosis of epilepsy and prognostic patterns in a large cohort of newly diagnosed patients and identify prognostic factors. METHODS: Study participants were 13 Italian epilepsy centres with accessible records dating back to 2005 or earlier, complete data on seizure outcome and treatments, precise epilepsy diagnosis, and follow-up of at least 10 years. Records were examined by trained neurology residents for demographics, seizure characteristics, neurological signs, psychiatric comorbidity, first electroencephalogram (EEG) and MRI/CT, epilepsy type and aetiology, antiepileptic drugs (AEDs), and 1-year, 2-year, 5-year and 10-year seizure remissions. Five predefined prognostic patterns were identified: early remission, late remission, relapsing-remitting course, worsening course and no remission. Prognostic factors were assessed using multinomial logistic regression models. RESULTS: 1006 children and adults were followed for 17 892 person-years (median 16 years; range 10-57). During follow-up, 923 patients (91.7%) experienced 1-year remission. 2-year, 5-year and 10-year remissions were present in 89.5%, 77.1% and 44.4% of cases. 5-year remission was associated with one to two seizures at diagnosis, generalised epilepsy, no psychiatric comorbidity, and treatment with one or two AEDs during follow-up. 10-year remission was associated with one or two AEDs. The most common prognostic pattern was relapsing-remitting (52.2%), followed by early remission (24.5%). 8.3% of cases experienced no remission. Predictors of a relapsing-remitting course were <6 seizures at diagnosis, (presumed) genetic aetiology and no psychiatric comorbidity. CONCLUSIONS: Few seizures at diagnosis, generalised epilepsy and no psychiatric comorbidity predict early or late seizure freedom in epilepsy. Achieving remission at any time after the diagnosis does not exclude further relapses.

Prognostic Predictors of Early Outcomes and Discharge Status of Patients Undergoing Decompressive Craniectomy After Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVE: Although several prognostic factors for traumatic brain injury (TBI) have been evaluated, a useful predictive scoring model for the outcomes has not been developed for patients with severe TBI who undergo decompressive craniectomy (DC). The aim of the present study was to determine independent predictors and develop a multivariate logistic regression equation to predict the early outcome and discharge status for patients with severe TBI who have undergone DC. METHODS: A total of 13 different variables were evaluated. The data from all 278 patients with severe TBI who had undergone DC in the present study were retrospectively evaluated from July 2011 to June 2017. Using univariate, multiple logistic regression and prognostic regression scoring equations it was possible to draw receiver operating characteristic curves to predict the early outcomes and discharge status after TBI. RESULTS: We found that younger age (P = 0.012), no significant medical history (P = 0.044), diameter of both pupils <4 mm (P = 0.032), higher admission Glasgow coma scale score (P = 0.004), no tracheotomy (P < 0.001), and DC for severe TBI were associated with a favorable early outcome and discharge status. Using receiver operating characteristic curves to predict the probability of a favorable outcome, the sensitivity was 80.0% and the specificity was 79.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Our preliminary findings have shown that 5 variables can be used as independent predictors in assessing the early outcome and discharge status for patients with severe TBI after DC.