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Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the main pathogen that causes hospitalization for acute lower respiratory tract infections (ALRIs) in children. With the reopening of communities and schools, the resurgence of RSV in the COVID-19 post-pandemic era has become a major concern. To understand the circulation patterns and genotype variability of RSV in Tianjin before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, a total of 19,531 nasopharyngeal aspirate samples from hospitalized children in Tianjin from July 2017 to June 2022 were evaluated. Direct immunofluorescence and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) were used for screening RSV-positive samples and subtyping, respectively. Further analysis of mutations in the second hypervariable region (HVR2) of the G gene was performed through Sanger sequencing. Our results showed that 16.46% (3,215/19,531) samples were RSV positive and a delayed increase in the RSV infection rates occurred in the winter season from December 2020 to February 2021, with the average RSV-positive rate of 35.77% (519/1,451). The ON1, with H258Q and H266L substitutions, and the BA9, with T290I and T312I substitutions, are dominant strains that alternately circulate every 1-2 years in Tianjin, China, from July 2017 to June 2022. In addition, novel substitutions, such as N296Y, K221T, N230K, V251A in the BA9 genotype, and L226I in the ON1 genotype, emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis of clinical characteristics indicated no significant differences between RSV-A and RSV-B groups. This study provides a theoretical basis for clinical prevention and treatment. However, further studies are needed to explore the regulatory mechanism of host immune responses to different lineages of ON1 and BA9 in the future.
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Background: The implementation of the approved respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) preventive interventions in immunisation programmes is advancing rapidly. Insight into healthcare costs of RSV-related paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admissions is lacking, but of great importance to evaluate the impact of implementation. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the total annual RSV-related paediatric intensive care healthcare costs in the Netherlands. Methods: A nationwide prospective, observational, multicenter study was performed from September 2021 until June 2023. The total annual RSV-related healthcare costs on PICUs in the Netherlands were calculated using RSV-related costs (subgroup I) and consequential costs (subgroup II and III). Subgroup I comprised all PICU admitted infants ≤12 months of age with laboratory-confirmed RSV infection. Subgroup II and III consisted of postponed elective PICU admissions and refused acute PICU admissions due to RSV-related lack of PICU capacity. Findings: A total of 424 infants with RSV-related PICU admission were included. Median age at PICU admission was 46 days (IQR 25-89). The median length of PICU admission was 5 days (IQR 3-8). The total RSV-related PICU costs are 3,826,386 in 2021-2022, and 3,183,888 in 2022-2023. Potential costs averted by RSV preventive interventions is 1.9 to 2.6 million depending on season, and the duration of protection. Interpretation: RSV-related PICU admissions cost 3.1 to 3.8 million in the Netherlands during one season. The introduction of new RSV preventive interventions into the Dutch immunisation programme will generate significant cost-savings on PICUs and decreases the admission burden of PICUs. Funding: None.
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OBJECTIVES: Given the lack of data on the seriousness of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections in the Czech Republic, an analysis was made of available data on hospitalizations and the hospitalization risk was estimated by age group. METHODS: Data from the National Registry of Reimbursed Health Services and the National Registry of Hospitalizations were used for the analyses. Hospitalizations and deaths due to RSV infection (diagnoses J12.1, J20.5, J21.0) from 2017-2022 were analyzed by age group. RESULTS: Over the six-year period, there were 6,138 hospitalizations with the above diagnoses, ranging between years from 307 to 2,162. The estimated overall hospitalization risk per 100,000 population and year for diagnoses J12.1, J20.5, and J21.0 was 9.64, varying between 2.87 (2020) and 20.56 (2021). Age-group analysis showed the highest risk for children under 6 months of age (891.6/100,000 population and year) and the lowest for 20-34-year-olds (0.1/100,000 population and year). Children under 1 year of age accounted for 63.1% of hospitalizations with the above diagnoses. For patients 65 years and older, the annual hospitalization rates varied between 3.3-15.3%. The most frequent cause of RSV-associated hospitalizations was bronchitis, diagnosed in 55.4% of patients. Among those hospitalized with diagnoses J12.1, J20.5, and J21.0, 38 deaths were reported, representing a case fatality rate of 0.62%. The highest case fatality rate (6.5%) was observed in the age group 35-49 years. CONCLUSIONS: RSV-associated hospitalizations have been reported in all age groups in the Czech Republic. The highest RSV-associated hospitalization risk in 2017-2022 was estimated among children under 6 months of age. Passive surveillance using the available registries could currently provide the basis for measures specifically tailored to the youngest age categories. Data on the hospitalization of adults, particularly senior citizens, must be improved and complemented with active surveillance.
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Hospitalización , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Humanos , República Checa/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/mortalidad , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Lactante , Preescolar , Niño , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Anciano , Recién Nacido , Femenino , Masculino , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMEN
AIM: Palivizumab has proven effective in reducing hospitalizations, preventing severe illness, improving health outcomes, and reducing healthcare costs for infants at risk of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection. We aim to assess the value of palivizumab in preventing RSV infection in high-risk infants in Colombia, where RSV poses a significant threat, causing severe respiratory illness and hospitalizations. METHODS: We conducted a decision tree analysis to compare five doses of palivizumab with no palivizumab. The study considered three population groups: preterm neonates (≤ 35 weeks gestational age), infants with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD), and infants with hemodynamically significant congenital heart disease (CHD). We obtained clinical efficacy data from IMpact-RSV and Cardiac Synagis trials, while we derived neonatal hospitalization risks from the SENTINEL-1 study. We based hospitalization and recurrent wheezing management costs on Colombian analyses and validated them by experts. We estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and performed 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations for probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Palivizumab is a dominant strategy for preventing RSV infection in preterm neonates and infants with BPD and CHD. Its high efficacy (78% in preventing RSV in preterm infants), the substantial risk of illness and hospitalization, and the high costs associated with hospitalization, particularly in neonatal intensive care settings, support this finding. The scatter plots and willingness-to-pay curves align with these results. CONCLUSION: Palivizumab is a cost-saving strategy in Colombia, effectively preventing RSV infection in preterm neonates and infants with BPD and CHD by reducing hospitalizations and lowering healthcare costs.
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Cardiopatías Congénitas , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Palivizumab/uso terapéutico , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/prevención & control , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Colombia/epidemiología , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/uso terapéutico , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
(1) Background: Respiratory virus infections, including Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), seasonal influenza (FLU), and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) as prominent examples, can severely affect both children and adults. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics of respiratory viral infections in pediatric and adult populations and to identify determinants influencing patient hospitalization. (2) Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the electronic medical records of patients admitted to a regional hospital's emergency department from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2022, to investigate the clinical characteristics and hospitalization risk factors associated with these three viruses. (3) Results: Infants aged 1 to 11 months were most affected by COVID-19 and RSV, whereas FLU more commonly infected children aged 3 to 5 years. Key factors influencing hospitalization included age and abnormal chest X-ray findings, with higher risks observed in younger children and adults over 65. Notably, the presence of abnormal chest x-ray findings significantly increased the hospitalization risk by 1.9 times [1.5-2.4] in children and 21.4 times [2.4-189.0] in adults. (4) Conclusions: This analysis underscores the impact of COVID-19, FLU, and RSV on hospitalization risk, offering insights for managing these respiratory viral infections (RVIs). Age-related risk differences highlight the necessity for tailored strategies, improving understanding of and treatment development for RVIs.
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Objective: Children who start in day-care have 2-4 times as many respiratory infections compared to children who are cared for at home, and day-care staff are among the employees with the highest absenteeism. The extensive new knowledge that has been generated in the COVID-19 era should be used in the prevention measures we prioritize. The purpose of this narrative review is to answer the questions: Which respiratory viruses are the most significant in day-care centers and similar indoor environments? What do we know about the transmission route of these viruses? What evidence is there for the effectiveness of different non-pharmaceutical prevention measures? Design: Literature searches with different terms related to respiratory infections in humans, mitigation strategies, viral transmission mechanisms, and with special focus on day-care, kindergarten or child nurseries, were conducted in PubMed database and Web of Science. Searches with each of the main viruses in combination with transmission, infectivity, and infectious spread were conducted separately supplemented through the references of articles that were retrieved. Results: Five viruses were found to be responsible for ≈95% of respiratory infections: rhinovirus, (RV), influenza virus (IV), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), coronavirus (CoV), and adenovirus (AdV). Novel research, emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggests that most respiratory viruses are primarily transmitted in an airborne manner carried by aerosols (microdroplets). Conclusion: Since airborne transmission is dominant for the most common respiratory viruses, the most important preventive measures consist of better indoor air quality that reduces viral concentrations and viability by appropriate ventilation strategies. Furthermore, control of the relative humidity and temperature, which ensures optimal respiratory functionality and, together with low resident density (or mask use) and increased time outdoors, can reduce the occurrence of respiratory infections.
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COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Niño , Humanos , Pandemias , Aerosoles y Gotitas Respiratorias , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , AdenoviridaeRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) represents a considerable burden on the healthcare system and hospital resources. This study explored the impact of universal immunoprophylaxis with long-acting monoclonal antibody (nirsevimab) during infants' first RSV season on RSV-induced health events and related costs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). METHODS: The burden of RSV-induced health events and related costs under the current standard of practice (SoP) and the impact of universal immunoprophylaxis with nirsevimab was estimated using a static decision-analytic model in a cohort of infants experiencing their first RSV season in the KSA. The model estimated hospital admissions (including pediatric intensive care unit [PICU] admissions and mechanical ventilation [MV]), emergency room (ER) visits, primary care (PC) visits, long-term sequelae, and RSV mortality. RESULTS: The model estimated that under the current SoP, RSV results in 17,179-19,607 hospitalizations (including 2932-3625 PICU and 172-525 MV admissions), 57,654-191,115 ER visits, 219,053-219,970 PC visits, 14 deaths, 12,884-14,705 cases of recurrent wheezing, and a total cost of SAR 480-619 million. Universal nirsevimab immunoprophylaxis was estimated to avert 58% of hospitalizations (58% PICU admissions, 58% MV episodes), 53% of ER visits, 53% of PC visits, 58% of episodes of recurrent wheezing, 8 deaths, and result in savings of SAR 274-343 million in total healthcare cost. CONCLUSION: Compared with current SoP, an nirsevimab immunoprophylaxis strategy in the KSA for all infants during their first RSV season was estimated to dramatically decrease healthcare resource use, and economic burden associated with RSV.
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Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitiales Respiratorios , Lactante , Niño , Humanos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/prevención & control , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Arabia Saudita/epidemiología , Ruidos Respiratorios , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalizations have increased since the 2014 guideline update recommended against the use of palivizumab for preterm infants born ≥29 0/7 weeks' gestational age (GA) without additional risk factors. A novel drug candidate, nirsevimab, has been developed for this population. We analyzed the cost-effectiveness of palivizumab/nirsevimab vs. no prophylaxis in this population. METHODS: A hybrid-Markov model predicted the RSV clinical course in the first year of life and sequelae in the subsequent four years for preterm infants from the healthcare and societal perspectives. Model parameters were derived from the literature. We calculated costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) to produce an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) evaluated at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/QALY. Sensitivity analyses assessed model robustness. A threshold analysis examined nirsevimab pricing uncertainty. RESULTS: Compared to no prophylaxis, palivizumab costs $9572 and $9584 more from the healthcare and societal perspectives, respectively, with 0.0019 QALYs gained per patient over five years, resulting in ICERs >$5 million per QALY from each perspective. Results were robust to parameter uncertainties; probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that no prophylaxis had a 100% probability of being cost-effective. The threshold analysis suggested that nirsevimab is not cost-effective when compared to no prophylaxis if the price exceeds $1962 from a societal perspective. CONCLUSION: Palivizumab is dominated by no prophylaxis for preterm infants 29 0/7-34 6/7 weeks' GA with no additional risk factors. Relevant stakeholders should consider alternatives to palivizumab for this population that are both effective and economical.
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Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Embarazo , Femenino , Palivizumab/uso terapéutico , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Edad Gestacional , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/prevención & control , Virus Sincitiales Respiratorios , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the frequency and burden of disease of SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory viruses in children under the age of 2 months. METHODS: A retrospective, cross-sectional, single-center study was conducted between March 2021 and February 2022. All children under the age of 2 months and tested for SARS-CoV-2 were included. The frequency of SARS-CoV-2, of other respiratory viruses and the burden of disease caused by SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory viruses were evaluated. RESULTS: Seven hundred and twenty-seven children with an RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 were included (mean age: 0.9 months (±0.6); boys: 57%); 514 (71%) in the emergency room and 213 (29%) in hospital. Among them, 62 (8.5%) had a positive RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2, more often in the Omicron period (23%) than in the Alpha period (4%). Of the 565 (78%) with a multiplex RT-PCR test for other viruses, 325 (58%) were positive. Children with a positive SARS-CoV-2 were less likely to have required respiratory support (p = 0.001), enteral nutrition (p = 0.03), or intensive care admission (p = 0.01) and had a shorter hospital stay than children with other respiratory viruses (5 days vs. 7 days, p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: In this young population of children, SARS-CoV-2 infection was less frequent and less severe than other viral respiratory infections.
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COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Masculino , Niño , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Lactante , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios Transversales , Costo de Enfermedad , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE To explore the effect of respiratory syncytial virus(RSV)infection on the expression of key factors in the epithelial barrier of the human nasal epithelial cells(hNECs)derived from patients with chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps(CRSwNP)and normal control mucosa.METHODS RSV with different multiplicity of infection(MOI)(0.1 and 0.3)infected hNECs derived from patients with CRSwNP(n=21)and normal control mucosa(n=9)for 24 h and 48 h,respectively.To detect the gene expression ZO-1,ZO-2,Claudin-1,Claudin-4,Occludin,E-cadherin and N-cadherin,total RNA was extracted and reverse transcribed into cDNA for real-time fluorescence quantification PCR.RESULTS The relative expression level of ZO-1,ZO-2,Claudin-1,Claudin-4,Occludin,E-cadherin and N-cadherin were decreased in hNECs post RSV infection.However,there was a statistical difference only in hNECs derived from CRSwNP(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in hNECs infected with RSV between eosinophilic CRSwNP(ECRSwNP)and non-eosinophilic CRSwNP(nonECRSwNP).CONCLUSION RSV infection could disrupt the epithelial barrier of the nasal mucosa,and patients with CRSwNP are more severely affected by RSV infection compared to healthy controls.The impact of RSV infection on mucosa between ECRSwNP group and nonECRSwNP group was no significant difference.
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A study of 2 health care claims databases (commercial, Medicaid) was undertaken to estimate the episodic cost of lower respiratory tract illness due to respiratory syncytial virus among infants aged <12 months overall, by age, and by birth gestational age. Among commercial-insured infants, mean costs were $28 812 for hospitalized episodes, $2575 for emergency department episodes, and $336 for outpatient clinic episodes. Costs were highest among infants aged <1 month and infants with a gestational age ≤32 weeks and were comparable among Medicaid-insured infants, albeit somewhat lower. The cost of lower respiratory tract illness due to respiratory syncytial virus during the acute phase of illness is high, especially among the youngest infants and those born premature.
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Hospitalización , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Humanos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/economía , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Lactante , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Recién Nacido , Hospitalización/economía , Femenino , Masculino , Medicaid/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/economía , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Costo de Enfermedad , Edad GestacionalRESUMEN
Introducción: Las infecciones agudas de vías respiratorias inferiores, de etiología viral, constituyen la principal causa de hospitalización y mortalidad infantil. El objetivo del presente estudio es conocer la frecuencia de las infecciones respiratorias agudas grave (IRAG) y los virus prevalentes en pacientes ≤15 años. Materiales y Métodos: Estudio observacional, descriptivo, producto de la vigilancia de IRAG, periodo enero/2019-mayo/2023. Se incluyeron todos los pacientes ≤15 años hospitalizados con diagnóstico de IRAG. Se analizaron datos demográficos, características clínicas y evolutivas. Resultados: Fueron hospitalizados 256 pacientes ≤15 años con diagnóstico de IRAG, 54,3%(139/256) de sexo masculino. El 69,1% correspondían a <2años, 15,6% de 2 a 4 años y 15,2% de 5 a 19 años. El 17,5% presentaban factores de riesgo. El 3,5% (9/256) tenía vacuna anti-influenza. El mayor número de casos se objetivó en 2019. En 2020 y 2021 se registró el menor número de casos, relacionado a la política de encierro durante la pandemia de COVID-19. El virus prevalente fue el Virus Sincitial Respiratorio (VSR). En el 2019, el VSR fue el virus más frecuente (p<0.0001.RR=1,56.IC95%= 1,18 - 2,06); el SARS - CoV2 fue el más frecuente en 2020. Según grupo etario el VSR fue más frecuente en <2 años (p<0.0001.RR=1,70.IC95%=1,18-2,06) y el SARS - CoV2 en los ≥2 años (p<0.0001.RR=2,50.IC95%=2,53-3,53). El VSR no fue asociado a factores de riesgo. El 39,4%(101/256) requirió ingreso a la UCIP, situación más frecuente en pacientes con factores de riesgo (21,7%vs14,8%,NS). El ingreso a UCI fue más frecuente en los <2 años (44,1% vs 29,1%;p<0,02.RR=1,51.IC95%=1,03-2,22). No hubo diferencias significativas del requerimiento de UCI y los virus aislados. La letalidad fue del 7,8%(20/256), más frecuente en el sexo femenino (p<0.02.RR=0,36.IC95%=0,1-0,9), no asociado a la edad ni etiología. Conclusion: La IRAG por VSR constituye una causa importante de hospitalización en <2 años, más frecuente en el sexo masculino. El ingreso a UCIP fue más frecuente en los <2años. La letalidad fue más frecuente en el sexo femenino.
Introduction: Acute lower respiratory tract infections, of viral etiology, are the main cause of hospitalization and infant mortality. The objective of the present study is to know the frequency of severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and prevalent viruses in patients ≤15 years of age. Materials and Methods: Observational, descriptive study, product of SARI surveillance, period January/2019-May/2023. All patients ≤15 years of age hospitalized with a diagnosis of SARI were included. Demographic data, clinical and evolutionary characteristics were analyzed. Results: 256 patients ≤15 years old with a diagnosis of SARI were hospitalized, 54.3% (139/256) male. 69.1% corresponded to <2 years, 15.6% from 2 to 4 years and 15.2% from 5 to 19 years. 17.5% had risk factors. 3.5% (9/256) had an anti-influenza vaccine. The highest number of cases was observed in 2019. In 2020 and 2021, the lowest number of cases was recorded, related to the confinement policy during the COVID-19 pandemic. The prevalent virus was Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV). In 2019, RSV was the most common virus (p<0.0001.RR=1.56.95%CI= 1.18 - 2.06); SARS - CoV2 was the most frequent in 2020. According to age group, RSV was more frequent in <2 years (p<0.0001.RR=1.70.CI95%=1.18-2.06) and SARS - CoV2 in those ≥2 years (p<0.0001.RR=2.50.95%CI=2.53-3.53). RSV was not associated with risk factors. 39.4% (101/256) required admission to the PICU, a more frequent situation in patients with risk factors (21.7% vs 14.8%,NS). Admission to the ICU was more frequent in those <2 years (44.1% vs 29.1%; p<0.02.RR=1.51.95%CI=1.03-2.22). There were no significant differences in the ICU requirement and the isolated viruses. The fatality rate was 7.8% (20/256), more frequent in females (p<0.02.RR=0.36.95%CI=0.1-0.9), not associated with age or etiology. Conclusion: SARI due to RSV is an important cause of hospitalization in <2 years, more frequent in males. Admission to the PICU was more frequent in those <2 years old. Fatality was more frequent in females.
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Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes disproportionate morbidity and mortality in vulnerable populations. We tested residents of homeless shelters in Seattle, Washington for RSV in a repeated cross-sectional study as part of community surveillance for respiratory viruses. Of 15 364 specimens tested, 35 had RSV detected, compared to 77 with influenza. The most common symptoms for both RSV and influenza were cough and rhinorrhea. Many individuals with RSV (39%) and influenza (58%) reported that their illness significantly impacted their ability to perform their regular activities. RSV and influenza demonstrated similar clinical presentations and burden of illness in vulnerable populations living in congregate settings.
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Personas con Mala Vivienda , Gripe Humana , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Virus , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Washingtón/epidemiología , Estudios TransversalesRESUMEN
RESUMEN INTRODUCCIÓN Los modelos matemáticos de la transmisión de enfermedades infecciosas permiten estudiar distintos mecanismos que afectan su comportamiento temporal. Este trabajo analizó el efecto sobre la dinámica de la influenza y el virus sincitial respiratorio (VSR) de la disminución de la transmisibilidad debida a las medidas de cuidado adoptadas para reducir la circulación de COVID-19. MÉTODOS Se empleó un modelo determinista tipo SIRS (susceptible-infectado-recuperado-susceptible) con modulación estacional para representar la influenza y el VSR, en ambos casos con inmunidad de corta duración y ciclo anual. Los cambios en la transmisibilidad de la enfermedad se modelaron reduciéndola durante dos años y planteando distintos escenarios. RESULTADOS En el modelo planteado, la reducción en la transmisibilidad genera cambios que se sostienen en los años siguientes: eventos epidémicos muy pronunciados con alargamiento del intervalo interbrote. Este efecto resulta dominante respecto del comportamiento estacional. El escenario de una reducción inicial de la transmisibilidad del 40% resulta compatible con el comportamiento de influenza y VSR reportados actualmente para Argentina. DISCUSIÓN El modelo general propuesto, en condiciones de disminución transitoria en la transmisibilidad, exhibe una epidemiología compatible con la observada recientemente en Argentina para ambas enfermedades e ilustra el modelado como herramienta útil en la comprensión de efectos no intuitivos.
ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION Mathematical models of infectious diseases transmission allow to study different mechanisms which affect their temporal behavior. This work analyzed the impact of the decrease in transmissibility, as a result of measures of personal care adopted to reduce circulation of COVID-19, on the dynamics of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). METHODS A deterministic SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible) model with seasonal modulation was used to represent two diseases with short-term immunity and annual cycle: influenza and RSV. Changes in disease transmissibility were modeled by reducing it for two years and analyzing different scenarios. RESULTS In the proposed model, transmissibility reduction brings changes which sustain in the following years: very pronounced epidemic events with lengthening of the inter-outbreak interval. This effect prevails over the seasonal behavior. The scenario of 40% initial reduction in transmissibility is compatible with the behavior of influenza and RSV currently reported in Argentina. DISCUSSION The general model proposed here, under conditions of temporary reduced transmissibility, shows an epidemiology compatible with recently reported data of influenza and RSV in Argentina. This result illustrates modeling as a useful tool to understand non-intuitive effects.
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OBJECTIVE: To identify and assess the current evidence available about the costs of managing hospitalized pediatric patients diagnosed with Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) and Parainfluenza Virus Type 3 (PIV3) in upper-middle-income countries. METHODS: The authors conducted a systematic review across seven key databases from database inception to July 2022. Costs extracted were converted into 2022 International Dollars using the Purchasing Power Parity-adjusted. PROSPERO identifier: CRD42020225757. RESULTS: No eligible study for PIV3 was recovered. For RSV, cost analysis and COI studies were performed for populations in Colombia, China, Malaysia, and Mexico. Comparing the total economic impact, the lowest cost per patient at the pediatric ward was observed in Malaysia ($ 347.60), while the highest was in Colombia ($ 709.66). On the other hand, at pediatric ICU, the lowest cost was observed in China ($ 1068.26), while the highest was in Mexico ($ 3815.56). Although there is no consensus on the major cost driver, all included studies described that the medications (treatment) consumed over 30% of the total cost. A high rate of inappropriate prescription drugs was observed. CONCLUSION: The present study highlighted how RSV infection represents a substantial economic burden to health care systems and to society. The findings of the included studies suggest a possible association between baseline risk status and expenditures. Moreover, it was observed that an important amount of the cost is destinated to treatments that have no evidence or support in most clinical practice guidelines.
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Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Humanos , Niño , Lactante , Países en Desarrollo , Estrés Financiero , Virus de la Parainfluenza 3 Humana , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Bronchiolitis is a major cause of infant illness, with few known modifiable risk factors. Breast feeding may reduce risk of severe bronchiolitis, but the association of exclusive vs. partial breast feeding with severe bronchiolitis is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the association of exclusive vs. partial breast feeding during ages 0-2.9 months with bronchiolitis hospitalisation during infancy. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study as a secondary analysis of two prospective US cohorts in the Multicenter Airway Research Collaboration. Cases were enrolled in a 17-centre study of infants hospitalised for bronchiolitis during 2011-2014 (n = 921). Controls were enrolled in a five-centre study of healthy infants during 2013-2014 and 2017 (n = 719). Breast feeding history during ages 0-2.9 months was collected by parent interview. Among breastfed infants, the association of exclusive vs. partial breast feeding with odds of bronchiolitis hospitalisation was estimated using a multivariable logistic regression model adjusted for demographic variables, parental asthma history, and early-life exposures. As a secondary analysis, we estimated the associations of exclusive, predominant, and occasional breast feeding vs. no breast feeding with the odds of bronchiolitis hospitalisation. RESULTS: Among 1640 infants, the prevalence of exclusive breast feeding was 187/921 (20.3%) among cases and 275/719 (38.3%) among controls. Exclusive vs. partial breast feeding was associated with 48% reduced odds of bronchiolitis hospitalisation (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39, 0.69). In the secondary analysis, exclusive vs. no breast feeding was associated with 58% reduced odds of bronchiolitis hospitalisation (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.23, 0.77), whereas predominant breast feeding (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.37, 1.57) and occasional breast feeding (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.57, 1.69) were not associated with meaningfully reduced odds of bronchiolitis hospitalisation. CONCLUSION: Exclusive breast feeding had a strong protective association against bronchiolitis hospitalisation.
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Lactancia Materna , Bronquiolitis , Lactante , Femenino , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Estudios Prospectivos , Bronquiolitis/epidemiología , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
Objective:To investigate the protective effect and mechanism of silymarin on bronchiolitis caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in mice.Methods:A mouse model of bronchiolitis was established by intranasal instillation of RSV. After successful modeling, the mice were randomly divided into a model group, a positive control group (ribavirin, 10 mg/kg), a low-dose silymarin group (25 mg/kg), a medium-dose silymarin group (50 mg/kg), and a high-dose silymarin group (100 mg/kg). In addition, a control group was established, with 12 mice in each group. The pulmonary index and RSV virus load were determined in each group of mice. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe the pathological changes in the lungs. The levels of interleukin-4 (IL-4), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β), IL-17, and IL-10 in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Flow cytometry was used to detect the proportion of helper T cells 17 (Th17) and regulatory T cells (Treg) in peripheral blood. Western blot was used to detect the expression levels of Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), myeloid differentiation factor 88 (MyD88), nuclear factor κB subunit p65 (NF-κB p65), and phosphorylated nuclear protein p-NF-κB p65 in lung tissue.Results:Compared with the model group, the pulmonary injury and inflammatory response were significantly improved in the medium-and high-dose silymarin groups. The pulmonary indexes were (1.27±0.17)% and (0.94±0.10)%, respectively, and the RSV virus loads were (2.65±0.19) and (2.13±0.14), respectively, which were significantly lower than those in the model group (all P<0.05). The proportion of Th17 cells in peripheral blood was (4.47±0.19)% and (3.52±0.13)%, respectively, which was significantly lower than that in the model group (all P<0.05), while the proportion of Treg cells in peripheral blood was (0.88±0.08)% and (1.33±0.12)%, respectively, which was significantly higher than that in the model group (all P<0.05). The expression levels of IL-4 and IL-17 in BALF and the protein expression levels of TLR4/NF-κB signaling pathway related proteins in lung tissue were significantly lower than those in the model group (all P<0.05), while the expression levels of IFN-γ, TGF-β, and IL-10 in BALF were significantly higher than those in the model group (all P<0.05). Conclusions:Silymarin can regulate immune function and inhibit inflammatory response, thereby improving airway inflammation in bronchiolitis mice. The mechanism may be related to inhibit activation of TLR4/NF-κB signaling pathway.
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Abstract Objective: To identify and assess the current evidence available about the costs of managing hospitalized pediatric patients diagnosed with Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) and Parainfluenza Virus Type 3 (PIV3) in upper-middle-income countries. Methods: The authors conducted a systematic review across seven key databases from database inception to July 2022. Costs extracted were converted into 2022 International Dollars using the Purchasing Power Parity-adjusted. PROSPERO identifier: CRD42020225757. Results: No eligible study for PIV3 was recovered. For RSV, cost analysis and COI studies were performed for populations in Colombia, China, Malaysia, and Mexico. Comparing the total economic impact, the lowest cost per patient at the pediatric ward was observed in Malaysia ($ 347.60), while the highest was in Colombia ($ 709.66). On the other hand, at pediatric ICU, the lowest cost was observed in China ($ 1068.26), while the highest was in Mexico ($ 3815.56). Although there is no consensus on the major cost driver, all included studies described that the medications (treatment) consumed over 30% of the total cost. A high rate of inappropriate prescription drugs was observed. Conclusion: The present study highlighted how RSV infection represents a substantial economic burden to health care systems and to society. The findings of the included studies suggest a possible association between baseline risk status and expenditures. Moreover, it was observed that an important amount of the cost is destinated to treatments that have no evidence or support in most clinical practice guidelines.
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@#Objective: Circulation patterns of influenza and other respiratory viruses have been globally disrupted since the emergence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the introduction of public health and social measures (PHSMs) aimed at reducing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. Methods: We reviewed respiratory virus laboratory data, Google mobility data and PHSMs in five geographically diverse regions in Australia and New Zealand. We also described respiratory virus activity from January 2017 to August 2021. Results: We observed a change in the prevalence of circulating respiratory viruses following the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020. Influenza activity levels were very low in all regions, lower than those recorded in 2017–2019, with less than 1% of laboratory samples testing positive for influenza virus. In contrast, rates of human rhinovirus infection were increased. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) activity was delayed; however, once it returned, most regions experienced activity levels well above those seen in 2017–2019. The timing of the resurgence in the circulation of both rhinovirus and RSV differed within and between the two countries. Discussion: The findings of this study suggest that as domestic and international borders are opened up and other COVID-19 PHSMs are lifted, clinicians and public health professionals should be prepared for resurgences in influenza and other respiratory viruses. Recent patterns in RSV activity suggest that these resurgences in non-COVID-19 viruses have the potential to occur out of season and with increased impact.