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OBJECTIVE: Accurate, safe glycemic management requires reliable delivery of insulin doses. Insulin can be delivered subcutaneously for action over a longer period of time. Needle-free jet injectors provide subcutaneous (SC) delivery without requiring needle use, but the volume of insulin absorbed varies due to losses associated with the delivery method. This study employs model-based methods to determine the expected proportion of active insulin present from a needle-free SC dose. METHODS: Insulin, C-peptide, and glucose assay data from a frequently sampled insulin-modified oral glucose tolerance test trial with 2U SC insulin delivery, paired with a well-validated metabolic model, predict metabolic outcomes for N = 7 healthy adults. Subject-specific nonlinear hepatic clearance profiles are modeled over time using third-order basis splines with knots located at assay times. Hepatic clearance profiles are constrained within a physiological rate of change, and relative to plasma glucose profiles. Insulin loss proportions yielding optimal insulin predictions are then identified, quantifying delivery losses. RESULTS: Optimal parameter identification suggests losses of up to 22% of the nominal 2U SC dose. The degree of loss varies between subjects and between trials on the same subject. Insulin fit accuracy improves where loss greater than 5% is identified, relative to where delivery loss is not modeled. CONCLUSIONS: Modeling shows needle-free SC jet injection of a nominal dose of insulin does not necessarily provide metabolic action equivalent to total dose, and this availability significantly varies between trials. By quantifying and accounting for variability of jet injection insulin doses, better glycemic management outcomes using SC jet injection may be achieved.
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Insulina Regular Humana , Insulina , Adulto , Humanos , Inyecciones a Chorro , Inyecciones Subcutáneas , Prueba de Tolerancia a la GlucosaRESUMEN
A valuable metric in understanding local infectious disease dynamics is the local time-varying reproduction number, i.e. the expected number of secondary local cases caused by each infected individual. Accurate estimation of this quantity requires distinguishing cases arising from local transmission from those imported from elsewhere. Realistically, we can expect identification of cases as local or imported to be imperfect. We study the propagation of such errors in estimation of the local time-varying reproduction number. In addition, we propose a Bayesian framework for estimation of the true local time-varying reproduction number when identification errors exist. And we illustrate the practical performance of our estimator through simulation studies and with outbreaks of COVID-19 in Hong Kong and Victoria, Australia. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.
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COVID-19 , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , ReproducciónRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Model-based metabolic tests require accurate identification of subject-specific parameters from measured assays. Insulin assays are used to identify insulin kinetics parameters, such as general and first-pass hepatic clearances. This study assesses the impact of intravenous insulin boluses on parameter identification precision. METHOD: Insulin and C-peptide data from two intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) trials of healthy adults (N = 10 × 2; denoted A and B), with (A) and without (B) insulin modification, were used to identify insulin kinetics parameters using a grid search. Monte Carlo analysis (N = 1000) quantifies variation in simulation error for insulin assay errors of 5%. A region of parameter values around the optimum was identified whose errors are within variation due to assay error. A smaller optimal region indicates more precise practical identifiability. Trial results were compared to assess identifiability and precision. RESULTS: Trial B, without insulin modification, has optimal parameter regions 4.7 times larger on average than Trial A, with 1-U insulin bolus modification. Ranges of optimal parameter values between trials A and B increase from 0.04 to 0.12 min-1 for hepatic clearance and from 0.07 to 0.14 for first-pass clearance on average. Trial B's optimal values frequently lie outside physiological ranges, further indicating lack of distinct identifiability. CONCLUSIONS: A small 1-U insulin bolus improves identification of hepatic clearance parameters by providing a smaller region of optimal parameter values. Adding an insulin bolus in metabolic tests can significantly improve identifiability and outcome test precision. Assay errors necessitate insulin modification in clinical tests to ensure identifiability and precision.
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Insulina , Modelos Biológicos , Adulto , Péptido C , Simulación por Computador , Prueba de Tolerancia a la Glucosa , Humanos , Insulina/metabolismo , CinéticaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Precise identification of landmarks on posteroanterior (PA) cephalograms is necessary when evaluating lateral problems such as facial asymmetry. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether the use of lateral (LA) cephalograms can reduce errors in landmark identification on PA cephalograms. METHODS: Five examiners identified 16 landmarks (Cg, N, ANS, GT, Me, RO, Lo, FM, Z, Or, Zyg, Cd, NC, Ms, M, and Ag) on 32 PA cephalograms with and without LA cephalograms at the same time. The positions of the landmarks were recorded and saved in the horizontal and vertical direction. The mean errors and standard deviation of landmarks location according to the use of LA cephalograms were compared for each landmark. RESULTS: Relatively small errors were found for ANS, Me, Ms, and Ag, while relatively large errors were found for N, GT, Z, Or, and Cd. No significant difference was found between the horizontal and vertical errors for Z and Or, while large vertical errors were found for N, GT, and Cd. The value of identification error was lower when the landmarks were identified using LA cephalograms. Statistically significant error reductions were found at N and Cd with LA cephalograms, especially in the vertical direction. CONCLUSIONS: The use of LA cephalograms during identification of landmarks on PA cephalograms could help reduce identification errors.
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OBJECTIVE: Precise identification of landmarks on posteroanterior (PA) cephalograms is necessary when evaluating lateral problems such as facial asymmetry. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether the use of lateral (LA) cephalograms can reduce errors in landmark identification on PA cephalograms. METHODS: Five examiners identified 16 landmarks (Cg, N, ANS, GT, Me, RO, Lo, FM, Z, Or, Zyg, Cd, NC, Ms, M, and Ag) on 32 PA cephalograms with and without LA cephalograms at the same time. The positions of the landmarks were recorded and saved in the horizontal and vertical direction. The mean errors and standard deviation of landmarks location according to the use of LA cephalograms were compared for each landmark. RESULTS: Relatively small errors were found for ANS, Me, Ms, and Ag, while relatively large errors were found for N, GT, Z, Or, and Cd. No significant difference was found between the horizontal and vertical errors for Z and Or, while large vertical errors were found for N, GT, and Cd. The value of identification error was lower when the landmarks were identified using LA cephalograms. Statistically significant error reductions were found at N and Cd with LA cephalograms, especially in the vertical direction. CONCLUSIONS: The use of LA cephalograms during identification of landmarks on PA cephalograms could help reduce identification errors.
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Asimetría FacialRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The eradication of errors regarding patients' identification is one of the main goals for safety improvement. As clinical laboratory intervenes in 70% of clinical decisions, laboratory safety is crucial in patient safety. We studied the number of Laboratory Information System (LIS) demographic data errors registered in our laboratory during one year. METHODS: The laboratory attends a variety of inpatients and outpatients. The demographic data of outpatients is registered in the LIS, when they present to the laboratory front desk. The requests from the primary care centers (PCC) are made electronically by the general practitioner. A manual step is always done at the PCC to conciliate the patient identification number in the electronic request with the one in the LIS. Manual registration is done through hospital information system demographic data capture when patient's medical record number is registered in LIS. Laboratory report is always sent out electronically to the patient's electronic medical record. Daily, every demographic data in LIS is manually compared to the request form to detect potential errors. RESULTS: Fewer errors were committed when electronic order was used. There was great error variability between PCC when using the electronic order. CONCLUSIONS: LIS demographic data manual registration errors depended on patient origin and test requesting method. Even when using the electronic approach, errors were detected. There was a great variability between PCC even when using this electronic modality; this suggests that the number of errors is still dependent on the personnel in charge of the technology.
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Servicios de Laboratorio Clínico , Errores Diagnósticos , Sistemas de Identificación de Pacientes , Humanos , EspañaRESUMEN
Objective To analyze the characteristics of patients involved in identification error events,try to recognize patients group who had high risk of being wrongly identified.Methods 68 patient identification error events in 64 hospitals in Liaoning province from 2007 to 2011 were investigated.The results were analyzed from four aspects,which were education,age,consciousness and sensory disability state of patients.Results 68 identification error events were investigated.Among these events,patients who graduated from middle school or less constituted 79.41% ;patients older than 60 years old constituted 55.88%;patients with hearing and speaking inability constituted 41.18%;patients without clear consciousness constitutes 14.70% Conclusions Patients who graduated from middle school or less,older than 60 years old,with heating and speaking inability constitute the group who has high risk of being wrongly identified.Enhancing the education of patients,promoting the use of wrist band,and decreasing the dependence on hearing and speaking ability during identification process constitute the main reformation aspect of new patient identification rules.