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1.
Ecol Evol ; 14(8): e70180, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39145039

RESUMEN

The Hemiptera insects are the largest incomplete metamorphosis insect group in Insecta and play a vital role in ecosystems and biodiversity. Previous studies on the spatial distribution of Hemiptera insects mainly focused on a specific region and insect, this study explored the spatial distribution characteristics of Hemiptera insects in China (national scale), and further clarified the dominant factors affecting their spatial distribution. We used spatial autocorrelation analysis, hot spot analysis, and standard ellipse to investigate the spatial distribution characteristics of Hemiptera insects in China. Furthermore, we used geographic detectors to identify the main factors affecting their spatial distribution under China's six agricultural natural divisions and explore the influencing mechanism of dominant factors. The results show that: (i) The spatial differentiation characteristics of Hemiptera insects in China are significant, and their distribution has obvious spatial agglomeration. The Hu Huanyong Line is an important dividing line for the spatial distribution of Hemiptera insects in China. From the city scale, the HH type (high-high cluster) is mainly distributed on both sides of the Hu Huanyong Line. (ii) The hot spots of Hemiptera insects are mainly distributed in southwest China, along the Qinling Mountains, the western side of the Wuyi Mountains, the Yinshan Mountains, the Liupanshan Mountains, the Xuefeng Mountains, the Nanling Mountains, and other mountainous areas. (iii) Under agricultural natural divisions, the influence of natural environmental factors on the spatial distribution of Hemiptera insects is obviously different. Temperature and precipitation are the dominant factors. Natural factors and socio-economic factors have formed a positive reinforcement interaction mode on the spatial distribution of Hemiptera insects. These can provide the decision-making basis for biodiversity conservation and efficient pest control.

2.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 18689, 2024 Aug 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39134640

RESUMEN

This study develops a systematic modeling framework, comprising a prediction model, a super-SBM model, and a spatial autocorrelation analysis model, to explore the spatial-temporal evolution tendencies of development efficiency within China's 30 regions in the low-carbon sports industry from 2006 to 2025. This framework aims to provide theoretical insights for the formulation of more targeted policies. Based on the empirical findings, the main conclusions of this study are as follows: (1) The optimal buffer operator grey prediction model demonstrates the highest accuracy among the prediction models examined. (2) The development efficiency curves of the 30 regions exhibit a significant increasing trend from 2006 to 2021, with values generally peaking between 0.4 and 0.6. (3) Notably, the disparity in development efficiency between developed and less developed regions is expected to progressively widen. (4) The development efficiency of the low-carbon sports industry across the 30 regions typically displays high-high clustering and low-low clustering during China's four five-year plan periods. This underscores the importance and urgency of promoting regional coordinated development within the low-carbon sports industry.

3.
Sci Total Environ ; 951: 175428, 2024 Aug 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39128527

RESUMEN

Urban environments are recognized as main anthropogenic contributors to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, characterized by unevenly distributed emission sources over the urban environments. However, spatial GHG distributions in urban regions are typically obtained through monitoring at only a limited number of locations, or through model studies, which can lead to incomplete insights into the heterogeneity in the spatial distribution of GHGs. To address such information gap and to evaluate the spatial representation of a planned GHG monitoring network, a custom-developed atmospheric sampler was deployed on a UAV platform in this study to map the CO2 and CH4 mixing ratios in the atmosphere over Zhengzhou in central China, a megacity of nearly 13 million people. The aerial survey was conducted along the main roads at an altitude of 150 m above ground, covering a total distance of 170 km from the city center to the suburbs. The spatial distributions of CO2 and CH4 mixing ratios in Zhengzhou exhibited distinct heterogeneities, with average mixing ratios of CO2 and CH4 at 439.2 ± 10.8 ppm and 2.12 ± 0.04 ppm, respectively. A spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed on the measured GHG mixing ratios across the city, revealing a spatial correlation range of approximately 2 km for both CO2 and CH4 in the urban area. Such a spatial autocorrelation distance suggests that the urban GHG monitoring network designed for emission inversion purposes need to have a spatial resolution of 4 km to characterize the spatial heterogeneities in the GHGs. This UAV-based measurement approach demonstrates its capability to monitor GHG mixing ratios across urban landscapes, providing valuable insights for GHG monitoring network design.

4.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1426503, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39175902

RESUMEN

Background: Pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) is a major infectious disease that threatens human health. China is a high tuberculosis-burden country and the Hunan Province has a high tuberculosis notification rate. However, no comprehensive analysis has been conducted on the spatiotemporal distribution of PTB in the Hunan Province. Therefore, this study investigated the spatiotemporal distribution of PTB in the Hunan Province to enable targeted control policies for tuberculosis. Methods: We obtained data about cases of PTB in the Hunan Province notified from January 2014 to December 2022 from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Time-series analysis was conducted to analyze the trends in PTB case notifications. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was conducted to detect the spatial distribution characteristics of PTB at a county level in Hunan Province. Space-time scan analysis was conducted to confirm specific times and locations of PTB clustering. Results: A total of 472,826 new cases of PTB were notified in the Hunan Province during the 9-year study period. The mean PTB notification rate showed a gradual, fluctuating downward trend over time. The number of PTB notifications per month showed significant seasonal variation, with an annual peak in notifications in January or March, followed by a fluctuating decline after March, reaching a trough in November or December. Moran's I index of spatial autocorrelation revealed that the notification rate of PTB by county ranged from 0.117 to 0.317 during the study period, indicating spatial clustering. The hotspot areas of PTB were mainly concentrated in the Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture, Zhangjiajie City, and Hengyang City. The most likely clustering region was identified in the central-southern part of the province, and a secondary clustering region was identified in the northwest part of the province. Conclusion: This study identified the temporal trend and spatial distribution pattern of tuberculosis in the Hunan Province. PTB clustered mainly in the central-southern and northwestern regions of the province. Disease control programs should focus on strengthening tuberculosis control in these regions.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Tuberculosis Pulmonar , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Estaciones del Año , Persona de Mediana Edad , Notificación de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente
5.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1423108, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39148647

RESUMEN

Background: This study examines the factors affecting unmet healthcare experiences by integrating individual-and community-level extinction indices. Methods: Using spatial autocorrelation and multilevel modeling, the study utilizes data from the Community Health Survey and Statistics Korea for 218 local government regions from 2018 to 2019. Results: The analysis identifies significant clustering, particularly in non-metropolitan regions with a higher local extinction index. At the individual level, some factors affect unmet medical needs, and unmet healthcare needs increase as the local extinction index at the community level increases. Conclusion: The findings underscore the need for strategic efforts to enhance regional healthcare accessibility, particularly for vulnerable populations and local infrastructure development.


Asunto(s)
Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Necesidades y Demandas de Servicios de Salud , Disparidades en Atención de Salud , Humanos , República de Corea , Anciano , Femenino , Masculino , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Necesidades y Demandas de Servicios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Encuestas Epidemiológicas
6.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 761, 2024 Jul 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39085765

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Spatiotemporal analysis is a vital method that plays an indispensable role in monitoring epidemiological changes in diseases and identifying high-risk clusters. However, there is still a blank space in the spatial and temporal distribution of tuberculosis (TB) incidence rate in Pudong New Area, Shanghai. Consequently, it is crucial to comprehend the spatiotemporal distribution of TB in this district, this will guide the prevention and control of TB in the district. METHODS: Our research used Geographic Information System (GIS) visualization, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and space-time scan analysis to analyze the TB incidence reported in the Pudong New Area of Shanghai from 2014 to 2023, and described the spatiotemporal clustering and seasonal hot spot distribution of TB incidence. RESULTS: From 2014 to 2023, the incidence of TB in the Pudong New Area decreased, and the mortality was at a low level. The incidence of TB in different towns/streets has declined. The spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed that the incidence of TB was spatially clustered in 2014, 2016-2018, and 2022, with the highest clusters in 2014 and 2022. The high clustering area was mainly concentrated in the northeast. The space-time scan analysis indicated that the most likely cluster was located in 12 towns/streets, with a period of 2014-2018 and a radiation radius of 15.74 km. The heat map showed that there was a correlation between TB incidence and seasonal variations. CONCLUSIONS: From 2014 to 2023, the incidence of TB in the Pudong New Area of Shanghai declined, but there were spatiotemporal clusters and seasonal correlations in the incidence area. Local departments should formulate corresponding intervention measures, especially in high-clustering areas, to achieve accurate prevention and control of TB within the most effective time and scope.


Asunto(s)
Estaciones del Año , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Tuberculosis , China/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Sistemas de Información Geográfica , Análisis por Conglomerados
7.
Front Plant Sci ; 15: 1361297, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39036357

RESUMEN

Because of the high cost of manual surveys, the analysis of spatial change of forest structure at the regional scale faces a difficult challenge. Spaceborne LiDAR can provide global scale sampling and observation. Taking this opportunity, dense natural forest canopy cover (NFCC) observations obtained by combining spaceborne LiDAR data, plot survey, and machine learning algorithm were used as spatial attributes to analyze the spatial effects of NFCC. Specifically, based on ATL08 (Land and Vegetation Height) product generated from Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite-2/Advanced Topographic Laser Altimeter System (ICESat-2/ATLAS) data and 80 measured plots, the NFCC values located at the LiDAR's footprint locations were predicted by the ML model. Based on the predicted NFCC, the spatial effects of NFCC were analyzed by Moran's I and semi-variogram. The results showed that (1) the Random Forest (RF) model had the strongest predicted performance among the built ML models (R2=0.75, RMSE=0.09); (2) the NFCC had a positive spatial correlation (Moran's I = 0.36), that is, the CC of adjacent natural forest footprints had similar trends or values, belonged to the spatial agglomeration distribution; the spatial variation was described by the exponential model (C0 = 0.12×10-2, C = 0.77×10-2, A0 = 10200 m); (3) topographic factors had significant effects on NFCC, among which elevation was the largest, slope was the second, and aspect was the least; (4) the NFCC spatial distribution obtained by SGCS was in great agreement with the footprint NFCC (R2 = 0.59). The predictions generated from the RF model constructed using ATL08 data offer a dependable data source for the spatial effects analysis.

8.
Sci Total Environ ; 948: 174843, 2024 Oct 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39019285

RESUMEN

Freshwater ecosystems offer a variety of ecosystem services, and water quality is essential information for understanding their environment, biodiversity, and functioning. Interpolation by smoothing methods is a widely used approach to obtain temporal and/or spatial patterns of water quality from sampled data. However, when these methods are applied to freshwater systems, ignoring terrestrial areas that act as physical barriers may affect the structure of spatial autocorrelation and introduce bias into the estimates. In this study, we applied stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) smoothing methods with barriers to spatial interpolation and spatiotemporal interpolation on water quality indices (chemical oxygen demand, phosphate phosphorus, and nitrite nitrogen) in a freshwater system in Japan. Then, we compared the estimation bias and accuracy with those of conventional non-barrier models. The results showed that the estimation bias of spatial interpolations of snapshot data was improved by considering physical barriers (5.8 % for (chemical oxygen demand, 22.5 % for phosphate phosphorus, and 21.6 % for nitrite nitrogen). The prediction accuracy was comparable to that of the non-barrier model. These were consistent with the expectation that accounting for physical barriers would capture realistic spatial correlations and reduce estimation bias, but would increase the variance of the estimates due to the limited information that can be gained from the neighbourhood. On the other hand, for spatiotemporal smoothing, the barrier model was comparable to the non-barrier model in terms of both estimation bias and prediction accuracy. This may be due to the availability of information in the time direction for interpolation. These results demonstrate the advantage of considering barriers when the available data are limited, such as snapshot data. SPDE smoothing methods can be widely applied to interpolation of various environmental and biological indices in river systems and are expected to be powerful tools for studying freshwater systems spatially and temporally.

9.
Sci Total Environ ; 947: 174727, 2024 Oct 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39002577

RESUMEN

The widespread spread of antibiotics in the environment poses a growing threat to human health. This study investigated the distribution and fate of antibiotics concerning land use characteristics, hydrological conditions, and spatial contiguity within a megacity river network. Temporally, the average concentrations of twenty antibiotics in water (354 ng/L), suspended particulate matter (SPM) (46 ng/L), and sediment (151 ng/g) during dry season were notably higher than that in the corresponding environment media (water: 127 ng/L, SPM: 2 ng/L, and sediment: 49 ng/g) during the wet season. Moreover, the inter-annual variation of antibiotics in water showed a decreasing trend. Spatially, substantial antibiotic contamination was observed in a human-intensive watershed, particularly in the upstream and central city sections. The macrolides in water were most affected by land use types and hydrological processes. Antibiotic contamination in water exhibited a stronger spatial autocorrelation compared to other media. Nevertheless, the interconnectedness of antibiotic contamination in sediments during the wet season warrants attention, and relevant authorities should enhance environmental monitoring in watersheds with pollution hotspots. Certain antibiotics, such as sulfamethoxazole, enrofloxacin, and florfenicol, were transported via urban rivers to the ocean, potentially posing environmental risks to coastal water quality. Local sources accounted for the predominant portion (>50 %) of most antibiotics in various media. The correlation distances of antibiotics in waters during the wet season could screen ecological risk prioritization in aquatic environments.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Ríos , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua , Ríos/química , Antibacterianos/análisis , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis , Sedimentos Geológicos/química , Ciudades
10.
Sci Total Environ ; 947: 174290, 2024 Oct 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38969130

RESUMEN

Urban waterlogging poses a severe threat to lives and property globally, making it crucial to identify the distribution of urban value and waterlogging risk. Previous research has overlooked the heterogeneity of value and risk in spatial distribution. To identify the overlay effect of urban land value and risk, this study employs the Entropy Weighting Method (EM) to assess urban value, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to determine waterlogging risk and key areas (RK), local Moran's I (SC) to identify key areas (HK), and finally Bivariate local Moran's I (DC) to comprehensively evaluate urban value and waterlogging risk to delineate key areas (BH). The results indicate that waterlogging risk is primarily influenced by proximity to water systems (PCA coefficient: 0.567), population density (0.550), and rainfall (0.445). There is a positive correlation between urban value and waterlogging risk, with a global Moran's I of 0.536, indicating that areas with higher urban value also face greater waterlogging risk. The DC method improved identification precision, reducing the BH area by 6.42 and 3.51 km2 compared to RK and HK, accounting for 25.50 % and 15.76 % of the RK and HK identified areas, respectively. At present, rescue resources can access less than one-third of the area within 5 min, but with the DC method, during the centennial rainfall scenario, the accessibility rate within 5 min for the BH area reaches 63 %, and all BH key areas can be covered within 15 min. This study provides a new methodology for identifying key areas of waterlogging disasters and can be used to enhance urban rescue efficiency and the precision management of flood disasters.

11.
Sci Total Environ ; 947: 174408, 2024 Oct 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38972407

RESUMEN

Big data have become increasingly important for policymakers and scientists but have yet to be employed for the development of spatially specific groundwater contamination indices or protecting human and environmental health. The current study sought to develop a series of indices via analyses of three variables: Non-E. coli coliform (NEC) concentration, E. coli concentration, and the calculated NEC:E. coli concentration ratio. A large microbial water quality dataset comprising 1,104,094 samples collected from 292,638 Ontarian wells between 2010 and 2021 was used. Getis-Ord Gi* (Gi*), Local Moran's I (LMI), and space-time scanning were employed for index development based on identified cluster recurrence. Gi* and LMI identify hot and cold spots, i.e., spatially proximal subregions with similarly high or low contamination magnitudes. Indices were statistically compared with mapped well density and age-adjusted enteric infection rates (i.e., campylobacteriosis, cryptosporidiosis, giardiasis, verotoxigenic E. coli (VTEC) enteritis) at a subregional (N = 298) resolution for evaluation and final index selection. Findings suggest that index development via Gi* represented the most efficacious approach. Developed Gi* indices exhibited no correlation with well density, implying that indices are not biased by rural population density. Gi* indices exhibited positive correlations with mapped infection rates, and were particularly associated with higher bacterial (Campylobacter, VTEC) infection rates among younger sub-populations (p < 0.05). Conversely, no association was found between developed indices and giardiasis rates, an infection not typically associated with private groundwater contamination. Findings suggest that a notable proportion of bacterial infections are associated with groundwater and that the developed Gi* index represents an appropriate spatiotemporal reflection of long-term groundwater quality. Bacterial infection correlations with the NEC:E. coli ratio index (p < 0.001) were markedly different compared to correlations with the E. coli index, implying that the ratio may supplement E. coli monitoring as a groundwater assessment metric capable of elucidating contamination mechanisms. This study may serve as a methodological blueprint for the development of big data-based groundwater contamination indices across the globe.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo del Ambiente , Escherichia coli , Agua Subterránea , Microbiología del Agua , Agua Subterránea/microbiología , Ontario/epidemiología , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Escherichia coli/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Calidad del Agua , Contaminación del Agua/estadística & datos numéricos , Contaminación del Agua/análisis
12.
J Environ Manage ; 366: 121745, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38991355

RESUMEN

Identifying the response characteristics of ecosystem service value (ESV) to changes in spatial scales, known as spatial scale effects, is crucial in guiding the development of corresponding management strategies. This paper examines ESV in China's terrestrial area during the year 2020, revealing the spatial aggregation characteristics of ESV and the trade-off and synergistic relationships of ecosystem services at different spatial scales, ranging from 1 km × 1 km-10 km × 10 km, with a gradient of 1 km. The results indicate: 1) The distribution pattern of ESV in China's terrestrial area is "high in the southeast and low in the northwest." 2) The spatial characteristics of ESV in China's terrestrial area undergo a distinct transition at the 3 km × 3 km scale. In detail, the spatial clustering features show a trend of first rising and then falling with the increase in spatial scale, while the synergistic relationships between different ecosystem services strengthen and the trade-off relationships weaken with the increase of the spatial scale. These findings can inform the formulation of differentiated ecological protection compensation policies and enable cross-area trading of ecological values in China.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Ecosistema , China
13.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1366327, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38962768

RESUMEN

Introduction: Enhancing the efficiency of primary healthcare services is essential for a populous and developing nation like China. This study offers a systematic analysis of the efficiency and spatial distribution of primary healthcare services in China. It elucidates the fundamental landscape and regional variances in efficiency, thereby furnishing a scientific foundation for enhancing service efficiency and fostering coordinated regional development. Methods: Employs a three-stage DEA-Malmquist model to assess the efficiency of primary healthcare services across 31 provincial units in mainland China from 2012 to 2020. Additionally, it examines the spatial correlation of efficiency distribution using the Moran Index. Results: The efficiency of primary healthcare services in China is generally suboptimal with a noticeable declining trend, highlighting significant potential for improvement in both pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency. There is a pronounced efficiency gap among provinces, yet a positive spatial correlation is evident. Regionally, efficiency ranks in the order of East > Central > West. Factors such as GDP per capita and population density positively influence efficiency enhancements, while urbanization levels and government health expenditures appear to have a detrimental impact. Discussion: The application of the three-stage DEA-Malmquist model and the Moran Index not only expands the methodological framework for researching primary healthcare service efficiency but also provides scientifically valuable insights for enhancing the efficiency of primary healthcare services in China and other developing nations.


Asunto(s)
Eficiencia Organizacional , Atención Primaria de Salud , China , Humanos , Análisis Espacial , Gastos en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Teóricos
14.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(13)2024 Jun 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39001016

RESUMEN

When using ground-based synthetic aperture radar (GB-SAR) for monitoring open-pit mines, dynamic atmospheric conditions can interfere with the propagation speed of electromagnetic waves, resulting in atmospheric phase errors. These errors are particularly complex in rapidly changing weather conditions or steep terrain, significantly impacting monitoring accuracy. In such scenarios, traditional regression model-based atmospheric phase correction (APC) methods often become unsuitable. To address this issue, this paper proposes a clustering method based on the spatial autocorrelation function. First, the interferogram is uniformly divided into multiple blocks, and the phase consistency of each block is evaluated using the spatial autocorrelation function. Then, a region growing algorithm is employed to classify each block according to its phase pattern, followed by merging adjacent blocks based on statistical data. To verify the feasibility of the proposed method, both the traditional regression model-based method and the proposed method were applied to deformation monitoring of an open-pit mine in Northwest China. The experimental results show that for complex atmospheric phase scenarios, the proposed method significantly outperformed traditional methods, demonstrating its superiority.

15.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1381204, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38993698

RESUMEN

Objective: Exploring the Incidence, Epidemic Trends, and Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Sporadic Hepatitis E in Hainan Province from 2013 to 2022 through four major tertiary hospitals in the Province. Methods: We collected data on confirmed cases of hepatitis E in Hainan residents admitted to the four major tertiary hospitals in Haikou City from January 2013 to December 2022. We used SPSS software to analyze the correlation between incidence rate and economy, population density and geographical location, and origin software to draw a scatter chart and SAS 9.4 software to conduct a descriptive analysis of the time trend. The distribution was analyzed using ArcMap 10.8 software (spatial autocorrelation analysis, hotspot identification, concentration, and dispersion trend analysis). SAS software was used to build an autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) to predict the monthly number of cases in 2023 and 2024. Results: From 2013 to 2022, 1,922 patients with sporadic hepatitis E were treated in the four hospitals of Hainan Province. The highest proportion of patients (n = 555, 28.88%) were aged 50-59 years. The annual incidence of hepatitis E increased from 2013 to 2019, with a slight decrease in 2020 and 2021 and an increase in 2022. The highest number of cases was reported in Haikou, followed by Dongfang and Danzhou. We found that there was a correlation between the economy, population density, latitude, and the number of cases, with the correlation coefficient |r| value fluctuating between 0.403 and 0.421, indicating a linear correlation. At the same time, a scatter plot shows the correlation between population density and incidence from 2013 to 2022, with r2 values fluctuating between 0.5405 and 0.7116, indicating a linear correlation. Global Moran's I, calculated through spatial autocorrelation analysis, showed that each year from 2013 to 2022 all had a Moran's I value >0, indicating positive spatial autocorrelation (p < 0.01). Local Moran's I analysis revealed that from 2013 to 2022, local hotspots were mainly concentrated in the northern part of Hainan Province, with Haikou, Wenchang, Ding'an, and Chengmai being frequent hotspot regions, whereas Baoting, Qiongzhong, and Ledong were frequent cold-spot regions. Concentration and dispersion analysis indicated a clear directional pattern in the average density distribution, moving from northeast to southwest. Time-series forecast modeling showed that the forecast number of newly reported cases per month remained relatively stable in 2023 and 2024, fluctuating between 17 and 19. Conclusion: The overall incidence of hepatitis E in Hainan Province remains relatively stable. The incidence of hepatitis E in Hainan Province increased from 2013 to 2019, with a higher clustering of cases in the northeast region and a gradual spread toward the southwest over time. The ARIMA model predicted a relatively stable number of new cases each month in 2023 and 2024.


Asunto(s)
Hepatitis E , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Hepatitis E/epidemiología , Adulto , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , Centros de Atención Terciaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente
16.
J Family Med Prim Care ; 13(6): 2341-2347, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39027864

RESUMEN

Background: A child is a nation's supreme asset and future. India homes 444 million children, aged between 0 and 18 years, contributing to 19% of the world's children. Crime against children is detrimental to their mental and physical health and affects their growth and development. The National Crime Record Bureau recently reported that a crime targeting children happens every 4 minutes. There is a paucity of literature regarding the burden of crime against children. To understand the magnitude and spatial distribution of crime against children, a retrospective surveillance study was conducted in the state of Tamil Nadu, India, from 2017 to 2021. Materials and Methods: This is a cross-sectional analytical type of study conducted in KIMSRC, Chengalpattu, Tamil Nadu. The data from the yearly crime review bulletin of Tamil Nadu from 2017 to 2021 were cleaned, transformed, and analyzed using Python v3.8 and subjected to geospatial auto-correlation and hotspot analysis using the Getis-Ord Gi* in ArcGIS Pro v3.1. The endemicity pattern was studied through cluster analysis with Hierarchical Density Based Scanning in Python and visualization in ArcGIS pro v3.1 in the study area. Results: In Tamil Nadu, only one hotspot district in 2017 [Tiruppattur (95% confidence, P < 0.05)] and one hotspot in 2020 [Villupuram (90% confidence, P < 0.1)] were identified, with others being insignificant. The districts which show very high prevalence of crimes against children are Chennai, Ranipet, Chengalpattu, Viluppuram, Tiruvannamalai, Vellore, Tiruppattur, Krishnagiri, Dharmapuri, Salem, Cuddalore, Thanjavur, Tiruchirappalli, Karur, Tiruppur, Coimbatore, Dindigul, Pudukkottai, Sivaganga, Tenkasi, Thoothukkudi, Tirunelveli, and Kanniyakumari. Conclusion: This study identifies key areas within the state of Tamil Nadu which have a high prevalence of crimes against children and also areas that are hotspots for such crimes. Greater resources and measures can now be targeted toward these areas by stakeholders, which can help in the reduction of crimes against children.

17.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(8): 740, 2024 Jul 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39012437

RESUMEN

Land use land cover (LULC) change, global environmental change, and sustainable change are frequently discussed topics in research at the moment. It is important to determine the historical LULC change process for effective environmental planning and the most appropriate use of land resources. This study analysed the spatial autocorrelation of the land use structure in Konya between 1990 and 2018. For this, Global and Local Moran's I indices based on land use data from 122 neighbourhoods and hot spot analysis (Getis-Ord Gi*) methods were applied to measure the spatial correlation of changes and to determine statistically significant hot and cold spatial clusters. According to the research results, the growth of urban areas has largely destroyed the most productive agricultural lands in the region. This change showed high spatial clustering both on an area and a proportional basis in the northern and southern parts of the city. On the other hand, the growth in the industrial area suppressed the pasture areas the most in the north-eastern region of the city, and this region showed high spatial clustering on both spatial and proportional scales.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura , Ciudades , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Análisis Espacial , Urbanización , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Agricultura/métodos , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/métodos , Turquía
18.
Huan Jing Ke Xue ; 45(6): 3297-3307, 2024 Jun 08.
Artículo en Chino | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38897752

RESUMEN

Land use changes lead to changes in the functions of different types of carbon sources and sinks, which are key sources of carbon emissions. The study of carbon emissions and its influencing factors in the Aksu River Basin from the perspective of land use change is of great importance for the promotion of integrated protection and restoration of mountains, water, forests, fields, lakes, grasslands, sand, and ice in the basin and to help achieve the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. Based on four periods of land use data and socio-economic data from 1990 to 2020, the total carbon emissions from land use were measured, and the spatial and temporal trajectories of carbon emissions and their influencing factors were explored. The results showed that:① from 1990 to 2020, arable land, forest land, construction land, and unused land showed a general increasing trend, whereas grasslands and water areas showed a decreasing trend. The spatial change in land use types was mainly characterized by the conversion of grasslands and unused land into arable land, and 83.58 % of the arable land conversion areas were concentrated in the southwest of Wensu, Aksu, and the northern part of Awat. ② The total net carbon emissions in the basin showed a continuous growth trend from 1990 to 2020, with a cumulative increase of 14.78×104 t. The increase in arable land was a key factor causing an increase in net carbon emissions in the basin. ③ The spatial distribution pattern of land use carbon emissions in the basin was high in the middle and low in the fourth, with significant changes in net carbon emissions mainly in the southern part of Wensu, Aksu, Awat, and Alaer. ④ Human activities had the strongest driving effect on land use carbon emissions, with their effects gradually increasing from east to west. The contribution of average annual temperature to land use carbon emissions was mainly concentrated in the eastern part of Aksu and the northern part of Awat, whereas average annual rainfall had a strong inhibitory effect on the northern part of Wensu and the western part of Aheqi.

19.
J Safety Res ; 89: 251-261, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38858048

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: There is regional diversity inside countries regarding road safety indices (RSIs), and countries rarely have been compared based on these indicators. Thus, regional RSIs of England, the United States, Egypt, and Turkey were evaluated. Regional data were collected from the statistical center of each country. The adopted regional RSIs include road fatalities, health risk (HR) or fatalities per population, and traffic risk (TR) or fatalities per number of vehicles. The associations between variables were examined using correlation and regression analysis. The spatial distributions of subdivisions were evaluated using Moran's I, the local Moran index. RESULTS: Considerable differences between the countries were observed, including differences in the spatial distribution of regions and associations between RSIs. Significant relationships were detected between road fatality, population, and the number of motor vehicles. Higher exposure rates mean higher fatalities in regions. A robust linear relationship between the HR and TR indices was identified in developed countries. There is a nonlinear and significant association between motorization rates and TR indices of regions, and fatality risk decreases as the motorization rate increases. There is a considerable gap between developed and developing countries regarding regional RSIs, and the transferability of road safety models from one country to another is challenging. Huge hotspots regarding RSIs were observed in Turkey and the United States. The locations of hot spots in terms of the risk indices were identical in the developed countries.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Accidentes de Tránsito/mortalidad , Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Turquía/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Egipto/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Seguridad/estadística & datos numéricos , Medición de Riesgo
20.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 24(1): 726, 2024 Jun 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38872151

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In China, economic, urbanization, and policy differences between the eastern and western regions lead to uneven healthcare resources. This disparity is more pronounced in the west due to fewer healthcare personnel per thousand individuals and imbalanced doctor-to-nurse ratios, which exacerbates healthcare challenges. This study examines the spatial distribution of human resources in maternal and child healthcare from 2016 to 2021, highlighting regional disparities and offering insights for future policy development. METHODS: The data were sourced from the "China Health and Family Planning Statistical Yearbook" (2017) and the "China Health and Health Statistics Yearbook" (2018-2022). This study utilized GeoDa 1.8.6 software to conduct both global and local spatial autocorrelation analyses, using China's administrative map as the base dataset. RESULTS: From 2016 to 2021, there was an upward trend in the number of health personnel and various types of health technical personnel in Chinese maternal and child healthcare institutions. The spatial distribution of these personnel from 2016 to 2021 revealed clusters characterized as high-high, low-low, high-low and low-high. Specifically, high-high clusters were identified in Guangxi, Hunan, Jiangxi, and Guangdong provinces; low-low in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region; high-low in Sichuan province; and low-high in Fujian and Anhui provinces. CONCLUSIONS: From 2016 to 2021, there was evident spatial clustering of health personnel and various health technical personnel in Chinese maternal and child healthcare institutions, indicating regional imbalances.


Asunto(s)
Asignación de Recursos , Humanos , China , Femenino , Análisis Espacial , Niño , Personal de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Fuerza Laboral en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicios de Salud Materno-Infantil/estadística & datos numéricos
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