Kinetics of plasma cell-free DNA as a prospective biomarker to predict the prognosis and radiotherapy effect of esophageal cancer.

PURPOSE: The lack of reliable biomarkers for the prognosis and radiotherapy efficacy in esophageal cancer (EC) necessitates further research. The aim of our study was to investigate the predictive utility of plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) kinetics in patients with EC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data and cfDNA levels (pre-radiotherapy [pre-RT] and post-radiotherapy [post-RT]) and the cfDNA kinetics (cfDNA ratio: post-RT cfDNA/pre-RT cfDNA) of 88 patients. We employed Kaplan-Meier curves to examine the relationship between cfDNA and overall survival (OS) as well as progression-free survival (PFS). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were executed to ascertain the independent risk factors in EC. RESULTS: The pre-RT cfDNA levels were positively correlated with clinical stage (P=0.001). The pre-RT cfDNA levels (cutoff value=16.915ng/mL), but not the post-RT cfDNA levels, were linked to a diminished OS (P<0.001) and PFS (P=0.0137). CfDNA kinetics (cutoff value=0.883) were positively associated with OS (P=0.0326) and PFS (P=0.0020). Notably, we identified independent risk factors for OS in EC treated with RT, including cfDNA ratio (high/low) (HR=0.447 [0.221-0.914] P=0.025), ECOG (0/1/2) (HR=0.501 [0.285-0.880] p=0.016), and histological type (esophagal squamous cell carcinoma [ESCC]/non-ESCC) (HR=3.973 [1.074-14.692] P=0.039). CONCLUSION: Plasma cfDNA kinetics is associated with prognosis and radiotherapy effect in EC undergoing RT, suggesting potential clinical application of a cheap and simple blood-based test.

[Development and validation of predictive models for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and its precancerous lesions using terminal motif analysis in circulating cell-free DNA].

Objectives: To develop and validate predictive models for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) using circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) terminal motif analysis. The goal was to improve the non-invasive detection of early-stage ESCC and its precancerous lesions. Methods: Between August 2021 and November 2022, we prospectively collected plasma samples from 448 individuals at the Department of Endoscopy, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences for cfDNA extraction, library construction, and sequencing. We analyzed 201 cases of ESCC, 46 high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (HGIN), 46 low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN), 176 benign esophageal lesions, and 29 healthy controls. Participants, including ESCC patients and control subjects, were randomly assigned to a training set (n=284) and a validation set (n=122). The training cohort underwent z-score normalization of cfDNA terminal motif matrices and a selection of distinctive features differentiated ESCC cases from controls. The random forest classifier, Motif-1 (M1), was then developed through principal component analysis, ten-fold cross-validation, and recursive feature elimination. M1's efficacy was then validated in the validation and precancerous lesion sets. Subsequently, individuals with precancerous lesions were included in the dataset and participants were randomly allocated to newly formed training (n=243), validation (n=105), and test (n=150) cohorts. Using the same procedure as M1, we trained the Motif-2 (M2) random forest model with the training cohort. The M2 model's accuracy was then confirmed in the validation cohort to establish the optimal threshold and further tested by performing validation in the test cohort. Results: We developed two cfDNA terminal motif-based predictive models for ESCC and associated precancerous conditions. The first model, M1, achieved a sensitivity of 90.0%, a specificity of 77.4%, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.884 in the validation cohort. For LGIN, HGIN, and T1aN0 stage ESCC, M1's sensitivities were 76.1%, 80.4%, and 91.2% respectively. Notably, the sensitivity for jointly predicting HGIN and T1aN0 ESCC reached 85.0%. Both the predictive accuracy and sensitivity increased in line with the cancer's progression (P＜0.001). The second model, M2, exhibited a sensitivity of 87.5%, a specificity of 77.4%, and an AUC of 0.857 in the test cohort. M2's sensitivities for detecting precancerous lesions and ESCC were 80.0% and 89.7%, respectively, and it showed a combined sensitivity of 89.4% for HGIN and T1aN0 stage ESCC. Conclusions: Two predictive models based on cfDNA terminal motif analysis for ESCC and its precancerous lesions are developed. They both show high sensitivity and specificity in identifying ESCC and its precancerous stages, indicating its potential for early ESCC detection.

Plasma-based lipidomics reveals potential diagnostic biomarkers for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a retrospective study.

Background: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is highly prevalent and has a high mortality rate. Traditional diagnostic methods, such as imaging examinations and blood tumor marker tests, are not effective in accurately diagnosing ESCC due to their low sensitivity and specificity. Esophageal endoscopic biopsy, which is considered as the gold standard, is not suitable for screening due to its invasiveness and high cost. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a convenient and low-cost diagnostic method for ESCC using plasma-based lipidomics analysis combined with machine learning (ML) algorithms. Methods: Plasma samples from a total of 40 ESCC patients and 31 healthy controls were used for lipidomics study. Untargeted lipidomics analysis was conducted through liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) analysis. Differentially expressed lipid features were filtered based on multivariate and univariate analysis, and lipid annotation was performed using MS-DIAL software. Results: A total of 99 differential lipids were identified, with 15 up-regulated lipids and 84 down-regulated lipids, suggesting their potential as diagnostic targets for ESCC. In the single-lipid plasma-based diagnostic model, nine specific lipids (FA 15:4, FA 27:1, FA 28:7, FA 28:0, FA 36:0, FA 39:0, FA 42:0, FA 44:0, and DG 37:7) exhibited excellent diagnostic performance, with an area under the curve (AUC) exceeding 0.99. Furthermore, multiple lipid-based ML models also demonstrated comparable diagnostic ability for ESCC. These findings indicate plasma lipids as a promising diagnostic approach for ESCC.

Lipid Identification of Biomarkers in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma by Lipidomic Analysis.

Lipids participate in many important biological functions through energy storage, membrane structure stabilization, signal transduction, and molecular recognition. Previous studies have shown that patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) have abnormal lipid metabolism. However, studies characterizing lipid metabolism in ESCC patients through lipidomics are limited. Plasma lipid profiles of 65 ESCC patients and 42 healthy controls (HC) were characterized by lipidomics-based ultraperformance liquid chromatography quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-TOF-MS). Single-factor and multi-factor statistical analysis were used to screen the differences in blood lipids between groups, and combined with component ratio analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve diagnostic efficiency assessment, to reveal the potential mechanisms and biomarkers of ESCC. There were significant differences in lipid profiles between the ESCC and HC groups. Thirty-six differential lipids (11 up-regulated and 25 down-regulated) were selected based on the criteria of p < .05 and fold change > 1.3 or < 0.77. Glycerophospholipids were the major differential lipids, suggesting that these lipid metabolic pathways exhibit a significant imbalance that may contribute to the development of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Among them, the seven candidate biomarkers for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma with the highest diagnostic value are three phosphatidylserine (PS), three fatty acids (FA) and one phosphatidylcholine (PC).

Serum Cytokines Correlate with Pretreatment Body Mass Index-adjusted Body Weight Loss Grading and Cancer Progression in Patients with Stage III Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Surgery.

Serum Cytokines Correlate with Pretreatment Body Mass Index-Adjusted Body Weight Loss Grading and Cancer Progression in Patients with Stage III Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Surgery. Circulating cytokines have been linked to the development of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and its associated malnutrition process. Nonetheless, given the varied disease stages and treatment modalities in previous studies, the clinical relevance of their findings is limited. We retrospectively studied 52 patients with stage III ESCC who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and curative-intent surgery. We investigated the association of clinicopathological features, pretreatment laboratory data, and pretreatment inflammatory status, as indicated by the levels of albumin, C-reactive protein, and 10 circulating cytokines, namely tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), interferon-gamma, interleukin-1-beta (IL-1ß), IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-12, IL-13, IL-17A, and IL-23, with malnutrition, as shown by body mass index-adjusted body weight loss (BMI-BWL) grading, cancer progression. Half the patients showed severe malnutrition and high BMI-BWL grades (3 and 4). Multivariate analysis revealed an independent association between the levels of three cytokines (TNF-α, ≤ 5.8 pg/ml; IL-1ß, > 0.4 pg/ml; IL-6, ≤ 12.4 pg/ml) and high BMI-BWL grades and between IL-4 levels > 22.5 pg/ml and cancer progression. All 10 cytokines were closely correlated with each other. In conclusion, TNF-α, IL-1ß, and IL-6 were independent markers of malnutrition status and IL-4 was a prognostic factor for cancer progression in this patient population.

Study on the predictive value of pretreatment peripheral blood inflammatory markers regarding immunotherapy in patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effects of pretreatment peripheral blood panimmune-inflammation value (PIV), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) on the efficacy and prognostic value of immunotherapy in patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: Clinical data of 107 inoperable advanced or locally advanced ESCC patients were retrospectively analysed between May 2019 and August 2023, the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) of PIV, SII, NLR, and PLR in patients prior to immunotherapy were plotted, and their optimal cutoff values were determined. The risk factors were determined by univariate and multivariate analyses in groups based on the optimal cut-off values. RESULTS: Peripheral blood PIV, SII and PLR before immunotherapy had predictive value for the optimal efficacy of immunotherapy in patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced ESCC; patients with PIV ≥415.885, SII ≥834.295 and NLR ≥3.740 had a low objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), a short progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) after immunotherapy (p < 0.05). Patient tumour stage, distant lymph node metastasis, lung metastasis, liver metastasis, PIV, SII, and NLR were risk factors affecting PFS and OS (p < 0.05). Tumour stage and SII were independent risk factors affecting PFS and OS (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: In patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced ESCC, peripheral blood PIV, SII, and NLR have predictive value for immunotherapy outcome, SII is an independent risk factor affecting the survival prognosis, and SII ≥834.295 suggests a poor prognosis from immunotherapy.

Identifying intense inflammatory subtype of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma using clustering approach.

OBJECTIVE: To establish a risk-stratification system for predicting the postoperative recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, this study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of clusters based on blood inflammation and coagulation markers and investigate their correlation with serum cytokines and genetic alteration. METHOD: This single-center, retrospective cohort study enrolled 491 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent subtotal esophagectomy between 2004 and 2012. For cluster exploration, nonhierarchical cluster analysis and k-means were applied using serum C-reactive protein, albumin, fibrinogen, and platelet-lymphocyte ratio as variables. Then, multivariate survival analysis was conducted to investigate the association of clusters with recurrence-free survival. To characterize the clusters, serum interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and genetic alteration in primary tumors, the PleSSision-Rapid panel, which can evaluate 160 representative driver genes, was used. RESULTS: Patients were classified into clusters 1, 2, and 3, which included 24 (5%), 161 (33%), and 306 (62%) patients, respectively. Compared with cluster 3, cluster 1 or 2 had significantly worse recurrence-free survival. Based on the multivariable analysis using cluster, pStage, and age as covariates, cluster was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.21; P = 0.02). The percentage of serum interleukin-6 and interleukin-8 levels was the highest in cluster 1, followed by clusters 2 and 3. In 23 patients with available genomic profiles, no significant difference in representative genomic alterations was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Non-biased clustering using inflammation and coagulation markers identified the intense inflammatory subtype, which had an independent prognostic effect on recurrence-free survival.

Role of IL4 and GMCSF in Predicting Survival in Esophageal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal cancer (EC) originates in the setting of chronic inflammation. Although previous studies have sought to understand the role of inflammatory signaling in EC, the effect of these immunologic changes on patient outcomes remains understudied. This study's objective was to identify relationships between cytokine levels and prognosis in a mixed cohort of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. STUDY DESIGN: A total of 37 serum cytokines were profiled at the time of resection using multiplex ELISA in 47 patients (42 esophageal adenocarcinoma, 5 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma). Cytokine levels were median-binarized and assessed using Cox regression models. Findings were validated at the RNA level using The Cancer Genome Atlas EC cohort (81 esophageal adenocarcinoma, 81 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma). RESULTS: Univariable analysis revealed high serum interleukin 4 (IL4) and granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GMCSF) were negatively associated with overall survival (p = 0.046, p = 0.040). Multivariable analysis determined both high serum IL4 or high serum GMCSF were negatively associated with survival independent of important clinical factors (hazard ratio [HR] 7.55, p < 0.001; HR 5.24, p = 0.001). These findings were validated at the RNA level in The Cancer Genome Atlas EC cohort, where multivariable analysis identified high IL4 expression, high CSF2 expression (encodes GMCSF), and advanced pathologic stage as independent negative predictors of survival when controlled for clinical factors (HR 2.35, p = 0.012; HR 1.97, p = 0.040). CONCLUSIONS: These results show that high IL4/GMCSF levels are negatively associated with survival in EC. These relationships are independent of pathologic stage and are identified across modalities, histologic subtypes, and the presence/absence of neoadjuvant therapy.

Prognostic Significance of Platelet (PLT) and Platelet to Mean Platelet Volume (PLT/MPV) Ratio During Apatinib Second-Line or Late-Line Treatment in Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients.

Background: Apatinib has a certain efficacy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of platelet (PLT) and platelet to mean platelet volume (PLT/MPV) ratio for advanced ESCC patients with apatinib second-line or late-line treatment. Methods: A retrospective study included 80 patients with advanced ESCC who received Apatinib ≥ 2 lines targeted therapy. We collected baseline clinical characteristics and blood parameters from the patients. Kaplan-Meier plots and univariate and multivariate analysis were used to find the factors related to progression-free survival (PFS). Results: The optimal cut-off values of PLT and PLT/MPV ratio were determined by X-tile software. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that patients in the high PLT group had better PFS than those in the low PLT group (156 d vs 80 d, P <.001), and patients in the high PLT/MPV ratio group had better PFS than those in low PLT/MPV ratio group (157 d vs 85 d, P <.001). Univariate analysis revealed pretreatment PLT and PLT/MPV ratio were significantly correlated with PFS. Multivariate analysis revealed high levels of pretreatment PLT/MPV ratio was an independent predictor of longer PFS (HR: 0.257, 95% CI: 0.089-0.743, P = .012). Conclusion: High levels of baseline PLT and PLT/MPV may indicate a better prognosis in apatinib ≥ 2 lines treatment for advanced ESCC patients.

Prognostic value of hemoglobin combined with Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index scores in patients undergoing postoperative radiotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Aims: To investigate the prognostic value of hemoglobin combined with geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) scores in patients undergoing postoperative radiotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Patients & methods: Patients who underwent esophagectomy and postoperative radiotherapy were included in this retrospective study. Their preoperative hemoglobin and GNRI were collected to establish hemoglobin-GNRI (H-GNRI) scores, and their association with OS was evaluated. Results: Patients with high H-GNRI scores had better prognosis than those with low scores (p < 0.001). Differentiation (p = 0.001), T classification (p = 0.010), N classification (p = 0.001) and H-GNRI score (p = 0.018) were independent prognostic factors for all patients. Conclusion: H-GNRI score is an independent prognostic factor for the survival of patients with ESCC managed by surgery and postoperative radiotherapy.

The value of complete blood count for the prognosis analysis of preoperative esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictive value of preoperative complete blood count for the survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. METHODS: A total of 1587 patients with pathologically confirmed esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent esophagectomy in the Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Xinjiang Medical University from January 2010 to December 2019 were collected by retrospective study. A total of 359 patients were as the validation cohort from January 2015 to December 2016, and the remaining 1228 patients were as the training cohort. The relevant clinical data were collected by the medical record system, and the patients were followed up by the hospital medical record follow-up system. The follow-up outcome was patient death. The survival time of all patients was obtained. The Cox proportional hazards regression model and nomogram were established to predict the survival prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma by the index, their cut-off values obtained the training cohort by the ROC curve. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was established to express the overall survival rate. The 3-year and 5-year calibration curves and C-index were used to determine the accuracy and discrimination of the prognostic model. The decision curve analysis was used to predict the potential of clinical application. Finally, the validation cohort was used to verify the results of the training cohort. RESULTS: The cut-off values of NLR, NMR, LMR, RDW and PDW in complete blood count of the training cohort were 3.29, 12.77, 2.95, 15.05 and 13.65%, respectively. All indicators were divided into high and low groups according to cut-off values. Univariate Cox regression analysis model showed that age (≥ 60), NLR (≥3.29), LMR (< 2.95), RDW (≥15.05%) and PDW (≥13.65%) were risk factors for the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; multivariate Cox regression analysis model showed that age (≥ 60), NLR (≥3.29) and LMR (< 2.95) were independent risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Kaplan-Meier curve indicated that age <  60, NLR < 3.52 and LMR ≥ 2.95 groups had higher overall survival (p <  0.05). The 3-year calibration curve indicated that its predictive probability overestimate the actual probability. 5-year calibration curve indicated that its predictive probability was consistent with the actual probability. 5 c-index was 0.730 and 0.737, respectively, indicating that the prognostic model had high accuracy and discrimination. The decision curve analysis indicated good potential for clinical application. The validation cohort also proved the validity of the prognostic model. CONCLUSION: NLR and LMR results in complete blood count results can be used to predict the survival prognosis of patients with preoperative esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Early dynamics of circulating tumor DNA predict chemotherapy responses for patients with esophageal cancer.

We investigated whether early circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) changes, measured using digital PCR (dPCR), can predict later chemotherapy responses in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC). We compared the dynamics of ctDNA and tumor volumes during chemotherapy in 42 ESCC. The accuracy of predictions of later chemotherapy responses was evaluated by the ratio of the variant allele frequency of ctDNA (post-/pre-ctDNA) and the total tumor volume (post-/pre-volume) before and after an initial chemotherapy cycle using a receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. Total positive and negative objective responses (ORs) were defined as either >50 or ≤50% reductions, respectively, in the total tumor volume at the end of first-line chemotherapy. Mutation screening of 43 tumors from 42 patients revealed 96 mutations. The pretreatment dPCR-ctDNA data were informative in 38 patients, using 70 selected mutations (1-3 per patient). The areas under the curve (AUCs) for the post-/pre-volume and post-/pre-ctDNA levels used in predicting the total OR were 0.85 and 0.88, respectively. The optimal cutoff value of post-/pre-ctDNA was 0.13. In 20 patients with post-/pre-volume ≥50%, the total OR could be predicted by the post-/pre-ctDNA with high accuracy; the AUC by post-/pre-ctDNA was higher than that by post-/pre-volume (0.85 versus 0.76, respectively). Patients with low post-/pre-ctDNA (n = 18) had a significantly better overall survival rate than those with high post-/pre-ctDNA (n = 20; P = 0.03). Early ctDNA changes after an initial cycle of chemotherapy predict later responses to treatment with high accuracy in ESCC patients.

Perioperative change in neutrophil count predicts worse survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Aims: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between perioperative change in neutrophil count and survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Method: Neutrophil change (Nc) (where Nc = post-surgery neutrophil count - pre-surgery neutrophil count) was counted according to data within 1 week before surgery and 2 weeks after surgery. Patients were divided into two groups, Nc ≥2.60 and Nc <2.60, according to the median of Nc. Results: Multivariate analysis revealed that Nc ≥2.60 was an independent prognostic marker for overall survival. Subgroup analysis suggested that the overall survival of male patients, patients aged ≤60 years, patients without vessel invasion and patients without nerve infiltration was dramatically worse for those with Nc <2.60. Conclusion: Perioperative change in neutrophil count predicts worse survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after surgery.

Elevated serum eotaxin and IP-10 levels as potential biomarkers for the detection of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) is one of the leading malignant cancers with a high incidence and mortality. Exploring novel serum biomarkers will help improve the management and monitoring of ESCC. METHODS: In the present study, we first used a ProcartaPlex Array to screen for serum proteins that were increased in 40 ESCC patients compared with matched normal controls; we found that eight proteins (IL-2, IL-5, IP-10, IL-8, eotaxin, TNF-α, HGF, and MIP-1b) had higher serum levels in ESCC patients than in normal controls. We further verified the clinical relevance of the candidate biomarkers with a larger sample of sera. RESULTS: In the 174 tested ESCC patients and 189 normal controls, the serum levels of eotaxin and IP-10 were significantly higher in patients than in normal controls (p = 0.0038, 0.0031). In particular, these two proteins were also elevated in the sera of patients with early-stage (0-IIA) ESCC (p = 0.0041, 0.0412). When combining CEA and CYFRA21-1 (in use clinically) with eotaxin or IP-10, the effectiveness of detecting ESCC was superior to that of CEA and/or CYFRA21-1 alone. Moreover, the serum level of eotaxin dropped significantly after surgical resection of primary tumors compared with that in preoperative ESCC samples (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The data suggest that serum eotaxin and IP-10 might be potential biomarkers for the detection of ESCC.

TP53 Targeted Deep Sequencing of Cell-Free DNA in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using Low-Quality Serum: Concordance with Tumor Mutation.

Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) is emerging as a potential tumor biomarker. CfDNA-based biomarkers may be applicable in tumors without an available non-invasive screening method among at-risk populations. Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and residents of the Asian cancer belt are examples of those malignancies and populations. Previous epidemiological studies using cfDNA have pointed to the need for high volumes of good quality plasma (i.e., >1 mL plasma with 0 or 1 cycles of freeze-thaw) rather than archival serum, which is often the main available source of cfDNA in retrospective studies. Here, we have investigated the concordance of TP53 mutations in tumor tissue and cfDNA extracted from archival serum left-over from 42 cases and 39 matched controls (age, gender, residence) in a high-risk area of Northern Iran (Golestan). Deep sequencing of TP53 coding regions was complemented with a specialized variant caller (Needlestack). Overall, 23% to 31% of mutations were concordantly detected in tumor and serum cfDNA (based on two false discovery rate thresholds). Concordance was positively correlated with high cfDNA concentration, smoking history (p-value = 0.02) and mutations with a high potential of neoantigen formation (OR; 95%CI = 1.9 (1.11-3.29)), suggesting that tumor DNA release in the bloodstream might reflect the effects of immune and inflammatory context on tumor cell turnover. We identified TP53 mutations in five controls, one of whom was subsequently diagnosed with ESCC. Overall, the results showed that cfDNA mutations can be reliably identified by deep sequencing of archival serum, with a rate of success comparable to plasma. Nonetheless, 70% non-identifiable mutations among cancer patients and 12% mutation detection in controls are the main challenges in applying cfDNA to detect tumor-related variants when blindly targeting whole coding regions of the TP53 gene in ESCC.

Associations of circulating mediators of inflammation, cell regulation and immune response with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the most common histologic subtype of esophageal cancer globally. The development of squamous cell carcinoma has important inflammatory influences and effects. We, therefore, examined circulating levels of inflammation- and immune-related proteins for associations with ESCC. METHODS: We used pre-treatment EDTA plasma from 80 ESCC patients (44% clinical stages I and II) and 80 cancer-free control individuals within the Hospital-based Epidemiologic Research Program at Aichi Cancer Center. Levels of 184 biomarkers were measured by high-throughput multiplexed proximity extension assays using Olink's Proseek Cell Regulation and Immuno-Oncology Panels. ESCC odds ratios (OR) per quantile (based on two to four categories) of each biomarker were calculated by unconditional logistic regression models, adjusted for age, sex, cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption. Correlations among continuous biomarker levels were assessed by Spearman's rank correlation. All statistical tests were two-sided with p values < 0.05 considered as significant. Given the exploratory nature of the study, we did not adjust for multiple comparisons. RESULTS: Seven proteins were undetectable in nearly all samples. Of the remaining 177 evaluable biomarkers, levels of cluster of differentiation 40 (CD40, per quartile OR 1.64; p trend = 0.018), syntaxin 16 (STX16, per quartile OR 1.63; p trend = 0.008), heme oxygenase 1 (per quartile OR 1.59; p trend = 0.014), and γ-secretase activating protein (GSAP, per quartile OR 1.47; p trend = 0.036) were significantly associated with ESCC. Amongst these significant markers, levels of CD40, STX16, and GSPA were moderately correlated (Rho coefficients 0.46-0.55; p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Our case-control study expands the range of inflammation and immune molecules associated with ESCC. These novel findings warrant replication and functional characterization.

Identification of diagnostic markers and lipid dysregulation in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma through lipidomic analysis and machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal cancer (EC) ranks high in both morbidity and mortality. A non-invasive and high-sensitivity diagnostic approach is necessary to improve the prognosis of EC patients. METHODS: A total of 525 serum samples were subjected to lipidomic analysis. We combined serum lipidomics and machine-learning algorithms to select important metabolite features for the detection of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), the major subtype of EC in developing countries. A diagnostic model using a panel of selected features was developed and evaluated. Integrative analyses of tissue transcriptome and serum lipidome were conducted to reveal the underlying mechanism of lipid dysregulation. RESULTS: Our optimised diagnostic model with a panel of 12 lipid biomarkers together with age and gender reaches a sensitivity of 90.7%, 91.3% and 90.7% and an area under receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.958, 0.966 and 0.818 in detecting ESCC for the training cohort, validation cohort and independent validation cohort, respectively. Integrative analysis revealed matched variation trend of genes encoding key enzymes in lipid metabolism. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified a panel of 12 lipid biomarkers for diagnostic modelling and potential mechanisms of lipid dysregulation in the serum of ESCC patients. This is a reliable, rapid and non-invasive tumour-diagnostic approach for clinical application.

The preoperative hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte and platelet (HALP) score is a useful predictor in patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

The hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte and platelet (HALP) score has been confirmed as a prognostic factor in several types of cancers. The current study aimed to assess the prognostic value of preoperative HALP score, an inflammatory and nutritional based score, in predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) in resectable patients undergoing curative resection for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The clinical data of 355 consecutive patients with ESCC who underwent curative resection were retrospectively conducted and analyzed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value for preoperative HALP. The areas under the curve (AUC) for preoperative HALP and other variables were calculated and compared. Cox regression analyses and Kaplan-Meier methods were used to identify the factors associated with CSS. According to the ROC curve, the optimal cut-off value for preoperative HALP was 31.8. The 5-year CSS for preoperative HALP low (≤31.8) and high (>31.8) was 15.1% and 47.5%, respectively (p < 0.001). Preoperative HALP had reliable abilities to predict CSS in resectable ESCC patients in any stage or gender, according to the subgroup analysis based on the patients' cancer stage and gender. Multivariate analyses confirmed that preoperative HALP was an independent prognostic score regarding CSS in patients with resectable ESCC (p < 0.001). This study confirmed that the postoperative HALP score could be regarded as a potential independent prognostic factor for CSS in patients with resectable ESCC.