Factores de mal pronóstico en 113 pacientes sometidos a duodenopancreatectomía cefálica por colangiocarcinoma distal / Prognostic risk factors in 113 patients undergoing cephalic duodenopancreatectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma

Introducción El colangiocarcinoma distal es una neoplasia epitelial maligna que afecta a los conductos biliares extrahepáticos, per debajo del conducto cístico. Existe poca evidencia sobre la relación entre factores perioperatorios y peor evolución a largo plazo tras la resección quirúrgica. Objetivo Analizar los factores de riesgo de mortalidad y recidiva a largo plazo del colangiocarcinoma distal de los pacientes resecados. Material y métodos Se ha analizado una base de datos prospectiva unicéntrica de pacientes intervenidos por colangiocarcinoma distal entre los años 1990 y 2021 con la finalidad de investigar los factores de mortalidad y recidiva. Resultados Se han intervenido 113 pacientes, con una supervivencia actuarial media de 100,2 (76-124) meses tras la resección. El estudio bivariante no evidenció diferencias entre los pacientes dependiendo de la edad o variables preoperatorias estudiadas. La presencia de adenopatías afectadas fue un factor de riesgo de mortalidad a largo plazo en el estudio multivariante. La presencia de adenopatías afectadas, la recidiva tumoral y la fístula biliar durante el postoperatorio implicaron peor supervivencia actuarial al comparar las curvas de Kaplan-Meier. Conclusiones La presencia de adenopatías afectadas influyen en el pronóstico de la enfermedad. La aparición de fístula biliar durante el postoperatorio del colangiocarcinoma distal podría agravar los resultados a largo plazo, hallazgo que debe ser reafirmado en futuros estudios. (AU)

Introduction Distal cholangiocarcinoma is a malignant epithelial neoplasia that affects the extrahepatic bile ducts, below the cystic duct. No relevant relationship between perioperative factors and worse long-term outcome has been proved. Objective To analyze the risk factors for mortality and long-term recurrence of distal cholangiocarcinoma in resected patients. Materials and methods A single-center prospective database of patients operated on for distal cholangiocarcinoma between 1990 and 2021 was analyzed in order to investigate mortality and recurrence factors. Results One hundred and thirteen patients have undergone surgery, with mean actuarial survival of 100.2 (76–124) months after resection. The bivariate study did not show differences between patients depending on age or preoperative variables studied. When multivariate analysis was performed, the presence of affected adenopathy was a risk factor for long-term mortality. The presence of affected lymph nodes, tumor recurrence, and biliary fistula during the postoperative period implied worse actuarial survival when comparing the Kaplan–Meier curves. Conclusions The presence of affected lymph nodes influence the prognosis of the disease. The occurrence of biliary fistula during postoperative cholangiocarcinoma distal could aggravate long-term outcomes, a finding that should be reaffirmed in future studies. (AU)

KRAS Allelic Variants in Biliary Tract Cancers.

Importance: Biliary tract cancers (BTCs) contain several actionable molecular alterations, including FGFR2, IDH1, ERBB2 (formerly HER2), and KRAS. KRAS allelic variants are found in 20% to 30% of BTCs, and multiple KRAS inhibitors are currently under clinical investigation. Objectives: To describe the genomic landscape, co-sequence variations, immunophenotype, genomic ancestry, and survival outcomes of KRAS-mutated BTCs and to calculate the median overall survival (mOS) for the most common allelic variants. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective, multicenter, pooled cohort study obtained clinical and next-generation sequencing data from multiple databases between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2022. These databases included Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Foundation Medicine, American Association for Cancer Research Project GENIE, and cBioPortal for Cancer Genomics. The cohort comprised patients with BTCs who underwent genomic testing. Main Outcome and Measure: The main outcome was mOS, defined as date of diagnosis to date of death, which was measured in months. Results: A total of 7457 patients (n = 3773 males [50.6%]; mean [SD] age, 63 [5] years) with BTCs and genomic testing were included. Of these patients, 5813 had clinical outcome data available, in whom 1000 KRAS-mutated BTCs were identified. KRAS allelic variants were highly prevalent in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (28.6%) and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (36.1%). Thirty-six KRAS allelic variants were identified, and the prevalence rates in descending order were G12D (41%), G12V (23%), and Q61H (8%). The variant G12D had the highest mOS of 25.1 (95% CI, 22.0-33.0) months compared with 22.8 (95% CI, 19.6-31.4) months for Q61H and 17.8 (95% CI, 16.3-23.1) months for G12V variants. The majority of KRAS-mutated BTCs (98.9%) were not microsatellite instability-high and had low tumor mutational burden (ranging from a median [IQR] of 1.2 (1.2-2.5) to a mean [SD] of 3.3 [1.3]). Immune profiling through RNA sequencing of KRAS and NRAS-mutated samples showed a pattern toward a more immune-inflamed microenvironment with higher M1 macrophage activation (0.16 vs 0.12; P = .047) and interferon-γ expression compared with wild-type tumors. The G12D variant remained the most common KRAS allelic variant in all patient ancestries. Patients with admixed American ancestry had the highest proportion of G12D variant (45.0%). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that KRAS allelic variants were relatively common and may be potentially actionable genomic alterations in patients with BTCs, especially perihilar cholangiocarcinoma and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The findings add to the growing data on genomic and immune landscapes of KRAS allelic variants in BTCs and are potentially of value to the planning of specific therapies for this heterogeneous patient group.

Contemporary trends and outcomes after liver transplantation and resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) has been shown to be superior to resection in highly selected patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), yet has traditionally been contraindicated for intrahepatic CCA (iCCA). Herein, we aimed to examine contemporary trends and outcomes for surgical resection and LT for iCCA. METHODS: The National Cancer Database was queried for patients presenting with stage I-III iCCA between 2010 and 2018 who underwent resection or LT. Overall survival (OS) was compared with Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazards methods stratified by management. Secondary analysis of patients undergoing transplant for CCA was performed with the United Network for Organ Sharing database. RESULTS: Of 2565 patients, 2412 (94.0%) underwent resection and 153 (5.96%) LT of whom 84 (54.9%) received neoadjuvant therapy. Utilization of LT remained between 3.9% and 7.8% annually. Unadjusted 5-year OS was higher for LT than resection (59.8% vs 39.9%, P = .0067), yet adjusted analysis revealed no significant difference in mortality (hazard ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.66-1.27; P = .58). On secondary analysis including 437 patients with all subtypes of CCA, unadjusted 5-year OS was higher for non-CCA indications (79% vs 52%-54%, P < .001). CONCLUSION: Utilization of LT for iCCA remains low and many cases are likely incidental. Although partial hepatectomy remains the standard of care for patients with resectable disease, our findings suggest that highly selected patients with unresectable iCCA may achieve favorable outcomes after LT. Granular, prospective data are needed to identify patients most likely to benefit from transplant and allocate scarce liver grafts.

Surveillance MRI is associated with improved survival in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of regular surveillance imaging for cholangiocarcinoma in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are unclear. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the impact of regular magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) on outcomes of patients with PSC in Australia, where the practice of MRCP surveillance is variable. METHODS: The relationship between MRCP surveillance and survival outcomes was assessed in a multicenter, retrospective cohort of patients with PSC from 9 tertiary liver centers in Australia. An inverse probability of treatment weighting approach was used to balance groups across potentially confounding covariates. RESULTS: A total of 298 patients with PSC with 2117 person-years of follow-up were included. Two hundred and twenty patients (73.8%) had undergone MRCP surveillance. Regular surveillance was associated with a 71% reduced risk of death on multivariate weighted Cox analysis (HR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.14-0.59, p < 0.001) and increased likelihood of having earlier endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography from the date of PSC diagnosis in patients with a dominant stricture (p < 0.001). However, survival posthepatobiliary cancer diagnosis was not significantly different between both groups (p = 0.74). Patients who had surveillance of less than 1 scan a year (n = 41) had comparable survival (HR: 0.46, 95% CI 0.16-1.35, p = 0.16) compared to patients who had surveillance at least yearly (n = 172). CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter cohort study that employed inverse probability of treatment weighting to minimize selection bias, regular MRCP was associated with improved overall survival in patients with PSC; however, there was no difference in survival after hepatobiliary cancer diagnosis. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm the benefits of regular MRCP and optimal imaging interval in patients with PSC.

Diacylglycerol kinase alpha is a proliferation marker of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma associated with the prognosis.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has a high recurrence rate and a poor prognosis. Thus, the development of effective treatment and prognostic biomarkers is required. High expression of diacylglycerol kinase alpha (DGKα) is a prognostic factor for the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the relationship between DGKα expression and prognosis in ICC has not been reported. METHODS: Immunohistochemistry (IHC) with anti-DGKα antibody was performed on surgical specimens of ICC (n = 69). First, DGKα expression in cancer cells was qualitatively classified into four groups (-, 1+, 2+, 3+) and divided into two groups (DGKα- and DGKα+1 + to 3+). The relationship between clinical features and DGKα expression was analyzed. Second, Ki-67 expression was evaluated as a cell proliferation marker. The number of Ki-67-positive cells was counted, and the relationship with DGKα expression was examined. RESULTS: DGKα IHC divided the patients into a DGKα+ group (1+: n = 15; 2+: n = 5; 3+: n = 5) and a DGKα- group (-: n = 44). In the DGKα+ group, patients were older and had advanced disease. Both overall survival and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were significantly worse in the DGKα+ patients. DGKα+ was identified as an independent prognostic factor for RFS by multivariate analysis. Furthermore, the number of Ki-67-positive cells increased in association with the staining levels of DGKα. CONCLUSION: Pathological DGKα expression in ICC was a cancer proliferation marker associated with recurrence. This suggests that DGKα may be a potential therapeutic target for ICC.

Identifying Indications for Neoadjuvant Therapy in Cholangiocarcinoma.

The recent Hot Topics section focuses on survival rates for patients with cholangiocarcinoma.

An assessment of risk factors for recurrence and survival for patients undergoing liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is the second most common primary liver malignancy with increasing rates of incidence and mortality. Surgical resection is curative for patients who are diagnosed at early stages of iCCA. Limited data exist regarding risk factors for postresection recurrence and overall survival as iCCA is rare, and majority of patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage and thus not candidates for resection. We aimed to analyze clinical and laboratory characteristics, tumor histology, locoregional invasion, recurrence and survival in patients undergoing curative resection for iCCA. METHODS: All patients who underwent curative resection for iCCA between 2006 and 2023 at our institution were included in the study. Clinical characteristics, laboratory, histological and follow-up data were collected. RESULTS: The 1-, 3-, and, 5-year survival rates were 90.9%, 65.9% and 44.2%, respectively. About 65.6% of patients had recurrence in a median of 1.2 years after liver resection. Positive surgical margins were present in 20.73% of patients. Notably, 80.51% had solitary tumor and the remaining 19.48% had multifocal tumor. A total of 64.51% of patients received adjuvant chemotherapy after resection. A total of 26 (31.3%) patients had died during the follow-up period. Duration from liver resection to last follow-up or death was 1.6 years (0.8-3.2). Overall median survival was 4.6 years. The presence of lymph node metastases, vascular invasion, positive surgical margin and advanced tumor stage at diagnosis were associated with significantly worse overall survival, which remained significant in multivariable model for advanced tumor stage and positive surgical margin. CONCLUSION: Despite curative resection, recurrence rate is high and overall survival is poor in patients with iCCA. Real-world data regarding patient characteristics and longitudinal follow-up remain important as iCCA is a rare malignancy.

Octamer-binding transcription factor 4-positive circulating tumor cell predicts worse treatment response and survival in advanced cholangiocarcinoma patients who receive immune checkpoint inhibitors treatment.

BACKGROUND: Octamer-binding transcription factor 4-positive circulating tumor cell (OCT4+CTC) exhibits high stemness and invasive potential, which may influence the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). This study aimed to assess the prognostic role of OCT4+CTC in advanced cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) patients who received ICI treatment. METHODS: In total, 40 advanced CCA patients who received ICI treatment were included, and CTC and OCT4 counts were detected via a Canpatrol system and an RNA in situ hybridization method before ICI treatment. Patients were subsequently divided into none CTC, OCT4-CTC, and OCT4+CTC groups. Patients were followed up for a median of 10.4 months. RESULTS: The percentages of patients in none CTC, OCT4-CTC, and OCT4+CTC groups were 25.0%, 30.0%, and 45.0%, respectively. The proportion of patients with lymph node metastasis was highest in OCT4+CTC group, followed by none CTC group, and lowest in OCT4-CTC group (P = 0.025). The objective response rate (ORR) was lowest in OCT4+CTC group, moderate in OCT4-CTC group, and highest in none CTC group (P = 0.009), while disease control rate was not different among three groups (P = 0.293). In addition, progression-free survival (PFS) (P < 0.001) and overall survival (OS) (P = 0.001) were shorter in the OCT4+CTC group than in none CTC & OCT4-CTC group. Moreover, OCT4+CTC (versus none CTC) was independently linked with poorer PFS [hazard ratio (HR) = 6.752, P = 0.001] and OS (HR = 6.674, P = 0.003) in advanced CCA patients. CONCLUSION: OCT4+CTC relates to lymph node metastasis and shows a good predictive value for poor treatment response and survival in advanced CCA patients who receive ICI treatment.

YBX1 promotes stemness and cisplatin insensitivity in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma via the AKT/ß-catenin axis.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a highly aggressive malignancy characterized by a poor prognosis and closely linked to tumor stemness. However, the key molecules that regulate ICC stemness remain elusive. Although Y-box binding protein 1 (YBX1) negatively affects prognosis in various cancers by enhancing stemness and chemoresistance, its effect on stemness and cisplatin sensitivity in ICC remains unclear. METHODS: Three bulk and single-cell RNA-seq datasets were analyzed to investigate YBX1 expression in ICC and its association with stemness. Clinical samples and colony/sphere formation assays validated the role of YBX1 in stemness and sensitivity to cisplatin. AZD5363 and KYA1979K explored the interaction of YBX1 with the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/protein kinase B (PKB/AKT) and WNT/ß-catenin pathways. RESULTS: YBX1 was significantly upregulated in ICC, correlated with worse overall survival and shorter postoperative recurrence time, and was higher in chemotherapy-non-responsive ICC tissues. The YBX1-high group exhibited significantly elevated stemness scores, and genes linked to YBX1 upregulation were enriched in multiple stemness-related pathways. Moreover, YBX1 expression is significantly correlated with several stemness-related genes (SOX9, OCT4, CD133, CD44 and EPCAM). Additionally, YBX1 overexpression significantly enhanced the colony- and spheroid-forming abilities of ICC cells, accelerated tumor growth in vivo and reduced their sensitivity to cisplatin. Conversely, the downregulation of YBX1 exerted the opposite effect. The transcriptomic analysis highlighted the link between YBX1 and the PI3K/AKT and WNT/ß-catenin pathways. Further, AZD5363 and KYA1979K were used to clarify that YBX1 promoted ICC stemness through the regulation of the AKT/ß-catenin axis. CONCLUSIONS: YBX1 is upregulated in ICC and promotes stemness and cisplatin insensitivity via the AKT/ß-catenin axis. Our study describes a novel potential therapeutic target for improving ICC prognosis.

An Immunohistochemical Analysis of Osteopontin and S100 Calcium-binding Protein P is Useful for Subclassifying Large- and Small-duct Type Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinomas.

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) has been newly subclassified into two different subtypes: large-duct (LD) type and small-duct (SD) type. However, many cases are difficult to subclassify, and there is no consensus regarding subclassification criteria. LD type expresses the highly sensitive diagnostic marker S100 calcium-binding protein P (S100P), while SD type lacks sensitive markers. We identified osteopontin (OPN) as a highly sensitive marker for SD type. This study aimed to develop new subclassification criteria for LD-type and SD-type iCCA. We retrospectively investigated 74 patients with iCCA and subclassified them based on whole-section immunostaining of S100P and OPN. Of the 74 cases, 41 were subclassified as LD type, 32 as SD type, and one was indeterminate. Notably, all S100P-negative cases had OPN positivity. Seventy-three of the 74 cases (98.6%) were clearly and easily subclassified as LD or SD type using only these 2 markers. We also determined the value of immunohistochemistry in cases that were difficult to diagnose based on hematoxylin-eosin and Alcian blue-periodic acid-Schiff staining. Furthermore, we analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics and prognoses of these 2 subtypes. LD type was a poor prognostic factor on univariate analysis; it had significantly worse overall survival ( P = 0.007) and recurrence-free survival ( P < 0.001) than the SD type. In conclusion, we propose new subclassification criteria for iCCA based on immunostaining of S100P and OPN. These criteria may help pathologists to diagnose subtypes of iCCA, supporting future clinical trials and the development of medications for these 2 subtypes as distinct cancers.

Cox model risk score to predict survival of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after ultrasound-guided ablation.

PURPOSE: To explore factors associated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) after ultrasound-guided ablation and establish a model for survival risk evaluation. METHODS: Data from 54 patients with 86 iCCAs between August 2008 and October 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Cox regression were used to analyze the effects of clinical features on OS and PFS. Based on the variables screened by multivariable analysis, a model was established to predict the survival of the patients. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (timeROC) curve was constructed to evaluate the performance of this model. The model was further verified by bootstrap validation. The clinical usefulness of the model was evaluated by the decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: During follow up, 39 patients died and 49 patients developed recurrence. Pre-ablation CA199 level > 140 U/ml was the only independent predictor of poor PFS. Age > 70 years, early recurrence, maximal diameter of tumor size > 1.5 cm and pre-ablation CA199 level > 140 U/ml were significantly associated with poor OS. Then a model was established based on the above four variables. The areas under the timeROC curve (AUC) for 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, 5-year were 0.767, 0.854, 0.791 and 0.848, respectively. After bootstrapping for 1000 repetitions, the AUCs were similar to the initial model. DCA also demonstrated that the model had good positive net benefits. CONCLUSION: The established model in this study could predict the survival outcomes of the patients with iCCA after thermal ablation, but further research was needed to validate the results.

Long-term oncological results of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: The effectiveness of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (iCCA) remains insufficiently studied. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study including patients with histologically proven iCCA within Milan criteria treated by percutaneous RFA from 2000 to 2022. The primary outcome was overall survival in treatment-naive patients and secondary outcomes included ablation completeness, adverse events, local and distant recurrence. A total of 494 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on cirrhosis treated by RFA were included as a comparison group. Oncological events were analysed using Kaplan-Meier, log-rank and univariate/multivariate Cox models. RESULTS: The main population included 71 patients, mostly cirrhotic (80%) with solitary tumours (66%) of a median size of 24 mm. Local recurrence was 45% at 5 years, lower in multibipolar versus monopolar RFA (22% vs. 55%, p = .007). In treatment-naive patients (n = 45), median overall and recurrence-free survivals were 26 and 11 months, respectively. Tumour size (p = .01) and Child-Pugh B (p = .001) were associated with death. The rate of distant recurrence was 59% at 5 years significantly lower for single tumours of less than 2 (p = .002) or 3 cm (p = .02). In cirrhotic patients naïve of previous treatment (n = 40), overall survival was shorter than in HCC (26 vs 68 months, p < .0001), with more local recurrences (p < .0001). Among distant recurrences, 50% were extrahepatic metastases compared to 12% in HCC (p < .001). CONCLUSION: Multibipolar RFA provides better results in terms of tumour recurrence than monopolar RFA and could be used to treat small iCCA (<3 cm). Adjuvant chemotherapy should be discussed due to the frequent extra-hepatic metastasis at recurrence.

The Integrated Prediction of Clinical and Pathological Factors on the Prognosis of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to construct a high-performing prognostic risk model to accurately forecast the prognosis of patients diagnosed with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA). METHODS: We retrospectively collected clinical data from the MSK database on 125 patients diagnosed with iCCA. Random sampling was utilized to divide patients into a training set and a validation set, maintaining a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized to identify independent prognostic factors influencing OS. Based on these independent factors, a model nomogram was established. The performance of the prognostic prediction models was assessed through calibration curves and C-index calculations. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves. Time-dependent ROC curve was used to evaluate the accuracy of the model. RESULTS: A nomogram was developed, incorporating hepatitis C, CA19, tumor extent, tumor size, LVI, positive lymph nodes, and TMB as predictive factors. The C-index for the training set was .78 and the validation set was .68. Using the riskscore derived from the nomogram, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups. The high-risk group exhibited considerably lower OS and RFS compared to the low-risk group in the training set (P < .05). However, no significant difference was detected in RFS among different risk groups in the validation set (P > .05). The AUC for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival was .89, .69, and .69, respectively. CONCLUSION: We successfully developed and validated a prognostic nomogram for iCCA, demonstrating its excellent accuracy in predicting patient outcomes and providing clinicians with a potential prognostic tool.

Analysis of Preoperative Risk Factors for Early Recurrence in Patients After Hepatic Resection for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has a poor prognosis even after curative-intent hepatic resection due to a high recurrence rate. The aim of this study was to investigate preoperative risk factors for early recurrence after surgery for ICC, which may help to identify patients who need preoperative chemotherapy. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 51 patients who had undergone primary surgery for ICC. We investigated the association of preoperative clinical variables with recurrence within 1 year after resection for ICC. We then created a high-risk ICC score using the identified preoperative factors and investigated the association of the score with disease-free and overall survival. RESULTS: Recurrence within 1 year after surgery for ICC was significantly associated with poor overall survival (P < .01). In the multivariate analysis, preoperative tumor size > 5 cm (P = .03) and elevated C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) (P = .04) were significantly associated with recurrence within 1 year after surgery. A high-risk ICC score of 2 was associated with poor disease-free survival (P < .01) and overall survival (P = .02) compared with a score of 0 or 1. CONCLUSIONS: Our high-risk ICC score, combining preoperative tumor size and CAR, can be an indicator of early recurrence and poor survival in patients after hepatic resection for ICC. Our findings may provide better preoperative risk stratification of patients with ICC, and the high-risk ICC patients may benefit from preoperative therapy.

Development and validation of a gradient boosting machine to predict prognosis after liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prognosis assessment is essential for surgically resected intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) while published prognostic tools are limited by modest performance. We therefore aimed to establish a novel model to predict survival in resected ICC based on readily-available clinical parameters using machine learning technique. METHODS: A gradient boosting machine (GBM) was trained and validated to predict the likelihood of cancer-specific survival (CSS) on data from a Chinese hospital-based database using nested cross-validation, and then tested on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The performance of GBM model was compared with that of proposed prognostic score and staging system. RESULTS: A total of 1050 ICC patients (401 from China and 649 from SEER) treated with resection were included. Seven covariates were identified and entered into the GBM model: age, tumor size, tumor number, vascular invasion, number of regional lymph node metastasis, histological grade, and type of surgery. The GBM model predicted CSS with C-Statistics ≥ 0.72 and outperformed proposed prognostic score or system across study cohorts, even in sub-cohort with missing data. Calibration plots of predicted probabilities against observed survival rates indicated excellent concordance. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model had high clinical utility. The GBM model was able to stratify 5-year CSS ranging from over 54% in low-risk subset to 0% in high-risk subset. CONCLUSIONS: We trained and validated a GBM model that allows a more accurate estimation of patient survival after resection compared with other prognostic indices. Such a model is readily integrated into a decision-support electronic health record system, and may improve therapeutic strategies for patients with resected ICC.

Association of annexin A10 expression with poor prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Annexin A10 expression influences the prognosis of several gastrointestinal cancers. We explored the association of annexin A10 expression with the overall survival (OS) of patients who underwent curative surgery for cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative surgery for cholangiocarcinoma (except gallbladder cancer) and had pathological stage T1-3N0M0 disease were enrolled. Annexin A10 expression was examined by performing immunohistochemical staining. Patient demographics and survival outcome data were retrieved from medical records. RESULTS: In total, 185 patients were enrolled. The primary tumor location was intrahepatic and extrahepatic (including the perihilar region) for 89% and 11% of patients, respectively. Positive annexin A10 staining was detected for 61 (33%) patients and associated with extrahepatic or perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (p = 0.001) and lower histological grade (p < 0.001). Patients with positive annexin A10 staining exhibited significantly poorer survival relative to patients with negative staining results (median OS, 2.5 vs. 4.9 years, p = 0.025). In the multivariate analysis adjusting for age, sex, tumor location, tumor grade, hepatitis infection, and disease stage, positive annexin A10 remained an independent predictor of poor OS (hazard ratio 1.572, p = 0.034). In the subgroup analysis, the association between annexin A10 and prognosis was restricted to intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Among patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, patients with positive annexin A10 staining exhibited significantly poorer survival compared with patients with negative annexin A10 staining (median OS, 2.3 vs. 4.9 years, p = 0.008). CONCLUSION: Positive annexin A10 expression was associated with poor prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

Aggressive local treatment for recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma-Stereotactic radiofrequency ablation as a valuable addition to hepatic resection.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the efficacy, safety and overall clinical outcome of local treatment for recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection. METHODS: Between 2007 and 2019 72 consecutive patients underwent hepatic resection for primary intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma. If amenable, recurrent tumors were aggressively treated by HR or stereotactic radiofrequency ablation with local curative intent. Endpoints consisted of morbidity and mortality, locoregional and de novo recurrence, disease free survival, and overall survival. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 28 months, recurrence of intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma was observed in 43 of 72 patients undergoing hepatic resection (60.3%). 16 patients were subsequently treated by hepatic resection (n = 5) and stereotactic radiofrequency ablation (n = 11) with local curative intention. The remaining 27 patients underwent palliative treatment for first recurrence. Overall survival of patients who underwent repeated aggressive liver-directed therapy was comparable to patients without recurrence (p = 0.938) and was better as compared to patients receiving palliative treatment (p = 0.018). The 5-year overall survival rates for patients without recurrence, the repeated liver-directed treatment group and the palliative treatment group were 54.3%, 47.7% and 12.3%, respectively. By adding stereotactic radiofrequency ablation as an alternative treatment option, the rate of curative re-treatment increased from 11.9% to 37.2%. CONCLUSION: Repeated hepatic resection is often precluded due to patient morbidity or anatomical and functional limitations. Due to the application of stereotactic radiofrequency ablation in case of recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma, the number of patients treated with curative intent can be increased. This leads to favorable clinical outcome as compared to palliative treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma recurrence.

Arterial enhancement pattern predicts survival in patients with resectable and unresectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: In patients undergoing resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), hypervascularity during the arterial phase of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) is associated with better prognosis than hypovascularity. However, the prognostic implications of arterial enhancement pattern in patients with unresectable ICC are unknown. We assessed the prognostic implications of arterial enhancement pattern in patients with resectable and unresectable ICC. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent surgery or gemcitabine-plus-cisplatin chemotherapy for ICC during 2003-2015 and CT with dynamic enhancement for diagnosis were included. After review by 2 radiologists, tumors were categorized according to the percentage of the tumor exhibiting arterial enhancement as hypervascular (>50% of tumor exhibiting enhancement), peripherally enhancing (10%-50%), and hypovascular (<10%). In each cohort (surgical and medical), overall survival (OS) curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences between curves were evaluated with Cox analysis. RESULTS: The study included 56 patients treated surgically and 89 patients with unresectable ICC. Mean (standard deviation) tumor density in the hypervascular, peripherally enhancing, and hypovascular groups was 119.3 (45.2) Hounsfield units (HU), 72.1 (15.9) HU, and 59.9 (14.4) HU, respectively, in the surgical cohort and 93.6 (17.5) HU, 66.6 (16.2) HU, and 48.7 (14.3) HU, respectively, in the medical cohort. In both cohorts, the 5-year OS rate was significantly higher in the hypervascular group than in the hypovascular group (surgical, 67.6% vs 22.5%, P = .038; medical, 15.4% vs 0%, P = .030). In both cohorts, a Cox proportional hazards model analysis showed that hypervascularity was significantly associated with better OS. CONCLUSION: Hypervascularity during the arterial CT phase is a prognostic biomarker in patients undergoing ICC resection and patients with unresectable ICC.

Isocitrate Dehydrogenase-Mutated Cholangiocarcinoma: Natural History and Clinical Outcomes.

PURPOSE: Clinical-pathologic features and natural history of patients with isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)-mutant intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) are not well characterized. Here, we sought to describe the natural history, clinical phenotype, and prognostic impact of advanced, IDH-mutated CCA. METHODS: We conducted a multicentric, retrospective analysis of patients with IDH-mutated (IDH1 or IDH2) CCA between 2010 and 2020. Median overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Chi-square test was used to analyze disease control rate (DCR) and overall response rate (ORR). Matched controls were used for comparing survival between patients with and without IDH mutations (mIDH). RESULTS: Sixty-five patients with IDH-mutated CCA were included. All patients had intrahepatic CCA. On first-line chemotherapy, median OS and median PFS were 21.2 months and 8.3 months, respectively. Notably, median OS (32.4 v 19.5 months, P = .12) and PFS (18.0 v 8.0 months, P = .12) were not significantly affected by disease status at presentation (locally advanced v metastatic, respectively). Median OS was significantly longer in patients with mIDH (21.2 v 10.5 months; P < .01). First-line gemcitabine-containing regimens had a significantly higher DCR and ORR than non-gemcitabine-containing regimens (DCR: 75% v 33%, P = .01; ORR: 39% v 0%, P = .02). In patients receiving IDH inhibitor therapy, median PFS was 4.6 months with a DCR of 29%. CONCLUSION: CCA with mIDH confers a unique subtype resulting in a better survival compared with that of counterparts. IDH inhibitors represent a promising therapeutic option in later lines of therapy in this subgroup.