The economic case for prevention of population vitamin D deficiency: a modelling study using data from England and Wales.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D deficiency (VDD) affects the health and wellbeing of millions worldwide. In high latitude countries such as the United Kingdom (UK), severe complications disproportionally affect ethnic minority groups. OBJECTIVE: To develop a decision-analytic model to estimate the cost effectiveness of population strategies to prevent VDD. METHODS: An individual-level simulation model was used to compare: (I) wheat flour fortification; (II) supplementation of at-risk groups; and (III) combined flour fortification and supplementation; with (IV) a 'no additional intervention' scenario, reflecting the current Vitamin D policy in the UK. We simulated the whole population over 90 years. Data from national nutrition surveys were used to estimate the risk of deficiency under the alternative scenarios. Costs incurred by the health care sector, the government, local authorities, and the general public were considered. Results were expressed as total cost and effect of each strategy, and as the cost per 'prevented case of VDD' and the 'cost per Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY)'. RESULTS: Wheat flour fortification was cost saving as its costs were more than offset by the cost savings from preventing VDD. The combination of supplementation and fortification was cost effective (£9.5 per QALY gained). The model estimated that wheat flour fortification alone would result in 25% fewer cases of VDD, while the combined strategy would reduce the number of cases by a further 8%. CONCLUSION: There is a strong economic case for fortifying wheat flour with Vitamin D, alone or in combination with targeted vitamin D3 supplementation.

Cost-efficacy and pharmacoeconomics of psoriatic patients in Japan: Analysis from a single outpatient clinic.

Compared with topical corticosteroids, topical combined active vitamin D3 /corticosteroids and especially biologics are more expensive despite their marked efficacy in the treatment of psoriasis. The aim of the present study is to evaluate total costs as well as costs versus efficacy of various psoriasis treatments under the current Japanese health-care insurance system. A prospective study was performed from the database of a single clinic located in Hokkaido Prefecture. Cost and quality of life of psoriatic patients were evaluated in a prospective manner during a total of 12 months from March 2017 until June 2018. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) of biologics was the highest among all treatments. Among the topical treatments, the cost versus efficacy of combined active vitamin D3 /corticosteroid was lowest (¥10 557/1 Psoriasis Area and Severity Index). Furthermore, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of combined active vitamin D3 /corticosteroid was ¥1 024 031/QALY when compared with topical corticosteroid treatment alone. The topical combined active vitamin D3 /corticosteroid treatment showed the best cost-efficacy in terms of medical economic burden.

Vitamin D: too much testing and treating?

There is clinical uncertainty as to the testing of serum 25--Hydroxy vitamin D (25[OH]D) concentrations and when to use high-dose supplementation. Data show that there has been a rapid increase in the number of tests performed within the Northumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust over the past 8 years and an increase in high-dose supplementation over the past 5 years. We performed a retrospective analysis of the 25(OH)D test requests over the period from January to -October 2017. A total of 17,405 tests were performed in this time period. The overall average concentration was 57.5 nmol/L and this figure was similar across age groups, although a larger proportion of patients aged over 75 had a concentration <25 nmol/L. Test requests were classified into 'appropriate', 'inappropriate' and 'uncertain' categories based on current expert opinion. We found that between 70.4% and 77.5% of tests could be inappropriate, depending on whether the 'uncertain' categories of falls and osteoporosis are considered to be justified. Tiredness, fatigue or exhaustion was the reason for testing in 22.4% of requests. We suggest that a more rational approach to testing, and subsequent treating, could lead to reductions in costs to the healthcare system and patients.

Financial management of large, multi-center trials in a challenging funding milieu.

BACKGROUND: Randomized clinical trials that have public health implications but no or low potential for commercial gain are predominantly funded by governmental (e.g., National Institutes of Health (NIH)) and not-for-profit organizations. Our objective was to develop an alternative clinical trial site funding model for judicious allocation of declining public research funds. METHODS: In the Vitamin D and Type 2 Diabetes (D2d) study, an NIH-supported, large clinical trial testing the effect of vitamin D supplementation on incident diabetes in 2423 participants at high risk for diabetes, a hybrid financial management model for supporting collaborating clinical sites was developed and applied. The funding model employed two reimbursement components: Core (for study start-up and partial efforts throughout the study, ~40% of the total site budget), invoiced by sites, and Performance-Based Payments (for successful enrollment of participants and completion of follow-up visits, ~60% of the total site budget), automatically issued to the sites by the Coordinating Center based on actual recruitment and visits conducted. Underperforming sites transitioned to Performance-Based Payments only. RESULTS: Recruitment occurred from October 2013 through December 2016, requiring one additional year than the 2-year projection. Median enrollment at each site was 88 participants (range 29-318; 20 to 205% of the site target). At the end of year 1, study-wide recruitment was at 12% of the target (vs. 50% projected) and 12% of the total grant award was invested. The model constantly evaluated sites' needs and re-allocated resources to meet the study enrollment goal. If D2d had issued cost reimbursement subaward agreements and sites invoiced for their entire budget, 83% of the award would have been spent for all study activities over the first 4 years of the trial compared to 65% of the award spent (US$26M) under the hybrid model used by D2d. CONCLUSIONS: It is feasible to foster a hybrid financial management approach to steward limited available public funds for research in a dynamic and consistent way that does not compromise the trial's scientific integrity and ensures conservation of funds to complete recruitment and continue to follow up participants.

The short-term impact of vitamin D-based hip fracture prevention in older adults in the United Kingdom.

PURPOSE: Vitamin D is a relatively inexpensive drug yet an important hormone in terms of calcium and bone homeostasis. Treatment with vitamin D is associated with reduced fracture risk particularly in an elderly population. Therefore, we assessed the budgetary impact of routine prescription of 800 IU daily colecalciferol on hip fracture among older adults in the United Kingdom. METHODS: Using meta-analysis findings for treatment effect and UK-estimates of incidence, we performed a health economic evaluation of treating the UK population aged 65 and over with 800 IU of vitamin D daily, assessing the impact upon hip fracture costs using incremental attributable costs and excess mortality for a range of age- gender-based treatment strategies. RESULTS: Using only a 1-year horizon, considering only reduction in hip fracture, prescribing colecalciferol 800 IU daily to all adults aged 65 and over, could reduce the number of incident hip fractures from 65,400 to 45,700, saving almost 1,700 associated deaths, whilst saving the UK taxpayer £22 million. CONCLUSIONS: As the UK government seeks to reduce public expenditure in all sectors, investment in prescribed prophylactic colecalciferol 800 IU therapy for adults aged 65 and over is likely to yield cost savings through reduction hip fracture alone in the first year.

The effect on quality of life of vitamin D administration for advanced cancer treatment (VIDAFACT study): protocol of a randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Vitamin D is related to resistance to chronic diseases, physiological parameters and functional measures. All of these relationships underscore the potential benefits of cholecalciferol or D3 (nutritional vitamin D) in cancer. This is the first study designed to obtain conclusive evidence on the effect of cholecalciferol in advanced patients with cancer. The main goal is to assess its effects on the patient's perceived quality of life. Cholecalciferol's impact on fatigue and physical performance, as well as its cost utility, will also be assessed. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A randomised triple-blind phase II/III placebo-controlled multicentre trial has been designed. Patients satisfying the inclusion and exclusion criteria will be randomly assigned to receive cholecalciferol or placebo. Eligible patients will be adults with a locally advanced or metastatic or inoperable solid cancer in palliative care, who have given signed informed consent and have matched inclusion and exclusion criteria. The randomisation will be based on a computer-generated procedure and centralised by the pharmacy service of the coordinating centre. The assigned treatment will be administered by the hospital's pharmacy to conceal group allocation for patients and healthcare providers. Cholecalciferol (4000 IU/day) or placebo, starting at day 15 and continuing up to day 42, will be added to palliative care treatment. Outpatient visits will be scheduled every 14 days. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval was received from the Medical Ethical Commitee of the HUAV (CEIC-1169). Participants and their families will receive the research findings which will also be disseminated on local and national media, presented at national and international meetings of the specialty, and published in peer-reviewed scientific journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: EudraCT: 2013-003478-29.

A cost effective complement to managing the vitamin D deficient and anemic dialysis patient in the bundled world.

Vitamin D deficiency is a common health complication in patients with chronic kidney disease and can be treated with an abundance of classical and advanced pharmaceutics. However, the impact of bundling in dialysis clinics limits the use of the most optimal therapeutics and desired efficacy targets in end-stage renal disease patients. To address this issue, we investigated the benefits of adding a cost-effective antioxidant and vitamin D nutraceutical (MV-ONE, Nephrian Inc.) to patient regiments. This nutraceutical was used in an attempt to replete vitamin D levels and decrease inflammation that dialysis patients experience. Additionally, we investigated the potential of this therapy to reduce the need for erythropoietin-stimulating agents. Results indicate MV-ONE caused: (1) increases in 25-OH vitamin D (p = 0.0058), (2) decreases in ESA dose (p = 0.0475), and (3) no change in C-reactive protein (p = 0.3290). Overall, this suggests the addition of MV-ONE does benefit the vitamin D deficiency and anemia observed in ESRD patients.

Vitamin K supplementation for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fractures: is it cost-effective and is future research warranted?

UNLABELLED: Lifetime supplementation with vitamin K, vitamin D(3), and calcium is likely to reduce fractures and increase survival in postmenopausal women. It would be a cost-effective intervention at commonly used thresholds, but high uncertainty around the cost-effectiveness estimates persists. Further research on the effect of vitamin K on fractures is warranted. INTRODUCTION: Vitamin K might have a role in the primary prevention of fractures, but uncertainties about its effectiveness and cost-effectiveness persist. METHODS: We developed a state-transition probabilistic microsimulation model to quantify the cost-effectiveness of various interventions to prevent fractures in 50-year-old postmenopausal women without osteoporosis. We compared no supplementation, vitamin D(3) (800 IU/day) with calcium (1,200 mg/day), and vitamin K(2) (45 mg/day) with vitamin D(3) and calcium (at the same doses). An additional analysis explored replacing vitamin K(2) with vitamin K(1) (5 mg/day). RESULTS: Adding vitamin K(2) to vitamin D(3) with calcium reduced the lifetime probability of at least one fracture by 25%, increased discounted survival by 0.7 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (95% credible interval (CrI) 0.2; 1.3) and discounted costs by $8,956, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $12,268/QALY. At a $50,000/QALY threshold, the probability of cost-effectiveness was 95% and the population expected value of perfect information (EVPI) was $28.9 billion. Adding vitamin K(1) to vitamin D and calcium reduced the lifetime probability of at least one fracture by 20%, increased discounted survival by 0.4 QALYs (95% CrI -1.9; 1.4) and discounted costs by $4,014, yielding an ICER of $9,557/QALY. At a $50,000/QALY threshold, the probability of cost-effectiveness was 80% while the EVPI was $414.9 billion. The efficacy of vitamin K was the most important parameter in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Lifetime supplementation with vitamin K, vitamin D(3), and calcium is likely to reduce fractures and increase survival in postmenopausal women. Given high uncertainty around the cost-effectiveness estimates, further research on the efficacy of vitamin K on fractures is warranted.

Screening for vitamin D deficiency in the elderly.

The importance of vitamin D to normal physiologic function is well established. With deficiency becoming increasingly frequent, the potential for preventing and treating diseases through vitamin D supplementation is gaining in appreciation. Deficiency is particularly common in the geriatric population based on both behavioral and biologic factors, and has been associated with increased risk of musculoskeletal, neuropsychiatric, cardiovascular, endocrine and oncologic disease. Although some experts recommend empiric supplementation for all elderly persons, a strategy of routine screening and documented adequacy of replacement in deficient patients appears superior.

Cost effectiveness of ibandronate for the prevention of fractures in inflammatory bowel disease-related osteoporosis: cost-utility analysis using a Markov model.

BACKGROUND: Osteoporosis is a frequent complication in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Recent studies have shown bisphosphonates to considerably reduce fracture risk in patients with osteoporosis, and preventing fractures with bisphosphonates has been reported to be cost effective in older populations. However, no studies of the cost effectiveness of these agents in preventing fractures in patients with inflammatory bowel disease are available. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the cost effectiveness of the bisphosphonate ibandronate combined with calcium/colecalciferol ('ibandronate') in patients with osteopenia or osteoporosis due to inflammatory bowel disease in Germany. Treatment strategies used for comparison were sodium fluoride combined with calcium/colecalciferol ('fluoride') and calcium/colecalciferol ('calcium') alone. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A cost-utility analysis was conducted using data from a randomized controlled trial (RCT). Changes in bone mineral density (BMD) were adjusted and predicted for a standardized population receiving each respective treatment. A Markov model was developed, with probabilities of transition to fracture states consisting of BMD-dependent and -independent components. The BMD-dependent component was assessed using predicted change in BMD from the RCT. The independent component captured differences in bone quality and micro-architecture resulting from prevalent fractures or treatment with anti-resorptive drugs. The analysis was conducted for a population with a mean age of the RCT patients (women aged 36 years, men aged 38 years) with osteopenia (T-score about -2.0 at baseline), a population of the same age with osteoporosis (T-score of -3.0 at baseline) and for an older population (both sexes aged 65 years) with osteoporosis (T-score of -3.0). Outcomes were measured as costs per QALY gained from a societal perspective. The treatment duration in the RCT was 42 months. A 5-year period was assumed to follow, during which the treatment effects linearly declined to 0. The simulation time was 10 years. Prices for medication and treatment were presented as year 2004 values; costs and effects were discounted at 5%. To test the robustness of the results, univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (Monte Carlo simulation) were conducted. RESULTS: The calcium strategy dominated the fluoride strategy. When the ibandronate strategy was compared with the calcium strategy, the base-case cost-effectiveness ratios (costs per QALY gained) were between euro 407 375 for an older female population with osteoporosis and euro 6 516 345 for a younger female population with osteopenia. Univariate sensitivity analyses resulted in variations between 4% of base-case results and dominance of calcium. In Monte Carlo simulations, conducted for the various populations, the probability of an ICER of ibandronate below euro 50 000 per QALY was never greater than 20.2%. CONCLUSION: The ibandronate strategy is unlikely to be considered cost effective by decision makers in men or women with characteristics of those in the target population of the RCT, or in older populations with osteoporosis.

Cost-effectiveness of a fixed dose combination of alendronate and cholecalciferol in the treatment and prevention of osteoporosis in the United Kingdom and The Netherlands.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a fixed dose combination of alendronate 70 mg and cholecalciferol 2800 IU (alendronate/vitamin D3; Fosavance) versus no treatment, alendronate with dietary vitamin D supplements and ibandronate in the treatment of osteoporosis in the UK and Netherlands. METHODS: A patient simulation model was developed. One-year cycles included health states related to hip, vertebral, wrist and proximal humerus fractures, as well as death due to hip fractures and other causes. Effect of treatment was extracted from alendronate and ibandronate clinical trials. Direct costs and utilities were derived from other literature. Analyses were performed for women with a history of vertebral fractures and osteoporosis aged 50, 60, 70 and 80 years. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken to estimate the uncertainty of outcomes. RESULTS: In the UK, alendronate/vitamin D3 was cost-effective compared to no treatment in women 70 years and older with osteoporosis ( pound17 439 per quality-adjusted life year [QALY] gained) and women 60 years and older with a history of vertebral fractures ( pound29 283 per QALY gained). For women 80 years of age alendronate/vitamin D3 was cost-saving combined with QALY gains. Alendronate/vitamin D3 was cost-saving relative to alendronate with dietary supplements. Relative to ibandronate, alendronate/vitamin D3 was cost-effective in women 50 years ( pound19 095 per QALY gained) and economically dominant in women 60 years or older. Comparable results were observed for the Netherlands. CONCLUSIONS: Given the underlying assumptions and data used, this economic modelling study showed that alendronate/vitamin D3 is cost-effective in women 70 years or older with osteoporosis and in women 60 years or older with a history of vertebral fractures in the UK and Netherlands. Alendronate/vitamin D3 is economically dominant over ibandronate in women with a history of vertebral fractures aged 60 and over and cost-saving relative to alendronate with dietary supplements.

Calcium-vitamin D3 supplementation is cost-effective in hip fractures prevention.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost implications for a preventive treatment strategy for institutionalised elderly women with a combined 1200 mg/day calcium and 800 IU/day vitamin D(3) supplementation in seven European countries. DESIGN: Retrospective cost effectiveness analysis based on a prospective placebo-controlled randomised clinical trial. DATA SOURCES: Recently published cost studies in seven European countries. Clinical results from Decalyos, a 3-year placebo-controlled study in elderly institutionalised women. TRIALS: Decalyos study, with 36 months follow-up of 3270 mobile elderly women living in 180 nursing homes, allocated to two groups. One group received 1200 mg/day elemental calcium in the form of tricalcium phosphate together with 800 IU/day (20 microg) of cholecalciferol (vitamin D(3)), the other placebo. RESULTS: In the 36 months analysis of the Decalyos study, 138 hip fractures occurred in the group of 1176 women, receiving supplementation and 184 hip fractures in the placebo group of 1127 women. The mean duration of treatment was 625.4 days. Adjusted to 1000 women, 46 hip fractures were avoided by the calcium and vitamin D(3) supplementation. For all countries, the total costs in the placebo group were higher than in the group receiving supplementation, resulting in a net benefit of 79000-711000 per 1000 women. CONCLUSION: This analysis suggests that the supplementation strategy is cost saving. The results may underestimate the net benefits, as this treatment has also shown to be effective in decreasing the incidence of other non-vertebral fractures in elderly institutionalised women.

The health economics of calcium and vitamin D3 for the prevention of osteoporotic hip fractures in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to examine the economics of administering calcium and vitamin D3 to post-menopausal women in Sweden. We focus primarily on the cost-effectiveness of treating older women for whom clear evidence of efficacy is available. We supplement this information, however, with estimates of the cost-effectiveness of treating certain high-risk groups of younger women, while acknowledging the greater uncertainty involved. METHODS: We developed a Markov model for analyzing the occurrence and timing of hip fractures, based almost entirely on peer-reviewed data from Sweden. In a 3-year randomized clinical trial, the combination of calcium and vitamin D3 was shown to reduce the risk of hip fractures by 27%. Costs for treating hip fractures were based on 1,080 women who were hospitalized in Stockholm. RESULTS: Treatment of 70-year-old women was cost saving at efficacy as low as two-thirds that seen in the clinical trials, and upwards. Even at modest rates of efficacy, treatment of the high-risk 50- and 60-year-old cohorts was generally cost-effective and in some cases even cost saving. Particularly cost-effective was treatment of women with identified osteoporosis or a maternal family history of hip fracture. CONCLUSION: Simulation results suggest a role for lifetime treatment of older women with calcium and vitamin D3 in Sweden. While there is more uncertainty underlying the treatment of younger women, our simulation results suggest that treatment may also be cost saving or at least cost-effective for many cohorts of high-risk 50- and particularly 60-year-old women, in particular those with osteoporosis or a maternal family history of hip fracture.