Emergency Department Referral of Patients With Chest Pain for Noninvasive Cardiac Testing and 2-Year Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive cardiac testing (NICT) has been associated with decreased long-term risks of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) among emergency department patients at high coronary risk. It is unclear whether this association extends to patients without evidence of myocardial injury on initial ECG and cardiac troponin testing. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted of patients presenting with chest pain between 2013 and 2019 to 21 emergency departments within an integrated health care system in Northern California, excluding patients with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction or myocardial injury by serum troponin testing. To account for confounding by indication, we grouped patient encounters by the NICT referral rate of the initially assigned emergency physician relative to local peers within discrete time periods. The primary outcome was MACE within 2 years. Secondary outcomes were coronary revascularization and MACE, inclusive of all-cause mortality. Associations between the NICT referral group (low, intermediate, or high) and outcomes were assessed using risk-adjusted proportional hazards methods with censoring for competing events. RESULTS: Among 144 577 eligible patient encounters, the median age was 58 years (interquartile range, 48-68) and 57% were female. Thirty-day NICT referral was 13.0%, 19.9%, and 27.8% in low, intermediate, and high NICT referral groups, respectively, with a good balance of baseline covariates between groups. Compared with the low NICT referral group, there was no significant decrease in the adjusted hazard ratio of MACE within the intermediate (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02-1.14]) or high (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.99-1.11]) NICT referral groups. Results were similar for MACE, inclusive of all-cause mortality, and coronary revascularization, as well as subgroup analyses stratified by estimated risk (history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin [HEART] score: percent classified as low risk, 48.2%; moderate risk, 49.2%; and high risk, 2.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Increases in NICT referrals were not associated with changes in the hazard of MACE within 2 years following emergency department visits for chest pain without evidence of acute myocardial injury. These findings further highlight the need for evidence-based guidance regarding the appropriate use of NICT in this population.

Self-Administration of Aspirin After Chest Pain for the Prevention of Premature Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States: A Population-Based Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Aspirin, an effective, low-cost pharmaceutical, can significantly reduce mortality if used promptly after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, many AMI survivors do not receive aspirin within a few hours of symptom onset. Our aim was to quantify the mortality benefit of self-administering aspirin at chest pain onset, considering the increased risk of bleeding and costs associated with widespread use. METHODS AND RESULTS: We developed a population simulation model to determine the impact of self-administering 325 mg aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset. We created a synthetic cohort of adults ≥ 40 years old experiencing severe chest pain using 2019 US population estimates, AMI incidence, and sensitivity/specificity of chest pain for AMI. The number of annual deaths delayed was estimated using evidence from a large, randomized trial. We also estimated the years of life saved (YOLS), costs, and cost per YOLS. Initiating aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset delayed 13 016 (95% CI, 11 643-14 574) deaths annually, after accounting for deaths due to bleeding (963; 926-1003). This translated to an estimated 166 309 YOLS (149391-185 505) at the cost of $643 235 (633 944-653 010) per year, leading to a cost-effectiveness ratio of $3.70 (3.32-4.12) per YOLS. CONCLUSIONS: For <$4 per YOLS, self-administration of aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset has the potential to save 13 000 lives per year in the US population. Benefits of reducing deaths post-AMI outweighed the risk of bleeding deaths from aspirin 10 times over.

Increased short-term mortality among patients presenting with altered mental status to the emergency department: A cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the short-term mortality of adult patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with altered mental status (AMS) as compared to other common chief complaints. METHODS: Observational cohort study of adult patients (age ≥ 40) who presented to an academic ED over a 1-year period with five pre-specified complaints at ED triage: AMS, generalized weakness, chest pain, abdominal pain, and headache. Primary outcomes included 7 and 30-day mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, acuity level, and comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 9850 ED visits were included for analysis from which 101 (1.0%) and 295 (3.0%) died within 7 and 30 days, respectively. Among 683 AMS visits, the 7-day mortality rate was 3.2%. Mortality was lower for all other chief complaints, including generalized weakness (17/1170, 1.5%), abdominal pain (32/3609, 0.9%), chest pain (26/3548, 0.7%), and headache (4/840, 0.5%). After adjusting for key confounders, patients presenting with AMS had a significantly higher risk of death within 7 days of ED arrival than patients presenting with chest pain (HR 3.72, 95% CI 2.05 to 6.76, p < .001). Similarly, we found that patients presenting with AMS had a significantly higher risk of dying within 30 days compared to patients with chest pain (HR 3.65, 95% CI 2.49 to 5.37, p < .001), and headache (HR 2.09, 95% CI 1.09 to 4.01, p = .026). Differences were not statistically significant for comparisons with abdominal pain and generalized weakness, but confidence intervals were wide. CONCLUSION: Patients presenting with AMS have worse short-term prognosis than patients presenting to the ED with chest pain or headache. AMS may indicate an underlying brain dysfunction (delirium), which is associated with adverse outcomes and increased mortality.

Likelihood of myocardial infarction, revascularization and death following catheterization laboratory activation in patients with vs. without both chest pain and ST elevation.

BACKGROUND: Emergent cardiac catheterization laboratory activation (CCLA) for patients with suspected ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is employed to expedite acute revascularization (AR). The incidence of false-positive CCLA, in which AR is not performed, remains high. The combination of chest pain (CP) and electrocardiographic ST elevation (STE) are the hallmarks of STEMI. However, CCLA is sometimes initiated for patients lacking this combination. The study objective was to quantify the difference in likelihood of AR and mortality in patients with vs. without both CP and STE. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 1621 consecutive patients for whom CCLA was initiated in a six-hospital network. We assessed the likelihood of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), presence of a culprit lesion (CL), performance of AR, and hospital mortality among patients with both CP and STE (+CP/+STE) compared with patients lacking one or both [non(CP/STE)]. RESULTS: 87.0% of patients presented with CP, 82.4% with STE, and 73.7% with both. Among +CP/+STE patients, AMI was confirmed in 90.4%, a CL in 88.9%, and AR performed in 83.1%. The corresponding values among non(CP/STE) patients were 35.8, 31.9, and 28.1%, respectively (P < 0.0001 for each). Nevertheless, mortality among non(CP/STE) patients was three-fold higher than in +CP/+STE patients (13.3% vs. 4.5%; P < 0.0001), with non-coronary deaths 24-fold more likely. CONCLUSION: Patients lacking the combination of CP and STE have a markedly lower likelihood of AMI and AR than +CP/+STE patients, but significantly higher mortality. Protocols aimed at rapid, focused evaluation of non(CP/STE) patients prior to CCLA are needed.

Use of Cardiac Noninvasive Testing After Emergency Department Discharge: Association of Hospital Network Testing Intensity and Outcomes in Ontario, Canada.

Background The relationship between noninvasive cardiac diagnostic testing intensity and downstream clinical outcomes is unclear. Our objective was to examine the relationship between hospital network noninvasive cardiac diagnostic testing intensity and downstream clinical outcomes in patients who were discharged from the emergency department after assessment for chest pain. Methods and Results We employed a retrospective cohort study design of 387 809 patients evaluated for chest pain in the emergency department between April 1, 2010 and March 31, 2016. Hospital networks were divided into tertiles based on usage of noninvasive cardiac diagnostic testing. The primary outcome was a composite of acute myocardial infarction or all-cause mortality. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the hazard of the composite outcome of myocardical infarction and/or all-cause mortality between the tertiles. After adjustment for clinically relevant covariates, patients evaluated for chest pain in intermediate noninvasive cardiac diagnostic testing usage tertile hospital networks did not have significantly different hazards of the composite outcome when compared with those evaluated in low usage tertile hospital networks >90 days (hazard ratio [HR], 1.00; 95% CI, 0.83-1.21), 6 months (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.92-1.24), and 1 year (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.94-1.14). Patients evaluated in the high usage tertile also did not have significantly different hazards of the composite outcome compared with those evaluated in the low usage tertile at 90 days (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.80-1.19), 6 months (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.87-1.17); and 1 year (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.86-1.05). Conclusions Our population-based study demonstrated that high noninvasive cardiac diagnostic testing use intensity was not associated with reductions in downstream myocardial infarction or all-cause mortality.

The Average Effect of Emergency Department Admission on Readmission and Mortality for Older Adults With Chest Pain.

BACKGROUND: Many older adults (65+) present to the Emergency Department (ED) with chest pain, but do not have otherwise clear clinical indication of whether they should be admitted or discharged. This uncertainty leads to decisions that are highly variable-in addition to already being costly-which could have adverse consequences, since older adults are particularly vulnerable from hospitalization. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine whether admitting versus discharging an older adult presenting to the ED with chest pain reduces risk of mortality and readmission. STUDY DESIGN: Electronic health records were curated from an academic hospital system between January 1, 2014, and September 27, 2018. Average effects of admission on 30-day readmission and mortality were estimated using a new causal inference approach based on a latent-variable model of the admission process. Additional analyses assessed moderators and robustness of estimates. SUBJECTS: Older patients (n=3090) presenting to University of Wisconsin Hospital ED. MEASURES: Readmission and mortality within 25, 30, and 35 days of discharge from the ED for discharged patients or the hospital for admitted patients RESULTS:: For older chest pain patients, admission is estimated to lower the 30-day risk of readmission by 42.8% (95% confidence interval: 41.0%-44.6%) but increase the 30-day risk of mortality by 0.8% (95% confidence interval: 0.4%-1.2%). Individuals with higher hierarchical conditional category scores or diabetes with complications have both lower 30-day risk of readmission and higher 30-day risk of mortality compared with their counterparts (P≤0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest ED admission may prevent readmission at the cost of increasing mortality risk for older chest pain patients, especially those with comorbidity. Additional studies are needed to validate these findings.

HEART Pathway Implementation Safely Reduces Hospitalizations at One Year in Patients With Acute Chest Pain.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We determine whether implementation of the HEART (History, ECG, Age, Risk Factors, Troponin) Pathway is safe and effective in emergency department (ED) patients with possible acute coronary syndrome through 1 year of follow-up. METHODS: A preplanned analysis of 1-year follow-up data from a prospective pre-post study of 8,474 adult ED patients with possible acute coronary syndrome from 3 US sites was conducted. Patients included were aged 21 years or older, evaluated for possible acute coronary syndrome, and without ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Accrual occurred for 12 months before and after HEART Pathway implementation, from November 2013 to January 2016. The HEART Pathway was integrated into the electronic health record at each site as an interactive clinical decision support tool. After integration, ED providers prospectively used the HEART Pathway to identify patients with possible acute coronary syndrome as low risk (appropriate for early discharge without stress testing or angiography) or nonlow risk (appropriate for further inhospital evaluation). Safety (all-cause death and myocardial infarction) and effectiveness (hospitalization) at 1 year were determined from health records, insurance claims, and death index data. RESULTS: Preimplementation and postimplementation cohorts included 3,713 and 4,761 patients, respectively. The HEART Pathway identified 30.7% of patients as low risk; 97.5% of them were free of death and myocardial infarction within 1 year. Hospitalization at 1 year was reduced by 7.0% in the postimplementation versus preimplementation cohort (62.1% versus 69.1%; adjusted odds ratio 0.70; 95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.78). Rates of death or myocardial infarction at 1 year were similar (11.6% versus 12.4%; adjusted odds ratio 1.00; 95% confidence interval 0.87 to 1.16). CONCLUSION: HEART Pathway implementation was associated with decreased hospitalizations and low adverse event rates among low-risk patients at 1-year follow-up.

Predictors of mortality in emergency department patients with chest pain without cardiovascular emergencies.

BACKGROUND: Chest pain is one of the most frequent symptoms in patients seeking treatment at emergency departments (ED). These patients differ according to the cause of their reported symptoms and resultant mortality. OBJECTIVES: Evaluation of the influence of hospitalization and biochemical parameters on mortality rates in patients admitted to the ED with chest pain, in whom no cardiovascular emergencies were established. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study group consisted of 243 patients with chest pain admitted to the ED in the Wroclaw Medical University Clinical Hospital, Poland, between January 1 and March 31, 2015, in whom no specific diagnosis was made at discharge. A retrospective analysis was carried out based on medical documentation, and 60-day and 1-year survival was assessed. RESULTS: In the study group, the 60-day mortality rate was 0.8% (2 persons) while the 1-year mortality rate was 6.6% (16 persons). The stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that 1-year mortality was related to increased level of D-dimer (odds ratio (OR) = 8.5, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 21.9-37.5, p < 0.005), age (OR (per year) = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.03-1.18, p < 0.03) and lower than 12 g/dL hemoglobin concentration (OR = 18.5, 95% CI = 4.2-80.4, p < 0.001). Troponin I (TNI) levels and hospitalization were not related independently to mortality when other clinical factors were considered. CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalization of patients with chest pain who were not diagnosed with cardiac emergencies is not related with better survival than of those discharged home from the ED. The 60-day mortality is very low and occurs in older patients with numerous comorbidities. In multivariate analysis, survival of the 1-year period depends on the patient's age, hemoglobin levels and D-dimer levels. Risk of death in patients admitted to the ED due to chest pain in whom the cause of the chest pain was not due to cardiovascular emergencies depends on the presence of old age and comorbidities.

Factors influencing physician risk estimates for acute cardiac events in emergency patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Emergency physicians frequently assess risk of acute cardiac events (ACEs) in patients with undifferentiated chest pain. Such estimates have been shown to have moderate to high sensitivity for ACE but are conservative. Little is known about the factors implicitly used by physicians to determine the pretest probability of risk. This study sought to identify the accuracy of physician risk estimates for ACE in patients presenting to the ED with chest pain and to identify the demographic and clinical information emergency physicians use in their determination of patient risk. METHODS: This study used data from two prospective studies of consenting adult patients presenting to the ED with symptoms of possible acute coronary syndrome. ED physicians estimated the pretest probability of ACE. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to identify predictors of physician risk estimates. Logistic regression was used to determine whether there was a correlation between physicians' estimated risk and ACE. RESULTS: Increasing age, male sex, abnormal ECG features, heavy/crushing chest pain and risk factors were correlated with physician risk estimates. Physician risk estimates were consistently found to be higher than the expected proportion of ACE from the sampled population. CONCLUSION: Physicians systematically overestimate ACE risk. A range of factors are associated with physician risk estimates. These include factors strongly predictive of ACE, such as age and ECG characteristics. They also include other factors that have been shown to be unreliable predictors of ACE in an ED setting, such as typicality of pain and risk factors.

Comparison of four decision aids for the early diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes in the emergency department.

OBJECTIVES: To directly compare the diagnostic accuracy of four decision aids (Troponin-only Manchester Acute Coronary Syndromes (T-MACS), History, ECG, Age, Risk factors and Troponin (HEART), Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) and Emergency Department Assessment of Chest Pain (EDACS)) used to expedite the early diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in the ED. METHODS: We prospectively included patients who presented to 14 EDs in England (February 2015 to June 2017) with suspected ACS within 12 hours of symptom onset. Data to enable evaluation of the T-MACS, HEART, TIMI and EDACS decision aids (without recalibration) were prospectively collected, blinded to patient outcome. We tested admission blood samples for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI; Siemens ADVIA Centaur). Patients also underwent serial cardiac troponin testing over 3-12 hours. The target condition was an adjudicated diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We also evaluated the incidence of major adverse cardiac events (including death, AMI or coronary revascularisation) at 30 days. Diagnostic accuracy of each decision aid and hs-cTnI alone (using the limit of quantification cut-off, 3 ng/L) was evaluated by calculating sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). RESULTS: Of 999 included patients, 132 (13.2%) had AMI. C-statistics were 0.96 for T-MACS, 0.78 for HEART and 0.69 for TIMI. The sensitivities of T-MACS, HEART, TIMI, EDACS and hs-cTnI <3 ng/L for AMI were 99.2% (95% CI 95.7% to 100.0%), 91.8% (85.0% to 96.2%), 97.5% (92.9% to 99.5%), 96.2% (92.2% to 99.4%) and 99.2% (95.9% to 100.0%), respectively. The respective strategies would have ruled out 46.5%, 34.9%, 19.4%, 48.3% and 28.8% patients. PPVs for the decision aids that identify 'high-risk' patients were 80.4% (T-MACS), 51.9% (TIMI) and 37.2% (HEART). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, T-MACS could rule out AMI in 46.5% patients with 99.2% sensitivity. EDACS could rule out AMI in 48.3% patients with lower sensitivity, although the difference was not statistically significant. The HEART and TIMI scores had lower diagnostic accuracy.

Risk stratification of patients with chest pain or anginal equivalents in the emergency department.

We studied whether previously developed cardiac risk scores-including history, ECG, age, risk factors, and troponin (HEART); Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI); Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE); and Emergency Department Assessment of Chest Pain (EDACS)-could be applied to predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with possible coronary artery disease, including anginal equivalents. Patients with chest pain or anginal equivalents who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography were included. The primary outcome was 30-day MACE. We compared the cardiac risk scores by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC). The primary outcome occurred in 200 patients (16.0%) of the 1247 patients included. For the prediction of MACE, the AUC of the HEART score (0.765) was superior to those of the TIMI (0.726), GRACE (0.612), and EDACS (0.631) scores. Among patients identified by each score as being at low risk, the MACE rate was the lowest for the HEART score (5.7%), followed by the TIMI (8.8%), EDACS (11.2%), and GRACE (12.2%) scores. At a sensitivity level of a < 2% rate of misses, the negative predictive value of the HEART score (1.0) outperformed those of the GRACE (0.932) and EDACS (0.964). The HEART score appeared to be more predictive of MACEs than the TIMI, GRACE, and EDACS in patients with chest pain or anginal equivalents. However, previously suggested cutoff could not safely identify low-risk patients for early discharge because of the unacceptably high rate of missed MACEs.

Guiding Therapy by Coronary CT Angiography Improves Outcomes in Patients With Stable Chest Pain.

BACKGROUND: Within the SCOT-HEART (Scottish COmputed Tomography of the HEART Trial) trial of patients with stable chest pain, the use of coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) reduced the rate of death from coronary heart disease or nonfatal myocardial infarction (primary endpoint). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to assess the consistency and mechanisms of the 5-year reduction in this endpoint. METHODS: In this open-label trial, 4,146 participants were randomized to standard care alone or standard care plus coronary CTA. This study explored the primary endpoint by symptoms, diagnosis, coronary revascularizations, and preventative therapies. RESULTS: Event reductions were consistent across symptom and risk categories (p = NS for interactions). In patients who were not diagnosed with angina due to coronary heart disease, coronary CTA was associated with a lower primary endpoint incidence rate (0.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.13 to 0.35 vs. 0.59; 95% CI: 0.42 to 0.80 per 100 patient-years; p < 0.001). In those who had undergone coronary CTA, rates of coronary revascularization were higher in the first year (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.46; p = 0.042) but lower beyond 1 year (HR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.38 to 0.90; p = 0.015). Patients assigned to coronary CTA had higher rates of preventative therapies throughout follow-up (p < 0.001 for all), with rates highest in those with CT-defined coronary artery disease. Modeling studies demonstrated the plausibility of the observed effect size. CONCLUSIONS: The beneficial effect of coronary CTA on outcomes is consistent across subgroups with plausible underlying mechanisms. Coronary CTA improves coronary heart disease outcomes by enabling better targeting of preventative treatments to those with coronary artery disease. (Scottish COmputed Tomography of the HEART Trial [SCOT-HEART]; NCT01149590).

Predictive risk stratification using HEART (history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and initial troponin) and TIMI (thrombolysis in myocardial infarction) scores in non-high risk chest pain patients: An African American urban community based hospital study.

Validated risk scoring systems in African American (AA) population are under studied. We utilized history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and initial troponin (HEART) and thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) scores to predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in non-high cardiovascular (CV) risk predominantly AA patient population.A retrospective emergency department (ED) charts review of 1266 chest pain patients where HEART and TIMI scores were calculated for each patient. Logistic regression model was computed to predict 6-week and 1-year MACE and 90-day cardiac readmission. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was constructed to differentiate between clinical strategies in non-high CV risk patients.Of the 817 patients included, 500 patients had low HEART score vs. 317 patients who had moderate HEART score. Six hundred sixty-three patients had low TIMI score vs. 154 patients had high TIMI score. The univariate logistic regression model shows odds ratio of predicting 6-week MACE using HEART score was 3.11 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43-6.76, P = .004) with increase in risk category from low to moderate vs. 2.07 (95% CI 1.18-3.63, P = .011) using TIMI score with increase in risk category from low to high and c-statistic of 0.86 vs. 0.79, respectively. DCA showed net benefit of using HEART score is equally predictive of 6-week MACE when compared to TIMI.In non-high CV risk AA patients, HEART score is better predictive tool for 6-week MACE when compared to TIMI score. Furthermore, patients presenting to ED with chest pain, the optimal strategy for a 2% to 4% miss rate threshold probability should be to discharge these patients from the ED.

Hospitalised patients with unexplained chest pain: incidence and prognosis.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of unexplained chest pain patients provides valuable information for evaluation of health services. OBJECTIVE: To examine prognosis of unexplained chest pain. METHODS: Using data from in- and outpatient hospital visits in Norway of patients discharged with a main diagnosis of unexplained chest pain (ICD-10: R072-R074) in 2010-2012, the 1-year incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD), any cardio-vascular disease (CVD) and mortality was evaluated. Cases with prior 2-year history of CVD or chest pain were excluded. Cox proportional hazards evaluated outcomes by patient characteristics and standardized mortality ratios evaluated observed versus expected mortality. RESULTS: Of 59 569 patients identified (20-89 years of age), the majority (86%) were referred to hospital by out-of-hours emergency care centres. Subsequent CHD was noted for 12.5%, 19.5% and 25.0% of men and 7.2%, 11.0%, 14.0% of women aged 45-64, 65-74 and 75-89 years, respectively. The per cent of deaths attributed to CVD were greatest within the first 2 months of postdischarge. Total mortality rates (per 1000 person-years) were 6.6 in men and 4.7 in women aged 45-64 and 69.2 in men and 39.5 in women aged 75-89 years. Relative to the general population, mortality was 53% and 45% higher for men and women under 65 years of age, respectively, attributed primarily to non-CVD causes. CONCLUSION: Patients in Norway discharged with unexplained chest pain are an at-risk group in terms of incident CHD, any CVD and mortality, including non-CVD mortality during the first-year postdischarge. The results suggest that unexplained chest pain patients may benefit from greater healthcare coordination between medical disciplines.

Non-traumatic chest pain in patients presenting to an urban emergency Department in sub Saharan Africa: a prospective cohort study in Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: Non-traumatic chest pain (NTCP) is a common reason for emergency department (ED) attendance in high-income countries, with the primary concern focused on life threatening cardiovascular diseases. There is general lack of data on aetiologies, diagnosis and management of NTPC in Sub Sahara African (SSA) countries. We aimed to describe evaluation, diagnosis and outcomes of adult patients presenting with NTCP to an urban ED in Tanzania. METHOD: This was a prospective observational cohort study of consecutive adult (≥18 years) patients presenting with non-traumatic chest pain to the Emergency Medicine Department (EMD) of Muhimbili National Hospital (MNH) in Dar es salaam from September 2017 to April 2018. Structured case report form was used to collected demographics, clinical presentation, investigations, diagnosis, and EMD disposition and in hospital mortality. We determined frequency of NTCP among our patients, aetiologies, 24-h and 7-day in-hospital mortality, and predictors for mortality. RESULTS: We screened 29,495 adults attending EMD-MNH during the study and 389 (1.3%) presented with NTCP of these, 349 (90%) were enrolled. The median age was 45 (IQR 29-60) years and 177 (50.7%) were female. Overall, 69.1% patients received electrocardiography (ECG) in the EMD and 34.1% had a troponin test. Heart failure and pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) were the leading hospital diagnoses (12.6% each), followed by chronic kidney disease (10%) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) (9.6%). Total of 167 (48%) patients were admitted, and the 24-h and 7-day in-hospital mortality were 5 (3%) and 16 (9.6%) respectively. Univariate risk factors for mortality were a Glasgow Coma Scale of < 15 [RR = 3.4 (95%CI 3.2-23)], Acute Coronary Syndrome [RR = 5.7 (95% CI 1.7-11.8) and Troponin > 0.04 ng/ml [RR 2.9 (95%CI 1.2-7.3)]. Features distinguishing cardiovascular from other causes were: bradycardia [RR = 2.6 (95%CI 2.1-3.2)], heart beat awareness [RR = 2.3 (95%CI 1.7-3.2)] and history of diabetic mellitus [RR = 2.2 (95% CI 1.6-3.0)]. CONCLUSION: In this ED of SSA country, heart failure and pulmonary tuberculosis were the leading causes of NCTP, and ACS was present in 9.6%. NTCP in this setting carries high mortality, and ACS was the leading risk factor for death. ED providers in SSA must increasingly consider cardiovascular causes of NTCP.

Associations Between Crowding and Ten-Day Mortality Among Patients Allocated Lower Triage Acuity Levels Without Need of Acute Hospital Care on Departure From the Emergency Department.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We describe the association between emergency department (ED) crowding and 10-day mortality for patients triaged to lower acuity levels at ED arrival and without need of acute hospital care on ED departure. METHODS: This was a registry study based on ED visits with all patients aged 18 years or older, with triage acuity levels 3 to 5, and without need of acute hospital care on ED departure during 2009 to 2016 (n=705,699). The sample was divided into patients surviving (n=705,076) or dying (n=623) within 10 days. Variables concerning patient characteristics and measures of ED crowding (mean length of stay and ED occupancy ratio) were extracted from the hospital's electronic health records. ED length of stay per ED visit was estimated by the average length of stay for all patients who presented to the ED during the same day and shift and with the same acuity level. The 10-day mortality after ED discharge was used as the outcome measure. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The 10-day mortality rate was 0.09% (n=623). The event group had larger proportions of patients aged 80 years or older (51.4% versus 7.7%) and triaged with acuity level 3 (63.3% versus 35.6%), and greater comorbidity (age-combined Charlson comorbidity index median interquartile range 6 versus 0). We observed an increased 10-day mortality for patients with a mean ED length of stay greater than or equal to 8 hours versus less than 2 hours (adjusted odds ratio 5.86; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.15 to 15.94) and for elevated ED occupancy ratio. Adjusted odds ratios for ED occupancy ratio quartiles 2, 3, and 4 versus quartile 1 were 1.48 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.92), 1.63 (95% CI 1.24 to 2.14), and 1.53 (95% CI 1.15 to 2.03), respectively. CONCLUSION: Patients assigned to lower triage acuity levels when arriving to the ED and without need of acute hospital care on departure from the ED had higher 10-day mortality when the mean ED length of stay exceeded 8 hours and when ED occupancy ratio increased.

Mean platelet volume and clinical outcomes of patients with chest pain discharged from internal medicine wards.

BACKGROUND: Currently, there are no clinical scores for risk stratification of low-risk patients with chest pain. We aimed to examine the association between mean platelet volume (MPV) and risk for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chest pain discharged from internal medicine wards following acute coronary syndrome (ACS) rule-out. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Included were patients who were admitted to internal medicine wards and were discharged following an ACS-rule-out during 2010-2016. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality and hospital admission due to ACS at 30-days following hospital discharge. RESULTS: Included in the study were12 440 patients who were divided into three groups according to MPV. The composite endpoint of 30-day all-cause mortality and hospital admission for ACS occurred more frequently among patients with high MPV. Each one-point increase in MPV was associated with an 18% increase in the risk for the composite endpoint (P = 0.02). Considering patients with MPV less than 7.8 fl as the reference group yielded adjusted hazard ratios for the composite endpoint that was significantly higher in patients in the high MPV tertile ( > 8.8 fl) (hazard ratio 1.6; 95% confidence interval = 1.1-2.5; P = 0.04). Each one-point increase in MPV was associated with an 11% increase in the risk for 1-year all-cause mortality (P = 0.01) and a 10% increase in the risk for 1-year ACS (P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: We found an independent association between high MPV and the risk of death and ACS among patients with chest pain who were discharged from internal medicine wards following an ACS-rule-out. MPV may be combined in the risk stratification of patients with chest pain.

The association between red cell distribution width and clinical outcomes in patients hospitalised due to chest pain.

Background: Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a measure of the degree of heterogeneity of erythrocyte volume. Higher RDW levels are associated with increased mortality among patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), heart failure and other cardiovascular diseases. The association between RDW levels and clinical outcomes in patients admitted for further evaluation of chest pain is not known. Methods: A retrospective analysis of patients hospitalised with chest pain 2010-2016 was conducted. Patients diagnosed with ACS in the emergency department (ED) were excluded. Patients were divided into tertiles according to baseline ED RDW levels (≤13.1%, 13.1%13.9%). Study endpoints were diagnosis of ACS during the index hospitalisation and ACS and all-cause mortality during a median follow-up of 3.3 ± 1.9 years. Results: Included were 13,018 patients (mean age 58 ± 13 years, 61% male). Increased RDW levels were associated with higher rates of ACS in the index hospitalisation (6.1%, 6.6% and 8.1% for 1st, 2nd and 3rd tertiles, respectively, p < .01), ACS during follow-up (8.6%, 10.1% and 13.4%, respectively, p < .01), and with all-cause mortality during follow-up (2.5%, 4.6% and 15.4%, respectively, p < .01). In multivariate analysis, RDW levels >13.9% (vs. ≤13.1%) were associated with ACS in the index hospitalisation (adjusted OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.04-1.51, p = .02), ACS during follow-up (adjusted OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.05-1.73, p = .02) and with all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 2.41, 95% CI 1.94-2.99, p < .01). Conclusion: In this retrospective study of patients hospitalised with chest pain, higher RDW levels were associated with future ACS and long-term mortality.

Acute kidney injury in patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency department, a descriptive study of the most common discharge diagnoses and mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To describe patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency department (ED) according to acute kidney injury (AKI) status at arrival, with a focus on the most common discharge diagnoses and on long-term mortality. METHODS: All adult patients visiting the Karolinska University Hospital ED between December 2010 and October 2014 with a principal complaint of chest pain were included. AKI at arrival was defined as an increase in presentation serum creatinine concentration of at least 26 µmol/l ( ≥ 0.3 mg/dl) or at least 50% above baseline. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) between the AKI and no-AKI groups were calculated for the most common discharge diagnoses in the AKI group. Hazard ratios for long-term mortality were calculated using Cox regression models with adjustment for covariates. RESULTS: In total, 8480 patients were included, of whom 476 (5.6%) had AKI. AKI patients were older and had more comorbidities. It was more common in AKI patients compared to no AKI patients to be diagnosed with heart failure, RR 3.03 (CI: 2.15-4.26) and myocardial infarction RR 1.44 (CI: 1.01-2.04). During a median follow-up of 3.2 years (interquartile range: 2.1-4.3), 37% of the patients with AKI died compared with 16% of patients without AKI. The multivariable adjusted hazard ratio of death for AKI compared with no AKI was 1.30 (95% CI: 1.10-1.53). CONCLUSION: When attending the ED, patients with chest pain and AKI were more likely to be diagnosed with heart failure and myocardial infarction and had an increased long-term mortality compared with patients with no AKI.

Combined Use of High-Sensitive Cardiac Troponin, Copeptin, and the Modified HEART Score for Rapid Evaluation of Chest Pain Patients.

BACKGROUND: Clinical short-term risk stratification is a recommended approach in patients with chest pain and possible acute myocardial infarction (AMI) to further improve high safety of biomarker-based rule-out algorithms. The study aim was to assess clinical performance of baseline concentrations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-TnT) and copeptin and the modified HEART score (mHS) in early presenters to the emergency department with chest pain. METHODS: This cohort study included patients with chest pain with onset maximum of 6 h before admission and no persistent ST-segment elevation on electrocardiogram. hs-TnT, copeptin, and the mHS were assessed from admission data. The diagnostic and prognostic value for three baseline rule-out algorithms: (1) single hs-TnT < 14 ng/l, (2) hs-TnT < 14 ng/l/mHS ≤ 3, and (3) hs-TnT < 14 ng/l/mHS ≤ 3/copeptin < 17.4 pmol/l, was assessed with sensitivity and negative predictive value. Primary diagnostic endpoint was the diagnosis of AMI. Prognostic endpoint was death and/or AMI within 30 days. RESULTS: Among 154 enrolled patients, 44 (29%) were classified as low-risk according to the mHS; AMI was diagnosed in 105 patients (68%). For ruling out AMI, the highest sensitivity and NPV from all studied algorithms were observed for hs-TnT/mHS/copeptin (100%, 95% CI 96.6-100, and 100%, 95% CI 75.3-100). At 30 days, the highest event-free survival was achieved in patients stratified with hs-TnT/mHS/copeptin algorithm (100%) with 100% (95% CI 75.3-100) NPV and 100% (95% CI 96.6-100) sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of baseline hs-TnT, copeptin, and the mHS has an excellent sensitivity and NPV for short-term risk stratification. Such approach might improve the triage system in emergency departments and be a bridge for inclusion to serial blood sampling algorithms.