Chronic Anticoagulation in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. / Anticoagulação Crônica em Pacientes com Fibrilação Atrial e COVID-19: Uma Revisão Sistemática e Metanálise.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with hypercoagulability. It remains uncertain whether ongoing anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients who later contract COVID-19 improves clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To compare chronic oral anticoagulation with no previous anticoagulation in patients with AF who contracted a COVID-19 infection concerning the outcomes of all-cause mortality, COVID-19 mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and hospitalization. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library for eligible studies from inception to December 2022. We included studies comparing COVID-19 outcomes in patients with versus without prior chronic anticoagulation for AF. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled with a random-effects model. The level of significance was set at p < 0.05. Quality assessment and risk of bias were performed according to Cochrane recommendations. RESULTS: Ten studies comprising 1,177,858 patients with COVID-19 and AF were identified, of whom 893,772 (75.9%) were on prior chronic anticoagulation for AF. In patients with COVID-19, being on chronic anticoagulation for AF significantly reduced all-cause mortality (RR 0.75; 95% CI 0.57 to 0.99; p = 0.048; I2 = 89%) and COVID-19-related mortality (RR 0.76; 95% CI 0.72 to 0.79; p < 0.001; I2 = 0%) when compared with no prior anticoagulation. In contrast, there was no difference between groups regarding hospitalization (RR 1.08; 95% CI 0.82 to 1.41; p = 0.587; I2 = 95%) or ICU admission (RR 0.86; 95% CI 0.68 to 1.09; p = 0.216; I2 = 69%). CONCLUSIONS: In this meta-analysis, chronic anticoagulation for patients with AF who contracted COVID-19 was associated with significantly lower rates of all-cause mortality and COVID-19-related mortality as compared with no previous anticoagulation.

FUNDAMENTO: A doença por coronavírus 2019 (COVID-19) está associada à hipercoagulabilidade. Permanece incerto se a anticoagulação contínua para fibrilação atrial (FA) em pacientes que posteriormente contraem COVID-19 melhora os desfechos clínicos. OBJETIVOS: Comparar a anticoagulação oral crônica com ausência de anticoagulação prévia em pacientes com FA que contraíram uma infecção por COVID-19 em relação aos desfechos de mortalidade por todas as causas, mortalidade por COVID-19, admissão em unidade de terapia intensiva (UTI) e hospitalização. MÉTODOS: Buscamos sistematicamente no PubMed, Embase e Cochrane Library estudos elegíveis desde o início até dezembro de 2022. Incluímos estudos que compararam desfechos de COVID-19 em pacientes com e sem anticoagulação crônica prévia para FA. Foram agrupadas razões de risco (RR) com intervalos de confiança (IC) de 95% por meio de um modelo de efeitos aleatórios. O nível de significância foi estabelecido em p < 0,05. As avaliações da qualidade e do risco de viés foram realizadas de acordo com as recomendações da Cochrane. RESULTADOS: Foram identificados 10 estudos abrangendo 1.177.858 pacientes com COVID-19 e FA, dos quais 893.772 (75,9%) estavam em anticoagulação crônica prévia para FA. Em pacientes com COVID-19, a anticoagulação crônica para FA reduziu significativamente a mortalidade por todas as causas (RR 0,75; IC 95% 0,57 a 0,99; p = 0,048; I2 = 89%) e a mortalidade relacionada à COVID-19 (RR 0,76; IC 95% 0,72 a 0,79; p < 0,001; I2 = 0%) quando comparada com a ausência de anticoagulação prévia. Em contrapartida, não houve diferença entre os grupos em relação à hospitalização (RR 1,08; IC 95% 0,82 a 1,41; p = 0,587; I2 = 95%) ou internação em UTI (RR 0,86; IC 95% 0,68 a 1,09; p = 0,216; I2 = 69%). CONCLUSÕES: Nesta metanálise, a anticoagulação crônica para pacientes com FA que contraíram COVID-19 foi associada a taxas significativamente mais baixas de mortalidade por todas as causas e mortalidade relacionada à COVID-19 em comparação com a ausência de anticoagulação anterior.

Effectiveness, utilisation and cost associated with implantable loop recorders versus external monitors after ischaemic or cryptogenic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: Implantable loop recorders (ILRs) are increasingly used for long-term rhythm monitoring after ischaemic and cryptogenic stroke, with the goal of detecting atrial fibrillation (AF) and subsequent initiation of oral anticoagulation to reduce risk of adverse clinical outcomes. There is a need to determine the effectiveness of different rhythm monitoring strategies in this context. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of individuals with commercial and Medicare Advantage insurance in Optum Labs Data Warehouse who had incident ischaemic or cryptogenic stroke and no prior cardiovascular implantable electronic device from 1 January 2016 to 30 June 2021. Patients were stratified by rhythm monitoring strategy: ILR, long-term continuous external cardiac monitor (>48 hours to 30 days) or Holter monitor (≤48 hours). The primary outcome was risk-adjusted all-cause mortality at 12 months. Secondary outcomes included new diagnosis of AF and oral anticoagulation, bleeding, and costs. RESULTS: Among 48 901 patients with ischaemic or cryptogenic stroke, 9235 received an ILR, 29 103 long-term continuous external monitor and 10 563 Holter monitor only. Mean age was 69.9 (SD 11.9) years and 53.5% were female. During the 12-month follow-up period, patients who received ILRs compared with those who received long-term continuous external monitors had a higher odds of new diagnosis of AF and oral anticoagulant initiation (adjusted OR 2.27, 95% CI 2.09 to 2.48). Compared with patients who received long-term continuous external monitors, those who received ILRs had similar 12-month mortality (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.89 to 1.12), with approximately $13 000 higher costs at baseline (including monitor cost) and $2500 higher costs during 12-month follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: In this large real-world study of patients with ischaemic or cryptogenic stroke, ILR placement resulted in more diagnosis of AF and initiation of oral anticoagulation, but no difference in mortality compared with long-term continuous external monitors.

Heart Failure-Related Death in Subjects With Atrial Fibrillation in the United States, 1999 to 2020.

BACKGROUND: Population-based data on heart failure (HF)-related death in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are lacking. We assessed HF-related death in people with AF in the United States over the past 21 years and examined differences by age, sex, race, ethnicity, urbanization, and census region. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were extracted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research to determine trends in age-adjusted mortality rates per 100 000 people, due to HF-related death among subjects with AF aged ≥15 years. To calculate nationwide annual trends, we assessed the average annual percent change (AAPC) and annual percent change with relative 95% CIs using joinpoint regression. Between 1999 and 2020, 916 685 HF-related deaths (396 205 men and 520 480 women) occurred among US adults having a concomitant AF. The overall age-adjusted mortality rates increased (AAPC: +4.1% [95% CI, 3.8-4.4]; P<0.001), especially after 2011 (annual percent change, +6.8% [95% CI, 6.2-7.4]; P<0.001) in men (AAPC, +4.8% [95% CI, 4.4-5.1]; P<0.001), in White subjects (AAPC: +4.2% [95% CI, 3.9 to 4.6]; P<0.001) and in subjects aged <65 years (AAPC: +7.5% [95% CI, 6.7-8.4]; P<0.001). The higher percentage of deaths were registered in the South (32.8%). During the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, a significant excess in HF-related deaths among patients with AF aged >65 years was observed. CONCLUSIONS: A worrying increase in the HF-related mortality rate among patients with AF has been observed in the United States over the past 2 decades.

Association of C-reactive protein level with adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Studies on the association between C-reactive protein (CRP) level and poor outcomes have been yielded controversial results in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This meta-analysis sought to investigate the utility of elevated CRP level in predicting adverse outcomes in AF patients. METHODS: Two authors systematically searched PubMed and Embase databases (until December 10, 2022) for studies evaluating the value of elevated CRP level in predicting all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, stroke, or major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in AF patients. The predictive value of CRP was expressed by pooling adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the highest versus the lowest level or per unit of log-transformed increase. RESULTS: Ten studies including 30,345 AF patients satisfied our inclusion criteria. For the highest versus the lowest CRP level, the pooled adjusted HR was 1.57 (95% CI 1.34-1.85) for all-cause mortality, 1.18 (95% CI 0.92-1.50) for cardiovascular death, and 1.57 (95% CI 1.10-2.24) for stroke, respectively. When analyzed the CRP level as continuous data, per unit of log-transformed increase was associated with a 27% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.23-1.32) and 16% higher risk of MACEs (HR 1.16; 95% CI 1.05-1.28). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated CRP level may be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, stroke, and MACEs in patients with AF. CRP level at baseline can provide important prognostic information in risk classification of AF patients.

Relationship between the Ratio of Red Cell Distribution Width to Albumin and 28-Day Mortality among Chinese Patients over 80 Years with Atrial Fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent heart arrhythmia in elderly adults aged 80 years or older. The red cell distribution width (RDW) to albumin ratio has been acknowledged as a reliable prognostic marker for poor outcomes in a variety of disorders. However, there exists limited scientific evidence on the association of RDW to albumin (RAR) with mortality in geriatric individuals with AF. METHODS: From January 2015 to June 2020, a retrospective study was conducted in a tertiary academic institution that diagnosed 1,141 elderly adults with AF. The RAR value was calculated as the ratio of RDW (%) to albumin (g/dL). The potential association between RAR and cardiovascular mortality and the risk of all-cause mortality within 28 days was evaluated by means of multivariable Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The 28-day all-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates were 8.7% and 3.3%, respectively. Increased RAR tertiles were found to be significantly associated with greater all-cause mortality (T1: 1.6%; T2: 6.2%; T3: 18.1%, p < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (T1: 0.8%; T2: 2.9%; T3: 6.3%, p < 0.001) using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Continuous RAR had a positive association with all-cause mortality (hazard ratios [HR] = 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-1.65) and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.05-1.64), even after accounting for numerous confounding variables. In comparison to the T1 group, individuals with the highest RAR levels displayed a greater risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.73, 95% CI: 1.11-6.74) and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 2.59, 95% CI: 0.69-9.78). Increased RAR levels were related to higher rates of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality across almost all subgroups. CONCLUSION: RAR is independently correlated with 28-day all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in AF-affected individuals aged ≥80.

Early mortality after inpatient versus outpatient catheter ablation in patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Rates of early mortality and complications after catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) vary across health care settings. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to identify the rate and predictors of early mortality (within 30 days) after CA in the inpatient and outpatient settings. METHODS: Using the Medicare Fee for Service database, we analyzed 122,289 patients who underwent CA for treatment of AF between 2016 and 2019 to define 30-day mortality in both inpatients and outpatients. Odds of adjusted mortality were assessed with several methods, including inverse probability of treatment weighting. RESULTS: Mean age was 71.9 ± 6.7 years, 44% were women, and mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.2 ± 1.7. Overall, 82% underwent AF ablation as an outpatient. Mortality rate 30 days after CA was 0.6%, with inpatients accounting for 71.5% of deaths (P <.001). Early mortality rates were 0.2% for outpatient procedures and 2.4% for inpatient procedures. The prevalence of comorbidities was significantly higher in patients with early mortality. Patients with early mortality had significantly higher rates of postprocedural complications. After adjustment, inpatient ablation was significantly associated with early mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 3.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.87-5.08; P <.001). Hospitals with high overall ablation volume had 31% lower odds of early mortality (highest vs lowest tertile: aOR 0.69; 95% CI 0.56-0.86; P <.001). CONCLUSION: AF ablation conducted in the inpatient setting is associated with a higher rate of early mortality compared with outpatient AF ablation. Comorbidities are associated with enhanced risk of early mortality. High overall ablation volume is associated with a lower risk of early mortality.

Galectin-3 is an independent predictor of postoperative atrial fibrillation and survival after elective cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a frequent complication after heart surgery and is associated with thromboembolic events, prolonged hospital stay, and adverse outcomes. Inflammation and fibrosis are involved in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess whether galectin-3, which reflects preexisting atrial fibrosis, has the potential to predict POAF and mortality after cardiac surgery. METHODS: Four hundred seventy-five consecutive patients (mean age 67.4 ± 11.8 years; 336 (70.7%) male) undergoing elective heart surgery at the Medical University of Vienna were included in this prospective single-center cohort study. Galectin-3 plasma levels were assessed on the day before surgery. RESULTS: The 200 patients (42.1%) who developed POAF had significantly higher galectin-3 levels (9.60 ± 6.83 ng/mL vs 7.10 ± 3.54 ng/mL; P < .001). Galectin-3 significantly predicted POAF in multivariable logistic regression analysis (adjusted odds ratio per 1-SD increase 1.44; 95% confidence interval 1.15-1.81; P = .002). During a median follow-up of 4.3 years (interquartile range 3.4-5.4 years), 72 patients (15.2%) died. Galectin-3 predicted all-cause mortality in multivariable Cox regression analysis (adjusted hazard ratio per 1-SD increase 1.56; 95% confidence interval 1.16-2.09; P = .003). Patients with the highest-risk galectin-3 levels according to classification and regression tree analysis (>11.70 ng/mL) had a 3.3-fold higher risk of developing POAF and a 4.4-fold higher risk of dying than did patients with the lowest-risk levels (≤5.82 ng/mL). CONCLUSION: The profibrotic biomarker galectin-3 is an independent predictor of POAF and mortality after cardiac surgery. This finding highlights the role of the underlying arrhythmogenic substrate in the genesis of POAF. Galectin-3 may help to identify patients at risk of POAF and adverse outcome after cardiac surgery.

Relation of Hemoglobin A1C Levels to Risk of Ischemic Stroke and Mortality in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus and Atrial Fibrillation.

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an increased risk of complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to assess the incidence and risks of ischemic stroke and mortality according to baseline HbA1c levels in patients with DM and AF. We conducted a cohort study using Clalit Health Services electronic medical records. The study population included all Clalit Health Services members aged ≥25 years, with the first diagnosis of AF between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016, who had a diagnosis of DM. The risk of stroke and all-cause death were compared according to HbA1c levels at the time of AF diagnosis: <7.0%, between 7% and 9%, and ≥9%. A total of 44,451 patients with DM and AF were identified. The median age was 75 years (interquartile 65 to 83), and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow-up of 38 months, higher levels of HbA1c were associated with an increased risk of stroke with a dose-dependent response when compared with patients with HbA1c <7% (Adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] =1.30 [95% confidence interval 1.10 to 2.05] for levels between 7% and 9% and 1.60 (95% confidence interval 1.25 to 2.03) for HbA1c >9%, even after adjusting for CHA2DS2-Vasc risk factors and use of oral anticoagulants. The risk for overall mortality was significantly higher in the HBA1C >9% group (aHR = 1.17 [1.07 to 1.28]). In conclusion, in this cohort of patients with AF and DM, HbA1c levels were associated with the risk of stroke in a dose-dependent manner even after accounting for other recognized risk factors for stroke.

Balance entre el efecto de los eventos embólicos frente a los hemorrágicos en la mortalidad de los pacientes ancianos con fibrilación auricular / Trade-off between the effects of embolic versus bleeding events on mortality in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation

Introducción y objetivos: La toma de decisiones clínicas sobre la anticoagulación de pacientes ancianos con fibrilación auricular (FA) requiere que se considere no solo la incidencia de eventos embólicos y hemorrágicos, sino también el riesgo de muerte tras esos efectos adversos. Nuestro objetivo es analizar el balance con respecto a la mortalidad entre los eventos embólicos y hemorrágicos en pacientes ancianos con FA. Métodos: Se analizó a todos los pacientes de 75 o más años de un área de salud española diagnosticados de FA entre 2014 y 2017 (n=9.365). El riesgo de muerte se estimó utilizando modelos de Cox que incluyeron los episodios embólicos y hemorrágicos como variables dependientes del tiempo. Resultados: Durante una mediana de seguimiento de 4,0 años, los eventos se asociaron con mayor mortalidad, tanto los embólicos (HR=2,39; IC95%, 2,12-2,69) como los hemorrágicos (HR=1,79; IC95%, 1,64-1,96). El riesgo de muerte fue un 33% mayor después de una embolia que después de una hemorragia (rRR=1,33; IC95%, 1,15-1,55), aunque con accidente isquémico transitorio el riesgo fue menor que con hemorragia (rRR=0,79; IC95%, 0,63-0,99). La mortalidad tras una hemorragia intracraneal fue similar que tras una embolia mayor (RR=1,00; IC95%, 0,75-1,29). Conclusiones: En los pacientes de edad avanzada con FA, los eventos embólicos parecen estar asociados con una mayor mortalidad que las hemorragias extracraneales, salvo los accidentes isquémicos transitorios. Con hemorragia intracraneal, el riesgo de muerte es similar al de una embolia mayor (AU)

Introduction and objectives: Clinical decision-making on anticoagulation in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) requires clinicians to consider not only the incidence of embolic and bleeding events, but also the risk of death following these adverse events. We aimed to analyze the trade-off between embolic and bleeding events with respect to mortality in elderly patients with AF. Methods: The study cohort comprised all patients aged ≥ 75 years from a Spanish health area diagnosed with AF between 2014 and 2017 (n=9365). The risk of death was investigated using Cox proportional hazards models, including embolic and bleeding events as time-dependent binary indicators. Results: During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, both embolic and bleeding events were associated with a higher risk of death (adjusted HR, 2.39; 95%CI, 2.12-2.69; and adjusted HR, 1.79; 95%CI, 1.64-1.96, respectively). The relative risk of death was 33% higher following an embolism than following a bleeding event (rRR, 1.33; 95%CI, 1.15-1.55), although for transient ischemic attack the risk was lower than for bleeding (rRR, 0.79; 95%CI, 0.63-0.99). The risk of death associated with intracranial hemorrhage was similar to that of major embolisms (RR, 1.00; 95%CI, 0.75-1.29). Conclusions: In elderly AF patients, embolic events appeared to be associated with a higher risk of mortality than extracranial bleeding, except for transient ischemic attacks, which have a better prognosis. For ICH, the mortality risk was similar to that of major embolism (AU)

Influence of hemoglobin concentration on the in-hospital outcomes in newly diagnosed heart failure patients with atrial fibrillation: Finding from CCC-AF (improving care for cardiovascular disease in China-atrial fibrillation) project.

ABSTRACT: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) coexistence is common of clinical significance. Although anemia is a well-recognized risk factor for adverse outcomes, the prognostic value of hemoglobin is controversial in AF and HF. We aimed to determine whether hemoglobin is associated with in-hospital outcomes in such patients.On the basis of the data from the CCC-AF (Improving Care for Cardiovascular Diseases in China-Atrial Fibrillation) project, 2367 inpatients with a definitive diagnosis of AF and HF and record of admission hemoglobin concentration were included. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the relationship between hemoglobin and in-hospital outcomes.All patients were divided into 4 groups according to quartiles of hemoglobin values. Compared with patients with higher hemoglobin, patients with lower hemoglobin had higher proportion of males, heart rate (HR), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP). On the contrary, they had lower age, medical history, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and brain natriuretic peptide (P < .05). Spearman correlation showed that hemoglobin was negatively correlated with age, LVEF, international normalized ratio, and serum creatinine but positively correlated with HR, DBP, and blood urea nitrogen (P < .05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that increasing hemoglobin was an independent protective factor for in-hospital outcomes (odds ratio = 0.989; 95% confidence interval: 0.979-1.000; P = .046).Admission hemoglobin concentration was an independent protective factor for in-hospital outcomes in HF patients with AF. Our study indicated that increasing hemoglobin level and improving anemia degree might improve the prognosis of patients with AF and HF.

Diabetes-Related Complications and Mortality in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Different Oral Anticoagulants : A Nationwide Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Evidence about the association between types of oral anticoagulants and hazards of diabetes complications is limited in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM). OBJECTIVE: To compare the hazards of diabetes complications and mortality between patients with AF and DM receiving non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and those receiving warfarin. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Nationwide data obtained from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. PATIENTS: Patients with AF and DM receiving NOACs or warfarin between 2012 and 2017 in Taiwan were enrolled. Treatment groups were determined by patients' first initiation of oral anticoagulants. MEASUREMENTS: Hazards of diabetes complications (macrovascular complications, microvascular complications, and glycemic emergency) and mortality in the NOAC and warfarin users were investigated with a target trial design. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Propensity score methods with stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting were applied to balance potential confounders between treatment groups. RESULTS: In total, 19 909 NOAC users and 10 300 warfarin users were included. Patients receiving NOACs had significantly lower hazards of developing macrovascular complications (HR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.78 to 0.91]; P < 0.001), microvascular complications (HR, 0.79 [CI, 0.73 to 0.85]; P < 0.001), glycemic emergency (HR, 0.91 [CI, 0.83 to 0.99]; P = 0.043), and mortality (HR, 0.78 [CI, 0.75 to 0.82]; P < 0.001) than those receiving warfarin. Analyses with propensity score matching showed similar results. Several sensitivity analyses further supported the robustness of our findings. LIMITATION: The claims-based data did not allow for detailed data on patients' lifestyles and laboratory examinations to be obtained. CONCLUSION: Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants were associated with lower hazards of diabetes complications and mortality than warfarin in patients with AF and DM. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital.

Long-term risk of adverse outcomes according to atrial fibrillation type.

Sustained forms of atrial fibrillation (AF) may be associated with a higher risk of adverse outcomes, but few if any long-term studies took into account changes of AF type and co-morbidities over time. We prospectively followed 3843 AF patients and collected information on AF type and co-morbidities during yearly follow-ups. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke or systemic embolism (SE). Secondary outcomes included myocardial infarction, hospitalization for congestive heart failure (CHF), bleeding and all-cause mortality. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards models with time-varying covariates were used to compare hazard ratios (HR) according to AF type. At baseline 1895 (49%), 1046 (27%) and 902 (24%) patients had paroxysmal, persistent and permanent AF and 3234 (84%) were anticoagulated. After a median (IQR) follow-up of 3.0 (1.9; 4.2) years, the incidence of stroke/SE was 1.0 per 100 patient-years. The incidence of myocardial infarction, CHF, bleeding and all-cause mortality was 0.7, 3.0, 2.9 and 2.7 per 100 patient-years, respectively. The multivariable adjusted (a) HRs (95% confidence interval) for stroke/SE were 1.13 (0.69; 1.85) and 1.27 (0.83; 1.95) for time-updated persistent and permanent AF, respectively. The corresponding aHRs were 1.23 (0.89, 1.69) and 1.45 (1.12; 1.87) for all-cause mortality, 1.34 (1.00; 1.80) and 1.30 (1.01; 1.67) for CHF, 0.91 (0.48; 1.72) and 0.95 (0.56; 1.59) for myocardial infarction, and 0.89 (0.70; 1.14) and 1.00 (0.81; 1.24) for bleeding. In this large prospective cohort of AF patients, time-updated AF type was not associated with incident stroke/SE.

Effects of dexmedetomidine on surgery for type A acute aortic dissection outcome.

No study has evaluated the effect of dexmedetomidine in patients who received surgery for type A aortic dissection. This is the first study to evaluate the effect of dexmedetomidine in aortic dissection patients. This study was executed using data from the Chang Gung Research Database in Taiwan. The CGRD contains the multi-institutional standardized electronic medical records from seven Chang Gung Memorial hospitals, the largest medical system in Taiwan. We retrospectively evaluate patients who received surgery for acute type A aortic dissection between January 2014 and December 2018. Overall, 511 patients were included, of whom 104 has received dexmedetomidine infusion in the postoperative period. One-to-two propensity score-matching yielded 86 cases in the dexmedetomidine group and 158 cases in the non-dexmedetomidine group. The in-hospital mortality and composite outcome including all-cause mortality, acute kidney injury, delirium, postoperative atrial fibrillation, and respiratory failure, were considered primary outcomes. The in-hospital mortality and composite outcome were similar between groups. The risk of Acute Kidney Injury Network stage 3 acute kidney injury was significantly lower in the dexmedetomidine group than in the non-dexmedetomidine group (8.1% vs 19.0%; OR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.17-0.86; p = 0.020. The risk of newly-onset dialysis was also significantly lower in the dexmedetomidine group than in the non-dexmedetomidine group (4.7% vs 13.3%; OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.11-0.90; p = 0.031). Post-operative dexmedetomidine infusion significantly reduced the rate of severe acute kidney injury and newly-onset dialysis in patients who received surgery for acute type A aortic dissection.

Propensity score methods for comparative-effectiveness analysis: A case study of direct oral anticoagulants in the atrial fibrillation population.

OBJECTIVE: To explore methodological challenges when using real-world evidence (RWE) to estimate comparative-effectiveness in the context of Health Technology Assessment of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in Scotland. METHODS: We used linkage data from the Prescribing Information System (PIS), Scottish Morbidity Records (SMR) and mortality records for newly anticoagulated patients to explore methodological challenges in the use of Propensity score (PS) matching, Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) and covariate adjustment with PS. Model performance was assessed by standardised difference. Clinical outcomes (stroke and major bleeding) and mortality were compared for all DOACs (including apixaban, dabigatran and rivaroxaban) versus warfarin. Patients were followed for 2 years from first oral anticoagulant prescription to first clinical event or death. Censoring was applied for treatment switching or discontinuation. RESULTS: Overall, a good balance of patients' covariates was obtained with every PS model tested. IPW was found to be the best performing method in assessing covariate balance when applied to subgroups with relatively large sample sizes (combined-DOACs versus warfarin). With the IPTW-IPCW approach, the treatment effect tends to be larger, but still in line with the treatment effect estimated using other PS methods. Covariate adjustment with PS in the outcome model performed well when applied to subgroups with smaller sample sizes (dabigatran versus warfarin), as this method does not require further reduction of sample size, and trimming or truncation of extreme weights. CONCLUSION: The choice of adequate PS methods may vary according to the characteristics of the data. If assumptions of unobserved confounding hold, multiple approaches should be identified and tested. PS based methods can be implemented using routinely collected linked data, thus supporting Health Technology decision-making.

Arrhythmic Burden and the Risk of Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation and Cardiac Implanted Electronic Devices.

BACKGROUND: Whether the amount of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients experience conveys important prognostic information beyond that provided by the diagnosis of AF is uncertain. The study objective was to assess the dose-response relationship between device-detected AF burden and subsequent cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: Among patients with paroxysmal AF who underwent cardiac implantable electronic device implantation (2010-2016), Merlin.net remote-monitoring data were linked to Medicare claims to assess the magnitude and strength of the associations between device-based AF burden (defined as a daily percentage of time spent in AF or maximal AF episode duration ascertained at baseline over 30 days) and key cardiovascular outcomes. RESULTS: Among 39 710 patients (mean age 77.1±8.7 years, 60.7% male, and a mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.9±1.3), all-cause mortality at 1-year increased with baseline AF burden: 8.54% with AF burden 0%, 8.9% with AF burden 0% to 5%, and 10.9% with AF burden 5% to 98% (P<0.001) There was also a dose-response relationship between increasing AF burden and all-cause or cardiovascular hospitalization and ischemic stroke. Updating AF burden data every 30 days did not alter the AF burden-prognostic relationships determined from the use of baseline data alone. Results were also consistent when 3-year outcomes were considered and after accounting for the use of oral anticoagulants. CONCLUSIONS: In paroxysmal AF, there is a clinically relevant dose-response relationship between increasing AF burden and rates of adverse outcomes at 1- and 3-years, including increasing risks of cardiovascular hospitalization, ischemic stroke, and mortality.

Choice of antithrombotic therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing carotid angioplasty and stenting: a nationwide population-based study.

Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and carotid stenosis are important risk factors for stroke. Carotid angioplasty and stent placement (CAS) is recommended for patients with symptomatic high-grade carotid stenosis. The optimal medical management for patients with NVAF after CAS remains unclear. We aimed to clarify this issue using real-world data from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). In total, 2116 consecutive NVAF patients who received CAS between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016, from NHIRD were divided into groups based on post-procedure medication as follows: only antiplatelet agent (OAP, n = 587); only anticoagulation agent (OAC, n = 477); dual antiplatelet agents (DAP, n = 49); and a combination of antiplatelet and anticoagulation agents (CAPAC, n = 304). Mortality, vascular events, and major bleeding episodes were compared after matching with the Charlson comorbidity index and CHA2DS2-VASc score. The CAPAC and the OAC groups had lower mortality rates than the OAP group (P = 0.0219), with no statistical differences in major bleeding, ischemic stroke, or vascular events. Conclusively, OAC therapy after CAS appears suitable for NVAF patients. CAPAC therapy might be considered as initial therapy or when there is concern about vascular events.

Associations of Atrial Fibrillation Patterns With Mortality and Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the MISOAC-AF Trial.

AIM: This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the prognostic implications of the distinct atrial fibrillation (AF) temporal patterns: first diagnosed, paroxysmal, and persistent or permanent AF. METHODS: In this post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF trial (NCT02941978), a total of 1052 patients with AF (median age 76 years), discharged from the cardiology ward between 2015 and 2018, were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier and Cox-regression analyses were performed to compare the primary outcome of all-cause mortality, the secondary outcomes of stroke, major bleeding and the composite outcome of cardiovascular (CV) mortality or hospitalization among AF patterns. RESULTS: Of patients, 121 (11.2%) had first diagnosed, 356 (33%) paroxysmal, and 575 (53.2%) persistent or permanent AF. During a median follow-up of 31 months (interquartile range 10 to 52 months), 37.3% of patients died. Compared with paroxysmal AF, patients with persistent or permanent AF had higher mortality rates (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.74, P = .009), but similar CV mortality or hospitalization rates (aHR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.91-1.31, P = .35). Compared with first diagnosed AF, patients with persistent or permanent AF had similar mortality (aHR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.87-1.82, P = .24), but higher CV mortality or hospitalization rates (aHR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.01-1.8, P = .04). Stroke and major bleeding events did not differ across AF patterns (all P > .05). CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, in recently hospitalized patients with comorbid AF, the presence of persistent or permanent AF was associated with a higher incidence of mortality and morbidity compared with paroxysmal and first diagnosed AF.