Gene Expression Analysis of the Bone Marrow Microenvironment Reveals Distinct Immunotypes in Smoldering Multiple Myeloma Associated to Progression to Symptomatic Disease.

Background: We previously reported algorithms based on clinical parameters and plasma cell characteristics to identify patients with smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) with higher risk of progressing who could benefit from early treatment. In this work, we analyzed differences in the immune bone marrow (BM) microenvironment in SMM to better understand the role of immune surveillance in disease progression and to identify immune biomarkers associated to higher risk of progression. Methods: Gene expression analysis of BM cells from 28 patients with SMM, 22 patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and 22 patients with symptomatic MM was performed by using Nanostring Technology. Results: BM cells in SMM compared to both MGUS and symptomatic MM showed upregulation of genes encoding for key molecules in cytotoxicity. However, some of these cytotoxic molecules positively correlated with inhibitory immune checkpoints, which may impair the effector function of BM cytotoxic cells. Analysis of 28 patients with SMM revealed 4 distinct clusters based on immune composition and activation markers. Patients in cluster 2 showed a significant increase in expression of cytotoxic molecules but also inhibitory immune checkpoints compared to cluster 3, suggesting the presence of cytotoxic cells with an exhausted phenotype. Accordingly, patients in cluster 3 had a significantly longer progression free survival. Finally, individual gene expression analysis showed that higher expression of TNF superfamily members (TNF, TNFAIP3, TNFRSF14) was associated with shorter progression free survival. Conclusions: Our results suggest that exhausted cytotoxic cells are associated to high-risk patients with SMM. Biomarkers overexpressed in patients with this immune gene profile in combination with clinical parameters and PC characterization may be useful to identify SMM patients with higher risk of progression.

Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance clinic during the coronavirus disease-19 pandemic: caring for the vulnerable in an academic medical center

Background: Patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) have clinical features including older age, presence of medical comorbidities, susceptibility to infections, and thrombotic tendencies which are relevant when assessing their risk during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Objective: To study the vulnerability of patients with MGUS during the COVID-19 pandemic, we assessed the local management of MGUS patients and their clinical outcomes. Methods: Retrospective chart reviews were performed for all patients with MGUS seen at a university medical center clinic (2014-2020). Results: A total of 228 MGUS patients were included; 211 patients are alive, 7 patients died before the pandemic, and 10 patients died since the pandemic declaration. The mean age and the overall survival (OS) of the patients who died before versus during the pandemic were 83.0 versus 75.2 years, p = 0.4, and OS 40.6 versus 53.2 months, p = 0.3, respectively. One patient died of COVID-19. Nine patients had venous thromboembolisms (VTE), all of which occurred before the pandemic onset. Conclusions: There were no significant differences found in the mean age or OS of the MGUS patients who died before versus after the pandemic onset. An increase in VTE rates was not seen. Study results are limited by small patient numbers.

Serum BCMA levels predict outcomes in MGUS and smoldering myeloma patients.

Soluble BCMA (sBCMA) levels are elevated in monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM). However, the association between sBCMA levels and prognosis in MGUS and SMM has not been studied. We retrospectively analyzed sBCMA levels in stored samples from 99 MGUS and 184 SMM patients. Baseline sBCMA levels were significantly higher in MGUS and SMM patients progressing to MM during clinical follow up. When stratified according to the median baseline sBCMA level for each cohort, higher levels were associated with a shorter PFS for MGUS (HR 3.44 comparing sBCMA ≥77 vs <77 ng/mL [95% CI 2.07-5.73, p < 0.001] and SMM (HR 2.0 comparing sBCMA ≥128 vs <128 ng/mL, 95% 1.45-2.76, p < 0.001) patients. The effect of sBCMA on PFS was similar even after adjusting for the baseline MGUS or SMM risk stratification. We evaluated paired serum samples and found that sBCMA increased significantly in MGUS and SMM patients who eventually progressed to MM, whereas among MGUS non-progressors the sBCMA level remained stable. While our results require independent validation, they suggest that sBCMA may be a useful biomarker to identify MGUS and SMM patients at increased risk of progression to MM independent of the established risk models.

Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance Clinic during the Coronavirus Disease-19 Pandemic: Caring for the Vulnerable in an Academic Medical Center.

BACKGROUND: Patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) have clinical features including older age, presence of medical comorbidities, susceptibility to infections, and thrombotic tendencies which are relevant when assessing their risk during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. OBJECTIVE: To study the vulnerability of patients with MGUS during the COVID-19 pandemic, we assessed the local management of MGUS patients and their clinical outcomes. METHODS: Retrospective chart reviews were performed for all patients with MGUS seen at a university medical center clinic (2014-2020). RESULTS: A total of 228 MGUS patients were included; 211 patients are alive, 7 patients died before the pandemic, and 10 patients died since the pandemic declaration. The mean age and the overall survival (OS) of the patients who died before versus during the pandemic were 83.0 versus 75.2 years, p = 0.4, and OS 40.6 versus 53.2 months, p = 0.3, respectively. One patient died of COVID-19. Nine patients had venous thromboembolisms (VTE), all of which occurred before the pandemic onset. CONCLUSIONS: There were no significant differences found in the mean age or OS of the MGUS patients who died before versus after the pandemic onset. An increase in VTE rates was not seen. Study results are limited by small patient numbers.

A longitudinal analysis of chromosomal abnormalities in disease progression from MGUS/SMM to newly diagnosed and relapsed multiple myeloma.

We analyzed variations in terms of chromosomal abnormalities (CA) by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) analysis on purified bone marrow plasma cells throughout the progression from monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance/smoldering multiple myeloma (MGUS/SMM) to newly diagnosed MM/plasma cell leukemia (NDMM/PCL) at diagnosis and from diagnostic samples to progressive disease. High risk was defined by the presence of at least del(17p), t(4;14), and/or t(14;16). 1p/1q detection (in the standard FISH panel from 2012 onward) was not available for all patients. We analyzed 139 MM/PCL diagnostic samples from 144 patients, with a median follow-up of 71 months: high-risk CA at diagnosis (MGUS/SMM or NDMM) was present in 28% of samples, whereas 37-39% showed high-risk CA at relapse. In 115 patients with NDMM who evolved to relapsed/refractory MM, we identified 3 different populations: (1) 31/115 patients (27%) with gain of new CA (del13, del17p, t(4;14), t(14;16) or 1q CA when available); (2) 10/115 (9%) patients with loss of a previously identified CA; and (3) 74 patients with no changes. The CA gain group showed a median overall survival of 66 months vs. 84 months in the third group (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.34-0.92, p = 0.023). Clonal evolution occurs as disease progresses after different chemotherapy lines. Patients who acquired high-risk CA had the poorest prognosis. Our findings highlight the importance of performing FISH analysis both at diagnosis and at relapse.

The inverse-probability-of-censoring weighting (IPCW) adjusted win ratio statistic: an unbiased estimator in the presence of independent censoring.

The win ratio method has received much attention in methodological research, ad hoc analyses, and designs of prospective studies. As the primary analysis, it supported the approval of tafamidis for the treatment of cardiomyopathy to reduce cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular-related hospitalization. However, its dependence on censoring is a potential shortcoming. In this article, we propose the inverse-probability-of-censoring weighting (IPCW) adjusted win ratio statistic (i.e., the IPCW-adjusted win ratio statistic) to overcome censoring issues. We consider independent censoring, common censoring across endpoints, and right censoring. We develop an asymptotic variance estimator for the logarithm of the IPCW-adjusted win ratio statistic and evaluate it via simulation. Our simulation studies show that, as the amount of censoring increases, the unadjusted win proportions may decrease greatly. Consequently, the bias of the unadjusted win ratio estimate may increase greatly, producing either an overestimate or an underestimate. We demonstrate theoretically and through simulation that the IPCW-adjusted win ratio statistic gives an unbiased estimate of treatment effect.

Effect of Exposure to Agent Orange on the Risk of Monoclonal Gammopathy and Subsequent Transformation to Multiple Myeloma: A Single-Center Experience From the Veterans Affairs Hospital, Detroit.

BACKGROUND: Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is an indolent, premalignant plasma cell disorder with the potential of transforming into symptomatic multiple myeloma (MM). There are multiple risk factors that contribute to transformation. Agent Orange (AO) has been linked with multiple malignant and nonmalignant conditions. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective chart review of patients with monoclonal gammopathy who were seen at John D. Dingell Veterans Affairs Medical Center (Detroit, Michigan) between 2005 and 2015 with MGUS, smoldering multiple myeloma, and MM. We explored baseline patient characteristics and explored AO exposure. Dates of diagnosis, dates of progression, and expiration dates were recorded to time to progression and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: We identified 211 patients with monoclonal gammopathy; 96% were male and 122 were African American. Eleven patients had reported AO exposure. Cumulative risk of progression in the overall population was 1.4% at 1 year. Risk of transformation in the population exposed to AO was significantly higher with a hazard ratio (HR) of 11.19 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.10-59.47; P = .005). OS was numerically shorter in AO-exposed patients with a median OS of 7 years compared with 11.1 years in those not exposed. However, AO exposure was not associated with OS in multivariable analysis (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.07-3.83; P = .508). CONCLUSION: Monoclonal gammopathy is a premalignant condition with the risk of progressing to MM. Exposure to AO has been implicated in multiple conditions including MM. Our study demonstrates an increased risk of progression in exposed patients.

High-risk smoldering myeloma versus early detection of multiple myeloma: Current models, goals of therapy, and clinical implications.

Multiple myeloma, a bone marrow cancer, is preceded by precursor stages called monoclonal gammopathy of unknown significance and smoldering multiple myeloma. Over the past few years, highly effective and safe therapies have been made available to treat multiple myeloma. This represents a major breakthrough and has major therapeutic implications. Treatment for multiple myeloma has evolved to include treatment of precursor stages (early treatment) as these therapies are shown to be safe and effective also in smoldering myeloma. Randomized studies have shown that early treatment can delay the onset of multiple myeloma and even improve overall survival compared to observation in smoldering myeloma. The best therapeutic course and selection of patients with smoldering myeloma to treat is still a matter of debate. In this manuscript, we review the definition, management, clinical implications of smoldering myeloma and early detection of myeloma in the current context and with up-to-date data.

High-density neutrophils in MGUS and multiple myeloma are dysfunctional and immune-suppressive due to increased STAT3 downstream signaling.

To understand neutrophil impairment in the progression from MGUS through active MM, we investigated the function of mature, high-density neutrophils (HDNs), isolated from peripheral blood. In 7 MM, 3 MGUS and 3 healthy subjects by gene expression profile, we identified a total of 551 upregulated and 343 downregulated genes in MM-HDN, involved in chemokine signaling pathway and FC-gamma receptor mediated phagocytosis conveying in the activation of STAT proteins. In a series of 60 newly diagnosed MM and 30 MGUS patients, by flow-cytometry we found that HDN from MM, and to a lesser extend MGUS, had an up-regulation of the inducible FcγRI (also known as CD64) and a down-regulation of the constitutive FcγRIIIa (also known as CD16) together with a reduced phagocytic activity and oxidative burst, associated to increased immune-suppression that could be reverted by arginase inhibitors in co-culture with lymphocytes. In 43 consecutive newly-diagnosed MM patients, who received first-line treatment based on bortezomib, thalidomide and dexamethasone, high CD64 could identify at diagnosis patients with inferior median overall survival (39.5 versus 86.7 months, p = 0.04). Thus, HDNs are significantly different among healthy, MGUS and MM subjects. In both MGUS and MM neutrophils may play a role in supporting both the increased susceptibility to infection and the immunological dysfunction that leads to tumor progression.

Parental longevity and survival among patients with multiple myeloma and monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance: a population-based study.

Parental longevity is associated with an increased life expectancy; results with regard to specific diseases are conflicting. There are limited data focusing on host characteristics and their effect on survival among multiple myeloma (MM) patients and individuals with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Therefore, our aim was to evaluate the impact of parental longevity on survival of patients with MM and MGUS. A total of 4675 patients with MM, 6812 MGUS patients and 13 398 population-based controls for MM as well as 19 110 controls for MGUS, from 1988 to 2013, were included in the study. Longevity was defined as >90 years of age. Among MM patients, parental longevity was associated with a decreased risk of death [hazard ratio (HR) = 0·92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0·84-0·99] and the same was true for MGUS patients (HR = 0·87, 95% CI 0·78-0·96). Having one long lived parent significantly decreased the risk of death in both groups, but was not statistically significant when both parents exceeded 90 years of age. In conclusion, parental longevity decreases the risk of death for patients with MM and MGUS which may reflect the importance of the host's genetic and environmental factors in relation to survival.

Evaluating the role of Tregs in the progression of multiple myeloma.

The role of regulatory T-cells (Treg) and Th17 cells in the progression of multiple myeloma has been unclear. There are conflicting reports of the Treg and Th17 frequency being increased, decreased, and unchanged as compared with controls. In this study, we sought to characterize the T-cell subsets including Treg function in both blood and marrow compartments of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and multiple myeloma (MM). The Treg/Th17 ratio is skewed toward the suppressive phenotype in MGUS and MM. There are more activated and memory Tregs in the myeloma marrow. Although the myeloma Tregs are functional, they are less suppressive than Tregs in chronic lymphocytic leukemia where they drive disease progression. None of the T-cell subsets were found to have a clinical correlation with time to progression in MGUS or progression-free survival in myeloma. Tregs are important but unlikely major players in the progression of MGUS to MM.

Impact of prior diagnosis of monoclonal gammopathy on outcomes in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is consistently preceded by monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS), smoldering myeloma (SMM), or solitary plasmacytoma (SPC). There is a lack of data regarding impact of these pre-existing monoclonal gammopathies (MGs) on MM outcomes. Patients with prior diagnosis of MGUS, SMM, or PC from 1973 to 2015 (cases) were identified from our institution's database and compared to those without a known MG (controls). The primary outcome of interest was overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis was performed to ascertain factors impacting all-cause mortality. We identified 774 patients with a prior diagnosis of MGUS, SMM or SPC (cases) and a control population (1:2) matched for the year of diagnosis (n = 1548). After a median follow-up of 81 months, the cases showed a longer median OS than the controls (71 months vs. 56 months). The improved OS was limited to those with a known prior diagnosis of SMM (80 months) and SPC (95 months), compared to MGUS (60 months). Multivariable analysis revealed that MM patients with known prior MG had less overall mortality than those without, and this was limited to prior SMM/SPC group (HR 0.68, 95% CI: 0.50-0.93), as compared to the MGUS group (HR 0.83, 95% CI: 0.66-1.05).

BrdU incorporation in multiparameter flow cytometry: A new cell cycle assessment approach in multiple myeloma.

BACKGROUND: Mutiple myeloma (MM) is a neoplasia characterized by the accumulation of malignant plasma cells (PC) in the bone marrow. Although proliferation markers have been studied in MM, none of the current staging systems include them. Moreover, approaches used to analyze proliferation do not separate MM cells (MMCs) from normal PC. METHODS: In this study, we combined multiparameter flow cytometry and BrdU incorporation or Ki67 staining to analyze MM cell proliferation in 44 monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS), 153 newly diagnosed MM patients and 69 MM patients at relapse. The prognostic value of proliferation assessment was analyzed in 60 newly diagnosed patients treated with high-dose chemotherapy supported by autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. RESULTS: The median number of proliferating malignant PC significantly increases during MM disease progression. MM patients with a percentage of proliferating MMCs greater than 1.42% using BrdU/DAPI or greater than 1.1% using ki67/DAPI, are associated with a significantly shorter event free survival compared with patients with a lower percentage of proliferating MMCs. CONCLUSIONS: Combination of flow cytometry with BrdU or ki67/DAPI staining could become a standard for the determination of MM cell proliferation. Furthermore, in the context of new effective myeloma treatment options, assessment of MM cell proliferation may be valuable, in clinical trials, to identify novel agents that could significantly affect the small proliferative compartment of MM cells. © 2018 International Clinical Cytometry Society.

Flexible parametric approach to classical measurement error variance estimation without auxiliary data.

Measurement error in the continuous covariates of a model generally yields bias in the estimators. It is a frequent problem in practice, and many correction procedures have been developed for different classes of models. However, in most cases, some information about the measurement error distribution is required. When neither validation nor auxiliary data (e.g., replicated measurements) are available, this specification turns out to be tricky. In this article, we develop a flexible likelihood-based procedure to estimate the variance of classical additive error of Gaussian distribution, without additional information, when the covariate has compact support. The performance of this estimator is investigated both in an asymptotic way and through finite sample simulations. The usefulness of the obtained estimator when using the simulation extrapolation (SIMEX) algorithm, a widely used correction method, is then analyzed in the Cox proportional hazards model through other simulations. Finally, the whole procedure is illustrated on real data.

Characteristics and prognosis of patients with non-immunoglobulin-M monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance: a retrospective study.

Non-immunoglobulin (Ig)-M monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is a precursor lesion with the potential to evolve into a malignant plasma cell neoplasm. The prevalence of MGUS differs by ethnicity and is lower in the Japanese population than in the Western population. However, there is limited evidence about the clinical course of MGUS in Asian races. The present study aims at elucidating the clinical course and prognosis of Japanese patients with non-IgM MGUS in the clinical setting. We retrospectively examined 1009 patients with non-IgM MGUS identified by screening procedures. The median overall survival of these patients was > 20 years, and only one-fifth patients died of plasma cell neoplasms. The cumulative incidence of plasma cell neoplasms requiring treatment was 19%. Multivariate analysis revealed that immunoparesis and female gender were independent factors affecting treatment requirement. Although the characteristics and clinical course of patients with non-IgM MGUS obtained in this study were found to be essentially similar to those of previous studies, we report here for the first time that female gender is a significant independent factor for requiring treatment.

Light chain monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance is characterized by a high disappearance rate and low risk of progression on longitudinal analysis.

We determined the 10-year progression rate of light chain monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (LCMGUS) and investigated potential associations with cancer utilizing the German population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study. The Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study comprises 4814 men and women aged 45-75 years. Serum samples from baseline (2000-2003) and five-year (2006-2008) and 10-year (2011-2015) follow-up examinations were screened for monoclonal free light chains (FLC). LCMGUS was defined as abnormal FLC ratio, increase of involved FLC with complete loss of immunoglobulin heavy chain, and absence of a history of lymphoproliferative disease (LPD). Seventy-five individuals with LCMGUS were identified across all three evaluation time points (median age 64 years; 43 (57%) male; FLCR > 1.65 65 (87%); FLCR ≤ 0.65 10 (13%)). After a median observation time of 11.5 years, none of the LCMGUS cases had progressed to overt LPD; in particular, we did not observe incident light chain multiple myeloma. On serial analysis 17/31 (55%), LCMGUS could not be confirmed and disappearance of the monoclonal protein was associated with low concentrations of the involved FLC. Individuals with LCMGUS had a 1.5-fold increased risk of cancer but did not show differences in overall survival or renal function as compared to individuals with normal FLC. In conclusion, LCMGUS represents a relatively benign condition with a high disappearance rate of the monoclonal protein on longitudinal analysis and normal overall survival at least in the population-based setting.

The Pattern of Mesenchymal Stem Cell Expression Is an Independent Marker of Outcome in Multiple Myeloma.

Purpose: Mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) are an essential component of the bone marrow microenvironment and have shown to support cancer evolution in multiple myeloma. Despite the increasing evidence that multiple myeloma MSCs differ from their healthy counterparts, little knowledge exists as to whether MSCs independently influence disease outcome. The aim of this study was to determine the importance of MSCs in disease progression and outcome in multiple myeloma.Experimental Design: To determine the impact of MSCs on multiple myeloma outcome in an in vivo system, we first identified genes from cultured MSCs that were specific to MSC expression and were not or minimally expressed in plasma cells (PC) or other cells present in bone marrow aspirates. We then applied this MSC gene signature to whole bone marrow biopsies of multiple myeloma patients compared with healthy controls and determined MSC expression scores specific to multiple myeloma and predictive of outcome.Results: We show that multiple myeloma MSC gene expression signatures can differentiate multiple myeloma from monoclonal gammopathy and smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) as well as from healthy controls and treated multiple myeloma patients who have achieved a complete remission. We identified a prognostic gene score based on three MSC specific genes, COL4A1, NPR3 and ITGBL1, that was able to predict progression-free survival in multiple myeloma patients and progression into multiple myeloma from SMM.Conclusions: Our findings show that progression of multiple myeloma and of SMM into multiple myeloma does not rely solely on intrinsic PC factors, but is independently affected by the biology of the surrounding microenvironment. Clin Cancer Res; 24(12); 2913-9. ©2018 AACR.

Long-Term Follow-up of Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance.

BACKGROUND: Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) occurs in approximately 3% of persons 50 years of age or older. METHODS: We studied 1384 patients who were residing in southeastern Minnesota and in whom MGUS was diagnosed at the Mayo Clinic in the period from 1960 through 1994; the median follow-up was 34.1 years (range, 0.0 to 43.6). The primary end point was progression to multiple myeloma or another plasma-cell or lymphoid disorder. RESULTS: During 14,130 person-years of follow-up, MGUS progressed in 147 patients (11%), a rate that was 6.5 times (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.5 to 7.7) as high as the rate in the control population. The risk of progression without accounting for death due to competing causes was 10% at 10 years, 18% at 20 years, 28% at 30 years, 36% at 35 years, and 36% at 40 years. Among patients with IgM MGUS, the presence of two adverse risk factors - namely, an abnormal serum free light-chain ratio (ratio of kappa to lambda free light chains) and a high serum monoclonal protein (M protein) level (≥1.5 g per deciliter) - was associated with a risk of progression at 20 years of 55%, as compared with 41% among patients who had one adverse risk factor and 19% among patients who had neither risk factor. Among patients with non-IgM MGUS, the risk of progression at 20 years was 30% among those who had the two risk factors, 20% among those who had one risk factor, and 7% among those who had neither risk factor. Patients with MGUS had shorter survival than was expected in the control population of Minnesota residents of matched age and sex (median, 8.1 vs. 12.4 years; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Significant differences were noted in the risk of progression between patients with IgM MGUS and those with non-IgM MGUS. Overall survival was shorter among patients with MGUS than was expected in a matched control population. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute.).