Effects of the Million Hearts Model on Myocardial Infarctions, Strokes, and Medicare Spending: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: The Million Hearts Model paid health care organizations to assess and reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Model effects on long-term outcomes are unknown. Objective: To estimate model effects on first-time myocardial infarctions (MIs) and strokes and Medicare spending over a period up to 5 years. Design, Setting, and Participants: This pragmatic cluster-randomized trial ran from 2017 to 2021, with organizations assigned to a model intervention group or standard care control group. Randomized organizations included 516 US-based primary care and specialty practices, health centers, and hospital-based outpatient clinics participating voluntarily. Of these organizations, 342 entered patients into the study population, which included Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 40 to 79 years with no previous MI or stroke and with high or medium CVD risk (a 10-year predicted probability of MI or stroke [ie, CVD risk score] ≥15%) in 2017-2018. Intervention: Organizations agreed to perform guideline-concordant care, including routine CVD risk assessment and cardiovascular care management for high-risk patients. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services paid organizations to calculate CVD risk scores for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. CMS further rewarded organizations for reducing risk among high-risk beneficiaries (CVD risk score ≥30%). Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes included first-time CVD events (MIs, strokes, and transient ischemic attacks) identified in Medicare claims, combined first-time CVD events from claims and CVD deaths (coronary heart disease or cerebrovascular disease deaths) identified using the National Death Index, and Medicare Parts A and B spending for CVD events and overall. Outcomes were measured through 2021. Results: High- and medium-risk model intervention beneficiaries (n = 130 578) and standard care control beneficiaries (n = 88 286) were similar in age (median age, 72-73 y), sex (58%-59% men), race (7%-8% Black), and baseline CVD risk score (median, 24%). The probability of a first-time CVD event within 5 years was 0.3 percentage points lower for intervention beneficiaries than control beneficiaries (3.3% relative effect; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.97 [90% CI, 0.93-1.00]; P = .09). The 5-year probability of combined first-time CVD events and CVD deaths was 0.4 percentage points lower in the intervention group (4.2% relative effect; HR, 0.96 [90% CI, 0.93-0.99]; P = .02). Medicare spending for CVD events was similar between the groups (effect estimate, -$1.83 per beneficiary per month [90% CI, -$3.97 to -$0.30]; P = .16), as was overall Medicare spending including model payments (effect estimate, $2.11 per beneficiary per month [90% CI, -$16.66 to $20.89]; P = .85). Conclusions and Relevance: The Million Hearts Model, which encouraged and paid for CVD risk assessment and reduction, reduced first-time MIs and strokes. Results support guidelines to use risk scores for CVD primary prevention. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04047147.

Differences in Treatment Patterns and Outcomes of Acute Myocardial Infarction for Low- and High-Income Patients in 6 Countries.

Importance: Differences in the organization and financing of health systems may produce more or less equitable outcomes for advantaged vs disadvantaged populations. We compared treatments and outcomes of older high- and low-income patients across 6 countries. Objective: To determine whether treatment patterns and outcomes for patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction differ for low- vs high-income individuals across 6 countries. Design, Setting, and Participants: Serial cross-sectional cohort study of all adults aged 66 years or older hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction from 2013 through 2018 in the US, Canada, England, the Netherlands, Taiwan, and Israel using population-representative administrative data. Exposures: Being in the top and bottom quintile of income within and across countries. Main Outcomes and Measures: Thirty-day and 1-year mortality; secondary outcomes included rates of cardiac catheterization and revascularization, length of stay, and readmission rates. Results: We studied 289 376 patients hospitalized with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and 843 046 hospitalized with non-STEMI (NSTEMI). Adjusted 30-day mortality generally was 1 to 3 percentage points lower for high-income patients. For instance, 30-day mortality among patients admitted with STEMI in the Netherlands was 10.2% for those with high income vs 13.1% for those with low income (difference, -2.8 percentage points [95% CI, -4.1 to -1.5]). One-year mortality differences for STEMI were even larger than 30-day mortality, with the highest difference in Israel (16.2% vs 25.3%; difference, -9.1 percentage points [95% CI, -16.7 to -1.6]). In all countries, rates of cardiac catheterization and percutaneous coronary intervention were higher among high- vs low-income populations, with absolute differences ranging from 1 to 6 percentage points (eg, 73.6% vs 67.4%; difference, 6.1 percentage points [95% CI, 1.2 to 11.0] for percutaneous intervention in England for STEMI). Rates of coronary artery bypass graft surgery for patients with STEMI in low- vs high-income strata were similar but for NSTEMI were generally 1 to 2 percentage points higher among high-income patients (eg, 12.5% vs 11.0% in the US; difference, 1.5 percentage points [95% CI, 1.3 to 1.8 ]). Thirty-day readmission rates generally also were 1 to 3 percentage points lower and hospital length of stay generally was 0.2 to 0.5 days shorter for high-income patients. Conclusions and Relevance: High-income individuals had substantially better survival and were more likely to receive lifesaving revascularization and had shorter hospital lengths of stay and fewer readmissions across almost all countries. Our results suggest that income-based disparities were present even in countries with universal health insurance and robust social safety net systems.

Outcomes and Resource Utilization of Atrial Fibrillation Hospitalizations With Type 2 Myocardial Infarction.

Scarce data exist on the prognostic impact of type 2 myocardial infarction (MI) in patients with AF. The Nationwide Readmission Database 2018 was queried for primary AF hospitalizations with and without type 2 MI. Complex samples multivariable logistic and linear regression models were used to determine the association between type 2 MI and outcomes (in-hospital mortality, index length of stay [LOS], hospital costs, discharge to nursing facility, and 30-day all-cause readmissions). Of 382,896 weighted primary AF hospitalizations included in this study, 7,375 (1.9%) had type 2 MI. AF with type 2 MI is associated with significantly higher in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR [aOR] 1.76; 95% CI 1.30 to 2.38), LOS (adjusted parameter estimate [aPE] 0.48; 95% CI 0.35 to 0.62), hospital costs (aPE 1307.75; 95% CI 986.05 to 1647.44), discharges to nursing facility (aOR 1.38; 95% CI 1.24 to 1.54), and 30-day all-cause readmissions (adjusted hazard ratio 1.17; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.27) compared to AF without type 2 MI. Heart failure, chronic kidney disease, neurologic disorders, and age (per year) were identified as independent predictors of mortality among AF patients with type 2 MI. In conclusion, type 2 MI in the setting of AF hospitalization is associated with high in-hospital mortality and increased resource utilization.

Can Cost-effectiveness Analysis Inform Genotype-Guided Aspirin Use for Primary Colorectal Cancer Prevention?

BACKGROUND: Inherited genetic variants can modify the cancer-chemopreventive effect of aspirin. We evaluated the clinical and economic value of genotype-guided aspirin use for colorectal cancer chemoprevention in average-risk individuals. METHODS: A decision analytical model compared genotype-guided aspirin use versus no genetic testing, no aspirin. The model simulated 100,000 adults ≥50 years of age with average colorectal cancer and cardiovascular disease risk. Low-dose aspirin daily starting at age 50 years was recommended only for those with a genetic test result indicating a greater reduction in colorectal cancer risk with aspirin use. The primary outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: The mean cost of using genotype-guided aspirin was $187,109 with 19.922 mean QALYs compared with $186,464 with 19.912 QALYs for no genetic testing, no aspirin. Genotype-guided aspirin yielded an ICER of $66,243 per QALY gained, and was cost-effective in 58% of simulations at the $100,000 willingness-to-pay threshold. Genotype-guided aspirin was associated with 1,461 fewer polyps developed, 510 fewer colorectal cancer cases, and 181 fewer colorectal cancer-related deaths. This strategy prevented 1,078 myocardial infarctions with 1,430 gastrointestinal bleeding events, and 323 intracranial hemorrhage cases compared with no genetic testing, no aspirin. CONCLUSIONS: Genotype-guided aspirin use for colorectal cancer chemoprevention may offer a cost-effective approach for the future management of average-risk individuals. IMPACT: A genotype-guided aspirin strategy may prevent colorectal cancer, colorectal cancer-related deaths, and myocardial infarctions, while minimizing bleeding adverse events. This model establishes a framework for genetically-guided aspirin use for targeted chemoprevention of colorectal cancer with application toward commercial testing in this population.

Clinical and Economic Outcomes Among Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Patients With Coronary Artery Disease and/or Peripheral Artery Disease.

To address literature gaps on treatment with real-world evidence, this study compared effectiveness, safety, and cost outcomes in NVAF patients with coronary or peripheral artery disease (CAD, PAD) prescribed apixaban versus other oral anticoagulants. NVAF patients aged ≥65 years co-diagnosed with CAD/PAD initiating warfarin, apixaban, dabigatran, or rivaroxaban were selected from the US Medicare population (January 1, 2013 to September 30, 2015). Propensity score matching was used to match apixaban versus warfarin, dabigatran, and rivaroxaban cohorts. Cox models were used to evaluate the risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE), major bleeding (MB), all-cause mortality, and a composite of stroke/myocardial infarction/all-cause mortality. Generalized linear and two-part models were used to compare stroke/SE, MB, and all-cause costs between cohorts. A total of 33,269 warfarin-apixaban, 9,335 dabigatran-apixaban, and 33,633 rivaroxaban-apixaban pairs were identified after matching. Compared with apixaban, stroke/SE risk was higher in warfarin (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.93; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.61 to 2.31), dabigatran (HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.18 to 2.43), and rivaroxaban (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.51) patients. MB risk was higher in warfarin (HR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.52 to 1.83), dabigatran (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.68), and rivaroxaban (HR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.71 to 2.05) patients vs apixaban. Stroke/SE- and MB-related medical costs per-patient per-month were higher in warfarin, dabigatran, and rivaroxaban patients versus apixaban. Total all-cause health care costs were higher in warfarin and rivaroxaban patients compared with apixaban patients. In conclusion, compared with apixaban, patients on dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin had a higher risk of stroke/SE, MB, and event-related costs.

Cost-effectiveness of percutaneous coronary intervention versus medical therapy in patients with acute myocardial infarction: real-world and lifetime-horizon data from Taiwan.

Although some studies have assessed the cost-effectiveness of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in acute myocardial infarction (AMI), there has been a lack of nationwide real-world studies estimating life expectancy (LE), loss-of-LE, life-years saved, and lifetime medical costs. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCI versus non-PCI therapy by integrating a survival function and mean-cost function over a lifelong horizon to obtain the estimations for AMI patients without major comorbidities. We constructed a longitudinal AMI cohort based on the claim database of Taiwan's National Health Insurance during 1999-2015. Taiwan's National Mortality Registry Database was linked to derive a survival function to estimate LE, loss-of-LE, life-years saved, and lifetime medical costs in both therapies. This study enrolled a total of 38,441 AMI patients; AMI patients receiving PCI showed a fewer loss-of-LE (3.6 versus 5.2 years), and more lifetime medical costs (US$ 49,112 versus US$ 43,532). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was US$ 3488 per life-year saved. After stratification by age, the AMI patients aged 50-59 years receiving PCI was shown to be cost-saving. From the perspective of Taiwan's National Health Insurance, PCI is cost-effective in AMI patients without major comorbidities. Notably, for patients aged 50-59 years, PCI is cost-saving.

Epidemiological disease burden and annual health insurance treatment cost of acute myocardial infarction in Hungary / A heveny szívinfarktus okozta országos epidemiológiai és egészségbiztosítási betegségteher Magyarországon.

Összefoglaló. Bevezetés: A szív- és érrendszeri betegségek a vezeto halálokok között szerepelnek világszerte, az összes halálozás egyharmadáért, míg az európai halálozások közel feléért felelosek. Célkituzés: Vizsgálatunk célja volt a heveny szívinfarktus okozta epidemiológiai és egészségbiztosítási betegségteher elemzése. Adatok és módszerek: Adataink a Nemzeti Egészségbiztosítási Alapkezelo (NEAK) finanszírozási adatbázisából származnak a 2018-as évre vonatkozóan. Meghatároztuk az éves betegszámokat és a legnagyobb kiadással rendelkezo ellátási forma, az aktívfekvobeteg-szakellátás tekintetében a 100 000 fore jutó prevalenciát, valamint az éves egészségbiztosítási kiadásokat korcsoportos és nemenkénti bontásban az egyes ellátási típusokra vonatkozóan. A heveny szívinfarktust a Betegségek Nemzetközi Osztályozásának 10. revíziója alapján az I21-es kódcsoporttal azonosítottuk. Eredmények: A NEAK heveny szívinfarktusra fordított kiadása összesen 16,728 milliárd Ft (61,902 millió USD; 52,463 millió EUR) volt 2018-ban. A teljes kiadás 95,8%-át az aktívfekvobeteg-szakellátás költségei (16,032 milliárd Ft; 59,321 millió USD; 50,276 millió EUR) képezték; ezen ellátási forma keretén belül összesen 16 361 fo (9742 férfi és 6619 no) került kórházi felvételre. A valamennyi életkorra számított, 100 000 lakosra vetített prevalencia 208,54 beteg volt a férfiak és 129,61 beteg a nok esetében az aktívfekvobeteg-szakellátásban. A nemenkénti eloszlást tekintve az aktívfekvobeteg-szakellátásban a férfiak abszolút száma - a 75 év felettiek kivételével - valamennyi vizsgált korcsoportban meghaladta a nokét. Következtetés: Az aktívfekvobeteg-szakellátás igénybevétele bizonyult a legfobb költségtényezonek. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(Suppl 1): 6-13. INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular diseases have been the leading causes of death worldwide accounting for one third of all-cause mortality, and nearly half of mortality in Europe. OBJECTIVE: The aim of our study was to determine the epidemiological disease burden of acute myocardial infarction. DATA AND METHODS: Data were derived from the financial database of the National Health Insurance Fund Administration (NHIFA) of Hungary for 2018. Data analysed included annual patient numbers, prevalence per 100 000 population in acute inpatient care, health insurance costs calculated for age groups and sex for all types of care. Patients with acute myocardial infarction were identified with the code: I21 of the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision. RESULTS: In 2018, NHIFA spent 16.728 billion HUF on the treatment of acute myocardial infarction, 61.902 million USD, 52.463 million EUR. Acute inpatient care accounted for 95.8% of costs (16.032 billion HUF; 59.321 million USD; 50.276 million EUR) with 16 361 persons (9742 male; 6619 females) hospitalised. Based on patient numbers in acute in-patient care, prevalence per 100 000 among men was 208.54, among women 129.61 patients. In all age groups, except for patients aged >75 years, the number of males was higher than that of females. CONCLUSION: Acute inpatient care was the major cost driver in the treatment of acute myocardial infarction. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(Suppl 1): 6-13.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease Does Not Impact Mortality but Increases Length of Hospitalization in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) have been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events. We aimed to investigate the outcomes of myocardial infarction (MI) in patients with IBD. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study utilizing data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample from the years 1998 to 2010. ICD-9-CM codes were used to identify patients with Crohn's disease (CD) (555.X), ulcerative colitis (UC) (556.X), and acute MI (410.X). Outcomes in patients with MI with and without IBD were compared. Univariate analysis was performed. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the effect of UC and CD on in-hospital MI mortality after adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: A total of 2,629,161 MI, 3,607 UC and 3784 CD patients were analyzed. UC (odds ratio [OR], 1.12; 95% CI 0.98-1.29) and CD (OR 0.99; 95% CI 0.86-1.15) did not affect in-hospital mortality in patients with MI. There was no difference between in-hospital mortality in patients with MI with or without UC (7.75% vs. 7.05%; p = 0.25) or in patients with MI with or without CD (6.50% vs. 6.59%; p = 0.87). The length of stay (LOS) was higher in IBD patients and total charges were statistically higher in patients with UC as compared to non-IBD patients ($65,182 vs. $53,542; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that IBD does not impact in-hospital mortality from MI. However, patients with MI with IBD have longer LOS. Patients with UC have higher total hospitalization charges than patients with MI without IBD. Further prospective studies are needed to assess the outcomes of MI in IBD patients.

Readmissions Rates After Myocardial Infarction for Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A National Perspective.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is one most common complications of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We aimed to determine the incidence, in-hospital outcomes, associated healthcare burden and predictors of GI bleeding within 30 days after AMI. METHODS: Data were extracted from Nationwide Readmission Database 2010-2014. Patients were included if they had a primary diagnosis of ST or non-ST elevation myocardial infarction. Exclusion criteria were admissioned in December, aged less than 18 years and a diagnosis of type-2 MI. The primary outcome was 30-day readmission with upper or lower GI bleeding. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality, etiology of bleeding, in-hospital complications, procedures, length of stay, and total hospitalization charges. Independent predictors of readmission were identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Out of the 3,520,241 patients discharged with ACS, 10,018 (0.3%) were readmitted with GI bleeding within 30 days of discharge. 60% had lower GI bleeding. Most common sources suspected were GI cancers in 17% and hemorrhoidal bleeding in 10%. In hospital mortality rate for readmission was 3.6%. Independent predictors of readmission were age, Charlson comorbidity score, history of chronic kidney disease, GI tumor, inflammatory bowel disease and artificial heart valve. Type of treatment for AMI had no impact on readmission. Patients readmitted had higher rates of shock (adjusted odds ratio, 1.48, 95% CI 1.01-3.72). CONCLUSIONS: In the first nationwide study, 30-day incidence of GI bleeding after AMI is 0.3%. GI bleeding complicating AMI carries a substantial in-hospital mortality and cost of care.

Socio-Economic Burden of Myocardial Infarction Among Cancer Patients.

Cancer patients face a higher risk of future myocardial infarction (MI), even after completion of anticancer therapies. MI is a critical source of physical and financial stress in noncancer patients, but its impacts associated with cancer patients also saddled with the worry (stress) of potential reoccurrence is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to quantify MI's stress and financial burden after surviving cancer and compare to those never diagnosed with cancer. Utilizing cross-sectional national survey data from 2013 to 2018 derived from publicly available United States datasets, the National Health Interview Survey , and economic data from the National Inpatient Sample , we compared the socio-economic outcomes in those with MI by cancer-status. We adjusted for social, demographic, and clinical factors. Overall, 19,504 (10.2%) of the 189,836 National Health Interview Survey responders reported having cancer for more than 1 year. There was an increased prevalence of MI in cancer survivors compared with noncancer patients (8.8% vs 3.2%, p <0.001). MI was associated with increased financial worry, food insecurity, and financial burden of medical bills (p <0.001, respectively); however, concurrent cancer did not seem to be an effect modifier (p >0.05). There was no difference in annual residual family income by cancer status; however, 3 lowest deciles of residual income representing 21.1% cancer-survivor with MI had a residual income of <$9,000. MI continues to represent an immense source of financial and perceived stress. In conclusion, although cancer patients face a higher risk of subsequent MI, this does not appear to advance their reported stress significantly.

Impact of medicaid expansion on disparities in revascularization in patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction.

INTRODUCTION: Blacks are more likely to live in poverty and be uninsured, and are less likely to undergo revascularization after am acute myocardial infarction compared to whites. The objective of this study was to determine whether Medicaid expansion was associated with a reduction in revascularization disparities in patients admitted with an acute myocardial infarction. METHODS: Retrospective analysis study using data (2010-2018) from hospitals participating in the University Health Systems Consortium, now renamed the Vizient Clinical Database. Comparative interrupted time series analysis was used to compare changes in the use of revascularization therapies (PCI and CABG) in white versus non-Hispanic black patients hospitalized with either ST-segment elevation (STEMI) or non-ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarctions (NSTEMI) after Medicaid expansion. RESULTS: The analytic cohort included 68,610 STEMI and 127,378 NSTEMI patients. The percentage point decrease in the uninsured rate for STEMIs and NSTEMIs was greater for blacks in expansion states compared to whites in expansion states. For patients with STEMIs, differences in black versus white revascularization rates decreased by 2.09 percentage points per year (95% CI, 0.29-3.88, P = 0.023) in expansion versus non-expansion states after adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics. Black patients hospitalized with STEMI in non-expansion states experienced a 7.24 percentage point increase in revascularization rate in 2014 (95% CI, 2.83-11.7, P < 0.001) but did not experience significant annual percentage point increases in the rate of revascularization in subsequent years (1.52; 95% CI, -0.51-3.55, P = 0.14) compared to whites in non-expansion states. Medicaid expansion was not associated with changes in the revascularization rate for either blacks or whites hospitalized with NSTEMIs. CONCLUSION: Medicaid expansion was associated with greater reductions in the number of uninsured blacks compared to uninsured whites. Medicaid expansion was not associated, however, with a reduction in revascularization disparities between black and white patients admitted with acute myocardial infarctions.

Diabetes association with self-reported health, resource utilization, and prognosis post-myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased cardiovascular (CV) risk. We compared health-related quality of life (HRQoL), healthcare resource utilization (HRU), and clinical outcomes of stable post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients with and without DM. HYPOTHESIS: In post-MI patients, DM is associated with worse HRQoL, increased HRU, and worse clinical outcomes. METHODS: The prospective, observational long-term risk, clinical management, and healthcare Resource utilization of stable coronary artery disease study obtained data from 8968 patients aged ≥50 years 1 to 3 years post-MI (369 centers; 25 countries). Patients with ≥1 of the following risk factors were included: age ≥65 years, history of a second MI >1 year before enrollment, multivessel coronary artery disease, creatinine clearance ≥15 and <60 mL/min, and DM treated with medication. Self-reported health status was assessed at baseline, 1 and 2 years and converted to EQ-5D scores. The main outcome measures were baseline HRQoL and HRU during follow-up. RESULTS: DM at enrollment was 33% (2959 patients, 869 insulin treated). Mean baseline EQ-5D score (0.86 vs 0.82; P < .0001) was higher; mean number of hospitalizations (0.38 vs 0.50, P < .0001) and mean length of stay (LoS; 9.3 vs 11.5; P = .001) were lower in patients without vs with DM. All-cause death and the composite of CV death, MI, and stroke were significantly higher in DM patients, with adjusted 2-year rate ratios of 1.43 (P < .01) and 1.55 (P < .001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Stable post-MI patients with DM (especially insulin treated) had poorer EQ-5D scores, higher hospitalization rates and LoS, and worse clinical outcomes vs those without DM. Strategies focusing specifically on this high-risk population should be developed to improve outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01866904 (https://clinicaltrials.gov).

Assessing risk of future cardiovascular events, healthcare resource utilization and costs in patients with type 2 diabetes, prior cardiovascular disease and both.

BACKGROUND: Description of risk of cardiovascular (CV) events associated with diabetes is evolving. This US-based real-world study estimated risk of future CV events and heart failure (HF) from type 2 diabetes (T2DM) only, prior CV events only or T2DM plus prior CV events, versus controls, and evaluated healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs. METHODS AND MATERIALS: This retrospective cohort study queried claims and mortality data for 638,301 patients: T2DM only (377,205); prior CV events only (130,964); both T2DM and prior CV events (130,132); and matched (1:1) controls, during 1 January 2012-31 December 2012. Cardiovascular diagnoses/events and death were assessed individually, and as composite endpoint (myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, transient ischemic attack [TIA], peripheral artery disease [PAD]), during follow-up, ending 31 July 2018. RESULTS: Adjusting for age and gender, patients with T2DM only were 1.6, prior CV events only 2.5 and T2DM plus prior CV events 3.8 times likelier to have primary composite CV events relative to controls, p < .001. HF development was elevated across all three cohorts. Adjusted results showed inpatient admissions for T2DM only, CV events only and T2DM plus prior CV events were 1.37, 2.76 and 3.63 times greater than controls, respectively. All-cause healthcare costs were highest in the T2DM plus prior CV events cohort ($2783 per patient per month [PPPM]) followed by the prior CV events only ($1910 PPPM) and T2DM only cohorts ($1343 PPPM), and controls ($825 PPPM). Adjusted all-cause total costs were 1.48 for T2DM only, 1.49 for prior CV events only and 1.93 for T2DM plus prior CV events times higher compared to controls. CONCLUSION: In this large and geographically broad US based cohort, CV risk for T2DM patients was elevated, as was the risk for patients with prior CV events, while patients with T2DM plus prior CV events had the highest risk of future CV events. The substantial clinical and economic burden of CV events and HF in patients with both T2DM and prior CV events suggest a need for an integrated treatment and targeted intervention across both conditions.

Health burden and economic costs of smoking in Chile: The potential impact of increasing cigarettes prices.

BACKGROUND: Globally, tobacco consumption continues to cause a huge burden of preventable diseases. Chile has been leading the tobacco burden ranking in the Latin American region for the last ten years; it has currently a 33. 3% prevalence of current smokers. METHODS: A microsimulation economic model was developed within the framework of a multi-country project in order to estimate the burden attributable to smoking in terms of morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and direct costs of care. We also modelled the impact of increasing cigarettes' taxes on this burden. RESULTS: In Chile, 16,472 deaths were attributable to smoking in 2017, which represent around 16% of all deaths. This burden corresponds to 416,445 DALYs per year. The country's health system spends 1.15 trillion pesos annually (in Dec 2017 CLP, approx. U$D 1.8 billion) in health care treatment of illnesses caused by smoking. If the price of tobacco cigarettes was to be raised by 50%, around 13,665 deaths and 360,476 DALYs from smoking-attributable diseases would be averted in 10 years, with subsequent savings on health care costs, and increased tax revenue collection. In Chile, the tobacco tax collection does not fully cover the direct healthcare costs attributed to smoking. CONCLUSION: Despite a reduction observed on smoking prevalence between 2010 (40.6%) and 2017 (33.3%), this study shows that the burden of disease, and the economic toll due to smoking, remain high. As we demonstrate, a rise in the price of cigarettes could lead to a significant reduction of this burden, averting deaths and disability, and reducing healthcare spending.

Education-related variation in coronary procedure rates and the contribution of private health care in Australia: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary Australian evidence on socioeconomic variation in secondary cardiovascular disease (CVD) care, a possible contributor to inequalities in cardiovascular disease outcomes, is lacking. This study examined the relationship between education, an individual-level indicator of socioeconomic position, and receipt of angiography and revascularisation procedures following incident hospitalisation for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or angina, and the role of private care in this relationship. METHODS: Participants aged ≥45 from the New South Wales population-based 45 and Up Study with no history of prior ischaemic heart disease hospitalised for AMI or angina were followed for receipt of angiography or revascularisation within 30 days of hospital admission, ascertained through linked hospital records. Education attainment, measured on baseline survey, was categorised as low (no school certificate/qualifications), intermediate (school certificate/trade/apprenticeship/diploma) and high (university degree). Cox regression estimated the association (hazard ratios [HRs]) between education and coronary procedure receipt, adjusting for demographic and health-related factors, and testing for linear trend. Private health insurance was investigated as a mediating variable. RESULTS: Among 4454 patients with AMI, 68.3% received angiography within 30 days of admission (crude rate: 25.8/person-year) and 48.8% received revascularisation (rate: 11.7/person-year); corresponding figures among 4348 angina patients were 59.7% (rate: 17.4/person-year) and 30.8% (rate: 5.3/person-year). Procedure rates decreased with decreasing levels of education. Comparing low to high education, angiography rates were 29% lower among AMI patients (adjusted HR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.90) and 40% lower among angina patients (0.60, 0.47-0.76). Patterns were similar for revascularisation among those with angina (0.78, 0.61-0.99) but not AMI (0.93, 0.69-1.25). After adjustment for private health insurance status, the HRs were attenuated and there was little evidence of an association between education and angiography among those admitted for AMI. CONCLUSIONS: There is a socioeconomic gradient in coronary procedures with the most disadvantaged patients being less likely to receive angiography following hospital admission for AMI or angina, and revascularisation procedures for angina. Unequal access to private health care contributes to these differences. The extent to which the remaining variation is clinically appropriate, or whether angiography is being underused among people with low socioeconomic position or overused among those with higher socioeconomic position, is unclear.

Indirect costs of myocardial infarction in Portugal.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular disease, and particularly myocardial infarction (MI), carries a significant economic burden, through productivity losses (indirect costs) associated with temporary absence from work, that has not yet been adequately studied in Portugal. Our objective was to quantify the indirect costs of MI in the first year after admission. METHODS: Consecutive patients admitted to a single center aged <66 years who survived to discharge during a one-year period were included. Employment status on admission was assessed and for every employed patient, their monthly wage was estimated from market wage rates taken from the Ministry of Labor database according to gender and age. The duration of temporary absence from work was assessed in follow-up contacts for up to one year. Indirect costs were calculated in this sample and the results were applied to the number of MIs in Portugal during 2016 and separately to ST-elevation MI (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome. RESULTS: A total of 219 patients were included, of whom 66.2% were working. The mean monthly labor cost was 1802 euros. A total cost of 760 521.55 euros was obtained. At national level there were 4133 patients aged <66 years admitted with acute MI who survived to discharge. Costs were higher in STEMI patients and the total indirect cost was estimated at 10.12 million euros. CONCLUSIONS: In Portugal, the costs to society of disability-generated productivity losses exceed ten million euros in the first year after MI. Strategies to promote an earlier return to work are needed to lower these costs.

Spending and quality after three years of Medicare's bundled payments for medical conditions: quasi-experimental difference-in-differences study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether longer term participation in the bundled payments for care initiative (BPCI) for medical conditions in the United States, which held hospitals financially accountable for all spending during an episode of care from hospital admission to 90 days after discharge, was associated with changes in spending, mortality, or health service use. DESIGN: Quasi-experimental difference-in-differences analysis. SETTING: US hospitals participating in bundled payments for acute myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), or pneumonia, and propensity score matched to non-participating hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: 238 hospitals participating in the Bundled Payments for Care Improvement initiative (BPCI) and 1415 non-BPCI hospitals. 226 BPCI hospitals were matched to 700 non-BPCI hospitals. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were total spending on episodes and death 90 days after discharge. Secondary outcomes included spending and use by type of post-acute care. BPCI and non-BPCI hospitals were compared by patient, hospital, and hospital market characteristics. Market characteristics included population size, competitiveness, and post-acute bed supply. RESULTS: In the 226 BPCI hospitals, episodes of care totaled 261 163 in the baseline period and 93 562 in the treatment period compared with 211 208 and 78 643 in the 700 matched non-BPCI hospitals, respectively, with small differences in hospital and market characteristics after matching. Differing trends were seen for some patient characteristics (eg, mean age change -0.3 years at BPCI hospitals v non- BPCI hospitals, P<0.001). In the adjusted analysis, participation in BPCI was associated with a decrease in total episode spending (-1.2%, 95% confidence interval -2.3% to -0.2%). Spending on care at skilled nursing facilities decreased (-6.3%, -10.0% to -2.5%) owing to a reduced number of facility days (-6.2%, -9.8% to -2.6%), and home health spending increased (4.4%, 1.4% to 7.5%). Mortality at 90 days did not change (-0.1 percentage points, 95% confidence interval -0.5 to 0.2 percentage points). CONCLUSIONS: In this longer term evaluation of a large national programme on medical bundled payments in the US, participation in bundles for four common medical conditions was associated with savings at three years. The savings were generated by practice changes that decreased use of high intensity care after hospital discharge without affecting quality, which also suggests that bundles for medical conditions could require multiple years before changes in savings and practice emerge.

Copayment Reduction Voucher Utilization and Associations With Medication Persistence and Clinical Outcomes: Findings From the ARTEMIS Trial.

BACKGROUND: Cost is frequently cited as a barrier to optimal medication use, but the extent to which copayment assistance interventions are used when available, and their impact on evidence-based medication persistence and major adverse cardiovascular events is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: The ARTEMIS trial (Affordability and Real-World Antiplatelet Treatment Effectiveness After Myocardial Infarction Study) randomized 301 hospitals to usual care versus the ability to provide patients with vouchers that offset copayment costs when filling P2Y12 inhibitors in the 1 year post-myocardial infarction. In the intervention group, we used multivariable logistic regression to identify patient and medication cost characteristics associated with voucher use. We then used this model to stratify both intervention and usual care patients by likelihood of voucher use, and examined the impact of the voucher intervention on 1-year P2Y12 inhibitor persistence (no gap in pharmacy supply >30 days) and major adverse cardiovascular events (all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke). Among 10 102 enrolled patients, 6135 patients were treated at hospitals randomized to the copayment intervention. Of these, 1742 (28.4%) never used the voucher, although 1729 (99.2%) voucher never-users filled at least one P2Y12 inhibitor prescription in the 1 year post-myocardial infarction. Characteristics most associated with voucher use included: discharge on ticagrelor, planned 1-year course of P2Y12 inhibitor treatment, white race, commercial insurance, and higher out-of-pocket medication costs (c-statistic 0.74). Applying this propensity model to stratify all enrolled patients by likelihood of voucher use, the intervention improved medication persistence the most in patients with high likelihood of voucher use (adjusted interaction P=0.03, odds ratio, 1.86 [95% CI, 1.48-2.33]). The intervention did not significantly reduce major adverse cardiovascular events in any voucher use likelihood group, although the odds ratio was lowest (0.86 [95% CI, 0.56-1.16]) among patients with high likelihood of voucher use (adjusted interaction P=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients discharged after myocardial infarction, those with higher copayments and greater out-of-pocket medication costs were more likely to use a copayment assistance voucher, but some classes of patients were less likely to use a copayment assistance voucher. Patients at low likelihood of voucher use benefitted least from copayment assistance, and other interventions may be needed to improve medication-taking behaviors and clinical outcomes in these patients. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02406677.