RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Estimating the cost-effectiveness of 18FDG-PET/CT (positron emission tomography) compared to computer tomography (CT) followed by 18FDG-PET/CT as a confirmatory test for a positive case at the end of treatment in Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL) patients under 18 years-old. METHODS: A decision tree was built for comparing 18FDG-PET/CT to CT followed by 18FDG-PET/CT as a confirmatory test for a positive case in detecting residual lesions; outcome was measured in life years gained (LYG). The cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated; the threshold was 3 times the per capita GDP per LYG. Values were expressed in Colombian pesos for 2010 (1 US dollar=$ 1,897.89) and submitted to deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Assuming a difference of 13 months in true positives' life expectancy compared to that for false negatives, the cost of an additional LYG with 18FDG-PET/CT compared to CT followed by 18FDG-PET/CT as a confirmatory test for a positive case when evaluating the end of pediatric HL patients' treatment was $ 34,508,590 (COP). CONCLUSION: If differential life-expectancy between true positives and false negatives is at least 1.03 years, then using 18FDG-PET/CT for evaluating the end of HL pediatric patients' therapy is a cost-effective strategy for Colombia.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Hodgkin/economía , Imagen Multimodal/economía , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/economía , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/economía , Adolescente , Niño , Colombia , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Árboles de Decisión , Reacciones Falso Negativas , Reacciones Falso Positivas , Femenino , Radioisótopos de Flúor/economía , Fluorodesoxiglucosa F18/economía , Enfermedad de Hodgkin/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de Hodgkin/patología , Humanos , Esperanza de Vida , Masculino , Neoplasia Residual/diagnóstico , Neoplasia Residual/economía , Pronóstico , Radiofármacos/economíaRESUMEN
Objetivo Estimar la costo-efectividad de 18FDG-PET/CT comparado con CT seguido de 18FDG-PET/CT como prueba confirmatoria de un caso positivo en la evaluación al final del tratamiento en pacientes menores de 18 años con Linfoma Hodgkin (LH). Métodos Se construyó un árbol de decisión donde se comparó el uso de 18FDG-PET/CT con CT seguido de 18FDG-PET/CT como prueba confirmatoria de un caso positivo en la detección de lesión residual. El resultado se midió en Años de Vida Ganados (AVG). Se calculó la razón de costo-efectividad incremental. Se utilizó como umbral 3 veces el PIB per cápita por año AVG. Valores expresados en pesos colombianos de 2010 (1 US dólar = $ 1 897,89) Se realizaron análisis de sensibilidad univariados, bivariados y probabilísticos. Resultados Suponiendo un diferencial en AVG entre verdaderos positivos y falsos negativos de 13 meses, el costo de un AVG adicional con 18FDG-PET/CT comparado con CT seguido de 18FDG-PET/CT como prueba confirmatoria de un caso positivo en la evaluación al final del tratamiento en pacientes pediátricos con LH fue $ 34 508 590. Conclusión Si el diferencial de esperanza de vida entre verdaderos positivos y falsos negativos es de al menos un 1,03 años, el uso de 18FDG-PET/CT en la evaluación al final del tratamiento de pacientes pediátricos con LH, es una estrategia costo-efectiva para Colombia.
Objective Estimating the cost-effectiveness of 18FDG-PET/CT (positron emission tomography) compared to computer tomography (CT) followed by 18FDG-PET/CT as a confirmatory test for a positive case at the end of treatment in Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL) patients under 18 years-old. Methods A decision tree was built for comparing 18FDG-PET/CT to CT followed by 18FDG-PET/CT as a confirmatory test for a positive case in detecting residual lesions; outcome was measured in life years gained (LYG). The cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated; the threshold was 3 times the per capita GDP per LYG. Values were expressed in Colombian pesos for 2010 (1 US dollar=$ 1,897.89) and submitted to deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Results Assuming a difference of 13 months in true positives' life expectancy compared to that for false negatives, the cost of an additional LYG with 18FDG-PET/CT compared to CT followed by 18FDG-PET/CT as a confirmatory test for a positive case when evaluating the end of pediatric HL patients' treatment was $ 34,508,590 (COP). Conclusion If differential life-expectancy between true positives and false negatives is at least 1.03 years, then using 18FDG-PET/CT for evaluating the end of HL pediatric patients' therapy is a cost-effective strategy for Colombia.