Preoperative smoking and robot-assisted radical cystectomy outcomes & complications in multicenter KORARC database.

To investigate the influence of preoperative smoking history on the survival outcomes and complications in a cohort from a large multicenter database. Many patients who undergo radical cystectomy (RC) have a history of smoking; however, the direct association between preoperative smoking history and survival outcomes and complications in patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) who undergo robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) remains unexplored. We conducted a retrospective analysis using data from 749 patients in the Korean Robot-Assisted Radical Cystectomy Study Group (KORARC) database, with an average follow-up duration of 30.8 months. The cohort was divided into two groups: smokers (n = 351) and non-smokers (n = 398). Propensity score matching was employed to address differences in sample size and baseline demographics between the two groups (n = 274, each). Comparative analyses included assessments of oncological outcomes and complications. After matching, smoking did not significantly affect the overall complication rate (p = 0.121). Preoperative smoking did not significantly increase the occurrence of complications based on complication type (p = 0.322), nor did it increase the readmission rate (p = 0.076). There were no perioperative death in either group. Furthermore, preoperative smoking history showed no significant impact on overall survival (OS) [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.87, interquartile range (IQR): 0.54-1.42; p = 0.589] and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 1.12, IQR: 0.83-1.53; p = 0.458) following RARC for MIBC. The extent of preoperative smoking (≤ 10, 10-30, and ≥ 30 pack-years) had no significant influence on OS and RFS in any of the categories (all p > 0.05). Preoperative smoking history did not significantly affect OS, RFS, or complications in patients with MIBC undergoing RARC.

Predicting bladder cancer survival with high accuracy: insights from MAPK pathway-related genes.

The mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway plays a critical role in tumor development and immunotherapy. Nevertheless, additional research is necessary to comprehend the relationship between the MAPK pathway and the prognosis of bladder cancer (BLCA), as well as its influence on the tumor immune microenvironment. To create prognostic models, we screened ten genes associated with the MAPK pathway using COX and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. These models were validated in the Genomic Data Commons (GEO) cohort and further examined for immune infiltration, somatic mutation, and drug sensitivity characteristics. Finally, the findings were validated using The Human Protein Atlas (HPA) database and through Quantitative Real-time PCR (qRT-PCR). Patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the prognosis-related genes of the MAPK pathway. The high-risk group had poorer overall survival than the low-risk group and showed increased immune infiltration compared to the low-risk group. Additionally, the nomograms built using the risk scores and clinical factors exhibited high accuracy in predicting the survival of BLCA patients. The prognostic profiling of MAPK pathway-associated genes represents a potent clinical prediction tool, serving as the foundation for precise clinical treatment of BLCA.

Pre-first-line chemotherapy risk stratification for overall survival in advanced urothelial carcinoma in sequential therapy era.

PURPOSE: To explore pre-treatment risk factors for overall survival (OS) in advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) patients treated with first-line (1L) chemotherapy in sequential therapy (ST) era. Additionally, to evaluate the proportion of patients who were not able to undergo subsequent immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy according to the subgroups stratified by the risk factors. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective study was conducted. Metastatic or locally advanced UC patients treated between 2017 and 2022 were included. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression models were used to address OS. RESULTS: Three hundred and fourteen patients treated with 1L chemotherapy were included in the study and 57 (18.2%) patients were not able to proceed to subsequent ICI therapy. Pre-chemotherapy risk factors for OS in 314 patients were ECOG-PS 1 or more, having no primary site resection, C-reactive protein (CRP) level of 3 mg/dL or more, and non-cisplatin-based regimen. Patients having 3 or 4 risk factors had higher risk for not being able to receive ST (Mann-Whitney U test, P < 0.001). As risk factors for OS in 230 patients who were able to receive ST, having no primary site resection, a neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio of 3 or more, and the presence of liver metastasis were identified. CONCLUSION: We reported the risk factors for OS in advanced UC patients treated with 1L chemotherapy in ST era. Patients with high risk for OS may not be able to proceed to subsequent ICI therapy even in the ST era.

Identification of cuproptosis-related long non-coding RNA and construction of a novel prognostic signature for bladder cancer: An observational study.

Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma (BLCA), a prevalent and lethal cancer, lacks understanding regarding the roles and prognostic value of cuproptosis-related lncRNAs (CRLs), a novel form of cell death induced by copper. We collected RNA-seq data, clinical information, and prognostic data for 414 BLCA samples and 19 matched controls from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Using multivariate and univariate Cox regression analyses, we identified CRLs to create a prognostic signature. Patients were then divided into low- and high-risk groups based on their risk scores. We analyzed overall survival using the Kaplan-Meier method, evaluated stromal and immune scores, and explored functional differences between these risk groups with gene set enrichment analysis. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were also conducted to understand the links between CRLs and BLCA development. We developed a prognostic signature using 4 independent CRLs: RC3H1-IT1, SPAG5-AS1, FAM13A-AS1, and GNG12-AS1. This signature independently predicted the prognosis of BLCA patients. High-risk patients had worse outcomes, with gene set enrichment analysis revealing enrichment in tumor- and immune-related pathways in the high-risk group. Notably, high-risk patients exhibited enhanced responses to immunotherapy and conventional chemotherapy drugs like sunitinib, paclitaxel, and gemcitabine. The independent prognostic signature variables RC3H1-IT1, SPAG5-AS1, FAM13A-AS1, and GNG12-AS1 predicted the prognoses of BLCA patients and provided a basis for the study of the mechanism of CRLs in BLCA development and progression, and the guidance of clinical treatments for patients with BLCA.

Risk of prostate cancer death in men diagnosed with prostate cancer at cystoprostat-ectomy. A nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: One out of three men who undergo cystoprostatectomy for bladder cancer is diagnosed with incidental prostate cancer (PCa) at histopathological examination. Many of these men are PSA tested as part of their follow-up, but it is unclear if this is needed. The aim of this study was to assess the risk of PCa death in these men and the need of PSA-testing during follow-up. METHODS: Between 2002 and 2020, 1,554 men were diagnosed with PCa after cystoprostatectomy performed for non-metastatic bladder cancer and registered in the National Prostate Cancer Register (NPCR) of Sweden. We assessed their risk of death from PCa, bladder cancer and other causes up to 15 years after diagnosis by use of data in The Cause of Death Register. The use of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) as a proxy for PCa progression was assessed by fillings in The Prescribed Drug Register. RESULTS: Fifteen years after diagnosis, cumulative incidence of death from PCa was 2.6% (95% CI 2.3%-2.9%), from bladder cancer 32% (95% CI: 30%-34%) and from other causes 40% (95% CI: 36%-44%). Only 35% of men with PCa recorded as primary cause of death in The Cause of Death Register had started ADT before date of death, indicating sticky-diagnosis bias with inflated risk of PCa death. CONCLUSIONS: For a large majority of men diagnosed with incidental PCa at cystoprostatectomy performed for bladder cancer, the risk of PCa death is very small so there is no rationale for PSA testing during follow-up.

Comparing survival in trial- versus routine-care advanced urothelial cancer patients on immune checkpoint blockade.

PURPOSE: Although recent trials involving first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors have expanded treatment options for patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) who are ineligible for standard cisplatin-based chemotherapy, there exists limited evidence for whether trial efficacy translates into real-world effectiveness for patients seen in routine care. This retrospective cohort study compares differences in overall survival (OS) between KEYNOTE-052 trial participants and routine-care patients receiving first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy. METHODS: A routine-care patient cohort was constructed from the Flatiron Health database using trial eligibility criteria and was weighted to balance EHR and trial patient characteristics using matching-adjusted indirect comparisons. RESULTS: The routine-care cohort was older, more likely to be female, and more often cisplatin-ineligible due to renal dysfunction. ECOG performance status was comparable between the cohorts. Median OS was 9 months (95% CI 7-16) in the weighted routine-care cohort and 11.3 months (9.7-13.1) in the trial cohort. No significant differences between the Kaplan-Meier OS curves were detected (p = 0.76). Survival probabilities were similar between the weighted routine-care and trial cohorts at 12-, 24-, and 36- months (0.45 vs. 0.47, 0.31 vs. 0.31, 0.26 vs. 0.23, respectively). Notably, routine care patients had modestly lower survival at 3 months compared to trial participants (0.69 vs. 0.83, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our results provide reassurance that cisplatin-ineligible aUC patients receiving first-line immunotherapy in routine care experience similar benefits to those observed in trial patients.

Correlation between Ki-67 or Profilin-1 Expression Levels, Clinicopathological Characteristics and Postoperative Prognosis in Patients with Bladder Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer is the most common malignancy of the urinary system, and the search for new and reliable biomarkers has important clinical significance for the personalized treatment of bladder cancer. This study aims to explore the correlation between nuclear proliferation antigen (Ki-67) or Profilin-1 (PFN1) levels, clinicopathological characteristics, and postoperative prognosis in patients with bladder cancer. METHODS: Patients with bladder cancer who underwent transurethral resection of bladder cancer tumor in The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, hospital from January 2019 to January 2021 were selected as the study group (n = 60), and patients with benign lesions of bladder cancer during the same period were selected as the control group (n = 60). The expression of Ki-67 and PFN1 in tumor and bladder tissues of the two groups was analyzed. Ki-67 recorded the patient's pathological parameters and calculated the patient's postoperative prognosis. The correlation between Ki-67 and PFN1 expression levels, pathological parameters, and postoperative prognosis was analyzed. RESULTS: The positive expression rates of Ki-67 and PFN1 in the study group were 63.33% and 73.33%, respectively, which were significantly higher than the positive expression rates in the control group (χ2 = 14.803, 17.757, p < 0.001). The positive expression rates of Ki-67 and PFN1 were related to histological grade, clinical stage, infiltration, and lymph node metastasis, and the differences were statistically significant (p < 0.05). Bladder cancer patients with non muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), high-grade histological grade, Ta~T1 clinical stage, invasive, and lymph node metastasis have a higher Ki-67 positive expression rate than bladder cancer patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), low-grade histological grade, T2~T4, non-invasive, and no lymph node metastasis. The high expression level of Ki-67 has little relationship with gender, age, tumor diameter, and vascular invasion (p > 0.05). The survival time and three-year survival rate of the Ki-67 positive expression group were significantly lower than those of the Ki-67 negative expression group (p < 0.05). The survival time and three-year survival rate of the PFN1 positive expression group were significantly lower than those of the PFN1 negative expression group (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The positive expression rates of Ki-67 and PFN1 in bladder tumor tissue are significantly higher than those in bladder tissue, and pathological pattern, histological grade, clinical stage, infiltration, and lymph node metastasis are related to the positive expression rates of Ki-67 and PFN1, and different genders, ages, tumors diameter and vascular invasion are not related to the positive expression rates of Ki-67 and PFN1. The survival time and three-year survival rates of bladder cancer patients with Ki-67 positive and PFN1 positive expression are shorter.

Cystectomy for bladder cancer in Sweden - short-term outcomes after centralization.

OBJECTIVE: Radical cystectomy (RC) for bladder cancer is associated with an inherent risk of complications and even postoperative mortality. The number of hospitals performing RC has decreased in Sweden over time, and since a formal regional centralization in 2017 cystectomy care is currently provided by nine hospitals. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In the Swedish National Urinary Bladder Cancer Register (SNRUBC) 90-day complications after RC have been registered with high coverage since 2012. Descriptive data and short-term outcomes were compared in relation to centralization of the cystectomy care by stratifying data before (2012-2016) and after (2017-2023). RESULTS: Out of all 4,638 cystectomies, 2,738 (59%) were performed after the centralization in 2017 and onwards. The median age at RC increased from 71 (Inter Quartile Range [IQR] 65-76) to 73 (IQR 67-77) years, and the proportion of patients with comorbidity (American Society of Anesthesiologists [ASA] 3 or 4) increased from 32% to 37% after the centralization (p < 0.001). The number of patients suffering from high-grade complications within 90 days of surgery corresponding to Clavien grade three were 345 (18%) and 407 (15%), and corresponding to Clavien grade four 61 (3%) and 64 (2%) before and after centralization, respectively. Reoperations within 90 days of RC decreased from 234/1,900 (12%) to 208/2,738 (8%) (p < 0.001), and 90-day mortality decreased from 84/1,900 (4%) to 85/2,738 (3%) (p = 0.023) before and after centralization, respectively. CONCLUSION: After the centralization of the cystectomy-care in Sweden, older patients and individuals with more extensive comorbidity were offered RC whereas 90-day mortality and the proportion of patients subjected to reoperations within 90 days of surgery decreased without increasing waiting times.

C-reactive protein (CRP) as a prognostic biomarker in patients with urothelial carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

C-reactive protein (CRP) may reflect a pro-inflammatory tumor microenvironment and could represent a biomarker to select patients with urothelial carcinoma more likely to benefit from therapies directed at modulating tumor-promoting inflammation. We performed a systematic review to evaluate survival outcomes based on pre-treatment CRP values in urothelial carcinoma. The hazard ratios (HRs) of survival such as overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) between groups with high versus low CRP values were pooled by the random-effect model meta-analyses. Overall, 28 studies comprising 6789 patients were identified for meta-analyses. High CRP levels were associated with shorter OS (HR=1.96 [95% CI: 1.64-2.33], p < 0.01), particularly in advanced disease treated with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB, HR=1.78 [1.47-2.15], p < 0.01). Similar findings were observed in ICB-treated patients with PFS. These findings suggest that CRP could be an attractive biomarker to select patients with urothelial carcinoma for strategies seeking to modulate tumor-promoting inflammation.

Impact of sarcopenia on outcomes of bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To provide synthesized evidence on the association between sarcopenia and risk of mortality, recurrence and postoperative complications in patients with bladder cancer and undergoing radical cystectomy (RC). METHODS: Only studies with observational design that investigated the association between sarcopenia and outcomes of interest among patients with bladder cancer undergoing RC were included. The outcomes of interest were mortality, recurrence, and postoperative complications. The systematic search was conducted using three large databases, that is, PubMed, EMBASE, and Scopus. A random effects model was used for the analysis and pooled effect sizes were reported as odds ratio (OR) or hazards ratio (HR) along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 21 studies with 4997 patients were included. Compared to non-sarcopenic subjects, those with sarcopenia had increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.32, 1.61), cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.74, 95% CI: 1.49, 2.03) and a lower recurrence free survival (HR 1.84, 95% CI: 1.30, 2.62). Patients with sarcopenia also had higher risk of developing complications within 90 days postoperatively (OR 1.77, 95% CI: 1.23, 2.55). CONCLUSION: Sarcopenia among patients with bladder cancer and managed using RC is associated with adverse survival outcomes and an increased risk of postoperative complications.

Long-term Survival after Volatile or Propofol General Anesthesia for Bladder Cancer Surgery: A Retrospective National Registry Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Prospective interventional trials and retrospective observational analyses provide conflicting evidence regarding the relationship between propofol versus inhaled volatile general anesthesia and long-term survival after cancer surgery. Specifically, bladder cancer surgery lacks prospective clinical trial evidence. METHODS: Data on bladder cancer surgery performed under general anesthesia between 2014 and 2021 from the National Quality Registry for Urinary Tract and Bladder Cancer and the Swedish Perioperative Registry were record-linked. Overall survival was compared between patients receiving propofol or inhaled volatile for anesthesia maintenance. The minimum clinically important difference was defined as a 5-percentage point difference in 5-yr survival. RESULTS: Of 7,571 subjects, 4,519 (59.7%) received an inhaled volatile anesthetic, and 3,052 (40.3%) received propofol for general anesthesia maintenance. The two groups were quite similar in most respects but differed in American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status and tumor stage. Propensity score matching was used to address treatment bias. Survival did not differ during follow-up (median, 45 months [interquartile range, 33 to 62 months]) in the full unmatched cohort nor after 1:1 propensity score matching (3,052 matched pairs). The Kaplan-Meier adjusted 5-yr survival rates in the matched cohort were 898 of 3,052, 67.5% (65.6 to 69.3%) for propofol and 852 of 3,052, 68.5% (66.7 to 70.4%) for inhaled volatile general anesthesia, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.96 to 1.15]; P = 0.332). A sensitivity analysis restricted to 1,766 propensity score-matched pairs of patients who received only one general anesthetic during the study period did not demonstrate a difference in survival; Kaplan-Meier adjusted 5-yr survival rates were 521 of 1,766, 67.1% (64.7 to 69.7%) and 482 of 1,766, 68.9% (66.5 to 71.4%) for propofol and inhaled volatile general anesthesia, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.09 [95% CI, 0.97 to 1.23]; P = 0.139). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients undergoing bladder cancer surgery under general anesthesia, there was no statistically significant difference in long-term overall survival associated with the choice of propofol or an inhaled volatile maintenance.

Association between comorbidities and survival in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to investigate the relationship between comorbidities and survival in patients with mUC treated with pembrolizumab as a second-line treatment. METHODS: From February 2018 to October 2021, we analyzed the data of 185 consecutive patients with metastatic UC who received pembrolizumab as second-line therapy at The Jikei University Hospital and five affiliated hospitals. We used the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to assess the comorbidities. The outcomes of interest were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). To compare the survival differences, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and the IPTW-adjusted Cox regression hazards model were used. RESULTS: After IPTW adjustment, patient characteristics were well-balanced between patients with high CCI and those with low CCI. The IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves of PFS and OS based on CCI revealed that the patients with high CCI (2 or more) had a shorter PFS (median, 1.6 vs. 2.8 months) and a shorter OS (median, 12.4 vs. 18.8 months) (0-1). Similarly, in the IPTW-adjusted Cox regression hazards model, patients with high CCI had significantly shorter PFS [HR, 1.84 (95% CI 1.26-2.68; p = 0.002)] and OS [HR, 1.98 (95% CI 1.20-3.27; p = 0.008)] than those with lower CCI. CONCLUSIONS: High CCI was associated with a higher risk of disease progression as well as overall mortality in mUC patients treated with second-line pembrolizumab.

Alignment of molecular subtypes across multiple bladder cancer subtyping classifiers.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) includes cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by radical cystectomy (RC). Molecular subtypes have been associated with patient outcomes after NAC and RC, but the reported results have been highly inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of molecular subtypes from different classifiers with overall survival (OS) among patients with MIBC who underwent RC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed gene expression data generated from transurethral resection of MIBC from a previously assembled and published meta-cohort, NACmeta (N = 601, 247 treated with NAC+RC and 354 RC without NAC), where extended follow-up was available. Molecular subtypes were assigned using the Genomic Subtyping Classifier (GSC), the Consensus Classifier, The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) Classifier, and the Lund Classifier. For survival analysis, inverse probability weighting was used to balance the clinical NAC and non-NAC patient groups. RESULTS: A high consistency in gene expression patterns and nomenclature was observed between luminal-like subtypes, defined as GSC-Luminal, Consensus-Luminal Papillary (LumP), TCGA Luminal-Papillary (LumP) and Lund-UroA, but not for basal-like subtypes such GSC-Basal, Consensus Basal/Squamous, TCGA-Basal/Squamous and Lund-Basal/Squamous. Patients with luminal-like subtypes demonstrated no difference in 3-year OS when treated with or without NAC (P = 0.7 for GSC, P = 0.94 for Consensus, P = 0.87 for TCGA and P = 0.66 for Lund-UroA, respectively). CONCLUSION: Luminal-like molecular subtypes identify a subgroup of MIBC patients who do not appear to benefit from current NAC regimens, even for locally advanced disease. In addition, we were able to illustrate differences in subtyping nomenclature that are not reflected in the underlying biological definition of the subtypes. PATIENT SUMMARY: Muscle-invasive bladder cancer exhibits molecular diversity, and various classifications identify different groups who do not benefit from chemotherapy. On the other hand, there is a high inconsistency in the way cancer groupings are named.

Influence of lamina propria invasion extension on T1 high-grade non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer in patients undergoing BCG or radical cystectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic value of T1 substaging in patients treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) or immediate radical cystectomy (iRC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed an institutional review board-approved retrospective study analysing non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) patients with pT1 disease treated with either BCG or iRC between 2000 and 2020. Lamina propria (LP) invasion characteristics were extracted from the pathology report. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and metastasis-free survival (MFS). Multivariable Cox models were used to determine the association between progression-free survival (PFS) and characteristics in the BCG cohort. A logistic regression model explored the relationship between T1 substaging and upstaging to >pT2 at iRC. RESULTS: A total of 411 T1 high-grade patients were identified. LP invasion characteristics were as follows: not specified: 115 (28%); focal/superficial (F/S): 147 (35.8%); and extensive/multifocal (E/M): 149 (36.2%). Overall, 303 patients (73.7%) received BCG, and 108 patients (26.3%) underwent iRC. The median (interquartile range) follow-up was 53 (32-96) months. Patients with E/M LP invasion were significantly more likely to undergo iRC (34% vs. 19%; P = 0.003). Patients with E/M LP invasion showed poorer MFS and CSS compared to those with F/S LP invasion when treated with BCG but not when treated with iRC. Among BCG-treated patients, progression occurred in 41 patients and E/M LP invasion was independently associated with progression after BCG (hazard ratio 5.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-13.1; P < 0.001). T1 substaging was not associated with upstaging at RC (odds ratio 3.15, 95% CI 0.82-12.12; P = 0.095). CONCLUSIONS: Extensive/multifocal LP invasion was associated with poor PFS, MFS and CSS in patients treated with BCG. T1 substaging provides valuable prognostic information and should be reported in pathology reports.

Lessons from a population-based bladder cancer registry: exploring why survival is not improving.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the causes of the decrease in bladder cancer survival that has occurred over the past four decades. METHODS: We extracted data from the South Australian Cancer Registry. Data from the period 1 January 1977 to 31 December 2020 were extracted to explore changes in incidence and survival among a total of 8356 patients diagnosed with ≥pT1 disease. Invasive bladder cancer was defined as ≥pT1 in this study. RESULTS: Invasive bladder cancer age-standardized incidence decreased from 7.20 cases per 100 000 people in 1977 to 5.85 cases per 100 000 in 2020. The mean age at diagnosis increased from 68 years to 76 years. The crude incidence for patients aged 80 years and over increased by 3.3% per year (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1 to 4.6). Overall survival decreased over the study period (hazard ratio [HR] 1.22 [95% CI 1.09 to 1.35]), however, survival increased after adjusting for age at diagnosis (HR 0.80 [95% CI 0.76 to 0.94]). Despite a decrease in non-bladder cancer-specific deaths in older people, there was no change in the bladder cancer-specific death rate in older people (HR 0.94 [95% CI 0.70 to 1.26]). Male sex was associated with higher survival (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.83 to 0.92]), whereas socioeconomic advantage was not. CONCLUSIONS: Invasive bladder cancer survival has decreased over the past 40 years, with the age structure of the population being a significant contributing factor. PATIENT SUMMARY: We looked at why bladder cancer survival is decreasing using a large cancer registry with information from 1977 to 2020. We found that people are now more likely to be diagnosed at an older age. Older people often live for a shorter time with bladder cancer compared to younger people. Bladder cancer survival has decreased because there are more older people with the disease than previously.

Real-world sequential treatment patterns and clinical outcomes among patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: Immune checkpoint inhibitors and enfortumab vedotin have opened new avenues for sequential treatment strategies for locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC). In the pre-enfortumab vedotin era, many patients could not receive third-line treatment owing to rapid disease progression and poor general status. This study aimed to analyze real-world sequential treatment practices for la/mUC in Japan, with a focus on patients who do not receive third-line treatment. METHODS: We analyzed data for 1023 la/mUC patients diagnosed between January 2020 and December 2021 at 54 institutions from a Japanese nationwide cohort. RESULTS: At the median follow-up of 28.5 months, the median overall survival from first-line initiation for 905 patients who received systemic anticancer treatment was 19.1 months. Among them, 81% and 32% received second- and third-line treatment. Notably, 52% had their treatment terminated before the opportunity for third-line treatment. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that low performance status (≥1), elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥3), and low body mass index (<21 kg/m2) at the start of first-line treatment were independent risk factors for not proceeding to third-line treatment (p = 0.0024, 0.0069, and 0.0058, respectively). In this cohort, 33% had one of these factors, 36% had two, and 15% had all three. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the high frequency of factors associated with poor tolerance to anticancer treatment in la/mUC patients. The findings suggest the need to establish optimal sequential treatment strategies, maximizing efficacy within time and tolerance constraints, while concurrently providing strong supportive care, considering immunological and nutritional aspects.

A risk model based on lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA gene signature for predicting prognosis of patients with bladder cancer.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to analyze lncRNAs, miRNAs, and mRNA expression profiles of bladder cancer (BC) patients, thereby establishing a gene signature-based risk model for predicting prognosis of patients with BC. METHODS: We downloaded the expression data of lncRNAs, miRNAs and mRNA from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) as training cohort including 19 healthy control samples and 401 BC samples. The differentially expressed RNAs (DERs) were screened using limma package, and the competing endogenous RNAs (ceRNA) regulatory network was constructed and visualized by the cytoscape. Candidate DERs were screened to construct the risk score model and nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) time and prognosis of BC patients. The prognostic value was verified using a validation cohort in GSE13507. RESULTS: Based on 13 selected. lncRNAs, miRNAs and mRNA screened using L1-penalized algorithm, BC patients were classified into two groups: high-risk group (including 201 patients ) and low risk group (including 200 patients). The high-risk group's OS time ( hazard ratio [HR], 2.160; 95% CI, 1.586 to 2.942; P= 5.678e-07) was poorer than that of low-risk groups' (HR, 1.675; 95% CI, 1.037 to 2.713; P= 3.393 e-02) in the training cohort. The area under curve (AUC) for training and validation datasets were 0.852. Younger patients (age ⩽ 60 years) had an improved OS than the patients with advanced age (age > 60 years) (HR 1.033, 95% CI 1.017 to 1.049; p= 2.544E-05). We built a predictive model based on the TCGA cohort by using nomograms, including clinicopathological factors such as age, recurrence rate, and prognostic score. CONCLUSIONS: The risk model based on 13 DERs patterns could well predict the prognosis for patients with BC.

A CT-based deep learning model predicts overall survival in patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer after radical cystectomy: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) has a poor prognosis even after radical cystectomy (RC). Postoperative survival stratification based on radiomics and deep learning (DL) algorithms may be useful for treatment decision-making and follow-up management. This study was aimed to develop and validate a DL model based on preoperative computed tomography (CT) for predicting postcystectomy overall survival (OS) in patients with MIBC. METHODS: MIBC patients who underwent RC were retrospectively included from four centers, and divided into the training, internal validation, and external validation sets. A DL model incorporated the convolutional block attention module (CBAM) was built for predicting OS using preoperative CT images. The authors assessed the prognostic accuracy of the DL model and compared it with classic handcrafted radiomics model and clinical model. Then, a deep learning radiomics nomogram (DLRN) was developed by combining clinicopathological factors, radiomics score (Rad-score) and deep learning score (DL-score). Model performance was assessed by C-index, KM curve, and time-dependent ROC curve. RESULTS: A total of 405 patients with MIBC were included in this study. The DL-score achieved a much higher C-index than Rad-score and clinical model (0.690 vs. 0.652 vs. 0.618 in the internal validation set, and 0.658 vs. 0.601 vs. 0.610 in the external validation set). After adjusting for clinicopathologic variables, the DL-score was identified as a significantly independent risk factor for OS by the multivariate Cox regression analysis in all sets (all P <0.01). The DLRN further improved the performance, with a C-index of 0.713 (95% CI: 0.627-0.798) in the internal validation set and 0.685 (95% CI: 0.586-0.765) in external validation set, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A DL model based on preoperative CT can predict survival outcome of patients with MIBC, which may help in risk stratification and guide treatment decision-making and follow-up management.

Initial management and survival of patients with primary metastatic bladder cancer before the immunotherapy era: a population-based study from Norway.

Before immunotherapy became part of the management of metastatic bladder cancer (mBC), systemic anti-cancer treatment comprised primarily of platinum-based chemotherapy. The objective of this study was to describe the characteristics, the initial management, overall survival (OS) and hospitalisations of patients with mBC before 2018 when immunotherapy for mBC was introduced in Norway.  Material and methods: It is a nationwide population-based study of primary mBC patients (diagnosed 2008-16). Descriptive statistics were applied and stratified for four initial management options (≤150 days after BC diagnosis): chemotherapy, major local treatment (cystectomy/pelvic radiotherapy), multimodal treatment (chemotherapy and local) and no anti-cancer treatment beyond transurethral resection of bladder tumour (untreated). Group differences were evaluated by Chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis test; OS was estimated with Kaplan-Meier. Results: Of the 305 patients included, 76 (25%) patients had chemotherapy, 46 (15%) patients had major local treatment, 21 (7%) patients had multimodal treatment and 162 (53%) patients were untreated.  Median OS ranged from 2.3 months (untreated) to 9.8 months (chemotherapy). Patients who received treatment had a higher rate of hospitalisation, with a median stay of three to four times that of untreated patients. Conclusion: Before immunotherapy, more than 50% of patients with primary mBC did not receive any initial anti-cancer therapy and had a poor survival. Patients treated with chemotherapy had inferior median OS compared to those treated with comparable systemic strategies in contemporary trials. Our results provide a basis for future research on treatment and survival after the introduction of immunotherapy for mBC, aiming to improve the care and outcome of patients with mBC.