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2.
Vasc Endovascular Surg ; 54(4): 325-332, 2020 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32079508

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Open repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) has shown improved outcomes at trauma centers. Whether the benefit of trauma center designation extends to endovascular repair of rAAA is unknown. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development 2007 to 2014 discharge database to identify patients with rAAA. Data included demographic and admission factors, discharge disposition, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes, and hospital characteristics. Hospitals were categorized by trauma center designation and teaching hospital status. The effect of repair type and trauma center designation (level I, level II, or other-other trauma centers and nondesignated hospitals) was evaluated to determine rates and risks of 9 postoperative complications, in-hospital mortality, and 30-day postdischarge mortality. RESULTS: Of 1941 rAAA repair patients, 61.2% had open and 37.8% had endovascular; 1.0% had both. Endovascular repair increased over the study interval. Hospitals were 12.0% level I, 25.0% level II, and 63.0% other. A total of 48.7% of hospitals were teaching hospitals (level I, 100%; level II, 42.2%; and other, 41.8%). Endovascular repair was significantly more common at teaching hospitals (41.5% vs 34.3%, P < .001) and was the primary repair method at level I trauma centers (P < .001). Compared with open repair, endovascular repair was protective for most complications and in-hospital mortality. The risk for in-hospital mortality was highest among endovascular patients at level II trauma centers (hazard ratio 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95-2.92) and other hospitals (hazard ratio 1.66, 95% CI: 1.01-2.72). CONCLUSIONS: Endovascular repair overall was associated with a lower risk of adverse outcomes. Endovascular repair at level I trauma centers had a lower risk of in-hospital mortality which may be a result of their teaching hospital status, organizational structure, and other factors. The weight of the contributions of such factors warrants further study.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Centros Traumatológicos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/economía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , California , Bases de Datos Factuales , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Costos de Hospital , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Hospitales de Enseñanza , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Centros Traumatológicos/economía , Resultado del Tratamiento
3.
Br J Surg ; 106(3): 206-216, 2019 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30702746

RESUMEN

Background: Population screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in 65­year­old men has been shown to be cost­effective. A risk group with higher prevalence is siblings of patients with an AAA. This health economic model­based study evaluated the potential cost­effectiveness of targeted AAA screening of siblings. Methods: A Markov model validated against other screening programmes was used. Two methods of identifying siblings were analysed: direct questioning of patients with an AAA (method A), and employing a national multigeneration register (method B). The prevalence was based on observed ultrasound data on AAAs in siblings. Additional parameters were extracted from RCTs, vascular registers, literature and ongoing screening. The outcome was cost­effectiveness, probability of cost­effectiveness at different willingness­to­pay (WTP) thresholds, reduction in AAA death, quality­adjusted life­years (QALYs) gained and total costs on a national scale. Results: Methods A and B were estimated to reduce mortality from AAA, at incremental cost­effectiveness ratios of €7800 (95 per cent c.i. 4627 to 12 982) and €7666 (5000 to 13 373) per QALY respectively. The probability of cost­effectiveness was 99 per cent at a WTP of €23 000. The absolute risk reduction in AAA deaths was five per 1000 invited. QALYs gained were 27 per 1000 invited. In a population of ten million, methods A and B were estimated to prevent 12 and 17 AAA deaths, among 2418 and 3572 siblings identified annually, at total costs of €499 500 and €728 700 respectively. Conclusion: The analysis indicates that aneurysm­related mortality could be decreased cost­effectively by applying a targeted screening method for siblings of patients with an AAA.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Diagnóstico Precoz , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Pronóstico , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Distribución por Sexo , Hermanos , Suecia/epidemiología
4.
Angiology ; 70(5): 407-413, 2019 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30654619

RESUMEN

In Europe, the prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in the elderly population (≥65 year old) has declined in the past decades to <4%. Aneurysmal degeneration of the aorta is a serious and potentially life-threatening vascular disease. Abdominal aortic aneurysms typically develop subclinically and often only become symptomatic when complicated by impending rupture. Most AAAs are discovered incidentally while investigating for an unrelated pathology. Ruptured AAA is the tenth leading cause of death in Belgium (0.32% of all deaths in 2014). Health-care providers have emphasized the importance of early detection of AAA and elective repair when the rupture risk outweighs operative risk (usual diameter threshold of 55 mm). Routine AAA screening programs, consisting of a single abdominal ultrasonography at the age of 65 years, aim to reduce the number of AAA-related deaths. Does population-based ultrasound screening for AAA achieve its objective and is it cost-effective? This literature review tries to answer these challenging questions.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Ultrasonografía , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/terapia , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/terapia , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Diagnóstico Precoz , Femenino , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Esperanza de Vida , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Ultrasonografía/economía
5.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 54: 123-133, 2019 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29778610

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to characterize utilization and outcomes of thoracic endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (TEVAR) in New York State during the first decade of commercial availability, with respect to evolving indications, results, and costs. Of specific interest was evaluation of the volume-outcome relationship for this relatively uncommon procedure. METHODS: The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database was queried to identify patients undergoing TEVAR from 2005 to 2014 for aortic dissection (AD), non-ruptured aneurysm (NRA), and ruptured aneurysm (RA). Outcomes assessed included in-hospital mortality, complications, and costs. Linkage to the National Provider Identifier and New York Office of Professions databases facilitated comparisons by surgeon and facility volume. RESULTS: One thousand eight hundred thirty-eight patients were identified: 334 AD, 226 RA, and 1,278 NRA. Since introduction, TEVAR implantation increased significantly over the 10-year period in all groups (P < 0.01), with recent increase in utilization for AD. Increased in-hospital mortality correlated with RA (OR 5.52 [3.02-10.08], P < 0.01), coagulopathy (3.38 [2.02-5.66], P < 0.01), cerebrovascular disease (2.47 [1.17-5.22], P = 0.02), and nonwhite/nonblack race (1.74 [1.08-2.82], P = 0.02). Early in the experience (2005-2007), patients were more likely to be treated at high-volume facilities (>17 per year) and by high-volume surgeons (>5 per year), (P < 0.01). Since 2011, however, most patients (53%) have undergone TEVAR by low-volume surgeons (<3 per year). Neither surgeon nor hospital volume was associated with clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Since the introduction of TEVAR, comparable results have been obtained across hospital and surgeon volume strata. Favorable outcomes, even in low-volume settings, underscore the complexity of volume-outcome relationships in high-acuity procedures. These findings have implications for credentialing, regionalization, and future dissemination of advanced endovascular technology.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/cirugía , Disección Aórtica/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/tendencias , Procedimientos Endovasculares/tendencias , Evaluación de Procesos, Atención de Salud/tendencias , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Disección Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Disección Aórtica/economía , Disección Aórtica/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/economía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , Bases de Datos Factuales , Difusión de Innovaciones , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Costos de la Atención en Salud/tendencias , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/tendencias , Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Hospitales de Alto Volumen/tendencias , Hospitales de Bajo Volumen/tendencias , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , New York , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Evaluación de Procesos, Atención de Salud/economía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
6.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 56: 163-174, 2019 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30476604

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The objective of the study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of endovascular aortic repair (rEVAR) versus open surgical repair (rOSR) for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA), where rEVAR is regularly performed outside of instructions for use (IFUs) (shorter and more angulated necks). Primary end point is incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of rEVAR versus rOSR and aneurysm-related mortality. Secondary end points are cost per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), perioperative morbidity and mortality, reintervention, and all-cause mortality. METHODS: All rAAA repairs performed between 2002 and 2016 in a single center were scrutinized. Between 2002 and 2007, most rAAAs were repaired using rOSR. From 2007 to 2016, we implemented a rEVAR with an anatomically possible protocol. During this time, severe angulation was rarely seen as a contraindication to rEVAR, and rEVAR was performed on aneurysms with an infrarenal aortic neck cranial to the aneurysm with a diameter of 20-33 mm and a length of at least 5 mm. Demographics and outcomes were reported according to the Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines. QALY was measured based on quality of time spent without symptoms of disease or toxicity of treatment (Q-TWiST) assessment. RESULTS: Eight hundred aneurysm surgeries were performed; of these, 135 were emergency surgeries of which 88 were for rAAA; (42 rEVARs and 46 rOSRs). Primary technical success (rEVAR 89.1% vs. rOSR 87.8%; P = 0.1), perioperative morbidity (rEVAR 56.5% vs. rOSR 64.3%; P = 0.457), and mortality (rEVAR 26.1% vs. rOSR 28.6%; P = 0.794) were nonsignificantly favorable in rEVAR patients. Freedom from reintervention was significantly lower in rEVAR patients at 3 years (rEVAR 74% vs. rOSR 90%; P = 0.038). Three-year aneurysm-related survival (rEVAR 65% vs. rOSR 62%; P = 0.848) and all-cause survival (rEVAR 56% vs. rOSR 51%; P = 0.577) were higher in rEVAR patients. At 3 years, rEVAR patients had a higher QALY of 1.671 versus OSR of 1.549 (P = 0.502). Operating room (P = 0.001) and total accommodation costs (P = 0.139) were lower in rEVAR patients, while equipment (P < 0.001), surveillance, and reintervention (P < 0.001) costs were higher. Median cost of rEVAR at 3 years was €23,352 vs. €20,494 for OSR (P < 0.084) (power>80%). Median cost per QALY of rEVAR at 3 years was €13,974 vs. €13,230 for rOSR (P = 0.296). ICER for rEVAR versus rOSR was €23,426 (95% confidence interval [CI] < €0 to > €30,000). At 3 years, the area under the curve and 95% CI for Q-TWiST was higher in rEVAR compared with OSR (rEVAR 500.819 vs. rOSR 437.838). CONCLUSIONS: There is no significant difference in cost or QALYs between rEVAR and rOSR even when rEVAR is performed on complex cases outside of IFU (shorter and more angulated necks). There is a significantly higher freedom from secondary intervention in rOSR patients compared with rEVAR patients at 3 years.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Costos de Hospital , Hospitales de Alto Volumen , Evaluación de Procesos y Resultados en Atención de Salud/economía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Aortografía/métodos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Bases de Datos Factuales , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/economía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Supervivencia sin Progresión , Calidad de Vida , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Reoperación/economía , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Resultado del Tratamiento
7.
Int Angiol ; 36(6): 517-525, 2017 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27905693

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Health economic analyses based on randomized trials have shown that screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) cost-effectively decreases AAA-related, as well as all- cause mortality. However, follow-up from implemented screening programmes now reveal substantially changed conditions in terms of prevalence, attendance rate, costs and mortality after intervention. Our aim was to evaluate whether screening for AAA among 65-year-old men is cost-effective based on contemporary data on prevalence and attendance rates from an ongoing AAA screening programme. METHODS: A decision-analytic model, previously used to analyse the cost-effectiveness of an AAA screening programme prior to implementation in clinical practice, was updated using data collected from an implemented screening programme as well as data from contemporary published data and the Swedish register for vascular surgery (Swedvasc). RESULTS: The base-case analysis showed that the cost per life-year gained and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained were €4832 and €6325, respectively. Based on conventional threshold values of cost-effectiveness, the probability of screening being cost-effective was high. CONCLUSION: Despite the reduction of AAA-prevalence and changes in AAA-management over time, screening 65-year-old men for AAA still appears to yield health outcomes at a cost below conventional thresholds of cost-effectiveness.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Calidad de Vida , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Suecia/epidemiología , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares
8.
J Vasc Surg ; 64(3): 811-818.e3, 2016 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27565600

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Aneurysm rupture is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, and evidence suggests shared risk for both abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) and intracranial aneurysms (IAs). We hypothesized that screening for AAA in patients with known IA is cost-effective. METHODS: We used a decision tree model to compare costs and outcomes of AAA screening vs no screening in a hypothetical cohort of patients with IA. We measured expected outcomes using quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). We performed a Monte Carlo simulation and additional sensitivity analyses to assess the effects of ranging base case variables on model outcomes and identified thresholds where a decision alternative dominated the model (both less expensive and more effective than the alternative). RESULTS: In our base case analysis, screening for AAA provided an additional 0.17 QALY (2.5-97.5 percentile: 0.11-0.27 QALY) at a saving of $201 (2.5-97.5 percentile: $-127 to $896). This yielded an ICER of $-1150/QALY (2.5-97.5 percentile: $-4299 to $6374/QALY), that is, screening saves $1150 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this model, screening for AAA in individuals with IA is cost-effective at an ICER of $1150/QALY, well below accepted societal thresholds estimated at $60,000/QALY. Cost-effectiveness of cross-screening in these populations is sensitive to aneurysm coprevalence and risk of rupture. Further prospective study is warranted to validate this finding.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Diagnóstico por Imagen/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Aneurisma Intracraneal/diagnóstico por imagen , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/epidemiología , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Árboles de Decisión , Humanos , Aneurisma Intracraneal/economía , Aneurisma Intracraneal/epidemiología , Modelos Económicos , Método de Montecarlo , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Pronóstico , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/economía
9.
Vasc Endovascular Surg ; 50(3): 147-55, 2016 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26975604

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) remains a critical diagnosis, and research is needed to address outcomes following surgical repair. The purpose of this study was to compare nationwide outcomes for patients who received either endovascular repair (EVAR) or open surgical repair (OSAR) for rAAA. METHODS: The Medicare Provider Analysis and Review file from 2005 to 2009 was used to identify patients diagnosed with rAAA and treated with either EVAR or OSAR. Those patients with both procedures were excluded. Primary outcomes included mortality, postoperative complications, and readmission rates. Secondary outcomes included hospital resource utilization and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: A total of 8480 patients with rAAA who underwent EVAR (n = 1939) or OSAR (n = 6541) were identified. On multivariate regression, the likelihood of dying in the hospital after OSAR compared to EVAR was significantly greater (odds ratio [OR] = 1.95; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.74-2.18). There was significantly greater frequency of postoperative complications after OSAR compared to EVAR (OR = 2.1, 95%CI = 1.86-2.37, P < .0001). Freedom from readmission after OSAR was significantly greater than that after EVAR. Total hospital cost for all services after EVAR was greater than that after OSAR (US$100 875 vs US$89 035; P < .0001), but intensive care unit (ICU) cost for EVAR was significantly less than that for OSAR (US$5516 vs US$8600; P < .0001). Total hospital and ICU LOS were shorter in EVAR compared to OSAR (P < .0001 for both). DISCUSSION: EVAR for rAAA has shown mortality benefits over OSAR as well as reduced ICU and total LOS. This data suggest EVAR is associated with a greater survival benefit, fewer postoperative complications, and may help improve hospital resource utilization.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/economía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , Ahorro de Costo , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Bases de Datos Factuales , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Costos de Hospital , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Tiempo de Internación , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Medicare , Análisis Multivariante , Oportunidad Relativa , Readmisión del Paciente , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos
10.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 50(3): 303-10, 2015 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26001320

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES/BACKGROUND: ECAR (Endovasculaire ou Chirurgie dans les Anévrysmes aorto-iliaques Rompus) is a prospective multicentre randomized controlled trial including consecutive patients with ruptured aorto-iliac aneurysms (rAIA) eligible for treatment by either endovascular (EVAR) or open surgical repair (OSR). Inclusion criteria were hemodynamic stability and computed tomography scan demonstrating aorto-iliac rupture. METHODS: Randomization was done by week, synchronously in all centers. The primary end point was 30 day mortality. Secondary end points were post-operative morbidity, length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU), amount of blood transfused (units) and 6 month mortality. RESULTS: From January 2008 to January 2013, 107 patients (97 men, 10 women; median age 74.4 years) were enrolled in 14 centers: 56 (52.3%) in the EVAR group and 51 (47.7%) in the OSR group. The groups were similar in terms of age, sex, consciousness, systolic blood pressure, Hardman index, IGSII score, type of rupture, use of endoclamping balloon, and levels of troponin, creatinine, and hemoglobin. Delay to treatment was higher in the EVAR group (2.9 vs. 1.3 hours; p < .005). Mortality at 30 days and 1 year were not different between the groups (18% in the EVAR group vs. 24% in the OSR group at 30 days, and 30% vs. 35%, respectively, at 1 year). Total respiratory support time was lower in the EVAR group than in the OSR group (59.3 hours vs. 180.3 hours; p = .007), as were pulmonary complications (15.4% vs. 41.5%, respectively; p = .050), total blood transfusion (6.8 vs. 10.9, respectively; p = .020), and duration of ICU stay (7 days vs. 11.9 days, respectively; p = .010). CONCLUSION: In this study, EVAR was found to be equal to OSR in terms of 30 day and 1 year mortality. However, EVAR was associated with less severe complications and less consumption of hospital resources than OSR.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma Roto/cirugía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Aneurisma Ilíaco/cirugía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma Roto/diagnóstico , Aneurisma Roto/economía , Aneurisma Roto/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Transfusión Sanguínea , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/economía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Francia , Costos de Hospital , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Aneurisma Ilíaco/diagnóstico , Aneurisma Ilíaco/economía , Aneurisma Ilíaco/mortalidad , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Tiempo de Internación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/terapia , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
11.
Br J Surg ; 101(8): 976-82, 2014 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24862963

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Implementation of the National Health Service abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programme (NAAASP) for men aged 65 years began in England in 2009. An important element of the evidence base supporting its introduction was the economic modelling of the long-term cost-effectiveness of screening, which was based mainly on 4-year follow-up data from the Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial. Concern has been expressed about whether this conclusion of cost-effectiveness still holds, given the early performance parameters, particularly the lower prevalence of AAA observed in NAAASP. METHODS: The existing published model was adjusted and updated to reflect the current best evidence. It was recalibrated to mirror the 10-year follow-up data from MASS; the main cost parameters were re-estimated to reflect current practice; and more robust estimates of AAA growth and rupture rates from recent meta-analyses were incorporated, as were key parameters as observed in NAAASP (attendance rates, AAA prevalence and size distributions). RESULTS: The revised and updated model produced estimates of the long-term incremental cost-effectiveness of £5758 (95 per cent confidence interval £4285 to £7410) per life-year gained, or £7370 (£5467 to £9443) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. CONCLUSION: Although the updated parameters, particularly the increased costs and lower AAA prevalence, have increased the cost per QALY, the latest modelling provides evidence that AAA screening as now being implemented in England is still highly cost-effective.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Medicina Estatal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/prevención & control , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico por imagen , Rotura de la Aorta/prevención & control , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Diagnóstico Precoz , Inglaterra , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Modelos Económicos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Ultrasonografía
12.
J Vasc Surg ; 60(3): 553-7, 2014 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24768368

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Patients receiving interfacility transfer to a higher level of medical care for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) are an important minority that are not well characterized and are typically omitted from outcomes and quality indicator studies. Our objective was to compare patients transferred for treatment of rAAAs with those treated without transfer, with particular emphasis on mortality and resource utilization. METHODS: We linked longitudinal data from 2005 to 2010 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) State Inpatient Databases and Emergency Department Databases from California, Florida, and New York. Patients were identified using International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision-Clinical Modification codes. Our main outcome variables were mortality, length of stay, and cost. Data included discharge information on the transfer-out and transfer-in hospital. We used univariate and multivariate analysis to identify variables independently associated with transfer and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Of 4439 rAAA patients identified with intent to treat, 847 (19.1%) were transferred before receiving operative repair. Of those transferred, 141 (17%) died without undergoing AAA repair. By multivariate analysis, increasing age in years (odds ratio [OR] 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-0.99; P < .001), private insurance vs Medicare (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.47-0.80; P < .001), and increasing comorbidities as measured by the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (OR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.86-0.95; P < .001) were negatively associated with transfer. Weekend presentation (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02-1.47; P = .03) was positively associated with transfer. Transfer was associated with a lower operative mortality (adjusted OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.68-0.97; P < .02) but an increased overall mortality when including transferred patients who died without surgery (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.05-1.60; P = .01). Among the transferred patients, there was no significant difference in travel distance between those who survived and those who died (median, 28.7 vs 25.8 miles; P = .07). Length of stay (median, 10 vs 9 days; P = .008), and hospital costs ($161,000 vs $146,000; P = .02) were higher for those transferred. CONCLUSIONS: The survival advantage for patients transferred who received treatment was eclipsed by increased mortality of the transfer process. Including 17% of transferred patients who died without receiving definitive repair, mortality was increased for patients transferred for rAAA repair compared with those not transferred after adjusting for demographic, clinical, and hospital factors. Transferred patients used significantly more hospital resources. Improving systems and guidelines for interfacility transfer may further improve the outcomes for these patients and decrease associated hospital resource utilization.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Transferencia de Pacientes , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Distribución de Chi-Cuadrado , Urgencias Médicas , Femenino , Recursos en Salud/economía , Recursos en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Costos de Hospital , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Oportunidad Relativa , Transferencia de Pacientes/economía , Sistema de Registros , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/economía
13.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 28(6): 1378-83, 2014 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24530712

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To determine the factors contributing to increased rate of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) for elderly poor patients. METHODS: Medicare claims were analyzed for patients who underwent AAA repair from 2006 to 2009 with preoperative abdominal imaging. Repair for ruptured versus intact AAAs was our primary outcome measure. We used logistic regression to determine the relationship between Medicaid eligibility and the risk of rupture, sequentially adding variables related to patient characteristics, socioeconomic status, receipt of preoperative AAA surveillance, and hospital AAA volume. We then estimated the proportional effect of each factor. RESULTS: No differences in rupture were observed in women based on payer status. Medicaid-eligible men were more likely to present with ruptured AAA (odds ratio [OR] 2.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-3.52). After adjusting for patient and hospital factors, the poor remained at higher risk for rupture (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.10-2.26). This disparate risk of rupture was more commonly observed in hospitals treating a higher proportion of Medicaid-eligible patients. We estimate that 36% of the observed disparity in rupture for the elderly poor is explained by patient factors, 27% by gaps in surveillance, 9% by hospital factors, and <1% by socioeconomic factors. CONCLUSIONS: Incomplete preoperative surveillance is a key contributor to increased rupture of AAA in the elderly poor. Efforts aimed at improving disparities must include consistent access to medical care.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Diagnóstico por Imagen , Determinación de la Elegibilidad , Disparidades en Atención de Salud , Medicare , Pobreza , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/diagnóstico , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Diagnóstico por Imagen/economía , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/economía , Hospitales de Alto Volumen , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Medicare/economía , Oportunidad Relativa , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Factores de Tiempo , Estados Unidos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/economía , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/mortalidad
14.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 47(4): 357-65, 2014 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24485841

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The epidemiology and management of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) has changed significantly, with lower prevalence, increased longevity of patients, increased use of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR), and improved outcome. The clinical and health economic effectiveness of one-time screening of 65-year-old men was assessed within this context. METHODS: One-time ultrasound screening of 65-year-old men (invited) versus no screening (control) was analysed in a Markov model. Data on the natural course of AAA (risk of repair and rupture) was based on randomised controlled trials. Screening detected AAA prevalence (1.7%), surgical management (50% EVAR), repair outcome, costs, and long-term survival were based on contemporary population-based data. Incremental cost-efficiency ratios (ICER), absolute and relative risk reduction for death from AAA (ARR, RRR), numbers needed to screen (NNS), and life-years gained were calculated. Annual discounting was 3.5%. RESULTS: In base case at 13-years follow-up the ICER was €14,706 per incremental quality-adjusted life-year (QALY); ARR was 15.1 per 10,000 invited, NNS was 530, and QALYs gained were 56.5 per 10,000 invited. RRR was 42% (from 0.36% in control to 0.21% in invited). In a lifetime analysis the ICER of screening decreased to €7,570/QALY. The parameters with highest impact on the cost-efficiency of screening in the sensitivity analysis were the prevalence of AAA (threshold value <0.5%) and degree of incidental detection in the control cohort. CONCLUSIONS: In the face of recent changes in the management and epidemiology of AAA, screening men for AAA remains cost-effective and delivers significant clinical impact.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/epidemiología , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Anciano , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/epidemiología , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Resultado del Tratamiento
15.
Br J Surg ; 101(3): 208-15, 2014 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24469619

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Minimally invasive endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) could be a surgical technique that improves outcome of patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA). The aim of this study was to analyse the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of EVAR compared with standard open repair (OR) in the treatment of rAAA, with costs per 30-day and 6-month survivor as outcome parameters. METHODS: Resource use was determined from the Amsterdam Acute Aneurysm (AJAX) trial, a multicentre randomized trial comparing EVAR with OR in patients with rAAA. The analysis was performed from a provider perspective. All costs were calculated as if all patients had been treated in the same hospital (Onze Lieve Vrouwe Gasthuis, teaching hospital). RESULTS: A total of 116 patients were randomized. The 30-day mortality rate was 21 per cent after EVAR and 25 per cent for OR: absolute risk reduction (ARR) 4·4 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) -11·0 to 19·7) per cent. At 6 months, the total mortality rate for EVAR was 28 per cent, compared with 31 per cent among those assigned to OR: ARR 2·4 (-14·2 to 19·0) per cent. The mean cost difference between EVAR and OR was €5306 (95 per cent c.i. -1854 to 12,659) at 30 days and €10,189 (-2477 to 24,506) at 6 months. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per prevented death was €120,591 at 30 days and €424,542 at 6 months. There was no significant difference in quality of life between EVAR and OR. Nor was EVAR superior regarding cost-utility. CONCLUSION: EVAR may be more effective for rAAA, but its increased costs mean that it is unaffordable based on current standards of societal willingness-to-pay for health gains.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Enfermedad Aguda , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Costos de Hospital , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Stents/economía , Instrumentos Quirúrgicos/economía
16.
Br J Surg ; 101(3): 225-31, 2014 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24469621

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Emergency endovascular repair (EVAR) for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) may have lower operative mortality rates than open surgical repair. Concerns remain that the early survival benefit after EVAR for rAAA may be offset by late reinterventions. The aim of this study was to compare reintervention rates and cost-effectiveness of EVAR and open repair for rAAA. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was undertaken of patients with rAAA undergoing EVAR or open repair over 6 years. A health economic model developed for the cost-effectiveness of elective EVAR was used in the emergency setting. RESULTS: Sixty-two patients (mean age 77·9 years) underwent EVAR and 85 (mean age 75·9 years) had open repair of rAAA. Median follow-up was 42 and 39 months respectively. There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality rates after EVAR and open repair (18 and 26 per cent respectively; P = 0·243). Reintervention rates were also similar (32 and 31 per cent; P = 0·701). The mean cost per patient was €26,725 for EVAR and €30,297 for open repair, and the cost per life-year gained was €7906 and €9933 respectively (P = 0·561). Open repair had greater initial costs: longer procedural times (217 versus 178·5 min; P < 0·001) and intensive care stay (5·0 versus 1·0 days; P = 0·015). Conversely, EVAR had greater reintervention (€156,939 versus €35,335; P = 0·001) and surveillance (P < 0·001) costs. CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in reintervention rates after EVAR or open repair for rAAA. EVAR was as cost-effective at mid-term follow-up. The increased procedural costs of open repair are not outweighed by greater surveillance and reintervention costs after EVAR.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/economía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Cuidados Críticos/economía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/economía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Estudios Prospectivos , Reoperación/economía , Reoperación/mortalidad , Resultado del Tratamiento
17.
J Vasc Surg ; 59(3): 575-82, 2014 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24342064

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is increasingly used for emergent treatment of ruptured AAA (rAAA). We sought to compare the perioperative and long-term mortality, procedure-related complications, and rates of reintervention of EVAR vs open aortic repair of rAAA in Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS: We examined perioperative and long-term mortality and complications after EVAR or open aortic repair performed for rAAA in all traditional Medicare beneficiaries discharged from a United States hospital from 2001 to 2008. Patients were matched by propensity score on baseline demographics, coexisting conditions, admission source, and hospital volume of rAAA repair. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the effect of bias that might have resulted from unmeasured confounders. RESULTS: Of 10,998 patients with repaired rAAA, 1126 underwent EVAR and 9872 underwent open repair. Propensity score matching yielded 1099 patient pairs. The average age was 78 years, and 72.4% were male. Perioperative mortality was 33.8% for EVAR and 47.7% for open repair (P < .001), and this difference persisted for >4 years. At 36 months, EVAR patients had higher rates of AAA-related reinterventions than open repair patients (endovascular reintervention, 10.9% vs 1.5%; P < .001), whereas open patients had more laparotomy-related complications (incisional hernia repair, 1.8% vs 6.2%; P < .001; all surgical complications, 4.4% vs 9.1%; P < .001). Use of EVAR for rAAA increased from 6% of cases in 2001 to 31% in 2008, whereas during the same interval, overall 30-day mortality for admission for rAAA, regardless of treatment, decreased from 55.8% to 50.9%. CONCLUSIONS: EVAR for rAAA is associated with lower perioperative and long-term mortality in Medicare beneficiaries. Increasing adoption of EVAR for rAAA is associated with an overall decrease in mortality of patients hospitalized for rAAA during the last decade.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Rotura de la Aorta/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Medicare , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/mortalidad , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/mortalidad , Distribución de Chi-Cuadrado , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Procedimientos Endovasculares/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Tiempo de Internación , Masculino , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Puntaje de Propensión , Reoperación , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos
18.
Vasc Health Risk Manag ; 9: 135-41, 2013.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23579199
19.
Br J Surg ; 98(11): 1546-55, 2011 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21725968

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of ultrasound screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in men aged 65 years, for both the Netherlands and Norway. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to simulate life expectancy, quality-adjusted life-years, net health benefits, lifetime costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for both screening and no screening for AAA. The best available evidence was retrieved from the literature and combined with primary data from the two countries separately, and analysed from a national perspective. A threshold willingness-to-pay (WTP) of €20,000 and €62,500 was used for data from the Netherlands and Norway respectively. RESULTS: The additional costs of the screening strategy compared with no screening were €421 (95 per cent confidence interval 33 to 806) per person in the Netherlands, and the additional life-years were 0·097 (-0·180 to 0·365), representing €4340 per life-year. For Norway, the values were €562 (59 to 1078), 0·057 (-0·135 to 0·253) life-years and €9860 per life-year respectively. In Norway the results were sensitive to a decrease in the prevalence of AAA in 65-year-old men to 1 per cent, or lower. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses indicated that AAA screening has a 70 per cent probability of being cost-effective in the Netherlands with a WTP threshold of €20,000, and 70 per cent in Norway with a threshold of €62,500. CONCLUSION: Using this model, screening for AAA in 65-year-old men would be highly cost-effective in both the Netherlands and Norway.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/prevención & control , Rotura de la Aorta/prevención & control , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Anciano , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Países Bajos , Noruega , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida
20.
J Vasc Surg ; 54(3): 628-36, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21620630

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Smoking cessation is one of the few available strategies to decrease the risk for expansion and rupture of small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). The cost-effectiveness of an intensive smoking cessation therapy in patients with small AAAs identified at screening was evaluated. METHODS: A Markov cohort simulation model was used to compare an 8-week smoking cessation intervention with adjuvant pharmacotherapy and annual revisits vs nonintervention among 65-year-old male smokers with a small AAA identified at screening. The smoking cessation rate was tested in one-way sensitivity analyses in the intervention group (range, 22%-57%) and in the nonintervention group (range, 3%-30%). Literature data on the effect of smoking on AAA expansion and rupture was factored into the model. RESULTS: The intervention was cost-effective in all tested scenarios and sensitivity analyses. The smoking cessation intervention was cost-effective due to a decreased need for AAA repair and decreased rupture rate even when disregarding the positive effects of smoking cessation on long-term survival. The incremental cost/effectiveness ratio reached the willingness-to-pay threshold value of €25,000 per life-year gained when assuming an intervention cost of > €3250 or an effect of ≤ 1% difference in long-term smoking cessation between the intervention and nonintervention groups. Smoking cessation resulted in a relative risk reduction for elective AAA repair by 9% and for rupture by 38% over 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: An adequate smoking cessation intervention in patients with small AAAs identified at screening can cost-effectively increase long-term survival and decrease the need for AAA repair.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/economía , Fumar/economía , Anciano , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/etiología , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/terapia , Rotura de la Aorta/economía , Rotura de la Aorta/etiología , Rotura de la Aorta/prevención & control , Simulación por Computador , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Humanos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Modelos Económicos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Sistema de Registros , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Fumar/efectos adversos , Suecia , Factores de Tiempo
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