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1.
Endocrinol Metab (Seoul) ; 39(2): 310-323, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38590123

RESUMEN

BACKGRUOUND: There is debate about ultrasonography screening for thyroid cancer and its cost-effectiveness. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of early screening (ES) versus symptomatic detection (SD) for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in Korea. METHODS: A Markov decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of ES and SD. The model considered direct medical costs, health outcomes, and different diagnostic and treatment pathways. Input data were derived from literature and Korean population studies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 or 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address uncertainties of the model's variables. RESULTS: In a base case scenario with 50 years of follow-up, ES was found to be cost-effective compared to SD, with an ICER of $2,852 per QALY. With WTP set at $100,000, in the case with follow-up less than 10 years, the SD was cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that variables such as lobectomy probability, age, mortality, and utility scores significantly influenced the ICER. Despite variations in costs and other factors, all ICER values remained below the WTP threshold. CONCLUSION: Findings of this study indicate that ES is a cost-effective strategy for DTC screening in the Korean medical system. Early detection and subsequent lobectomy contribute to the cost-effectiveness of ES, while SD at an advanced stage makes ES more cost-effective. Expected follow-up duration should be considered to determine an optimal strategy for DTC screening.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Neoplasias de la Tiroides , Ultrasonografía , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/economía , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/diagnóstico , República de Corea/epidemiología , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Ultrasonografía/economía , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Cadenas de Markov
2.
Surgery ; 171(1): 165-171, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34334213

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Eliciting a normal electromyography signal has been the usual method to confirm the functional integrity of the recurrent laryngeal nerve during intraoperative nerve monitoring. Given that oscillations of the vocal cord can be detected with trans-laryngeal ultrasound when the ipsilateral recurrent laryngeal nerve is stimulated with the endotracheal tube in situ, we aimed to compare the accuracy and cost of this novel method with the conventional electromyography method. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent elective thyroid, parathyroid or neck dissection procedures were included. The NIM-Neuro 3.0 system was used. Endotracheal tube-based surface electrodes were utilized for electromyography signal recording. Standard anesthetic technique was adopted. Recurrent laryngeal nerve integrity was verified by both detection methods (laryngeal ultrasound and electromyography) independently. Vocal cord function was validated by flexible direct laryngoscopy postoperatively. For each method, concurrence with flexible direct laryngoscopy was defined as "true-positive" or "true-negative," based on the presence or absence of vocal cord paresis. Accuracy was calculated as the sum of all true positives and negatives divided by the total of nerves-at-risk. The cost of each method was calculated. RESULTS: One hundred and four patients were eligible. Total number of nerves-at-risk was 155. Based on flexible direct laryngoscopy findings, the test sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of intraoperative laryngeal ultrasound were 75.0%, 99.3%, 85.7%, and 98.6%, respectively, while those of electromyography were 87.5%, 98.0%, 70.0%, and 99.3%, respectively. The prognostic accuracy in laryngeal ultrasound versus electromyography was comparable (98.1% vs 97.4%). The cost of the laryngeal ultrasound per operation was less than electromyography ($82 vs $454). CONCLUSION: Laryngeal ultrasound has a similar detection accuracy to electromyography during intraoperative nerve monitoring. Apart from being a cheaper alternative, laryngeal ultrasound may be useful when there is unexplained loss of electromyography signals during surgery and may play a role in the intraoperative nerve monitoring troubleshooting algorithm.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones Intraoperatorias/prevención & control , Monitoreo Intraoperatorio/métodos , Traumatismos del Nervio Laríngeo Recurrente/prevención & control , Parálisis de los Pliegues Vocales/prevención & control , Adulto , Estimulación Eléctrica , Electromiografía/economía , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Monitoreo Intraoperatorio/economía , Disección del Cuello/efectos adversos , Paratiroidectomía/efectos adversos , Estudios Prospectivos , Traumatismos del Nervio Laríngeo Recurrente/etiología , Glándula Tiroides/inervación , Glándula Tiroides/cirugía , Tiroidectomía/efectos adversos , Ultrasonografía/economía , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Parálisis de los Pliegues Vocales/etiología , Pliegues Vocales/diagnóstico por imagen , Pliegues Vocales/inervación
3.
Surgery ; 171(1): 55-62, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34340823

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Primary hyperparathyroidism historically necessitated bilateral neck exploration to remove abnormal parathyroid tissue. Improved localization allows for focused parathyroidectomy with lower complication risks. Recently, positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine demonstrated high accuracy in detecting these lesions, but its cost-effectiveness has not been studied in the United States. METHODS: A decision tree modeled patients who underwent parathyroidectomy for primary hyperparathyroidism using single preoperative localization modalities: (1) positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine, (2) 4-dimensional computed tomography, (3) ultrasound, and (4) sestamibi single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT). All patients underwent either focused parathyroidectomy versus bilateral neck exploration, with associated cost ($) and clinical outcomes measured in quality-adjusted life-years gained. Model parameters were informed by literature review and Medicare costs. Incremental cost-utility ratios were calculated in US dollars/quality-adjusted life-years gained, with a willingness-to-pay threshold set at $100,000/quality-adjusted life-year. One-way, 2-way, and threshold sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine gained the most quality-adjusted life-years (23.9) and was the costliest ($2,096), with a total treatment cost of $11,245 or $470/quality-adjusted life-year gained. Sestamibi single photon emission computed tomography and ultrasound were dominated strategies. Compared with 4-dimentional computed tomography, the incremental cost-utility ratio for positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine was $91,066/quality-adjusted life-year gained in our base case analysis, which was below the willingness-to-pay threshold. In 1-way sensitivity analysis, the incremental cost-utility ratio was sensitive to test accuracy, positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine price, postoperative complication probabilities, proportion of bilateral neck exploration patients needing overnight hospitalization, and life expectancy. CONCLUSION: Our model elucidates scenarios in which positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine can potentially be a cost-effective imaging option for primary hyperparathyroidism in the United States. Further investigation is needed to determine the maximal cost-effectiveness for positron emission tomography using radiolabeled 18F-fluorocholine in selected populations.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio/estadística & datos numéricos , Hiperparatiroidismo Primario/diagnóstico , Glándulas Paratiroides/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de las Paratiroides/diagnóstico , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/economía , Colina/administración & dosificación , Colina/análogos & derivados , Colina/economía , Radioisótopos de Flúor/administración & dosificación , Radioisótopos de Flúor/economía , Tomografía Computarizada Cuatridimensional/economía , Humanos , Hiperparatiroidismo Primario/economía , Hiperparatiroidismo Primario/etiología , Hiperparatiroidismo Primario/cirugía , Medicare/economía , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Económicos , Glándulas Paratiroides/patología , Glándulas Paratiroides/cirugía , Neoplasias de las Paratiroides/complicaciones , Neoplasias de las Paratiroides/economía , Neoplasias de las Paratiroides/cirugía , Paratiroidectomía , Tomografía Computarizada por Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/economía , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/métodos , Cuidados Preoperatorios/economía , Cuidados Preoperatorios/métodos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Radiofármacos/administración & dosificación , Radiofármacos/economía , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Tecnecio Tc 99m Sestamibi/administración & dosificación , Tecnecio Tc 99m Sestamibi/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Estados Unidos
4.
Urology ; 157: 107-113, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34391774

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To characterize full cycle of care costs for managing an acute ureteral stone using time-driven activity-based costing. METHODS: We defined all phases of care for patients presenting with an acute ureteral stone and built an overarching process map. Maps for sub-processes were constructed through interviews with providers and direct observation of clinical spaces. This facilitated calculation of cost per minute for all aspects of care delivery, which were multiplied by associated process times. These were added to consumable costs to determine cost for each specific step and later aggregated to determine total cost for each sub-process. We compared costs of eight common clinical pathways for acute stone management, defining total cycle of care cost as the sum of all sub-processes that comprised each pathway. RESULTS: Cost per sub-process included $920 for emergency department (ED) care, $1665 for operative stent placement, $2368 for percutaneous nephrostomy tube placement, $106 for urology clinic consultation, $238 for preoperative center visit, $4057 for ureteroscopy with laser lithotripsy (URS), $2923 for extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy, $169 for clinic stent removal, $197 for abdominal x-ray, and $166 for ultrasound. The lowest cost pathway ($1388) was for medical expulsive therapy, whereas the most expensive pathway ($8002) entailed a repeat ED visit prompting temporizing stent placement and interval URS. CONCLUSION: We found a high degree of cost variation between care pathways common to management of acute ureteral stone episodes. Reliable cost accounting data and an understanding of variability in clinical pathway costs can inform value-based care redesign as payors move away from pure fee-for-service reimbursement.


Asunto(s)
Costos de la Atención en Salud , Cálculos Ureterales/economía , Cálculos Ureterales/terapia , Enfermedad Aguda , Costos y Análisis de Costo/métodos , Remoción de Dispositivos/economía , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/economía , Humanos , Litotripsia por Láser/economía , Nefrostomía Percutánea/economía , Cuidados Preoperatorios/economía , Implantación de Prótesis/economía , Radiografía Abdominal/economía , Derivación y Consulta/economía , Stents/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Cálculos Ureterales/diagnóstico por imagen , Ureteroscopía/economía
5.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 76: 179-184, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34153493

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The use of radiographic evaluation of carotid disease may vary, and current guidelines do not strongly recommend the use of cross-sectional imaging (CSI) prior to surgical intervention. We sought to describe the trends in preoperative carotid imaging and evaluate the associated clinical outcomes and Medicare payments for patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA) for asymptomatic carotid disease. METHODS: We used a 20% Medicare sample from 2006 to 2014 identifying patients undergoing CEA for asymptomatic disease. We evaluated preoperative carotid ultrasound and CSI use: CT or MRI of the neck prior to CEA. We calculated average payments of each study from the carrier file and revenue center file. Imaging payments included both the professional component (PC) and the technical component (TC). Claims with a reimbursement of $0 and studies where payment for both the TC and PC could not be identified were excluded from the overall calculation to determine average payment per study. Inpatient reimbursements according to DRG 37-39 were calculated. We compared hospital length of stay (LOS), in hospital stroke, carotid re-exploration, and mortality according to CSI use. RESULTS: A total of 58,993 CEAs were identified with pre-operative carotid imaging. The average age was 74.8 ± 7.5 years, and 56.0% were men. A total of 19,678 (33%) patients had ultrasound alone with an average of (2.4 ± 1.9) exams prior to CEA. A total of 39,315 patients underwent CSI prior to CEA with 2.5 ± 2.1 ultrasounds, 0.95 ± 0.86 neck CTs and 0.47 ± 0.7 MRIs per patient. The average payment for ultrasound was $140 ± 40, $282 ± 94 for CT and $410 ± 146 for MRI. The average inpatient reimbursements were $7,413 ± 4,215 for patients without CSI compared with $7,792 ± 3,921 for patients with CSI, P < 0.001. The average LOS during CEA admission was 2.5 ± 3.7days. Patients with CSI had a slightly lower percentage of patients being discharged by postoperative day 2 compared with ultrasound alone (88.9% vs. 91.5%, respectively, P < 0.001). The overall in-hospital stroke rate was 0.38% and carotid re-exploration rate was 1.0% and there was no statistical significant difference between groups. Median follow-up was 3.9 years, and mortality at 8 years was 50% and did not statistically differ between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis found preoperative imaging to include CSI in nearly two-thirds of patients prior to CEA for asymptomatic disease. As imaging and inpatient payments were higher with patients with CSI further work is needed to understand when CSI is appropriate prior to surgical intervention to appropriately allocate healthcare resources.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/economía , Endarterectomía Carotidea/economía , Costos de Hospital , Reembolso de Seguro de Salud/economía , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/economía , Medicare/economía , Evaluación de Procesos y Resultados en Atención de Salud/economía , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Asintomáticas , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/mortalidad , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/cirugía , Toma de Decisiones Clínicas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Endarterectomía Carotidea/efectos adversos , Endarterectomía Carotidea/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación/economía , Masculino , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Reoperación/economía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos
6.
Am J Emerg Med ; 49: 233-239, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34146922

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to describe the design and impact of a point-of-care ultrasound (PoCUS) workflow integrated into the electronic medical record (EMR) on PoCUS utilization, documentation compliance, and resultant revenue potential. METHODS: This was a single-center retrospective study at an academic center. The study period spanned from December 1, 2018 to June 30, 2019 (pre-implementation) to August 1, 2019 to February 29, 2020 (post-implementation). The implementation date was July 11, 2019 at which time a PoCUS workflow was integrated into the EMR in the emergency department without the purchase of middleware. Prior to this new workflow, a non-automated workflow was in place. PoCUS scan data were extracted from the EMR and archived examinations. The mean number of PoCUS examinations performed per month per 100 ED visits before and after implementation of the new workflow were compared using an unpaired t-test, stratified by all health care professionals, and attending physicians alone. The rate of documentation compliance before and after implementation of the new workflow were compared using a chi square contingency test. Potential revenue was calculated for each period by multiplying the number of eligible examinations by the respective 2020 Medicare conversion factor Relative Value Units. RESULTS: Utilization of PoCUS from pre-implementation to post-implementation increased 28.7% from 5.01 to 6.45 mean examinations per month per 100 ED visits by all health care professionals (p = 0.063), and 75.1% from 2.01 to 3.52 by attending physicians (p = 0.0001). Examinations in compliance with workflow requirements increased from 153 (14.7%) to 1307 (94.0%). The rate of workflow compliance improved from 14.7% to 94.0% of examinations (p < 0.0001). Potential revenue increased from $546.01 to $22,014.47. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of a middleware-free PoCUS workflow at our institution was associated with increased PoCUS utilization, documentation compliance, and potential revenue.


Asunto(s)
Guías como Asunto/normas , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Adhesión a Directriz , Humanos , Sistemas de Atención de Punto/economía , Sistemas de Atención de Punto/normas , Sistemas de Atención de Punto/estadística & datos numéricos , Ultrasonografía/economía , Ultrasonografía/instrumentación
7.
Value Health ; 24(4): 513-521, 2021 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33840429

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Fetal growth restriction is a major risk factor for stillbirth. A routine late-pregnancy ultrasound scan could help detect this, allowing intervention to reduce the risk of stillbirth. Such a scan could also detect fetal presentation and predict macrosomia. A trial powered to detect stillbirth differences would be extremely large and expensive. OBJECTIVES: It is therefore critical to know whether this would be a good investment of public research funds. The aim of this study is to estimate the cost-effectiveness of various late-pregnancy screening and management strategies based on current information and predict the return on investment from further research. METHODS: Synthesis of current evidence structured into a decision model reporting expected costs, quality-adjusted life-years, and net benefit over 20 years and value-of-information analysis reporting predicted return on investment from future clinical trials. RESULTS: Given a willingness to pay of £20 000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, the most cost-effective strategy is a routine presentation-only scan for all women. Universal ultrasound screening for fetal size is unlikely to be cost-effective. Research exploring the cost implications of induction of labor has the greatest predicted return on investment. A randomized, controlled trial with an endpoint of stillbirth is extremely unlikely to be a value for money investment. CONCLUSION: Given current value-for-money thresholds in the United Kingdom, the most cost-effective strategy is to offer all pregnant women a presentation-only scan in late pregnancy. A randomized, controlled trial of screening and intervention to reduce the risk of stillbirth following universal ultrasound to detect macrosomia or fetal growth restriction is unlikely to represent a value for money investment.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones del Embarazo/diagnóstico por imagen , Complicaciones del Embarazo/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Método de Montecarlo , Paridad , Embarazo , Tercer Trimestre del Embarazo , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/economía , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Reino Unido
8.
Plast Reconstr Surg ; 147(4): 894-902, 2021 04 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33755651

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Despite previous studies demonstrating the benefit of office-based ultrasonography for musculoskeletal evaluation, many hand surgery clinics have yet to adopt this practice. The authors conducted a cost-benefit analysis of establishing an ultrasound machine in a hand clinic. METHODS: The authors used the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule, Physician/Supplier Procedure Summary, and Physician Compare National Downloadable File databases to estimate provider reimbursement and annual frequency of office-based upper extremity-related ultrasound procedures. Ultrasound machine cost, maintenance fees, and consumable supply prices were gleaned from the literature. The primary outcomes were net cost-benefit difference and benefit-cost ratio at 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years after implementation. Sensitivity analyses were performed by varying factors that influence the net cost-benefit difference. RESULTS: The estimated total initial expense to establish ultrasonography in the clinic was $53,985. The overall cost-benefit difference was -$49,530 per practice at the end of the first year (benefit-cost ratio, 0.3), -$1049 after 5 years (benefit-cost ratio, 1.0), and $52,022 after 10 years (benefit-cost ratio, 1.4). Benefits primarily accrued because of physician reimbursements. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed machine price, annual procedure volume, and reimbursement rate as the most influential parameters in determining the benefit-cost ratio. Ultrasonography was cost beneficial when the machine price was less than $46,000 or if the billing frequency exceeded six times per week. A societal perspective analysis demonstrated a large net benefit of $218,162 after 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of office-based ultrasound imaging can result in a positive financial return on investment. Ultrasound machine cost and procedural volume were the most critical factors influencing benefit-cost ratio.


Asunto(s)
Instituciones de Atención Ambulatoria/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Mano/diagnóstico por imagen , Pruebas en el Punto de Atención/economía , Humanos , Ultrasonografía/economía
9.
J Surg Res ; 264: 37-44, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33765509

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The frequency and cost of postoperative surveillance for older adults (>65 y) with T1N0M0 low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) have not been well studied. METHODS: Using the SEER-Medicare (2006-2013) database, frequency and cost of surveillance concordant with American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines (defined as an office visit, ≥1 thyroglobulin measurement, and ultrasound 6- to 24-month postoperatively) were analyzed for the overall cohort of single-surgery T1N0M0 low-risk PTC, stratified by lobectomy versus total thyroidectomy. RESULTS: Majority of 2097 patients in the study were white (86.7%) and female (77.5%). Median age and tumor size were 72 y (interquartile range 68-76) and 0.6 cm (interquartile range 0.3-1.1 cm), respectively; 72.9% of patients underwent total thyroidectomy. Approximately 77.5% of patients had a postoperative surveillance visit; however, only 15.9% of patients received ATA-concordant surveillance. Patients who underwent total thyroidectomy as compared with lobectomy were more likely to undergo surveillance testing, thyroglobulin (61.7% versus 24.8%) and ultrasound (37.5% versus 29.2%) (all P < 0.01), and receive ATA-concordant surveillance (18.5% versus 9.0%, P < 0.001). Total surveillance cost during the study period was $621,099. Diagnostic radioactive iodine, ablation, and advanced imaging (such as positron emission tomography scans) accounted for 55.5% of costs ($344,692), whereas ATA-concordant care accounted for 44.5% of costs. After multivariate adjustment, patients who underwent total thyroidectomy as compared with lobectomy were twice as likely to receive ATA-concordant surveillance (adjusted odds ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval: 1.5-2.8, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Majority of older adults with T1N0M0 low-risk PTC do not receive ATA-concordant surveillance; discordant care was costly. Total thyroidectomy was the strongest predictor of receiving ATA-concordant care.


Asunto(s)
Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/diagnóstico , Cáncer Papilar Tiroideo/cirugía , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/cirugía , Tiroidectomía/estadística & datos numéricos , Espera Vigilante/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Radioisótopos de Yodo/administración & dosificación , Masculino , Medicare/economía , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/sangre , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/prevención & control , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/economía , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/normas , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/estadística & datos numéricos , Cuidados Posoperatorios/economía , Cuidados Posoperatorios/normas , Cuidados Posoperatorios/estadística & datos numéricos , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Programa de VERF/estadística & datos numéricos , Tiroglobulina/sangre , Cáncer Papilar Tiroideo/sangre , Cáncer Papilar Tiroideo/diagnóstico , Cáncer Papilar Tiroideo/economía , Glándula Tiroides/diagnóstico por imagen , Glándula Tiroides/patología , Glándula Tiroides/cirugía , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/sangre , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/economía , Tiroidectomía/métodos , Ultrasonografía/economía , Ultrasonografía/normas , Ultrasonografía/estadística & datos numéricos , Estados Unidos , Espera Vigilante/economía , Espera Vigilante/normas
10.
BJU Int ; 128(5): 575-585, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33528886

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To compare health-economic aspects of multiple imaging modalities used to monitor renal cysts, the present study evaluates costs and outcomes of patients with Bosniak IIF and III renal cysts detected and followed-up by either contrast-enhanced computed tomography (ceCT), contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (ceMRI), or contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A simulation using Markov models was implemented and performed with 10 cycles of 1 year each. Proportionate cohorts were allocated to Markov models by a decision tree processing specific incidences of malignancy and levels of diagnostic performance. Costs of imaging and surgical treatment were investigated using internal data of a European university hospital. Multivariate probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to confirm results considering input value uncertainties. Patient outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALY), and costs as averages per patient including costs of imaging and surgical treatment. RESULTS: Compared to the 'gold standard' of ceCT, ceMRI was more effective but also more expensive, with a resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) >€70 000 (Euro) per QALY gained. CEUS was dominant compared to ceCT in both Bosniak IIF and III renal cysts in terms of QALYs and costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed these results in the majority of iterations. CONCLUSION: Both ceMRI and CEUS can be used as alternatives to ceCT in the diagnosis and follow-up of intermediately complex cystic renal lesions without compromising effectiveness, while CEUS is clearly cost-effective. The economic results apply to a large university hospital and must be adapted for smaller hospitals.


Asunto(s)
Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Renales Quísticas/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Renales/diagnóstico por imagen , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/economía , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Anciano , Medios de Contraste , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Hospitales Universitarios/economía , Humanos , Enfermedades Renales Quísticas/cirugía , Neoplasias Renales/economía , Neoplasias Renales/cirugía , Cadenas de Markov , Persona de Mediana Edad , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida
11.
Can Assoc Radiol J ; 72(3): 398-403, 2021 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32364410

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To assess the appropriateness of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening with ultrasound (US) and potential cost savings by adhering to guidelines and reviewing prior imaging. METHODS: Screening aortic US performed in Nova Scotia from January 1 to April 30, 2019, were reviewed. Patient sex, age, risk factors, and study result (negative, <2.5 cm; ectatic, 2.5-2.9 cm; positive for AAA, ≥3 cm) were recorded. Previous imaging tests were reviewed for the presence/absence of aortic ectasia or aneurysm. Appropriateness was based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care (CTFPHC) and the Canadian Society of Vascular Surgery (CSVS) guidelines. The number of potentially averted US, subsequent missed positive findings, and cost savings (over the 4-month period) were calculated according to: 1) each guideline; and 2) each guideline combined with review of imaging done 0 to 5 years and 0 to 10 years previously. RESULTS: There were 17 (4.6%) of 369 ectatic aortas and 18 (4.9%) of 369 AAAs. The number of potentially averted examinations, missed ectatic aortas, missed AAAs, and cost savings were as follows, respectively: CTFPHC, 222 (60.2%) of 369, 8, 7, and CAD$20 501.70; CSVS, 117 (31.7%) of 369, 4, 2, and CAD$10 804.95. The model that would yield the greatest cost savings and fewest missed positive findings was the combination of CSVS guidelines with review of prior imaging within 5 years; this would avert 189 (51.2%) of 369 examinations, save CAD$17 454.15 over 4 months, and miss only 2 AAAs and 2 ectatic aortas. CONCLUSION: Over half of aortic US screening tests can be safely averted by adhering to CSVS guidelines and reviewing imaging performed within 5 years.


Asunto(s)
Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Ahorro de Costo/estadística & datos numéricos , Adhesión a Directriz/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aorta Abdominal/patología , Dilatación Patológica/diagnóstico por imagen , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Uso Excesivo de los Servicios de Salud/economía , Uso Excesivo de los Servicios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diagnóstico Erróneo/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Económicos , Selección de Paciente , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto
12.
Rheumatology (Oxford) ; 60(4): 1832-1838, 2021 04 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33123731

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of the routine use of musculoskeletal ultrasound (MSUS) in rheumatology clinics by comparing one clinic with on-site MSUS (REU 1) and four clinics without this resource, which need to refer patients for the MSUS exams (REU 2-5). METHODS: The electronic medical records of all new patients at five rheumatology clinics during a 12-month period were reviewed. The impact of MSUS was analysed by comparing the percentage of direct discharges of patients from the different clinics, as an outcome of effectiveness, and the number and cost of radiology referrals for imaging exams (MSUS and MRI), as an outcome of cost-saving. RESULTS: The medical records of 4923 patients were included in the study, distributed as follows: REU 1, 1464 (29.7%); REU 2, 1042 (21.2%); REU 3, 1089 (22.1%); REU 4, 579 (11.8%); and REU 5, 749 (15.2%). There were more direct discharges from REU 1 (34.4%) than from REU 2-5 (15.6%) (P<0.001). REU 1 made radiological referrals for X-rays, MRIs or MSUS exams in 773 (52.8%) patients, compared with 2626 (75.9%) patients in REU 2-5 (P<0.001). An estimation of costs for the clinical assessment of 1000 new patients revealed a cost-saving in REU 1 of €21 413 in MSUS and of €877 in MRI exams. CONCLUSION: The implementation of on-site MSUS in a new-patient rheumatology clinic is cost-effective, facilitating the direct discharge of patients and reducing the number and cost of radiological referrals for imaging exams.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Musculoesqueléticas/diagnóstico por imagen , Servicio Ambulatorio en Hospital/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Estudios de Cohortes , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Derivación y Consulta/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , España
13.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 104(2): 478-486, 2020 12 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33319731

RESUMEN

Critically ill parturients have an increased risk of developing pulmonary complications. Lung ultrasound (LUS) could be effective in addressing the cause of respiratory distress in resource-limited settings with high maternal mortality. We aimed to determine the frequency, timing of appearance, and type of pulmonary complications in critically ill parturients in an obstetric unit in Sierra Leone. In this prospective observational study, LUS examinations were performed on admission, after 24 and 48 hours, and in case of respiratory deterioration. Primary endpoint was the proportion of parturients with one or more pulmonary complications, stratified for the presence of respiratory distress. Secondary endpoints included timing and types of complications, and their association with "poor outcome," defined as a composite of transfer for escalation of care or death. Of 166 patients enrolled, 35 patients (21% [95% CI: 15-28]) had one or more pulmonary complications, the majority diagnosed on admission. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (period prevalence 4%) and hydrostatic pulmonary edema (4%) were only observed in patients with respiratory distress. Pneumonia (2%), atelectasis (10%), and pleural effusion (7%) were present, irrespective of respiratory distress. When ultrasound excluded pulmonary complications, respiratory distress was related to anemia or metabolic acidosis. Pulmonary complications were associated with an increased risk of poor outcome (odds ratio: 5.0; 95% CI: 1.7-14.6; P = 0.003). In critically ill parturients in a resource-limited obstetric unit, LUS contributed to address the cause of respiratory distress by identifying or excluding pulmonary complications. These were associated with a poor outcome.


Asunto(s)
Pulmón/diagnóstico por imagen , Pulmón/fisiopatología , Complicaciones del Embarazo/diagnóstico por imagen , Ultrasonografía/normas , Adulto , Enfermedad Crítica/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Neumonía/diagnóstico por imagen , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos , Edema Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/diagnóstico por imagen , Sierra Leona , Ultrasonografía/economía , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Adulto Joven
14.
PLoS One ; 15(10): e0240867, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33079971

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver ultrasound scan (US) use in diagnosing Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) causes costs and waiting lists overloads. We aimed to compare various Machine learning algorithms with a Meta learner approach to find the best of these as a predictor of NAFLD. METHODS: The study included 2970 subjects, 2920 constituting the training set and 50, randomly selected, used in the test phase, performing cross-validation. The best predictors were combined to create three models: 1) FLI plus GLUCOSE plus SEX plus AGE, 2) AVI plus GLUCOSE plus GGT plus SEX plus AGE, 3) BRI plus GLUCOSE plus GGT plus SEX plus AGE. Eight machine learning algorithms were trained with the predictors of each of the three models created. For these algorithms, the percent accuracy, variance and percent weight were compared. RESULTS: The SVM algorithm performed better with all models. Model 1 had 68% accuracy, with 1% variance and an algorithm weight of 27.35; Model 2 had 68% accuracy, with 1% variance and an algorithm weight of 33.62 and Model 3 had 77% accuracy, with 1% variance and an algorithm weight of 34.70. Model 2 was the most performing, composed of AVI plus GLUCOSE plus GGT plus SEX plus AGE, despite a lower percentage of accuracy. CONCLUSION: A Machine Learning approach can support NAFLD diagnosis and reduce health costs. The SVM algorithm is easy to apply and the necessary parameters are easily retrieved in databases.


Asunto(s)
Aprendizaje Automático , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/diagnóstico , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Algoritmos , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Glucosa/metabolismo , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Ultrasonografía/economía
15.
Am J Otolaryngol ; 41(6): 102659, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32799041

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Peritonsillar abscess (PTA) is a very common infection, in particular in pediatric and adolescent population. A distinction between peritonsillar cellulitis and abscess should be made to determine the appropriate treatment. Nonetheless, the difference cannot always be made on physical examination alone and often requires imaging by computed tomography (CT). Radiation exposure as well as the cost and waiting time question the use of CT in this pathology. We present our experience in the use of Transcutaneous Cervical Ultrasonography for the diagnosis and management of peritonsillar abscess in the adult population. STUDY DESIGN: Clinical-prospective. METHODS: Adult patients were evaluated for suspicion of PTA. Clinical findings were documented and all patients underwent a Transcutaneous Cervical Ultrasonography performed by a second otorhinolaryngology specialist well versed in Ultrasonography without knowing the clinical history, details of the physical examination, or the suspected side. Ultrasonography findings were later compared with the clinical examination and outcome of the medical or surgical management. RESULTS: Eight adult patients (range 18-53 year-old) were enrolled in the study. Six of them, had, ultrasonography findings compatible with a peritonsillar liquid collection underwent surgical drainage that confirmed and drained an abscess. On two patients, the ultrasonography images described an aspect of peritonsillar cellulitis that was managed conservatively and showed a favorable remission. No complications during stay or side effects or intolerance to the ultrasound were recorded. CONCLUSION: Transcutaneous Cervical ultrasonography is a fast, useful tool, better tolerated than the intra-oral ultrasonography in diagnosing PTA. It avoids all irradiation exposure is much cheaper and the waiting time is shorter. Worth noting, is the richness of information pertaining the anatomy, vessels and abscess location and extension, for the surgeon performing the exam just prior to surgery. The efficiency and training of otorhinolaryngology specialists with this technique shows numerous promising benefits and deserves to be further developed.


Asunto(s)
Otorrinolaringólogos , Absceso Peritonsilar/diagnóstico por imagen , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Celulitis (Flemón)/diagnóstico por imagen , Ahorro de Costo , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Drenaje , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Absceso Peritonsilar/cirugía , Estudios Prospectivos , Tonsilitis/diagnóstico por imagen , Ultrasonografía/economía , Adulto Joven
16.
Pancreas ; 49(8): 1052-1056, 2020 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32769852

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess cost-effectiveness of abdominal ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging, endoscopic ultrasound, computed tomography, positron emission tomography, and no screening for pancreatic cancer screening in familial high-risk individuals (HRIs). METHODS: We developed decision trees with Markov models for a hypothetical cohort of familial HRIs at the age of 50 year using a healthcare sector perspective and a lifetime horizon. Main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS: In a base-case analysis, abdominal ultrasound was the most cost-effective (US $11,035, 17.4875 QALYs). Magnetic resonance imaging yielded the best benefits. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to the incidence of pancreatic cancer. Endoscopic ultrasound was more cost-effective than abdominal ultrasound when the incidence of pancreatic cancer was greater than 0.008 and under 0.016. Magnetic resonance imaging was more cost-effective than endoscopic ultrasound when the incidence of pancreatic cancer was greater than 0.016. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte-Carlo simulation for 10,000 trials demonstrated that abdominal ultrasound was cost-effective 76% of the time at a willingness-to-pay threshold of US $50,000/QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Abdominal ultrasound is the most cost-effective and recommended for pancreatic cancer screening in familial HRIs in Japan. Evaluating the risk of pancreatic cancer among familial HRIs as a target for screening is significant.


Asunto(s)
Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/economía , Páncreas/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/diagnóstico , Ultrasonografía/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Endosonografía/métodos , Femenino , Humanos , Japón , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/métodos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/métodos , Factores de Riesgo , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Ultrasonografía/métodos
17.
Invest Radiol ; 55(9): 559-572, 2020 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32776766

RESUMEN

Ultrasound is the most widely used medical imaging modality worldwide. It is abundant, extremely safe, portable, and inexpensive. In this review, we consider some of the current development trends for ultrasound imaging, which build upon its current strength and the popularity it experiences among medical imaging professional users.Ultrasound has rapidly expanded beyond traditional radiology departments and cardiology practices. Computing power and data processing capabilities of commonly available electronics put ultrasound systems in a lab coat pocket or on a user's mobile phone. Taking advantage of new contributions and discoveries in ultrasound physics, signal processing algorithms, and electronics, the performance of ultrasound systems and transducers have progressed in terms of them becoming smaller, with higher imaging performance, and having lower cost. Ultrasound operates in real time, now at ultrafast speeds; kilohertz frame rates are already achieved by many systems.Ultrasound has progressed beyond anatomical imaging and monitoring blood flow in large vessels. With clinical approval of ultrasound contrast agents (gas-filled microbubbles) that are administered in the bloodstream, tissue perfusion studies are now routine. Through the use of modern ultrasound pulse sequences, individual microbubbles, with subpicogram mass, can be detected and observed in real time, many centimeters deep in the body. Ultrasound imaging has broken the wavelength barrier; by tracking positions of microbubbles within the vasculature, superresolution imaging has been made possible. Ultrasound can now trace the smallest vessels and capillaries, and obtain blood velocity data in those vessels.Molecular ultrasound imaging has now moved closer to clinic; the use of microbubbles with a specific affinity to endothelial biomarkers allows selective accumulation and retention of ultrasound contrast in the areas of ischemic injury, inflammation, or neoangiogenesis. This will aid in noninvasive molecular imaging and may provide additional help with real-time guidance of biopsy, surgery, and ablation procedures.The ultrasound field can be tightly focused inside the body, many centimeters deep, with millimeter precision, and ablate lesions by energy deposition, with thermal or mechanical bioeffects. Some of such treatments are already in clinical use, with more indications progressing through the clinical trial stage. In conjunction with intravascular microbubbles, focused ultrasound can be used for tissue-specific drug delivery; localized triggered release of sequestered drugs from particles in the bloodstream may take time to get to clinic. A combination of intravascular microbubbles with circulating drug and low-power ultrasound allows transient opening of vascular endothelial barriers, including blood-brain barrier; this approach has reached clinical trial stage. Therefore, the drugs that normally would not be getting to the target tissue in the brain will now have an opportunity to produce therapeutic efficacy.Overall, medical ultrasound is developing at a brisk rate, even in an environment where other imaging modalities are also advancing rapidly and may be considered more lucrative. With all the current advances that we discuss, and many more to come, ultrasound may help solve many problems that modern medicine is facing.


Asunto(s)
Costos y Análisis de Costo , Seguridad , Terapia por Ultrasonido/métodos , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Humanos , Terapia por Ultrasonido/efectos adversos , Terapia por Ultrasonido/economía , Ultrasonografía/efectos adversos , Ultrasonografía/economía
18.
Ann Emerg Med ; 76(5): 609-614, 2020 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32653329

RESUMEN

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Point-of-care ultrasonography allows rapid diagnosis in the emergency department. A previous study found that a low prevalence of emergency medicine clinicians received point-of-care ultrasonography reimbursement in 2012 (0.7%). We determine nationwide point-of-care ultrasonography reimbursement patterns for 4 subsequent years. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study using 2012 to 2016 data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Fee-for-Service Provider Utilization and Payment Data Part B, defining point-of-care ultrasonographic examinations using Current Procedural Terminology codes. The emergency medicine workforce was defined by emergency medicine, family medicine, internal medicine, critical care, and advanced practice providers who received emergency medicine-specific reimbursements. We compared patterns of point-of-care ultrasonography reimbursement among emergency physicians in 2012 versus 2016 through a 2-sample test of proportions. RESULTS: In 2012, 342 (0.7% of total) emergency medicine workforce clinicians were reimbursed for diagnostic point-of-care ultrasonography versus 801 (1.3%) in 2016. Emergency physicians represented an increasing proportion of the total workforce, increasing from 86.0% (95% confidence interval 82.3% to 89.6%) in 2012 (N=294) to 94.6% (95% confidence interval 93.1% to 96.2%) in 2016 (N=758). From 2012 to 2016, total point-of-care ultrasonography reimbursements increased from 13,697 to 31,717, with significant growth from echocardiograms (4,127 to 14,978), abdominal examinations (3,682 to 7,140), and thoracic examinations (801 to 5,278). CONCLUSION: The proportion of emergency medicine workforce clinicians receiving diagnostic point-of-care ultrasonography reimbursements, as well as the number of point-of-care ultrasonographic studies, more than doubled from 2012 to 2016. Efforts are needed to understand barriers to adoption of point-of-care ultrasonography because only a small proportion of the emergency medicine clinician workforce was reimbursed in any year.


Asunto(s)
Medicina de Emergencia/economía , Reembolso de Seguro de Salud/tendencias , Medicare/tendencias , Sistemas de Atención de Punto/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Estudios Transversales , Medicina de Emergencia/tendencias , Personal de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Medicare/economía , Sistemas de Atención de Punto/tendencias , Ultrasonografía/tendencias , Estados Unidos
19.
Ann R Coll Surg Engl ; 102(8): 598-600, 2020 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32538107

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Common bile duct stones are present in 10% of patients with symptomatic gallstones. One-third of UK patients undergoing cholecystectomy will have preoperative ductal imaging, commonly with magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography. Intraoperative laparoscopic ultrasound is a valid alternative but is not widely used. The primary aim of this study was to assess cost effectiveness of laparoscopic ultrasound compared with magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A prospective database of all patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy between 2015 and 2018 at a district general hospital was assessed. Inclusion criteria were all patients, emergency and elective, with symptomatic gallstones and suspicion of common bile duct stones (derangement of liver function tests with or without dilated common bile duct on preoperative ultrasound, or history of pancreatitis). Patients with known common bile duct stones (magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography or failed endoscopic retrograde cholangiogram) were excluded. Ninety-day morbidity data were also collected. RESULTS: A total of 420 (334 elective and 86 emergency) patients were suspected to have common bile duct stones and were included in the study. The cost of a laparoscopic ultrasound was £183 per use. The cost of using the magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography unit was £365 per use. Ten postoperative magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatographies were performed for inconclusive intraoperative imaging. The estimated cost saving was £74,650. Some 128 patients had common bile duct stones detected intraoperatively and treated. There was a false positive rate of 4.7%, and the false negative rate at 90 days was 0.7%. laparoscopic ultrasound use saved 129 bed days for emergency patients and 240 magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography hours of magnetic resonance imaging. CONCLUSION: The use of laparoscopic ultrasound during laparoscopic cholecystectomy for the detection of common bile duct stone is safe, accurate and cost effective. Equipment and maintenance costs are quickly offset and hospital bed days can be saved with its use.


Asunto(s)
Colecistectomía Laparoscópica , Coledocolitiasis , Cuidados Intraoperatorios/economía , Laparoscopía/economía , Ultrasonografía/economía , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pancreatocolangiografía por Resonancia Magnética , Colecistectomía Laparoscópica/efectos adversos , Colecistectomía Laparoscópica/métodos , Colecistectomía Laparoscópica/estadística & datos numéricos , Coledocolitiasis/diagnóstico por imagen , Coledocolitiasis/cirugía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Cálculos Biliares/diagnóstico por imagen , Cálculos Biliares/cirugía , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
20.
Am J Gastroenterol ; 115(10): 1642-1649, 2020 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32530829

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The value of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is defined by the balance of benefits, i.e., early tumor detection, and potential harms, related to false positive and indeterminate results. Although physical harms can be observed in 15%-20% of patients with cirrhosis undergoing HCC surveillance, previous cost-effectiveness analyses have not incorporated costs of harms. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of HCC surveillance including both benefits and harms. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model to compare surveillance strategies of ultrasound (US) alone, US and alpha fetoprotein (AFP), and no surveillance in 1 million simulated patients with compensated cirrhosis. Harms included imaging and biopsy in patients undergoing surveillance for HCC. Model inputs were based on literature review, and costs were derived from the Medicare fee schedule, with all costs inflated to 2018 dollars. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per incremental quality-adjusted life-year. RESULTS: In the base case analysis, US with AFP was the dominant strategy over both US alone and no surveillance. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, US with AFP was the most cost-effective strategy in 80.1% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. In our threshold analyses, an HCC incidence >0.4% per year and surveillance adherence >19.5% biannually were necessary for US with AFP to be cost-effective compared with no surveillance. DISCUSSION: Accounting for both surveillance-related benefits and harms, US and AFP is more cost-effective for HCC surveillance than US alone or no surveillance in patients with compensated cirrhosis.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Cirrosis Hepática/terapia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico , Ultrasonografía/métodos , alfa-Fetoproteínas/metabolismo , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/economía , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/etiología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/metabolismo , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Humanos , Hígado/diagnóstico por imagen , Hígado/patología , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Neoplasias Hepáticas/economía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/etiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/metabolismo , Cadenas de Markov , Daño del Paciente , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Ultrasonografía/economía , Estados Unidos
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