Association between amount of biventricular pacing and heart failure status measured by a multisensor implantable defibrillator algorithm.

Background: Achieving a high biventricular pacing percentage (BiV%) is crucial for optimizing outcomes in cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). The HeartLogic index, a multiparametric heart failure (HF) risk score, incorporates implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD)-measured variables and has demonstrated its predictive ability for impending HF decompensation. Objective: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between daily BiV% in CRT ICD patients and their HF status, assessed using the HeartLogic algorithm. Methods: The HeartLogic algorithm was activated in 306 patients across 26 centers, with a median follow-up of 26 months (25th-75th percentile: 15-37). Results: During the follow-up period, 619 HeartLogic alerts were recorded in 186 patients. Overall, daily values associated with the best clinical status (highest first heart sound, intrathoracic impedance, patient activity; lowest combined index, third heart sound, respiration rate, night heart rate) were associated with a BiV% exceeding 99%. We identified 455 instances of BiV% dropping below 98% after consistent pacing periods. Longer episodes of reduced BiV% (hazard ratio: 2.68; 95% CI: 1.02-9.72; P = .045) and lower BiV% (hazard ratio: 3.97; 95% CI: 1.74-9.06; P=.001) were linked to a higher risk of HeartLogic alerts. BiV% drops exceeding 7 days predicted alerts with 90% sensitivity (95% CI [74%-98%]) and 55% specificity (95% CI [51%-60%]), while BiV% ≤96% predicted alerts with 74% sensitivity (95% CI [55%-88%]) and 81% specificity (95% CI [77%-85%]). Conclusion: A clear correlation was observed between reduced daily BiV% and worsening clinical conditions, as indicated by the HeartLogic index. Importantly, even minor reductions in pacing percentage and duration were associated with an increased risk of HF alerts.

The Role of High-Sensitivity Troponin T Regarding Prognosis and Cardiovascular Outcome across Heart Failure Spectrum.

Background: Cardiac troponin release is related to the cardiomyocyte loss occurring in heart failure (HF). The prognostic role of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) in several settings of HF is under investigation. The aim of the study is to assess the prognostic role of intrahospital hs-cTnT in patients admitted due to HF. Methods: In this observational, single center, prospective study, patients hospitalized due to HF have been enrolled. Admission, in-hospital peak, and discharge hs-cTnT have been assessed. Patients were followed up for 6 months. Cardiovascular (CV) death, HF hospitalization (HFH), and worsening HF (WHF) (i.e., urgent ambulatory visit/loop diuretics escalation) events have been assessed at 6-month follow up. Results: 253 consecutive patients have been enrolled in the study. The hs-cTnT median values at admission and discharge were 0.031 ng/mL (IQR 0.02-0.078) and 0.031 ng/mL (IQR 0.02-0.077), respectively. The risk of CV death/HFH was higher in patients with admission hs-cTnT values above the median (p = 0.02) and in patients who had an increase in hs-cTnT during hospitalization (p = 0.03). Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that hs-cTnT above the median (OR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.02-4.1; p = 0.04) and increase in hs-cTnT during hospitalization (OR:1.95; 95%CI: 1.006-3.769; p = 0.04) were predictors of CV death/HFH. In a subgroup analysis of patients with chronic HF, hs-cTnT above the median was associated with increased risk of CV death/HFH (p = 0.03), while in the subgroup of patients with HFmrEF/HFpEF, hs-cTnT above the median was associated with outpatient WHF events (p = 0.03). Conclusions: Inpatient hs-cTnT levels predict CV death/HFH in patients with HF. In particular, in the subgroup of chronic HF patients, hs-cTnT is predictive of CV death/HFH; while in patients with HFmrEF/HFpEF, hs-cTnT predicts WHF events.

Prognostic Assessment of HLM Score in Heart Failure Due to Ischemic Heart Disease: A Pilot Study.

Background: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) represents the main cause of heart failure (HF). A prognostic stratification of HF patients with ischemic etiology, particularly those with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), may be challenging due the variability in clinical and hemodynamic status. The aim of this study is to assess the prognostic power of the HLM score in a population of patients with ischemic HF and in a subgroup who developed HF following ACS. Methods: This is an observational, prospective, single-center study, enrolling consecutive patients with a diagnosis of ischemic HF. Patients were stratified according to the four different HLM stages of severity, and the occurrence of CV death, HFH, and worsening HF events were evaluated at 6-month follow-up. A sub-analysis was performed on patients who developed HF following ACS at admission. Results: The study included 146 patients. HLM stage predicts the occurrence of CV death (p = 0.01) and CV death/HFH (p = 0.003). Cox regression analysis confirmed HLM stage as an independent predictor of CV death (OR: 3.07; 95% IC: 1.54-6.12; p = 0.001) and CV death/HFH (OR: 2.45; 95% IC: 1.43-4.21; p = 0.001) in the total population of patients with HF due to IHD. HLM stage potentially predicts the occurrence of CV death (p < 0.001) and CV death/HFH (p < 0.001) in patients with HF following ACS at admission. Conclusions: Pathophysiological-based prognostic assessment through HLM score is a potentially promising tool for the prediction of the occurrence of CV death and CV death/HFH in ischemic HF patients and in subgroups of patients with HF following ACS at admission.

SGLT2i effect on atrial fibrillation: A network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

INTRODUCTION: Gliflozins are recommended as first-line treatment in patients with heart failure and/or cardiovascular comorbidities and are demonstrated to reduce atrial fibrillation (AF) occurrence. However, it is not well known which gliflozin yields the larger cardioprotection in terms of AF occurrence reduction. Hence, we aimed to compare data regarding AF recurrence associated with different gliflozins. METHODS: An accurate search of online scientific libraries (from inception to June 1, 2023) was performed. Fifty-nine studies were included in the meta-analysis involving 108 026 patients, of whom 60 097 received gliflozins and 47 929 received placebo. RESULTS: Gliflozins provided a statistically significant reduction of AF occurrence relative to standard of care therapy in the overall population (relative risks [RR]: 0.8880, 95% CI: [0.8059; 0.9784], p = .0164) and in patients with diabetes and cardiorenal diseases (RR: 0.8352, 95% CI: [0.7219; 0.9663], p = .0155). Dapagliflozin significantly decreased AF occurrence as compared to placebo (0.7259 [0.6337; 0.8316], p < .0001) in the overall population, in patients with diabetes (RR: 0.2482, 95% CI: [0.0682; 0.9033], p = .0345), with diabetes associated with cardiorenal diseases (RR: 0.7192, 95% CI: [0.5679; 0.9110], p = .0063) and in the subanalysis including studies with follow-up ≥1 year (RR: 0.7792, 95% CI: [0.6508; 0.9330], p = .0066). No significant differences in terms of AF protection were found among different gliflozins. CONCLUSIONS: Dapagliflozin use was associated with significant reduction in AF risk as compared to placebo in overall population and patients with diabetes, whereas the use of other gliflozins did not significantly reduce AF occurrence.

Pulsed Field Energy in Atrial Fibrillation Ablation: From Physical Principles to Clinical Applications.

Atrial fibrillation, representing the most prevalent sustained cardiac arrhythmia, significantly impacts stroke risk and cardiovascular mortality. Historically managed with antiarrhythmic drugs with limited efficacy, and more recently, catheter ablation, the interventional approach field is still evolving with technological advances. This review highlights pulsed field ablation (PFA), a revolutionary technique gaining prominence in interventional electrophysiology because of its efficacy and safety. PFA employs non-thermal electric fields to create irreversible electroporation, disrupting cell membranes selectively within myocardial tissue, thus preventing the non-selective damage associated with traditional thermal ablation methods like radiofrequency or cryoablation. Clinical studies have consistently shown PFA's ability to achieve pulmonary vein isolation-a cornerstone of AF treatment-rapidly and with minimal complications. Notably, PFA reduces procedure times and has shown a lower incidence of esophageal and phrenic nerve damage, two common concerns with thermal techniques. Emerging from oncological applications, the principles of electroporation provide a unique tissue-selective ablation method that minimizes collateral damage. This review synthesizes findings from foundational animal studies through to recent clinical trials, such as the MANIFEST-PF and ADVENT trials, demonstrating PFA's effectiveness and safety. Future perspectives point towards expanding indications and refinement of techniques that promise to improve AF management outcomes further. PFA represents a paradigm shift in AF ablation, offering a safer, faster, and equally effective alternative to conventional methods. This synthesis of its development and clinical application outlines its potential to become the new standard in AF treatment protocols.

Italian Registry in the Setting of Atrial Fibrillation Ablation with Rivaroxaban - IRIS.

BACKGROUND: Catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation is routinely used to obtain rhythm control. Evidence suggest that catheter ablation should be done during uninterrupted oral anticoagulation. METHODS: Italian Registry in the setting of atrial fibrillation ablation with rivaroxaban (IRIS) is an Italian multicenter, non-interventional, prospective study which enrolled 250 consecutive atrial fibrillation patients eligible for catheter ablation on rivaroxaban. The decision for rivaroxaban management was left to the physician: uninterrupted or shortly interrupted prior to Catheter ablation. Patients received a follow-up visit at 1 month and 12 months after the procedure. RESULTS: The primary outcome, represented by all-cause death and systemic embolism at 1 month and 12 months was characterized by one transient ischemic attack and one myocardial infarction in the first 30 days. Both events happened in patients with shortly interrupted strategy (P=0.147), and both in patients who underwent radiofrequency ablation (P=0.737). In the primary safety outcome represented by major bleeding we did not register any event in the 12-month follow-up. The secondary outcome constituted by minor bleeding registered 1 event, after the first 30 days since CA. CONCLUSIONS: IRIS is the biggest real-life data registry regarding CA ablation on rivaroxaban in Italian setting, proving the safety and efficacy of rivaroxaban.

[New Treatment Strategies in Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction: Beyond Neurohormonal Inhibition].

Patients affected by heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are prone to experience episodes of worsening symptoms and signs despite continued therapy, termed "worsening heart failure" (WHF). Although guideline-directed medical therapy is well established, worsening of chronic heart failure accounts for almost 50% of all hospital admissions for HF with consequent higher risk of death and hospitalization than patients with "stable" HF. New drugs are emerging as cornerstones to reduce residual risk of both cardiovascular mortality and readmission for heart failure. The following review will debate about emerging definition of WHF in light of the recent clinical consensus released by the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and the new therapeutic strategies in cardiorenal patients.

Probability Score to Predict Spontaneous Conversion to Sinus Rhythm in Patients with Symptomatic Atrial Fibrillation When Less Could Be More?

Background: The probability of spontaneous conversion (SCV) to sinus rhythm (SR) in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with hemodynamically stable, symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well known. Objective: To develop and validate a score to determine the probability of SCV to SR in patients presenting to the ED with hemodynamically stable, symptomatic AF. Methods: This retrospective, observational study enrolled consecutive patients admitted with AF to the ED. Variables associated to SCV during a 6 h "wait-and-see" approach were used to develop and validate a score to determine the probability of SCV to SR in AF patients. The study was divided in two phases: (1) score development and (2) validation of the predictive score. Results: Out of 748 eligible patients, 446 patients were included in the derivation cohort, whereas 302 patients were included in the validation cohort. In the derivation cohort, based on multivariable logistic analysis, a probability score weight was developed including: previous SCV (3 points), AF-related symptom duration < 24 h (5 points), age ≥ 65 years (3 points) and female sex (2 points). The score allowed us to divide patients in three groups based on the probability of SCV to SR during the 6 h observation period. The probability prediction model showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.707 and 0.701 in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Conclusions: The proposed score allowed us to predict SCV probability with good accuracy and may help physicians in tailoring AF management in an effective and timely manner.

Impact of ventricular tachycardia ablation in subcutaneous implantable cardioverter defibrillator carriers: a multicentre, international analysis from the iSUSI project.

AIMS: Catheter ablation (CA) of ventricular tachycardia (VT) has become an important tool to improve clinical outcomes in patients with appropriate transvenous implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) shocks. The aim of our analysis was to test whether VT ablation (VTA) impacts long-term clinical outcomes even in subcutaneous ICD (S-ICD) carriers. METHODS AND RESULTS: International Subcutaneous Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator (iSUSI) registry patients who experienced either an ICD shock or a hospitalization for monomorphic VT were included in this analysis. Based on an eventual VTA after the index event, patients were divided into VTA+ vs. VTA- cohorts. Primary outcome of the study was the occurrence of a combination of device-related appropriate shocks, monomorphic VTs, and cardiovascular mortality. Secondary outcomes were addressed individually. Among n = 1661 iSUSI patients, n = 211 were included: n = 177 experiencing ICD shocks and n = 34 hospitalized for VT. No significant differences in baseline characteristics were observed. Both the crude and the yearly event rate of the primary outcome (5/59 and 3.8% yearly event rate VTA+ vs. 41/152 and 16.4% yearly event rate in the VTA-; log-rank: P value = 0.0013) and the cardiovascular mortality (1/59 and 0.7% yearly event rate VTA+ vs. 13/152 and 4.7% yearly event rate VTA-; log-rank P = 0.043) were significantly lower in the VTA + cohort. At multivariate analysis, VTA was the only variable remaining associated with a lower incidence of the primary outcome [adjusted hazard ratio 0.262 (0.100-0.681), P = 0.006]. CONCLUSION: In a real-world registry of S-ICD carriers, the combined study endpoint of arrhythmic events and cardiovascular mortality was lower in the patient cohort undergoing VTA at long-term follow-up. CLINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT0473876.

Mechanical Circulatory Support Systems in the Management of Ventricular Arrhythmias: A Contemporary Overview.

Ventricular tachycardias (VTs) and electrical storms (ES) are life-threatening conditions mostly seen in the setting of structural heart disease (SHD). Traditional management strategies, predominantly centered around pharmacological interventions with antiarrhythmic drugs, have demonstrated limited efficacy in these cases, whereas catheter ablation is related with more favorable outcomes. However, patients with hemodynamically unstable, recurrent VT or ES may present cardiogenic shock (CS) that precludes the procedure, and catheter ablation in patients with SHD portends a multifactorial intrinsic risk of acute hemodynamic decompensation (AHD), that is associated with increased mortality. In this setting, the use of mechanical circulatory support (MCS) systems allow the maintenance of end-organ perfusion and cardiac output, improving coronary flow and myocardial mechanics, and minimizing the effect of cardiac stunning after multiple VT inductions or cardioversion. Although ablation success and VT recurrence are not influenced by hemodynamic support devices, MCS promotes diuresis and reduces the incidence of post-procedural kidney injury. In addition, MCS has a role in post-procedural mortality reduction at long-term follow-up. The current review aims to provide a deep overview of the rationale and modality of MCS in patients with refractory arrhythmias and/or undergoing VT catheter ablation, underlining the importance of patient selection and timing for MCS and summarizing reported clinical experiences in this field.

Spontaneous Coronary Artery Dissection in Clinical Practice: Pathophysiology and Therapeutic Approaches.

Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is a cause of myocardial infarction without obstructive coronary artery disease (MINOCA). It is determined by a coronary artery wall layers separation, which occurs regardless of traumatic or iatrogenic injuries. Even if it is often a missed diagnosis, its incidence is growing along with the improvement of intracoronary imaging techniques that allow for better detection. The main angiographical classification distinguishes three different forms, with slightly different prognoses at long-term follow up. SCAD is a recurrent condition, severely hampering the life quality of affected patients. The predominantly young age of patients with SCAD and the high prevalence of females among them have made the topic increasingly important, especially regarding therapeutic strategies. According to the data, the most recommended treatment is conservative, based on the use of antiplatelet agents and supportive anti-ischemic therapy. However, there are conflicting opinions concerning the need for dual antiplatelet therapy and its duration. In the case of invasive treatment, the choice between percutaneous coronary intervention and coronary artery bypass graft depends on the patient's clinical stability and the interested vessel. The purpose of the current review is to revise the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying SCAD and the current knowledge of its treatment.

Current Approaches to Worsening Heart Failure: Pathophysiological and Molecular Insights.

Worsening heart failure (WHF) is a severe and dynamic condition characterized by significant clinical and hemodynamic deterioration. It is characterized by worsening HF signs, symptoms and biomarkers, despite the achievement of an optimized medical therapy. It remains a significant challenge in cardiology, as it evolves into advanced and end-stage HF. The hyperactivation of the neurohormonal, adrenergic and renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system are well known pathophysiological pathways involved in HF. Several drugs have been developed to inhibit the latter, resulting in an improvement in life expectancy. Nevertheless, patients are exposed to a residual risk of adverse events, and the exploration of new molecular pathways and therapeutic targets is required. This review explores the current landscape of WHF, highlighting the complexities and factors contributing to this critical condition. Most recent medical advances have introduced cutting-edge pharmacological agents, such as guanylate cyclase stimulators and myosin activators. Regarding device-based therapies, invasive pulmonary pressure measurement and cardiac contractility modulation have emerged as promising tools to increase the quality of life and reduce hospitalizations due to HF exacerbations. Recent innovations in terms of WHF management emphasize the need for a multifaceted and patient-centric approach to address the complex HF syndrome.

High-density mapping of Koch's triangle during sinus rhythm and typical atrioventricular nodal re-entrant tachycardia, integrated with direct recording of atrio-ventricular node structure potential.

BACKGROUND: The mechanism of typical slow-fast atrioventricular nodal re-entrant tachycardia (AVNRT) and its anatomical and electrophysiological circuit inside the right atrium (RA) and Koch's Triangle (KT) are not well known. OBJECTIVE: To identify the potentials of the compact AV node and inferior extensions and to perform accurate mapping of the RA and KT in sinus rhythm (SR) and during AVNRT, to define the tachycardia circuit. METHODS: Consecutive patients with typical AVNRT were enrolled in 12 Italian centers and underwent mapping and ablation by means of a basket catheter with small electrode spacing for ultrahigh-density mapping and a modified signal-filtering toolset to record the potentials of the AV nodal structures. RESULTS: Forty-five consecutive cases of successful ablation of typical slow-fast AVNRT were included. The mean SR cycle length (CL) was 784.1 ± 6 ms and the mean tachycardia CL was 361.2 ± 54 ms. The AV node potential had a significantly shorter duration and higher amplitude in sinus rhythm than during tachycardia (60 ± 40 ms vs. 160 ± 40 ms, p < .001 and 0.3 ± 0.2 mV vs. 0.09 ± 0.12 mV, p < .001, respectively). The nodal potential duration extension was 169.4 ± 31 ms, resulting in a time-window coverage of 47.6 ± 9%. The recording of AV nodal structure potentials enabled us to obtain 100% coverage of the tachycardia CL during slow-fast AVNRT. CONCLUSION: Detailed recording of the potentials of nodal structures is possible by means of multipolar catheters for ultrahigh-density mapping, allowing 100% of the AVNRT CL to be covered. These results also have clinical implications for the ablation of right-septal and para-septal arrhythmias.

Inherited Arrhythmias in the Pediatric Population: An Updated Overview.

Pediatric cardiomyopathies (CMs) and electrical diseases constitute a heterogeneous spectrum of disorders distinguished by structural and electrical abnormalities in the heart muscle, attributed to a genetic variant. They rank among the main causes of morbidity and mortality in the pediatric population, with an annual incidence of 1.1-1.5 per 100,000 in children under the age of 18. The most common conditions are dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Despite great enthusiasm for research in this field, studies in this population are still limited, and the management and treatment often follow adult recommendations, which have significantly more data on treatment benefits. Although adult and pediatric cardiac diseases share similar morphological and clinical manifestations, their outcomes significantly differ. This review summarizes the latest evidence on genetics, clinical characteristics, management, and updated outcomes of primary pediatric CMs and electrical diseases, including DCM, HCM, arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC), Brugada syndrome (BrS), catecholaminergic polymorphic ventricular tachycardia (CPVT), long QT syndrome (LQTS), and short QT syndrome (SQTS).

A Meta-Analysis of Short-Term Outcomes of TAVR versus SAVR in Bicuspid Aortic Valve Stenosis and TAVR Results in Different Bicuspid Valve Anatomies.

BACKGROUND: To provide a comprehensive analysis of the current literature comparing the outcomes of surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) and transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in patients with bicuspid aortic stenosis (BAS), with particular attention to BAV morphology in patients undergoing TAVR. METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, all relevant articles with no design restrictions from PubMed, CCTR (Cochrane Controlled Trials Register), and Google Scholar were screened for inclusion. Studies were included if they reported clinical endpoints for SAVR and TAVR or, in BAS treated with TAVR, for type 1 and non-type 1 morphology. Odds ratio and Cohen's D were considered as effect size measurements for qualitative and quantitative variables, respectively. RESULTS: A total of eight studies comparing short-term outcomes between SAVR and TAVR and nine studies with outcomes data between type 1 and non-type 1 BAS treated with TAVR were considered for the final analysis. No statistically significant difference was found for what concerns the rates of death, stroke, and acute kidney injury between SAVR and TAVR. In comparison to patients undergoing SAVR, the incidence of PPI (permanent pacemaker implantation) was greater in the TAVR group (OR 0.35, 95% CI 0.15-0.79, p = 0.01), and the frequency of bleeding events was found to be higher among patients undergoing SAVR (OR 4.3, 95% CI 2.9-6.4, p < 0.001). The probabilities of 30-day mortality, stroke, and any bleeding were not significantly affected by bicuspid valve morphology in TAVR patients. PPI or development of new conduction anomalies was found to be more frequent in type 1 anatomies (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.30-0.70, p <0.001). Mildly lower post-procedural transprothesic gradients were found in patients with type 1 morphology. CONCLUSIONS: In BAS patients, TAVR has comparable short-term outcomes rates with SAVR, but higher PPI rates and lower incidence of bleeding events. In patients undergoing TAVR, type 1 BAS is associated with lower postoperative transvalvular gradients but higher PPI rates and conduction abnormalities.

New Challenges in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction: Managing Worsening Events.

Patients with an established diagnosis of heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are prone to experience episodes of worsening symptoms and signs despite continued therapy, termed "worsening heart failure" (WHF). Despite guideline-directed medical therapy, worsening of chronic heart failure accounts for almost 50% of all hospital admissions for HF, and patients experiencing WHF carry a substantially higher risk of death and hospitalization than patients with "stable" HF. New drugs are emerging as arrows in the quiver for clinicians to address the residual risk of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular deaths in patients with WHF. This question-and-answer-based review will discuss the emerging definition of WHF in light of the recent clinical consensus released by the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC), the new therapeutic approaches to treat WHF and then move on to their timing and safety concerns (i.e., renal profile).

Integrated Spatial Simulation of Population and Urban Land Use: a Pan-European Model Validation.

Spatial models jointly simulating population and land-use change provide support for policy-making, by allowing to explore territorial developments under alternative scenarios and resulting impacts in the environment, economy and society. However, their ability to reproduce observed spatial patterns is rarely evaluated through model validation. This lack of insight prevents researchers and policy-makers of fully grasping the ability of existing models to provide sensible projections of future land use and population density. In this article, we address this gap by performing a model validation of the LUISA Territorial Modelling Platform, a spatial model jointly simulating population and land use at a fine resolution (100 m) in the European Union and United Kingdom. In particular, we compare observed and simulated patterns of population and urban residential land-use change for the period of 1990-2015, and evaluate the model performance according to different degrees of urbanisation. The results show that model performance can vary depending on the context, even when the same data and methods are uniformly applied. The model performed consistently well in urban areas characterized by compact urban growth, but poorly where residential development occurred predominantly in scattered patterns across rural areas. Overall, the model tends to favour the formation of densely populated, highly accessible urban conglomerations, which often do not entirely correspond to the observed patterns. Based on the validation results, we propose directions for further model improvement and development. Model validation should be regarded as a critical step, and an integral part, in the process of developing models for policy support. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12061-023-09518-x.

Prognostic value of chronic kidney disease in patients undergoing left atrial appendage occlusion.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) often coexist and share an increased risk of thrombo-embolism (TE). CKD concomitantly predisposes towards a pro-haemorrhagic state. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic value of CKD in patients undergoing percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 2124 consecutive AF patients undergoing LAAO were categorized into CKD stage 1+2 (n = 1089), CKD stage 3 (n = 796), CKD stage 4 (n = 170), and CKD stage 5 (n = 69) based on the estimated glomerular filtration rate at baseline. The primary endpoint included cardiovascular (CV) mortality, TE, and major bleeding. The expected annual TE and major bleeding risks were estimated based on the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. A non-significant higher incidence of major peri-procedural adverse events (1.7 vs. 2.3 vs. 4.1 vs. 4.3) was observed with worsening CKD (P = 0.14). The mean follow-up period was 13 ± 7 months (2226 patient-years). In comparison to CKD stage 1+2 as a reference, the incidence of the primary endpoint was significantly higher in CKD stage 3 (log-rank P-value = 0.04), CKD stage 4 (log-rank P-value = 0.01), and CKD stage 5 (log-rank P-value = 0.001). Left atrial appendage occlusion led to a TE risk reduction (RR) of 72, 66, 62, and 41% in each group. The relative RR of major bleeding was 58, 44, 51, and 52%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Patients with moderate-to-severe CKD had a higher incidence of the primary composite endpoint. The relative RR in the incidence of TE and major bleeding was consistent across CKD groups.