Nomogram to predict radicular grooves in maxillary lateral incisors in preoperative orthodontic population.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive nomogram for diagnosing radicular grooves (RG) in maxillary lateral incisors (MLIs), integrating demographic information, anatomical measurements, and Cone Beam Computed Tomography (CBCT) data to diagnose the RG in MLIs based on the clinical observation before resorting to the CBCT scan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort of orthodontic patients from the School and Hospital of Stomatology, Wuhan University, was analyzed, including demographic characteristics, photographic anatomical assessments, and CBCT diagnoses. The cohort was divided into development and validation groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified significant predictors of RG, which informed the development of a nomogram. This nomogram's performance was validated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. RESULTS: The study included 381 patients (64.3% female) and evaluated 760 MLIs, with RG present in 26.25% of MLIs. The nomogram incorporated four significant anatomical predictors of RG presence, demonstrating substantial predictive efficacy with an area under the curve of 0.75 in the development cohort and 0.71 in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: A nomogram for the diagnosis of RG in MLIs was successfully developed. This tool offers a practical checklist of anatomical predictors to improve the diagnostic process in clinical practice. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The developed nomogram provides a novel, evidence-based tool to enhance the detection and treatment planning of MLIs with RG in diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.

Endoscopic ultrasonography-based intratumoral and peritumoral machine learning radiomics analyses for distinguishing insulinomas from non-functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.

Objectives: To develop and validate radiomics models utilizing endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) images to distinguish insulinomas from non-functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (NF-PNETs). Methods: A total of 106 patients, comprising 61 with insulinomas and 45 with NF-PNETs, were included in this study. The patients were randomly assigned to either the training or test cohort. Radiomics features were extracted from both the intratumoral and peritumoral regions, respectively. Six machine learning algorithms were utilized to train intratumoral prediction models, using only the nonzero coefficient features. The researchers identified the most effective intratumoral radiomics model and subsequently employed it to develop peritumoral and combined radiomics models. Finally, a predictive nomogram for insulinomas was constructed and assessed. Results: A total of 107 radiomics features were extracted based on EUS, and only features with nonzero coefficients were retained. Among the six intratumoral radiomics models, the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model demonstrated superior performance. Furthermore, a peritumoral radiomics model was established and evaluated. The combined model, integrating both the intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics features, exhibited a comparable performance in the training cohort (AUC=0.876) and achieved the highest accuracy in predicting outcomes in the test cohorts (AUC=0.835). The Delong test, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were employed to validate these findings. Insulinomas exhibited a significantly smaller diameter compared to NF-PNETs. Finally, the nomogram, incorporating diameter and radiomics signature, was constructed and assessed, which owned superior performance in both the training (AUC=0.929) and test (AUC=0.913) cohorts. Conclusion: A novel and impactful radiomics model and nomogram were developed and validated for the accurate differentiation of NF-PNETs and insulinomas utilizing EUS images.

The survival prediction of advanced colorectal cancer received neoadjuvant therapy-a study of SEER database.

PURPOSE: The aim of study was to screen factors associated with the overall survival of colorectal cancer patients with lymph nodes metastasis who received neoadjuvant therapy and construct a nomogram model. METHODS: All enrolled subjects of the SEER database were randomly assigned to the training and testing group in a ratio of 3:2. The patients of Tangdu Hospital were seemed as validation group. Univariate cox regression analysis, lasso regression and random forest survival were used to screen variables related to the survival of advanced CRC patients received neoadjuvant therapy in the training group. Area under curves were adopted to evaluate the 1,3,5-year prediction value of the optimal model in three cohorts. Calibration curves were drawn to observe the prediction accuracy of the nomogram model. Decision curve analysis was used to assess the potential clinical value of the nomogram model. RESULTS: A total of 1833 subjects were enrolled in this study. After random allocation, 1055 cases of the SEER database served as the training group, 704 cases as the testing group and 74 patients from our center as the external validation group. Variables were screened by univariate cox regression used to construct a nomogram survival prediction model, including M, age, chemotherapy, CEA, perineural invasion, tumor size, LODDS, liver metastasis and radiation. The AUCs of the model for predicting 1-year OS in the training group, testing and validation group were 0.765 (0.703,0.827), 0.772 (0.697,0.847) and 0.742 (0.601,0.883), predicting 3-year OS were 0.761 (0.725,0.780), 0.742 (0.699,0.785), 0.733 (0.560,0.905) and 5-year OS were 0.742 (0.711,0.773), 0.746 (0.709,0.783), 0.838 (0.670,0.980), respectively. The calibration curves showed the difference between prediction probability of the model and the actual survival was not significant in three cohorts and the decision curve analysis revealed the practice clinical application value. And the prediction value of model was better for young CRC than older CRC patients. CONCLUSION: A nomogram model including LODDS for the prognosis of advanced CRC received neoadjuvant therapy was constructed and verified based on the SEER database and single center practice. The accuracy and potential clinical application value of the model performed well, and the model had better predictive value for EOCRC than LOCRC.

A machine learning model based on clinical features and ultrasound radiomics features for pancreatic tumor classification.

Objective: This study aimed to construct a machine learning model using clinical variables and ultrasound radiomics features for the prediction of the benign or malignant nature of pancreatic tumors. Methods: 242 pancreatic tumor patients who were hospitalized at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University between January 2020 and June 2023 were included in this retrospective study. The patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n=169) and a test cohort (n=73). We collected 28 clinical features from the patients. Concurrently, 306 radiomics features were extracted from the ultrasound images of the patients' tumors. Initially, a clinical model was constructed using the logistic regression algorithm. Subsequently, radiomics models were built using SVM, random forest, XGBoost, and KNN algorithms. Finally, we combined clinical features with a new feature RAD prob calculated by applying radiomics model to construct a fusion model, and developed a nomogram based on the fusion model. Results: The performance of the fusion model surpassed that of both the clinical and radiomics models. In the training cohort, the fusion model achieved an AUC of 0.978 (95% CI: 0.96-0.99) during 5-fold cross-validation and an AUC of 0.925 (95% CI: 0.86-0.98) in the test cohort. Calibration curve and decision curve analyses demonstrated that the nomogram constructed from the fusion model has high accuracy and clinical utility. Conclusion: The fusion model containing clinical and ultrasound radiomics features showed excellent performance in predicting the benign or malignant nature of pancreatic tumors.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting refractory peritoneal dialysis related peritonitis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the risk factors of refractory peritoneal dialysis related peritonitis (PDRP) and construct a nomogram to predict the occurrence of refractory PDRP. METHODS: Refractory peritonitis was defined as the peritonitis episode with persistently cloudy bags or persistent dialysis effluent leukocyte count >100 × 109/L after 5 days of appropriate antibiotic therapy. The study dataset was randomly divided into a 70% training set and a 30% validation set. Univariate logistic analysis, LASSO regression analysis, and random forest algorithms were utilized to identify the potential risk factors for refractory peritonitis. Independent risk factors identified using multivariate logistic analysis were used to construct a nomogram. The discriminative ability, calibrating ability, and clinical practicality of the nomogram were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 294 peritonitis episodes in 178 patients treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD) were enrolled, of which 93 were refractory peritonitis. C-reactive protein, serum albumin, diabetes mellitus, PD duration, and type of causative organisms were independent risk factors for refractory peritonitis. The nomogram model exhibited excellent discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.781 (95% CI: 0.716-0.847) in the training set and 0.741 (95% CI: 0.627-0.855) in the validation set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve indicated satisfactory calibration ability of the predictive model. Decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram model had good clinical utility in predicting refractory peritonitis. CONCLUSION: This nomogram can accurately predict refractory peritonitis in patients treated with PD.

A nomogram for prediction of early mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery for infective endocarditis: a retrospective single-center study.

OBJECTIVE: Despite advancements in surgical techniques, operations for infective endocarditis (IE) remain associated with relatively high mortality. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram model to predict the early postoperative mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery for infective endocarditis based on the preoperative clinical features. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 357 patients with IE who underwent surgeries at our center between January 2007 and June 2023. Independent risk factors for early postoperative mortality were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. Based on these factors, a predictive model was developed and presented in a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Internal validation was performed utilizing the bootstrapping method. RESULTS: The nomogram included nine predictors: age, stroke, pulmonary embolism, albumin level, cardiac function class IV, antibotic use <4weeks, vegetation size ≥1.5 cm, perivalvular abscess and preoperative dialysis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.88 (95%CI:0.80-0.96). The calibration plot indicated strong prediction consistency of the nomogram with satisfactory Hosmer-Lemeshow test results (χ2 = 13.490, p = 0.142). Decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram model provided greater clinical net benefits compared to "operate-all" or "operate-none" strategies. CONCLUSIONS: The innovative nomogram model offers cardiovascular surgeons a tool to predict the risk of early postoperative mortality in patients undergoing IE operations. This model can serve as a valuable reference for preoperative decision-making and can enhance the clinical outcomes of IE patients.

A non-invasive diagnostic nomogram for CHB-related early cirrhosis: a prospective study.

This study aimed to construct a non-invasive diagnostic nomogram based on high-frequency ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging results for early liver cirrhosis patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) which cannot be detected by conventional non-invasive examination methods but can only be diagnosed through invasive liver puncture for pathological examination. 72 patients with CHB were enrolled in this prospective study, and divided into S4 stage of liver cirrhosis and S0-S3 stage of non-liver cirrhosis according to pathological findings. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors, and a diagnostic nomogram was constructed for CHB-related early cirrhosis. It was validated and calibrated by bootstrap self-extraction. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR 1.14, 95% CI (1.04-1.27)), right hepatic vein diameter (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.23-0.82), presence or absence of nodules (OR 31.98, 95% CI 3.84-266.08), and hepatic parenchymal echogenicity grading (OR 12.82, 95% CI 2.12-77.51) were identified as independent predictive indicators. The nomogram based on the 4 factors above showed good performance, with a sensitivity and specificity of 90.70% and 89.66%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction model was 0.96, and the predictive model showed better predictive performance than APRI score (AUC 0.57), FIB-4 score (AUC 0.64), INPR score (AUC 0.63), and LSM score (AUC 0.67). The calibration curve of the prediction model fit well with the ideal curve, and the decision curve analysis showed that the net benefit of the model was significant. The nomogram in this study can detect liver cirrhosis in most CHB patients without liver biopsy, providing a direct, fast, and accurate practical diagnostic tool for clinical doctors.

Development and validation of a nomogram model of depression and sleep disorders and the risk of disease progression in patients with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: In this study, we investigated the relationship between the risk of postoperative progressive disease (PD) in breast cancer and depression and sleep disorders in order to develop and validate a suitable risk prevention model. METHODS: A total of 750 postoperative patients with breast cancer were selected from the First People's Hospital of LianYunGang, and the indices of two groups (an event group and a non-event group) were compared to develop and validate a risk prediction model. The relationship between depression, sleep disorders, and PD events was investigated using the follow-up data of the 750 patients. RESULTS: SAS, SDS, and AIS scores differed in the group of patients who experienced postoperative disease progression versus those who did not; the differences were statistically significant and the ability to differentiate prognosis was high. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC) were: 0.8049 (0.7685-0.8613), 0.768 (0.727-0.809), and 0.7661 (0.724--0.808), with cut-off values of 43.5, 48.5, and 4.5, respectively. Significant variables were screened by single-factor analysis and multi-factor analysis to create model 1, by lasso regression and cross-lasso regression analysis to create model 2, by random forest calculation method to create model 3, by stepwise regression method (backward method) to create model 4, and by including all variables for Cox regression to include significant variables to create model 5. The AUC of model 2 was 0.883 (0.848-0.918) and 0.937 (0.893-0.981) in the training set and validation set, respectively. The clinical efficacy of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve, and then the model 2 variables were transformed into scores, which were validated in two datasets, the training and validation sets, with AUCs of 0.884 (0.848-0.919) and 0.885 (0.818-0.951), respectively. CONCLUSION: We established and verified a model including SAS, SDS and AIS to predict the prognosis of breast cancer patients, and simplified it by scoring, making it convenient for clinical use, providing a theoretical basis for precise intervention in these patients. However, further research is needed to verify the generalization ability of our model.

The cuproptosis-related signature predicts the prognosis and immune microenvironments of primary diffuse gliomas: a comprehensive analysis.

BACKGROUND: Evidence has revealed a connection between cuproptosis and the inhibition of tumor angiogenesis. While the efficacy of a model based on cuproptosis-related genes (CRGs) in predicting the prognosis of peripheral organ tumors has been demonstrated, the impact of CRGs on the prognosis and the immunological landscape of gliomas remains unexplored. METHODS: We screened CRGs to construct a novel scoring tool and developed a prognostic model for gliomas within the various cohorts. Afterward, a comprehensive exploration of the relationship between the CRG risk signature and the immunological landscape of gliomas was undertaken from multiple perspectives. RESULTS: Five genes (NLRP3, ATP7B, SLC31A1, FDX1, and GCSH) were identified to build a CRG scoring system. The nomogram, based on CRG risk and other signatures, demonstrated a superior predictive performance (AUC of 0.89, 0.92, and 0.93 at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively) in the training cohort. Furthermore, the CRG score was closely associated with various aspects of the immune landscape in gliomas, including immune cell infiltration, tumor mutations, tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion, immune checkpoints, cytotoxic T lymphocyte and immune exhaustion-related markers, as well as cancer signaling pathway biomarkers and cytokines. CONCLUSION: The CRG risk signature may serve as a robust biomarker for predicting the prognosis and the potential viability of immunotherapy responses. Moreover, the key candidate CRGs might be promising targets to explore the underlying biological background and novel therapeutic interventions in gliomas.

Integrated analysis of single-cell RNA-seq, bulk RNA-seq, Mendelian randomization, and eQTL reveals T cell-related nomogram model and subtype classification in rheumatoid arthritis.

Objective: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic disease that attacks the joints and causes a heavy economic burden on humans worldwide. T cells regulate RA progression and are considered crucial targets for therapy. Therefore, we aimed to integrate multiple datasets to explore the mechanisms of RA. Moreover, we established a T cell-related diagnostic model to provide a new method for RA immunotherapy. Methods: scRNA-seq and bulk-seq datasets for RA were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Various methods were used to analyze and characterize the T cell heterogeneity of RA. Using Mendelian randomization (MR) and expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL), we screened for potential pathogenic T cell marker genes in RA. Subsequently, we selected an optimal machine learning approach by comparing the nine types of machine learning in predicting RA to identify T cell-related diagnostic features to construct a nomogram model. Patients with RA were divided into different T cell-related clusters using the consensus clustering method. Finally, we performed immune cell infiltration and clinical correlation analyses of T cell-related diagnostic features. Results: By analyzing the scRNA-seq dataset, we obtained 10,211 cells that were annotated into 7 different subtypes based on specific marker genes. By integrating the eQTL from blood and RA GWAS, combined with XGB machine learning, we identified a total of 8 T cell-related diagnostic features (MIER1, PPP1CB, ICOS, GADD45A, CD3D, SLFN5, PIP4K2A, and IL6ST). Consensus clustering analysis showed that RA could be classified into two different T-cell patterns (Cluster 1 and Cluster 2), with Cluster 2 having a higher T-cell score than Cluster 1. The two clusters involved different pathways and had different immune cell infiltration states. There was no difference in age or sex between the two different T cell patterns. In addition, ICOS and IL6ST were negatively correlated with age in RA patients. Conclusion: Our findings elucidate the heterogeneity of T cells in RA and the communication role of these cells in an RA immune microenvironment. The construction of T cell-related diagnostic models provides a resource for guiding RA immunotherapeutic strategies.

Identifying and evaluating a disulfidptosis-related gene signature to predict prognosis in colorectal adenocarcinoma patients.

Disulfidptosis, a regulated form of cell death, has been recently reported in cancers characterized by high SLC7A11 expression, including invasive breast carcinoma, lung adenocarcinoma, and hepatocellular carcinoma. However, its role in colon adenocarcinoma (COAD) has been infrequently discussed. In this study, we developed and validated a prognostic model based on 20 disulfidptosis-related genes (DRGs) using LASSO and Cox regression analyses. The robustness and practicality of this model were assessed via a nomogram. Subsequent correlation and enrichment analysis revealed a relationship between the risk score, several critical cancer-related biological processes, immune cell infiltration, and the expression of oncogenes and cell senescence-related genes. POU4F1, a significant component of our model, might function as an oncogene due to its upregulation in COAD tumors and its positive correlation with oncogene expression. In vitro assays demonstrated that POU4F1 knockdown noticeably decreased cell proliferation and migration but increased cell senescence in COAD cells. We further investigated the regulatory role of the DRG in disulfidptosis by culturing cells in a glucose-deprived medium. In summary, our research revealed and confirmed a DRG-based risk prediction model for COAD patients and verified the role of POU4F1 in promoting cell proliferation, migration, and disulfidptosis.

Development and validation of an intraoperative hypothermia nomograph model for patients undergoing video-assisted thoracoscopic lobectomy: a retrospective study.

This study aimed to develop and internally validate a nomogram model for assessing the risk of intraoperative hypothermia in patients undergoing video-assisted thoracoscopic (VATS) lobectomy. This study is a retrospective study. A total of 530 patients who undergoing VATS lobectomy from January 2022 to December 2023 in a tertiary hospital in Wuhan were selected. Patients were divided into hypothermia group (n = 346) and non-hypothermia group (n = 184) according to whether hypothermia occurred during the operation. Lasso regression was used to screen the independent variables. Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of hypothermia during operation, and a nomogram model was established. Bootstrap method was used to internally verify the nomogram model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discrimination of the model. Calibration curve and Hosmer Lemeshow test were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical utility of the model. Intraoperative hypothermia occurred in 346 of 530 patients undergoing VATS lobectomy (65.28%). Logistic regression analysis showed that age, serum total bilirubin, inhaled desflurane, anesthesia duration, intraoperative infusion volume, intraoperative blood loss and body mass index were risk factors for intraoperative hypothermia in patients undergoing VATS lobectomy (P < 0.05). The area under ROC curve was 0.757, 95% CI (0.714-0.799). The optimal cutoff value was 0.635, the sensitivity was 0.717, and the specificity was 0.658. These results suggested that the model was well discriminated. Calibration curve has shown that the actual values are generally in agreement with the predicted values. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ2 = 5.588, P = 0.693, indicating that the model has a good accuracy. The DCA results confirmed that the model had high clinical utility. The nomogram model constructed in this study showed good discrimination, accuracy and clinical utility in predicting patients with intraoperative hypothermia, which can provide reference for medical staff to screen high-risk of intraoperative hypothermia in patients undergoing VATS lobectomy.

A clinical tool to predict overall survival of elderly patients with soft tissue sarcoma after surgical resection.

With the aging world population, the incidence of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) in the elderly gradually increases and the prognosis is poor. The primary goal of this research was to analyze the relevant risk factors affecting the postoperative overall survival in elderly STS patients and to provide some guidance and assistance in clinical treatment. The study included 2,353 elderly STS patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. To find independent predictive variables, we employed the Cox proportional risk regression model. R software was used to develop and validate the nomogram model to predict postoperative overall survival. The performance and practical value of the nomogram were evaluated using calibration curves, the area under the curve, and decision curve analysis. Age, tumor primary site, disease stage, tumor size, tumor grade, N stage, and marital status, are the risk variables of postoperative overall survival, and the prognostic model was constructed on this basis. In the two sets, both calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the nomogram had high predictive accuracy and discriminative power, while decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model had good clinical usefulness. A predictive nomogram was designed and tested to evaluate postoperative overall survival in elderly STS patients. The nomogram allows clinical practitioners to more accurately evaluate the prognosis of individual patients, facilitates the progress of individualized treatment, and provides clinical guidance.

A new nomogram based on ultrasound and clinical features for distinguishing epididymal tuberculosis and nontuberculous epididymitis.

Using ultrasound findings and clinical characteristics, we constructed and validated a new nomogram for distinguishing epididymal tuberculosis from nontuberculous epididymitis, both of which share similar symptoms. We retrospectively examined data of patients with epididymal tuberculosis and nontuberculous epididymitis hospitalized between January 1, 2013, and March 31, 2023. Eligible patients were randomly assigned to derivation and validation cohorts (ratio, 7:3). We drew a nomogram to construct a diagnostic model through multivariate logistic regression and visualize the model. We used concordance index, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis to assess the discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the nomogram, respectively. In this study, 136 participants had epididymal tuberculosis and 79 had nontuberculous epididymitis. Five variables-C-reactive protein level, elevated scrotal skin temperature, nodular lesion, chronic infection, and scrotal skin ulceration-were significant and used to construct the nomogram. Concordance indices of the derivation and validation cohorts were 0.95 and 0.96, respectively (95% confidence intervals, 0.91-0.98 and 0.92-1.00, respectively). Decision curve analysis of this nomogram revealed that it helped differentiate epididymal tuberculosis from nontuberculous epididymitis. This nomogram may help clinicians distinguish between epididymal tuberculosis and nontuberculous epididymitis, thereby increasing diagnosis accuracy.

Identification of a novel lactylation-related gene signature predicts the prognosis of multiple myeloma and experiment verification.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is an incurable hematological malignancy with poor survival. Accumulating evidence reveals that lactylation modification plays a vital role in tumorigenesis. However, research on lactylation-related genes (LRGs) in predicting the prognosis of MM remains limited. Differentially expressed LRGs (DELRGs) between MM and normal samples were investigated from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Univariate Cox regression and LASSO Cox regression analysis were applied to construct gene signature associated with overall survival. The signature was validated in two external datasets. A nomogram was further constructed and evaluated. Additionally, Enrichment analysis, immune analysis, and drug chemosensitivity analysis between the two groups were investigated. qPCR and immunofluorescence staining were performed to validate the expression and localization of PFN1. CCK-8 and flow cytometry were performed to validate biological function. A total of 9 LRGs (TRIM28, PPIA, SOD1, RRP1B, IARS2, RB1, PFN1, PRCC, and FABP5) were selected to establish the prognostic signature. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that high-risk group patients had a remarkably worse prognosis in the training and validation cohorts. A nomogram was constructed based on LRGs signature and clinical characteristics, and showed excellent predictive power by calibration curve and C-index. Moreover, biological pathways, immunologic status, as well as sensitivity to chemotherapy drugs were different between high- and low-risk groups. Additionally, the hub gene PFN1 is highly expressed in MM, knocking down PFN1 induces cell cycle arrest, suppresses cell proliferation and promotes cell apoptosis. In conclusion, our study revealed that LRGs signature is a promising biomarker for MM that can effectively early distinguish high-risk patients and predict prognosis.

A prognostic model for anoikis-related genes in pancreatic cancer.

Anoikis, a distinct form of programmed cell death, is crucial for both organismal development and maintaining tissue equilibrium. Its role extends to the proliferation and progression of cancer cells. This study aimed to establish an anoikis-related prognostic model to predict the prognosis of pancreatic cancer (PC) patients. Gene expression data and patient clinical profiles were sourced from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA-PAAD: Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma) and the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC-PACA: Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma). Non-cancerous pancreatic tissue gene expression data were obtained from the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project. The R package was used to construct anoikis-related PC prognostic models, which were later validated with the ICGC-PACA database. Survival analyses demonstrated a poorer prognosis for patients in the high-risk group, consistent across both TCGA-PAAD and ICGC-PACA datasets. A nomogram was designed as a predictive tool to estimate patient mortality. The study also analyzed tumor mutations and immune infiltration across various risk groups, uncovering notable differences in tumor mutation patterns and immune landscapes between high- and low-risk groups. In conclusion, this research successfully developed a prognostic model centered on anoikis-related genes, offering a novel tool for predicting the clinical trajectory of PC patients.

Using machine-learning models to predict extubation failure in neonates with bronchopulmonary dysplasia.

AIM: To develop a decision-support tool for predicting extubation failure (EF) in neonates with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) using a set of machine-learning algorithms. METHODS: A dataset of 284 BPD neonates on mechanical ventilation was used to develop predictive models via machine-learning algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest, support vector machine, naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and k-nearest neighbor. The top three models were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and their performance was tested by decision curve analysis (DCA). Confusion matrix was used to show the high performance of the best model. The importance matrix plot and SHapley Additive exPlanations values were calculated to evaluate the feature importance and visualize the results. The nomogram and clinical impact curves were used to validate the final model. RESULTS: According to the AUC values and DCA results, the XGboost model performed best (AUC = 0.873, sensitivity = 0.896, specificity = 0.838). The nomogram and clinical impact curve verified that the XGBoost model possessed a significant predictive value. The following were predictive factors for EF: pO2, hemoglobin, mechanical ventilation (MV) rate, pH, Apgar score at 5 min, FiO2, C-reactive protein, Apgar score at 1 min, red blood cell count, PIP, gestational age, highest FiO2 at the first 24 h, heart rate, birth weight, pCO2. Further, pO2, hemoglobin, and MV rate were the three most important factors for predicting EF. CONCLUSIONS: The present study indicated that the XGBoost model was significant in predicting EF in BPD neonates with mechanical ventilation, which is helpful in determining the right extubation time among neonates with BPD to reduce the occurrence of complications.

[Analysis of risk factors and construction of nomogram model for local lymph node metastasis in salivary gland mucoepidermoid carcinoma].

Objective: To analyze the risk factors affecting regional lymph node metastasis in salivary gland mucoepidermoid carcinoma (MEC) and to establish a nomogram model for individually predicting lymph node metastasis in salivary gland MEC. Methods: The clinical data of 2 152 patients with salivary gland MEC from 1975 to 2020 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the National Cancer Institute. The collected data were divided into training cohort (1 506 cases) and validation cohort (646 cases) according to the ratio of 7∶3. Single-factor regression and multi-factor logistic regression were used to screen factors related to local lymph node metastasis in salivary gland MEC, with constructing of a nomogram. Calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the ROC curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate model performance in the validation cohort and the total cohort. Statistical tests were performed using SPSS (26.0) and R (4.3.0) software. Results: Multivariate logistic regression results showed that M stage [OR(95%CI):12.360(3.295-46.365), P=0.014], pathological grade Ⅱ、Ⅲ、Ⅳ[OR(95%CI): 1.956(1.329-2.879), 9.654(6.309-14.772), 9.298(6.072-14.238), P<0.001], T staging T2, T3, T4[OR(95%CI): 1.706(0.932-3.124), 3.021(1.790-5.096), 3.311(1.925-5.695), P<0.001], and gender [OR(95%CI):0.759(0.593-0.972), P=0.029] were independent factors affecting local lymph node metastasis in salivary gland MEC. Through verification in the validation cohort and the total cohort, the AUC values were greater than 0.8, and the calibration curve was close to the perfect reference line, proving that the constructed nomogram model had good specificity and sensitivity for predicting local lymph node metastasis in salivary gland MEC. Conclusion: M stage, pathological grade, T stage, and gender are risk factors for predicting regional lymph node metastasis and the established-nomogram has good predictive performance for local lymph node metastasis in salivary gland MEC.

Multiparametric mri-based radiomics nomogram for predicting lymph-vascular space invasion in cervical cancer.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI)-based radiomics model for predicting lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI) of cervical cancer (CC). METHODS: The data of 177 CC patients were retrospectively collected and randomly divided into the training cohort (n=123) and testing cohort (n = 54). All patients received preoperative MRI. Feature selection and radiomics model construction were performed using max-relevance and min-redundancy (mRMR) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) on the training cohort. The models were established based on the extracted features. The optimal model was selected and combined with clinical independent risk factors to establish the radiomics fusion model and the nomogram. The diagnostic performance of the model was assessed by the area under the curve. RESULTS: Feature selection extracted the thirteen most important features for model construction. These radiomics features and one clinical characteristic were selected showed favorable discrimination between LVSI and non-LVSI groups. The AUCs of the radiomics nomogram and the mpMRI radiomics model were 0.838 and 0.835 in the training cohort, and 0.837 and 0.817 in the testing cohort. CONCLUSION: The nomogram model based on mpMRI radiomics has high diagnostic performance for preoperative prediction of LVSI in patients with CC.

Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for postoperative ICU admission in patients with colorectal cancer: clinical prediction model study.

BACKGROUND: Transfer to the ICU is common following non-cardiac surgeries, including radical colorectal cancer (CRC) resection. Understanding the judicious utilization of costly ICU medical resources and supportive postoperative care is crucial. This study aimed to construct and validate a nomogram for predicting the need for mandatory ICU admission immediately following radical CRC resection. METHODS: Retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 1003 patients who underwent radical or palliative surgery for CRC at Ningxia Medical University General Hospital from August 2020 to April 2022. Patients were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. Independent predictors were identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression in the training cohort to construct the nomogram. An online prediction tool was developed for clinical use. The nomogram's calibration and discriminative performance were assessed in both cohorts, and its clinical utility was evaluated through decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The final predictive model comprised age (P = 0.003, odds ratio [OR] 3.623, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.535-8.551); nutritional risk screening 2002 (NRS2002) (P = 0.000, OR 6.129, 95% CI 2.920-12.863); serum albumin (ALB) (P = 0.013, OR 0.921, 95% CI 0.863-0.982); atrial fibrillation (P = 0.000, OR 20.017, 95% CI 4.191-95.609); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (P = 0.009, OR 8.151, 95% CI 1.674-39.676); forced expiratory volume in 1 s / Forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) (P = 0.040, OR 0.966, 95% CI 0.935-0.998); and surgical method (P = 0.024, OR 0.425, 95% CI 0.202-0.891). The area under the curve was 0.865, and the consistency index was 0.367. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated excellent model fit (P = 0.367). The calibration curve closely approximated the ideal diagonal line. DCA showed a significant net benefit of the predictive model for postoperative ICU admission. CONCLUSION: Predictors of ICU admission following radical CRC resection include age, preoperative serum albumin level, nutritional risk screening, atrial fibrillation, COPD, FEV1/FVC, and surgical route. The predictive nomogram and online tool support clinical decision-making for postoperative ICU admission in patients undergoing radical CRC surgery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Despite the retrospective nature of this study, we have proactively registered it with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry. The registration number is ChiCTR2200062210, and the date of registration is 29/07/2022.