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PURPOSE: Transarterial radioembolization (TARE) has emerged as a promising therapeutic approach for unresectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICCA). We updated our previous meta-analysis with meta-regression to explore the efficacy of TARE in the context of ICCA. METHODS: We searched PubMed and Scopus for studies published up to September 1, 2023. The primary outcome was overall survival. Secondary outcomes were tumor overall response rate, severe adverse events, and downstaging to surgery. Meta-analysis employed a random-effects model, and meta-regression was utilized to explore sources of heterogeneity. RESULTS: We included 27 studies, involving 1365 patients. Pooled survival estimates at 1, 2, and 3 years were 52.6%, 27%, and 16.8%, respectively. Meta-regression revealed that the proportion of patients naïve to treatment was the only pre-TARE predictor of survival (1-, 2-, and 3-year survival of 70%, 45%, and 36% for treatment-naïve patients, mean survival 19.7 months vs. 44%, 18%, and 7% for non-naïve patients, mean survival 12.2 months). Overall response according to RECIST 1.1 and mRECIST was 19.6% and 67%, respectively. Effective downstaging to surgery was possible in varying rates (3-54%); the mean survival in these patients was 34.8 months (1-, 2-, and 3-year survival of 100%, 87%, and 64%). About 45.7% of patients experienced adverse events, but only 5.9% were severe. CONCLUSIONS: Our study benchmarked the survival rates of patients undergoing TARE for unresectable ICCA and showed that this is a valid option in these patients, especially if naïve to previous treatments. Downstaging to surgery is feasible in selected patients with promising results.
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Pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs), including pancreatic pseudocysts (PPs) and walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WON), are common complications of pancreatitis and pancreatic surgery. Historically, the treatment of these conditions has relied on surgical and radiological approaches; however, it has later shifted toward an endoscopy-based approach. With the development of dedicated lumen-apposing metal stents (LAMS), interventional Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS)-guided procedures have become the standard approach for PFC drainage. However, there is still limited consensus on several aspects of the multidisciplinary management of PFCs. The interventional endoscopy and ultrasound (i-EUS) group is an Italian network of clinicians and scientists with special interest in biliopancreatic interventional endoscopy, especially interventional EUS. This manuscript describes the first part of the results of a consensus conference organized by i-EUS with the aim of providing evidence-based guidance on aspects such as indications for treating PFCs, the timing of intervention, and different technical strategies for managing patients with PFCs.
ABSTRACT
Pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs), including pancreatic pseudocysts (PPs) and walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WON), are common complications of pancreatitis and pancreatic surgery. Historically, the treatment of these conditions has relied on surgical and radiological approaches. The treatment of patients with PFCs has already focused toward an endoscopy-based approach, and with the development of dedicated lumen-apposing metal stents (LAMS), it has almost totally shifted towards interventional Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS)-guided procedures. However, there is still limited consensus on several aspects of PFCs treatment within the multidisciplinary management. The interventional endoscopy and ultrasound (i-EUS) group is an Italian network of clinicians and scientists with special interest in biliopancreatic interventional endoscopy, especially interventional EUS. This manuscript focuses on the second part of the results of a consensus conference organized by i-EUS, with the aim of providing evidence-based guidance on several intra- and post-procedural aspects of PFCs drainage, such as clinical management and follow-up.
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Background & Aims: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a growing epidemic and a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study investigated the long-term outcomes of liver resection (LR) for HCC in patients with MS. Rates, timing, patterns, and treatment of recurrences were investigated, and cancer-specific survivals were assessed. Methods: Between 2001 and 2021, data from 24 clinical centers were collected. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and cancer-specific survival were analyzed as well as recurrence patterns and treatment. The analysis was conducted using a competing-risk framework. The trajectory of the risk of recurrence over time was applied to a competing risk analysis. For post-recurrence survival, death resulting from tumor progression was the primary endpoint, whereas deaths with recurrence relating to other causes were considered as competing events. Results: In total, 813 patients were included in the study. Median OS was 81.4 months (range 28.1-157.0 months), and recurrence occurred in 48.3% of patients, with a median RFS of 39.8 months (range 15.7-174.7 months). Cause-specific hazard of recurrence showed a first peak 6 months (0.027), and a second peak 24 months (0.021) after surgery. The later the recurrence, the higher the chance of receiving curative intent approaches (p = 0.001). Size >5 cm, multiple tumors, microvascular invasion, and cirrhosis were independent predictors of recurrence showing a cause-specific hazard over time. RFS was associated with death for recurrence (hazard ratio: 0.985, 95% CI: 0.977-0.995; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Patients with MS undergoing LR for HCC have good long-term survival. Recurrence occurs in 48% of patients with a double-peak incidence and time-specific hazards depending on tumor-related factors and underlying disease. The timing of recurrence significantly impacts survival. Surveillance after resection should be adjusted over time depending on risk factors. Impact and implications: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a growing epidemic and a significant risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The present study demonstrated that patients who undergo surgical resection for HCC on MS have a good long-term survival and that recurrence occurs in almost half of the cases with a double peak incidence and time-specific hazards depending on tumor-related factors and underlying liver disease. Also, the timing of recurrence significantly impacts survival. Clinicians should therefore adjust follow-up after surgery accordingly, considering timing of recurrence and specific risk factors. Also, the results of the present study might help design future trials on the use of adjuvant therapy following resection.
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BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) malignancies may achieve statistical cure i.e., a mortality risk which aligns with the general population. AIMS: To summarize the results of different cure models in HPB malignancies. METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature search and selected studies on curative-intent surgery (hepatic resection, HR, or liver transplantation, LT) for HPB malignancies including a cure model in their analysis. The review protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024528694). RESULTS: Eleven studies reporting a cure model after HPB surgery for malignancy were included: 6 on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) two on biliary tract cancers (BTC), one on pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNET), one on pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), and one on colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). In terms of OS, the cure fraction of HCC is 63.4 %-75.8 % with LT and 31.8 %-40.5 % with HR, achieved within 7.2-10 years and 7-14.4 years respectively. The cure fraction of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is 9.7 % in terms of DFS, but largely depends on tumor stage. PDAC and pNET display a cure fraction of 20.4 % and 57.1 % respectively in terms of DFS, confirming the impact of histotype on DFS. CONCLUSION: Statistical cure for hepato-pancreato-biliary cancers can be achieved with surgery. The probability of cure depends on the interplay between tumor stage and aggressiveness, effectiveness of the surgical treatment and persistence of chronic conditions after surgery.
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Importance: There are currently no clinically relevant criteria to predict a futile up-front pancreatectomy in patients with anatomically resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Objectives: To develop a futility risk model using a multi-institutional database and provide unified criteria associated with a futility likelihood below a safety threshold of 20%. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective study took place from January 2010 through December 2021 at 5 high- or very high-volume centers in Italy. Data were analyzed during April 2024. Participants included consecutive patients undergoing up-front pancreatectomy at the participating institutions. Exposure: Standard management, per existing guidelines. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome measure was the rate of futile pancreatectomy, defined as an operation resulting in patient death or disease recurrence within 6 months. Dichotomous criteria were constructed to maintain the futility likelihood below 20%, corresponding to the chance of not receiving postneoadjuvant resection from existing pooled data. Results: This study included 1426 patients. The median age was 69 (interquartile range, 62-75) years, 759 patients were male (53.2%), and 1076 had head cancer (75.4%). The rate of adjuvant treatment receipt was 73.7%. For the model construction, the study sample was split into a derivation (n = 885) and a validation cohort (n = 541). The rate of futile pancreatectomy was 18.9% (19.2% in the development and 18.6% in the validation cohort). Preoperative variables associated with futile resection were American Society of Anesthesiologists class (95% CI for coefficients, 0.68-0.87), cancer antigen (CA) 19.9 serum levels (95% CI, for coefficients 0.05-0.75), and tumor size (95% CI for coefficients, 0.28-0.46). Three risk groups associated with an escalating likelihood of futile resection, worse pathological features, and worse outcomes were identified. Four discrete conditions (defined as CA 19.9 levels-adjusted-to-size criteria: tumor size less than 2 cm with CA 19.9 levels less than 1000 U/mL; tumor size less than 3 cm with CA 19.9 levels less than 500 U/mL; tumor size less than 4 cm with CA 19.9 levels less than 150 U/mL; and tumor size less than 5 cm with CA 19.9 levels less than 50 U/mL) were associated with a futility likelihood below 20%. Both disease-free survival and overall survival were significantly longer in patients fulfilling the criteria. Conclusions and relevance: In this study, a preoperative model (MetroPancreas) and dichotomous criteria to determine the risk of futile pancreatectomy were developed. This might help in selecting patients for up-front resection or neoadjuvant therapy.
Subject(s)
Bile Duct Neoplasms , Cholangiocarcinoma , Radiomics , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Humans , Bile Duct Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Bile Duct Neoplasms/mortality , Bile Duct Neoplasms/pathology , Bile Duct Neoplasms/surgery , Cholangiocarcinoma/diagnostic imaging , Cholangiocarcinoma/mortality , Cholangiocarcinoma/pathology , Cholangiocarcinoma/surgery , Prognosis , Survival Rate , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methodsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Endoscopic full-thickness resection (EFTR) is an effective and safe technique for nonlifting colorectal lesions. Technical issues or failures with the full-thickness resection device (FTRD) system are reported, but there are no detailed data. The aim of our study was to quantify and classify FTRD technical failures. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study involving 17 Italian centers with experience in advanced resection techniques and the required devices. Each center shared and classified all prospectively collected consecutive failures during colorectal EFTR using the FTRD from 2018 to 2022. The primary outcome was the technical failure rate and their classification; secondary outcomes included subsequent management, clinical success, and complications. RESULTS: Included lesions were mainly recurrent (52â%), with a mean (SD) dimension of 18.4 (7.5) mm. Among 750 EFTRs, failures occurred in 77 patients (35 women; mean [SD] age 69.4 [8.9] years). A classification was proposed: type I, snare noncutting (53â%); type II, clip misdeployment (31â%); and type III, cap misplacement (16â%). Among endoscopic treatments completed, rescue endoscopic mucosal resection was performed in 57 patients (74â%), allowing en bloc and R0 resection in 71â% and 64â%, respectively. The overall adverse event rate was 27.3â%. Pooled estimates for the rates of failure, complications, and rescue endoscopic therapy were similar for low and high volume centers (Pâ=â0.08, Pâ=â0.70, and Pâ=â0.71, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Colorectal EFTR with the FTRD is a challenging technique with a non-negligible rate of technical failure and complications. Experience in rescue resection techniques and multidisciplinary management are mandatory in this setting.
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BACKGROUND: For many tumors, radiomics provided a relevant prognostic contribution. This study tested whether the computed tomography (CT)-based textural features of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and peritumoral tissue improve the prediction of survival after resection compared with the standard clinical indices. METHODS: All consecutive patients affected by ICC who underwent hepatectomy at six high-volume centers (2009-2019) were considered for the study. The arterial and portal phases of CT performed fewer than 60 days before surgery were analyzed. A manual segmentation of the tumor was performed (Tumor-VOI). A 5-mm volume expansion then was applied to identify the peritumoral tissue (Margin-VOI). RESULTS: The study enrolled 215 patients. After a median follow-up period of 28 months, the overall survival (OS) rate was 57.0%, and the progression-free survival (PFS) rate was 34.9% at 3 years. The clinical predictive model of OS had a C-index of 0.681. The addition of radiomic features led to a progressive improvement of performances (C-index of 0.71, including the portal Tumor-VOI, C-index of 0.752 including the portal Tumor- and Margin-VOI, C-index of 0.764, including all VOIs of the portal and arterial phases). The latter model combined clinical variables (CA19-9 and tumor pattern), tumor indices (density, homogeneity), margin data (kurtosis, compacity, shape), and GLRLM indices. The model had performance equivalent to that of the postoperative clinical model including the pathology data (C-index of 0.765). The same results were observed for PFS. CONCLUSIONS: The radiomics of ICC and peritumoral tissue extracted from preoperative CT improves the prediction of survival. Both the portal and arterial phases should be considered. Radiomic and clinical data are complementary and achieve a preoperative estimation of prognosis equivalent to that achieved in the postoperative setting.
Subject(s)
Bile Duct Neoplasms , Cholangiocarcinoma , Hepatectomy , Radiomics , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Bile Duct Neoplasms/surgery , Bile Duct Neoplasms/pathology , Bile Duct Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Bile Duct Neoplasms/mortality , Cholangiocarcinoma/surgery , Cholangiocarcinoma/pathology , Cholangiocarcinoma/diagnostic imaging , Cholangiocarcinoma/mortality , Follow-Up Studies , Hepatectomy/mortality , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methodsABSTRACT
The use of lymphadenectomy (LND) during resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is still debated, leading to differing practices in different centers and countries. The aim of this study was to assess such differences. A survey on LND for ICC was distributed to the members of the International Hepato-PancreatoBiliary Association (IHPBA) and the Italian Chapter of IHPBA (AICEP). Two-hundred thirty-four surgeons completed the survey (88% males; median age 46 years). Preoperative nodal staging was deemed mandatory/very important by 65%. Adequate LND was defined as hepatoduodenal ligament LND by 33%, LND at specific nodal stations by 28% and retrieval of > 5 nodes by 28%. The decision to perform LND was influenced by comorbidities (48%), chronic liver disease (38%) and satellitosis (32%). Most participants modify perioperative management in case of clinically positive nodes, 50% stating they would give neoadjuvant therapy. The role of LND in clinically node negative disease was adequate staging for 88%, survival benefit for 50.5% and clinical trials eligibility for 18.5%. Our survey confirms heterogeneity in the evaluation of role and extent of LND for ICC, how this relates to subjective perception of importance of LND, and need of a systematic approach in this area.
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Intraperitoneal prophylactic drain (IPD) use in pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is still controversial. A survey was designed to investigate surgeons' use of IPD in PD patients through 23 questions and one clinical vignette. For the clinical scenario, respondents were asked to report their regret of omission and commission regarding the use of IPD elicited on a scale between 0 (no regret) and 100 (maximum regret). The threshold model and a multilevel mixed regression were applied. One hundred three (97.2%) respondents confirmed using at least two IPDs. The median regret due to the omission of IPD was 84 (67-100, IQR). The median regret due to the commission of IPD was 10 (3.5-20, IQR). The CR-POPF probability threshold at which drainage omission was the less regrettable choice was 3% (1-50, IQR). The threshold was lower for those surgeons who performed minimally invasive PD (P = 0.048), adopted late removal (P = 0.002), perceived FRS able to predict the risk (P = 0.006), and IPD able to avoid relaparotomy P = 0.036). Drain management policies after PD remain heterogeneous among surgeons. The regret model suggested that IPD omission could be performed in low-risk patients.
Subject(s)
Drainage , Pancreaticoduodenectomy , Pancreaticoduodenectomy/methods , Humans , Italy , Surveys and Questionnaires , Female , Male , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Surgeons/psychology , Middle AgedABSTRACT
The REDISCOVER guidelines present 34 recommendations for the selection and perioperative care of borderline-resectable (BR-PDAC) and locally advanced ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas (LA-PDAC). These guidelines represent a significant shift from previous approaches, prioritizing tumor biology over anatomical features as the primary indication for resection. Condensed herein, they provide a practical management algorithm for clinical practice. However, the guidelines also highlight the need to redefine LA-PDAC to align with modern treatment strategies and to solve some contradictions within the current definition, such as grouping "difficult" and "impossible" to resect tumors together. Furthermore, the REDISCOVER guidelines highlight several areas requiring urgent research. These include the resection of the superior mesenteric artery, the management strategies for patients with LA-PDAC who are fit for surgery but unable to receive multi-agent neoadjuvant chemotherapy, the approach to patients with LA-PDAC who are fit for surgery but demonstrate high serum Ca 19.9 levels even after neoadjuvant treatment, and the optimal timing and number of chemotherapy cycles prior to surgery. Additionally, the role of primary chemoradiotherapy versus chemotherapy alone in LA-PDAC, the timing of surgical resection post-neoadjuvant/primary chemoradiotherapy, the efficacy of ablation therapies, and the management of oligometastasis in patients with LA-PDAC warrant investigation. Given the limited evidence for many issues, refining existing management strategies is imperative. The establishment of the REDISCOVER registry ( https://rediscover.unipi.it/ ) offers promise of a unified research platform to advance understanding and improve the management of BR-PDAC and LA-PDAC.
Subject(s)
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Quality Indicators, Health Care , Humans , Pancreatic Neoplasms/surgery , Pancreatic Neoplasms/mortality , Pancreatic Neoplasms/pathology , Quality Indicators, Health Care/standards , Pancreatectomy/standards , Pancreatectomy/adverse effectsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Endoscopic ultrasound-guided hepaticogastrostomy (EUS-HGS) is a valid option for EUS-guided biliary drainage that has been increasingly used in the last decade. The aims of this study were to provide a systematic review with meta-analysis and meta-regression of the features and outcomes of this procedure. METHODS: The MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases were searched for literature pertinent to EUS-HGS. Meta-analysis of the proportions and meta-regression of potential modifiers of the main outcome measures were applied. The main outcome was technical success; secondary outcomes were clinical success and procedure-related adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: 33 studies, including 1644 patients, were included in the meta-analysis. Malignant biliary obstruction (MBO) was the underlying cause in almost all cases (99.6%); the main indications for EUS-HGS were duodenal/papillary invasion (34.8%), surgically altered anatomy (18.4%), and hilar stenosis (16.0%). The pooled technical success of EUS-HGS was 97.7% (95%CI 96.1%-99.0%; I 2 = 0%), the intention-to-treat clinical success rate was 88.1% (95%CI 84.7%-91.2%; I 2 = 33.9%), and procedure-related AEs occurred in 12.0% (95%CI 9.8%-14.5%; I 2 = 20.4%), with cholangitis/sepsis (2.8%) and bleeding (2.3%) the most frequent. The rate of procedure-related AEs was lower with the use of dedicated stents on univariable meta-regression analysis. Meta-regression showed that technical success and clinical success rates were modified by the centers' experience (>4/year). CONCLUSIONS: EUS-HGS represents an effective and safe procedure for EUS-guided biliary drainage in patients with MBO. Future studies should address the impact of center experience, patient selection, and the use of dedicated stents to improve performance of this technique.
Subject(s)
Cholestasis , Drainage , Endosonography , Humans , Endosonography/methods , Drainage/methods , Drainage/adverse effects , Cholestasis/surgery , Cholestasis/etiology , Ultrasonography, Interventional , Gastrostomy/adverse effects , Gastrostomy/methods , Stents , Treatment Outcome , Regression AnalysisABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The REDISCOVER consensus conference aimed at developing and validating guidelines on the perioperative care of patients with borderline-resectable (BR-) and locally advanced (LA) pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). BACKGROUND: Coupled with improvements in chemotherapy and radiation, the contemporary approach to pancreatic surgery supports the resection of BR-PDAC and, to a lesser extent, LA-PDAC. Guidelines outlining the selection and perioperative care for these patients are lacking. METHODS: The Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) methodology was used to develop the REDISCOVER guidelines and create recommendations. The Delphi approach was used to reach a consensus (agreement ≥80%) among experts. Recommendations were approved after a debate and vote among international experts in pancreatic surgery and pancreatic cancer management. A Validation Committee used the AGREE II-GRS tool to assess the methodological quality of the guidelines. Moreover, an independent multidisciplinary advisory group revised the statements to ensure adherence to nonsurgical guidelines. RESULTS: Overall, 34 recommendations were created targeting centralization, training, staging, patient selection for surgery, possibility of surgery in uncommon scenarios, timing of surgery, avoidance of vascular reconstruction, details of vascular resection/reconstruction, arterial divestment, frozen section histology of perivascular tissue, extent of lymphadenectomy, anticoagulation prophylaxis, and role of minimally invasive surgery. The level of evidence was however low for 29 of 34 clinical questions. Participants agreed that the most conducive means to promptly advance our understanding in this field is to establish an international registry addressing this patient population ( https://rediscover.unipi.it/ ). CONCLUSIONS: The REDISCOVER guidelines provide clinical recommendations pertaining to pancreatectomy with vascular resection for patients with BR-PDAC and LA-PDAC, and serve as the basis of a new international registry for this patient population.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal , Pancreatectomy , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Perioperative Care , Humans , Pancreatic Neoplasms/surgery , Pancreatic Neoplasms/pathology , Perioperative Care/standards , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal/surgery , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal/pathology , Delphi Technique , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Neoplasm Staging , Patient SelectionABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Self-expandable metal stents (SEMSs) are standardly used for distal malignant biliary obstruction (dMBO). Although data suggest that covered versus uncovered SEMSs increase the time to recurrent biliary obstruction (TRBO), no data are available for fully covered (FC) versus partially covered (PC) designs. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane databases were screened up to January 2023 for studies concerning dMBO treated by an FC- or PC-SEMS and describing adverse events (AEs), recurrences, or TRBO for specific design subpopulations. Pooled proportions or means were calculated using a random-effects model. Several subanalyses were preplanned, including a subanalysis restricted to prospective studies and unresectable diseases. Heterogeneity and publication bias were explored. Standardized differences (d-values) were calculated between groups. RESULTS: From 1290 records, 62 studies (3327 using FC-SEMSs and 2322 using PC-SEMSs) were included. FC- versus PC-SEMSs showed negligible differences in the rate of total AEs (12% vs 9.9%) and all specific AEs, including cholecystitis (2.5% vs 2.6%). In a subanalysis restricted to prospective studies and unresectable diseases, the rate of RBO was comparable between FC-SEMSs (27.3% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 23.7-31.2], I2 = 35.34%) and PC-SEMSs (25.3% [95% CI, 20.2-30.7], I2 = 85.09%), despite small differences (d-values between .186 and .216) in the rate of ingrowth (.5% vs 2.9%) favoring FC-SEMSs and migration (9.8% vs 4.3%) favoring PC-SEMSs. TRBO was shorter for FC-SEMSs (238 days [95% CI, 191-286], I2 = 63.1%) versus PC-SEMSs (369 days [95% CI, 290-449], I2 = 71.9%; d-value = .116). CONCLUSIONS: Despite considerable heterogeneity and small standardized differences, PC-SEMSs consistently exhibited longer TRBO than FC-SEMSs across analyses, without any other differences in AE rates, potentially proposing PC-SEMSs as the standard comparator and TRBO as the primary outcome for future randomized studies on dMBO. (Clinical trial registration number: CRD42023393965.).
Subject(s)
Cholecystitis , Cholestasis , Self Expandable Metallic Stents , Humans , Prospective Studies , Prosthesis Failure , Cholestasis/etiology , Cholestasis/surgery , Stents , Treatment Outcome , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To assess the probability of being cured from pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) by pancreatic surgery. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Statistical cure implies that a patient treated for a specific disease will have the same life expectancy as if he/she never had that disease. METHODS: Patients who underwent pancreatic resection for PDAC between 2010 and 2021 were retrospectively identified using a multi-institutional database. A non-mixture statistical cure model was applied to compare disease-free survival to the survival expected for matched general population. RESULTS: Among 2554 patients, either in the setting of upfront (n=1691) or neoadjuvant strategy (n=863), the cure model showed that the probability that surgery would offer the same life-expectancy (and tumor-free) as the matched general population was 20.4% (95%CI: 18.3, 22.5). Cure likelihood reached the 95% of certainty (time-to-cure) after 5.3 years (95%CI: 4.7, 6.0). A preoperative model was developed based on tumor stage at diagnosis (P=0.001), radiological size (P=0.001), response to chemotherapy (P=0.007), American Society of Anesthesiology class (P=0.001) and pre-operative Ca19-9 (P=0.001). A post-operative model with the addition of surgery type (P=0.015), pathological size (P=0.001), tumour grading (P=0.001), resection margin (P=0.001), positive lymphnode ratio (P=0.001) and the receipt of adjuvant therapy (P=0.001) was also developed. CONCLUSIONS: Patients operated for PDAC can achieve a life-expectancy similar to that of general population and the likelihood of cure increases with the passage of recurrence-free time. An online calculator was developed and available at https://aicep.website/?cff-form=15.
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AIM: To highlight correlations existing between incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer, and health care indicators in 36 European countries. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) and Eurostat databases were queried between 2004 and 2019. Incidence and mortality were age-standardized. From Eurostat, indicators regarding expenditure, hospital beds, medical technology, health personnel, physicians by medical specialty and unmet needs for medical examination were extracted. Correlations between GBD and Eurostat data were analysed through mediation analysis applying clustering for countries. RESULTS: Incidence increased by +0.6% per year (p = 0.001) and mortality by +0.3% (p = 0.001), being increasing for most of the European countries considered. Incidence and mortality were strongly positively correlated (p = 0.001). Higher current health expenditure, expenditure in inpatient curative care, the number of available beds, the number of computed tomography scan, magnetic resonance units, practising medical doctors were all related to higher incidence (p < 0.05), whereas the unmet need for medical examinations was related to lower incidence. When the mediator' effect of incidence was handled, these indicators, together with expenditure on outpatient curative cares, the number of pet scanners and of radiation therapy equipment, were related to lower mortality (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Health care environment correlates with reported incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer. This highlights both that ameliorated socio-economic societies suffer from higher incidence but lower mortality, as well as the epidemiological bias originating from countries' diagnostic ability.
Subject(s)
Global Burden of Disease , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Humans , Incidence , Mediation Analysis , Health Expenditures , Global Health , Pancreatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Pancreatic Neoplasms/therapyABSTRACT
Standard imaging cannot assess the pathology details of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). We investigated whether CT-based radiomics may improve the prediction of tumor characteristics. All consecutive patients undergoing liver resection for ICC (2009-2019) in six high-volume centers were evaluated for inclusion. On the preoperative CT, we segmented the ICC (Tumor-VOI, i.e., volume-of-interest) and a 5-mm parenchyma rim around the tumor (Margin-VOI). We considered two types of pathology data: tumor grading (G) and microvascular invasion (MVI). The predictive models were internally validated. Overall, 244 patients were analyzed: 82 (34%) had G3 tumors and 139 (57%) had MVI. For G3 prediction, the clinical model had an AUC = 0.69 and an Accuracy = 0.68 at internal cross-validation. The addition of radiomic features extracted from the portal phase of CT improved the model performance (Clinical data+Tumor-VOI: AUC = 0.73/Accuracy = 0.72; +Tumor-/Margin-VOI: AUC = 0.77/Accuracy = 0.77). Also for MVI prediction, the addition of portal phase radiomics improved the model performance (Clinical data: AUC = 0.75/Accuracy = 0.70; +Tumor-VOI: AUC = 0.82/Accuracy = 0.73; +Tumor-/Margin-VOI: AUC = 0.82/Accuracy = 0.75). The permutation tests confirmed that a combined clinical-radiomic model outperforms a purely clinical one (p < 0.05). The addition of the textural features extracted from the arterial phase had no impact. In conclusion, the radiomic features of the tumor and peritumoral tissue extracted from the portal phase of preoperative CT improve the prediction of ICC grading and MVI.
ABSTRACT
Direct endoscopic necrosectomy (DEN) is a challenging procedure for the debridement of walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WOPN), which may be complicated by several adverse events, primarily bleeding which may require radiological embolization or even surgery. The lack of dedicated devices for this purpose largely affects the possibility of safely performing DEN which increases the risk of complications. We present the case of a 63 years-old man who underwent an endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided drainage of a WOPN, and who was readmitted one month after stent removal with clinical, endoscopic, and radiological signs of infected necrosis involving the splenic artery. A second EUS-guided drainage was performed, with clear visualization of the arterial vessel in the midst of a large amount of solid necrosis. Due to the high risk of major bleeding during DEN, a hybrid procedure in the angiographic room was performed, in order to identify and avoid, under fluoroscopic control, the splenic artery during the entire procedure guide, which was successfully performed using the EndoRotor system. We hereby review the current literature regarding DEN using the EndoRotor system. The case reported, with a literature overview, may help the management of these patients affected by benign but life-threatening conditions which involve a multidisciplinary setting.