Optimized personalized management approach for moderate/severe OHSS: development and prospective validation of an OHSS risk assessment index.

STUDY QUESTION: Can a simplified ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) risk assessment index be developed and validated with sufficient discrimination of moderate/severe OHSS from those without OHSS? SUMMARY ANSWER: This easy-to-use OHSS risk assessment index shows good discriminative power and high calibration accuracy in internal and external validation cohorts. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: An early alert and risk stratification is critical to prevent the occurrence of OHSS. We have previously developed a multi-stage smartphone app-based prediction model to evaluate the risk of OHSS, but app use might not be so convenient in many primary institutions. A simplified OHSS risk assessment index has been required. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This training and internal validation of an OHSS risk assessment index used retrospective cohort data from January 2016 to December 2020. External validation was performed with a prospective cohort database from January 2021 to May 2022. There were 15 066 cycles in the training cohort, 6502 cycles in the internal validation cohort, and 8097 cycles in the external validation cohort. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: This study was performed in the reproductive medicine center of a tertiary hospital. Infertile women who underwent ovarian stimulation were included. Data were extracted from the local database with detailed medical records. A multi-stage risk assessment index was constructed at multiple stages. The first stage was before the initiation of ovarian stimulation, the second was before the ovulation trigger, the third was after oocyte retrieval, and the last stage was on the embryo transfer day if fresh embryo transfer was scheduled. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: We established a simplified multi-stage risk assessment index for moderate/severe OHSS, the performance of which was further evaluated with discrimination and calibration abilities in training and internal and external validation cohorts. The discrimination abilities of the OHSS risk assessment index were determined with C-statistics. C-statistics in training (Stages 1-4: 0.631, 0.692, 0.751, 0.788, respectively) and internal (Stages 1-4: 0.626, 0.642, 0.755, 0.771, respectively) and external validation (Stages 1-4: 0.668, 0.670, 0.754, 0.773, respectively) cohorts were all increased from Stage 1 to 3 with similar trends, and were comparable between Stages 3 and 4. Calibration plots showed high agreement between observed and predicted cases in all three cohorts. Incidences of OHSS based on diverse risk stratification (negligible risk, low risk, medium risk, and high risk) were 0%, 0.6%, 2.7%, and 8.3% in the training cohort, 0%, 0.6%, 3.3%, and 8.5% in the internal validation cohort, and 0.1%, 1.1%, 4.1%, and 7.2% in the external validation cohort. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The influence from clinical interventions including cryopreservation of all embryos cannot be eliminated and thus certain risk factors like estrogen level on trigger day might be assigned with a lower risk score. Another weakness of the study is that several preventive treatments, for instance oral aspirin and letrozole, were not recorded and evaluated in the model. Despite the robust reliability of OHSS assessment index, this tool cannot be used directly for clinical decision-making or as a diagnostic tool. Its value lies in its capacity to evaluate the prognosis of various interventions and to facilitate clinician-patient communication. The combination of this tool and further symptoms and examinations should be all taken into consideration for accurate and personalized management of OHSS. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The OHSS risk assessment index can be implemented to facilitate personalized counseling and management of OHSS. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by National Key R&D Program of China (2022YFC2702504), Medical Research Fund Guangdong Provincial (A2024003), and Xinjiang Support Rural Science and Technology (Special Correspondent) Program in Guangdong Province (KTPYJ 2023014). All authors had nothing to disclose. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Lachnoclostridium intestinal flora is associated with immunotherapy efficacy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Effective biomarkers for assessing anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy efficacy in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) are still lacking. The human gut microbiota has been shown to influence clinical response to anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy in many cancers. However, the relationship between the gut microbiota and the efficacy of immunotherapy in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma has not been determined. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study in which fecal and blood samples from patients with NPC were subjected to 16S rDNA sequencing and survival analysis. To investigate potential differences in the gut microbiome between these groups and to identify potential biomarkers indicative of immunotherapy efficacy, patients were categorized into two groups according to their clinical response to immunotherapy, the responder group (R group) and the non-responder group (NR group). Progression-free survival (PFS) between these subgroups was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with the log-rank test. Additionally, we performed univariate and multivariate analyses to evaluate prognostic factors. Finally, we carried out non-targeted metabolomics to examine the metabolic effects associated with the identified microbiome. RESULTS: Our 16S rDNA sequencing results showed that the abundance of Lachnoclostridium was higher in the NR group than in the R group (p = 0.003), and alpha diversity analysis showed that the abundance of microbiota in the NR group was higher than that in the R group (p = 0.050). Patients with a lower abundance of Lachnoclostridium had better PFS (p = 0.048). Univariate (p = 0.017) and multivariate analysis (p = 0.040) showed that Lachnoclostridium was a predictor of PFS. Non-targeted metabolomics analysis revealed that Lachnoclostridium affects the efficacy of immunotherapy through the usnic acid. CONCLUSIONS: High abundance of Lachnoclostridium predicts poor prognosis in patients with NPC receiving immunotherapy.

Transition of cooking fuels and obesity risk in Chinese adults.

BACKGROUND: Since 1990 s, China has witnessed a widespread transition to clean cooking fuels, presenting an opportunity to investigate whether household fuel transition could mitigate obesity risk and reconcile inconsistencies in the literature regarding the association between cooking fuels and obesity. METHODS: The China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) is a prospective cohort study covering 12 provinces of China (1989-2015). Participants were classified into persistent cleaner fuel users, fuel transitioners, and persistent polluting fuel users according to self-reported primary cooking fuels. Obesity and central obesity were defined as BMI ≥ 28.0 kg/m2 and waist circumference ≥ 90 cm in men and ≥ 85 cm in women according to Chinese criteria. FINDINGS: Among 13,032 participants, 3657 (28.06 %) were persistent cleaner fuel users; 5264 (40.39 %) transitioned from using polluting fuels to cleaner fuels after the baseline survey; and 4111 (31.55 %) were persistent polluting fuel users. During the period of follow-up of 9.0 ± 6.8 years, 1248 (9.58 %) participants were classified into the obesity category, and 4703 (36.09 %) into the central obesity category. Persistent polluting fuel users had a significantly higher risk of developing obesity (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.45, 95 %CI: 1.22-1.72) and central obesity (HR: 1.32, 95 %CI: 1.21-1.44), compared to persistent cleaner fuel users. Persistent polluting fuel use was positively associated with developing obesity in women (HR: 1.64, 95 %CI: 1.30-2.06), but not in men. Subgroup analyses showed higher HR of persistent polluting fuel use among individuals aged 18-44 years (HR: 2.04, 95 %CI: 1.62-2.56). In contrast, the transitioners did not exhibit a significantly different risk of developing obesity (HR: 0.94, 95 %CI: 0.80-1.10) compared to persistent cleaner fuel users, which was consistent across different sex, age and urbanicity. Similar trends were observed for developing central obesity. INTERPRETATION: Persistent polluting fuel use increased obesity risk while the obesity risk of the transition to cleaner fuels was similar to persistent use of cleaner fuels. The finding underscores the significance of advocating for the adoption of cleaner fuels as a strategy to mitigate the disease burden associated with obesity.

Association of random glucose to albumin ratio with post-contrast acute kidney injury and clinical outcomes in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction.

Purpose: Both glucose and albumin are associated with chronic inflammation, which plays a vital role in post-contrast acute kidney injury (PC-AKI). To explore the relationship between random glucose to albumin ratio (RAR) and the incidence of PC-AKI after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Patients and methods: STEMI patients who underwent PCI were consecutively enrolled from January, 01, 2010 to February, 28, 2020. All patients were categorized into T1, T2, and T3 groups, respectively, based on RAR value (RAR < 3.377; 3.377 ≤ RAR ≤ 4.579; RAR > 4.579). The primary outcome was the incidence of PC-AKI, and the incidence of major adverse clinical events (MACE) was the second endpoint. The association between RAR and PC-AKI was assessed by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 2,924 patients with STEMI undergoing PCI were finally included. The incidence of PC-AKI increased with the increasing tertile of RAR (3.2% vs 4.8% vs 10.6%, P<0.001). Multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that RAR (as a continuous variable) was associated with the incidence of PC-AKI (adjusted odds ratio (OR) =1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI) =1.04 - 1.16, P<0.001) and in-hospital MACE (OR=1.07, 95% CI=1.02 - 1.14, P=0.012); RAR, as a categorical variable, was significantly associated with PC-AKI (T3 vs. T1, OR=1.70, 95% CI=1.08 - 2.67, P=0.021) and in-hospital MACE (T3 vs. T1, OR=1.63, 95% CI=1.02 - 2.60, P=0.041) in multivariable regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that RAR exhibited a predictive value for PC-AKI (area under the curve (AUC)=0.666, 95% CI=0.625 - 0.708), and in-hospital MACE (AUC= 0.662, 95% CI =0.619 - 0.706). Conclusions: The high value of RAR was significantly associated with the increasing risk of PC-AKI and in-hospital MACE after PCI in STEMI patients, and RAR offers a good predictive value for those outcomes.

Associations of proton pump inhibitors with susceptibility to influenza, pneumonia, and COVID-19: Evidence from a large population-based cohort study.

Background: Adverse effects of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) have raised wide concerns. The association of PPIs with influenza is unexplored, while that with pneumonia or COVID-19 remains controversial. Our study aims to evaluate whether PPI use increases the risks of these respiratory infections. Methods: The current study included 160,923 eligible participants at baseline who completed questionnaires on medication use, which included PPI or histamine-2 receptor antagonist (H2RA), from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards regression and propensity score-matching analyses were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Comparisons with H2RA users were tested. PPI use was associated with increased risks of developing influenza (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.12-1.56) and pneumonia (hazard ratio [HR] 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26-1.59). In contrast, the risk of COVID-19 infection was not significant with regular PPI use (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.99-1.17), while the risks of severe COVID-19 (HR 1.19. 95% CI 1.11-1.27) and mortality (HR 1.37. 95% CI 1.29-1.46) were increased. However, when compared with H2RA users, PPI users were associated with a higher risk of influenza (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.19-2.54), but the risks with pneumonia or COVID-19-related outcomes were not evident. Conclusions: PPI users are associated with increased risks of influenza, pneumonia, as well as COVID-19 severity and mortality compared to non-users, while the effects on pneumonia or COVID-19-related outcomes under PPI use were attenuated when compared to the use of H2RAs. Appropriate use of PPIs based on comprehensive evaluation is required. Funding: This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82171698, 82170561, 81300279, 81741067, 82100238), the Program for High-level Foreign Expert Introduction of China (G2022030047L), the Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars of Guangdong Province (2021B1515020003), the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (2022A1515012081), the Foreign Distinguished Teacher Program of Guangdong Science and Technology Department (KD0120220129), the Climbing Program of Introduced Talents and High-level Hospital Construction Project of Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (DFJH201923, DFJH201803, KJ012019099, KJ012021143, KY012021183), and in part by VA Clinical Merit and ASGE clinical research funds (FWL).

Role of combined surgical and radiotherapy treatment in nonmetastatic WHO I nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: Keratinizing squamous cell carcinoma (KSCC) is recognized as WHO I nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Current guidelines for treating nasopharyngeal cancer do not delineate specific strategies for individual pathologic subtypes. OBJECTIVES: To explore the optimal treatment for KSCC of the nasopharynx. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data on patients were extracted from the SEER database. Survival differences between patients treated with radiotherapy alone and combined surgery were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models and compared using propensity score matching (PSM). In addition, we explored the survival differences between the two groups of patients in different risk stratifications. RESULTS: In our study, 165 patients underwent surgical intervention, while 1238 patients did not. In both univariate (CSS: p = .001, HR = 0.612; OS: p < .001, HR = 0.623) and multivariate (CSS: p = .004, HR = 0.655; OS: p < .001, HR = 0.655) analyses, combined surgery was identified as a significant prognostic factor. These findings were consistent after PSM. Using RPA, patients were categorized into two groups. CSS improved in the high-risk group, whereas the difference in low-risk patients was not significant. CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE: For patients diagnosed with WHO I nasopharyngeal carcinoma, the combination of radiotherapy and surgery has significant clinical advantages, especially for patients at high risk.

The development and validation of a prediction model for imminent vertebral osteoporotic fracture in postmenopausal women.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop and validate a new model that focused on the risk of imminent vertebral fractures in women with osteoporosis. METHODS: Data from 2,048 patients were extracted from three hospitals, of which 1,720 patients passed the inclusion and exclusion screen. The patients from Nanfang Hospital (NFH) were randomized at a 2:1 ratio to create a training cohort (n = 709) and an internal validation cohort (n = 355), with the patients from the other two hospitals (n = 656) used for external validation. The risk factors included in the imminent osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs) prediction model (labelled TVF) were sorted by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and constructed by logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the decision curve, and the clinical impact curves of the optimal model were analyzed to verify the model. RESULTS: There were 138 and 161 fresh fractures in NFH and the other two hospitals, respectively. The lowest BMD T value and the history of vertebral fracture were integrated into the TVF model. The prediction power of TVF was demonstrated by the AUCs of 0.788 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.728-0.849) in the training cohort and 0.774 (95% CI, 0.705-0.842) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.790 (95% CI, 0.742-0.839) and 0.741 (95% CI, 0.668-0.813) in the external validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: The TVF model demonstrated good discrimination to stratify the imminent risk of OVCFs. We therefore consider the model as a pertinent commencement in the search for more accurate imminent OVCFs prediction.

The mediating effect of blood biomarkers in the associations between inflammatory bowel disease and incident psychiatric disorders: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Despite the growing evidence of an association between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and psychiatric disorders, there has been limited research exploring the underlying mediating role of blood biomarkers on the gut-brain axis. This study aimed to examine the association between IBD and the risk of incident psychiatric disorders and investigate whether and how blood biomarkers mediate this association. METHODS: This prospective cohort study using data from the UK Biobank included participants without psychiatric diagnoses at baseline. The case cohort consisted of participants with a hospital-based diagnosis of IBD at baseline. The primary outcome was all psychiatric disorders. Secondary outcomes included 11 major psychiatric disorders. Cox regression models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for psychiatric outcomes. Causal mediation models investigated the potential mediation effects of blood biomarkers. RESULTS: Among 491,131 participants, patients with IBD exhibited higher risks of overall psychiatric disorders (HR 1.23 [95% CI 1.13-1.33]), substance misuse (1.23 [1.09-1.38]), depression (1.36 [1.22-1.52]), anxiety (1.15 [1.01-1.30]) and post-traumatic stress disorder (1.87 [1.00-3.51]) compared with non-IBD participants. The association with incident substance misuse was only among patients with Crohn's disease (CD, 1.47 [1.23-1.76]), but not ulcerative colitis (UC, 1.01 [0.84-1.21]). Mediation analysis revealed 16, 14, 15, and 6 biomarkers partially mediated the associations for all psychiatric disorders, substance misuse, depression, and anxiety, respectively. Six blood markers showed the strongest mediating effects: neutrophil count (12.04%), C-reactive protein (10.29%), systemic immune-inflammatory index (8.94%), erythrocyte distribution width (16.51%), erythrocyte count (9.76%), and albumin (9.15%). Moreover, several blood mediators of CD identified in association with incident substance misuse may explain the risk discrepancy between IBD subtype. CONCLUSION: The blood biomarkers of inflammation, blood oxygen-carrying capacity, and metabolism mediate the effect of IBD on the risk of psychiatric outcomes and could be considered as a therapeutic target.

Hepatic-associated vascular morphological assessment to predict overt hepatic encephalopathy before TIPS: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: To provide patients the chance of accepting curative transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) rather than palliative treatments for portal hypertension-related variceal bleeding and ascites, we aimed to assess hepatic-associated vascular morphological change to improve the predictive accuracy of overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE) risks. METHODS: In this multicenter study, 621 patients undergoing TIPS were subdivided into training (413 cases from 3 hospitals) and external validation datasets (208 cases from another 3 hospitals). In addition to traditional clinical factors, we assessed hepatic-associated vascular morphological changes using maximum diameter (including absolute and ratio values). Three predictive models (clinical, hepatic-associated vascular, and combined) were constructed using logistic regression. Their discrimination and calibration were compared to test the necessity of hepatic-associated vascular assessment and identify the optimal model. Furthermore, to verify the improved performance of ModelC-V, we compared it with four previous models, both in discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: The combined model outperformed the clinical and hepatic-associated vascular models (training: 0.814, 0.754, 0.727; validation: 0.781, 0.679, 0.776; p < 0.050) and had the best calibration. Compared to previous models, ModelC-V showed superior performance in discrimination. The high-, middle-, and low-risk populations displayed significantly different overt HE incidence (p < 0.001). Despite the limited ability of pre-TIPS ammonia to predict overt HE risks, the combined model displayed a satisfactory ability to predict overt HE risks, both in the low- and high-ammonia subgroups. CONCLUSION: Hepatic-associated vascular assessment improved the predictive accuracy of overt HE, ensuring curative chances by TIPS for suitable patients and providing insights for cirrhosis-related studies.

Serum Albumin-to-Creatinine Ratio: A Novel Predictor of Pulmonary Infection in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

AIM: In patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), a low serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio (sACR) is associated with elevated risk of poor short- and long-term outcomes. However, the relationship between sACR and pulmonary infection during hospitalization in patients with STEMI undergoing PCI remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 4,507 patients with STEMI undergoing PCI were enrolled and divided into three groups according to sACR tertile. The primary outcome was pulmonary infection during hospitalization, and the secondary outcome was in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including stroke, in-hospital mortality, target vessel revascularization, recurrent myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality during follow-up. RESULTS: Overall, 522 (11.6%) patients developed pulmonary infections, and 223 (4.9%) patients developed in-hospital MACE. Cubic spline models indicated a non-linear, L-shaped relationship between sACR and pulmonary infection (P=0.039). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that sACR had good predictive value for both pulmonary infection (area under the ROC curve [AUC]=0.73, 95% CI=0.70-0.75, P＜0.001) and in-hospital MACE (AUC=0.72, 95% CI=0.69-0.76, P＜0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that higher sACR tertiles were associated with a greater cumulative survival rate (P＜0.001). Cox regression analysis identified lower sACR as an independent predictor of long-term all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]=0.96, 95% CI=0.95-0.98, P＜0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A low sACR was significantly associated with elevated risk of pulmonary infection and MACE during hospitalization, as well as all-cause mortality during follow-up among patients with STEMI undergoing PCI. These findings highlighted sACR as an important prognostic marker in this patient population.

Sleep patterns, genetic susceptibility, and digestive diseases: a large-scale longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sleep problems are prevalent. However, the impact of sleep patterns on digestive diseases remains uncertain. Moreover, the interaction between sleep patterns and genetic predisposition with digestive diseases has not been comprehensively explored. METHODS: Four hundred ten thousand five hundred eighty-six participants from UK Biobank with complete sleep information were included in the analysis. Sleep patterns were measured by sleep scores as the primary exposure, based on five healthy sleep behaviors. Individual sleep behaviors were secondary exposures. Genetic risk of the digestive diseases was characterized by polygenic risk score. Primary outcome was incidence of 16 digestive diseases. RESULTS: Healthy sleep scores showed dose-response associations with reduced risks of digestive diseases. Compared to participants scoring 0-1, those scoring 5 showed a 28% reduced risk of any digestive disease, including a 50% decrease in irritable bowel syndrome, 37% in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, 35% in peptic ulcer, 34% in dyspepsia, 32% in gastroesophageal reflux disease, 28% in constipation, 25% in diverticulosis, 24% in severe liver disease, and 18% in gallbladder disease, whereas no correlation was observed with inflammatory bowel disease and pancreatic disease. Participants with poor sleep and high genetic risk exhibited approximately a 60% increase in the risk of digestive diseases. A healthy sleep pattern is linked to lower digestive disease risk in participants of all genetic risk levels. CONCLUSIONS: In this large population-based cohort, a healthy sleep pattern was associated with a reduced risk of digestive diseases, regardless of genetic susceptibility. The authors' findings underscore the potential impact of healthy sleep traits in mitigating the risk of digestive diseases.

Myosteatosis is an independent risk factor for overt hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting.

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between skeletal muscle and adipose tissue compositions and risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) following transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) treatment needs to be investigated. METHODS: A total of 282 patients were collected from two medical centres. The median time of follow-up was 48.23 + 1.36 months and the first-year results of all patients after TIPS therapy were collected. The muscle and adipose tissue indices were quantified at the third lumbar vertebra level. Sarcopenia and myosteatosis were defined according to previous researches. Receiver operating characteristic curves, chi-square test, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to investigate the potential association between muscle and adipose indices, sarcopenia, myosteatosis and the risk of developing post-TIPS OHE. RESULTS: All skeletal muscle indices, adipose tissue indices and sarcopenia had limited associations with post-TIPS OHE. Myosteatosis (148 cases, 52.5%, 55 with OHE, 37.2%) was identified as an independent risk factor for post-TIPS OHE. with P  < 0.001 in Chi-square test, P  < 0.001, odds ratio (OR): 2.854, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.632-4.993 in univariate logistic regression analyses, and P  = 0.007, OR: 2.372, 95% CI: 1.268-4.438 in multivariate logistic regression analyses, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our results showed that myosteatosis was proven as an independent risk factor for the development of post-TIPS OHE.

Real-world implementation of a multilevel interventions program to prevent mother-to-child transmission of HBV in China.

Reducing hepatitis B virus (HBV) mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) is a fundamental step toward the HBV elimination goal. The multicentred, multilevel SHIELD program aimed to use an intense intervention package to reduce HBV MTCT in China. This study was conducted in diverse health settings across China, encompassing 30,109 pregnant women from 178 hospitals, part of the interim analysis of stage II of the SHIELD program, and 8,642 pregnant women from 160 community-level health facilities in stage III of the SHIELD program. The study found that the overall MTCT rate was 0.23% (39 of 16,908; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.16-0.32%) in stage II and 0.23% (12 of 5,290; 95% CI: 0.12-0.40%) in stage III. The MTCT rate was lower among participants who were compliant with the interventions (stage II: 0.16% (95% CI: 0.10-0.26%); stage III: 0.03% (95% CI: 0.00-0.19%)) than among those who were noncompliant (3.16% (95% CI: 1.94-4.85%); 1.91% (95% CI: 0.83-3.73%); P < 0.001). Our findings demonstrate that the comprehensive interventions among HBV-infected pregnant women were feasible and effective in dramatically reducing MTCT.

Risks of digestive diseases in long COVID: evidence from a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In the post-pandemic era, a wide range of COVID-19 sequelae is of growing health concern. However, the risks of digestive diseases in long COVID have not been comprehensively understood. To investigate the long-term risk of digestive diseases among COVID patients. METHODS: In this large-scale retrospective cohort study with up to 2.6 years follow-up (median follow-up: 0.7 years), the COVID-19 group (n = 112,311), the contemporary comparison group (n = 359,671) and the historical comparison group (n = 370,979) predated the COVID-19 outbreak were built using UK Biobank database. Each digestive outcome was defined as the diagnosis 30 days or more after the onset of COVID-19 infection or the index date. Hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed utilizing the Cox regression models after inverse probability weighting. RESULTS: Compared with the contemporary comparison group, patients with previous COVID-19 infection had higher risks of digestive diseases, including gastrointestinal (GI) dysfunction (HR 1.38 (95% CI 1.26 to 1.51)); peptic ulcer disease (HR 1.23 (1.00 to 1.52)); gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) (HR 1.41 (1.30 to 1.53)); gallbladder disease (HR 1.21 (1.06 to 1.38)); severe liver disease (HR 1.35 (1.03 to 1.76)); non-alcoholic liver disease (HR 1.27 (1.09 to 1.47)); and pancreatic disease (HR 1.36 (1.11 to 1.66)). The risks of GERD were increased stepwise with the severity of the acute phase of COVID-19 infection. Even after 1-year follow-up, GERD (HR 1.64 (1.30 to 2.07)) and GI dysfunction (HR 1.35 (1.04 to 1.75)) continued to pose risks to COVID-19 patients. Compared to those with one SARS-CoV-2 infection, reinfected patients were at a higher risk of pancreatic diseases (HR 2.57 (1.23 to 5.38)). The results were consistent when the historical cohort was used as the comparison group. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides insights into the association between COVID-19 and the long-term risk of digestive system disorders. COVID-19 patients are at a higher risk of developing digestive diseases. The risks exhibited a stepwise escalation with the severity of COVID-19, were noted in cases of reinfection, and persisted even after 1-year follow-up. This highlights the need to understand the varying risks of digestive outcomes in COVID-19 patients over time, particularly those who experienced reinfection, and develop appropriate follow-up strategies.

A modified model for predicting mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt: A multicentre study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt has controversial survival benefits; thus, patient screening should be performed preoperatively. In this study, we aimed to develop a model to predict post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt mortality to aid clinical decision making. METHODS: A total of 811 patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt from five hospitals were divided into the training and external validation data sets. A modified prediction model of post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt mortality (ModelMT ) was built after performing logistic regression. To verify the improved performance of ModelMT , we compared it with seven previous models, both in discrimination and calibration. Furthermore, patients were stratified into low-, medium-, high- and extremely high-risk subgroups. RESULTS: ModelMT demonstrated a satisfying predictive efficiency in both discrimination and calibration, with an area under the curve of .875 in the training set and .852 in the validation set. Compared to previous models (ALBI, BILI-PLT, MELD-Na, MOTS, FIPS, MELD, CLIF-C AD), ModelMT showed superior performance in discrimination by statistical difference in the Delong test, net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement (all p < .050). Similar results were observed in calibration. Low-, medium-, high- and extremely high-risk groups were defined by scores of ≤160, 160-180, 180-200 and >200, respectively. To facilitate future clinical application, we also built an applet for ModelMT . CONCLUSIONS: We successfully developed a predictive model with improved performance to assist in decision making for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt according to survival benefits.

Safety and efficacy of glibenclamide combined with rtPA in acute cerebral ischemia with occlusion/stenosis of anterior circulation (SE-GRACE): a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

Background: Glibenclamide alleviates brain edema and improves neurological outcomes in experimental models of stroke. We aimed to assess whether glibenclamide improves functional outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA). Methods: In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients with acute ischemic stroke were recruited to eight academic hospitals in China. Patients were eligible if they were aged 18-74 years, presented with a symptomatic anterior circulation occlusion with a deficit on the NIHSS of 4-25, and had been treated with rtPA within 4.5 h of symptom onset. We used web-based randomization (1:1) to allocate eligible participants to the glibenclamide or placebo group, stratified according to endovascular treatment and baseline stroke severity. Glibenclamide or placebo was taken orally or via tube feeding at a loading dose of 1.25 mg within 10 h after symptom onset, followed by 0.625 mg every 8 h for 5 days. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with good outcomes (modified Rankin Scale of 0-2) at 90 days, assessed in all randomly assigned patients who had been correctly diagnosed and had begun study medication. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03284463, and is closed to new participants. Findings: Between January 1, 2018, and May 28, 2022, 305 patients were randomly assigned, of whom 272 (142 received glibenclamide and 130 received placebo) were included in the primary efficacy analysis. 103 (73%) patients in the glibenclamide group and 94 (72%) in the placebo group had a good outcome (adjusted risk difference 0.002, 95% CI -0.098 to 0.103; p = 0.96). 12 (8%) patients allocated to glibenclamide and seven (5%) patients allocated to placebo died from any cause at 90 days (p = 0.35). The number and type of adverse events were similar between the two groups. There were no drug-related adverse events and no drug-related deaths. Interpretation: The addition of glibenclamide to thrombolytic therapy did not increase the proportion of patients who achieved good outcomes after stroke compared with placebo, but it did not lead to any safety concerns. Funding: Southern Medical University and Nanfang Hospital.

Postoperative pain-related outcomes and perioperative pain management in China: a population-based study.

Background: Postoperative pain poses a significant challenge to the healthcare system and patient satisfaction and is associated with chronic pain and long-term narcotic use. However, systemic assessment of the quality of postoperative pain management in China remains unavailable. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, we analyzed data collected from a nationwide registry, China Acute Postoperative Pain Study (CAPOPS), between September 2019 and August 2021. Patients aged 18 years or above were required to complete a self-reported pain outcome questionnaire on the first postoperative day (POD1). Perioperative pain management and pain-related outcomes, including the severity of pain, adverse events caused by pain or pain management, and perception of care and satisfaction with pain management were analyzed. Findings: A total of 26,193 adult patients were enrolled. There were 48.7% of patients who had moderate-to-severe pain on the first day after surgery, and pain severity was associated with poor recovery and patient satisfaction. The systemic opioid use was 68% on the first day after surgery, and 89% of them were used with intravenous patient-controlled analgesia, while the rate of postoperative nerve blocks was low. Interpretation: Currently, almost half of patients still suffer from moderate-to-severe pain after surgery in China. The relatively high rate of systemic opioid use and low rate of nerve blocks used after surgery suggests that more effort is needed to improve the management of acute postoperative pain in China. Funding: National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2018YFC2001905).

Efficacy of sequential chemoradiotherapy combined with toripalimab in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A phase II trial.

Locoregional radiotherapy added to chemotherapy has significantly improved survival in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC). However, only 54% of de novo mNPC patients who received sequential chemoradiotherapy have complete or partial response 3 months after radiotherapy. This Simon's optimal two-stage design phase II study (NCT04398056) investigates whether PD-1 inhibitor could improve tumor control in combination with chemoradiation. The primary endpoint is objective response rate (ORR) at 3 months after radiotherapy. Twenty-two patients with primary mNPC are enrolled. The ORR at 3 months after radiotherapy is 81.8% (22.7% complete response, n = 5; 59.1% partial response, n = 13), and the disease control rate is 81.8%. The 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) rate is 44.9% (95% confidence interval 26.4%-76.3%). Fifteen patients (68.2%) experienced grade 3-4 adverse events. Patients with high baseline plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA copy number (>104 cps/mL) show worse PFS. Addition of toripalimab to sequential chemoradiotherapy suggests promising tumor response in patients with primary mNPC.

Model containing sarcopenia and visceral adiposity can better predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study.

AIM: This study aimed to explore whether the addition of sarcopenia and visceral adiposity could improve the accuracy of model predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: In total, 394 patients with HCC from five hospitals were divided into the training and external validation datasets. Patients were initially treated by liver resection or transarterial chemoembolization. We evaluated adipose and skeletal muscle using preoperative computed tomography imaging and then constructed three predictive models, including metabolic (ModelMA), clinical-imaging (ModelCI), and combined (ModelMA-CI) models. Their discrimination, calibration, and decision curves were compared, to identify the best model. Nomogram and subgroup analysis was performed for the best model. RESULTS: ModelMA-CI containing sarcopenia and visceral adiposity had good discrimination and calibrations (integrate area under the curve for PFS was 0.708 in the training dataset and 0.706 in the validation dataset). ModelMA-CI had better accuracy than ModelCI and ModelMA. The performance of ModelMA-CI was not affected by treatments or disease stages. The high-risk subgroup (scored > 198) had a significantly shorter PFS (p < 0.001) and poorer OS (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of sarcopenia and visceral adiposity improved accuracy in predicting PFS in HCC, which may provide additional insights in prognosis for HCC in subsequent studies.

Association between admission-blood-glucose-to-albumin ratio and clinical outcomes in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

Introduction: It is unclear whether admission-blood-glucose-to-albumin ratio (AAR) predicts adverse clinical outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) who are treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Here, we performed a observational study to explore the predictive value of AAR on clinical outcomes. Methods: Patients diagnosed with STEMI who underwent PCI between January 2010 and February 2020 were enrolled in the study. The patients were classified into three groups according to AAR tertile. The primary outcome was in-hospital all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACEs), as well as all-cause mortality and MACEs during follow-up. Logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Cox proportional hazard regression were the primary analyses used to estimate outcomes. Results: Among the 3,224 enrolled patients, there were 130 cases of in-hospital all-cause mortality (3.9%) and 181 patients (5.4%) experienced MACEs. After adjustment for covariates, multivariate analysis demonstrated that an increase in AAR was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital all-cause mortality [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 2.72, 95% CI: 1.47-5.03, P = 0.001] and MACEs (adjusted OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.18-3.10, P = 0.009), as well as long-term all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.64, 95% CI: 1.19-2.28, P = 0.003] and MACEs (adjusted HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.16-2.14, P = 0.003). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis indicated that AAR was an accurate predictor of in-hospital all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.718, 95% CI: 0.675-0.761) and MACEs (AUC = 0.672, 95% CI: 0.631-0.712). Discussion: AAR is a novel and convenient independent predictor of all-cause mortality and MACEs, both in-hospital and long-term, for STEMI patients receiving PCI.