Geographical variation in hotspots of stunting among under-five children in Ethiopia: A geographically weighted regression and multilevel robust Poisson regression analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Childhood stunting is a global public health concern, associated with both short and long-term consequences, including high child morbidity and mortality, poor development and learning capacity, increased vulnerability for infectious and non-infectious disease. The prevalence of stunting varies significantly throughout Ethiopian regions. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the geographical variation in predictors of stunting among children under the age of five in Ethiopia using 2019 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey. METHOD: The current analysis was based on data from the 2019 mini Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS). A total of 5,490 children under the age of five were included in the weighted sample. Descriptive and inferential analysis was done using STATA 17. For the spatial analysis, ArcGIS 10.7 were used. Spatial regression was used to identify the variables associated with stunting hotspots, and adjusted R2 and Corrected Akaike Information Criteria (AICc) were used to compare the models. As the prevalence of stunting was over 10%, a multilevel robust Poisson regression was conducted. In the bivariable analysis, variables having a p-value < 0.2 were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable multilevel robust Poisson regression analysis, the adjusted prevalence ratio with the 95% confidence interval is presented to show the statistical significance and strength of the association. RESULT: The prevalence of stunting was 33.58% (95%CI: 32.34%, 34.84%) with a clustered geographic pattern (Moran's I = 0.40, p<0.001). significant hotspot areas of stunting were identified in the west and south Afar, Tigray, Amhara and east SNNPR regions. In the local model, no maternal education, poverty, child age 6-23 months and male headed household were predictors associated with spatial variation of stunting among under five children in Ethiopia. In the multivariable multilevel robust Poisson regression the prevalence of stunting among children whose mother's age is >40 (APR = 0.74, 95%CI: 0.55, 0.99). Children whose mother had secondary (APR = 0.74, 95%CI: 0.60, 0.91) and higher (APR = 0.61, 95%CI: 0.44, 0.84) educational status, household wealth status (APR = 0.87, 95%CI: 0.76, 0.99), child aged 6-23 months (APR = 1.87, 95%CI: 1.53, 2.28) were all significantly associated with stunting. CONCLUSION: In Ethiopia, under-five children suffering from stunting have been found to exhibit a spatially clustered pattern. Maternal education, wealth index, birth interval and child age were determining factors of spatial variation of stunting. As a result, a detailed map of stunting hotspots and determinants among children under the age of five aid program planners and decision-makers in designing targeted public health measures.

Factors associated with the use of antibiotics for children presenting with illnesses with fever and cough obtained from prescription and non-prescription sources: a cross-sectional study of data for 37 sub-Saharan African countries.

INTRODUCTION: Fever and cough in under-five children are common and predominately self-limiting illnesses. Inappropriate prescribing of antibiotics in sub-Saharan Africa is a significant public health concern. However, prescription sources and use among children with fever or cough have not been explored. Therefore, we explored the factors associated with the use of antibiotics obtained from prescription and non-prescription sources for children with illnesses associated with fever and cough. METHODS: A secondary data analysis was conducted based on the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 37 sub-Saharan African countries. A total weighted sample of 18,866 under-five children who had a fever/cough and took antibiotics were considered for this study. Given the hierarchical nature of DHS data and the use of antibiotics prescribed from the formal healthcare setting (> 10%), a multilevel modified poisson regression model was fitted. Deviance was used for model comparison and the model with the lowest deviance value was chosen as the best-fitted model. Variables with p ≤ 0.2 in the bivariable analysis were considered for the multivariable modified poisson regression model. In the multivariable multilevel modified poisson regression model, the Adjusted Prevalence Odds Ratio (APOR) with a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) and p-value < 0.05 were reported to declare a significant association with taking antibiotics for fever/cough prescribed from formal healthcare setting. RESULTS: In sub-Saharan Africa, the proportion of use of antibiotics from informal healthcare setting for fever and cough among under-five children was 67.19% (95% CI: 66.51%, 67.85%). In the multilevel modified poisson regression analysis; residing in a rural area (APOR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.12), a child aged 36-47 months (APOR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90, 0.98), a child aged 48-59 months (APOR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.84, 0.94), maternal primary education (APOR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.93, 0.99), maternal secondary education (APOR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92, 0.99), belonged the middle household wealth status (APOR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.11), maternal exposure to news/electronic media (APR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.10), being from a household with 2 under-five children (APR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.91, 0.97), being from a household with 3 under-five children (APR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85, 0.93), being from a household with 4 under-five children (APR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83, 0.98), and children of caregivers who were not involved in decision-making for their child health issues were significantly associated with taking antibiotics prescribed from formal healthcare setting for fever/cough among under-five children. CONCLUSION: Only two-thirds of the antibiotics used for children under five who had fever and cough were prescribed from formal healthcare setting. Our findings underscore the significance of addressing healthcare disparities, improving access to qualified healthcare providers, promoting maternal education, and empowering mothers in healthcare decision-making to ensure appropriate antibiotic use in this vulnerable population. Further research and interventions targeted at these factors are warranted to optimize antibiotic prescribing practices and promote responsible antibiotic use in the management of fever and cough in under-five children.