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1.
Immun Inflamm Dis ; 12(6): e1307, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38860753

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The hygiene hypothesis suggests that early life exposure to helminth infections can reduce hypersensitivity in the immune system. OBJECTIVE: The present study aims to evaluate the effects of Toxocara cati (T. cati) somatic products on allergic airway inflammation. METHODS: Between 2018 and 2020, T. cati adult worms were collected from stray cats in Mashhad, Iran (31 out of 186 cats), and their somatic extract was collected. Thirty BALB/c mice were equally divided into three groups, including the OVA group (sensitized and challenged with ovalbumin), the somatic administered group (received somatic extract along with ovalbumin sensitization), and the PBS group (sensitized and challenged with phosphate buffer saline). Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) fluid was collected to assess the number of cells, and lung homogenates were prepared for cytokine analysis. Histopathological analysis of the lungs was performed, and inflammatory cells and mucus were detected. Cytokine levels (IL-4, IL-5, IL-10) were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and ovalbumin-specific immunoglobulin E (IgE) levels were determined using a capture ELISA. RESULTS: The somatic group significantly decreased regarding the lung pathological changes, including peribronchiolitis, perivasculitis, and eosinophil influx, compared to the group treated with ovalbumin alone. These changes were accompanied by a decrease in proinflammatory cytokines IL-4 and IL-5 and an increase in the anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10, indicating a shift toward a more balanced immune response. The number of inflammatory cells in the BAL fluid was also significantly reduced in the somatic group, indicating a decrease in inflammation. CONCLUSION: These preclinical findings suggest that in experimental models, T. cati somatic extract exhibits promising potential as a therapeutic agent for mitigating allergic airway inflammation. Its observed effects on immune response modulation and reduction of inflammatory cell infiltration warrant further investigation in clinical studies to assess its efficacy and safety in human patients.


Subject(s)
Cytokines , Mice, Inbred BALB C , Toxocara , Animals , Mice , Toxocara/immunology , Toxocara/drug effects , Cytokines/metabolism , Cytokines/immunology , Immunoglobulin E/immunology , Immunoglobulin E/blood , Ovalbumin/immunology , Lung/immunology , Lung/pathology , Lung/parasitology , Lung/drug effects , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid/immunology , Asthma/immunology , Asthma/drug therapy , Disease Models, Animal , Cats , Female , Toxocariasis/drug therapy , Toxocariasis/immunology , Toxocariasis/parasitology
2.
Iran J Public Health ; 52(9): 1818-1831, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38033848

ABSTRACT

Background: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is one of leading cause of death and disability in Iran that has serious consequences on people's health. Understanding of epidemiology of TBI can be helpful for policy making in health care management. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the epidemiology of TBI in Iran. Methods: PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Google scholar, and internal databases including, SID, Magiran, and IranMedex were searched to identify the relevant published studies up to Feb 2022. Moreover, the references list of key studies was scanned to find more records. The Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) tool was used to assess the quality of included studies. The Excel and Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software were to analyze the data. Results: Overall, 23,446 patients from 15 studies were included in the study. The overall mean age of the patients was 31.36 ± 0.13 yr (95%CI: 31.10 to 31.61). The majority of the patients were male (74.37%), with a male to female ratio of 3:1. The incidence rate of TBI was 15.3 to 144 per 100,000 population. The mortality rate of TBI was estimated to be 10.4% (95%CI: 5% to 19%). The most common causes of injury were road traffic accidents (RTAs) (60%; 95%CI: 49% to 70%), and falling (20%; 95%CI: 16% to 26%), respectively. The most frequent type of head injury was subdural hematoma. Conclusion: Our findings highlight that appropriate control and prevention strategies should be focused on male, road traffic accidents, and the group under 40 yr.

3.
Phytother Res ; 37(11): 5080-5091, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37654199

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Quercetin is a bioactive flavonoid, but the effect of it on cardiometabolic factors has remained uncertain and previous findings from meta-analyses have been controversial. OBJECTIVE: To provide an overview of the effects of Quercetin on cardiometabolic factors based on meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). METHOD: MEDLINE, SciVerse Scopus, and Clarivate Analytics Web of Science databases were searched to identify eligible publications. As part of the umbrella review, we summarized pooled estimates, 95% CIs, heterogeneity, and publication bias. A GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) approach was used to rate the certainty of evidence. RESULTS: Five meta-analyses including 18 eligible RCTs plus 5 RCTs that were not included in previous meta-analyses were found. The results indicated Quercetin does not affect diastolic blood pressure (DBP), lipid profile, inflammation, anthropometric indices, fasting plasma glucose (FBG), and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). However, Quercetin supplementation could significantly reduce systolic blood pressure (SBP) (weighted mean difference (WMD): -1.9, 95% CI = -3.2 to -0.6, I2 = 88.3%) and insulin level (WMD: -1.07, 95% CI = -1.9 to -0.1, I2 = 75.0%). The certainty of evidence ranged from very low to moderate. CONCLUSION: Quercetin supplementation has reducing effects on SBP and insulin levels but not other cardiometabolic parameters. More high-quality trials with longer follow-up durations may be required to obtain a more robust conclusion.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Insulins , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Dietary Supplements , Quercetin/pharmacology , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Meta-Analysis as Topic
4.
J Appl Stat ; 50(11-12): 2648-2662, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37529575

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we develop a mixture of autoregressive (MoAR) process model with time varying and freely indexed covariates under the flexible class of two-piece distributions using the scale mixtures of normal (TP-SMN) family. This novel family of time series (TP-SMN-MoAR) models was used to examine flexible and robust clustering of reported cases of Covid-19 across 313 counties in the U.S. The TP-SMN distributions allow for symmetrical/ asymmetrical distributions as well as heavy-tailed distributions providing for flexibility to handle outliers and complex data. Developing a suitable hierarchical representation of the TP-SMN family enabled the construction of a pseudo-likelihood function to derive the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimates via an EM-type algorithm.

5.
Avicenna J Phytomed ; 13(2): 200-212, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37333475

ABSTRACT

Objective: The current study's goal was to examine how crocin affects organ damage such as damage to the kidney and liver in mice treated by 2100 MHz Electro Magnetic Field. Materials and Methods: The liver and kidneys of mice exposed to EMFs were used in this study to examine how crocin affected them. 24 male NMARI mice were randomly divided into 4 groups: EMF group (2100 MHZ); Crocin (Cr) group (50 mg/kg); EMF+Crocin group (2100 MHZ+50 mg/kg), and control group. The antioxidant enzymes and some serum biochemical parameters were assessed in blood samples collected after the experiment. After the animals were put to sleep, liver and kidney samples were taken for histopathological and liver samples were taken for ultrastructural analyses. Results: The serum levels of urea and creatinine, and serum activities of alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase, and alkaline phosphatase were higher in the EMF group than the control group, and this difference was significant. When compared to the control group, the EMF group's antioxidants, (catalase and superoxide dismutase) activity were decreased. These metrics significantly improved in the EMF + Cr group when compared to the EMF group. Different pathological damages were present in the liver and kidney of the EMF group, and the liver's ultrastructure had changed. Crocin administration decrease these changes. Conclusion: Crocin, an antioxidant agent, may provide defense against tissue damage brought on by EMF by reducing oxidative stress.

6.
Parasite Immunol ; 45(7): e12985, 2023 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37292031

ABSTRACT

There is now sufficient evidence to support an inverse association between helminth infection and secreted products with allergic/autoimmune disorders. Accordingly, several experimental studies have shown that Echinococcus granulosus infection and hydatid cyst compounds are able to suppress immune responses in allergic airway inflammation. This is the first study on effects of somatic antigens of E. granulosus on chronic allergic airway inflammation in BALB/c mice. Mice in OVA group were intraperitoneally (IP) sensitized with OVA/Alum. Subsequently, were challenged by nebulizing of OVA 1%. The treatment groups received somatic antigens of protoscoleces on the specified days. Mice in PBS group were received PBS in both sensitization and challenge. The effects of somatic products on development of chronic allergic airway inflammation were evaluated by examining histopathological changes, the recruitment of inflammatory cells in the bronchoalveolar lavage, cytokines production in the homogenized lung tissue, and total antioxidant capacity in serum. Our findings show that the co-administration of somatic antigens of protoscoleces simultaneously with the development of asthma intensifies allergic airway inflammation. The identification of effective components involved in exacerbation of allergic airway inflammation manifestations will be a crucial approach to understanding the mechanism of these interactions.


Subject(s)
Asthma , Echinococcosis , Echinococcus granulosus , Hypersensitivity , Animals , Mice , Airway Remodeling , Lung/pathology , Echinococcosis/pathology , Disease Progression , Inflammation/pathology , Ovalbumin , Mice, Inbred BALB C , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid , Disease Models, Animal , Cytokines
7.
Nutr Health ; : 2601060231167456, 2023 Apr 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37006133

ABSTRACT

Background: Celiac disease (CD) is an immune-genetic disorder associated with the small intestine. Aim: The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of CD and its related factors in children aged 2-6 years in southeastern Iran. Methods: In the present case-control research, the study groups were selected by convenience sampling method in Zahedan city, Sistan-and-Baluchestan province, southeastern Iran, from January 2021 till January 2022. Social-demographic status and personal information about the child, family, as well as the feeding pattern of children and mothers in the first six months of breastfeeding were examined. Frequency Food Questionnaire (FFQ) was also used for data collection. Results: The prevalence of CD was estimated at 9.2 per 10,000. Our findings showed that child age, birth weight, location of living, child birth type, child digestive disease, and child FFQ score played a significant role in the development of CD (p < 0.05). Children with CD consumed less bread and cereals, meat, eggs and legumes, dairy products, and fruits and vegetables (p = 0.004). In the first six months of breastfeeding, the mean intake of mothers with celiac children and mothers with healthy children was almost the same (p = 0.75). Conclusion: Nutrition in the first six months of lactation, gastrointestinal diseases, birth weight, and type of delivery played a significant role in causing CD in children aged 2-6 years, but mothers' diets in the first six months of lactation had no significant effect on CD incidence in their infants.

8.
Pain Pract ; 23(6): 595-602, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36912703

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to investigate the safety and efficacy of pregabalin versus placebo in post-traumatic peripheral neuropathic pain (PTNP). METHODS: PubMed, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched for relevant evidence up to January 2022. The Cochran tool was used to assess the quality of randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Data analysis was performed using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software. RESULTS: Three RCTs involving 821 patients were included in the meta-analysis. A significant difference was observed between pregabalin and placebo in terms of the pain score (the standardized mean difference [SMD] = -0.14, 95% CI: 0.28 to -0.006, p = 0.04) and sleep interference (MD = -0.25, 95% CI: -0.39 to -0.11, p = 0.00). There was also a significant difference between pregabalin and placebo regarding somnolence (risk ratio [RR] = 2.78; 95% CI: 1.64-4.71, p = 0.00), dizziness (RR = 4.13; 95% CI: 2.71-6.28, p = 0.00), and disturbance in attention (RR: 2.97; 95% CI: 1.02-8.65, p = 0.04). However, no significant difference was observed between pregabalin and placebo in terms of headache (RR = 1.20; 95% CI: 0.70-2.06, p = 0.50), fatigue (RR = 1.42; 95% CI: 0.82-2.47, p = 0.20), nausea (RR = 1.52; 95% CI: 0.88-2.62, p = 0.13), constipation (RR = 1.84; 95% CI: 0.78-4.29, p = 0.15), and discontinuation (RR = 1.52; 95% CI: 0.45-5.06, p = 0.49). CONCLUSION: Compared with placebo, pregabalin showed better efficacy in reducing PTNP and improving sleep interference. However, it was associated with higher adverse events. Further RCTs are needed to confirm these findings.


Subject(s)
Analgesics , Neuralgia , Humans , Pregabalin/therapeutic use , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Neuralgia/drug therapy , Neuralgia/etiology , Sleep
9.
Burns ; 49(4): 901-913, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35787965

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intermittent Fasting (IF) has proved to have various positive effects on life span, diseases, and healing of tissues in rodents. We evaluated the protective effect of fasting in maintaining the ischemic zones in burn wounds. METHODS: In this study, 20 rats were divided into two groups where the IF rats were deprived of food for three months. Burn wounds were created by burn comb model on the back of all rats. On days 3 and 21 after injury, five rats in each group were euthanized whereby samples were collected for histopathological, immunohistochemical (Bcl2, P53 and VEGF), and biochemical (MDA, TAC, HP) evaluations. RESULTS: Histopathological analysis revealed epithelial layer and zone of ischemia remained viable in the intermittent fasting group on day 3. On the 21st day, epithelialization, angiogenesis, inflammation, fibrocyte-fibroblast, and collagen density were different in the ischemic and necrotic zones between the control and intermittent fasting groups (p<0.05). We found no statistical differences in Bcl2, P53, VEGF, MDA, TAC, and HP on day 3 between the intermittent fasting and control groups. CONCLUSIONS: Intermittent fasting before burn wounds reduces tissue damage caused by ischemia and enhanced the viability of cells in zone of stasis. It also accelerated wound healing by increasing epithelialization and collagen production in the skin and regulating inflammatory responses. This intervention appears to be related to better collagen arrangement and angiogenesis.


Subject(s)
Burns , Intermittent Fasting , Rats , Animals , Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A , Tumor Suppressor Protein p53/pharmacology , Burns/pathology , Skin/pathology , Ischemia/pathology
10.
Vet Res Forum ; 14(12): 643-648, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38174094

ABSTRACT

Tropical or Mediterranean theileriosis in dairy cattle is widely distributed in many tropical regions of the world. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the proliferation status of mononuclear cells infected with Theileria annulata schizonts in different tissues and its relationship with the pathogenesis of the parasite in cattle by histopathology, immuno-histochemistry and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Blood and tissue samples of eight Holstein cattle that had been lost due to theileriosis and eight healthy slaughtered cattle of the same breed were collected as a control group after necropsy. The piroplasms in the blood smears and the schizonts in the cytoplasm of the lymphocytes and macrophages of the lymph nodes were microscopically detected. Histopathologically, the proliferation of macrophages, lymphocytes, and plasma cells in lymph nodes and the heart, congestion, and bleeding in the red pulp of the spleen, portal tracts of the liver, interstitial tissue of the kidneys, multifocal necrosis and ulceration in the abomasum together with hyperemia and hemorrhages and lymphoblastic infiltration in the submucosa and lamina propria adjacent to these lesions and emphysema with ecchymotic hemorrhage in the lungs were evident. Immunohistochemistry identified the proliferated cells as mostly Cluster of Differentiation 3- Positive T lymphocytes and macrophage marker antibody 387- positive macrophages. Positive results of PCR for the Tams1 30.00 kDa gene were observed in lymph nodes, liver, lung and abomasum. It was concluded that the pathological changes were the result of schizont-infected macrophage proliferation leading to severe uncontrolled proliferation of uninfected T lymphocytes.

11.
Arch Acad Emerg Med ; 10(1): e80, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36426164

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Understanding the epidemiology of traumatic spinal cord injuries (TSCIs) can be helpful for policymakers and planners to consider appropriate strategies to control and prevent these injuries. This study aimed to determine the epidemiological characteristics of TSCI in Iran in order to increase knowledge and awareness of these injuries. Methods: A systematic literature search was conducted up to January 2022 in the electronic databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar, SID, Iranmedex, and Magiran. The quality of included studies was evaluated using the STORBE checklist. Comprehensive meta-analysis was used to analyze the data. Results: Nineteen studies involving 9416 cases were included in the study. Participants' pooled mean age was 35.80 ± 1.07 years (95% CI: 33.69 to 37.91), of whom 69% (95% CI: 68% to 70%; P<0.05) were male. The most frequent TSCI occurred in the age group of less than 30 years. Motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) was the most common cause of TSCI (57%; 95% CI: 25% to 63%), followed by falls (32%; 95% CI: 26% to 38%). Most participants had thoracolumbar (27%; 95% CI: 10% to 55%) and cervical injuries (23%; 95% CI: 16% to 31%), respectively. The incidence of TSCI was estimated at 10.5 per million people. The prevalence of TSCI was 3 per 10000 people. The mortality rate due to TSCI was 3.9% (95% CI: 0.02 to 0.06; P<0.05). Conclusion: Based on the findings of this meta-analysis, the pooled incidence and prevalence of TSCI in the Iranian population were 10.5/1000.000 people and 4.4/10.000 people, respectively. TSCIs had occurred more frequently in males following MVCs, and in the age group under 30 years. The pooled mortality rate due to TSCI was 3.9% (95% CI: 0.02 to 0.06; P<0.05).

12.
J Appl Stat ; 49(5): 1305-1322, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35707508

ABSTRACT

In this application note paper, we propose and examine the performance of a Bayesian approach for a homoscedastic nonlinear regression (NLR) model assuming errors with two-piece scale mixtures of normal (TP-SMN) distributions. The TP-SMN is a large family of distributions, covering both symmetrical/ asymmetrical distributions as well as light/heavy tailed distributions, and provides an alternative to another well-known family of distributions, called scale mixtures of skew-normal distributions. The proposed family and Bayesian approach provides considerable flexibility and advantages for NLR modelling in different practical settings. We examine the performance of the approach using simulated and real data.

13.
Parasit Vectors ; 15(1): 16, 2022 Jan 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34991711

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is ample evidence demonstrating a reverse relationship between helminth infection and immune-mediated diseases. Accordingly, several studies have shown that Echinococcus granulosus infection and hydatid cyst compounds are able to suppress immune responses in allergic airway inflammation. Previous studies have documented the ability of hydatid cysts to suppress aberrant Th2 immune response in a mouse model of allergic asthma. However, there is a paucity of research on the effects of protoscoleces on allergic asthma. Thus, this study was designed to evaluate the effects of somatic antigens of protoscoleces in a murine model of allergic airway inflammation. METHODS: Ovalbumin (OVA)/aluminum hydroxide (alum) was injected intraperitoneally to sensitize BALB/c mice over a period of 0 to 7 days, followed by challenge with 1% OVA. The treatment group received somatic antigens of protoscoleces emulsified with PBS on these days in each sensitization before being challenged with 1% OVA on days 14, 15, and 16. The effects of somatic antigens of protoscoleces on allergic airway inflammation were evaluated by examining histopathological changes, the recruitment of inflammatory cells in the bronchoalveolar lavage, cytokine production in the homogenized lung tissue (IL-4, IL-5, IL-10, IL-17, and IFN-γ), and total antioxidant capacity in serum. RESULTS: Overall, administration of somatic antigens of protoscoleces exacerbated allergic airway inflammation via increased Th2 cytokine levels in the lung homogenate, recruitment of eosinophils into bronchoalveolar lavage fluid, and pathological changes. In addition, total antioxidant capacity and IFN-γ levels declined following the administration of somatic antigens. CONCLUSIONS: The results revealed that the co-administration of somatic products of protoscoleces with OVA/alum contributed to the exacerbation of allergic airway inflammation in BALB/c mice. Currently, the main cause of allergic-type inflammation exacerbation is unknown, and further research is needed to understand the mechanism of these interactions.


Subject(s)
Antigens, Helminth/immunology , Asthma/pathology , Echinococcosis, Pulmonary/immunology , Echinococcus granulosus/immunology , Animals , Antioxidants/analysis , Asthma/complications , Asthma/immunology , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid/cytology , Cytokines/analysis , Disease Models, Animal , Echinococcosis, Pulmonary/complications , Echinococcosis, Pulmonary/pathology , Female , Lung/immunology , Lung/pathology , Mice , Mice, Inbred BALB C , Sheep , Specific Pathogen-Free Organisms
14.
Mol Biol Res Commun ; 11(3): 113-118, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36718238

ABSTRACT

About 60-80% of thyroid cancer (TC) cases are papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Studies have shown that serum adiponectin levels are inversely related to the risk of TC and PTC. Aim of the present study was to evaluate the association between adiponectin rs2241766 and rs266729 polymorphisms and risk of PTC. 122 PTC patients and 128 healthy subjects were enrolled in the study. PCR-RFLP and ARMS-PCR methods were used for genotype analysis. The rs266729 polymorphism did not correlate with risk of PTC. As regard rs2241766 polymorphism, the frequency of the GG genotype did not have a significant difference between the two groups, although, PTC cases showed higher frequency of GT genotype compared to controls (OR=2.87, 95% CI=1.56-5.28, P=0.001). We observed a significant association between adiponectin rs2241766 polymorphism and PTC, however, our result showed no significant relationship between adiponectin rs266729 polymorphism and risk of PTC.

15.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 37: 101742, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33081974

ABSTRACT

Coronaviruses are enveloped RNA viruses from the Coronaviridae family affecting neurological, gastrointestinal, hepatic and respiratory systems. In late 2019 a new member of this family belonging to the Betacoronavirus genera (referred to as COVID-19) originated and spread quickly across the world calling for strict containment plans and policies. In most countries in the world, the outbreak of the disease has been serious and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases has increased daily, while, fortunately the recovered COVID-19 cases have also increased. Clearly, forecasting the "confirmed" and "recovered" COVID-19 cases helps planning to control the disease and plan for utilization of health care resources. Time series models based on statistical methodology are useful to model time-indexed data and for forecasting. Autoregressive time series models based on two-piece scale mixture normal distributions, called TP-SMN-AR models, is a flexible family of models involving many classical symmetric/asymmetric and light/heavy tailed autoregressive models. In this paper, we use this family of models to analyze the real world time series data of confirmed and recovered COVID-19 cases.


Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Models, Biological , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , COVID-19 , Forecasting , Global Health , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Time Factors
16.
Chaos Solitons Fractals ; 140: 110151, 2020 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32834639

ABSTRACT

Coronaviruses are a huge family of viruses that affect neurological, gastrointestinal, hepatic and respiratory systems. The numbers of confirmed cases are increased daily in different countries, especially in Unites State America, Spain, Italy, Germany, China, Iran, South Korea and others. The spread of the COVID-19 has many dangers and needs strict special plans and policies. Therefore, to consider the plans and policies, the predicting and forecasting the future confirmed cases are critical. The time series models are useful to model data that are gathered and indexed by time. Symmetry of error's distribution is an essential condition in classical time series. But there exist cases in the real practical world that assumption of symmetric distribution of the error terms is not satisfactory. In our methodology, the distribution of the error has been considered to be two-piece scale mixtures of normal (TP-SMN). The proposed time series models works well than ordinary Gaussian and symmetry models (especially for COVID-19 datasets), and were fitted initially to the historical COVID-19 datasets. Then, the time series that has the best fit to each of the dataset is selected. Finally, the selected models are applied to predict the number of confirmed cases and the death rate of COVID-19 in the world.

17.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 37: 101742, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32405266

ABSTRACT

Coronaviruses are enveloped RNA viruses from the Coronaviridae family affecting neurological, gastrointestinal, hepatic and respiratory systems. In late 2019 a new member of this family belonging to the Betacoronavirus genera (referred to as COVID-19) originated and spread quickly across the world calling for strict containment plans and policies. In most countries in the world, the outbreak of the disease has been serious and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases has increased daily, while, fortunately the recovered COVID-19 cases have also increased. Clearly, forecasting the "confirmed" and "recovered" COVID-19 cases helps planning to control the disease and plan for utilization of health care resources. Time series models based on statistical methodology are useful to model time-indexed data and for forecasting. Autoregressive time series models based on two-piece scale mixture normal distributions, called TP-SMN-AR models, is a flexible family of models involving many classical symmetric/asymmetric and light/heavy tailed autoregressive models. In this paper, we use this family of models to analyze the real world time series data of confirmed and recovered COVID-19 cases.


Subject(s)
Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Models, Statistical , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Forecasting/methods , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
18.
Comp Immunol Microbiol Infect Dis ; 71: 101488, 2020 Apr 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32408006

ABSTRACT

Toxocariasis is considered a neglected disease despite the importance of Toxocara spp. infections for human health and is little recognized as a significant problem by public health institutions in developing countries. Epidemiological studies suggest that infection with Toxocara cati contributes to the development of allergic asthma.In the present study, we investigated the effect of T. cati infection on experimental allergic airway inflammation using murine model. BALB/c mice were infected by oral administration with 500 embryonated T. cati eggs followed by ovalbumin (OVA) sensitization and challenge to induce allergic airway inflammation. Infection with T. cati in combination with OVA treatment leads to exacerbation of pulmonary inflammation, eosinophilia, airway hyperresponsiveness, OVA specific IgE. Cytokines measurement in bronchoalveolar lavage indicated that the levels of IL-4 and IL-5 in BAL fluid significantly increased after T. cati infected, OVA treated or a combination of both. Increased level of IL-5 was measured in the lungs of T. cati-infected or OVA-treated mice compared with controls. Moreover, combining infection and OVA treatment significantly increase the level of these cytokines. A direct association between T. cati infection and asthma was found in murine model. Although a wide range of helminth species have been demonstrated to modulate allergic responses, most notably the intestinal nematode T. cati, increases airway hyperresponsiveness, lung histopathology, eosinophil recruitment, and Th2 cytokines in alum-sensitized models of airway allergy.

19.
Biomech Model Mechanobiol ; 19(1): 317-334, 2020 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31506863

ABSTRACT

The permeability of articular cartilage has a key role in load support and lubrication in diarthrodial joints. The microstructural rearrangement and consequent alteration in permeability caused by the large deformations undergone by cartilage have been previously modelled with a multi-scale approach. At the microscopic scale, the tissue is regarded as a homogeneous fluid-filled proteoglycan matrix reinforced by collagen fibres. A material point is described by a representative element of volume (REV), comprising a collagen fibre surrounded by a jacket of fluid-saturated proteoglycan matrix. At the macroscopic scale, the statistical orientation of the fibres is accounted for via averaging of the REV over all possible directions. The previous models accounted for volumetric deformation and fibre reorientation, but did not consider the cross-sectional distortion of the REV, which changes the widths of the fluid channels in different directions. We account for REV cross-sectional distortion and demonstrate its effects by simulating confined compression tests for the superficial, middle and deep zones of articular cartilage. The proposed model captures published experimental results that were not reproduced correctly by the previous models, and shows that each factor (volumetric deformation, fibre reorientation, REV cross-sectional distortion) can be dominant, depending on fibre orientation and amount of compression, implying that all three factors should be accounted for when modelling cartilage permeability.


Subject(s)
Cartilage, Articular/pathology , Stress, Mechanical , Anisotropy , Collagen/metabolism , Computer Simulation , Humans , Permeability , Probability
20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31174684

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study was to investigate the presence of Toxocara eggs on the hair of stray cats. The total number of stray cats trapped and included in the trial was 167 that were collected weekly from different residential areas of Mashhad, in northeastern Iran, from November 2016 to December 2017. Among the 167 cats, 18 (10.8%) of them were positive to T. cati eggs in their hair. In the positive cats, 7 (39%) were adult, 1 (6%) was juvenile and 10 (55%) were kittens. Overall, the mean number of eggs from positive cats was 3.9 ± 1.7 eggs per gram (epg) of hair per cat with an average of 3.1 ± 1.4 in adults, 4.9 in juveniles and 4.3 ± 1.6 in kittens. In total, 39.9% of the eggs recovered were non-viable 35.5% were viable, 22.2% were embryonating and 2.3% were embryonated which embryonated eggs were found only in juveniles. Based on our data, kittens were responsible for 61.7% of the total number of eggs. The age of the cat was found to be an important risk factor associated with parasitic infection.. This study showed that cat hair contaminated by T. cati eggs in different developmental stages represents of potential source for human toxocariasis.


Subject(s)
Animal Fur/parasitology , Animals, Wild/parasitology , Cat Diseases/epidemiology , Ovum , Toxocara/isolation & purification , Toxocariasis/transmission , Animals , Cats , Cross-Sectional Studies , Feces/parasitology , Female , Iran/epidemiology , Male , Parasite Egg Count , Toxocariasis/epidemiology
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