Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 20 de 878
Filter
2.
Eur Heart J Open ; 4(4): oeae053, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38988675

ABSTRACT

Aims: To compare the predictive performance of CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with and without cancer. Methods and results: Using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England, we performed a retrospective cohort study of patients with new diagnoses of AF from 2009 to 2019. Cancer was defined as history of breast, prostate, colorectal, lung, or haematological cancer. We calculated the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores for the 1-year risk of stroke and major bleeding events. Scores performance was estimated by discrimination [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)] and calibration plots. Of 141 796 patients with AF, 10.3% had cancer. The CHA2DS2-VASc score had good to modest discrimination in prostate cancer AUC = 0.74 (95% confidence interval: 0.71, 0.77), haematological cancer AUC = 0.71 (0.66, 0.76), colorectal cancer AUC = 0.70 (0.66, 0.75), breast cancer AUC = 0.70 (0.66, 0.74), and lung cancer AUC = 0.69 (0.60, 0.79), compared with no-cancer AUC = 0.73 (0.72, 0.74). HAS-BLED discrimination was poor in prostate cancer AUC = 0.58 (0.55, 0.61), haematological cancer AUC = 0.59 (0.55, 0.64), colorectal cancer AUC = 0.57 (0.53, 0.61), breast cancer AUC = 0.56 (0.52, 0.61), and lung cancer AUC = 0.59 (0.51, 0.67), compared with no-cancer AUC = 0.61 (0.60, 0.62). Both the CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score were well calibrated across all study cohorts. Conclusion: Amongst certain cancer cohorts in the AF population, CHA2DS2-VASc performs similarly in predicting stroke to AF patients without cancer. Our findings highlight the importance of cancer diagnosis during the development of risk scores and opportunities to optimize the HAS-BLED risk score to better serve cancer patients with AF.

3.
Int J Cardiol ; 412: 132334, 2024 Jul 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38964546

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is limited data around drivers of changes in mortality over time. We aimed to examine the temporal changes in mortality and understand its determinants over time. METHODS: 743,149 PCI procedures for patients from the British Cardiovascular Intervention Society (BCIS) database who were aged between 18 and 100 years and underwent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI) for Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) in England and Wales between 2006 and 2021 were included. We decomposed the contributing factors to the difference in the observed mortality proportions between 2006 and 2021 using Fairlie decomposition method. Multiple imputation was used to address missing data. RESULTS: Overall, there was an increase in the mortality proportion over time, from 1.7% (95% CI: 1.5% to 1.9%) in 2006 to 3.1% (95% CI: 3.0% to 3.2%) in 2021. 61.2% of this difference was explained by the variables included in the model. ACS subtypes (percentage contribution: 14.67%; 95% CI: 5.76% to 23.59%) and medical history (percentage contribution: 13.50%; 95% CI: 4.33% to 22.67%) were the strongest contributors to the difference in the observed mortality proportions between 2006 and 2021. Also, there were different drivers to mortality changes between different time periods. Specifically, ACS subtypes and severity of presentation were amongst the strongest contributors between 2006 and 2012 while access site and demographics were the strongest contributors between 2012 and 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Patient factors and the move towards ST-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) PCI have driven the short-term mortality changes following PCI for ACS the most.

4.
Int J Cardiol ; 411: 132272, 2024 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38880421

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Machine learning clustering of patients with ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) may provide important insights into their risk profile, management and prognosis. METHODS: All adult discharges for STEMI in the National Inpatient Sample (October 2015 to December 2019) were included, excluding patients with prior myocardial infarction. Machine-learning clustering analysis was used to define clusters based on 21 clinical attributes of interest. Main outcomes of the study were cluster-based comparison of risk profile, in-hospital clinical outcomes and utilization of invasive management. Binomial hierarchical multivariable logistic regression with adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) was used to detect the between-cluster differences. RESULTS: Out of overall 470,960 STEMI cases, the machine-learning analysis revealed 4 different clusters with 205,640 (cluster 0: 'behavioural risk cluster'), 146,400 (cluster 1: 'least comorbidity cluster'), 45,100 (cluster 2: 'diabetes with end-organ damage cluster') and 73,820 (cluster 3: 'cardiometabolic cluster') cases. Attributes with the highest importance for clustering were hypertension and diabetes. After multivariable adjustment, patients from 'diabetes with end-organ damage cluster' exhibited the worst mortality, MACCE and ischemic stroke (p < 0.001 for all), as well as the lowest utilization of invasive management (p < 0.001 for all), in comparison to other clusters. Patients from 'behavioural risk cluster' exhibited the best in-hospital prognosis and the highest utilization of invasive management, compared to other clusters (p < 0.001 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning driven clustering of inpatients with STEMI reveals important population subgroups with distinct prevalence, risk profile, prognosis and management. Data driven approaches may identify high risk phenogroups and warrants further study.

5.
Eur J Heart Fail ; 2024 Jun 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38896048

ABSTRACT

The association between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and heart failure (HF) has been firmly established; however, the entity of diabetic myocardial disorder (previously called diabetic cardiomyopathy) remains a matter of debate. Diabetic myocardial disorder was originally described as the occurrence of myocardial structural/functional abnormalities associated with T2DM in the absence of coronary heart disease, hypertension and/or obesity. However, supporting evidence has been derived from experimental and small clinical studies. Only a minority of T2DM patients are recognized as having this condition in the absence of contributing factors, thereby limiting its clinical utility. Therefore, this concept is increasingly being viewed along the evolving HF trajectory, where patients with T2DM and asymptomatic structural/functional cardiac abnormalities could be considered as having pre-HF. The importance of recognizing this stage has gained interest due to the potential for current treatments to halt or delay the progression to overt HF in some patients. This document is an expert consensus statement of the Heart Failure Association of the ESC and the ESC Working Group on Myocardial & Pericardial Diseases. It summarizes contemporary understanding of the association between T2DM and HF and discuses current knowledge and uncertainties about diabetic myocardial disorder that deserve future research. It also proposes a new definition, whereby diabetic myocardial disorder is defined as systolic and/or diastolic myocardial dysfunction in the presence of diabetes. Diabetes is rarely exclusively responsible for myocardial dysfunction, but usually acts in association with obesity, arterial hypertension, chronic kidney disease and/or coronary artery disease, causing additive myocardial impairment.

6.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 13(12): e032450, 2024 Jun 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38879459

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has become the standard of care for severe aortic stenosis treatment. Exponential growth in demand has led to prolonged wait times and adverse patient outcomes. Social marginalization may contribute to adverse outcomes. Our objective was to examine the association between different measures of neighborhood-level marginalization and patient outcomes while on the TAVR waiting list. A secondary objective was to understand if sex modifies this relationship. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of 11 077 patients in Ontario, Canada, referred to TAVR from April 1, 2018, to March 31, 2022. Primary outcomes were death or hospitalization while on the TAVR wait-list. Using cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models, we evaluated the relationship between neighborhood-level measures of dependency, residential instability, material deprivation, and ethnic and racial concentration with primary outcomes as well as the interaction with sex. After multivariable adjustment, we found a significant relationship between individuals living in the most ethnically and racially concentrated areas (quintile 4 and 5) and mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64 [95% CI, 0.47-0.88] and HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.53-1.00], respectively). There was no significant association between material deprivation, dependency, or residential instability with mortality. Women in the highest ethnic or racial concentration quintiles (4 and 5) had significantly lower risks for mortality (HR values of 0.52 and 0.56, respectively) compared with quintile 1. CONCLUSIONS: Higher neighborhood ethnic or racial concentration was associated with decreased risk for mortality, particular for women on the TAVR waiting list. Further research is needed to understand the drivers of this relationship.


Subject(s)
Aortic Valve Stenosis , Time-to-Treatment , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , Waiting Lists , Humans , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Aged, 80 and over , Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery , Aortic Valve Stenosis/mortality , Aged , Waiting Lists/mortality , Ontario/epidemiology , Time-to-Treatment/statistics & numerical data , Social Deprivation , Health Services Accessibility , Time Factors , Neighborhood Characteristics , Risk Factors , Healthcare Disparities/ethnology , Sex Factors
7.
JACC Adv ; 3(4): 100863, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38939686

ABSTRACT

Exposure to ionizing radiation is an inherent occupational health hazard in clinical cardiology. Health risks have been reported previously, including predilection to cancer. In addition, orthopedic injury due to prolonged wearing of heavy protective lead aprons, which are mandatory to reduce radiation risk, have been extensively documented. Cardiology as a specialty has grown with rising volumes of increasingly complex procedures. This includes electrophysiological, coronary, and structural intervention, advanced heart failure/transplant management, and diagnostic imaging. Both the operator as well imaging specialists are exposed to radiation, particularly in structural interventions where interventional cardiologists and structural imagers work closely. Increasingly, women interested in cardiology may deselect the field due to radiation concerns. This expert document highlights the risks of radiation exposure in cardiology, including practical tips within various subspecialty fields such as interventional/structural cardiology, electrophysiology, imaging, advanced heart failure, and pediatric cardiology.

8.
Am J Prev Cardiol ; 18: 100685, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38939696

ABSTRACT

Background: The American Heart Association's (AHA) Life's Essential 8 (LE8) score is a helpful tool to quantify cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics. We sought to assess sex differences in relation to LE8 and its components along with association with mortality. Methods: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 2009 and 2018 was utilized to evaluate the prevalence of health metrics included in LE8 among adult participants > age 18, stratified by sex. We categorized overall CVH, health factors, and health behaviors into 3 levels (low: <50, moderate: 50 -79, high: ≥80) following the AHA's algorithm. Health metrics were further subdivided into health behaviors (diet, physical activity, nicotine exposure, and sleep) and health factors (body mass index, non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood glucose, and blood pressure). LE8 scores were also evaluated based on age, race/ethnicity, and socioeconomic status. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the association between the levels of CVH and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, with adjustment for age group and race. Results: Among 22,761 participants, 52 % were female. Overall CVH score was similar in both females and males (65.8 vs. 65.9). Females had higher health factors score (64.3 vs. 63.1, p < 0.001) and lower health behaviors score (67.2 vs 68.6, p < 0.001). Amongst individual metrics, blood pressure score was higher in females (73.2 vs. 67.7, p < 0.001) while males had higher physical activity score (70.6 vs. 54.9, p < 0.001). For individuals under 65 years of age, overall CVH and health factors scores were higher in females while in those age 65 or older, males had higher scores. The most prominent sex differences were noted in non-Hispanic Black females who had significantly lower CVH scores than Black males (62.6 vs. 74.7, respectively, p < 0.001. High LE8 scores vs. low LE8 scores demonstrated lower all-cause (HR 0.37 vs 0.35) and CV mortality (HR 0.35 vs. 0.36) in both males and females, respectively (p-interaction 0.21 and 0.28). High health behaviors scores also demonstrated a significant association with lower all-cause (0.34 vs. 0.24) and CV mortality (HR 0.47 vs. 0.26) in both males and females, respectively (p-interaction 0.20 and 0.11). Conclusions: We demonstrate important sex differences in CVH metrics along with notable variations based on age and race/ethnicity. Furthermore, we highlight that CVH metrics including health factors and health behaviors are associated with mortality in both females and males. These findings underscore the importance of designing and implementing effective strategies for both sexes, aimed at targeting these specific factors.

9.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 83(25): 2690-2707, 2024 Jun 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38897679

ABSTRACT

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are responsible for approximately 35% of all deaths in women. In 2019, the global age-standardized CVD prevalence and mortality of women were 6,403 per 100,000 and 204 per 100,000, respectively. Although the age- and population-adjusted prevalence has decreased globally, opposite trends are evident in regions of socioeconomic deprivation. Cardiovascular health and outcomes are influenced by regional socioeconomic, environmental, and community factors, in addition to health care system and individual factors. Cardiovascular care in women is commonly plagued by delayed diagnoses, undertreatment, and knowledge gaps, particularly in women-specific or women-predominant conditions. In this paper, we describe the global epidemiology of CVD and highlight multilevel determinants of cardiometabolic health. We review knowledge and health care gaps that serve as barriers to improving CVD outcomes in women. Finally, we present national, community, health care system, and research strategies to comprehensively address cardiometabolic risk and improve outcomes in women.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Global Health , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Female , Women's Health , Prevalence
10.
Heart Lung ; 67: 144-151, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38762962

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite comprising almost half of all patients undergoing valvular repair, data on transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in patients with bicuspid aortic stenosis (BAS) are limited. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate whether there are any sex differences in trends and outcomes of TAVR in this population. METHODS: We utilized the National Inpatient Sample from 2012 to 2020 to identify admissions with BAS who underwent TAVR and analyzed trends and outcomes. Our primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and secondary outcomes were in-hospital complications. We used two models to adjust for demographics (A) and interventions (B). RESULTS: Between 2012 to 2020, there were 76,540 hospitalizations for BAS patients who underwent AVR, among which 6,010 (7.9 %) underwent TAVR. There was an overall increasing trend in number of TAVR cases with a decreasing trend in mortality (2013: 8.7 %, 2020: 1.3 %). TAVR was performed more in males (61.1% vs 38.9 %). Despite the worse baseline characteristics in males, in-hospital mortality (2.4% vs. 1.5 %; OR: 1.584; 95 % CI: 0.621-4.038; p = 0.335) and secondary outcomes were similar across both sexes, even after adjusting for demographics and interventions. CONCLUSION: TAVR in BAS has grown rapidly in the last decade. Males comprised the majority and had more comorbidities, but mortality and complications were similar in both sexes. Despite the increasing number of cases, a decreasing trend in mortality was observed for both sexes ultimately approaching that of SAVR, suggesting that TAVR may be a safe alternative among eligible males and females with bicuspid AS.


Subject(s)
Aortic Valve Stenosis , Bicuspid Aortic Valve Disease , Hospital Mortality , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , Humans , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/methods , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/statistics & numerical data , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/adverse effects , Male , Female , Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery , Aortic Valve Stenosis/epidemiology , Aortic Valve Stenosis/complications , Bicuspid Aortic Valve Disease/surgery , Bicuspid Aortic Valve Disease/complications , Hospital Mortality/trends , Aged , Sex Factors , United States/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Retrospective Studies , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Treatment Outcome , Aortic Valve/surgery , Aortic Valve/abnormalities , Risk Factors , Heart Valve Diseases/surgery , Heart Valve Diseases/complications
11.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 13(9): e034414, 2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700032

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over the past decade, major society guidelines have recommended the use of newer P2Y12 inhibitors over clopidogrel for those undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for acute coronary syndrome. It is unclear what impact these recommendations had on clinical practice. METHODS AND RESULTS: All percutaneous coronary intervention procedures (n=534 210) for acute coronary syndrome in England and Wales (April 1, 2010, to March 31, 2022) were retrospectively analyzed, stratified by choice of preprocedural P2Y12 inhibitor (clopidogrel, ticagrelor, and prasugrel). Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine odds ratios of receipt of ticagrelor and prasugrel (versus clopidogrel) over time, and predictors of their receipt. Overall, there was a significant increase in receipt of newer P2Y12 inhibitors from 2010 to 2020 (2022 versus 2010: ticagrelor odds ratio, 8.12 [95% CI, 7.67-8.60]; prasugrel odds ratio, 6.14 [95% CI, 5.53-6.81]), more so in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction than non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome indication. The most significant increase in odds of receipt of prasugrel was observed between 2020 and 2022 (P<0.001), following a decline/plateau in its use in earlier years (2011-2019). In contrast, the odds of receipt of ticagrelor significantly increased in earlier years (2012-2017, Ptrend<0.001), after which the trend was stable (Ptrend=0.093). CONCLUSIONS: Over a 13-year-period, there has been a significant increase in use of newer P2Y12 inhibitors, although uptake of prasugrel use remained significantly lower than ticagrelor. Earlier society guidelines (pre-2017) were associated with the highest rates of ticagrelor use for non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction cases while the ISAR-REACT 5 (Prospective, Randomized Trial of Ticagrelor Versus Prasugrel in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome) trial and later society guidelines were associated with higher prasugrel use, mainly for ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction indication.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome , Clopidogrel , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Prasugrel Hydrochloride , Purinergic P2Y Receptor Antagonists , Ticagrelor , Humans , Acute Coronary Syndrome/drug therapy , Acute Coronary Syndrome/surgery , Acute Coronary Syndrome/therapy , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/trends , Purinergic P2Y Receptor Antagonists/therapeutic use , Male , Female , Ticagrelor/therapeutic use , Prasugrel Hydrochloride/therapeutic use , Aged , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Wales , Clopidogrel/therapeutic use , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/trends , England , Guideline Adherence/trends , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/drug therapy , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/therapy , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/surgery , Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/drug therapy , Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/surgery , Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
12.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 26(8): 3328-3338, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38779875

ABSTRACT

AIM: Patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are at increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease. However, the clinical characteristics and prognostic importance of MASLD in patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have yet to be examined. METHODS: This study compared the characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without MASLD presenting with AMI at a tertiary centre in Singapore. MASLD was defined as hepatic steatosis, with at least one of five metabolic criteria. Hepatic steatosis was determined using the Hepatic Steatosis Index. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for age and sex. The Kaplan-Meier curve was constructed for long-term all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate independent predictors of long-term all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In this study of 4446 patients with AMI, 2223 patients with MASLD were matched with patients without MASLD using propensity scores. The mean follow-up duration was 3.4 ± 2.4 years. The MASLD group had higher rates of obesity, diabetes and chronic kidney disease than their counterparts. Patients with MASLD had early excess all-cause mortality (6.8% vs. 3.6%, p < .001) at 30 days, with unfavourable mortality rates sustained in the long-term (18.3% vs. 14.5%, p = .001) compared with those without MASLD. After adjustment, MASLD remained independently associated with higher long-term all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.330, 95% confidence interval 1.106-1.598, p = .002). CONCLUSION: MASLD embodies a higher burden of metabolic dysfunction and is an independent predictor of long-term mortality in the AMI population. Its early identification may be beneficial for risk stratification and provide therapeutic targets for secondary preventive strategies in AMI.


Subject(s)
Myocardial Infarction , Propensity Score , Humans , Male , Female , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Myocardial Infarction/complications , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Aged , Singapore/epidemiology , Fatty Liver/complications , Fatty Liver/mortality , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies
13.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 33(8): 107762, 2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38723924

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Disparities in stroke outcomes, influenced by the use of systemic thrombolysis, endovascular therapies, and rehabilitation services, have been identified. Our study assesses these disparities in mortality after stroke between rural and urban areas across the United States (US). METHODS: We analyzed the CDC data on deaths attributed to cerebrovascular disease from 1999 to 2020. Data was categorized into rural and urban regions for comparative purposes. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were computed using the direct method, allowing us to examine the ratios of rural to urban deaths for the cumulative population and among demographic subpopulations. Linear regression models were used to assess temporal changes in mortality ratios over the study period, yielding beta-coefficients (ß). RESULTS: There was a total of 628,309 stroke deaths in rural regions and 2,556,293 stroke deaths within urban regions. There were 1.13 rural deaths for each one urban death per 100,000 population in 1999 and 1.07 in 2020 (ß = -0.001, ptrend = 0.41). The rural-urban mortality ratio in Hispanic populations decreased from 1.32 rural deaths for each urban death per 100,000 population in 1999 to 0.85 in 2020 (ß = -0.011, ptrend < 0.001). For non-Hispanic populations, mortality remained stagnant with 1.12 rural deaths for each urban death per 100,000 population in 1999 and 1.07 in 2020 (ß = -0.001, ptrend = 0.543). Regionally, the Southern US exhibited the highest disparity with a urban-rural mortality ratio of 1.19, followed by the Northeast (1.13), Midwest (1.04), and West (1.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings depict marked disparities in stroke mortality between rural and urban regions, emphasizing the importance of targeted interventions to mitigate stroke-related disparities.

14.
Stat Med ; 43(14): 2830-2852, 2024 Jun 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38720592

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: There is currently no guidance on how to assess the calibration of multistate models used for risk prediction. We introduce several techniques that can be used to produce calibration plots for the transition probabilities of a multistate model, before assessing their performance in the presence of random and independent censoring through a simulation. METHODS: We studied pseudo-values based on the Aalen-Johansen estimator, binary logistic regression with inverse probability of censoring weights (BLR-IPCW), and multinomial logistic regression with inverse probability of censoring weights (MLR-IPCW). The MLR-IPCW approach results in a calibration scatter plot, providing extra insight about the calibration. We simulated data with varying levels of censoring and evaluated the ability of each method to estimate the calibration curve for a set of predicted transition probabilities. We also developed evaluated the calibration of a model predicting the incidence of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease among a cohort of patients derived from linked primary and secondary healthcare records. RESULTS: The pseudo-value, BLR-IPCW, and MLR-IPCW approaches give unbiased estimates of the calibration curves under random censoring. These methods remained predominately unbiased in the presence of independent censoring, even if the censoring mechanism was strongly associated with the outcome, with bias concentrated in low-density regions of predicted transition probability. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend implementing either the pseudo-value or BLR-IPCW approaches to produce a calibration curve, combined with the MLR-IPCW approach to produce a calibration scatter plot. The methods have been incorporated into the "calibmsm" R package available on CRAN.


Subject(s)
Computer Simulation , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Models, Statistical , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Logistic Models , Calibration , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Probability
15.
Nutrients ; 16(10)2024 May 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38794724

ABSTRACT

Hypoalbuminemia associates with poor acute ischemic stroke (AIS) outcomes. We hypothesised a non-linear relationship and aimed to systematically assess this association using prospective stroke data from the Norfolk and Norwich Stroke and TIA Register. Consecutive AIS patients aged ≥40 years admitted December 2003-December 2016 were included. Outcomes: In-hospital mortality, poor discharge, functional outcome (modified Rankin score 3-6), prolonged length of stay (PLoS) > 4 days, and long-term mortality. Restricted cubic spline regressions investigated the albumin-outcome relationship. We updated a systematic review (PubMed, Scopus, and Embase databases, January 2020-June 2023) and undertook a meta-analysis. A total of 9979 patients were included; mean age (standard deviation) = 78.3 (11.2) years; mean serum albumin 36.69 g/L (5.38). Compared to the cohort median, albumin < 37 g/L associated with up to two-fold higher long-term mortality (HRmax; 95% CI = 2.01; 1.61-2.49) and in-hospital mortality (RRmax; 95% CI = 1.48; 1.21-1.80). Albumin > 44 g/L associated with up to 12% higher long-term mortality (HRmax1.12; 1.06-1.19). Nine studies met our inclusion criteria totalling 23,597 patients. Low albumin associated with increased risk of long-term mortality (two studies; relative risk 1.57 (95% CI 1.11-2.22; I2 = 81.28)), as did low-normal albumin (RR 1.10 (95% CI 1.01-1.20; I2 = 0.00)). Strong evidence indicates increased long-term mortality in AIS patients with low or low-normal albumin on admission.


Subject(s)
Hospital Mortality , Registries , Serum Albumin , Humans , Aged , Serum Albumin/analysis , Female , Male , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Stroke/mortality , Stroke/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Hypoalbuminemia/epidemiology , Hypoalbuminemia/mortality , Ischemic Stroke/mortality , Ischemic Stroke/blood , Ischemic Stroke/epidemiology , Middle Aged
16.
AJPM Focus ; 3(4): 100210, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38766464

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Suboptimal cardiovascular health is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and long-term cardiovascular risk. The authors examined trends in cardiovascular risk factors and correlates of suboptimal cardiovascular risk profiles among reproductive-aged U.S. women. Methods: With data from 335,959 women in the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (2015-2020), the authors conducted serial cross-sectional analysis among nonpregnant reproductive-aged women (18-44 years) without cardiovascular disease who self-reported information on 8 cardiovascular risk factors selected on the basis of Life's Essential 8 metrics. The authors estimated the prevalence of each risk factor and suboptimal cardiovascular risk profile (≥2 risk factors) and examined trends overall and by age and race/ethnicity. Using multivariable Poisson regression, the authors assessed the sociodemographic correlates of suboptimal cardiovascular risk profile. Results: The weighted prevalence of women aged <35 years was approximately 64% in each survey year. The prevalence of suboptimal cardiovascular risk profile increased modestly from 72.4% (71.6%-73.3%) in 2015 to 75.9% (75.0%-76.7%) in 2019 (p<0.001). This increase was mainly driven by increases in overweight/obesity (53.1%-58.4%; p<0.001). Between 2015 and 2019, significant increases in suboptimal cardiovascular risk profile were observed among non-Hispanic White (69.8%-72.6%; p<0.001) and Hispanic (75.1%-80.3%; p<0.001) women but not among non-Hispanic Black (82.7%-83.7%; p=0.48) or Asian (68.1%-73.2%; p=0.09) women. Older age, rural residence, and non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic race and ethnicity were associated with a higher prevalence of suboptimal cardiovascular risk profile. Conclusions: There has been a modest but significant increase in suboptimal cardiovascular risk profile among U.S. women of reproductive age. Urgent preventive efforts are needed to reverse this trend and improve cardiovascular health, particularly among subgroups at increased risk, to mitigate its implications.

18.
J Clin Med ; 13(7)2024 Mar 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38610650

ABSTRACT

Acute coronary syndromes (ACS), encompassing conditions like ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS), represent a significant challenge in cardiovascular care due to their complex pathophysiology and substantial impact on morbidity and mortality. The 2023 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines for ACS management introduce several updates in key areas such as invasive treatment timing in NSTE-ACS, pre-treatment strategies, approaches to multivessel disease, and the use of imaging modalities including computed tomography (CT) coronary angiography, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and intracoronary imaging techniques, such as optical coherence tomography (OCT) and intravascular ultrasound (IVUS). They also address a modulation of antiplatelet therapy, taking into consideration different patient risk profiles, and introduce new recommendations for low-dose colchicine. These guidelines provide important evidence-based updates in practice, reflecting an evolution in the understanding and management of ACS, yet some potentially missed opportunities for more personalized care and technology adoption are discussed.

19.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 51: 101370, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38628296

ABSTRACT

Aims: A substantial proportion of the patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have none of the of standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs): hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolaemia and smoking. The aim of this analysis was to compare clinical outcomes after PCI according to the number of SMuRFs. Methods: Patients with an indication for a PCI were stratified based upon the number of SMuRFs: 0, 1, 2 or 3-4. The primary outcome was target lesion failure (TLF), a composite of cardiac death, target vessel-related myocardial infarction or clinically driven target lesion revascularization at 1-year. Inverse weighted propensity score (IWPS) adjustment was performed to adjust for differences in baseline characteristics. Results: The prevalence of SMuRFs was: 0 SMuRF 16.4 %; 1 SMuRF 27.8 %; 2 SMuRFs 34.7 % and 3-4 SMuRFs 21.1 %. Patients without SMuRFs were younger, more likely to be male and had less complex coronary artery disease. The incidence of TLF increased with the number of SMuRFs: 2.65 %, 2.75 %, 3.23 %, and 4.24 %, Ptrend < 0.001. The relative risk (RR) for a TLF was 60 % higher (95 % confidence interval 1.32-1.93, p < 0.01) for patients with 3-4 SMuRFs compared to patients without SMuRFs. The trend remained (Ptrend < 0.01) after IWPS with TLF rates of 2.88 %, 2.64 %, 2.88 % and 3.65 %. The RR for a TLF was 27 % higher (95 % CI 1.05-1.53, p < 0.01). Conclusion: The incidence of clinical events at 1-year increased with the number of SMuRFs. While patients without SMuRFs have a relatively favourable risk profile, more research is needed to optimize therapeutic management in the majority of patients.

SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL
...