ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Recent evidence has linked air pollution with frailty, yet little is known about the role of NO2 in this association. Our aim was to assess the association between frailty and NO2 air concentrations in Mexican older adults. METHODS: We used georeferenced data from the population-based Nutrition and Health Survey in Mexico (NHNS) 2021, representative of national and subnational regions, to measure a frailty index based on 31 health deficits in adults aged 50 and older. Air pollution due to NO2 concentrations was estimated from satellite images validated with data from surface-level stations. Maps were produced using Jensen's Natural break method. The association of frailty and NO2 concentrations was measured using the frailty index (multivariate fractional response logit regression) and a frailty binary variable (frailty index [FI]â ≥0.36, multivariate logit regression). RESULTS: There was a positive and significant association of the frailty index with the NO2 concentrations, adjusting for age, sex, urban and rural area, years of education, socioeconomic status, living arrangement, particulate matter smaller than 2.5 microns, and indoor pollution. For each standard deviation increase in NO2 concentrations measured 10 years before the survey, the odds of being frail were 15% higher, and the frailty index was 14.5% higher. The fraction of frailty attributable to NO2 exposure ranged from 1.8% to 23.5% according to different scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty was positively associated with exposure to NO2 concentrations. Mapping frailty and its associated factors like NO2 air concentrations can contribute to the design of targeted pro-healthy aging policies.
Subject(s)
Air Pollution , Frailty , Nitrogen Dioxide , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Frailty/epidemiology , Mexico/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Air Pollutants/analysis , Air Pollutants/adverse effects , Aged, 80 and over , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Frail Elderly/statistics & numerical data , Spatial Analysis , Particulate Matter/analysis , Particulate Matter/adverse effectsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Frailty is a dynamic state in older adults. Current evidence, mostly in high-income countries, found that improving frailty is more likely in mild states (prefrailty). We aimed to determine the probability of frailty transitions and their predictors. METHODS: Participants were adults aged 50 years or over from the Study on Global Ageing and Adult Health in Mexico during 4 waves (2009, 2014, 2017, and 2021). We defined frailty with the frailty phenotype and we used multinomial logistic models to estimate the probabilities of frailty transitions and determine their predictors. RESULTS: For the 3 analyzed periods (2009-2014, 2014-2017, and 2017-2021), transition probabilities from frail to robust were higher for the younger age group (50-59 years) at 0.20, 0.26, and 0.20, and lower for the older age group (≥80 years), 0.03, 0.08 and 0.04. Transitioning from prefrail to robust had probabilities of 0.38, 0.37, and 0.35, for the younger age group, and 0.09, 0.18, and 0.10, for the older age group. The probabilities of transitioning to frail and to death were lower for the younger age group and for the robust at baseline; but higher for the older age group and for the frail at baseline. We identified age, disability, and diabetes as the most significant predictors of frailty transitions. CONCLUSIONS: These findings show that frailty has a dynamic nature and that a significant proportion of prefrail and frail individuals can recover to a robust or prefrail state. They also emphasize that prefrailty should be the focus of interventions.