Prognostic stratification in venetoclax-based acute myeloid leukemia treatments: the molecular prognostic risk signature tested in a real-world setting.

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CALR mutation burden in essential thrombocythemia and disease outcome.

ABSTRACT: Among 281 patients with essential thrombocythemia and calreticulin (CALR) mutation, we found a variant allele frequency of ≥60% to be associated with significantly shortened myelofibrosis-free survival, mostly apparent with CALR type-1 and CALR type-indeterminate mutations.

The prognostic contribution of CBL, NRAS, KRAS, RUNX1, and TP53 mutations to mutation-enhanced international prognostic score systems (MIPSS70/plus/plus v2.0) for primary myelofibrosis.

Contemporary risk models in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) include the mutation (MIPSS70) and mutation/karyotype enhanced (MIPSS70 plus/v2.0) international prognostic scoring systems. High molecular risk (HMR) mutations incorporated in one or both of these models include ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2, IDH1/2, and U2AF1Q157; the current study examines additional prognostic contribution from more recently described HMR mutations, including CBL, NRAS, KRAS, RUNX1, and TP53. In a cohort of 363 informative cases (median age 58 years; 60% males), mutations included JAK2 61%, CALR 24%, MPL 6%, ASXL1 29%, SRSF2 10%, U2AF1Q157 5%, EZH2 10%, IDH1/2 4%, TP53 5%, CBL 5%, NRAS 7%, KRAS 4%, and RUNX1 4%. At a median follow-up of 4.6 years, 135 (37%) deaths and 42 (11.6%) leukemic transformations were recorded. Univariate analysis confirmed significant survival impact from the original MIPSS70/plus/v2.0 HMR mutations as well as CBL (HR 2.8; p < .001), NRAS (HR 2.4; p < .001), KRAS (HR 2.1; p = .01), and TP53 (HR 2.4; p = .004), but not RUNX1 mutations (HR 1.8; p = .08). Multivariate analysis (MVA) that included both the original and more recently described HMR mutations confirmed independent prognostic contribution from ASXL1 (HR 1.8; p = .007), SRSF2 (HR 4.3; p < .001), U2AF1Q157 (HR 2.9, p = .004), and EZH2 (HR 2.4; p < .001), but not from IDH1/2 (p = .3), TP53 (p = .2), CBL (p = .3), NRAS (p = .8) or KRAS (p = .2) mutations. The lack of additional prognostic value from CBL, NRAS, KRAS, RUNX1, and TP53 was further demonstrated in the setting of (i) MVA of mutations and karyotype, (ii) MVA of MIPSS70/plus/v2.0 composite scores and each one of the recently described HMR mutations, except TP53, and iii) modified MIPSS70/plus/plus v2.0 that included CBL, NRAS, KRAS, and TP53 as part of the HMR constituency, operationally referred to as "HMR+" category. Furthermore, "HMR+" enhancement of MIPSS70/plus/plus v2.0 did not result in improved model performance, as measured by C-statistics. We conclude that prognostic integrity of MIPSS70/plus/plus v2.0, as well as their genetic components, was sustained and their value not significantly upgraded by the inclusion of more recently described HMR mutations, including CBL, NRAS, KRAS, and RUNX1. Additional studies are needed to clarify the apparent additional prognostic value of TP53 mutation and its allelic state.

Clonal dynamics and copy number variants by single-cell analysis in leukemic evolution of myeloproliferative neoplasms.

Transformation from chronic (CP) to blast phase (BP) in myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN) remains poorly characterized, and no specific mutation pattern has been highlighted. BP-MPN represents an unmet need, due to its refractoriness to treatment and dismal outcome. Taking advantage of the granularity provided by single-cell sequencing (SCS), we analyzed paired samples of CP and BP in 10 patients to map clonal trajectories and interrogate target copy number variants (CNVs). Already at diagnosis, MPN present as oligoclonal diseases with varying ratio of mutated and wild-type cells, including cases where normal hematopoiesis was entirely surmised by mutated clones. BP originated from increasing clonal complexity, either on top or independent of a driver mutation, through acquisition of novel mutations as well as accumulation of clones harboring multiple mutations, that were detected at CP by SCS but were missed by bulk sequencing. There were progressive copy-number imbalances from CP to BP, that configured distinct clonal profiles and identified recurrences in genes including NF1, TET2, and BCOR, suggesting an additional level of complexity and contribution to leukemic transformation. EZH2 emerged as the gene most frequently affected by single nucleotide and CNVs, that might result in EZH2/PRC2-mediated transcriptional deregulation, as supported by combined scATAC-seq and snRNA-seq analysis of the leukemic clone in a representative case. Overall, findings provided insights into the pathogenesis of MPN-BP, identified CNVs as a hitherto poorly characterized mechanism and point to EZH2 dysregulation as target. Serial assessment of clonal dynamics might potentially allow early detection of impending disease transformation, with therapeutic implications.

Prediction of thrombosis in post-polycythemia vera and post-essential thrombocythemia myelofibrosis: a study on 1258 patients.

Patients with Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms are at high risk of thrombotic events (TEs). Predisposing factors have been identified in essential thrombocythemia (ET), polycythemia vera (PV) and primary myelofibrosis (primary MF, PMF), while yet not recognized in post PV/ET-MF (known as secondary MF, SMF). Within the 1258 SMF of the MYSEC (MYelofibrosis SECondary to PV and ET) dataset, 135 (10.7%) developed a TE at a median follow-up of 3.5 years (range, 1-21.4), with an incidence of 2.3% patients per year. Venous events accounted for two-thirds of the total. Cox multivariable analysis, supported by Fine-Gray models with death as competitive risk, showed that being on cytoreductive therapy at time of SMF evolution is associated with an absolute risk reduction of thrombosis equal to 3.3% within 3 years. Considering individually cytoreductive therapies, univariate regression model found that both conventional cytoreduction, mainly hydroxyurea, (HR 0.41, 95% CI: 0.26-0.65, p = 0.0001) and JAK inhibitors, mostly ruxolitinib, (HR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.24-1.02, p = 0.05) were associated with fewer thrombosis. Our study informs treating physicians of a non-low incidence of TEs in post PV/ET-MF and of the potential protective role of cytoreductive therapy in terms of thrombotic events.

Integration of multiparameter flow cytometry score improves prognostic stratification provided by standard models in primary myelofibrosis.

Prognostic modeling in myelofibrosis (MF) has classically pursued the integration of informative clinical and hematological parameters to separate patients' categories with different outcomes. Modern stratification includes also genetic data from karyotype and mutations. However, some poorly standardized variables, as peripheral blood (PB) blast count by morphology, are still included. In this study, we used multiparameter flow cytometry (MFC) with the aim of improving performance of existing scores. We studied 363 MF patients with available MFC files for PB CD34+ cells count determination at diagnosis. We adapted Ogata score to MF context including 2 parameters: absolute CD34+ cells count (/µL) and granulocytes to lymphocytes SSC ratio. A score of 1 was attributed to above-threshold values of each parameter. Accordingly, patients were categorized as MFClow (score = 0, 62.0%), MFCint (score = 1, 29.5%), and MFChigh (score = 2, 8.5%). MFClow had significantly longer median OS (not reached) compared to MFCint (55 months) and MFChigh (19 months). We integrated MFC into established models as a substitute of morphological PB blasts count. Patients were reclassified according to MFC-enhanced scores, and concordance (C-) indexes were compared. As regards IPSS, C-indexes were 0.67 and 0.74 for standard and MFC-enhanced model, respectively (Z score - 3.82; p = 0.0001). MFC-enhanced MIPSS70+ model in PMF patients yielded a C-index of 0.78, outperforming its standard counterpart (C-index 0.73; Z score - 2.88, p = 0.004). Our data suggest that the incorporation of MFC-derived parameters, easily attainable from standard assay used for CD34+ cells determination, might help to refine the current prognostic stratification models in myelofibrosis.

BRAFV600E mutation in the wrong place: a case of concomitant polycythemia vera, hairy cell leukemia, and thyroid adenoma.

BACKGROUND: Polycythemia vera (PV) is one of the Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), characterized by a pan-myelosis with an erythroid-predominant proliferation mainly driven by somatic JAK2V617F gain-of-function mutation. Hairy cell leukemia (HCL) is a rare B-cell lineage lymphoproliferative disease (LPD) with a typic immunophenotypic profile. BRAFV600E, leading to constitutive activation of the RAF/MEK/ERK signalling pathway and increased cell proliferation, is identified as the driver mutation in almost all cases. Although the risk of developing an LPD is significantly increased in patients with MPN compared with the general population, few cases of co-occurring PV and HCL are reported to date. BRAF is one of the most frequently mutated oncogenes in human cancer and some point mutations were identified in multiple neoplasms in addition to HCL, including follicular and papillary thyroid adenoma and carcinoma. CASE PRESENTATION: Here we report a molecular diagnostic challenge in a woman with a concomitant diagnosis of JAK2V617F PV, BRAFV600E HCL, and HRASQ61K thyroid follicular adenoma. CONCLUSION: In the age of molecular and precision medicine, this case underlines the importance of integrating molecular results with clinical, radiologic, cytologic, and histopathologic investigations.

RAS/CBL mutations predict resistance to JAK inhibitors in myelofibrosis and are associated with poor prognostic features.

The dysregulation of the JAK/STAT pathway drives the pathogenesis of myelofibrosis (MF). Recently, several JAK inhibitors (JAKis) have been developed for treating MF. Select mutations (MTs) have been associated with impaired outcomes and are currently incorporated in molecularly annotated prognostic models. Mutations of RAS/MAPK pathway genes are frequently reported in cancer and at low frequencies in MF. In this study, we investigated the phenotypic, prognostic, and therapeutic implications of NRASMTs, KRASMTs, and CBLMTs (RAS/CBLMTs) in 464 consecutive MF patients. A total of 59 (12.7%) patients had RAS/CBLMTs: NRASMTs, n = 25 (5.4%); KRASMTs, n = 13 (2.8%); and CBLMTs, n = 26 (5.6%). Patients with RAS/CBLMTs were more likely to present with high-risk clinical and molecular features. RAS/CBLMTs were associated with inferior overall survival compared with patients without MTs and retained significance in a multivariate model, including the Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System (MIPSS70) risk factors and cytogenetics; however, inclusion of RAS/CBLMTs in molecularly annotated prognostic models did not improve the predictive power of the latter. The 5-year cumulative incidence of leukemic transformation was notably higher in the RAS/CBLMT cohort. Among 61 patients treated with JAKis and observed for a median time of 30 months, the rate of symptoms and spleen response at 6 months was significantly lower in the RAS/CBLMT cohort. Logistic regression analysis disclosed a significant inverse correlation between RAS/CBLMTs and the probability of achieving a symptom or spleen response that was retained in multivariate analysis. In summary, our study showed that RAS/CBLMTs are associated with adverse phenotypic features and survival outcomes and, more important, may predict reduced response to JAKis.

Validation of the IPSET score for thrombosis in patients with prefibrotic myelofibrosis.

Pre-fibrotic myelofibrosis (pre-PMF) and essential thrombocythemia (ET) are characterized by similarly increased rate of thrombotic events, but no study specifically analyzed risk factors for thrombosis in pre-PMF. In a multicenter cohort of 382 pre-PMF patients collected in this study, the rate of arterial and venous thrombosis after diagnosis was 1.0 and 0.95% patients/year. Factors significantly associated with arterial thrombosis were age, leukocytosis, generic cardiovascular risk factors, JAK2V617F and high molecular risk mutations, while only history of previous thrombosis, particularly prior venous thrombosis, was predictive of venous events. The risk of total thromboses was accurately predicted by the the international prognostic score for thrombosis in essential thrombocythemia (IPSET) score, originally developed for ET, and corresponded to 0.67, 2.05, and 2.95% patients/year in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories. IPSET was superior to both the conventional 2-tiered score and the revised IPSET in this cohort of pre-PMF patients. We conclude that IPSET score can be conveniently used for thrombosis risk stratification in patients with pre-PMF and might represent the basis for individualized management aimed at reducing the increased risk of major cardiovascular events. Further refinement of the IPSET score in pre-PMF might be pursued by additional, prospective studies evaluating the inclusion of leukocytosis and/or adverse mutational profile as novel variables.

Mutation-enhanced international prognostic systems for essential thrombocythaemia and polycythaemia vera.

Survival prediction in essential thrombocythaemia (ET) and polycythaemia vera (PV) is currently based on clinically-derived variables; we examined the possibility of integrating genetic information for predicting survival. To this end, 906 molecularly-annotated patients (416 Mayo Clinic; 490 University of Florence, Italy), including 502 ET and 404 PV, were recruited. Multivariable analysis identified spliceosome mutations to adversely affect overall (SF3B1, SRSF2 in ET and SRSF2 in PV) and myelofibrosis-free (U2AF1, SF3B1 in ET) survival; TP53 mutations predicted leukaemic transformation in ET; "adverse" mutations occurred in 51 (10%) ET and 8 (2%) PV patients. We confirmed the independent survival effect of adverse mutations [hazard ratio (HR) 2·4, 95% CI 1·6-3·5], age >60 years (6·6, 4·6-9·7), male sex (1·8, 1·3-2·4) and leukocytosis ≥11 × 109 /l (1·6, 1·1-2·2), in ET, and adverse mutations (7·8, 3·1-17·0), age >67 years (5·4, 3·6-8·1), leukocytosis ≥15 × 109 /l (2·8, 1·8-4·2) and thrombosis history (2·0, 1·4-2·9), in PV. HR-based risk point allocation allowed development of three-tiered mutation-enhanced international prognostic systems (MIPSS) which were validated in both cohorts and performance was shown to be superior to conventional scoring systems. Spliceosome mutations enhance survival prediction in ET and PV and identify patients at risk for fibrotic progression. TP53 mutations predict leukaemic transformation in ET.

Second primary malignancies in postpolycythemia vera and postessential thrombocythemia myelofibrosis: A study on 2233 patients.

Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) are known to have higher incidence of nonhematological second primary malignancies (SPM) compared to general population. In the MYSEC study on 781 secondary myelofibrosis (SMF) patients, the incidence of SPM after SMF diagnosis resulted 0.98/100 patient-years. When including non-melanoma skin cancers (NMSC), the incidence arose to 1.56/100 patient-years. In SMF, JAK inhibitor treatment was associated only with NMSC occurrence. Then, we merged the MYSEC cohort with a large dataset of PV and ET not evolving into SMF. In this subanalysis, we did not find any correlation between SPM and SMF occurrence. These findings highlight the need of studies aimed at identifying MPN patients at higher risk of SPM.

Myelodysplasia as assessed by multiparameter flow cytometry refines prognostic stratification provided by genotypic risk in systemic mastocytosis.

Systemic mastocytosis (SM) is characterized by extreme heterogeneity of manifestations and prognosis. Several disease-related biomarkers, including clinical, hematological and molecular variables, have been correlated with prognosis. Although relevant, the mutation profile closely reflects the WHO classification that has per se prognostic value. High-risk mutations (HRM) are largely confined to advanced forms, and thus fail in providing information regarding progression and outcome in the not-advanced variants. In this work, we studied hematopoietic cells by multi-parameter flow cytometry (MFC) in order to highlight dysplastic traits that might provide insights into outcome. A score previously validated for myelodysplastic syndromes, with high reproducibility in standard diagnostics, was used. The application of an MFC score to a cohort of 71 SM cases, concurrently genotyped for configuring a HRM category, resulted in the identification of two separate patients' categories (MFC+ and MFC-) characterized by significantly different clinical and laboratory features at presentation. The extent of dysplasia by MFC tended to parallel WHO-category and genotype-related stratification. MFC+ patients had shorter survival compared to MFC- ones, for whom the incidence of progression and/or death was virtually null. Of note, MFC score remained prognostically informative in unadvanced subsets. Furthermore, the integration of MFC and HRM was an independent predictor for outcome, also overcoming WHO-categories in multivariate analysis for EFS. Our results support the use of MFC analysis in the evaluation of patients with SM, alone and in combination with HRM, for refinement of prognosis assessment.