ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Oxaliplatin-containing adjuvant chemotherapy yields a significant survival benefit in stage III colon cancer and is the standard of care. Simultaneously, it causes dose-dependent peripheral neuropathy that may increase the risk of fall-related injury (FRI) such as fracture and laceration. Because these events carry significant morbidity and the global burden of colon cancer is on the rise, we examined the association between treatment with a full versus shortened course of adjuvant chemotherapy and post-treatment FRI and fracture. METHODS: In this overlap propensity score weighted, retrospective cohort study, we included patients aged ≥ 18 years with resected stage III colon cancer diagnosed 2007-2019 and treated with oxaliplatin-containing adjuvant chemotherapy (oxaliplatin plus a fluoropyrimidine; capecitabine [CAPOX] or 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin [FOLFOX]). Propensity score methods facilitate the separation of design from analysis and comparison of baseline characteristics across the weighted groups. Treatment groups were defined as 50% (4 cycles CAPOX/6 cycles FOLFOX) and > 85% (7-8 cycles CAPOX/11-12 cycles FOLFOX) of a maximal course of adjuvant chemotherapy to approximate the treatment durations received in the IDEA collaboration. The main outcomes were time to any FRI and time to fracture. We determined the subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) estimating the association between FRI/fracture and treatment group, accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: We included 3,461 patients; 473 (13.7%) received 50% and 2,988 (86.3%) received > 85% of a maximal course of adjuvant therapy. For post-treatment FRI, median follow-up was 4.6 years and total follow-up was 17,968 person-years. There were 508 FRI, 301 fractures, and 692 deaths. Treatment with > 85% of a maximal course of therapy conferred a sHR of 0.84 (95% CI 0.62-1.13) for post-treatment FRI and a sHR of 0.72 (95% CI 0.49-1.06) for post-treatment fracture. CONCLUSION: For patients with stage III colon cancer undergoing treatment with oxaliplatin-containing adjuvant chemotherapy, any potential neuropathy associated with longer durations of treatment was not found to result in greater rates of FRI and fracture. Within the limits of this retrospective study, our findings suggest concern about FRI, while mechanistically plausible, ought not to determine treatment duration.
Subject(s)
Accidental Falls , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols , Colonic Neoplasms , Fluorouracil , Leucovorin , Neoplasm Staging , Oxaliplatin , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Female , Male , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant/methods , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant/adverse effects , Colonic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Colonic Neoplasms/pathology , Colonic Neoplasms/mortality , Middle Aged , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Oxaliplatin/administration & dosage , Oxaliplatin/adverse effects , Oxaliplatin/therapeutic use , Aged , Accidental Falls/statistics & numerical data , Leucovorin/therapeutic use , Leucovorin/adverse effects , Leucovorin/administration & dosage , Fluorouracil/administration & dosage , Fluorouracil/adverse effects , Fluorouracil/therapeutic use , Fractures, Bone/etiology , Fractures, Bone/epidemiology , Capecitabine/administration & dosage , Propensity Score , Adult , Organoplatinum CompoundsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To describe the rate, timing, and pattern of changes in advance directives (ADs) of do not resuscitate (DNR) and do not hospitalize (DNH) orders among new admissions to nursing homes (NHs). DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Admissions to all publicly funded NHs in Ontario, Canada, between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017. METHODS: Residents were followed until discharged from incident NH stay, death, or were still present at the end of study (December 31, 2019). They were categorized into 3 mutually exclusive baseline composite AD groups: Full Code, DNR Only, and DNR+DNH. We used Poisson regression models to estimate the incidence rate ratios of AD change between different AD groups and different decision makers for personal care, adjusted for baseline clinical and sociodemographic variables. RESULTS: A total of 102,541 NH residents were eligible for inclusion. Residents with at least 1 AD change accounted for 46% of Full Code, 30% of DNR Only, and 25% of DNR+DNH group. Median time to first AD change ranged between 26 and 55 weeks. For Full Code and DNR Only residents, the most frequent change was to an AD 1 level lower in aggressiveness or intervention, whereas for DNR+DNH residents the most frequent change was to DNR Only. About 16% of residents had 2 or more AD changes during their stay. After controlling for covariates, residents with a DNR-only order or DNR+DNH orders at admission and those with a surrogate decision maker were associated with lower AD change rates. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Measuring AD adherence rates that are documented only at a particular time often underestimates the dynamics of AD changes during a resident's stay and results in an inaccurate measure of the effectiveness of AD on resident care. There should be more frequent reviews of ADs as they are quite dynamic. Mandatory review after an acute change in a resident's health would ensure that ADs are current.
Subject(s)
Advance Directives , Nursing Homes , Resuscitation Orders , Humans , Male , Female , Ontario , Retrospective Studies , Advance Directives/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and overABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is routinely treated with adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) after breast-conserving surgery (BCS). The inability to accurately estimate an individual's risk of local recurrence (LR) and invasive LR using clinicopathologic factors (CPF) contributes to the overtreatment of DCIS. We examined the impact of the 12-gene DCIS Score (DS) and the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) on the accuracy of predicting LR and invasive LR. METHODS: A population-based cohort diagnosed with pure DCIS treated with BCS ± RT from 1994 to 2003 was used. All patients had expert pathology review and assessment of the DS and RS. Predictive models (CPF alone, DS + CPF, and RS + CPF) were developed using multivariable Cox regression analyses to predict 10-year LR and invasive LR risks. Models were evaluated on the basis of c-statistic, -2log likelihood estimate (-2LLE), and Akaike information criterion. Calibration was performed using bootstrap resamples, with replacement. RESULTS: The cohort includes 1,226 women treated with BCS; 712 received RT. 194 women (15.8%) experienced ipsilateral LR as a first event; 112 were invasive. Models including the DS or RS performed better in predicting the 10-year risk of LR compared with models on the basis of CPF alone with excellent calibration. The two molecular-based models also performed better in predicting invasive LR compared with the CPF model but the model incorporating the RS did not perform better in the prediction of invasive LR compared with the DS-based model. CONCLUSION: Models incorporating the DS or RS more accurately predicted the 10-year risk of LR and invasive LR after BCS compared with models on the basis of CPF alone. Inclusion of the RS, compared with DS, did not improve the prediction of the 10-year risk of invasive LR.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Team diversity is recognized not only as an equity issue but also a catalyst for improved performance through diversity in knowledge and practices. However, team diversity data in healthcare are limited and it is not known whether it may affect outcomes in surgery. This study examined the association between anaesthesia-surgery team sex diversity and postoperative outcomes. METHODS: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study of adults undergoing major inpatient procedures between 2009 and 2019. The exposure was the hospital percentage of female anaesthetists and surgeons in the year of surgery. The outcome was 90-day major morbidity. Restricted cubic splines were used to identify a clinically meaningful dichotomization of team sex diversity, with over 35% female anaesthetists and surgeons representing higher diversity. The association with outcomes was examined using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 709 899 index operations performed at 88 hospitals, 90-day major morbidity occurred in 14.4%. The median proportion of female anaesthetists and surgeons was 28 (interquartile range 25-31)% per hospital per year. Care in hospitals with higher sex diversity (over 35% female) was associated with reduced odds of 90-day major morbidity (OR 0.97, 95% c.i. 0.95 to 0.99; P = 0.02) after adjustment. The magnitude of this association was greater for patients treated by female anaesthetists (OR 0.92, 0.88 to 0.97; P = 0.002) and female surgeons (OR 0.83, 0.76 to 0.90; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Care in hospitals with greater anaesthesia-surgery team sex diversity was associated with better postoperative outcomes. Care in a hospital reaching a critical mass with over 35% female anaesthetists and surgeons, representing higher team sex-diversity, was associated with a 3% lower odds of 90-day major morbidity.
Subject(s)
Patient Care Team , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Female , Retrospective Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Aged , Adult , Surgeons/statistics & numerical data , Surgical Procedures, Operative/statistics & numerical data , Physicians, Women/statistics & numerical dataABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer guidelines recommend screening colonoscopy every 10 years after a negative procedure. If risk reduction extends past 10 years, the recommended interval could be extended, reducing the burden on the individual and health-care system. We aimed to estimate the duration that patients remain at reduced risk of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality after a complete colonoscopy. METHODS: We did a population-based cohort study of individuals aged 50-65 years between Jan 1, 1994, to Dec 31, 2017. We excluded individuals with previous exposure to colonoscopy or colorectal surgery, those previously diagnosed with colorectal cancer, or a history of hereditary or other bowel disorders. We followed up participants until Dec 31, 2018, and identified all colonoscopies performed in this time period. We used a 9-level time-varying measure of exposure, capturing time since last complete colonoscopy (no complete colonoscopy, ≤5 years, >5-10 years, >10-15 years, and >15 years) and whether an intervention was performed (biopsy or polypectomy). A Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusting for age, sex, comorbidity, residential income quintile, and immigration status was used to estimate the association between exposure to a complete colonoscopy and colorectal cancer incidence and mortality. FINDINGS: 5 298 033 individuals (2 609 060 [49·2%] female and 2 688 973 [50·8%] male; no data on ethnicity were available) were included in the cohort, with a median follow-up of 12·56 years (IQR 6·26-20·13). 90 532 (1·7%) individuals were diagnosed with colorectal cancer and 44 088 (0·8%) died from colorectal cancer. Compared with those who did not have a colonoscopy, the risk of colorectal cancer in those who had a complete negative colonoscopy was reduced at all timepoints, including when the procedure occurred more than 15 years earlier (hazard ratio [HR] 0·62 [95% CI 0·51-0·77] for female individuals and 0·57 [0·46-0·70] for male individuals. A similar finding was observed for colorectal cancer mortality, with lower risk at all timepoints, including when the procedure occurred more than 15 years earlier (HR 0·64 [95% CI 0·49-0·83] for female participants and 0·65 [0·50-0·83] for male participants). Those who had a colonoscopy with intervention had a significantly lower colorectal cancer incidence than those who did not undergo colonoscopy if the procedure occurred within 10 years for females (HR 0·70 [95% CI 0·63-0·77]) and up to 15 years for males (0·62 [(0·53-0·72]). INTERPRETATION: Compared with those who do not receive colonoscopy, individuals who have a negative colonoscopy result remain at lower risk for colorectal cancer incidence and mortality more than 15 years after the procedure. The current recommendation of repeat screening at 10 years in these individuals should be reassessed. FUNDING: Canadian Institutes of Health Research.
Subject(s)
Colonoscopy , Colorectal Neoplasms , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Colonoscopy/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Incidence , Aged , Ontario/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Time Factors , Proportional Hazards Models , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Risk Reduction BehaviorABSTRACT
We undertook a retrospective study to compare the quality of care delivered to a cohort of newly diagnosed adults with colon, rectal or anal cancer during the early phase of COVID-19 (02/20-12/20) relative to the same period in the year prior (the comparator cohort), and examine the impact of the pandemic on 2-year disease progression and all-cause mortality. We observed poorer performance on a number of quality measures, such as approximately three times as many patients in the COVID-19 cohort experienced 30-day post-surgical readmission (10.5% vs. 3.6%; SD:0.27). Despite these differences, we observed no statistically significant adjusted associations between COVID-19 and time to either all-cause mortality (HR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.61-1.27, p = 0.50) or disease progression (HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 0.82-1.64, p = 0.41). However, there was a substantial reduction in new patient consults during the early phase of COVID-19 (12.2% decrease), which appeared to disproportionally impact patients who traditionally experience sociodemographic disparities in access to care, given that the COVID-19 cohort skewed younger and there were fewer patients from neighborhoods with the highest Housing and Dwelling, ands Age and Labour Force marginalization quintiles. Future work is needed to understand the more downstream effects of COVID-19 related changes on cancer care to inform planning for future disruptions in care.
Subject(s)
Anus Neoplasms , COVID-19 , Colorectal Neoplasms , Quality of Health Care , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Anus Neoplasms/therapy , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Colorectal Neoplasms/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Aged , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , AdultABSTRACT
Developing prognostic tools specifically for patients themselves represents an important step in empowering patients to engage in shared decision-making. Incorporating patient-reported outcomes may improve the accuracy of these prognostic tools. We conducted a retrospective population-based study of transplant-ineligible (TIE) patients with multiple myeloma (MM) diagnosed between January 2007 and December 2018. A multivariable Cox regression model was developed to predict the risk of death within 1-year period from the index date. We identified 2356 patients with TIE MM. The following factors were associated with an increased risk of death within 1 year: ageâ >â 80 (HR 1.11), history of heart failure (HR 1.52), "CRAB" at diagnosis (HR 1.61), distance to cancer center (HR 1.25), prior radiation (HR 1.48), no proteosome inhibitor/immunomodulatory therapy usage (HR 1.36), recent emergency department (HR 1.55) or hospitalization (HR 2.13), poor performance status (ECOG 3-4 HR 1.76), and increasing number of severe symptoms (HR 1.56). Model discrimination was high with C-statistic of 0.74, and calibration was very good. To our knowledge, this represents one of the first prognostic models developed in MM incorporating patient-reported outcomes. This survival prognostic tool may improve communication regarding prognosis and shared decision-making among older adults with MM and their health care providers.
Subject(s)
Multiple Myeloma , Patient Reported Outcome Measures , Humans , Multiple Myeloma/mortality , Multiple Myeloma/therapy , Male , Female , Prognosis , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Aged, 80 and over , Middle AgedABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: It is unclear if use of cesarean delivery in people with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is guideline-concordant. We compared the odds of cesarean delivery among primiparous individuals with IBD versus without, overall, and by disease characteristics, as well as time to subsequent delivery. METHODS: Retrospective matched population-based cohort study between 1 April 1994 and 31 March 2020. Primiparous individuals aged 15-55 years with IBD were matched to those without IBD on age, year, hospital, and number of newborns delivered. Primary outcome was cesarean delivery versus vaginal delivery. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analyses were performed to estimate the odds of cesarean delivery among individuals with and without IBD as a binary exposure, and a categorical exposure based on IBD-related indications for cesarean delivery. Time to subsequent delivery was evaluated using a Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: We matched 7472 individuals with IBD to 37 360 individuals without (99.02% match rate). Individuals with IBD were categorised as having perianal (PA) disease (IBD-PA, n = 764, 10.2%), prior ileal pouch-anal anastomosis (n = 212, 2.8%), or IBD-Other (n = 6496, 86.9%). Cesarean delivery rates were 35.4% in the IBD group versus 30.4% in their controls (adjusted odds ratio 1.27; 95% CI 1.20-1.34). IBD-ileal pouch-anal anastomosis had a cesarean delivery rate of 66.5%, compared to 49.9% in IBD-PA and 32.7% in IBD-Other. There was no significant difference in the rate of subsequent delivery in those with and without IBD (adjusted hazard ratio 1.03; 95% CI 1-1.07). CONCLUSIONS: The higher risk of cesarean delivery in people with IBD reflects guideline-concordant use. Individuals with and without IBD were equally likely to have a subsequent delivery with similar timing.
Subject(s)
Cesarean Section , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases , Humans , Female , Cesarean Section/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Pregnancy , Retrospective Studies , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/epidemiology , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/surgery , Young Adult , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Pregnancy Complications/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Adult survivors of childhood cancer are at elevated risk of morbidity and mortality compared to the general population, but their adherence to lifelong periodic surveillance is suboptimal. We aimed to examine adherence to surveillance guidelines for high-yield tests and identify risk factors for nonadherence in adult survivors of childhood cancer. METHODS: In this retrospective, population-based cohort study, we used health care administrative data from Ontario, Canada, to identify adult survivors of childhood cancer diagnosed between 1986 and 2014 who were at elevated risk of therapy-related colorectal cancer, breast cancer, or cardiomyopathy. Using a Poisson regression framework, we assessed longitudinal adherence and predictors of adherence to the Children's Oncology Group surveillance guideline. RESULTS: Among 3241 survivors, 327 (10%), 234 (7%), and 3205 (99%) were at elevated risk for colorectal cancer, breast cancer, and cardiomyopathy, respectively. Within these cohorts, only 13%, 6%, and 53% were adherent to recommended surveillance as of February 2020. During a median follow-up of 7.8 years, the proportion of time spent adherent was 14% among survivors at elevated risk for colorectal cancer, 10% for breast cancer, and 43% for cardiomyopathy. Significant predictors of adherence varied across the risk groups, but higher comorbidity was associated with adherence to recommended surveillance. INTERPRETATION: Survivors of childhood cancer in Ontario are rarely up to date for recommended surveillance tests. Tailored interventions beyond specialized clinics are needed to improve surveillance adherence.
Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Cancer Survivors , Cardiomyopathies , Colorectal Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Child , Female , Retrospective Studies , Cohort Studies , Survivors , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Disease Progression , Ontario/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/therapy , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: There is growing interest in understanding the care needs of lonely people but studies are limited and examine healthcare settings separately. We estimated and compared healthcare trajectories in lonely and not lonely older female and male respondents to a national health survey. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of community-dwelling, Ontario respondents (65+ years) to the 2008/2009 Canadian Community Health Survey-Healthy Aging. Respondents were classified at baseline as not lonely, moderately lonely, or severely lonely using the Three-Item Loneliness Scale and then linked with health administrative data to assess healthcare transitions over a 12 -year observation period. Annual risks of moving from the community to inpatient, long-stay home care, long-term care settings-and death-were estimated across loneliness levels using sex-stratified multistate models. RESULTS: Of 2684 respondents (58.8% female sex; mean age 77 years [standard deviation: 8]), 635 (23.7%) experienced moderate loneliness and 420 (15.6%) severe loneliness. Fewer lonely respondents remained in the community with no transitions (not lonely, 20.3%; moderately lonely, 17.5%; and severely lonely, 12.6%). Annual transition risks from the community to home care and long-term care were higher in female respondents and increased with loneliness severity for both sexes (e.g., 2-year home care risk: 6.1% [95% CI 5.5-6.6], 8.4% [95% CI 7.4-9.5] and 9.4% [95% CI 8.2-10.9] in female respondents, and 3.5% [95% CI 3.1-3.9], 5.0% [95% CI 4.0-6.0], and 5.4% [95% CI 4.0-6.8] in male respondents; 5-year long-term care risk: 9.2% [95% CI 8.0-10.8], 11.1% [95% CI 9.3-13.6] and 12.2% [95% CI 9.9-15.3] [female], and 5.3% [95% CI 4.2-6.7], 9.1% [95% CI 6.8-12.5], and 10.9% [95% CI 7.9-16.3] [male]). CONCLUSIONS: Lonely older female and male respondents were more likely to need home care and long-term care, with severely lonely female respondents having the highest probability of moving to these settings.
Subject(s)
Loneliness , Transition to Adult Care , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Cohort Studies , Ontario/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Strategies to ramp up breast cancer screening after COVID-19 require data on the influence of the pandemic on groups of women with historically low screening uptake. Using data from Ontario, Canada, our objectives were to 1) quantify the overall pandemic impact on weekly bilateral screening mammography rates (per 100,000) of average-risk women aged 50-74 and 2) examine if COVID-19 has shifted any mammography inequalities according to age, immigration status, rurality, and access to material resources. Using a segmented negative binomial regression model, we estimated the mean change in rate at the start of the pandemic (the week of March 15, 2020) and changes in weekly trend of rates during the pandemic period (March 15-December 26, 2020) compared to the pre-pandemic period (January 3, 2016-March 14, 2020) for all women and for each subgroup. A 3-way interaction term (COVID-19*week*subgroup variable) was added to the model to detect any pandemic impact on screening disparities. Of the 3,481,283 mammograms, 8.6 % (n = 300,064) occurred during the pandemic period. Overall, the mean weekly rate dropped by 93.4 % (95 % CI 91.7 % - 94.8 %) at the beginning of COVID-19, followed by a weekly increase of 8.4 % (95 % CI 7.4 % - 9.4 %) until December 26, 2020. The pandemic did not shift any disparities (all interactions p > 0.05) and that women who were under 60 or over 70, immigrants, or with a limited access to material resources had persistently low screening rate in both periods. Interventions should proactively target these underserved populations with the goals of reducing advanced-stage breast cancer presentations and mortality.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: Pregnancy is a risk factor for severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, which can result in adverse pregnancy outcomes, thus making understanding vaccine effectiveness (VE) in this population important. This study aimed to assess the VE of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19-related hospitalization in pregnant people. METHODS: Population-based matched test-negative case-control study of pregnant people aged 18-49 years, of 12 or more weeks gestation in Ontario, Canada, symptomatic with possible SARS-CoV-2 infection, and having at least 1 positive (n = 1842) or negative (n = 8524) real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) SARS-CoV-2 test between December 14, 2020, and December 31, 2021. The exposure was receipt of ≥1 dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine versus no vaccination. Exposure was further stratified by number and recency of doses. The primary outcome was a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test. As a secondary outcome, VE for COVID-19-related hospitalization was assessed. RESULTS: In the primary outcome analysis, there were 1821 positive cases, matched to 1821 negative controls. The mean (SD) maternal age was 31 (5) years. When compared to those unvaccinated, receipt of ≥1 dose was associated with an estimated VE of 39% (95% CI 29%-48%) for symptomatic infection, and 85% (95% CI 72%-92%) for COVID-19 hospitalization. VE estimates demonstrated waning with increased time since last vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: mRNA COVID-19 vaccines provide protection against symptomatic COVID-19 illness and are highly effective at preventing severe illness in pregnant people. The observed effect of vaccine waning highlights the importance of booster doses to provide optimal protection for pregnant people.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Female , Pregnancy , Humans , Ontario/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Case-Control Studies , Vaccine Efficacy , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , RNA, MessengerABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: To develop and validate a prediction tool, or nomogram, for the risk of a decline in cognitive performance based on the interRAI Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS). METHODS: Retrospective, population-based, cohort study using Canadian Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC) data, collected between 2010 and 2018. Eligible home care clients, aged 18+, with at least two assessments were selected randomly for model derivation (75%) and validation (25%). All clients had a CPS score of zero (intact) or one (borderline intact) on intake into the home care program, out of a possible score of six. All individuals had to remain as home care recipients for the six months observation window in order to be included in the analysis. The primary outcome was any degree of worsening (i.e., increase) on the CPS score within six months. Using the derivation cohort, we developed a multivariable logistic regression model to predict the risk of a deterioration in the CPS score. Model performance was assessed on the validation cohort using discrimination and calibration plots. RESULTS: We identified 39,292 eligible home care clients, with a median age of 79.0 years, 62.3% were female, 38.8% were married and 38.6% lived alone. On average, 30.3% experienced a worsening on the CPS score within the six-month window (i.e., a change from 0 or 1 to 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6). The final model had good discrimination (c-statistic of 0.65), with excellent calibration. CONCLUSIONS: The model accurately predicted the risk of deterioration on the CPS score over six months among home care clients. This type of predictive model may provide useful information to support decisions for home care clinicians who use interRAI data internationally.
Subject(s)
Home Care Services , Humans , Female , Aged , Male , Retrospective Studies , Canada/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , CognitionABSTRACT
Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lung cancer commonly coexist and have significant symptom overlap. We sought to compare the symptom burden of lung cancer patients with COPD to those without COPD. Methods: We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional study of stage I-IV lung cancer patients in Ontario, Canada, who completed the Edmonton Symptom Assessment Scale (ESAS) within 90 days of diagnosis. COPD was ascertained using a validated algorithm and patients were grouped as: no COPD, previously diagnosed COPD (at least 90 days prior to lung cancer diagnosis), and newly diagnosed COPD (within 90 days of lung cancer diagnosis). The association between COPD status and any moderate to severe symptom (ESAS ≥4) and the number of moderate to severe symptoms was determined using multivariable modified Poisson regression analyses. Multivariable linear regression analysis was used to compare total symptom distress scores. Analyses were stratified by limited (I/II) and advanced stage (III/IV). Results: Among 38,898 lung cancer patients, 53% had COPD (previously diagnosed 43%, newly diagnosed 10%). Collectively, those with previously diagnosed COPD had the most severe symptom burden. Across all stages, both COPD groups had a significantly higher risk of experiencing any (relative risk: 1.04 to 1.18) and multiple moderate to severe symptoms (RR 1.05 to 1.24), in addition to higher total symptom distress scores (P<0.0001). Differences in symptom burden between groups were most pronounced among early-stage patients. Conclusions: Lung cancer patients with underlying COPD have worse symptom burden, indicating a need for interventions that effectively alleviate symptoms.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Previous ischemic stroke (IS) is a risk factor for subsequent IS in the general population; it is unclear if this relationship remains true in patients with cancer. Our objective was to examine the association between previous IS and risk for future IS in individuals newly diagnosed with cancer. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based matched cohort study of newly diagnosed adult cancer patients (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers and primary central nervous system tumors) in Ontario, Canada from 2010 to 2020; those with prior IS were matched (1:4) by age, sex, year of cancer diagnosis, cancer stage, and cancer site to those without a history of stroke. Cumulative incidence function curves were created to estimate the incidence of IS. Subdistribution adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs were calculated, where death was treated as a competing event. Multivariable analysis was adjusted for imbalanced baseline characteristics. RESULTS: We examined 65 525 individuals with cancer, including 13 070 with a history of IS. The median follow-up duration was 743 days (interquartile range, 177-1729 days). The incidence of IS following cancer diagnosis was 261.3/10 000 person-years in the cohort with prior IS and 75.3/10 000 person-years in those without prior IS. Individuals with prior IS had an increased risk for IS after cancer diagnosis compared with those without a history (aHR, 2.68 [95% CI, 2.41-2.98]); they also had more prevalent cardiovascular risk factors. The highest risk for stroke compared with those without a history of IS was observed in the gynecologic cancer (aHR, 3.84 [95% CI, 2.15-6.85]) and lung cancer (aHR, 3.18 [95% CI, 2.52-4.02]) subgroups. The risk of IS was inversely correlated with lag time of previous stroke; those with IS 1 year before their cancer diagnosis had the highest risk (aHR, 3.68 [95% CI, 3.22-4.22]). CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with newly diagnosed cancer, those with IS history were almost 3× more likely to experience a stroke after cancer diagnosis, especially if the prediagnosis stroke occurred within 1 year preceding cancer diagnosis.
Subject(s)
Ischemic Stroke , Lung Neoplasms , Stroke , Adult , Humans , Female , Retrospective Studies , Cohort Studies , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Ontario/epidemiology , IncidenceABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Avoidance of care during the pandemic may have contributed to delays in care, and as a result, worse patient outcomes. We evaluated markers of illness acuity on presentation to the emergency department among patients with non-COVID-19-related emergent diagnoses and associated outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using linked administrative data from Ontario. We selected 4 emergent diagnoses, namely appendicitis, ectopic pregnancy, renal failure and diabetic ketoacidosis. We used the nonemergent diagnosis of cellulitis as a control. Our primary outcome of interest was hospital admission. Secondary outcomes were ambulance arrival, surgical intervention, subsequent hospital admission within 30 days of discharge from the emergency department or hospital and 30-day mortality. We compared outcomes during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic (Mar. 15-Dec. 31, 2020) with a control period (Mar. 15-Dec. 31, 2018, and Mar. 15-Dec. 31, 2019). RESULTS: Emergency department visits for all conditions initially decreased during the pandemic. During this period, patients across all study diagnoses were more likely to arrive to the emergency department via ambulance. Patients with an ectopic pregnancy had higher odds of surgery in the pandemic period (odds ratio [OR] 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.55) but this was not observed among patients with appendicitis. Patients with renal failure had increased odds of hospital admission (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04-1.24) and 30-day mortality (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.04-1.31) during the pandemic period. INTERPRETATION: The pandemic period was associated with increased arrival to the emergency department via ambulance across all study diagnoses. Although patients with renal failure had increased hospital admission and death, and patients with ectopic pregnancy had an increased risk of surgery, there were no differences in outcomes for other populations, suggesting the health care system was able to care for these patients effectively.
ABSTRACT
Importance: Adolescents and young adults (AYAs) with cancer experience substantial symptom burden. Specialty palliative care (SPC) is recommended but often not involved or involved late. Objectives: To determine whether patient-reported symptom severity was associated with subsequent SPC involvement and whether SPC was associated with symptom improvement in AYAs with cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study comprised AYAs (aged 15-29 years) with primary cancer diagnosed between January 1, 2010, and June 30, 2018, in Ontario, Canada. Data, including self-reported Edmonton Symptom Assessment System (ESAS) scores, were obtained from health care databases. Specialty palliative care was identified through billing codes and validated algorithms. Final data analysis was performed on April 4, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Associations of ESAS scores with subsequent SPC involvement were determined. A difference-in-differences approach was used for patients who died within 5 years of their cancer diagnosis. Case patients (SPC predeath, index date equals first SPC service) were matched 1:1 to control patients (no SPC at equivalent time before death). The study examined whether the difference between 90-day postindex and preindex mean ESAS scores was itself different between case and control patients. Results: This study included 5435 AYAs with cancer, with a median follow-up of 5.1 (IQR, 2.5-7.9) years for analyses of general palliative care. Their median age at cancer diagnosis was 25 (IQR, 22-27) years, and more than half were male (2809 [51.7%]). For all symptoms, moderate and severe ESAS scores were associated with an increased likelihood of SPC involvement compared with mild scores. The greatest magnitude of association was seen for pain scores (hazard ratio for severe vs mild, 7.7 [95% CI, 5.8-10.2]; P < .001). A total of 721 AYAs (13.3%) died within 5 years of diagnosis, and 612 of these patients (84.9%) had received SPC before death. Among 202 case-control pairs, SPC involvement was associated with improved pain trajectories (mean scores improved from 3.41 to 3.07 in case patients and worsened from 1.86 to 2.16 in control patients; P = .003). Other symptom trajectories were not affected. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of AYAs with cancer, those reporting moderate or severe symptoms through a screening program were more likely to subsequently receive SPC. These findings suggest that SPC was associated with a subsequent decrease in pain severity but did not affect other symptoms. New interventions targeting other symptoms during treatment and particularly at the end of life are needed.
Subject(s)
Neoplasms , Palliative Care , Humans , Male , Adolescent , Young Adult , Female , Cohort Studies , Neoplasms/diagnosis , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/therapy , Pain/diagnosis , Ontario/epidemiologyABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Quality monitoring is a critical component of high-performing cancer care systems. Quality indicators (QIs) are standardised, evidence-based measures of healthcare quality that allow healthcare systems to track performance, identify gaps in healthcare delivery and inform areas of priority for strategic planning. Social structures and economic systems that allow for unequal access to power and resources that shape health and health inequities can be described through the social determinants of health (SDoH) framework. Therefore, granular analysis of healthcare quality through SDoH frameworks is required to identify patient subgroups who may experience health inequity. Given the high burden of disease of colorectal cancer (CRC) and well-defined cancer care pathways, CRC is often the first disease site targeted by health systems for quality improvement. The objective of this review is to examine how SDoH have been integrated into QIs for CRC surgery. This review aims to address three primary questions: (1) Have SDoH been integrated into the development, reporting and assessment of CRC surgery QIs? (2) When integrated, what measures and statistical methods have been applied? (3) In which direction do individual SDoH influence QIs outputs? METHODS: This review will follow Arksey and O'Malley frameworks for scoping reviews. We will search MEDLINE, EMBASE, HealthSTAR databases for papers that examine QIs for CRC surgery applicable to healthcare systems from database inception until January 2023. Interventional trials, prospective and retrospective observational studies, reviews, case series and qualitative study designs will be included. Two authors will independently review all titles, abstracts and full texts to determine which studies meet the inclusion criteria. ETHICS & DISSEMINATION: No ethics approval is required for this review. Results will be disseminated through scientific presentation and relevant conferences targeted for researchers examining healthcare quality and equity in cancer care. REGISTRATION DETAILS: osf.io/vfzd3-Open Science Framework.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The impact of a child's cancer diagnosis on subsequent maternal physical health is unclear. METHODS: We identified all Ontario children diagnosed less than 18 years with cancer between 1992 and 2017. Linkage to administrative databases identified mothers who were matched to population controls. We identified physical health conditions, acute healthcare use, and preventive healthcare use through validated algorithms using healthcare data, and compared them between exposed (child with cancer) and unexposed mothers. Predictors of health outcomes were assessed among exposed mothers. RESULTS: We identified 5311 exposed mothers and 19,516 matched unexposed mothers. For exposed mothers, median age at last follow-up was 48 years, (interquartile range: 42-53). Exposed mothers had an increased risk of cancer (hazard ratio [HR] 1.2, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.0-1.5, p = .03), but not of any other adverse physical outcomes or of increased acute healthcare use. Exposed mothers were more likely to receive influenza vaccinations (odds ratio 1.4, 95% CI: 1.3-1.5, p < .0001), and underwent cancer screening at the same rate as unexposed mothers. Among exposed mothers, bereavement was associated with a subsequent increased risk of cancer (HR 1.7, 95% CI: 1.2-2.5, p = .004) and death (HR 2.2, 95% CI: 1.2-4.1, p = .01). CONCLUSION: Mothers of children with cancer are at increased risk of developing cancer, but not of other adverse physical health outcomes, and were equally or more likely to be adherent to preventive healthcare practices. Bereaved mothers were at increased risk of subsequent cancer and death. Interventions targeting specific subpopulations of mothers of children with cancer or focused on screening for specific cancers may be warranted.
Subject(s)
Bereavement , Neoplasms , Female , Child , Humans , Middle Aged , Mothers , Morbidity , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Delivery of Health CareABSTRACT
CONTEXT: Lung cancer patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may have greater palliative care needs due to poor prognosis and symptom burden. OBJECTIVES: We sought to compare the provision of timely palliative care and symptom burden by COPD status. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, population-based cohort study of individuals diagnosed with lung cancer in Ontario, Canada (2009-2019) using health administrative databases and cancer registries. The impact of COPD on the probability of receiving palliative care was determined accounting for dying as a competing event, overall and stratified by stage. The provision of palliative care for patients with severe symptoms (Edmonton Symptom Assessment Scale score ≥ 7), location of the first palliative care visit and symptom severity were compared by COPD status. RESULTS: A total of 74,993 patients were included in the study (48% of patients had available symptom data). At the time of lung cancer diagnosis, 50% of patients had COPD. Stage I-III patients with COPD were more likely to receive palliative care (adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR)s: 1.05-1.31) with no difference for stage IV (1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.04). Despite having severe symptoms, very few patients with early-stage disease received palliative care (Stage I: COPD-23% vs. no COPD-18%, SMD = 0.12). Most patients (84%) reported severe symptoms and COPD worsened symptom burden, especially among early-stage patients. CONCLUSION: COPD impacts the receipt of palliative care and symptom burden for patients with early-stage lung cancer. Many patients with severe symptoms did not receive palliative care, suggesting unmet needs among this vulnerable population.