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1.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1520, 2024 Jun 06.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38844906

BACKGROUND: This study addresses the persistent global burden of road traffic fatalities, particularly in middle-income countries like Malaysia, by exploring the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Road Traffic Accident (RTA) fatalities in Perak state, Malaysia, with a secondary focus on applying Years of Life Lost (YLL) to understand the implications of these premature deaths. METHODOLOGY: The cross-sectional study retrospectively reviewed certified RTA fatalities from 2018 to 2021, individually counting fatalities in accidents and excluding cases with incomplete death profiles. Data were collected from all Forensic Departments in the government hospitals in Perak. RTA fatalities were confirmed by medical officers/physicians following established procedures during routine procedures. A total of 2517 fatal accident and victim profiles were transcribed into data collection form after reviewing death registration records and post-mortem reports. Inferential analyses were used for comparison between pre- and during COVID-19 pandemic. The standard expected YLL was calculated by comparing the age of death to the external standard life expectancy curve taking into consideration of age and gender in Malaysia. RESULTS: This study included 2207 (87.7%) of the RTA fatalities in Perak State. The analysis revealed a decreasing trend in RTA deaths from 2018 to 2021, with a remarkable Annual Percent Change (APC) of -25.1% in 2020 compared to the pre-pandemic year in 2019 and remained stable with lower APC in 2021. Comparison between pre-pandemic (2018-2019) and pandemic years (2020-2021) revealed a difference in the fatality distribution with a median age rise during the pandemic (37.7 (IQR: 22.96, 58.08) vs. 41.0 (IQR: 25.08, 61.00), p = 0.002). Vehicle profiles remained consistent, yet changes were observed in the involvement of various road users, where more motorcycle riders and pedestrian were killed during pandemic (p = 0.049). During pandemic, there was a decline in vehicle collisions, but slight increase of the non-collision accidents and incidents involving pedestrians/animals (p = 0.015). A shift in accident from noon till midnight were also notable during the pandemic (p = 0.028). YLL revealed differences by age and gender, indicating a higher YLL for females aged 30-34 during the pandemic. CONCLUSION: The decline in RTA fatalities during COVID-19 pandemic underscores the influence of pandemic-induced restrictions and reduced traffic. However, demographic shifts, increased accident severity due to risky behaviors and gender-specific impacts on YLL, stress the necessity for improved safety interventions amidst evolving dynamics.


Accidents, Traffic , COVID-19 , Mortality, Premature , Humans , Malaysia/epidemiology , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/epidemiology , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Female , Male , Adult , Middle Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Mortality, Premature/trends , Adolescent , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Young Adult , Child , Life Expectancy/trends , Child, Preschool , Infant , Aged, 80 and over , Pandemics , Infant, Newborn
2.
MSMR ; 31(5): 2-8, 2024 May 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38847619

Mortality surveillance is an important activity for capturing information on a population's health. This retrospective surveillance analysis utilizes administrative data sources to describe active duty U.S. Army soldiers who died from 2014 to 2019, and calculate mortality rates, assess trends by category of death, and identify leading causes of death within subpopulations. During the surveillance period, 2,530 soldier deaths were reported. The highest crude mortality rates observed during the 6-year surveillance period were for deaths by suicide, followed by accidental (i.e., unintentional injury) deaths. The crude mortality rates for natural deaths decreased significantly over the 6-year period, by an average of 6% annually. The leading causes of death were suicide by gunshot wound, motor vehicle accidents, suicide by hanging, neoplasms, and cardiovascular events. Significant differences were observed in the leading causes of death in relation to demographic characteristics, which has important implications for the development of focused educational campaigns to improve health behaviors and safe driving habits. Current public health programs to prevent suicide should be evaluated, with new approaches for firearm safety considered.


Cause of Death , Military Personnel , Population Surveillance , Suicide , Humans , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Male , United States/epidemiology , Female , Adult , Young Adult , Retrospective Studies , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Mortality/trends , Middle Aged , Adolescent , Wounds, Gunshot/mortality , Wounds, Gunshot/epidemiology , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data
3.
Isr J Health Policy Res ; 13(1): 27, 2024 May 29.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38811996

BACKGROUND: During the past two decades, there have been many changes in automotive and medical technologies, road infrastructure, trauma systems, and demographic changes which may have influenced injury outcomes. The aim of this study was to examine injury trends among traffic casualties, specifically private car occupants, hospitalized in Level I Trauma Centers (TC). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed based on data from the Israel National Trauma Registry. The data included occupants of private cars hospitalized in all six Level I TC due to a traffic collision related injury between January 1, 1998 and December 31, 2019. Demographic, injury and hospitalization characteristics and in-hospital mortality were analyzed. Chi-squared (X2) test, multivariable logistic regression models and Spearman's rank correlation were used to analyze injury data and trends. RESULTS: During the study period, 21,173 private car occupants (14,078 drivers, 4,527 front passengers, and 2,568 rear passengers) were hospitalized due to a traffic crash. The percentage of females hospitalized due to a car crash increased from 37.7% in 1998 to 53.7% in 2019. Over a twofold increase in hospitalizations among older adult drivers (ages 65+) was observed, from 6.5% in 1998 to 15.7% in 2018 and 12.6% in 2019. While no increase was observed for severe traumatic brain injury, a statistically significant increase in severe abdominal and thoracic injuries was observed among the non-Jewish population along with a constant decrease in in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides interesting findings regarding injury and demographic trends among car occupants during the past two decades. Mortality among private car occupant casualties decreased during the study period, however an increase in serious abdominal and thoracic injuries was identified. The results should be used to design and implement policies and interventions for reducing injury and disability among car occupants.


Accidents, Traffic , Hospitalization , Registries , Trauma Centers , Wounds and Injuries , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Accidents, Traffic/trends , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Female , Male , Israel/epidemiology , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Trauma Centers/statistics & numerical data , Trauma Centers/trends , Adult , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization/trends , Aged , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Adolescent , Hospital Mortality/trends , Young Adult , Demography , Child
5.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0300458, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38787863

Road traffic collisions disproportionately impact Ghana and other low- and middle-income countries. This study explored road user perspectives regarding the magnitude, contributing factors, and potential solutions to road traffic collisions, injuries, and deaths. We designed a qualitative study of 24 in-depth interviews with 14 vulnerable road users (pedestrians, occupants of powered 2- and 3-wheelers, cyclists) and ten non-vulnerable road users in four high-risk areas in November 2022. We used a mixed deductive (direct content analysis) and inductive (interpretive phenomenological analysis) approach. In the direct content analysis, a priori categories based on Haddon's Matrix covered human, vehicle, socioeconomic environment, and physical environment factors influencing road traffic collisions, along with corresponding solutions. We used inductive analysis to identify emerging themes. Participants described frequent and distressing experiences with collisions, and most often reported contributing factors, implementation gaps, and potential solutions within the human (road user) level domain of Haddon's Matrix. Implementation challenges included sporadic enforcement, reliance on road users' adherence to safety laws, and the low quality of the existing infrastructure. Participants expressed that they felt neglected and ignored by road safety decision-makers. This research emphasizes the need for community input for successful road safety policies in Ghana and other low- and middle-income countries, calling for greater governmental support an action to address this public health crisis. We recommend the government collaborates with communities to adapt existing interventions including speed calming, footbridges, and police enforcement, and introduces new measures that meet local needs.


Accidents, Traffic , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/prevention & control , Ghana/epidemiology , Female , Male , Adult , Middle Aged , Pedestrians/psychology , Bicycling , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Young Adult , Qualitative Research , Safety , Government , Adolescent
6.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0296946, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38809852

BACKGROUND: Globally, road traffic accidents are the eighth-leading cause of death for all age groups. The estimated number of road traffic deaths in low income countries was more than three times as high as in high-income countries. Africa had the highest rate of fatalities attributed to road traffic accidents. Ethiopia has the highest number of road traffic fatalities among Sub-Saharan African countries. The main objective of this study was to determine the incidence and predictors of mortality among road traffic victims admitted to hospitals in Hawassa City. METHODS: A facility-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from hospital records. A total of 398 road traffic accident victims admitted to selected hospitals in Hawassa city from January 2019 to December 2021 participated in the study. Data were analyzed using STATA version 14.1. The Cox regression model was used to determine the predictors of mortality. A hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval and a cut-off value of P<0.05 was used to declare the risk and statistical significance, respectively. RESULT: The incidence rate of mortality for road traffic accident victims was 7.34 per 10,000 person-hours. The predictors of mortality were the value of GCS at admission <8 (aHR = 5.86; 95% CI: 2.00-17.19), GCS at admission 9-12 (aHR = 3.27; 95% CI: 1.28-8.40), the value of SBP at admission ≤89mmHg (aHR = 4.41; 95% CI: 2.22-8.77), admission to the ICU (aHR = 3.89; 95% CI: 1.83-8.28) and complications (aHR = 5.48; 95% CI: 2.74-10.01). CONCLUSION: The incidence of mortality among road traffic victims admitted to hospitals in Hawassa city was high. Thus, thorough follow-up and intensive management should be given to victims with critical health conditions.


Accidents, Traffic , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Male , Female , Adult , Incidence , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Adolescent , Young Adult , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Child , Risk Factors , Aged , Child, Preschool , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data
7.
JMIR Res Protoc ; 13: e55297, 2024 May 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38713507

BACKGROUND: Injury is a global health concern, and injury-related mortality disproportionately impacts low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Compelling evidence from observational studies in high-income countries shows that trauma education programs, such as the Rural Trauma Team Development Course (RTTDC), increase clinician knowledge of injury care. There is a dearth of such evidence from controlled clinical trials to demonstrate the effect of the RTTDC on process and patient outcomes in LMICs. OBJECTIVE: This multicenter cluster randomized controlled clinical trial aims to examine the impact of the RTTDC on process and patient outcomes associated with motorcycle accident-related injuries in an African low-resource setting. METHODS: This is a 2-arm, parallel, multi-period, cluster randomized, controlled, clinical trial in Uganda, where rural trauma team development training is not routinely conducted. We will recruit regional referral hospitals and include patients with motorcycle accident-related injuries, interns, medical trainees, and road traffic law enforcement professionals. The intervention group (RTTDC) and control group (standard care) will include 3 hospitals each. The primary outcomes will be the interval from the accident to hospital admission and the interval from the referral decision to hospital discharge. The secondary outcomes will be all-cause mortality and morbidity associated with neurological and orthopedic injuries at 90 days after injury. All outcomes will be measured as final values. We will compare baseline characteristics and outcomes at both individual and cluster levels between the intervention and control groups. We will use mixed effects regression models to report any absolute or relative differences along with 95% CIs. We will perform subgroup analyses to evaluate and control confounding due to injury mechanisms and injury severity. We will establish a motorcycle trauma outcome (MOTOR) registry in consultation with community traffic police. RESULTS: The trial was approved on August 27, 2019. The actual recruitment of the first patient participant began on September 01, 2019. The last follow-up was on August 27, 2023. Posttrial care, including linkage to clinical, social support, and referral services, is to be completed by November 27, 2023. Data analyses will be performed in Spring 2024, and the results are expected to be published in Autumn 2024. CONCLUSIONS: This trial will unveil how a locally contextualized rural trauma team development program impacts organizational efficiency in a continent challenged with limited infrastructure and human resources. Moreover, this trial will uncover how rural trauma team coordination impacts clinical outcomes, such as mortality and morbidity associated with neurological and orthopedic injuries, which are the key targets for strengthening trauma systems in LMICs where prehospital care is in the early stage. Our results could inform the design, implementation, and scalability of future rural trauma teams and trauma education programs in LMICs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Pan African Clinical Trials Registry (PACTR202308851460352); https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=25763. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/55297.


Accidents, Traffic , Motorcycles , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Patient Care Team/organization & administration , Registries , Rural Health Services/organization & administration , Rural Population , Uganda/epidemiology , Wounds and Injuries/therapy , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Multicenter Studies as Topic
8.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0302171, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709785

This study aims to use machine learning methods to examine the causative factors of significant crashes, focusing on accident type and driver's age. In this study, a wide-ranging data set from Jeddah city is employed to look into various factors, such as whether the driver was male or female, where the vehicle was situated, the prevailing weather conditions, and the efficiency of four machine learning algorithms, specifically XGBoost, Catboost, LightGBM and RandomForest. The results show that the XGBoost Model (accuracy of 95.4%), the CatBoost model (94% accuracy), and the LightGBM model (94.9% accuracy) were superior to the random forest model with 89.1% accuracy. It is worth noting that the LightGBM had the highest accuracy of all models. This shows various subtle changes in models, illustrating the need for more analyses while assessing vehicle accidents. Machine learning is also a transforming tool in traffic safety analysis while providing vital guidelines for developing accurate traffic safety regulations.


Accidents, Traffic , Machine Learning , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Humans , Female , Male , Risk Factors , Middle Aged , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Young Adult , Algorithms , Adolescent
9.
Accid Anal Prev ; 202: 107612, 2024 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38703590

The paper presents an exploratory study of a road safety policy index developed for Norway. The index consists of ten road safety measures for which data on their use from 1980 to 2021 are available. The ten measures were combined into an index which had an initial value of 50 in 1980 and increased to a value of 185 in 2021. To assess the application of the index in evaluating the effects of road safety policy, negative binomial regression models and multivariate time series models were developed for traffic fatalities, fatalities and serious injuries, and all injuries. The coefficient for the policy index was negative, indicating the road safety policy has contributed to reducing the number of fatalities and injuries. The size of this contribution can be estimated by means of at least three estimators that do not always produce identical values. There is little doubt about the sign of the relationship: a stronger road safety policy (as indicated by index values) is associated with a larger decline in fatalities and injuries. A precise quantification is, however, not possible. Different estimators of effect, all of which can be regarded as plausible, yield different results.


Accidents, Traffic , Safety , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/prevention & control , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Norway , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Public Policy , Models, Statistical , Regression Analysis , Automobile Driving/legislation & jurisprudence , Automobile Driving/statistics & numerical data
10.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 45(4): 536-541, 2024 Apr 10.
Article Zh | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678349

Objective: To understand the situation and epidemic characteristics of injury deaths among children aged 5 to 24 years in Jiangsu Province from 2012 to 2021 and the trend of annual changes. Methods: The main injury mortality data of children and adolescents was collected, and the crude and standardized mortality rates of road traffic accidents, drowning, suicide, and accidental falls among children and adolescents over a decade and the annual average percentage of change (AAPC) were calculated. The main injury mortality characteristics and trends of children and adolescents of different age groups and genders were analyzed. Results: The total number of injury deaths among 5 to 24 adolescents in Jiangsu Province was 16 052, with a standardized mortality rate of 9.58/100 000. There was no significant trend in the overall standardized mortality rate of injuries (AAPC=-3.450%, P=0.055). The standardized mortality rate of road traffic injuries among children and adolescents showed a decreasing trend over the past decade, with statistical significance (AAPC=-9.406%, P<0.001). The standardized suicide mortality rate showed an upward trend over the past decade, with statistical significance (AAPC=9.000%, P=0.001). The overall injury mortality rate showed an upward trend with age. Suicide rates in males and females were on the rise and both have statistical significance (AAPC=9.420% and AAPC=9.607%, both P<0.05). The standardized mortality rates of female traffic accidents, drowning, and male traffic accidents showed a decreasing trend and were statistically significant (AAPC for female traffic accidents=-7.364%, AAPC for female drowning=-5.352%, and AAPC for male traffic accidents=-10.242%, all P<0.05). The standardized mortality rate of urban and rural traffic accidents showed a decreasing trend and was statistically significant(AAPC=-7.899% and AAPC=-9.421%, both P<0.001). The standardized suicide mortality rate showed an upward trend and statistical significance (AAPC=11.009% and AAPC=7.528%, both P<0.05). Conclusions: The overall injury situation of children and adolescents in Jiangsu Province improved in the past decade from 2012 to 2021, but the suicide mortality rate was on the rise. It is necessary to focus on the mental health issues of this age group and to strengthen the prevention and control of suicide among children and adolescents, in Jiangsu.


Accidents, Traffic , Drowning , Suicide , Humans , Adolescent , Child , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/trends , Child, Preschool , China/epidemiology , Drowning/mortality , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Suicide/trends , Female , Male , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Young Adult , Accidental Falls/mortality
11.
Accid Anal Prev ; 202: 107587, 2024 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38636291

This paper describes changes in the risk of road traffic injury in Norway during the period from 1970 to 2022. During this period, the risk of fatal and personal injury declined by more than 70 % for most groups of road users. There are five main potential explanations of a decline in the risk of injury: (1) a reduced probability of accidents that have the potential for causing injury; (2) an improved protection against injury given that an accident has occurred; (3) improved medical care increasing the survival rate, given an injury (this would reduce the number of fatalities, but not the number of injuries); (4) a tendency for the reporting of injuries in official accident statistics to decline over time; (5) uncertain or erroneous estimates of the exposure to the risk of injury. The decline in the risk of road traffic injuries in Norway after 1970 can probably be attributed to a combination of reduced reporting of injuries in official statistics, improved protection against injury in accidents, and (for fatal injuries) improved medical care. Insurance data, available from 1992, do not indicate a reduction in the risk of accidents leading to insurance claims. Incomplete and possibly erroneous data for mopeds and motorcycles make it impossible to identify sources of changes in injury risk over time for these modes of transport.


Accidents, Traffic , Wounds and Injuries , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Humans , Norway/epidemiology , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Male , Adult , Female , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Child , Young Adult , Aged , Child, Preschool , Risk , Motorcycles/statistics & numerical data , Infant
12.
Accid Anal Prev ; 202: 107595, 2024 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38663273

Public transport priority systems such as Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) and Buses with High Level of Service (BHLS) are top-rated solutions to mobility in low-income and middle-income cities. There is scientific agreement that the safety performance level of these systems depends on their functional, operational, and infrastructure characteristics. However, there needs to be more evidence on how the different characteristics of bus corridors might influence safety. This paper aims to shed some light on this area by structuring a multivariate negative binomial model comparing crash risk on arterial roads, BRT, and BHLS corridors in Bogotá, Colombia. The analyzed infrastructure includes 712.1 km of arterial roads with standard bus service, 194.1 km of BRT network, and 135.6 km of BHLS network. The study considered crashes from 2015 to 2018 -fatalities, injuries, and property damage only- and 30 operational and infrastructure variables grouped into six classes -exposure, road design, infrastructure, public means of transport, and land use. A multicriteria process was applied for model selection, including the structure and predictive power based on [i] Akaike information criteria, [ii] K-fold cross-validation, and [iii] model parsimony. Relevant findings suggest that in terms of observed and expected accident rates and their relationship with the magnitude of exposure -logarithm of average annual traffic volumes at the peak hour (LOG_AAPHT) and the percentage of motorcycles, cars, buses, and trucks- the greatest risk of fatalities, injuries, and property damage occurs in the BHLS network. BRT network provides lower crash rates in less severe collisions while increasing injuries and fatalities. When comparing the BHLS network and the standard design of arterial roads, BHLS infrastructure, despite increasing mobility benefits, provides the lowest safety performance among the three analyzed networks. Individual factors of the study could also contribute to designing safer roads related to signalized intersection density and curvature. These findings support the unique characteristics and traffic dynamics present in the context of Bogotá that could inform and guide decisions of corresponding authorities in other highly dense urban areas from developing countries.


Accidents, Traffic , Environment Design , Motor Vehicles , Safety , Colombia , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/prevention & control , Humans , Motor Vehicles/statistics & numerical data , Safety/statistics & numerical data , Models, Statistical , Multivariate Analysis , Cities , Transportation/statistics & numerical data
13.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0299590, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38687768

BACKGROUND: Suicide by road vehicle collision in Australia is under-explored with mixed findings. We aimed to address this research gap by examining time trends, different types of vehicle collision, and individual characteristics related to vehicle-collision suicide. METHOD: We retrospectively analyzed deaths by suicide between 1st January 2001 and 31st December 2017 in Australia, using coronial records from the National Coronial Information System. The travel mode used and collision counterpart were retrieved from records of death by vehicle-collision suicide using all available information. We conducted negative binomial regression analysis to examine annual changes in suicide rate by vehicle collision on a public road (N = 640) and other methods of suicide (N = 41,890), and logistic regression analysis to examine individual characteristics associated with the likelihood of dying by suicide via road vehicle collision. RESULTS: Overall, the national suicide rate involving road vehicle collision significantly increased, while the rate by other methods significantly decreased. Drivers accounted for 61% of suicide events by vehicle collision, of which 72% were single-vehicle collisions (commonly involving a tree). For multiple-vehicle collision suicide events, 82% involved collision with a truck. Pedestrians accounted for more than one-third of suicide events, of which 58% involved collision with a truck and 23% involved collision with a car/van. Individuals who were male (odds ratio 1.15; 95% CI 0.88-1.50), aged <25 years old (odds ratio 5.27; 95% CI 3.05-9.10), non-Indigenous (odds ratio 3.36; 95% CI 1.71-6.62), and born overseas (odds ratio 1.40; 95% CI 1.10-1.79) were more likely to die by vehicle-collision suicide than by other methods of suicide. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a better understanding of road vehicle collision suicide in Australia and informs future research directions on topic. Our findings can be used to inform suicide prevention initiatives to reduce vehicle-collision suicide deaths.


Accidents, Traffic , Suicide , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Accidents, Traffic/trends , Australia/epidemiology , Male , Female , Adult , Middle Aged , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Suicide/trends , Aged , Young Adult , Retrospective Studies , Adolescent
14.
Arch Iran Med ; 27(3): 113-121, 2024 Mar 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38685835

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies on the association between the human development index (HDI) and road traffic death rate (RTDR) merely focus on developed countries, not reflecting the relationship between the HDI components and RTDR in a time-trend analysis. Accordingly, this study analyzes the trends of RTDR and their association with the HDI and its components from 2000 to 2019. METHODS: The RTDR data of 154 countries were imported into the unconditional latent growth model (LGM) to assess the RTDR trends. The impact of the HDI and its components (viz., education, income, and life expectancy [LE viz]) on the trajectory of RTDR was also evaluated using the conditional LGM. RESULTS: The results of the unconditional LGM indicated an overall decreasing trend in RTDR. The conditional LGM results revealed the negative effect of the HDI and its components on the model parameters. The findings of random forests indicated that education and LE were the most crucial variables. CONCLUSION: Overall, this study emphasizes the significance of HDI and its components, particularly education and LE, in lowering the number of traffic fatalities. In this sense, improving formal education and LE could be one of the main policies that policymakers could consider to reduce RTDR.


Accidents, Traffic , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Life Expectancy/trends , Global Health , Human Development , Educational Status
16.
Health Econ ; 33(6): 1123-1132, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38498377

We use a difference-in-differences design to study the effect of opioid use on traffic fatalities. Following Alpert et al., we focus on the 1996 introduction and marketing of OxyContin, and we examine its long-term impacts on traffic fatalities involving Schedule II drugs or heroin. Based on the national fatal vehicle crash database, we find that the states heavily targeted by the initial marketing of OxyContin (i.e., non-triplicate states) experienced 2.4 times more traffic fatalities (1.6 additional deaths per million individuals) involving Schedule II drugs or heroin during 2011-2019, when overdose deaths from heroin and fentanyl became more prominent. We find no difference in traffic fatalities until after the mid-2000s between states with and without a triplicate prescription program. The effect is mainly concentrated in fatal crashes with drug involvement of drivers ages between 25 and 44. Our results highlight additional long-term detrimental consequences of the introduction and marketing of OxyContin.


Accidents, Traffic , Opioid-Related Disorders , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Adult , Male , Opioid-Related Disorders/mortality , Female , United States/epidemiology , Analgesics, Opioid , Middle Aged , Oxycodone , Drug Overdose/mortality , Fentanyl/poisoning , Heroin/poisoning
17.
J Agromedicine ; 29(3): 504-507, 2024 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38523569

Roadway incidents involving farm equipment is a growing area of concern among agricultural safety and health and public health professionals. The aim of this project was to evaluate the usefulness of the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) and analyze the number of roadway fatal incidents that involve farm equipment. Data collected from the FARS through the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration was used to summarize roadway incidents involving farm equipment. Cases from five midwestern states were analyzed from January to December 2020 using SPSS. Incidents involving farm equipment resulted in 25 cases with Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin all reporting six cases each. The most common manner of incidents were single-vehicle crashes and rear-ending incidents. Most of the events occurred during busy agricultural seasons, most often occurring in June and August with five cases each. The FARS dataset is a useful tool to identify cases, but it faces limitations, such as only reporting fatalities and lack of information on specific farm equipment involved in incidents. The results from the study are helpful to better understand roadway incidents and guide future intervention strategies.


Accidents, Traffic , Farms , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Farms/statistics & numerical data , Midwestern United States/epidemiology , Accidents, Occupational/mortality , Accidents, Occupational/statistics & numerical data , Agriculture/statistics & numerical data , Wisconsin/epidemiology , Farmers/statistics & numerical data , Iowa/epidemiology
18.
Injury ; 55(6): 111470, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38461710

BACKGROUND: Few studies effectively quantify the long-term incidence of death following injury. The absence of detailed mortality and underlying cause of death data results in limited understanding and a potential underestimation of the consequences at a population level. This study takes a nationwide approach to identify the one-year mortality following injury in Scotland, evaluating survivorship in relation to pre-existing comorbidities and incidental causes of death. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study assessed the one-year mortality of adult trauma patients with an Injury Severity Score ≥ 9 during 2020 using the Scottish Trauma Audit Group (STAG) registry linked to inpatient hospital data and death certificate records. Patients were divided into three groups: trauma death, trauma-contributed death, and non-trauma death. Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis to evaluate mortality, and cox proportional hazards regression analysed risk factors linked to death. RESULTS: 4056 patients were analysed with a median age 63 years (58-88) and male predominance (55.2 %). Falls accounted for 73.1 % of injuries followed by motor vehicle accidents (16.3 %) and blunt force (4.9 %). Extremity was the most commonly injured region overall followed by chest and head. However, head injury prevailed in those who died. The registry demonstrated a one-year mortality of 19.3 % with 55 % deaths occurring post-discharge. Of all deaths reported, 35.3 % were trauma deaths, and 47.7 % were trauma-contributed deaths. These groups accounted for over 70 % of mortality within 30 days of hospital admission and continued to represent the majority of deaths up to 6 months post-injury. Patients who died after 6 months were mainly the result of non-traumatic causes, frequently circulatory, neoplastic, and respiratory diseases (37.7 %, 12.3 %, 9.1 %, respectively). Independent risk factors for one-year mortality included a GCS ≤ 8, modified Charlson Comorbidity score >5, Injury Severity Score >25, serious head injury, age and sex. CONCLUSION: With a one-year mortality of 19.3 %, and post-discharge deaths higher than previously appreciated, patients can face an extended period of survival uncertainty. As mortality due to index trauma lasted up to 6 months post-admission, short-term outcomes fail to represent trauma burden and so cogent survival predictions should be avoided in clinical and patient settings.


Cause of Death , Injury Severity Score , Registries , Wounds and Injuries , Humans , Male , Scotland/epidemiology , Female , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Accidental Falls/mortality , Accidental Falls/statistics & numerical data , Comorbidity , Death Certificates , Kaplan-Meier Estimate
19.
Injury ; 55(6): 111484, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38490850

BACKGROUND: Major traumatic injury in the pediatric population requires further evaluation to improve patient outcomes. Relatively few Canadian studies have investigated pediatric trauma using population-based data. Our objectives were to describe the epidemiology of pediatric major trauma in Nova Scotia and identify factors associated with in-hospital mortality. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of pediatric major trauma patients (age <18 years) injured in Nova Scotia over a 17-year period (April 2001-March 2018). Data were collected from the Nova Scotia Trauma Registry. Characteristics were compared between patient subgroups using t-tests, chi-square analyses and Fisher's exact test. Temporal trends were evaluated using the Mann-Kendall test. Incidence and mortality rates were mapped using ArcGIS Pro. A multivariate logistic regression model was created to assess for factors associated with in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1258 injuries were observed over the 17-year study period. The incidence of pediatric major trauma was 41.7 per 100,000 person-years. Most patients were male (819/1258; 65.1 %) and resided in urban areas (764/1258; 60.7 %). Blunt trauma accounted for 86.2 % (1084/1258) of injuries, and motor vehicle collisions were the most common cause (448/1258; 35.6 %). Incidence and mortality rates were highest in the 15-17 year age group, with a trend towards increasing incidence among females (p = 0.011). Mortality was 17.2 % (217/1258) of patients; 10.9 % (137/1258) died pre-hospital. No trends were detected in mortality rates. The regression model showed increased odds of in-hospital mortality for every point increase in the ISS (OR 1.05; 95 % CI 1.02 to 1.09) and for every unit decrease in scene GCS (OR 0.63; 95 % CI 0.56-0.71). Rural patients were 2 times more likely to die in-hospital versus urban patients (OR 2.40; 95 % CI 1.01-5.69), and patients injured at home were 6 times more likely to die compared to those injured in other locations (OR 6.19; 95 % CI 1.01-38.11). CONCLUSION: Pediatric trauma remains a major public health issue in Canada and beyond. Greater efforts are required to expand our understanding of trauma epidemiology and develop targeted injury prevention strategies, especially for rural inhabitants.


Hospital Mortality , Wounds and Injuries , Humans , Nova Scotia/epidemiology , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Hospital Mortality/trends , Adolescent , Child , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Incidence , Registries , Trauma Centers/statistics & numerical data , Infant , Injury Severity Score , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors
20.
Aust J Rural Health ; 32(2): 320-331, 2024 Apr.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38375971

INTRODUCTION: Despite the importance of child road traffic death, the knowledge about rural child road traffic death in Australia is limited. OBJECTIVE: To explore the difference of child road traffic death between urban and rural areas. DESIGN: This study was a retrospective analysis of road traffic death in Australia among children and adolescents aged 0-19 registered between 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2019. RESULTS: During the study period, there were 1757 child road traffic death in Australia, and the crude mortality rate was 2.96 per 100 000 population. The crude mortality rate in remote (8.83 per 100 000 population) and very remote (11.08 per 100 000 population) areas was much higher than major cities (1.83 per 100 000 population), inner regional (5.14 per 100 000 population) and outer regional (5.91 per 100 000 population). CONCLUSIONS: Specific targets are needed to address the burden of child road traffic death in Australia around rurality, as it is a significant risk factor of child road traffic death.


Accidents, Traffic , Rural Population , Rural Population/statistics & numerical data , Australia/epidemiology , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/prevention & control , Child , Urban Population , Infant, Newborn , Infant , Child, Preschool , Adolescent , Young Adult , Risk Factors
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