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1.
F1000Res ; 13: 19, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39165349

ABSTRACT

Background: COVID-19 is a highly challenging infectious disease. Research ethics committees (RECs) have challenges reviewing research on this new pandemic disease under a tight timeline and public pressure. This study aimed to assess RECs' responses and review during the outbreak in seven Asian countries where the Strategic Initiative for Developing Capacity in Ethical Review (SIDCER) networks are active. Methods: The online survey was conducted in seven Asian countries from April to August 2021. Two sets of online questionnaires were developed, one set for the chairs/secretaries and another set for the REC members.The REC profiles obtained from the REC members are descriptive in nature. Data from the chairs/secretaries were compared between the RECs with external quality assessment (SIDCER-Recognized RECs, SR-RECs) and non-external quality assessment (Non-SIDCER-Recognized RECs, NSR-RECs) and analyzed using a Chi-squared test. Results: A total of 688 REC members and 197 REC chairs/secretaries participated in the survey. Most RECs have standard operating procedures (SOPs), and have experience in reviewing all types of protocols, but 18.1% had no experience reviewing COVID-19 protocols. Most REC members need specific training on reviewing COVID-19 protocols (93%). In response to the outbreak, RECs used online reviews, increased meeting frequency and single/central REC. All SR-RECs had a member composition as required by the World Health Organisation ethics guidelines, while some NSR-RECs lacked non-affiliated and/or layperson members. SR-RECs reviewed more COVID-related product development protocols and indicated challenges in reviewing risk/benefit and vulnerability (0.010), informed consent form (0.002), and privacy and confidentiality (P = 0.020) than NSR-RECs. Conclusions: Surveyed RECs had a general knowledge of REC operation and played a significant role in reviewing COVID-19-related product development protocols. Having active networks of RECs across regions to share updated information and resources could be one of the strategies to promote readiness for future public health emergencies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Ethics Committees, Research , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Humans , Surveys and Questionnaires , Asia/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology
2.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e54383, 2024 Aug 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39137034

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 protective behaviors are key interventions advised by the World Health Organization (WHO) to prevent COVID-19 transmission. However, achieving compliance with this advice is often challenging, particularly among socially vulnerable groups. OBJECTIVE: We developed a social vulnerability index (SVI) to predict individuals' propensity to adhere to the WHO advice on protective behaviors against COVID-19 and identify changes in social vulnerability as Omicron evolved in African countries between January 2022 and August 2022 and Asia Pacific countries between August 2021 and June 2022. METHODS: In African countries, baseline data were collected from 14 countries (n=15,375) during the first Omicron wave, and follow-up data were collected from 7 countries (n=7179) after the wave. In Asia Pacific countries, baseline data were collected from 14 countries (n=12,866) before the first Omicron wave, and follow-up data were collected from 9 countries (n=8737) after the wave. Countries' socioeconomic and health profiles were retrieved from relevant databases. To construct the SVI for each of the 4 data sets, variables associated with COVID-19 protective behaviors were included in a factor analysis using polychoric correlation with varimax rotation. Influential factors were adjusted for cardinality, summed, and min-max normalized from 0 to 1 (most to least vulnerable). Scores for compliance with the WHO advice were calculated using individuals' self-reported protective behaviors against COVID-19. Multiple linear regression analyses were used to assess the associations between the SVI and scores for compliance to WHO advice to validate the index. RESULTS: In Africa, factors contributing to social vulnerability included literacy and media use, trust in health care workers and government, and country income and infrastructure. In Asia Pacific, social vulnerability was determined by literacy, country income and infrastructure, and population density. The index was associated with compliance with the WHO advice in both time points in African countries but only during the follow-up period in Asia Pacific countries. At baseline, the index values in African countries ranged from 0.00 to 0.31 in 13 countries, with 1 country having an index value of 1.00. The index values in Asia Pacific countries ranged from 0.00 to 0.23 in 12 countries, with 2 countries having index values of 0.79 and 1.00. During the follow-up phase, the index values decreased in 6 of 7 African countries and the 2 most vulnerable Asia Pacific countries. The index values of the least vulnerable countries remained unchanged in both regions. CONCLUSIONS: In both regions, significant inequalities in social vulnerability to compliance with WHO advice were observed at baseline, and the gaps became larger after the first Omicron wave. Understanding the dimensions that influence social vulnerability to protective behaviors against COVID-19 may underpin targeted interventions to enhance compliance with WHO recommendations and mitigate the impact of future pandemics among vulnerable groups.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , World Health Organization , Humans , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Africa/epidemiology , Factor Analysis, Statistical , Female , Vulnerable Populations , Male , Adult , Middle Aged , Guideline Adherence/statistics & numerical data , Health Behavior
4.
BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care ; 12(4)2024 Aug 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39153754

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: People with diabetes are at risk of developing chronic kidney disease. However, limited data are available to quantify their risk of kidney function decline in South Asia. This study evaluates the rate and predictors of kidney function decline among people with type 2 diabetes in South Asia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We analyzed data from the Centre for Cardiometabolic Risk Reduction in South Asia (CARRS) Trial to quantify the rate of decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in people with type 2 diabetes (n=1146) over 2.5 years of follow-up. The CARRS Trial evaluated a multicomponent intervention of decision-supported electronic health records and non-physician care coordinator to improve diabetes management at 10 diabetes clinics in India and Pakistan. We used linear mixed models to estimate eGFR slope among all participants and tested the association of eGFR slope with demographic, disease-related, and self-care parameters, accounting for randomization and site. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 54.2 years, with a median duration of diabetes of 7.0 years (IQR: 3.0 - 12.0) and median CKD-EPI (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration) eGFR of 83.6 (IQR: 67.7 to 97.9) mL/min/1.73 m2. The overall mean eGFR slope was -1.33/mL/min/1.73 m2/year. There were no differences in the eGFR slope by treatment assignment to intervention versus usual care. In the adjusted regression model, pre-existing diabetic retinopathy (slope difference: -2.11; 95% CI: -3.45 to -0.77), previous cardiovascular disease (-1.93; 95% CI: -3.45 to -0.40), and statins use (-0.87; 95% CI: -1.65 to -0.10) were associated with faster eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS: People with diabetes receiving care at urban diabetes clinics in South Asia experienced annual eGFR decline at two times higher rate than that reported from other contemporary international diabetes cohorts. Risk factors for faster decline were similar to those previously established, and thus care delivery models must put an additional emphasis on kidney protective therapies among subgroups with microvascular and macrovascular diabetes complications. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01212328.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Diabetic Nephropathies , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/therapy , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Diabetic Nephropathies/epidemiology , Diabetic Nephropathies/etiology , Follow-Up Studies , Pakistan/epidemiology , India/epidemiology , Disease Progression , Adult , Aged , Prognosis , Asian People , Asia/epidemiology , South Asian People
6.
Pediatr Allergy Immunol ; 35(8): e14211, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39127915

ABSTRACT

Recent studies have provided compelling evidence to suggest that various environmental factors play a significant role in the development of food allergies. As our society experiences rapid economic growth, increased urbanization, and a shift towards a more Westernized diet, the incidence of food allergies is also on the rise and the pattern is gradually evolving. This review will delve into the changes in the epidemiology of food allergies within the Asia-Pacific region and the various dietary practices and factors that are postulated to play a role in the rise in food allergies over the years. Although there have been important advancements in the field of food allergies, there are still numerous uncertainties regarding the intricate relationship between diet and food allergies. Specifically, the role of epigenetic factors in influencing the susceptibility to food allergies, as evidenced by studies that assessed the impact of migration and rural-urban dynamics, is not fully understood. Addressing this knowledge gap presents an opportunity to develop more effective prevention and treatment strategies that could greatly benefit individuals living with food allergies.


Subject(s)
Food Hypersensitivity , Humans , Food Hypersensitivity/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Diet , Incidence , Epigenesis, Genetic
8.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 19544, 2024 08 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39174722

ABSTRACT

Primary liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality. The increasing prevalence of metabolic syndrome and alcohol consumption, along with the existing burden of viral hepatitis, could significantly heighten the impact of primary liver cancer. However, the specific effects of these factors in the Asia-Pacific region, which comprises more than half of the global population, remain largely unexplored. This study aims to analyze the epidemiology of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region. We evaluated regional and national data from the Global Burden of Disease study spanning 2010 to 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region. During the study period, there were an estimated 364,700 new cases of primary liver cancer and 324,100 deaths, accounting for 68 and 67% of the global totals, respectively. Upward trends were observed in the age-standardized incidence rates of primary liver cancer due to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MASLD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) in the Asia-Pacific region, as well as an increase in primary liver cancer from Hepatitis B virus infection in the Western Pacific region. Notably, approximately 17% of new cases occurred in individuals aged 15-49 years. Despite an overall decline in the burden of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region over the past decade, increases in incidence were noted for several etiologies, including MASLD and ALD. However, viral hepatitis remains the leading cause, responsible for over 60% of the total burden. These findings underscore the urgent need for comprehensive strategies to address the rising burden of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region.


Subject(s)
Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Male , Incidence , Female , Asia/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Adolescent , Young Adult , Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Prevalence
9.
Glob Heart ; 19(1): 68, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39185007

ABSTRACT

Stroke causes around 730,000 deaths in South Asia, nearly half of stroke-related deaths in developing countries. This highlights the need to address health system responses, considering poverty, service quality, and availability. The article identifies four key challenges in stroke management and rehabilitation in South Asia, emphasizing long-term monitoring, risk factor control, and community surveillance, drawing on experiences from Nepal.


Subject(s)
Stroke , Humans , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy , Stroke/prevention & control , Asia/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Nepal/epidemiology , Developing Countries , Stroke Rehabilitation/methods , Asia, Southern
10.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(8): e2429494, 2024 Aug 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39196559

ABSTRACT

Importance: The global burden of obesity is increasing, as are colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality. Objectives: To assess the association between body mass index (BMI) and risks of incident CRC and CRC-related death in the Asian population. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study includes data pooled from 17 prospective cohort studies included in The Asia Cohort Consortium. Cohort enrollment was conducted from January 1, 1984, to December 31, 2002. Median follow-up time was 15.2 years (IQR, 12.1-19.2 years). Data were analyzed from January 15, 2023, through January 15, 2024. Exposure: Body mass index, calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were CRC incidence and CRC-related mortality. The risk of events is reported as adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) and 95% CIs for incident CRC and death from CRC using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Results: To assess the risk of incident CRC, 619 981 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.8 [10.1] years; 52.0% female; 11 900 diagnosed incident CRC cases) were included in the study, and to assess CRC-related mortality, 650 195 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.5 [10.2] years; 51.9% female; 4550 identified CRC deaths) were included in the study. A positive association between BMI and risk of CRC was observed among participants with a BMI greater than 25.0 to 27.5 (AHR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.03-1.16]), greater than 27.5 to 30.0 (AHR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.11-1.29]), and greater than 30.0 (AHR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.19-1.46]) compared with those with a BMI greater than 23.0 to 25.0 (P < .001 for trend), and BMI was associated with a greater increase in risk for colon cancer than for rectal cancer. A similar association between BMI and CRC-related death risk was observed among participants with a BMI greater than 27.5 (BMI >27.5-30.0: AHR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.04-1.34]; BMI >30.0: AHR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.18-1.62]; P < .001 for trend) and was present among men with a BMI greater than 30.0 (AHR, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.49-2.34]; P < .001 for trend) but not among women (P = .15 for trend) (P = .02 for heterogeneity). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study that included a pooled analysis of 17 cohort studies comprising participants across Asia, a positive association between BMI and CRC incidence and related mortality was found. The risk was greater among men and participants with colon cancer. These findings may have implications to better understand the burden of obesity on CRC incidence and related deaths in the Asian population.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Colorectal Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Female , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Incidence , Asia/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Adult , Obesity/epidemiology , Obesity/complications , Prospective Studies , Aged , Cohort Studies , Proportional Hazards Models
11.
BMC Pulm Med ; 24(1): 388, 2024 Aug 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39129020

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) often require hospital readmission because of exacerbation of their condition. These frequent exacerbations reduce quality of life, work performance, and emotional health. However, few studies have investigated the risk factors for readmission and readmission rates in Asian patients with COPD. We conducted a systematic review to identify and understand the major risk factors for readmission in patients with COPD in Asia and the readmission rate. METHOD: We searched PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform, and China Biomedical Literature Database from database inception to September 2023 to identify studies on the readmission rate and risk factors for COPD in Asian patients. Chinese search terms included "COPD," "chronic obstructive pulmonary disease," "risk factors," "recurrence," "readmission," and "acute exacerbation." English search terms included "chronic obstructive pulmonary disease," "COPD," "lung emphysema," "hospital admission," "patient readmission," and "readmission." We extracted first author, publication year, research area, sample size, sex, risk factors, and readmission rates. The included studies' quality was evaluated using the Agency of Healthcare Research and Quality. Meta-synthesis was conducted on readmission rates and risk factors for readmission. Subgroups were formed by age, research area, sample size, and research type, and meta-regression analysis was conducted on the 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day readmission rates of patients to determine the source of heterogeneity. Finally, the results' robustness was evaluated using sensitivity analysis. Begg and Egger tests were used to evaluate publication bias. RESULTS: Meta-analysis of 44 studies, with 169,255 participants, indicated that risk factors for COPD readmission in Asia included: history of multiple hospital admissions, ≥ 3 comorbidities, male sex, ratio of eosinophils percentage ≥ 2%, body mass index < 18.5, smoking history, pulmonary heart disease comorbidity, COPD assessment test score > 20, nutritional disorder, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte ratio > 7, and FEV1 < 50. The 30-, 90-, and 365-day readmission rates of patients were 19%, 31%, and 42%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COPD in Asia generally have high readmission rates and different risk factors. To reduce healthcare, economic, and social burdens, interventions should address major risk factors, early prevention, and screening.


Subject(s)
Patient Readmission , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Humans , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/therapy , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Asia/epidemiology
12.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(9): 102517, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39126908

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) is a major global health issue, particularly in its minimal and subclinical forms, which often go undetected and contribute to transmission. Accurate prevalence assessment of these forms and the effectiveness of diagnostic tests are crucial for improving TB control, especially in high-risk populations such as those with HIV. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine the prevalence of minimal and subclinical TB and evaluate the positivity rates of current diagnostic tests. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of studies published from January 2000 to December 2022. Prevalence rates and diagnostic test results, including sputum culture, smear microscopy, TST/IGRA, and chest X-ray, were analyzed, with pooled prevalence calculated and comparisons made between geographic regions. RESULTS: Minimal TB prevalence ranged from 0.9 % to 22.9 % in the general population, while subclinical TB prevalence was 0.05 % to 0.64 %, and 1.57 % to 14.63 % among individuals with HIV. The overall pooled prevalence of minimal TB was 7 % (95 % CI: 5-9 %), with higher rates in Asia (8 %, 95 % CI: 5-12 %) compared to Africa (6 %, 95 % CI: 4-8 %). Subclinical TB had a pooled prevalence of 0.2 % (95 % CI: 0.2-0.3 %) overall and 52 % (95 % CI: 46-58 %) among TB cases, with higher rates in Asia (60 %) compared to Africa (44 %). Diagnostic test positivity was 77 % (sputum culture), 15 % (smear microscopy), 64 % (TST/IGRA), and 53 % (chest X-ray). CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals significant variability in the prevalence of minimal and subclinical TB. The findings highlight the need for improved diagnostic methods to reduce undetected cases, especially in high-risk populations.


Subject(s)
Diagnostic Tests, Routine , Tuberculosis , Humans , Prevalence , Diagnostic Tests, Routine/methods , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Sputum/microbiology , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/diagnosis , Africa/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Global Health
13.
PLoS One ; 19(7): e0306245, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38950027

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Toxoplasma gondii can cause symptomatic toxoplasmosis in immunodeficient hosts, including in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH), mainly because of the reactivation of latent infection. We assessed the prevalence of toxoplasmosis and its associated risk factors in PLWH in the Asia-Pacific region using data from the TREAT Asia Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Observational Database (TAHOD) of the International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) Asia-Pacific. METHODS: This study included both retrospective and prospective cases of toxoplasmosis reported between 1997 and 2020. A matched case-control method was employed, where PLWH diagnosed with toxoplasmosis (cases) were each matched to two PLWH without a toxoplasmosis diagnosis (controls) from the same site. Sites without toxoplasmosis were excluded. Risk factors for toxoplasmosis were analyzed using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 269/9576 (2.8%) PLWH were diagnosed with toxoplasmosis in 19 TAHOD sites. Of these, 227 (84%) were reported retrospectively and 42 (16%) were prospective diagnoses after cohort enrollment. At the time of toxoplasmosis diagnosis, the median age was 33 years (interquartile range 28-38), and 80% participants were male, 75% were not on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Excluding 63 out of 269 people without CD4 values, 192 (93.2%) had CD4 ≤200 cells/µL and 162 (78.6%) had CD4 ≤100 cells/µL. By employing 538 matched controls, we found that factors associated with toxoplasmosis included abstaining from ART (odds ratio [OR] 3.62, 95% CI 1.81-7.24), in comparison to receiving nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors plus non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors, HIV exposure through injection drug use (OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.15-4.47) as opposed to engaging in heterosexual intercourse and testing positive for hepatitis B virus surface antigen (OR 3.19, 95% CI 1.41-7.21). Toxoplasmosis was less likely with increasing CD4 counts (51-100 cells/µL: OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.18-0.96; 101-200 cells/µL: OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.06-0.34; >200 cells/µL: OR 0.02, 95% CI 0.01-0.06), when compared to CD4 ≤50 cells/µL. Moreover, the use of prophylactic cotrimoxazole was not associated with toxoplasmosis. CONCLUSIONS: Symptomatic toxoplasmosis is rare but still occurs in PLWH in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in the context of delayed diagnosis, causing advanced HIV disease. Immune reconstitution through early diagnosis and ART administration remains a priority in Asian PLWH.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Toxoplasmosis , Humans , Male , Risk Factors , Adult , Female , Toxoplasmosis/epidemiology , Toxoplasmosis/complications , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/complications , Asia/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Case-Control Studies , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Toxoplasma
14.
PLoS One ; 19(7): e0307942, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39083535

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Short inter-pregnancy or birth interval is associated with an increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes. However, some emerging evidence questions this association and there are also inconsistencies among the existing findings. This study aimed to systematically review the evidence regarding the effect of short inter-pregnancy or birth intervals on adverse perinatal outcomes in the Asia-Pacific region. METHODS: A comprehensive search of five databases was conducted targeting studies published between 2000 to 2023. Studies that reported on short inter-pregnancy or birth interval and examined adverse perinatal outcomes, such as low birthweight (LBW) preterm birth (PTB), small for gestational age (SGA), and neonatal mortality were included and appraised for methodological quality using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tools. Three reviewers independently screened the studies and performed data extraction. Narrative synthesis and meta-analyses were conducted to summarise the key findings. RESULTS: A total of 41 studies that fulfilled the inclusion criteria were included. A short-interpregnancy interval was associated with an increased risk of low birthweight (odds ratio [OR] = 1.65; 95%CI:1.39, 1.95), preterm birth (OR = 1.50; 95%CI: 1.35, 1.66), and small for gestational age (OR = 1.24; 95%CI:1.09, 1.41). We also found elevated odds of early neonatal mortality (OR = 1.91; 95%CI: 1.11, 3.29) and neonatal mortality (OR = 1.78; 95%CI: 1.25, 2.55) among women with short birth intervals. CONCLUSION: This review indicates that both short inter-pregnancy and birth interval increased the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes. This underscores the importance of advocating for and implementing strategies to promote optimal pregnancy and birth spacing to reduce the occurrence of adverse perinatal outcomes. Reproductive health policies and programs need to be further strengthened and promote access to comprehensive family planning services and increase awareness about the importance of optimal pregnancy and birth spacing.


Subject(s)
Birth Intervals , Infant Mortality , Infant, Low Birth Weight , Infant, Small for Gestational Age , Pregnancy Outcome , Premature Birth , Humans , Pregnancy , Female , Infant, Newborn , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Infant
15.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 16837, 2024 07 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39039164

ABSTRACT

This paper presents a thorough evaluation of health outcomes linked to water-related challenges in Islamic nations across East Asia and Central Asia from 2020 to 2030. It has been examined carefully that the trajectory of deaths and disability-adjusted life years associated with unsafe water sources, lack of sanitation, and absence of handwashing facilities is showing a potential rise in negative health impacts due to water pollution. The direct health influences of water-related problems are thoughtful. The increase in deaths and DALYs due to poor water quality and sanitation leads to a higher occurrence of waterborne diseases such as cholera, diarrhea, and dysentery. These conditions not only cause instant health disasters but also subsidize to long-term health issues which include chronic gastrointestinal disorders and malnutrition that is particularly among susceptible populations like children and the elderly. Employing various predictive models including autoregressive integrated moving average, exponential smoothing, support vector machines, and neural networks. The study evaluates their predictive capabilities by using mean absolute percentage error. Support vector machines is found to be the most accurate in forecasting deaths and disability-adjusted life years which is outperforming autoregressive integrated moving average, exponential smoothing, and neural networks. This research aims to inform stakeholders by providing insights into effective strategies for improving water resource management and public health interventions in the targeted regions.


Subject(s)
Water Quality , Humans , Waterborne Diseases/epidemiology , Sanitation , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Water Supply , Islam , Asia/epidemiology , Support Vector Machine , Water Pollution
18.
Trends Parasitol ; 40(8): 731-743, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39054167

ABSTRACT

Anopheles stephensi is a highly competent urban malaria vector species, endemic in South Asia and the Persian Gulf, which has colonised eight countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) since 2013 and is now spreading uncontrollably. In urban areas of Africa, where malaria transmission has previously been low or non-existent, the invasion of An. stephensi represents a significant problem, particularly to immunologically naïve populations. Despite this rapidly advancing threat, there is a paucity of information regarding the bionomics of An. stephensi in SSA. Here, we offer a critical synthesis of literature from An. stephensi's native range, focusing on the future of An. stephensi in a rapidly urbanising Africa, and highlighting key questions that warrant prioritisation by the global malaria vector control community.


Subject(s)
Anopheles , Malaria , Mosquito Vectors , Anopheles/parasitology , Anopheles/physiology , Animals , Asia/epidemiology , Africa/epidemiology , Malaria/prevention & control , Malaria/transmission , Introduced Species , Humans
19.
J Gastrointest Cancer ; 55(3): 1333-1344, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38995318

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: In several Asian countries, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer deaths. HCC risk factors in Asia differ from those elsewhere and are changing with the treatment landscape as systemic treatment options increase. This study was conducted to gain insight from physicians and patients into HCC screening, diagnosis, and treatment strategies in Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam. METHODS: Two cross-sectional, anonymized, online surveys were completed between July and December 2022 by physicians diagnosing and treating HCC (55 questions on risk factors, surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment) and patients ≥ 18 years old diagnosed with HCC (36 questions on disease knowledge, quality of life, and experiences of diagnosis and treatment). RESULTS: Responses were received from 276 physicians in all 7 countries and 130 patients in Thailand, Taiwan, and Vietnam. From the physician's perspective, surveillance programs are widespread but identify insufficient HCC cases; only 18% are early-stage HCC at diagnosis. From the patient's perspective, knowledge of risk factors increases after diagnosis, but few seek support from patient associations; patients would benefit from better communication from their doctors. Treatment affordability and side effects are key issues for patients. CONCLUSIONS: Awareness of the risk factors for HCC should be raised in primary care and the general population, and surveillance should identify early-stage HCC. Because patients rely on their doctors for support, doctors should better understand their patients' needs, and patients could be supported by trained nurses or case managers. Programs are needed to increase patients' access to proven HCC treatments.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Male , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Asia/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Surveys and Questionnaires , Risk Factors , Physicians/psychology , Physicians/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Quality of Life
20.
mBio ; 15(8): e0320323, 2024 Aug 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39012149

ABSTRACT

Following the detection of novel highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b in Newfoundland, Canada, in late 2021, avian influenza virus (AIV) surveillance in wild birds was scaled up across Canada. Herein, we present the results of Canada's Interagency Surveillance Program for Avian Influenza in Wild Birds during the first year (November 2021-November 2022) following the incursions of HPAIV from Eurasia. The key objectives of the surveillance program were to (i) identify the presence, distribution, and spread of HPAIV and other AIVs; (ii) identify wild bird morbidity and mortality associated with HPAIV; (iii) identify the range of wild bird species infected by HPAIV; and (iv) genetically characterize detected AIV. A total of 6,246 sick and dead wild birds were tested, of which 27.4% were HPAIV positive across 12 taxonomic orders and 80 species. Geographically, HPAIV detections occurred in all Canadian provinces and territories, with the highest numbers in the Atlantic and Central Flyways. Temporally, peak detections differed across flyways, though the national peak occurred in April 2022. In an additional 11,295 asymptomatic harvested or live-captured wild birds, 5.2% were HPAIV positive across 3 taxonomic orders and 19 species. Whole-genome sequencing identified HPAIV of Eurasian origin as most prevalent in the Atlantic Flyway, along with multiple reassortants of mixed Eurasian and North American origins distributed across Canada, with moderate structuring at the flyway scale. Wild birds were victims and reservoirs of HPAIV H5N1 2.3.4.4b, underscoring the importance of surveillance encompassing samples from sick and dead, as well as live and harvested birds, to provide insights into the dynamics and potential impacts of the HPAIV H5N1 outbreak. This dramatic shift in the presence and distribution of HPAIV in wild birds in Canada highlights a need for sustained investment in wild bird surveillance and collaboration across interagency partners. IMPORTANCE: We present the results of Canada's Interagency Surveillance Program for Avian Influenza in Wild Birds in the year following the first detection of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 on the continent. The surveillance program tested over 17,000 wild birds, both sick and apparently healthy, which revealed spatiotemporal and taxonomic patterns in HPAIV prevalence and mortality across Canada. The significant shift in the presence and distribution of HPAIV in Canada's wild birds underscores the need for sustained investment in wild bird surveillance and collaboration across One Health partners.


Subject(s)
Animals, Wild , Birds , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype , Influenza in Birds , Animals , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza in Birds/virology , Canada/epidemiology , Birds/virology , Animals, Wild/virology , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/classification , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/pathogenicity , Phylogeny , Europe/epidemiology , Epidemiological Monitoring , Asia/epidemiology
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