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1.
J Math Biol ; 89(2): 25, 2024 Jul 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38963509

ABSTRACT

The Ebola virus disease (EVD) has been endemic since 1976, and the case fatality rate is extremely high. EVD is spread by infected animals, symptomatic individuals, dead bodies, and contaminated environment. In this paper, we formulate an EVD model with four transmission modes and a time delay describing the incubation period. Through dynamical analysis, we verify the importance of blocking the infection source of infected animals. We get the basic reproduction number without considering the infection source of infected animals. And, it is proven that the model has a globally attractive disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction number is less than unity; the disease eventually becomes endemic when the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. Taking the EVD epidemic in Sierra Leone in 2014-2016 as an example, we complete the data fitting by combining the effect of the media to obtain the unknown parameters, the basic reproduction number and its time-varying reproduction number. It is shown by parameter sensitivity analysis that the contact rate and the removal rate of infected group have the greatest influence on the prevalence of the disease. And, the disease-controlling thresholds of these two parameters are obtained. In addition, according to the existing vaccination strategy, only the inoculation ratio in high-risk areas is greater than 0.4, the effective reproduction number can be less than unity. And, the earlier the vaccination time, the greater the inoculation ratio, and the faster the disease can be controlled.


Subject(s)
Basic Reproduction Number , Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Mathematical Concepts , Models, Biological , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/transmission , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Basic Reproduction Number/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Animals , Sierra Leone/epidemiology , Ebolavirus/pathogenicity , Ebolavirus/physiology , Epidemics/statistics & numerical data , Epidemics/prevention & control , Computer Simulation , Epidemiological Models , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data
2.
Sci Adv ; 10(27): eado7576, 2024 Jul 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38959306

ABSTRACT

Following the apparent final case in an Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak, the decision to declare the outbreak over must balance societal benefits of relaxing interventions against the risk of resurgence. Estimates of the end-of-outbreak probability (the probability that no future cases will occur) provide quantitative evidence that can inform the timing of an end-of-outbreak declaration. An existing modeling approach for estimating the end-of-outbreak probability requires comprehensive contact tracing data describing who infected whom to be available, but such data are often unavailable or incomplete during outbreaks. Here, we develop a Markov chain Monte Carlo-based approach that extends the previous method and does not require contact tracing data. Considering data from two EVD outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, we find that data describing who infected whom are not required to resolve uncertainty about when to declare an outbreak over.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Democratic Republic of the Congo/epidemiology , Humans , Ebolavirus , Markov Chains , Monte Carlo Method
3.
BMC Psychiatry ; 24(1): 469, 2024 Jun 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38918760

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The 2022 Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak occurred at a time when Uganda was still battling the social and psychological challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic; placing health care professionals (HCPs) at a much higher risk of developing psychological distress. Psychological distress among HCPs can cause decreased workplace productivity and ineffective management of their patients. The current study aimed to investigate and understand psychological distress among HCPS in Mbarara city in Southwestern Uganda following the 2022 EVD outbreak. METHOD: We enrolled 200 HCPs through convenient sampling from one private and one public health facility in Mbarara city in Southwestern Uganda, in a cross-sectional convergent parallel mixed method approach where qualitative and quantitative data were collected concurrently. Quantitative data, utilizing the Kessler Psychological Distress (K10) Scale, provided us with a quantitative measure of the prevalence of psychological distress among HCPs, and were analyzed using STATA version 16. Qualitative data, on the other hand, offered deeper insights into the nature, perceptions, and contextual factors influencing this distress, and were analyzed using emergent theme analysis. RESULTS: The prevalence of psychological distress was 59.5% and it was higher among females (63.9%) compared to males (36.1%). HCPs vividly expressed distress and anxiety, with heightened suspicion that every patient might be an EVD carrier, creating a pervasive sense of unsafety in the workplace. However, the outbreak had an educational affect where concerns about the announcement of another EVD outbreak were diverse, with HCPs expressing anxiety, despair, and dissatisfaction with the country's management of potential outbreaks. CONCLUSION: High levels of psychological distress were experienced by HCPs in Southwestern Uganda as a result of the 2022 EVD pandemic. HCPs express a wide range of feelings, such as dread, anxiety, despair, pessimism, and discontent with the way the outbreaks are handled throughout the nation. We recommend implementation of comprehensive psychosocial support programs tailored to the unique needs of HCPs, including counseling services, stress management workshops, and peer support networks.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Health Personnel , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Psychological Distress , Humans , Uganda/epidemiology , Male , Female , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/psychology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Health Personnel/psychology , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , COVID-19/psychology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Qualitative Research , Young Adult , Stress, Psychological/epidemiology , Stress, Psychological/psychology
4.
BMJ Glob Health ; 9(6)2024 Jun 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38857947

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Clear guidelines to implement ancillary care (AC) in clinical trials conducted in resource-constrained settings are lacking. Here, we evaluate an AC policy developed for a vaccine trial in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and formulate policy recommendations. METHODS: To evaluate the AC policy, we performed a longitudinal cohort study, nested in an open-label, single-centre, randomised Ebola vaccine trial conducted among healthcare personnel. Participants' demographic information, residence distance to the study site and details on the financial and/or medical support provided for any (serious) adverse events ((S)AE) were combined and analysed. To assess the feasibility of the AC policy, an expenditure analysis of the costs related to AC support outcomes was performed. RESULTS: Enrolment in this evaluation study started on 29 November 2021. The study lasted 11 months and included 655 participants from the Ebola vaccine trial. In total, 393 participants used the AC policy, mostly for AE management (703 AE and 94 SAE) via medication provided by the study pharmacy (75.3%). Men had a 35.2% (95% CI 4.0% to 56.6%) lower likelihood of reporting AE compared with women. Likewise, this was 32.3% lower (95% CI 5.8% to 51.4%) for facility-based compared with community-based healthcare providers. The daily AE reporting was 78.8% lower during the passive vs the active trial stage, and 97.4% lower during unscheduled vs scheduled visits (p<0.001). Participants living further than 10 km from the trial site more frequently reported the travel distance as a reason for not using the policy (p<0.04). In practice, only 1.1% of the operational trial budget was used for AC policy support. CONCLUSION: The trial design, study population and local health system impacted the use of the AC policy. Nonetheless, the AC policy implementation in this remote and resource-constrained setting was feasible, had negligible budgetary implications and contributed to participants' healthcare options and well-being.


Subject(s)
Ebola Vaccines , Humans , Male , Female , Ebola Vaccines/economics , Adult , Democratic Republic of the Congo , Longitudinal Studies , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/economics , Health Policy , Middle Aged , Health Personnel
5.
EBioMedicine ; 104: 105170, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823088

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Ebola virus disease (EVD) survivors experience ocular sequelae including retinal lesions, cataracts, and vision loss. While monoclonal antibodies targeting the Ebola virus glycoprotein (EBOV-GP) have shown promise in improving prognosis, their effectiveness in mitigating ocular sequelae remains uncertain. METHODS: We developed and characterized a BSL-2-compatible immunocompetent mouse model to evaluate therapeutics targeting EBOV-GP by inoculating neonatal mice with vesicular stomatitis virus expressing EBOV-GP (VSV-EBOV). To examine the impact of anti-EBOV-GP antibody treatment on acute retinitis and ocular sequelae, VSV-EBOV-infected mice were treated with polyclonal antibodies or monoclonal antibody preparations with antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC-mAb) or neutralizing activity (NEUT-mAb). FINDINGS: Treatment with all anti-EBOV-GP antibodies tested dramatically reduced viremia and improved survival. Further, all treatments reduced the incidence of cataracts. However, NEUT-mAb alone or in combination with ADCC-mAb reduced viral load in the eyes, downregulated the ocular immune and inflammatory responses, and minimized retinal damage more effectively. INTERPRETATION: Anti-EBOV-GP antibodies can improve survival among EVD patients, but improved therapeutics are needed to reduce life altering sequelae. This animal model offers a new platform to examine the acute and long-term effect of the virus in the eye and the relative impact of therapeutic candidates targeting EBOV-GP. Results indicate that even antibodies that improve systemic viral clearance and survival can differ in their capacity to reduce acute ocular inflammation, and long-term retinal pathology and corneal degeneration. FUNDING: This study was partly supported by Postgraduate Research Fellowship Awards from ORISE through an interagency agreement between the US DOE and the US FDA.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral , Disease Models, Animal , Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Animals , Mice , Ebolavirus/immunology , Ebolavirus/pathogenicity , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/virology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/drug therapy , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/immunology , Antibodies, Viral/immunology , Antibodies, Monoclonal/therapeutic use , Antibodies, Monoclonal/pharmacology , Humans , Viral Load , Glycoproteins/immunology , Glycoproteins/metabolism , Viral Envelope Proteins/immunology , Antibodies, Neutralizing/immunology , Antibodies, Neutralizing/pharmacology , Antibodies, Neutralizing/therapeutic use , Antibody-Dependent Cell Cytotoxicity
6.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1369306, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38873302

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Health systems including mental health (MH) systems are resilient if they protect human life and produce better health outcomes for all during disease outbreaks or epidemics like Ebola disease and their aftermaths. We explored the resilience of MH services amidst Ebola disease outbreaks in Africa; specifically, to (i) describe the pre-, during-, and post-Ebola disease outbreak MH systems in African countries that have experienced Ebola disease outbreaks, (ii) determine the prevalence of three high burden MH disorders and how those prevalences interact with Ebola disease outbreaks, and, (iii) describe the resilience of MH systems in the context of these outbreaks. Methods: This was a scoping review employing an adapted PRISMA statement. We conducted a five-step Boolean strategy with both free text and Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) to search 9 electronic databases and also searched WHO MINDbank and MH Atlas. Results: The literature search yielded 1,230 publications. Twenty-five studies were included involving 13,449 participants. By 2023, 13 African nations had encountered a total of 35 Ebola outbreak events. None of these countries had a metric recorded in MH Atlas to assess the inclusion of MH in emergency plans. The three highest-burden outbreak-associated MH disorders under the MH and Psychosocial Support (MHPSS) framework were depression, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and anxiety with prevalence ranges of 1.4-7%, 2-90%, and 1.3-88%, respectively. Furthermore, our analysis revealed a concerning lack of resilience within the MH systems, as evidenced by the absence of pre-existing metrics to gauge MH preparedness in emergency plans. Additionally, none of the studies evaluated the resilience of MH services for individuals with pre-existing needs or examined potential post-outbreak degradation in core MH services. Discussion: Our findings revealed an insufficiency of resilience, with no evaluation of services for individuals with pre-existing needs or post-outbreak degradation in core MH services. Strengthening MH resilience guided by evidence-based frameworks must be a priority to mitigate the long-term impacts of epidemics on mental well-being.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Mental Health Services , Humans , Africa/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/psychology , Mental Health Services/organization & administration , Mental Health Services/statistics & numerical data , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/epidemiology , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/psychology
8.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(6): e0011955, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38848434

ABSTRACT

Ebolavirus disease (EVD) outbreaks have intermittently occurred since the first documented case in the 1970s. Due to its transmission characteristics, large outbreaks have not been observed outside Africa. However, within the continent, significant outbreaks have been attributed to factors such as endemic diseases with similar symptoms and inadequate medical infrastructure, which complicate timely diagnosis. In this study, we employed a stochastic modeling approach to analyze the spread of EVD during the early stages of an outbreak, with an emphasis on inherent risks. We developed a model that considers healthcare workers and unreported cases, and assessed the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) using actual data. Our results indicate that the implementation of NPIs led to a decrease in the transmission rate and infectious period by 30% and 40% respectively, following the declaration of the outbreak. We also investigated the risks associated with delayed outbreak recognition. Our simulations suggest that, when accounting for NPIs and recognition delays, prompt detection could have resulted in a similar outbreak scale, with approximately 50% of the baseline NPIs effect. Finally, we discussed the potential effects of a vaccination strategy as a follow-up measure after the outbreak declaration. Our findings suggest that a vaccination strategy can reduce both the burden of NPIs and the scale of the outbreak.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Vaccination , Humans , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Stochastic Processes , Models, Statistical , Ebolavirus/immunology
9.
J Med Virol ; 96(6): e29744, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38874258

ABSTRACT

Ebolavirus disease (EVD) is an often-lethal disease caused by the genus Ebolavirus (EBOV). Although vaccines are being developed and recently used, outbreak control still relies on a combination of various factors, including rapid identification of EVD cases. This allows rapid patient isolation and control measure implementation. Ebolavirus diagnosis is performed in treatment centers or reference laboratories, which usually takes a few hours to days to confirm the outbreak or deliver a clear result. A fast and field-deployable molecular detection method, such as the isothermal amplification recombinase-aided amplification (RAA), could significantly reduce sample-to-result time. In this study, a RT-RAA assay was evaluated for EBOV detection. Various primer and probe combinations were screened; analytical sensitivity and cross-specificity were tested. A total of 40 archived samples from the 2014 to 2016 Ebola outbreak in West Africa were tested with both the reference method real-time RT-PCR and the established RT-RAA assay. The assay could detect down to 22.6 molecular copies per microliter. No other pathogens were detected with the Ebolavirus RT-RAA assay. Testing 40 samples yield clinical sensitivity and specificity of 100% each. This rapid isothermal RT-RAA assay can replace the previous RT-RPA and continue to offer rapid EBOV diagnostics.


Subject(s)
Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Molecular Diagnostic Techniques , Nucleic Acid Amplification Techniques , Recombinases , Sensitivity and Specificity , Ebolavirus/genetics , Ebolavirus/isolation & purification , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/diagnosis , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/virology , Nucleic Acid Amplification Techniques/methods , Humans , Recombinases/metabolism , Molecular Diagnostic Techniques/methods , Africa, Western/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , RNA, Viral/genetics , DNA Primers/genetics
10.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 24(1): 131, 2024 Jun 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38849766

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Dynamical mathematical models defined by a system of differential equations are typically not easily accessible to non-experts. However, forecasts based on these types of models can help gain insights into the mechanisms driving the process and may outcompete simpler phenomenological growth models. Here we introduce a friendly toolbox, SpatialWavePredict, to characterize and forecast the spatial wave sub-epidemic model, which captures diverse wave dynamics by aggregating multiple asynchronous growth processes and has outperformed simpler phenomenological growth models in short-term forecasts of various infectious diseases outbreaks including SARS, Ebola, and the early waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US. RESULTS: This tutorial-based primer introduces and illustrates a user-friendly MATLAB toolbox for fitting and forecasting time-series trajectories using an ensemble spatial wave sub-epidemic model based on ordinary differential equations. Scientists, policymakers, and students can use the toolbox to conduct real-time short-term forecasts. The five-parameter epidemic wave model in the toolbox aggregates linked overlapping sub-epidemics and captures a rich spectrum of epidemic wave dynamics, including oscillatory wave behavior and plateaus. An ensemble strategy aims to improve forecasting performance by combining the resulting top-ranked models. The toolbox provides a tutorial for forecasting time-series trajectories, including the full uncertainty distribution derived through parametric bootstrapping, which is needed to construct prediction intervals and evaluate their accuracy. Functions are available to assess forecasting performance, estimation methods, error structures in the data, and forecasting horizons. The toolbox also includes functions to quantify forecasting performance using metrics that evaluate point and distributional forecasts, including the weighted interval score. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed the first comprehensive toolbox to characterize and forecast time-series data using an ensemble spatial wave sub-epidemic wave model. As an epidemic situation or contagion occurs, the tools presented in this tutorial can facilitate policymakers to guide the implementation of containment strategies and assess the impact of control interventions. We demonstrate the functionality of the toolbox with examples, including a tutorial video, and is illustrated using daily data on the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Forecasting , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Forecasting/methods , SARS-CoV-2 , Epidemics/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , Models, Theoretical , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Models, Statistical
11.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1511, 2024 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38840082

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many Ebola virus disease (EVD) survivors have reported somatic and neuropsychological symptoms after discharge from the Ebola Treatment Unit (ETU). Since the 2014-2016 Ebola epidemic in West Africa, various studies have investigated and identified these symptoms. Evidence on somatic symptoms is widely available in the literature, however, there is no concise overview of the prevalence across different time intervals. METHODS: This meta-analysis was conducted following the (PRISMA) guidelines. A database search was conducted to identify original studies that reported the prevalence of symptoms. The primary outcome measure was the prevalence rate of several somatic symptoms. Results were pooled, and prevalence rates were assessed over time, to elucidate any particular trends. RESULTS: We included 23 studies (5,714 participants). The pooled prevalence was: arthralgia 50% (95% CI: 41%-59%); headache 44% (95% CI: 36%-52%); myalgia 32% (95% CI: 26%-38%); abdominal pain 27% (95% CI: 15%-39%); fatigue 25% (95% CI: 19%-31%); numbness of feet 16% (95% CI: 14%-18%); numbness of hands 12% (95% CI: 10%-14%) and hearing loss 9% (95% CI: 5%-12%). Prevalence across different time intervals revealed significant patterns. All the symptoms persisted for more than 2 years after discharge except for abdominal pain. CONCLUSION: The pooled prevalence rates of somatic symptoms are notably high. Arthralgia and headache are the most prevalent of the symptoms, with hearing loss and numbness in hands and feet being the least. We found that arthralgia, myalgia, and abdominal pain decreased over time. However, headache, fatigue, numbness of hands and feet, and hearing loss increased over time.


Subject(s)
Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Survivors , Humans , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Prevalence , Survivors/statistics & numerical data , Survivors/psychology , Medically Unexplained Symptoms , Arthralgia/epidemiology , Headache/epidemiology , Africa, Western/epidemiology , Fatigue/epidemiology , Africa/epidemiology
12.
Commun Biol ; 7(1): 634, 2024 May 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38796621

ABSTRACT

Ebola virus (EBOV) matrix protein VP40 can assemble and bud as virus-like particles (VLPs) when expressed alone in mammalian cells. Nucleoprotein (NP) could be recruited to VLPs as inclusion body (IB) when co-expressed, and increase VLP production. However, the mechanism behind it remains unclear. Here, we use a computational approach to study NP-VP40 interactions. Our simulations indicate that NP may enhance VLP production through stabilizing VP40 filaments and accelerating the VLP budding step. Further, both the relative timing and amount of NP expression compared to VP40 are important for the effective production of IB-containing VLPs. We predict that relative NP/VP40 expression ratio and time are important for efficient production of IB-containing VLPs. We conclude that disrupting the expression timing and amount of NP and VP40 could provide new avenues to treat EBOV infection. This work provides quantitative insights into EBOV proteins interactions and how virion generation and drug efficacy could be influenced.


Subject(s)
Ebolavirus , Viral Core Proteins , Ebolavirus/metabolism , Viral Core Proteins/metabolism , Viral Core Proteins/genetics , Humans , Virion/metabolism , Virion/genetics , Nucleoproteins/metabolism , Nucleoproteins/genetics , Viral Matrix Proteins/metabolism , Viral Matrix Proteins/genetics , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/virology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/metabolism
13.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 12147, 2024 05 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38802461

ABSTRACT

The E/S (exposed/susceptible) ratio is analyzed in the SEIR model. The ratio plays a key role in understanding epidemic dynamics during the 2014-2016 Ebola outbreak in Sierra Leone and Guinea. The maximum value of the ratio occurs immediately before or after the time-dependent reproduction number (Rt) equals 1, depending on the initial susceptible population (S(0)). It is demonstrated that transmission rate curves corresponding to various incubation periods intersect at a single point referred to as the Cross Point (CP). At this point, the E/S ratio reaches an extremum, signifying a critical shift in transmission dynamics and aligning with the time when Rt approaches 1. By plotting transmission rate curves, ß(t), for any two arbitrary incubation periods and tracking their intersections, we can trace CP over time. CP serves as an indicator of epidemic status, especially when Rt is close to 1. It provides a practical means of monitoring epidemics without prior knowledge of the incubation period. Through a case study, we estimate the transmission rate and reproduction number, identifying CP and Rt = 1 while examining the E/S ratio across various values of S(0).


Subject(s)
Epidemics , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/transmission , Humans , Sierra Leone/epidemiology , Guinea/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Africa, Western/epidemiology , Basic Reproduction Number
14.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 520, 2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38783244

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: On 20 September 2022, Uganda declared its fifth Sudan virus disease (SVD) outbreak, culminating in 142 confirmed and 22 probable cases. The reproductive rate (R) of this outbreak was 1.25. We described persons who were exposed to the virus, became infected, and they led to the infection of an unusually high number of cases during the outbreak. METHODS: In this descriptive cross-sectional study, we defined a super-spreader person (SSP) as any person with real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) confirmed SVD linked to the infection of ≥ 13 other persons (10-fold the outbreak R). We reviewed illness narratives for SSPs collected through interviews. Whole-genome sequencing was used to support epidemiologic linkages between cases. RESULTS: Two SSPs (Patient A, a 33-year-old male, and Patient B, a 26-year-old male) were identified, and linked to the infection of one probable and 50 confirmed secondary cases. Both SSPs lived in the same parish and were likely infected by a single ill healthcare worker in early October while receiving healthcare. Both sought treatment at multiple health facilities, but neither was ever isolated at an Ebola Treatment Unit (ETU). In total, 18 secondary cases (17 confirmed, one probable), including three deaths (17%), were linked to Patient A; 33 secondary cases (all confirmed), including 14 (42%) deaths, were linked to Patient B. Secondary cases linked to Patient A included family members, neighbours, and contacts at health facilities, including healthcare workers. Those linked to Patient B included healthcare workers, friends, and family members who interacted with him throughout his illness, prayed over him while he was nearing death, or exhumed his body. Intensive community engagement and awareness-building were initiated based on narratives collected about patients A and B; 49 (96%) of the secondary cases were isolated in an ETU, a median of three days after onset. Only nine tertiary cases were linked to the 51 secondary cases. Sequencing suggested plausible direct transmission from the SSPs to 37 of 39 secondary cases with sequence data. CONCLUSION: Extended time in the community while ill, social interactions, cross-district travel for treatment, and religious practices contributed to SVD super-spreading. Intensive community engagement and awareness may have reduced the number of tertiary infections. Intensive follow-up of contacts of case-patients may help reduce the impact of super-spreading events.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Humans , Uganda/epidemiology , Male , Cross-Sectional Studies , Adult , Female , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/virology , Whole Genome Sequencing , Ebolavirus/genetics , Ebolavirus/isolation & purification
15.
Mil Med ; 189(7-8): e1470-e1478, 2024 Jul 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38743575

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this review is to examine African Ebola outbreaks from their first discovery to the present, to determine how the medical and public health response has changed and identify the causes for those changes. We sought to describe what is now known about the epidemiology and spread of Ebola virus disease (EVD) from the significant outbreaks that have occurred and outbreak control methods applied under often challenging circumstances. Given the substantial role that the U.S. Government and the U.S. DoD have played in the 2014 to 2016 West African Ebola outbreak, the role of the DoD and the U.S. Africa Command in controlling EVD is described. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A descriptive method design was used to collect and analyze all available Ebola outbreak literature using the PubMed database. An initial literature search was conducted by searching for, obtaining, and reading original source articles on all major global Ebola outbreaks. To conduct a focused search, we used initial search terms "Ebola outbreak," "Ebola virus disease," "Ebola response," "Ebola countermeasures," and also included each country's name where Ebola cases are known to have occurred. From the 4,673 unique articles obtained from this search and subsequent article title review, 307 articles were identified for potential inclusion. Following abstract and article review, 45 original source articles were used to compile the history of significant Ebola outbreaks. From this compilation, articles focused on each respective subsection of this review to delineate and describe the history of EVD and response, identifying fundamental changes, were obtained and incorporated. RESULTS: We present known Ebola virus and disease attributes, including a general description, seasonality and location, transmission capacity, clinical symptoms, surveillance, virology, historical EVD outbreaks and response, international support for Ebola outbreak response, U.S. DoD support, medical countermeasures supporting outbreak response, remaining gaps to include policy limitations, regional instability, climate change, migration, and urbanization, public health education and infrastructure, and virus persistence and public awareness. CONCLUSIONS: The health and societal impacts of EVD on Africa has been far-reaching, with about 35,000 cases and over 15,000 deaths, with small numbers of cases spreading globally. However, the history of combatting EVD reveals that there is considerable hope for African nations to quickly and successfully respond to Ebola outbreaks, through use of endemic resources including Africa CDC and African Partner Outbreak Response Alliance and the U.S. Africa Command with greater DoD reachback. Although there remains much to be learned about the Ebola virus and EVD including whether the potential for novel strains to become deadly emerging infections, invaluable vaccines, antivirals, and public health measures are now part of the resources that can be used to combat this disease.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Humans , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Public Health/methods , Public Health/trends , United States
16.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 543, 2024 May 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38816800

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In 2022, an Ebola disease outbreak caused by Sudan virus (SUDV) occurred in Uganda, primarily affecting Mubende and Kassanda districts. We determined risk factors for SUDV infection among household members (HHM) of cases. METHODS: We conducted a case-control and retrospective cohort study in January 2023. Cases were RT-PCR-confirmed SUDV infection in residents of Mubende or Kassanda districts during the outbreak. Case-households housed a symptomatic, primary case-patient for ≥ 24 h and had ≥ 1 secondary case-patient with onset < 2 weeks after their last exposure to the primary case-patient. Control households housed a case-patient and other HHM but no secondary cases. A risk factor questionnaire was administered to the primary case-patient or another adult who lived at home while the primary case-patient was ill. We conducted a retrospective cohort study among case-household members and categorized their interactions with primary case-patients during their illnesses as none, minimal, indirect, and direct contact. We conducted logistic regression to explore associations between exposures and case-household status, and Poisson regression to identify risk factors for SUDV infection among HHM. RESULTS: Case- and control-households had similar median sizes. Among 19 case-households and 51 control households, primary case-patient death (adjusted odds ratio [ORadj] = 7.6, 95% CI 1.4-41) and ≥ 2 household bedrooms (ORadj=0.19, 95% CI 0.056-0.71) were associated with case-household status. In the cohort of 76 case-HHM, 44 (58%) were tested for SUDV < 2 weeks from their last contact with the primary case-patient; 29 (38%) were positive. Being aged ≥ 18 years (adjusted risk ratio [aRRadj] = 1.9, 95%CI: 1.01-3.7) and having direct or indirect contact with the primary case-patient (aRRadj=3.2, 95%CI: 1.1-9.7) compared to minimal or no contact increased risk of Sudan virus disease (SVD). Access to a handwashing facility decreased risk (aRRadj=0.52, 95%CI: 0.31-0.88). CONCLUSION: Direct contact, particularly providing nursing care for and sharing sleeping space with SVD patients, increased infection risk among HHM. Risk assessments during contact tracing may provide evidence to justify closer monitoring of some HHM. Health messaging should highlight the risk of sharing sleeping spaces and providing nursing care for persons with Ebola disease symptoms and emphasize hand hygiene to aid early case identification and reduce transmission.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Family Characteristics , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Humans , Uganda/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/transmission , Risk Factors , Male , Adult , Female , Retrospective Studies , Case-Control Studies , Adolescent , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Ebolavirus , Infant
17.
J Virol ; 98(6): e0052424, 2024 Jun 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38757972

ABSTRACT

Ebola virus glycoprotein (EBOV GP) is one of the most heavily O-glycosylated viral glycoproteins, yet we still lack a fundamental understanding of the structure of its large O-glycosylated mucin-like domain and to what degree the host O-glycosylation capacity influences EBOV replication. Using tandem mass spectrometry, we identified 47 O-glycosites on EBOV GP and found similar glycosylation signatures on virus-like particle- and cell lysate-derived GP. Furthermore, we performed quantitative differential O-glycoproteomics on proteins produced in wild-type HEK293 cells and cell lines ablated for the three key initiators of O-linked glycosylation, GalNAc-T1, -T2, and -T3. The data show that 12 out of the 47 O-glycosylated sites were regulated, predominantly by GalNAc-T1. Using the glycoengineered cell lines for authentic EBOV propagation, we demonstrate the importance of O-linked glycan initiation and elongation for the production of viral particles and the titers of progeny virus. The mapped O-glycan positions and structures allowed to generate molecular dynamics simulations probing the largely unknown spatial arrangements of the mucin-like domain. The data highlight targeting GALNT1 or C1GALT1C1 as a possible way to modulate O-glycan density on EBOV GP for novel vaccine designs and tailored intervention approaches.IMPORTANCEEbola virus glycoprotein acquires its extensive glycan shield in the host cell, where it is decorated with N-linked glycans and mucin-type O-linked glycans. The latter is initiated by a family of polypeptide GalNAc-transferases that have different preferences for optimal peptide substrates resulting in a spectrum of both very selective and redundant substrates for each isoform. In this work, we map the exact locations of O-glycans on Ebola virus glycoprotein and identify subsets of sites preferentially initiated by one of the three key isoforms of GalNAc-Ts, demonstrating that each enzyme contributes to the glycan shield integrity. We further show that altering host O-glycosylation capacity has detrimental effects on Ebola virus replication, with both isoform-specific initiation and elongation playing a role. The combined structural and functional data highlight glycoengineered cell lines as useful tools for investigating molecular mechanisms imposed by specific glycans and for steering the immune responses in future vaccine designs.


Subject(s)
Ebolavirus , Polysaccharides , Virus Replication , Ebolavirus/physiology , Ebolavirus/metabolism , Humans , HEK293 Cells , Glycosylation , Polysaccharides/metabolism , Viral Envelope Proteins/metabolism , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/virology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/metabolism , N-Acetylgalactosaminyltransferases/metabolism , N-Acetylgalactosaminyltransferases/genetics , Glycoproteins/metabolism , Polypeptide N-acetylgalactosaminyltransferase
18.
BMC Med Ethics ; 25(1): 63, 2024 May 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38778293

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic forced governments, multilateral public health organisations and research institutions to undertake research quickly to inform their responses to the pandemic. Most COVID-19-related studies required swift approval, creating ethical and practical challenges for regulatory authorities and researchers. In this paper, we examine the landscape of ethics review processes in Africa during public health emergencies (PHEs). METHODS: We searched four electronic databases (Web of Science, PUBMED, MEDLINE Complete, and CINAHL) to identify articles describing ethics review processes during public health emergencies and/or pandemics. We selected and reviewed those articles that were focused on Africa. We charted the data from the retrieved articles including the authors and year of publication, title, country and disease(s) reference, broad areas of (ethical) consideration, paper type, and approach. RESULTS: Of an initial 4536 records retrieved, we screened the titles and abstracts of 1491 articles, and identified 72 articles for full review. Nine articles were selected for inclusion. Of these nine articles, five referenced West African countries including Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone, and experiences linked to the Ebola virus disease. Two articles focused on South Africa and Kenya, while the other two articles discussed more general experiences and pitfalls of ethics review during PHEs in Africa more broadly. We found no articles published on ethics review processes in Africa before the 2014 Ebola outbreak, and only a few before the COVID-19 outbreak. Although guidelines on protocol review and approval processes for PHEs were more frequently discussed after the 2014 Ebola outbreak, these did not focus on Africa specifically. CONCLUSIONS: There is a gap in the literature about ethics review processes and preparedness within Africa during PHEs. This paper underscores the importance of these processes to inform practices that facilitate timely, context-relevant research that adequately recognises and reinforces human dignity within the quest to advance scientific knowledge about diseases. This is important to improve fast responses to PHEs, reduce mortality and morbidity, and enhance the quality of care before, during, and after pandemics.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Emergencies , Pandemics , Public Health , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Public Health/ethics , Africa/epidemiology , Ethical Review , Betacoronavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Ethics, Research
19.
Nat Microbiol ; 9(6): 1417-1426, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38783022

ABSTRACT

Ebola virus and other orthoebolaviruses cause severe haemorrhagic fevers in humans, with very high case fatality rates. Their non-segmented single-stranded RNA genome encodes only seven structural proteins and a small number of non-structural proteins to facilitate the virus life cycle. The basics of this life cycle are well established, but recent advances have substantially increased our understanding of its molecular details, including the viral and host factors involved. Here we provide a comprehensive overview of our current knowledge of the molecular details of the orthoebolavirus life cycle, with a special focus on proviral host factors. We discuss the multistep entry process, viral RNA synthesis in specialized phase-separated intracellular compartments called inclusion bodies, the expression of viral proteins and ultimately the assembly of new virus particles and their release at the cell surface. In doing so, we integrate recent studies into the increasingly detailed model that has developed for these fundamental aspects of orthoebolavirus biology.


Subject(s)
Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , RNA, Viral , Ebolavirus/genetics , Ebolavirus/physiology , Humans , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/virology , RNA, Viral/metabolism , RNA, Viral/genetics , Virus Replication , Viral Proteins/metabolism , Viral Proteins/genetics , Virus Assembly , Virus Internalization , Genome, Viral , Animals , Virion/metabolism , Virion/genetics , Host-Pathogen Interactions
20.
BMJ Glob Health ; 9(5)2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38782464

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The West African Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic resulted in >28 000 disease cases and >11 000 fatalities. The unprecedented number of survivors from this epidemic has raised questions about the long-term mental health impacts of EVD survivorship and the capacity to meet these needs. OBJECTIVES: Assess the frequency and factors associated with mental health consequences of EVD survivorship in Sierra Leone. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of 595 EVD survivors and 403 close contacts (n=998) from Sierra Leone assessed via in-person survey between November 2021 and March 2022. The assessment included validated mental health screening tools (Patient Health Questionnaire-9, PTSD Checklist-5, Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test, Drug Abuse Screening Test-20) to indicate the presence/absence of disorder. The frequency of each disorder and factors associated with each disorder were assessed. FINDINGS: EVD-associated post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) was reported by 45.7% (n=257) of EVD survivors. Moreover, 3.9% (n=22) and 12.0% (n=67) of EVD survivors reported major depression (MD) and substance use, respectively; all mental health outcomes were higher than baseline rates in the region (PTSD: 6%-16%, MD: 1.1%, substance use: 2.2%). PTSD among EVD survivors was associated with acute EVD duration of ≥21 days (adjusted OR, AOR 2.24, 95% CI 1.16 to 4.43), 35-44 years of age (AOR 3.31, 95% CI 1.33 to 8.24; AOR 2.99, 95% CI 1.09 to 8.24) and residential mobility (AOR 4.16, 95% CI 2.35 to 7.35). CONCLUSIONS: Concerningly, the levels of mental health disorders among EVD survivors in Sierra Leone remained elevated 6-8 years after recovery. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Results can be used to inform policy efforts and target resources to address mental health in EVD survivors.


Subject(s)
Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Mental Health , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic , Survivors , Humans , Sierra Leone/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/psychology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Male , Female , Adult , Survivors/psychology , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/epidemiology , Adolescent , Mental Disorders/epidemiology
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