Analysis of risk factors related to chronic non-healing wound infection and the construction of a clinical prediction model.

This study is aimed to analyse the risk factors associated with chronic non-healing wound infections, establish a clinical prediction model, and validate its performance. Clinical data were retrospectively collected from 260 patients with chronic non-healing wounds treated in the plastic surgery ward of Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital between January 2022 and December 2023 who met the inclusion criteria. Risk factors were analysed, and a clinical prediction model was constructed using both single and multifactor logistic regression analyses to determine the factors associated with chronic non-healing wound infections. The model's discrimination and calibration were assessed via the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified several independent risk factors for chronic non-healing wound infection: long-term smoking (odds ratio [OR]: 4.122, 95% CI: 3.412-5.312, p < 0.05), history of diabetes (OR: 3.213, 95% CI: 2.867-4.521, p < 0.05), elevated C-reactive protein (OR: 2.981, 95% CI: 2.312-3.579, p < 0.05), elevated procalcitonin (OR: 2.253, 95% CI: 1.893-3.412, p < 0.05) and reduced albumin (OR: 1.892, 95% CI: 1.322-3.112, p < 0.05). The clinical prediction model's C-index was 0.762, with the corrected C-index from internal validation using the bootstrap method being 0.747. The ROC curve indicated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.762 (95% CI: 0.702-0.822). Both the AUC and C-indexes ranged between 0.7 and 0.9, suggesting moderate-to-good predictive accuracy. The calibration chart demonstrated a good fit between the model's calibration curve and the ideal curve. Long-term smoking, diabetes, elevated C-reactive protein, elevated procalcitonin and reduced albumin are confirmed as independent risk factors for bacterial infection in patients with chronic non-healing wounds. The clinical prediction model based on these factors shows robust performance and substantial predictive value.

Can Biomarkers Correctly Predict Ventilator-associated Pneumonia in Patients Treated With Targeted Temperature Management After Cardiac Arrest? An Exploratory Study of the Multicenter Randomized Antibiotic (ANTHARTIC) Study.

IMPORTANCE: Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) frequently occurs in patients with cardiac arrest. Diagnosis of VAP after cardiac arrest remains challenging, while the use of current biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) or procalcitonin (PCT) is debated. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate biomarkers' impact in helping VAP diagnosis after cardiac arrest. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a prospective ancillary study of the randomized, multicenter, double-blind placebo-controlled ANtibiotherapy during Therapeutic HypothermiA to pRevenT Infectious Complications (ANTHARTIC) trial evaluating the impact of antibiotic prophylaxis to prevent VAP in out-of-hospital patients with cardiac arrest secondary to shockable rhythm and treated with therapeutic hypothermia. An adjudication committee blindly evaluated VAP according to predefined clinical, radiologic, and microbiological criteria. All patients with available biomarker(s), sample(s), and consent approval were included. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main endpoint was to evaluate the ability of biomarkers to correctly diagnose and predict VAP within 48 hours after sampling. The secondary endpoint was to study the combination of two biomarkers in discriminating VAP. Blood samples were collected at baseline on day 3. Routine and exploratory panel of inflammatory biomarkers measurements were blindly performed. Analyses were adjusted on the randomization group. RESULTS: Among 161 patients of the ANTHARTIC trial with available biological sample(s), patients with VAP (n = 33) had higher body mass index and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, more unwitnessed cardiac arrest, more catecholamines, and experienced more prolonged therapeutic hypothermia duration than patients without VAP (n = 121). In univariate analyses, biomarkers significantly associated with VAP and showing an area under the curve (AUC) greater than 0.70 were CRP (AUC = 0.76), interleukin (IL) 17A and 17C (IL17C) (0.74), macrophage colony-stimulating factor 1 (0.73), PCT (0.72), and vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGF-A) (0.71). Multivariate analysis combining novel biomarkers revealed several pairs with p value of less than 0.001 and odds ratio greater than 1: VEGF-A + IL12 subunit beta (IL12B), Fms-related tyrosine kinase 3 ligands (Flt3L) + C-C chemokine 20 (CCL20), Flt3L + IL17A, Flt3L + IL6, STAM-binding protein (STAMBP) + CCL20, STAMBP + IL6, CCL20 + 4EBP1, CCL20 + caspase-8 (CASP8), IL6 + 4EBP1, and IL6 + CASP8. Best AUCs were observed for CRP + IL6 (0.79), CRP + CCL20 (0.78), CRP + IL17A, and CRP + IL17C. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Our exploratory study shows that specific biomarkers, especially CRP combined with IL6, could help to better diagnose or predict early VAP occurrence in cardiac arrest patients.

Establishment and Diagnostic Value of an Early Prediction Model for Acute Pancreatitis Complicated With Acute Kidney Injury.

OBJECTIVES: To establish an early prediction model for acute pancreatitis (AP) complicated with acute kidney injury (AKI) and evaluate its diagnostic value. METHOD: AP patients were recruited from the Emergency Department at Peking University People's Hospital in 2021 and stratified into AKI and control (no AKI) groups. Their clinical data were analyzed. The risk for AKI development was determined using logistic analyses to establish a risk prediction model, whose diagnostic value was analyzed using a receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in the basic renal function between the AKI (n = 79) and control (n = 179) groups. The increased triglyceride glucose index (odds ratio [OR], 2.613; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.324-5.158; P = 0.006), age (OR, 1.076; 95% CI, 1.016-1.140; P = 0.013), and procalcitonin (OR, 1.377; 95% CI, 1.096-1.730, P = 0.006) were associated with AKI development. A model was established for prediction of AKI (sensitivity 79.75%, specificity 96.65%). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.856 which was superior to the Ranson, Bedside Index for Severity in AP, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores (0.856 vs 0.691 vs 0.745 vs 0.705). CONCLUSIONS: The prediction model based on age, triglyceride glucose, and procalcitonin is valuable for the prediction of AP-related AKI.

The potential presence of infection may be indicated through non-invasive prediction of procalcitonin and C-reactive protein levels within the initial three days after cervical cerclage: a retrospective case-control study.

PURPOSE: To identify which non-invasive infection indicators could better predict post-cervical cerclage (CC) infections, and on which days after CC infection indicators should be closely monitored. METHODS: The retrospective, single-center study included 619 single-pregnancy patients from January 2021 to December 2022. Patients were categorized into infected and uninfected groups based on physicians' judgments of post-CC infections. Registered information included patient characteristics, cervical insufficiency history, gestational age at CC, surgical method (McDonald/Shirodkar), purpose of CC, mid-pregnancy miscarriage/preterm birth, infection history or risk factors, and infection indices on days 1, 3, 5, and 7 after CC. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to reduce patient characteristic bias. Statistical analysis of C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), percentage of neutrophil count (NEU_P), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and procalcitonin (PCT) in the infected group compared with the uninfected group was performed using chi-square tests and t-tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to further assess the diagnostic value of CRP, PCT, and CRP-PCT in combination. RESULTS: Among the 619 included patients, 206 patients were matched using PSM and subsequently assessed. PCT values on day 1 and day 3 after CC exhibited significant differences between the two groups in two statistical ways (P < 0.01, P < 0.05). The CRP levels on day 1 were significantly higher in the infected group compared to the uninfected group in two statistical ways (P < 0.05). On day 3, the mean CRP value was significantly elevated in the infected group compared to the uninfected group (P < 0.05). Analyses of IL-6, WBC, NEU, and NEU_P did not yield clinically significant results. The area under the ROC curves for CRP, PCT, and CRP-PCT on day 1 and day 3 were all below 0.7. In the preventive CC group, the AUC values of CRP and CRP-PCT obtained on d1 were found to be higher than 0.7, indicating moderate diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSION: For women after CC surgery, especially of preventive aim, increased serum CRP and PCT levels from post-CC day 1 to day 3 may signal a potential postoperative infection, warranting close monitoring.

Assessment value of interleukin-6, procalcitonin, and C-reactive protein early kinetics for initial antibiotic efficacy in patients with febrile neutropenia: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to investigate the early kinetics of interleukin 6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) on initial antibiotic efficacy in hematological disorder patients with febrile neutropenia (FN). METHODS: A total of 40 patients with 43 episodes of FN were enrolled and divided into initial antibiotic effective group (IAE group, n = 24) and initial antibiotic ineffective group (IAI group, n = 19). The levels of IL-6, PCT, and CRP before antibacterial treatment (T0), and 12 h (T1), 24 h (T2), 48 h (T3), and 72 h (T4) post-antibacterial treatment were determined, respectively. Furthermore, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate the clinical value of indicators. RESULTS: In IAE group, the IL-6 levels gradually decreased from T0 to T4, and the CRP levels significantly decreased at 48 to 72 h, whereas both IL-6 and CRP remained at high levels in the IAI group. The PCT levels in both groups increased at the early stage of anti-infection (T1-T2) and reached to peak at T1-T2 in effective group. ROC curve analysis identified IL-6 as a predictive biomarker for initial antibiotic efficacy at 12, 48, and 72 h after treatment, with the AUC of 0.698, 0.744, and 0.821, respectively. In addition, CRP demonstrated predictive ability of initial antibiotics against infection at 24, 48, and 72 h after therapy, with the AUC of 0.724, 0.741, and 0.797, respectively. ROC curve analysis of percentage changes demonstrated that IL-6 percentage change showed predictive ability of antibiotic efficacy at the early stage, and both the IL-6 and CRP percentage changes showed the predictive ability of antibiotic efficacy 48 or 72 h after antibiotics therapy. CONCLUSION: This study confirmed IL-6 and CRP levels, and the percentage change in IL-6 as the biomarkers for initial antibiotic efficacy prediction in hematological disorder patients with FN.

Prognostication of the development of septic complications in children with burn injuries.

OBJECTIVE: Aim: To determine the prognostic criteria for the development of septic complications in children with thermal injury. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Materials and Methods: A single-center retrospective-prospective cohort study included a retrospective analysis of 98 medical histories of children of different ages with severe burns who were treated from 2007 to 2017. A prospective study was conducted among children (n=63) from 1 to 5 years old, who received various degrees severity burn injury, according to an open comparative method in the period from 2018 to 2021. RESULTS: Results: Indicators of a high risk of developing sepsis were burns by flames of any etiology, damage severity index ≥75 units, total burn surface ≥25 %, deep burn area ≥ 5%. The threshold value of procalcitonin (PCT) ≥ 0.86 ng/ml on the 1st-3rd day and PCT > 0.51 ng/ml on the 7th day of burn disease, had a prognostic value for assessing the probability of sepsis. On the 1st day of hospitalization, the development of sepsis was predicted if the C-reactive protein (CRP) value was higher than 6.98 ng/ml, on the 3rd - the CRP level was above 7.43 ng/ml, on the 7th day - above 7.28 ng/ml. CONCLUSION: Conclusions: Based on the obtained data, we selected the criteria with the best prognostic characteristics, which allows us to predict and prevent the development of sepsis in the early stages of burn disease in children.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Serum Procalcitonin to Diagnose Sepsis in Advanced Solid Tumor Patients with Fever.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis of infection in advanced solid tumor patients can be challenging since signs and symptoms might be overlapping due to paraneoplastic condition. Delay diagnosis of existing infection can lead to more severe conditions and increased mortality. Procalcitonin (PCT) has been used to support the diagnosis of bacterial infection and sepsis. Unfortunately, PCT also increases in malignancy even without an infection. We investigated the diagnostic accuracy of PCT in advanced solid tumor patients with fever to diagnose sepsis. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in solid advanced tumor patients with fever patients who were admitted to Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospitals, Indonesia between June 2016 and April 2018. Sepsis was defined using 2001 SCCM/ESICM/ACCP/ATS/SIS International Sepsis Definitions Conference criteria. The diagnostic accuracy of PCT was determined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: A total of 194 subjects were enrolled in this study. 60.3% were female with a mean age of 49.47±12.87 years old. 143 patients (73.7%) with advanced solid tumors. Among this latter group, 39 patients (27%) were sepsis. The ROC curve showed that the levels of PCT for sepsis in advanced solid tumor patients with fever were in the area under the curve (AUC) 0.853 (95%CI 0.785 - 0.921). The Cut-off of PCT in advanced solid tumor patients with fever to classify as sepsis was 2.87 ng/mL, with a sensitivity of 79.5%, and a specificity of 79.8%. CONCLUSION: PCT has good diagnosis accuracy in advanced solid tumor patients with fever to classify as sepsis, however a higher cut-off compared to non-cancerous patients should be used.

Assessment of inflammatory biomarkers to identify surgical/death necrotizing enterocolitis in preterm infants without pneumoperitoneum.

BACKGROUND: Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a life-threatening disease that affects premature infants. However, the role of inflammatory biomarkers in identifying surgical/death NEC without pneumoperitoneum remains elusive. PURPOSE: We aimed to verify the value of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and the combination of white blood cell (WBC), absolute neutrophil count (ANC), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), PLR, C reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) in predicting the severity of NEC, and to construct a model to differ surgically NEC from non-surgically NEC. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on 191 premature infants with NEC. Based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 90 infants with Stage II and IIIA NEC were enrolled in this study, including surgical/death NEC (n = 38) and medical NEC (n = 52). The values of inflammatory biomarkers were collected within 24 h of onset. RESULTS: The univariate analysis revealed that the values of WBC (p = 0.040), ANC (p = 0.048), PLR (p = 0.009), CRP (p = 0.016) and PCT (p < 0.01) in surgical/death NEC cohort were significantly higher than medical NEC cohort. Binary multivariate logistic regression analysis indicates that ANC, PLR, CRP, and PCT are capable of distinguishing infants with surgical/death NEC, and the AUC of the regression equation was 0.79 (95% CI 0.64-0.89; sensitivity 0.63; specificity 0.88), suggesting the equation has a good discrimination. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE AND RESEARCH: Elevated PLR is associated with severe inflammation in surgical/death NEC patients. The prediction modelling of combination of ANC, PLR, CRP and PCT can differentiate surgical/death NEC from infants with medical NEC, which may improve risk awareness and facilitate effective communication between nurses and clinicians. However, multicentre research is needed to verify these findings for better clinical management of NEC.

The difference in core-surface temperature indicates the prognosis of heart failure patients.

Aim: To evaluate the difference between core temperature and surface temperature (ΔT) as an index for the prognosis of heart failure (HF). Patients & methods: Core temperature and surface temperature were measured in 253 patients with HF. The association of ΔT with prognostic indicators of HF was analyzed. Results: Patients with ΔT ≥2°C were more likely to have lower left ventricular ejection fraction and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher levels of troponin T, brain natriuretic peptide and procalcitonin, and high blood urea nitrogen/creatinine ratio. The risk of death increased by 32% for a 1°C increase in ΔT and was 4.36-times higher in the ΔT ≥2°C group than in the ΔT <2°C group. Conclusion: ΔT may be used to predict the prognosis of patients with HF.

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Analysis and Modelling of the Predictive Value of PCT, PLR and NLR for Ureteric Sepsis after Ureteral Stone Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyse the value of procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting postoperative ureteral stone complications of urogenic sepsis. The production of a clinical prediction model could provide additional direction to reduce the likelihood of postoperative urogenital sepsis. METHODS: The clinical data of 520 patients with ureteral stones who underwent surgical treatment from January 2022, to September 2023, in the hospital were retrospectively analysed. The patients were divided into urogenic sepsis group (n = 42) and non-urogenic sepsis group (n = 478) in accordance with the occurrence of urogenic sepsis in the postoperative period. The peripheral blood PCT, PLR and NLR levels were collected within 24 h postoperatively in the two groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the predictive value of PCT, PLR and NLR levels for postoperative urogenital sepsis in patients with ureteral stones. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that PCT (odds ratio (OR) = 4.25, 95% CI: 1.85-9.78), PLR (OR = 4.00, 95% CI: 1.78-9.05) and NLR (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.05-5.01) were risk factors for postoperative complication sepsis in patients with ureteral stones (p < 0.05). The ROC curves showed that the areas under the curve of PCT, PLR and NLR levels alone and in combination for predicting urogenic sepsis complications after emergency ureteral stone surgery were 0.683, 0.692, 0.611 and 0.799, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Urogenic sepsis leads to increased serum PCT, NLR and PLR levels in patients undergoing surgical treatment for ureteral stones. Physicians should pay close attention to these indices to provide further theoretical support for reducing postoperative urogenic sepsis.

Identifying the Probable Etiology of Acute Undifferentiated Fever through Inflammatory Markers.

BACKGROUND: Acute undifferentiated fever (AUF) is defined as any febrile illness with a duration of ≤14 days without evidence of localized infection. Most outpatient services and a significant inpatient load in India are contributed by AUF. COVID-19 has recently added to the existing list of common etiologies of AUF. While the rapid diagnostic test (RDT) kits, which are widely used for the detection of common etiologies of AUF, are unreliable, the rise of various inflammatory markers may help identify the probable etiology. This not only results in better diagnosis but also prepares the physician for close monitoring and pooling of resources. AIM: To identify the probable etiology of AUF through inflammatory markers. OBJECTIVE: To understand the clinical and biochemical parameters as possible predictors of adverse outcomes in AUF. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective observational study carried out in the Department of Medicine in a tertiary care hospital. The total duration of the study was 1 year. A total of 400 AUF patients [both outpatient department (OPD) and inpatient department (IPD)] fulfilling the eligibility criteria were taken up for the study after consent. Various inflammatory markers, namely erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, ferritin, and procalcitonin levels along with basic blood and biochemical tests were measured in all qualifying patients at their first visit. The level of rise of all the measured inflammatory markers was analyzed for clues toward identifying the etiology. Also, the possible predictors of adverse outcomes, as defined in the study, were analyzed. Outcome variables are described as mean ± standard deviation. All statistical calculations were done using computer programs Microsoft Excel 2007 (Microsoft Corporation, New York, United States of America) and SPSS (Statistical Product and Service Solutions; SPSS Inc., United States of America) version 21. RESULTS: The common etiologies in our study contributing to AUF were dengue (31.5%), COVID-19 (18.5%), enteric fever (12.7%), scrub typhus (9.0%), and malaria (6.0%). In 76 cases (19%), the fever was undiagnosed. Enteric fever had highly elevated CRP (>30 mg/L) and moderately elevated D-dimer, ferritin, and procalcitonin. Both nonsevere dengue and COVID-19 had highly elevated D-dimer (>750 ng/mL), but in nonsevere dengue, CRP, ferritin, and procalcitonin were only mildly elevated, whereas in COVID-19, CRP and ferritin were moderately elevated with mildly elevated procalcitonin. Scrub typhus had highly elevated CRP and ferritin [more than four times the upper limit of normal (ULN)], but D-dimer and procalcitonin were only mildly elevated. The mean serum procalcitonin level in enteric fever is significantly higher than the other etiologies of AUF. Our study was correctly able to identify 90.8% of nonsevere dengue, 87.8% of typhoid, 83.6% of COVID-19, and 91.4% of scrub typhus patients based on the inflammatory markers level. Obesity, diabetes (both types 1 and 2), hypertension, coronary artery disease (CAD), malignancy, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and chronic lung disease were significantly associated with adverse outcomes. A significant delay in visiting the hospital after the onset of fever was found in all etiologies of AUF, which had adverse outcomes. CONCLUSION: Our study is one of the few studies comparing the rise in the level of various inflammatory markers among the common etiologies of AUF. The novelty of the study is that it aids in identifying the probable etiology of AUF with good confidence through the levels of inflammatory markers. Also, our study highlights the high-risk factors associated with adverse outcomes in AUF.

Prevalence and predictors of antibiotic prescription among patients hospitalized with viral lower respiratory tract infections in Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial overprescription is common for lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI), as viral and bacterial infections generally present with similar clinical features. Overprescription is associated with downstream antimicrobial resistance. This study aims to identify the prevalence and predictors of antibiotic prescription among patients hospitalized with viral LRTI. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted among patients aged ≥1 year hospitalized with viral LRTI in a tertiary care hospital in Southern Province, Sri Lanka from 2018-2021. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were recorded. Nasopharyngeal and blood samples were collected for multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing for 21 respiratory pathogens and procalcitonin (PCT) detection, respectively. Demographic and clinical features associated with antibiotic prescription were identified using Chi Square and t-tests; significant variables (p<0.05) were further included in multivariable logistic regression models. The potential impact of biomarker testing on antibiotic prescription was simulated using standard c-reactive protein (CRP) and PCT cut-offs. RESULTS: Of 1217 patients enrolled, 438 (36.0%) had ≥1 respiratory virus detected, with 48.4% of these patients being male and 30.8% children. Influenza A (39.3%) and human rhinovirus/ enterovirus (28.3%) were most commonly detected. A total of 114 (84.4%) children and 266 (87.8%) adults with respiratory viruses were treated with antibiotics. Among children, neutrophil percentage (median 63.6% vs 47.6%, p = 0.04) was positively associated with antibiotic prescription. Among adults, headache (60.6% vs 35.1%, p = 0.003), crepitations/crackles (55.3% vs 21.6%, p<0.001), rhonchi/wheezing (42.9% vs 18.9%, p = 0.005), and chest x-ray opacities (27.4% vs 8.1%, p = 0.01) were associated with antibiotic prescription. Access to CRP and procalcitonin test results could have potentially decreased inappropriate antibiotic prescription in this study by 89.5% and 83.3%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: High proportions of viral detection and antibiotic prescription were observed among a large inpatient cohort with LRTI. Increased access to point-of-care biomarker testing may improve antimicrobial prescription.

Procalcitonin and C-reactive protein as early predictors in patients at high risk of colorectal anastomotic leakage.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the diagnostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) for anastomotic leakage (AL) following colorectal surgery. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data for patients who underwent colorectal surgery at our hospital between November 2019 and December 2023. CRP and PCT were measured postoperatively to compare patients with/without AL, and changes were compared between low- and high-risk groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the diagnostic accuracy of CRP and PCT to identify AL in high-risk patients. RESULTS: Mean CRP was 142.53 mg/L and 189.57 mg/L in the low- and high-risk groups, respectively, on postoperative day (POD)3. On POD2, mean PCT was 2.75 ng/mL and 8.16 ng/mL in low- and high-risk patients, respectively; values on POD3 were 3.53 ng/mL and 14.86 ng/mL, respectively. The areas under the curve (AUC) for CRP and PCT on POD3 were 0.71 and 0.78, respectively (CRP cut-off: 235.64 mg/L; sensitivity: 96%; specificity: 89.42% vs PCT cut-off: 3.94 ng/mL; sensitivity: 86%; specificity: 93.56%; AUC: 0.78). The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity for the combined diagnostic ability of CRP and PCT on POD3 were 0.92, 90%, and 100%, respectively (cut-off: 0.44). CONCLUSIONS: Combining PCT and CRP on POD3 enhances the diagnostic accuracy for AL.

[Related factors of euthyroid sick syndrome in patients with sepsis].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of euthyroid sick syndrome (ESS) in sepsis patients and to explore its influencing factors. METHODS: In the study, 365 patients diagnosed with sepsis in the emergency critical care department of Shanghai First People's Hospital from January 2017 to January 2023 were retrospectively enrolled. The patients were divided into ESS and non-ESS groups based on whether the patients were complicated with ESS.Baseline variables and relevant clinical data of the enrolled patients were collected. The prevalence of ESS in sepsis patients and its influencing factors were evaluated by multivariate Logistic regression analysis, and the 30-day survival rates were compared between the two groups. The optimal cutoff value for free triiodothyronine (FT3) was explored to predict death in the patients with sepsis. RESULTS: There were 103 sepsis patients with ESS, accounting for 28.2% of the total cases. The severity of sepsis in ESS group was significantly higher than that in non-ESS group (P < 0.05). The acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ)score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score of ESS group were significantly higher than those of non-ESS group (P < 0.05). C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), serum amyloid A (SAA) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in ESS group were higher than those in non-ESS group. total cholesterol(TC)and high-density liptein cholesterol(HDL-C)in ESS group were lower than those in non-ESS group, and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that PCT, IL-6, CRP, SAA and activated partial thromboplatin time (APTT) were independent risk factors for ESS in the sepsis patients (OR values were 1.105, 1.006, 1.005, 1.009 and 1.033, respectively; 95% CI were 1.044-1.170, 1.001-1.012, 1.001-1.009, 1.005-1.014, 1.004-1.062, respectively, P < 0.05).The 30-day survival rate in ESS group was significantly lower than that in non-ESS group, the Long-rank chi-square test value was 16.611, and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05).The receiver operation characteristic area under the curve (AUCROC)of FT3 predicted death in the patients with sepsis was 0.924 (95% CI 0.894-0.954). The serum FT3 cutoff point was 3.705 pmol/L, the specificity was 0.868, and the sensitivity was 0.950. CONCLUSION: In this study, the incidence of ESS in sepsis patients was determined to be 28.2% with poor prognosis. The results showed that PCT, IL-6, CRP, SAA and APTT were independent risk factors for ESS in sepsis patients, while HDL-C was a protective factor (P < 0.05). FT3 is a novel potential biomarker for predicting death in patients with sepsis.

A 29-mRNA host-response classifier identifies bacterial infections following liver transplantation - a pilot study.

PURPOSE: Infections are common complications in patients following liver transplantation (LTX). The early diagnosis and prognosis of these infections is an unmet medical need even when using routine biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT). Therefore, new approaches are necessary. METHODS: In a prospective, observational pilot study, we monitored 30 consecutive patients daily between days 0 and 13 following LTX using the 29-mRNA host classifier IMX-BVN-3b that determine the likelihood of bacterial infections and viral infections. True infection status was determined using clinical adjudication. Results were compared to the accuracy of CRP and PCT for patients with and without bacterial infection due to clinical adjudication. RESULTS: Clinical adjudication confirmed bacterial infections in 10 and fungal infections in 2 patients. 20 patients stayed non-infected until day 13 post-LTX. IMX-BVN-3b bacterial scores were increased directly following LTX and decreased until day four in all patients. Bacterial IMX-BVN-3b scores detected bacterial infections in 9 out of 10 patients. PCT concentrations did not differ between patients with or without bacterial, whereas CRP was elevated in all patients with significantly higher levels in patients with bacterial infections. CONCLUSION: The 29-mRNA host classifier IMX-BVN-3b identified bacterial infections in post-LTX patients and did so earlier than routine biomarkers. While our pilot study holds promise future studies will determine whether these classifiers may help to identify post-LTX infections earlier and improve patient management. CLINICAL TRIAL NOTATION: German Clinical Trials Register: DRKS00023236, Registered 07 October 2020, https://drks.de/search/en/trial/DRKS00023236.

Random forest differentiation of Escherichia coli in elderly sepsis using biomarkers and infectious sites.

This study addresses the challenge of accurately diagnosing sepsis subtypes in elderly patients, particularly distinguishing between Escherichia coli (E. coli) and non-E. coli infections. Utilizing machine learning, we conducted a retrospective analysis of 119 elderly sepsis patients, employing a random forest model to evaluate clinical biomarkers and infection sites. The model demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy, with an overall accuracy of 87.5%, and impressive precision and recall rates of 93.3% and 87.5%, respectively. It identified infection sites, platelet distribution width, reduced platelet count, and procalcitonin levels as key predictors. The model achieved an F1 Score of 90.3% and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 88.0%, effectively differentiating between sepsis subtypes. Similarly, logistic regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis underscored the significance of infectious sites. This methodology shows promise for enhancing elderly sepsis diagnosis and contributing to the advancement of precision medicine in the field of infectious diseases.

The long Pentraxin PTX3 serves as an early predictive biomarker of co-infections in COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 clinical course is highly variable and secondary infections contribute to COVID-19 complexity. Early detection of secondary infections is clinically relevant for patient outcome. Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are the most used biomarkers of infections. Pentraxin 3 (PTX3) is an acute phase protein with promising performance as early biomarker in infections. In patients with COVID-19, PTX3 plasma concentrations at hospital admission are independent predictor of poor outcome. In this study, we assessed whether PTX3 contributes to early identification of co-infections during the course of COVID-19. METHODS: We analyzed PTX3 levels in patients affected by COVID-19 with (n = 101) or without (n = 179) community or hospital-acquired fungal or bacterial secondary infections (CAIs or HAIs). FINDINGS: PTX3 plasma concentrations at diagnosis of CAI or HAI were significantly higher than those in patients without secondary infections. Compared to PCT and CRP, the increase of PTX3 plasma levels was associated with the highest hazard ratio for CAIs and HAIs (aHR 11.68 and 24.90). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, PTX3 was also the most significant predictor of 28-days mortality or intensive care unit admission of patients with potential co-infections, faring more pronounced than CRP and PCT. INTERPRETATION: PTX3 is a promising predictive biomarker for early identification and risk stratification of patients with COVID-19 and co-infections. FUNDING: Dolce & Gabbana fashion house donation; Ministero della Salute for COVID-19; EU funding within the MUR PNRR Extended Partnership initiative on Emerging Infectious Diseases (Project no. PE00000007, INF-ACT) and MUR PNRR Italian network of excellence for advanced diagnosis (Project no. PNC-E3-2022-23683266 PNC-HLS-DA); EU MSCA (project CORVOS 860044).

Heparin-binding protein as a biomarker for the diagnosis of sepsis in the intensive care unit: a retrospective cross-sectional study in China.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to investigate the diagnostic value of heparin-binding protein (HBP) in sepsis and develop a sepsis diagnostic model incorporating HBP with key biomarkers and disease-related scores for rapid, and accurate diagnosis of sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU). DESIGN: Clinical retrospective cross-sectional study. SETTING: A comprehensive teaching tertiary hospital in China. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients (aged ≥18 years) who underwent HBP testing or whose blood samples were collected when admitted to the ICU. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: HBP, C reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), white blood cell count (WBC), interleukin-6 (IL-6), lactate (LAC), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were recorded. RESULTS: Between March 2019 and December 2021, 326 patients were enrolled in this study. The patients were categorised into a non-infection group (control group), infection group, sepsis group and septic shock group based on the final diagnosis. The HBP levels in the sepsis group and septic shock group were 45.7 and 69.0 ng/mL, respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the control group (18.0 ng/mL) and infection group (24.0 ng/mL) (p<0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) value of HBP for diagnosing sepsis was 0.733, which was lower than those corresponding to PCT, CRP and SOFA but higher than those of IL-6, LAC and APACHE II. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified HBP, PCT, CRP, IL-6 and SOFA as valuable indicators for diagnosing sepsis. A sepsis diagnostic model was constructed based on these indicators, with an AUC of 0.901, a sensitivity of 79.7% and a specificity of 86.9%. CONCLUSIONS: HBP could serve as a biomarker for the diagnosis of sepsis in the ICU. Compared with single indicators, the sepsis diagnostic model constructed using HBP, PCT, CRP, IL-6 and SOFA further enhanced the diagnostic performance of sepsis.

Dual-Ligand Ruthenium Coordination Polymer-Derived Self-Enhanced Electrochemiluminescent Emitters for Sensitive Detection of Procalcitonin.

Ru-based electrochemiluminescence (ECL) coordination polymers are widely employed for bioanalysis and medical diagnosis. However, commonly used Ru-based coordination polymers face the limitation of low efficiency due to the long distance between the ECL reagent and the coreactant dispersed in detecting solution. Herein, we report a dual-ligand self-enhanced ECL coordination polymer, composed of tris(4,4'-dicarboxylic acid-2,2'-bipyridyl) ruthenium(II) dichloride (Ru(dcbpy)32+) as ECL reactant ligand and ethylenediamine (EDA) as corresponding coreactant ligand into Zn2+ metal node, termed Zn-Ru-EDA. Zn-Ru-EDA shows excellent ECL performance which is attributed to the effective intramolecular electron transport between the two ligands. Furthermore, the dual-ligand polymer allows an anodic low excitation potential (+1.09 V) luminescence. The shift in the energy level of the highest occupied molecular orbital (HOMO) upward after the synthesis of the Zn-Ru-EDA has resulted in a reduced excitation potential. The low excitation potential reduced biomolecular damage and the destruction of the modified electrodes. The ECL biosensor has been constructed using Zn-Ru-EDA with high ECL efficiency for the ultrasensitive detection of a bacterial infection and sepsis biomarker, procalcitonin (PCT), in the range from 1.00 × 10-6 to 1.00 × 10 ng·mL-1 with outstanding selectivity, and the detection limit was as low as 0.47 fg·mL-1. Collectively, the dual-ligand-based self-enhanced polymer may provide an ideal strategy for high ECL efficiency improvement as well as designing new self-enhanced multiple-ligand-based coordination in sensitive biomolecular detection for early disease diagnostics.

The value of IL-6, PCT, qSOFA, NEWS, and SIRS to predict septic shock after Percutaneous nephrolithotomy.

BACKGROUND: There are numerous methods available for predicting sepsis following Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy. This study aims to compare the predictive value of Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SISR), National Early Warning Score (NEWS), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and procalcitonin (PCT) for septicemia. METHODS: Patients who underwent percutaneous nephrolithotomy were included in the study and divided into a control group and a septic shock group. The effectiveness of qSOFA, SIRS, NEWS, Interleukin-6, and Procalcitonin was assessed, with Receiver Operating Characteristic curves and Area Under the Curve used to compare the predictive accuracy of these four indicators. RESULTS: Among the 401 patients, 16 cases (3.99%) developed septic shock. Females, elderly individuals, and patients with positive urine culture and positive nitrite in urine were found to be more susceptible to septic shock. PCT, IL-6, SIRS, NEWS, qSOFA, and surgical time were identified as independent risk factors for septic shock. The cutoff values are as follows: qSOFA score > 0.50, SIRS score > 2.50, NEWS score > 2.50, and IL-6 > 264.00 pg/ml. Among the 29 patients identified by IL-6 as having sepsis, 16 were confirmed to have developed sepsis. The qSOFA identified 63 septicemia cases, with 16 confirmed to have developed septicemia; NEWS identified 122 septicemia cases, of which 14 cases actually developed septicemia; SIRS identified 128 septicemia patients, with 16 confirmed to have developed septicemia. In terms of predictive ability, IL-6 (AUC 0.993, 95% CI 0.985 ~ 1) demonstrated a higher predictive accuracy compared to qSOFA (AUC 0.952, 95% CI 0.928 ~ 0.977), NEWS (AUC 0.824, 95% CI 0.720 ~ 0.929) and SIRS (AUC 0.928, 95% CI 0.888 ~ 0.969). CONCLUSIONS: IL-6 has higher accuracy in predicting septic shock after PCNL compared to qSOFA, SIRS, and NEWS.