Uncovering wastewater treatment plants as possible sources of legionellosis clusters through spatial statistics approach and environmental analysis.

Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) are suspected reservoirs of Legionella pneumophila (Lp). The required aeration and mixing steps lead to the emission and dispersion of bioaerosols potentially harboring Lp. The aim of the project is to evaluate municipal WWTPs as a possible source of legionellosis through the statistical analysis of case clusters. A space-time scanning statistical method was implemented in SaTScan software to identify and analyze WWTPs located within and close to spatiotemporal clusters of legionellosis detected in Quebec between 2016 and 2020. In parallel, WWTPs were ranked according to their pollutant load, flow rate and treatment type. These parameters were used to evaluate the WWTP susceptibility to generate and disperse bioaerosols. Results show that 37 of the 874 WWTPs are located inside a legionellosis cluster study zone, including six of the 40 WWTPs ranked most susceptible. In addition, two susceptible WWTPs located within an extended area of 2.5 km from the study zone (2.5-km buffer) were included, for a total of 39 WWTPs. The selected 39 WWTPs were further studied to document proximity of population, dominant wind direction, and surrounding water quality. Samples collected from the influent and the effluent of six selected WWTPs revealed the presence of Legionella spp. in 92.3% of the samples. Lp and Lp serogroupg 1 (Lp sg1) were detected below the limit of quantification in 69% and 46% of the samples, respectively. The presence of Legionella in wastewater and the novel statistical approach presented here provides information to the public health authorities regarding the investigation of WWTPs as a possible source of Legionella exposure, sporadic cases, and clusters of legionellosis.

Varroa destructor and deformed wing virus interaction increases incidence of winter mortality in honey bee colonies.

Winter mortality of honey bee colonies represents a major source of economic loss for the beekeeping industry. The objectives of this prospective study were to estimate the incidence risk of winter colony mortality in southwestern Quebec, Canada and to evaluate and quantify the impact of the associated risk factors. A total of 242 colonies from 31 apiaries was selected for sampling in August 2017. The presence of Varroa destructor, Vairimorpha (Nosema) spp., Melissococcus plutonius, deformed wing virus (DWV), and viruses of the acute-Kashmir-Israeli complex (AKI complex) was investigated in each colony. Management practices of the various colonies were obtained from a questionnaire. The incidence risk of colony mortality during the winter of 2017-2018 was estimated to be 26.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 15.4 to 40.3]. In logistic regression modeling of winter mortality in colonies, an interaction was discovered between V. destructor and DWV; the detection of ≥ 1 V. destructor mites per 100 bees was associated with higher odds of mortality (3.46, 95% CI: 1.35 to 8.90) compared to colonies with < 1 mite per 100 bees, but only in DWV-positive colonies. There were more colony losses in apiaries from beekeepers owning 1 to 5 colonies than in apiaries from beekeepers owning over 100 colonies, which suggests that beekeeper experience and/or type of management are important contributors to winter colony mortality. Assuming a causal relationship, the results of this study suggest that up to 9% of all colony mortalities in the population could have been prevented by reducing the level of V. destructor to < 1 mite per 100 bees in all colonies.

La mortalité hivernale des colonies d'abeilles est une cause importante de pertes économiques en apiculture. Cette étude prospective visait à estimer le risque d'incidence de mortalité hivernale des colonies d'abeilles et les facteurs de risque associés dans le sud-ouest du Québec (Canada). Au total, 242 colonies provenant de 31 ruches ont été sélectionnées en août 2017. La présence de Varroa destructor, de Vairimorpha (Nosema) spp., de Melissococcus plutonius, du virus des ailes déformées (DWV) et des virus du complexe AKI ont été évalués. Les pratiques de régie ont été obtenues selon un questionnaire. Le risque de mortalité des colonies à l'hiver 2017­2018 a été estimé à 26,5 % (95 % CI : 15,4 à 40,3). Dans un modèle de régression logistique, la détection de ≥ 1 mite de V. destructor par 100 abeilles était associée à des cotes plus élevées de mortalité (3,46, 95 % CI : 1,35 à 8,90) comparativement aux colonies avec < 1 mite par 100 abeilles, mais seulement pour les colonies positives au DWV. Les ruchers d'apiculteurs possédant entre 1 et 5 colonies présentaient une mortalité plus élevée comparativement à ceux d'apiculteurs possédant plus de 100 colonies, suggérant une influence de l'expérience ou du type de régie. En assumant une relation causale, les résultats de cette étude suggèrent que jusqu'à 9 % de toutes les mortalités hivernales observées dans la population auraient pu être prévenues en réduisant le niveau d'infestation par V. destructor à moins d'une mite per 100 abeilles dans toutes les colonies.(Traduit par les auteurs).

[Domestic violence among Quebec women during the health crisis: Trends and risk factors]. / La violence conjugale chez les femmes québécoises durant la crise sanitaire : évolution et facteurs de risque.

This article examines the evolution of domestic violence (DV) among Quebec women during the Covid-19 pandemic and the factors associated with this phenomenon. Based on the literature, we observed that DV increased significantly in Quebec during the health crisis. Furthermore, it appears that job loss, which affected more women than men, increased social isolation, deterioration of the mental health of spouses, increased alcohol and cannabis consumption, and difficulties in reconciling work and family life are the factors that contribute most to the increase in DV in Quebec during this period.

Prevalence and geographic distribution of Echinococcus genus in wild canids in southern Québec, Canada.

Echinococcus spp. is an emerging zoonotic parasite of high concern. In Canada, an increase in the number of human and animal cases diagnosed has been reported, but information regarding the parasite's distribution in wildlife reservoir remains limited. A cross-sectional study was conducted to estimate the prevalence of wild canids infected with Echinococcus spp. and Echinococcus multilocularis in areas surrounding populated zones in Québec (Canada); to investigate the presence of areas at higher risk of infection; to evaluate potential risk factors of the infection; and as a secondary objective, to compare coproscopy and RT-PCR diagnostic tests for Taenia spp. and Echinococcus identification. From October 2020 to March 2021, fecal samples were collected from 423 coyotes (Canis latrans) and 284 red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) trapped in 12 administrative regions. Real-time PCR for molecular detection of genus Echinococcus spp. and species-specific Echinococcus multilocularis were performed. A total of 38 positive cases of Echinococcus spp., of which 25 were identified as E. multilocularis, were detected. Two high-risk areas of infection were identified. The prevalence of Echinococcus spp. was 22.7% (95% CI 11.5-37.8%) in the Montérégie centered high-risk area, 26.5% (95% CI 12.9-44.4%) in the Bas-St-Laurent high-risk area, and 3.0% (95%CI 1.8-4.7%) outside those areas. For E. multilocularis, a prevalence of 20.5% (95% CI 9.8-35.3%) was estimated in the high-risk area centered in Montérégie compared to 2.4% (95% CI 1.4-3.9%) outside. Logistic regression did not show any association of infection status with species, sex, or geolocation of capture (p > 0.05). This study shows the circulation of Echinococcus in a wildlife cycle in 9/12 administrative regions of Québec.

Surveillance of Ancylostoma caninum in naturally infected dogs in Quebec, Canada, and assessment of benzimidazole anthelmintics reveal a variable efficacy with the presence of a resistant isolate in imported dogs.

Ancylostoma caninum is a widely prevalent parasitic nematode in dogs across the world. There has been a notable increase in reports of anthelmintic resistance in A. caninum within the United States of America in recent years, which has led us to investigate the potential of this scenario in Canada. The study objectives were to assess the prevalence of A. caninum in two different groups, including a colony of rescued dogs in Canada and three imported Greyhound dogs from USA, and to evaluate the efficacy of two benzimidazole (BZ) anthelmintics against A. caninum, complemented with a molecular genetic analysis adapted to low prevalence. Fecal samples were collected at pre- and post-treatment with fenbendazole for the native shelters-origin group, and a combination of anthelmintic formulations, including the pro-BZ febantel for the USA-origin group. The coprology analyses found several genera of internal parasites. Canine ancylostomiasis was the most prevalent parasitosis with 30.77% in the native group and 100% in the USA group, but with overall low average of A. caninum eggs per gram. Through the fecal egg count reduction test (FECRT), applying a cut-off at 90% as baseline of egg reduction for successful efficacy, BZ showed variable efficacy. Furthermore, molecular analysis confirmed the presence of A. caninum in both groups of dogs and found differences in the genetics linked to BZ resistance on the A. caninum ß-tubulin isotype 1 gene. In the isolate from the native group, both codons 167 and 200 were homozygous without the presence of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP). In contrast, the selected isolate from the USA group, showed a homozygous allele at position 200 and a heterozygous SNP at position 167. The latter was congruent with the low efficacy in FECRT and agrees with the recent findings of USA A. caninum isolate resistant phenotype to the BZ anthelmintics. The limitations of the study include an overall low eggs-per-gram in both canine groups, and the shortage of additional fecal samples from the USA group, restraining the molecular analysis only to one out of the three Greyhounds. This study provided some insights on the efficacy of BZs against A. caninum and revealed the presence of BZ resistant isolates in imported dogs in Quebec, Canada. All this information should be considered, for choosing the best strategy in the control of A. caninum using anthelmintic drugs.

Development of a decision support tool to compare diagnostic strategies for establishing the herd status for infectious diseases: An example with Salmonella Dublin infection in dairies.

The diagnosis of infectious diseases at herd level can be challenging as different stakeholders can have conflicting priorities. The current study proposes a "proof of concept" of an approach that considers a reasonable number of criteria to rank plausible diagnostic strategies using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods. The example of Salmonella Dublin diagnostic in Québec dairy herds is presented according to two epidemiological contexts: (i) in herds with no history of S. Dublin infection and absence of clinical signs, (ii) in herds with a previous history of infection, but absence of clinical signs at the moment of testing. Multiple multiparty exchanges were conducted to determine: 1) stakeholders' groups; 2) the decision problem; 3) solutions to the problem (options) or diagnostic strategies to be ordered; 4) criteria and indicators; 5) criteria weights; 6) the construction of a performance matrix for each option; 7) the multi-criteria analyses using the visual preference ranking organization method for enrichment of evaluations approach; 8) the sensitivity analyses, and 9) the final decision. A total of nine people from four Québec's organizations (the dairy producers provincial association along with the DHI company, the ministry of agriculture, the association of veterinary practitioners, and experts in epidemiology) composed the MCDA team. The decision problem was "What is the optimal diagnostic strategy for establishing the status of a dairy herd for S. Dublin infection when there are no clinical signs of infection?". Fourteen diagnostic strategies composed of the three following parameters were considered: 1) biological samples (bulk tank milk or blood from 10 heifers aged over three months); 2) sampling frequencies (one to three samples collection visits); 3) case definitions to conclude to a positive status using imperfect milk- or blood-ELISA tests. The top-ranking diagnostic strategy was the same in the two contexts: testing the bulk tank milk and the blood samples, all samples collected during one visit and the herd being assigned a S. Dublin positive status if one sample is ELISA-positive. The final decision favored the top-ranking option for both contexts. This MCDA approach and its application to S. Dublin infection in dairy herds allowed a consensual, rational, and transparent ranking of feasible diagnostic strategies while taking into account the diagnostic tests accuracy, socio-economic, logistic, and perception considerations of the key actors in the dairy industry. This promising tool can be applied to other infectious diseases that lack a well-established diagnostic procedure to define a herd status.

Cannabis use, mental health, and problematic Internet use in Quebec: A study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Problematic Internet use is characterized by excessive use of online platforms that can result in social isolation, family problems, psychological distress, and even suicide. Problematic Internet use has been associated with cannabis use disorder, however knowledge on the adult population remains limited. In Quebec, cannabis use has significatively increased since 2018, and it is associated with various risks in public safety, public health, and mental health. This study aims to identify factors associated with problematic Internet use among adult cannabis users and to better understand their experiences. METHOD: This project is a mixed explanatory sequential study consisting of two phases. Phase 1 (n = 1500) will be a cross-sectional correlational study using probability sampling to examine variables that predispose individuals to problematic Internet use, characteristics associated with cannabis use, Internet use, and the mental health profile of adult cannabis users in Quebec. Descriptive analyses and regression models will be used to determine the relationship between cannabis use and Internet use. Phase 2 (n = 45) will be a descriptive qualitative study in the form of semi-structured interviews aimed at better understanding the experience and background of cannabis users with probable problematic Internet use. DISCUSSION: The results of this study will support the development of public policies and interventions for the targeted population, by formulating courses of action that contribute to the prevention and reduction of harms associated with cannabis use and problematic Internet use. Furthermore, an integrated knowledge mobilization plan will aid in the large-scale dissemination of information that can result useful to decision-makers, practitioners, members of the scientific community, and the general population regarding the use of cannabis and the Internet.

Identification and Management of Pelvic Fractures in Prehospital and Emergency Department Settings.

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to describe the characteristics of patients with a pelvic fracture treated at a level 1 trauma center, the proportion of prehospital undertriage and the use of pelvic circumferential compression device (PCCD). METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study. Prehospital and inhospital medical records of adults (≥16 y old) with a pelvic fracture who were treated at Hopital de l'Enfant-Jesus-CHU de Québec (Quebec City, Canada), a university-affiliated level 1 trauma center, between September 01, 2017 and September 01, 2021 were reviewed. Isolated hip or pubic ramus fracture were excluded. Data are presented using proportions and means with standard deviations. RESULTS: A total of 228 patients were included (males: 62.3%; mean age: 54.6 [standard deviation 21.1]). Motor vehicle collision (47.4%) was the main mechanism of injury followed by high-level fall (21.5%). Approximately a third (34.2%) needed at least one blood transfusion. Compared to those admitted directly, transferred patients were more likely to be male (73.0% versus 51.3%, P < 0.001) and to have a surgical procedure performed at the trauma center (71.3% versus 46.9%, P < 0.001). The proportion of prehospital undertriage was 22.6%. Overall, 17.1% had an open-book fracture and would have potentially benefited from a prehospital PCCD. Forty-six transferred patients had a PCCD applied at the referral hospital of which 26.1% needed adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: Pelvic fractures are challenging to identify in the prehospital environment and are associated with a high undertriage of 22.6%. Reducing undertriage and optimizing the use of PCCD are key opportunities to improve care of patients with a pelvic fracture.

Predicting the Population Risk of Suicide Using Routinely Collected Health Administrative Data in Quebec, Canada: Model-Based Synthetic Estimation Study.

BACKGROUND: Suicide is a significant public health issue. Many risk prediction tools have been developed to estimate an individual's risk of suicide. Risk prediction models can go beyond individual risk assessment; one important application of risk prediction models is population health planning. Suicide is a result of the interaction among the risk and protective factors at the individual, health care system, and community levels. Thus, policy and decision makers can play an important role in suicide prevention. However, few prediction models for the population risk of suicide have been developed. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop and validate prediction models for the population risk of suicide using health administrative data, considering individual-, health system-, and community-level predictors. METHODS: We used a case-control study design to develop sex-specific risk prediction models for suicide, using the health administrative data in Quebec, Canada. The training data included all suicide cases (n=8899) that occurred from January 1, 2002, to December 31, 2010. The control group was a 1% random sample of living individuals in each year between January 1, 2002, and December 31, 2010 (n=645,590). Logistic regression was used to develop the prediction models based on individual-, health care system-, and community-level predictors. The developed model was converted into synthetic estimation models, which concerted the individual-level predictors into community-level predictors. The synthetic estimation models were directly applied to the validation data from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2019. We assessed the performance of the synthetic estimation models with four indicators: the agreement between predicted and observed proportions of suicide, mean average error, root mean square error, and the proportion of correctly identified high-risk regions. RESULTS: The sex-specific models based on individual data had good discrimination (male model: C=0.79; female model: C=0.85) and calibration (Brier score for male model 0.01; Brier score for female model 0.005). With the regression-based synthetic models applied in the validation data, the absolute differences between the synthetic risk estimates and observed suicide risk ranged from 0% to 0.001%. The root mean square errors were under 0.2. The synthetic estimation model for males correctly predicted 4 of 5 high-risk regions in 8 years, and the model for females correctly predicted 4 of 5 high-risk regions in 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Using linked health administrative databases, this study demonstrated the feasibility and the validity of developing prediction models for the population risk of suicide, incorporating individual-, health system-, and community-level variables. Synthetic estimation models built on routinely collected health administrative data can accurately predict the population risk of suicide. This effort can be enhanced by timely access to other critical information at the population level.

Long-term outcomes of patients with toxic shock syndrome: A matched cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: We examined long-term outcomes of toxic shock syndrome. METHODS: We conducted a matched cohort study of 630 patients with toxic shock syndrome and 5009 healthy controls between 2006 and 2021 in Quebec, Canada. Outcomes included hospitalization for renal, cardiovascular, hepatic, and other morbidity during 15 years of follow-up. We estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the risk of these outcomes over time, comparing patients with toxic shock syndrome relative to matched controls. RESULTS: Compared with healthy controls, rehospitalization rates at 15 years were higher for men with toxic shock syndrome (52.0 vs 30.0 per 100) but not for women (38.7 vs 45.6 per 100). In men, toxic shock syndrome was associated with an elevated risk of renal (HR 17.43, 95% CI 6.35-47.82), cardiovascular (HR 2.57; 95% CI 1.52-4.34), and hepatic hospitalization (HR 19.83, 95% CI 4.72-83.34). In women, toxic shock syndrome was associated with renal hospitalization (HR 4.71, 95% CI 1.94-11.45). Streptococcal toxic shock was associated with a greater risk of rehospitalization than staphylococcal toxic shock. CONCLUSIONS: Toxic shock syndrome is associated with rehospitalization up to 15 years later, especially in men. These patients may benefit from continued follow-up to prevent long-term morbidity.

Estimating the heat-related mortality and morbidity burden in the province of Quebec, Canada.

BACKGROUND: As climate change increases the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events, there is an urgent need to quantify the heat-related health burden. However, most past studies have focussed on a single health outcome (mainly mortality) or on specific heatwaves, thus providing limited knowledge of the total pressure heat exerts on health services. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to quantify the heat-related mortality and morbidity burden for five different health outcomes including all-cause mortality, hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits, ambulance transports and calls to a health hotline, using the province of Quebec (Canada) as a case study. METHODS: A two-step statistical analysis was employed to estimate regional heat-health relationships using Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNM) and pooled estimates using a multivariate meta-regression. Heat burden was quantified by attributable fraction (AF) and attributable number (AN) for two temperature ranges: all heat (above the minimum mortality/morbidity temperature) and extreme heat (above the 95th percentile of temperature). RESULTS: Higher temperatures were associated with greater risk ratios for all health outcomes studied, but at different levels. Significant AF ranging from 2 to 3% for the all heat effect and 0.4-1.0% for extreme heat were found for all health outcomes, except for hospitalizations that had an AF of 0.1% for both heat exposures. The estimated burden of all heat (and extreme heat) every summer across the province was 470 (200) deaths, 225 (170) hospitalizations, 36 000 (6 200) ED visits, 7 200 (1 500) ambulance transports and 15 000 (3 300) calls to a health hotline, all figures significant. DISCUSSION: This new knowledge on the total heat load will help public health authorities to target appropriate actions to reduce its burden now and in the future. The proposed state-of-the-art framework can easily be applied to other regions also experiencing the adverse effects of extreme heat.

Patterns of Gestational Hypertension or Preeclampsia Across 2 Pregnancies in Relationship to Chronic Hypertension Development: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Gestational hypertension (GHTN) and preeclampsia are established risk indicators for chronic hypertension. While recurrence is associated with a greater risk, it is unclear whether there are differences in risk when these gestational complications occur for the first time in an earlier pregnancy versus first occurrence in a subsequent one. We hypothesized that the absence of recurrence reflects a transition toward a lower hypertension risk trajectory, whereas a new occurrence in a later pregnancy indicates a transition toward elevated risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed linked data in Quebec, Canada, from public health care insurance administrative databases and birth, stillbirth, and death registries. Our retrospective cohort study included mothers with 2 singleton deliveries between April 1990 and December 2012. The primary exposure was patterns of GHTN or preeclampsia across 2 pregnancies (GHTN/preeclampsia in neither, first only, second only, or both). The outcome was incident chronic hypertension. We performed an adjusted multivariable Cox regression analysis. Among 431 980 women with 2 singleton pregnancies, 27 755 developed hypertension during the follow-up period. Compared with those without GHTN/preeclampsia, those with GHTN/preeclampsia only in the first pregnancy had a 2.7-fold increase in hazards (95% CI, 2.6-2.8), those with GHTN/preeclampsia only in the second had a 4.9-fold increase (95% CI, 4.6-5.1), and those with GHTN/preeclampsia in both pregnancies experienced a 7.3-fold increase (95% CI, 6.9-7.6). Patterns and estimates were similar when we considered GHTN and preeclampsia separately. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of hypertension risk is associated with the number and sequence of GHTN/preeclampsia-affected pregnancies. Considering both allows more personalized risk estimates.

Care trajectories around a first dementia diagnosis in patients with serious mental illness.

AIM: To develop a typology of care trajectories (CTs) 1 year before and after a first dementia diagnosis in individuals aged ≥65 years, with prevalent schizophrenia or bipolar disorder. METHODS: This was a longitudinal, retrospective cohort study using health administrative data (1996-2016) from Quebec (Canada). We selected patients aged ≥65 years with an incident diagnosis of dementia between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2016, and a diagnosis of schizophrenia and/or or bipolar disorder. A CT typology was generated by a multidimensional state sequence analysis based on the "6 W" model of CTs. Three dimensions were considered: the care setting ("where"), the reason for consultation ("why") and the specialty of care providers ("which"). RESULTS: In total, 3868 patients were categorized into seven distinct types of CTs, with varying patterns of healthcare use and comorbidities. Healthcare use differed in terms of intensity, but also in its distribution around the diagnosis. For instance, whereas one group showed low healthcare use, healthcare use abruptly increased or decreased after the diagnosis in other groups, or was equally distributed. Other significant differences between CTs included mortality rates and use of long-term care after the diagnosis. Most patients (67%) received their first dementia diagnosis during hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Our innovative approach provides a unique insight into the complex healthcare patterns of people living with serious mental illness and dementia, and provides an avenue to support data-driven decision-making by highlighting fragility areas in allocating care resources. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 577-586.

Non-cardiac birth defects and long-term risk of cardiovascular hospitalisation.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart defects are at risk of developing cardiovascular disease. Our objective was to determine if non-cardiac birth defects are associated with the risk of cardiovascular hospitalisation. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal cohort study of 1 451 409 parous women in Quebec, Canada. We compared patients with cardiac and non-cardiac birth defects of the urinary, central nervous and other systems against patients without defects between 1989 and 2022. The main outcome was hospitalisation for coronary artery disease, ischaemic stroke and other cardiovascular outcomes during 33 years of follow-up. We computed cardiovascular hospitalisation rates and used Cox proportional hazards regression models to measure the association (HR; 95% CI) between non-cardiac defects and later risk of cardiovascular hospitalisation, adjusted for patient characteristics. RESULTS: Women with any birth defect had a higher rate of cardiovascular hospitalisation than women without defects (7.0 vs 3.3 per 1000 person-years). Non-cardiac defects overall were associated with 1.61 times the risk of cardiovascular hospitalisation over time, compared with no defect (95% CI 1.56 to 1.66). Isolated urinary (HR 3.93, 95% CI 3.65 to 4.23), central nervous system (HR 3.33, 95% CI 2.94 to 3.76) and digestive defects (HR 2.39, 95% CI 2.16 to 2.65) were associated with the greatest risk of cardiovascular hospitalisation. These anomalies were associated with cardiovascular hospitalisation whether they presented alone or clustered with other defects. Nevertheless, heart defects were associated with the greatest risk of cardiovascular hospitalisation (HR 10.30, 95% CI 9.86 to 10.75). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that both cardiac and non-cardiac birth defects are associated with an increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease among parous women.

Epidemiology of Pediatric Tumors in Quebec: A 17-Year Report of Cancer in Young People in the Canada Registry.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is the leading cause of disease-related death among children of more than 1 year of age. However, childhood cancer risk factors and etiology are yet to be fully understood. The goal of this study is to identify geographic variation among children and adolescents diagnosed with pediatric tumors between 2001 and 2018 in the province of Quebec. METHODS: We analyzed pediatric patients less than 15 years of age from the Cancer in Young People in Canada (CYP-C) surveillance system who were diagnosed between 2001 and 2018 with cancer in the province of Quebec. The age-standardized age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIR) per 100,000 person years were calculated for all childhood cancers by cancer subgroups, Quebec Health regions, and age groups. RESULTS: Overall, 3904 pediatric patients less than 15 years old were diagnosed with cancer in the province of Quebec in 2001-2018. The overall incidence rate (IR) in the province of Quebec was 16.14 (95%CL [15.56-16.73]) per 100,000 person years. For childhood cancers, regions that presented a higher AAIR were Chaudière-Appalaches and Capitale-Nationale with 18.2 and 17.5 per 100,000 person years, respectively. The incidence rates (IRs) in Chaudière-Appalaches (95% CI 1.0439-1.3532) and in Capitale-Nationale (95% CI 1.0124-1.2942) were statistically higher than the incidence in the province of Quebec (p = 0.0090 and p = 0.0310, respectively). When comparing the AAIR of the CNS tumor subgroup in Chaudière-Appalaches and in Capitale-Nationale, with the provincial average, we noticed a statistically higher incidence in Chaudière-Appalaches and a trend for Capitale-Nationale (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.0602, respectively). CONCLUSION: There is evidence of spatial clusters in Chaudière-Appalaches and Capitale-Nationale as areas for all childhood cancers. Further studies should be performed to investigate potential risk factors in these regions.

Incident Diabetes in Women With Patterns of Gestational Diabetes Occurrences Across 2 Pregnancies.

Importance: Gestational diabetes is a type 2 diabetes risk indicator, and recurrence further augments risk. In women with a single occurrence across 2 pregnancies, it is unclear whether first- vs second-pregnancy gestational diabetes differ in terms of risk. Objective: To compare the hazards of incident diabetes among those with gestational diabetes in the first, in the second, and in both pregnancies with women without gestational diabetes in either. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective cohort study with cohort inception from April 1, 1990, to December 31, 2012. Follow-up was April 1, 1990, to April 1, 2019. Participants were mothers with 2 singleton deliveries between April 1, 1990, and December 31, 2012, without diabetes before or between pregnancies, who were listed in public health care insurance administrative databases and birth, stillbirth, and death registries in Quebec, Canada. Data were analyzed from July to December 2023. Exposure: Gestational diabetes occurrence(s) across 2 pregnancies. Main outcomes and measures: Incident diabetes from the second delivery until a third pregnancy, death, or the end of the follow-up period, whichever occurred first. Results: The 431 980 women with 2 singleton deliveries studied had a mean (SD) age of 30.1 (4.5) years at second delivery, with a mean (SD) of 2.8 (1.5) years elapsed between deliveries; 373 415 (86.4%) were of European background, and 78 770 (18.2%) were at the highest quintile of material deprivation. Overall, 10 920 women (2.5%) had gestational diabetes in their first pregnancy, 16 145 (3.7%) in their second, and 8255 (1.9%) in both (12 205 incident diabetes events; median [IQR] follow-up 11.5 [5.3-19.4] years). First pregnancy-only gestational diabetes increased hazards 4.35-fold (95% CI, 4.06-4.67), second pregnancy-only increased hazards 7.68-fold (95% CI, 7.31-8.07), and gestational diabetes in both pregnancies increased hazards 15.8-fold (95% CI, 15.0-16.6). Compared with first pregnancy-only gestational diabetes, second pregnancy-only gestational diabetes increased hazards by 76% (95% CI, 1.63-1.91), while gestational diabetes in both pregnancies increased it 3.63-fold (95% CI, 3.36-3.93). Conclusions and relevance: In this retrospective cohort study of nearly half a million women with 2 singleton pregnancies, both the number and ordinal pregnancy of any gestational diabetes occurrence increased diabetes risk. These considerations offer greater nuance than an ever or never gestational diabetes dichotomy.

Multimorbidity prevalence and health outcome prediction: assessing the impact of lookback periods, disease count, and definition criteria in health administrative data at the population-based level.

BACKGROUND: Health administrative databases play a crucial role in population-level multimorbidity surveillance. Determining the appropriate retrospective or lookback period (LP) for observing prevalent and newly diagnosed diseases in administrative data presents challenge in estimating multimorbidity prevalence and predicting health outcome. The aim of this population-based study was to assess the impact of LP on multimorbidity prevalence and health outcomes prediction across three multimorbidity definitions, three lists of diseases used for multimorbidity assessment, and six health outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study including all individuals ages > 65 years on April 1st, 2019, in Québec, Canada. We considered three lists of diseases labeled according to the number of chronic conditions it considered: (1) L60 included 60 chronic conditions from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD); (2) L20 included a core of 20 chronic conditions; and (3) L31 included 31 chronic conditions from the Charlson and Elixhauser indices. For each list, we: (1) measured multimorbidity prevalence for three multimorbidity definitions (at least two [MM2+], three [MM3+] or four (MM4+) chronic conditions); and (2) evaluated capacity (c-statistic) to predict 1-year outcomes (mortality, hospitalisation, polypharmacy, and general practitioner, specialist, or emergency department visits) using LPs ranging from 1 to 20 years. RESULTS: Increase in multimorbidity prevalence decelerated after 5-10 years (e.g., MM2+, L31: LP = 1y: 14%, LP = 10y: 58%, LP = 20y: 69%). Within the 5-10 years LP range, predictive performance was better for L20 than L60 (e.g., LP = 7y, mortality, MM3+: L20 [0.798;95%CI:0.797-0.800] vs. L60 [0.779; 95%CI:0.777-0.781]) and typically better for MM3 + and MM4 + definitions (e.g., LP = 7y, mortality, L60: MM4+ [0.788;95%CI:0.786-0.790] vs. MM2+ [0.768;95%CI:0.766-0.770]). CONCLUSIONS: In our databases, ten years of data was required for stable estimation of multimorbidity prevalence. Within that range, the L20 and multimorbidity definitions MM3 + or MM4 + reached maximal predictive performance.

Outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A(H5N1) Virus in Seals, St. Lawrence Estuary, Quebec, Canada1.

We describe an unusual mortality event caused by a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5N1) virus clade 2.3.4.4b involving harbor (Phoca vitulina) and gray (Halichoerus grypus) seals in the St. Lawrence Estuary, Quebec, Canada, in 2022. Fifteen (56%) of the seals submitted for necropsy were considered to be fatally infected by HPAI H5N1 containing fully Eurasian or Eurasian/North American genome constellations. Concurrently, presence of large numbers of bird carcasses infected with HPAI H5N1 at seal haul-out sites most likely contributed to the spillover of infection to the seals. Histologic changes included meningoencephalitis (100%), fibrinosuppurative alveolitis, and multiorgan acute necrotizing inflammation. This report of fatal HPAI H5N1 infection in pinnipeds in Canada raises concerns about the expanding host of this virus, the potential for the establishment of a marine mammal reservoir, and the public health risks associated with spillover to mammals.Nous décrivons un événement de mortalité inhabituelle causé par un virus de l'influenza aviaire hautement pathogène A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b chez des phoques communs (Phoca vitulina) et gris (Halichoerus grypus) dans l'estuaire du Saint-Laurent au Québec, Canada, en 2022. Quinze (56%) des phoques soumis pour nécropsie ont été considérés comme étant fatalement infectés par le virus H5N1 de lignées eurasiennes ou de réassortiment eurasiennes/nord-américaines. Un grand nombre simultané de carcasses d'oiseaux infectés par le H5N1 sur les sites d'échouement a probablement contribué à la contamination de ces phoques. Les changements histologiques associés à cette infection incluaient : méningo-encéphalite (100%), alvéolite fibrinosuppurée et inflammation nécrosante aiguë multi-organique. Cette documentation soulève des préoccupations quant à l'émergence de virus mortels, à la possibilité d'établissement de réservoirs chez les mammifères marins, et aux risques pour la santé publique associés aux propagations du virus chez les mammifères.

Rural-Urban Differences in Healthcare Use in Persons With Dementia Between 2000 and 2019: A Quebec Population-Based Study.

Background: Rural persons with dementia face medical services gaps. This study compares the health service utilization of rural and urban community-dwelling individuals with incident dementia. Methods: This study used a repeated annual cross-sectional cohort design spanning a period from 2000 to 2019 analyzing age-adjusted rates for 20 indicators of service use and mortality one year after diagnosis in Quebec administrative databases. Results: Of 237,259 persons, 20.1% were rural. Most rural persons had more emergency department visits and hospitalizations, shorter stays, less alternate level of care and fewer family physicians' and cognition specialists' visits. All groups had similar long-term care and mortality rates. Conclusion: Policy implications of these disparities are discussed.