Pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis: a national inpatient analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We aim to study the prevalence and epidemiology of pulmonary arterial hypertension in SS, and the impact of PAH on SSc hospitalizations in the United States population. METHODS: We utilized the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) from 2016-2019 to obtain adult hospitalizations with the primary/secondary diagnosis of SSc and coexistent PAH (SSc-PAH). Epidemiological variables, mortality rates, and secondary outcomes were studied including pulmonary embolism, atrial flutter, atrial and ventricular fibrillation, pneumonia, sepsis, cardiac arrest and cardiac & renal failure, and ventilator requirement. Healthcare burden was estimated from total hospital charges (THC) and length of stay (LOS). Statistical analysis was performed on STATA 16.1, using linear and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Out of 126,685 adult systemic sclerosis hospitalizations, 16.89% had PAH (SSc-PAH). The SSc-PAH group had significantly more females (85.4 % vs. 83.8%) and higher mean age (64.85±13.29 vs. 62.56±14.51). More African Americans were in this group than in the control group (19.5% vs. 14.6, p-value<0.001) while Whites (61.3% vs. 65.6%, p<0.001) and Asians (18.0 % vs. 2.8%, p<0.001) were less common. Charlson comorbidity index was higher for the SSc-PAH population (3.42 vs. 2.94, p-value<0.001). SSc-PAH group had a higher adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for mortality (aOR: 1.39, p<0.001), increased LOS (6.64 vs. 6.0 days, p<0.001) increased THC ($83,813 vs. $71,016, p <0.001). For the SSc-PAH group, there were also significantly higher odds of cardiac failure (aOR 3.13), ventilator requirement (aOR 2.15), cardiac arrest (aOR 1.39), kidney failure (aOR 1.63), pulmonary embolism (aOR 1.84), atrial flutter (aOR 1.86) atrial fibrillation (aOR1.56) and pneumonia (aOR 1.22). No significant difference in ventricular fibrillation, sepsis, or respiratory failure was noted. CONCLUSION: Pulmonary arterial hypertension in SSc is associated with worse outcomes in terms of mortality and morbidity, and higher healthcare burden compared to SSc without PAH. Also, PAH disproportionately affects White, African American & Asian populations. There remains a pressing need to continue efforts for early diagnosis and management of PAH in SSc patients.

Causes and predictors of death among Finnish patients with systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess causes and predictors of death among Finnish patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHOD: Medical records of patients registered with the ICD-10 code M34 from 1996 to 2018 in two university hospitals were reviewed retrospectively. Clinical data were collected until the end of 2020. Death certificates were obtained from Statistics Finland up to August 2021. Using death certificates and patient records, the cause of death for each patient was determined. The mean age at death, median time from SSc diagnosis, and factors predicting death were analysed. RESULTS: Among 313 SSc patients, 91 deaths occurred between April 2000 and September 2020. Overall 5 and 10 year survival rates were 88.4% and 80.2%, respectively. SSc was the most common primary cause of death (n = 35) and interstitial lung disease (ILD) was the most common SSc-related cause of death (n = 13). Moreover, 52% of the patients with diffuse SSc and 33% of those with limited cutaneous SSc died as a result of SSc itself. Patients who died because of SSc were significantly younger [mean ± sd age 65.6 ± 12.7 years, 95% confidence interval (CI) 61.2-70.1] than those who died from other causes (74.2 ± 9.6 years, 95% CI 71.5-76.9) (p = 0.0006). ILD, pulmonary arterial hypertension, gastrointestinal involvement, male gender, and older age at disease onset predicted death. CONCLUSION: The disease itself was the major cause of death among Finnish SSc patients, in both diffuse and limited forms of SSc.

Untangling the relationship between smoking and systemic sclerosis: an analysis of the EUSTAR cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To untangle the association between smoking and systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: In the European Scleroderma Trials and Research cohort, the autoantibody status was compared between ever-smokers and never-smokers. Time until disease progression was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Cox models were built to investigate the influence of smoking over 15 years of follow-up. All analyses were performed for the total cohort and stratified for sex and for positivity of anti-centromere (ACA) and anti-topoisomerase antibodies (ATA). RESULTS: Overall, 12 314 patients were included in the study. Of these, 10 393 were women (84%), 4637 were ACA-positive (38%), 3919 were ATA-positive (32%) and 4271 (35%) were ever-smokers. In men, but not in women, smoking was associated with mortality (HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.16, p=0.001). Ever-smoking women were at higher risk for skin progression (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.22, p=0.046) and for 'any organ progression' (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.13, p=0.036). In women, 34% of never-smokers were ATA-positive compared with 21% of ever-smokers (p<0.001). In the group of ever-smokers, higher exposure rates, reflected by the number of pack-years (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97 to 0.99, p<0.001) and by smoking duration (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.95 to 0.97, p<0.001), were associated with lower frequency of ATA. In ACA-positive patients, the risk of mortality (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.63, p=0.033), cardiac involvement (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.43, p=0.001), skin progression (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.42, p=0.018) and 'any organ progression' (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.24, p=0.002) was increased among smokers. In ATA-positive smoking patients, mortality (HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.78, p=0.006), skin progression (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.37, p=0.020) digital ulcers (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.34, p=0.029) and 'any organ progression' (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.22, p=0.048) occurred more frequently. CONCLUSIONS: Our stratified analysis demonstrates that smoking is associated with an increased risk for mortality in male SSc patients but not in women. Strikingly, smoking is associated with lower prevalence of ATA positivity, in particular in women. In both ATA-positive and ACA-positive patients, smoking is a risk factor for mortality, skin progression and 'any organ progression'.

Anti-U1RNP antibodies are associated with a distinct clinical phenotype and a worse survival in patients with systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: To clarify the impact of anti-U1RNP antibodies on the clinical features and prognosis of patients with SSc. METHODS: We conducted a monocentric case-control, retrospective, longitudinal study. For each patient with SSc and anti-U1RNP antibodies (SSc-RNP+), one patient with mixed connective tissue disease (MCTD) and 2 SSc patients without anti-U1RNP antibodies (SSc-RNP-) were matched for age, sex, and date of inclusion. RESULTS: Sixty-four SSc-RNP+ patients were compared to 128 SSc-RNP- and 64 MCTD patients. Compared to SSc-RNP-, SSc-RNP+ patients were more often of Afro-Caribbean origin (31.3% vs. 11%, p < 0.01), and more often had an overlap syndrome than SSc-RNP- patients (53.1 % vs. 22.7%, p < 0.0001), overlapping with Sjögren's syndrome (n = 23, 35.9%) and/or systemic lupus erythematosus (n = 19, 29.7%). SSc-RNP+ patients were distinctly different from MCTD patients but less often had joint involvement (p < 0.01). SSc-RNP+ patients more frequently developed interstitial lung disease (ILD) (73.4% vs. 55.5% vs. 31.3%, p < 0.05), pulmonary fibrosis (PF) (60.9% vs. 37.5% vs. 10.9%, p < 0.0001), SSc associated myopathy (29.7% vs. 6.3% vs. 7.8%, p < 0.0001), and kidney involvement (10.9% vs. 2.3% vs. 1.6%, p < 0.05). Over a 200-month follow-up period, SSc-RNP+ patients had worse overall survival (p < 0.05), worse survival without PF occurrence (p < 0.01), ILD or PF progression (p < 0.01 and p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In SSc patients, anti-U1RNP antibodies are associated with a higher incidence of overlap syndrome, a distinct clinical phenotype, and poorer survival compared to SSc-RNP- and MCTD patients. Our study suggests that SSc-RNP+ patients should be separated from MCTD patients and may constitute an enriched population for progressive lung disease.

Survival in systemic sclerosis associated pulmonary arterial hypertension in the current treatment era-results from a nationwide study.

INTRODUCTION: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a leading cause of mortality in systemic sclerosis (SSc). This nationwide study aims to describe real world treatment characteristics and assess survival rates of patients with SSc-PAH. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, patients with SSc-PAH were identified from Turkish Ministry of Health National Electronic Database (from January 2016 to September 2022), using ICD-10 codes. Data on demographics, treatment characteristics, and death was collected. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to calculate cumulative probabilities of survival at 1, 3, and 5 years. RESULTS: Five hundred forty-seven patients (90.7% female) with SSc-PAH were identified. Median age at PAH diagnosis was 59.9 (50.0-67.4) years. During a median follow-up duration of 3.2 (1.5-4.8) years, 199 (36.4%) deaths occurred. Estimated survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 90.2%, 73.2%, and 56.6%, respectively. Survival was similar among patients with and without interstitial lung disease (p = 0.20). Patients who used immunosuppressives had better survival than those who did not (p < 0.001). No difference was observed in survival rates according to initial PAH-specific treatment regimen (monotherapy or combination) (p = 0.49). CONCLUSION: Compared to most of historical cohorts, higher survival rates for SSc-PAH were observed in this study. Early diagnosis of PAH may have contributed to these findings. The impact of immunosuppressive therapy on prognosis of SSc-PAH needs to be further investigated in prospective studies. Key Points • Early diagnosis is pivotal for better outcomes in SSc-PAH. • Implementation of PAH treatment guidelines in routine clinical practice is still poor and should be improved. • Effect of immunosuppressive therapies on disease course has to be defined in SSc-PAH.

Evaluation of the European Society of Cardiology Risk Assessment Score in Incident Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) may be stratified as low, intermediate, or high risk of 1-year mortality. In 2022, the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) updated and simplified its risk stratification tool, based on three variables: World Health Organization functional class, serum N-terminal pro-brain type natriuretic peptide and six-minute walk distance, applied at follow-up visits, intended to guide therapy over time. METHODS: We applied the 2022 ESC risk assessment tool at baseline and follow-up (within 2 years) to a multinational incident cohort of systemic sclerosis-associated PAH (SSc-PAH). Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox hazards regression, and accelerated failure time models were used to evaluate survival by risk score. RESULTS: At baseline (n = 260), the majority of SSc-PAH (72.2%) were graded as intermediate risk of death according to the 2022 tool. At follow-up, according to 2022 tool, half (55.5%) of the cohort were classified as low or intermediate-low risk. The 2022 risk model at follow-up was able to differentiate survival between risk strata. All three individual parameters (World Health Organization functional class, N-terminal pro-brain type natriuretic peptide, six-minute walk distance) were significantly associated with mortality at baseline and/or follow-up. CONCLUSION: The 2022 ESC risk assessment strategy applied at baseline and follow-up predicts survival in SSc-PAH. Treatment decisions for SSc-PAH should include risk assessments, aiming to achieve low-risk status according to the 2022 ESC guidelines.

A Prospective Observational Study of Disease Severity and Mortality in Hispanic American Patients With Systemic Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize disease manifestations in Hispanic American patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in comparison with non-Hispanic White and Black patients. METHODS: Longitudinal clinical characteristics were collected prospectively in the Genetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcome Study cohort. All patients fulfilled the classification criteria for SSc and had a disease duration less than five years at enrollment. RESULTS: A cohort of 427 patients, consisting of 124 Hispanic, 220 non-Hispanic White, and 83 non-Hispanic Black participants were examined. At enrollment, Hispanic patients were significantly younger but had longer disease duration, higher frequency of U1-RNP positivity as well as concurrent systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis, and lower income and educational levels in comparison to non-Hispanic White patients. Compared with non-Hispanic Black patients, Hispanic patients had more frequently limited cutaneous involvement and anticentromere antibodies. In the longitudinal analysis, Hispanic patients had significantly lower forced vital capacity percents predicted (point estimate, -9.3%; P < 0.001) than non-Hispanic White but not Black patients. Hispanic patients had similar longitudinal modified Rodnan Skin Scores like non-Hispanic White patients but lower measurements than non-Hispanic Black patients (point estimate, -3.2; P = 0.029). Hispanic patients had significantly higher serially obtained perceived functional disability scores than White patients (point estimate, 0.29; P < 0.001). Hispanic patients also had higher mortality rates than White Americans even after adjustment for age, gender, and socioeconomic statuses. CONCLUSION: Hispanic patients have higher likelihood of having U1-RNP positivity and SLE overlap, more severe restrictive lung disease, as well as higher rate of mortality than non-Hispanic White patients.

Contribution of Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction to Survival and Breathlessness in Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) in systemic sclerosis (SSc)-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD), and to investigate SSc-specific associations and clinical correlates of LVDD. METHODS: There were 102 Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants with definite SSc and radiographic ILD included. Diastolic function was classified as normal, indeterminate, or abnormal according to 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging guidelines for assessment of LV diastolic function. Associations between clinical features and patient- and physician-reported dyspnea were evaluated using logistic regression. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and Cox regression modeling. RESULTS: LVDD was identified in 26% of participants, whereas 19% had indeterminate and 55% had normal diastolic function. Those with ILD and LVDD had increased mortality (hazard ratio 2.4, 95% CI 1.0-5.7; P = 0.05). After adjusting for age and sex, those with ILD and LVDD were more likely to have severe dyspnea on the Borg Dyspnoea Scale (odds ratio [OR] 2.6, 95% CI 1.0-6.6; P = 0.05) and numerically more likely to record World Health Organization Function Class II or higher dyspnea (OR 4.2, 95% CI 0.9-20.0; P = 0.08). Older age (95% CI 1.0-6.4; P = 0.05), hypertension (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.8-13.8; P < 0.01), and ischemic heart disease (OR 4.8, 95% CI 1.5-15.7; P < 0.01) were all associated with LVDD, as was proximal muscle atrophy (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.9-13.6; P < 0.01) and multimorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index scores ≥ 4, OR 3.0, 95% CI 1.1-8.7; P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: LVDD in SSc-ILD is more strongly associated with traditional LVDD risk factors than SSc-specific factors. LVDD is associated with worse dyspnea and survival in those with SSc-ILD.

Preliminary results on long-term follow-up of systemic sclerosis patients under extracorporeal photopheresis.

BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal photopheresis (ECP) has been considered for treatment of patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). OBJECTIVES: To study the 12-month effects of ECP on laboratory parameters and evaluate the SSc-related long-term survival. METHODS: 59 SSc patients who had received at least 6 ECP cycles were included. Lab parameters were assessed at baseline (ECP naïve), after 6 months, and after 12 months. 20-year follow-up data were collected for all patients. RESULTS: 31 (59/52.5%) patients presented with elevated serum III procollagen (sPIIINP) levels at baseline which significantly declined after 6- and 12-month ECP. Total lymphocyte counts as well as circulating immune complexes (CICs) significantly decreased after 12-months ECP. On long-term follow-up, patients had received a median of 37.5 (6-167) ECP cycles over a median period of 64 (6-281) months. 20-year follow-up revealed only 8 (59/13.6%) SSc-related deaths and 51 (59/86.4%) survivors. CONCLUSIONS: One-year ECP induces changes in lab parameters, such as sPIIINP, CICs, and lymphocyte counts, which have previously been implicated in the pathogenesis of SSc. More importantly, our data reveal, for the first time, that ECP-treated SSc patients appear to have extremely favorable 20-year survival rates compared to other SSc cohorts reported in the literature.

Intravenous prostanoids in systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: a single-centre experience.

OBJECTIVES: The current study evaluates survival rates among SSc-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH) patients on i.v. prostanoids, and short-term impact of i.v. prostanoids on clinical and haemodynamic parameters. METHODS: Baseline demographics, invasive and non-invasive data, European Society of Cardiology (ESC) score and REVEAL score of 81 SSc-PAH patients (median age 61 years, interquartile range 54-67 years, 84% females) were prospectively recorded, from November 2006 till November 2020, before initiation of i.v. prostanoids, and at first formal reassessment. Survival data were retrieved from National Health Service Spine and hospital databases. RESULTS: Significant improvements in clinical and haemodynamic parameters in response to i.v. prostanoid therapy were documented. Functional class (FC) (16.6% improved by 1FC, P =0.041), mean pulmonary arterial pressure (-6.5 mmHg, P =0.036), pulmonary vascular resistance (-2.6 WU, P =0.012), cardiac index (Q/m2) (+0.7 l/min/m2, P =0.003) and mixed venous oxygen saturation (SvO2) (+3%, P =0.036) improved. Estimated survival for CTD-PAH patients on i.v. prostanoids was 64%, 31% and 18%, at 1 year, 3 years and 5 years, respectively. Independent baseline predictors of mortality were older age (HR: 1.043, 95% CI: 1.011-1.075, P =0.007), higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels (HR: 2.191, 95% CI: 1.131-4.243, P =0.020), and lower SvO2 levels (HR: 0.962, 95% CI: 0.926-0.998, P =0.039). High ESC risk or high and very high REVEAL score was associated with significantly worse survival compared with patients with lower risk scores, both at baseline and when reassessed after a median of 6.5 months. CONCLUSIONS: Survival among SSc-PAH patients on i.v. prostanoids remains poor, risk scoring at baseline and after 6.5 months of therapy improves prognostication.

Digital pitting scars are associated with a severe disease course and death in systemic sclerosis: a study from the EUSTAR cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Digital pitting scars (DPS) are frequent, but little studied in SSc to date. METHODS: An analysis of SSc patients enrolled in the EUSTAR database. Primary objectives were to (i) examine DPS prevalence; (ii) examine whether DPS are associated with digital ulcers (DUs) and active digital ischaemia (DUs or gangrene); and (iii) describe other associations with DPS including internal organ complications. Secondary objectives were whether DPS are associated with (i) functional impairment; (ii) structural microvascular disease; and (iii) mortality. Descriptive statistics and parametric/non-parametric tests were used. Binary logistic regression was used to examine the association between DPS and DUs, active digital ischaemia and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 9671 patients were included with reported DPS at any time point (n = 4924) or 'never' DPS (n = 4747). The majority (86.9%) were female and mean age was 55.7 years. DPS were associated with longer disease and Raynaud's duration (both P ≤ 0.001). DPS were associated with interstitial lung disease, pulmonary hypertension, conduction blocks, telangiectases, calcinosis (all P ≤ 0.001) and joint synovitis (P = 0.021). Patients were more likely to have more severe capillaroscopic abnormality and greater hand functional impairment. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that DPS were associated (odds ratio) with DUs: 22.03 (19.51-24.87), active digital ischaemia: 6.30 (5.34-7.42) and death: 1.86 (1.48-2.36). CONCLUSION: DPS are associated with a severe disease course including death. The impact of DPS on hand function and ischaemia is significant. The presence of DPS should alert the clinician to a poor prognosis and need to optimize the therapeutic strategy.

Cardiopulmonary exercise testing and prognosis in patients with systemic sclerosis without baseline pulmonary hypertension: a prospective cohort study.

Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing (CPET) is a standardized, non-invasive procedure assessing pulmonary, cardiovascular, hematopoietic, and skeletal muscle functions during a symptom-limited test. Few studies have examined whether CPET is of prognostic value in Systemic Sclerosis (SSc), a disease characterized by highly increased cardiorespiratory morbidity and mortality. To examine the prognostic value of CPET in SSc patients without baseline pulmonary hypertension (PH). Sixty-two consecutive SSc patients underwent CPET, Pulmonary Function Tests (PFTs) and echocardiography at baseline. Four patients with Right Ventricular Systolic Pressure ≥ 40 mmHg, were excluded. Participants repeated PFTs approximately every 3 years. At the end of the follow-up period [median (IQR): 9.79 (2.78) years] patient vital status was recorded. Cox Regression analysis was used to identify predictors of deterioration of PFTs and 10-year survival. Median (IQR) age of 58 patients (90% women) at baseline was 54.0 (15.0) years, whereas 10-year survival was 88%. Baseline respiratory Oxygen uptake (VO2max) predicted PFT deterioration, defined either as a decline in FVC ≥ 10% or a combined decline in FVC 5%-9% plus DLCO ≥ 15%, during follow-up, after correction for age, gender and smoking status (HR: 0.874, 95%CI: 0.779-0.979, p = 0.021). In addition, lower baseline VO2max (HR = 0.861, 95%CI:0.739-1.003, p = 0.054) and DLCO (HR = 0.957, 95%CI: 0.910-1.006 p = 0.088), as well as male gender (HR = 5.68, 95%CI: 1.090-29.610 p = 0.039) and older age (HR = 1.069, 95%CI: 0.990-1.154, p = 0.086) were associated, after adjustment, with an increased risk for death. In the absence of baseline PH, CPET indices may predict pulmonary function deterioration and death in SSc patients during a nearly 10-year follow-up period.

Interventricular systolic asynchrony predicts prognosis in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a serious complication of SSc with high mortality. Interventricular systolic asynchrony (IVSA) is observed in PAH patients, but the effect of IVSA and its association with long-term mortality and clinical events in SSc-associated PAH are unclear. This study aimed to investigate the impact of IVSA on the prognosis of SSc-associated PAH. METHODS: Between March 2010 and July 2018, a total of 60 consecutive patients with SSc-associated PAH were enrolled. The end point was a composite of all-cause mortality and clinical worsening. Asynchrony was assessed by colour-coded tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) echocardiography. The myocardial sustained systole curves (Sm) of the basal portion of the right ventricular (RV) free wall and left ventricular (LV) lateral wall were obtained. IVSA was defined as the time difference from the onset of the QRS complex to the end of Sm between LV and RV. RESULTS: Patients with greater IVSA time differences presented with advanced pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR). The IVSA time difference was an independent predictive factor (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.018, 95% CI: 1.005, 1.031, P =0.005) for the composite end point and was significantly associated with PVR (r = 0.399, R2=0.092, P =0.002). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with greater IVSA had worse prognoses (log-rank P =0.001). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, IVSA analysed by colour-coded TDI echocardiography provided added value as a noninvasive, easy-to-use approach for assessing the prognosis of patients with SSc-associated PAH. A significant IVSA time difference identifies the subgroup of patients at high risk of a poor prognosis.

Treatment of systemic sclerosis.

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare connective tissue disease characterized by skin and visceral fibrosis, vascular hyperreactivity and obliterative vasculopathy. Some of its complications such as interstitial lung disease (ILD), pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and heart involvement can be life-threatening and are associated with a high mortality and a poor prognosis. Many clinical trials were carried out in order to improve the survival and prognosis of SSc patients. The management of SSc is based on the frequent and regular assessment of the potential organ damage, and if present, the establishment of graduated pharmacological therapeutic strategies, associated with non-pharmacological procedures. Several randomized clinical trials have showed significant positive outcomes regarding some specific involvements. Many advances have been made, especially in the field of targeted therapies and personalized medicine, based on specific characteristics of the patient and the SSc.

Aerosol components associated with hospital mortality in systemic sclerosis: an analysis from a nationwide Thailand healthcare database.

Occupational and environmental associations with systemic sclerosis (SSc) have been confirmed; however, the association between aerosol components and mortality is uncertain. The study aimed to define the association between aerosol components and hospital mortality among Thai SSc patients. A study was conducted using a national database of patients covered by the National Health Security Office, hospitalised between 2014 and 2018. Data included all patients over 18 having a primary diagnosis of SSc (ICD-10: M34). Spatial resources used map information based on GPS coordinates of Thailand. Aerosol components-including organic carbon, black carbon, dust particulate matter diameter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), and sulfate-were assessed using the NASA satellite MERRA-2 Model M2TMNXFLX v5.12.4. Spatial modelling with R Package Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (R-INLA) was used to analyse the association between the incidence of mortality and the 5-year accumulation of each aerosol component adjusted by age, sex, and comorbid diseases. The study included 2,094 SSc patients with 3,684 admissions. Most (63.8%) were female. During admission, 1,276 cases died. R-INLA analysis indicated an increase of 1 µg/m3 of dust PM2.5 was associated with a respective increase in the risk of overall mortality and death due to pneumonia of 96% and 79%. An increase of 1 µg/m3 of dust PM2.5 resulted in 1.17, 1.18, 1.64, and 2.15 times greater risk of mortality due to pulmonary fibrosis, cardiac involvement, renal involvement, and cancer, respectively. Aerosol components-particularly dust PM2.5 exposures-increased the risk of overall, cardio-pulmonary-renal, and cancer mortality among SSc patients.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate is a marker of mortality in the European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) database.

OBJECTIVES: The study aim was to evaluate the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), its association with clinical disease and its predictive ability with respect to mortality in SSc patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) database. METHODS: SSc patients from the EUSTAR database who had items required for the calculation of eGFR at a baseline visit and a second follow-up visit available were included. A cut-off eGFR value of 60 ml/min was chosen for all SSc patients, and 30 ml/min for those with scleroderma renal crisis (SRC). Cox regression and competing risk analysis were performed to evaluate the use of eGFR as a predictive factor of mortality. RESULTS: A total of 3650 SSc patients were included in this study. The median serum level of creatinine and the mean of eGFR were 0.8 mg/dl (interquartile range = 0.6-0.9) and 86.6 ± 23.7 ml/min, respectively. The eGFR was significantly lower in patients with pulmonary hypertension. Overall survival (OS) was significantly reduced in SSc patients with eGFR < 60 ml/min compared with patients with eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min [OS at 5 years 0.763 (95% CI: 0.700, 0.814) vs 0.903 (95% CI: 0.883, 0.919; P < 0.001)]. In multivariable analysis, OS was associated with male gender (P < 0.01), systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) (P < 0.001) and eGFR (P < 0.001). The cumulative incidence of deaths due to SSc was associated with increased sPAP (P < 0.001) and reduced eGFR (P < 0.05). The OS at 5 years of 53 SRC patients was not significantly different between SSc patients with eGFR > 30 ml/min and those with eGFR <30 ml/min. CONCLUSION: eGFR represents a predictive risk factor for overall survival in SSc. The eGFR, however, does not represent a risk factor for death in SRC.

Cost-Effectiveness of Combination Therapy for Patients With Systemic Sclerosis-Related Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Background To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of combination pulmonary arterial hypertension specific therapy in systemic sclerosis-related PAH. Methods and Results Health outcomes and costs were captured through data linkage. Health utility was derived from Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36 scores. A probabilistic discrete-time model was developed to simulate lifetime changes in costs and health utility. Mortality was predicted using a Gompertz parametric survival model. For both treatment arms, the simulations were started using the same cohort of 10 000 patients. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed using the Monte Carlo simulation with 1000 sets of sampled parameter values. Of 143 patients with systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension, 89 were on monotherapy and 54 on combination therapy. Mean simulated costs per patient per year in monotherapy and combination therapy groups were AU$23 411 (US$16 080) and AU$29 129 (US$19 982), respectively. Mean life years and quality-adjusted life years from pulmonary arterial hypertension diagnosis to death of patients receiving monotherapy were 7.1 and 3.0, respectively, and of those receiving combination therapy were 9.2 and 3.9, respectively. Incremental costs per life year and quality-adjusted life year gained of combination therapy compared with monotherapy were AU$47 989 (US$32 920) and AU$113 823 (US$78 082), respectively. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of AU$102 000 (US$69 972) per life year gained, and of AU$177 222 (US$121 574) per quality-adjusted life year gained, the probability of combination therapy being cost-effective was 0.95. Conclusions The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year gained of combination therapy compared with monotherapy was substantial in the base case analysis. Given the fatal prognosis of systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension and the incremental cost per life year of AU$47 989 (US$32 920), combination therapy could be considered cost-effective in systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension.