Long-term cardiovascular outcomes in a population-based multicentric cohort of northern Portugal: Validation of the ESC/EAS prognostic risk classification.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular (CV) risk scores identify individuals at higher long-term risk of CV events that may benefit from more aggressive preventive interventions. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of CV-risk categories and criteria with long-term CV events. METHODS: Observational cohort study between 2000-2019 on patients aged 40-80 years, followed by 14 primary care centers assisted by 1 hospital in Portugal. Follow-up began when electronic health records data allowed for CV-risk classification and dynamic reassessment per 2019 ESC/EAS Guidelines. Inclusion criteria required at least one appointment with a primary care physician within three years before follow-up initiation. We assessed the 10-year adjusted hazard-ratio of combined CV death and non-fatal atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) hospitalization, across SCORE risk categories and criteria, using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for sex, age, competing comorbidities, and medication. RESULTS: The study included 161 681 observations from 87 035 unique patients. During the observation period, 71 787 patients were classified as low/moderate, 51 476 as high and 38 418 as very-high CV-risk categories. In the very-high group, prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (69%), hypercholesterolemia (69%) and type 2 diabetes (61%), and 13% were hospitalized for ASCVD. The adjusted 10-year hazard ratio of the composite of CV death or ASCVD hospitalization was 2.10 (95% CI: 1.91-2.32) for high-risk and 3.56 (95% CI: 3.21-3.96) for very-high-risk patients (low-risk as reference). CONCLUSION: Our study reinforces the prognostic relevance of CV-risk stratification for long-term prediction of CV death and ASCVD hospitalization in an unselected cohort, independently of sex, age, competing comorbidities and medication.

Cardiovascular Risk Profile and Lipid Management in the Population-Based Cohort Study LATINO: 20 Years of Real-World Data.

The rising prevalence of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in Portugal has translated into more than 35,000 annual deaths due to CV diseases. We performed a multicenter observational cohort study encompassing clinical activities performed between 2000 and 2019 to characterize the CV risk profile and LDL-C management of patients in every CV risk category using electronic health records of a regional population in Portugal. We analyzed data from 14 health centers and 1 central hospital in the north of Portugal of patients between 40 and 80 years that had at least 1 family medicine appointment at these institutions. Living patients were characterized on 31 December 2019. CV risk assessment was computed according to the 2019 ESC/EAS Guidelines. Lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) and achievement of LDL-C targets were assessed. In total, the analysis included 78,459 patients. Patient proportions were 33%, 29%, 22%, and 17% for low, intermediate, high, and very high CV risk, respectively. Moderate-intensity statins were the most frequently used medication across all CV risk categories. High-intensity statins were used in 5% and 10% of high and very high CV risk patients, respectively. Ezetimibe was used in 6% and 10% of high and very high CV risk patients, respectively. LDL-C targets were achieved in 44%, 27%, 7%, and 3% of low, intermediate, high, and very high CV risk patients, respectively. For uncontrolled patients in the high and very high CV risk categories, a median LDL-C reduction of 44% and 53%, respectively, would be required to meet LDL-C targets. There are clear opportunities to optimize LDL-C management in routine clinical practice. The prescription of LLT according to CV risk represents an important missed treatment opportunity.

Trends, geographical variation and factors associated with the use of anti-VEGF intravitreal injections in Portugal (2013-2018): a retrospective analysis of administrative data.

AIMS: The arrival of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) therapies represented a treatment shift for several ophthalmological disorders and led to an increasing number of patients undergoing intravitreal injections. The aims of this observational study were to assess the expansion of anti-VEGF intravitreal injections in the Portuguese National Health System (NHS) and to identify factors correlated with geographical variations in episode rates. METHODS: Administrative database on discharge from Portuguese NHS hospitals was analysed for annual values and rates of intravitreal anti-VEGF injections at a national and regional level, between 2013 and 2018. RESULTS: The number of episodes of anti-VEGF treatment and patients treated increased 16% and 9% per year, respectively, between 2013 and 2018. During the study period around 72% of patients were treated in the Metropolitan areas of Lisbon and Porto and in the Central region. Intravitreal anti-VEGF treatment rates in 2018 were 560 per 100 000 population and presented high variability between municipalities. Higher anti-VEGF treatment rates at the municipality level were associated with shorter distances between their residence and the hospital. At the hospital level, higher ratio of ophthalmologists and higher organisational level were associated with higher anti-VEGF treatment rates. CONCLUSION: The number of episodes and patients treated with anti-VEGF injections has been growing in recent years. Proximity to healthcare, more access to ophthalmologists and hospitals with higher organisational levels are associated with higher anti-VEGF treatment rates. Improving access is crucial to reduce regional discrepancies and ensure optimal treatment frequency, which may improve health outcomes.

Cost-effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan for the treatment of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction in Portugal.

Objectives: This study assesses the cost-effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan versus enalapril in patients with symptomatic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).Methods: We used a previously developed Markov model calibrated with patient-level data from the PARADIGM-HF trial, adapted to the Portuguese setting. The model considers two health states (alive or dead) and uses regression analyzes to estimate hospitalizations and deaths over time. A panel of experts estimated resource consumption in the outpatient setting. To estimate resource consumption with hospitalizations, the National Health Service Diagnosis Related Groups database was used. Unit costs were based on national legislation, and on the Infomed database. The model considers a societal perspective, a time horizon of 30-years, and a 5% annual discount rate. Sensitivity analyses assessed the robustness of results.Results: Sacubitril/valsartan increases life expectancy by 0.5 life-years, corresponding to 0.4 incremental quality adjusted life-years (QALY) versus enalapril. The estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) is 22,702€/QALY. Sensitivity analysis shows that results are robust, but sensitive to the parameter estimates of the cardiovascular survival curve.Conclusion: Sacubitril/valsartan is a cost-effective therapeutic option in the treatment of Portuguese patients with HFrEF and translate into significant health gains and increased life expectancy versus the current standard of care.

Social and economic value of Portuguese community pharmacies in health care.

BACKGROUND: Community pharmacies are major contributors to health care systems across the world. Several studies have been conducted to evaluate community pharmacies services in health care. The purpose of this study was to estimate the social and economic benefits of current and potential future community pharmacies services provided by pharmacists in health care in Portugal. METHODS: The social and economic value of community pharmacies services was estimated through a decision-model. Model inputs included effectiveness data, quality of life (QoL) and health resource consumption, obtained though literature review and adapted to Portuguese reality by an expert panel. The estimated economic value was the result of non-remunerated pharmaceutical services plus health resource consumption potentially avoided. Social and economic value of community pharmacies services derives from the comparison of two scenarios: "with service" versus "without service". RESULTS: It is estimated that current community pharmacies services in Portugal provide a gain in QoL of 8.3% and an economic value of 879.6 million euros (M€), including 342.1 M€ in non-remunerated pharmaceutical services and 448.1 M€ in avoided expense with health resource consumption. Potential future community pharmacies services may provide an additional increase of 6.9% in QoL and be associated with an economic value of 144.8 M€: 120.3 M€ in non-remunerated services and 24.5 M€ in potential savings with health resource consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Community pharmacies services provide considerable benefit in QoL and economic value. An increase range of services including a greater integration in primary and secondary care, among other transversal services, may add further social and economic value to the society.