COVID-19 profiles in general practice: a latent class analysis.

BACKGROUND: General practitioners (GPs) were on the front line of the COVID-19 outbreak. Identifying clinical profiles in COVID-19 might improve patient care and enable closer monitoring of at-risk profiles. OBJECTIVES: To identify COVID-19 profiles in a population of adult primary care patients, and to determine whether the profiles were associated with negative outcomes and persistent symptoms. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: In a prospective multicentre study, 44 GPs from multiprofessional primary care practices in the Paris area of France recruited 340 consecutive adult patients (median age: 47 years) with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 during the first two waves of the epidemic. METHOD AND OUTCOME: A latent class (LC) analysis with 11 indicators (clinical signs and symptoms) was performed. The resulting profiles were characterised by a 3-month composite outcome (COVID-19-related hospital admission and/or death) and persistent symptoms three and 6 months after inclusion. RESULTS: We identified six profiles: 'paucisymptomatic' (LC1, 9%), 'anosmia and/or ageusia' (LC2, 12.9%), 'influenza-like syndrome with anosmia and ageusia' (LC3, 15.5%), 'influenza-like syndrome without anosmia or ageusia' (LC4, 24.5%), 'influenza-like syndrome with respiratory impairment' (LC5) and a 'complete form' (LC6, 17.7%). At 3 months, 7.4% of the patients were hospitalised (with higher rates in LC5), and 18% had persistent symptoms (with higher rates in LC5 and LC6). At 6 months, 6.4% of the patients had persistent symptoms, with no differences between LCs. CONCLUSION: Our findings might help GPs to identify patients at risk of persistent COVID-19 symptoms and hospital admission and then set up procedures for closer monitoring.

Initial characteristics and course of disease in patients with suspected COVID-19 managed in general practice: a prospective, multicentre cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe and compare the initial clinical characteristics of a cohort of patients with suspected COVID-19 managed by general practitioners (GPs); to assess whether 3-month persistent symptoms were more frequent among confirmed cases than among no-COVID cases; and to identify factors predictive of persistent symptoms and adverse outcomes among confirmed cases. DESIGN AND SETTING: A comparative, prospective, multicentre cohort study in primary care in the Paris region of France. PARTICIPANTS: 521 patients aged ≥18 with suspected COVID-19 were enrolled between March and May 2020. OUTCOME MEASURES: Initial symptoms, COVID-19 status, persistent symptoms 3 months after inclusion and a composite criterion for potentially COVID-19-related events (hospitalisation, death, emergency department visits). The final COVID-19 status ('confirmed', 'no-COVID' and 'uncertain' cases) was determined by the GP after the receipt of the laboratory test results. RESULTS: 516 patients were analysed; 166 (32.2%) were classified into the 'confirmed COVID' group, 180 (34.9%) into the 'no-COVID' group and 170 (32.9%) in the 'uncertain COVID' group. Confirmed cases were more likely to have persistent symptoms than no-COVID cases (p=0.09); initial fever/feeling feverish and anosmia were independently associated with persistent symptoms. At 3 months, we observed 16 (9.8%) COVID-19-related hospital admissions, 3 (1.8%) intensive care unit admissions, 13 (37.1%) referrals to an emergency department and no death. Age >70 and/or at least one comorbidity (OR 6.53; 95% CI 1.13-37.84; p=0.036), abnormalities in a lung examination (15.39; 95% CI 1.61-146.77; p=0.057) and two or more systemic symptoms (38.61; 95% CI 2.30-647.40; p=0.011) were associated with the composite criterion. CONCLUSIONS: Although most patients with COVID-19 in primary care had mild disease with a benign course, almost one in six had persistent symptoms at 3 months. These symptoms were more frequent in the 'confirmed COVID' group. Our findings need to be confirmed in a prospective study with longer follow-up.

[COPD patient care pathways: points of view of hospital personnel]. / Trajectoires de soins des patients ayant une bronchopneumopathie chronique obstructive: points de vue des acteurs hospitaliers.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to identify, from an hospital point of view, the care pathways of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) between the ambulatory and in-hospital settings in two regions to the East of Paris (Val-de-Marne and Seine-et-Marne). METHODS: A qualitative multisite case study was conducted from January to October 2012 with hospital doctors managing patients with COPD. Semi-structured individual interviews were carried out with 46 hospital practitioners from the 25 main hospitals of this area. RESULTS: A marked variability in care pathways was observed between the 25sites studied, but no typology could be established. The care pathways depended on the configuration of the available local medical facilities. The main finding of this study was the global lack of coordination between ambulatory care and in-hospital care of patients before and after hospitalization. DISCUSSION: The care pathways identified concerned the probably most severely ill patients who frequently attend hospital emergency rooms. The lack of pre-hospital coordination for the management of acute exacerbations resulted in a very high hospitalization rate. However, international studies have showed that a better management in an ambulatory care setting reduced significantly the hospitalization rates. The problem ofcoordination between ambulatory and in-hospital carefor optimizing of the care pathways remains unsolved in the territories studied here. This example of COPD care shows that a better management of patients with chronic diseases requires a restructuring of the local health care systems in France.