The association between antithrombotic drug regimen changes and clinical outcomes after stroke in atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The impact of post-stroke antithrombotic regimen in atrial fibrillation (AF) is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To describe antithrombotic therapy prescribing patterns following ischemic stroke, and its impact on outcomes. METHODS: A total of 23,165 AF patients experiencing ischemic stroke were identified. Subsequent post-stroke events included recurrent ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), major bleeding, mortality, and composite outcomes. RESULTS: Among those who were non-anticoagulated before a stroke, 33.5% remained non-anticoagulated and 39.2% were prescribed only antiplatelets (AP) post-stroke. Compared to NOACs post-stroke, there was a significant increase in ischemic stroke and mortality in non-anticoagulated (aHRs 2.09 and 3.92) and antiplatelet users (aHRs 1.32 and 1.28). Post-stroke warfarin was associated with a significantly incresaed risk of major bleeding compared to NOACs (aHR 1.23). Among 769 patients receiving NOACs before stroke and continuing NOAC post-stroke, those switching to a different NOAC were associated with significantly higher risk of ischemic stroke (aHR 2.07) and composite outcomes (aHRs 1.36-1.85) with no difference in ICH, major bleeding or mortality compared to those on the same NOAC post-stroke. Among patients receiving NOACs before stroke, the risks of clinical events were similar between patients on NOACs alone and those on NOAC plus AP post-stroke. CONCLUSIONS: NOAC alone post-stroke was associated with a better clinical outcome compared to non-anticoagulation, AP or warfarin. Among patients already taking NOACs before stroke, the addition of AP didn't confer additional benefits compared to NOACs alone. A change of NOAC types post-stroke was associated with a two-fold higher risk of ischemic stroke and composite outcomes.

The burden of cardiovascular disease in Asia from 2025 to 2050: a forecast analysis for East Asia, South Asia, South-East Asia, Central Asia, and high-income Asia Pacific regions.

Background: Given the rapidly growing burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Asia, this study forecasts the CVD burden and associated risk factors in Asia from 2025 to 2050. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to construct regression models predicting prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD and risk factors in Asia in the coming decades. Findings: Between 2025 and 2050, crude cardiovascular mortality is expected to rise 91.2% despite a 23.0% decrease in the age-standardised cardiovascular mortality rate (ASMR). Ischaemic heart disease (115 deaths per 100,000 population) and stroke (63 deaths per 100,000 population) will remain leading drivers of ASMR in 2050. Central Asia will have the highest ASMR (676 deaths per 100,000 population), more than three-fold that of Asia overall (186 deaths per 100,000 population), while high-income Asia sub-regions will incur an ASMR of 22 deaths per 100,000 in 2050. High systolic blood pressure will contribute the highest ASMR throughout Asia (105 deaths per 100,000 population), except in Central Asia where high fasting plasma glucose will dominate (546 deaths per 100,000 population). Interpretation: This forecast forewarns an almost doubling in crude cardiovascular mortality by 2050 in Asia, with marked heterogeneity across sub-regions. Atherosclerotic diseases will continue to dominate, while high systolic blood pressure will be the leading risk factor. Funding: This was supported by the NUHS Seed Fund (NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03), National Medical Research Council Research Training Fellowship (MH 095:003/008-303), National University of Singapore Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine's Junior Academic Fellowship Scheme, NUHS Clinician Scientist Program (NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS) and the CArdiovascular DiseasE National Collaborative Enterprise (CADENCE) National Clinical Translational Program (MOH-001277-01).

Early reduction in albuminuria is associated with a steeper 'dip' in initial estimated glomerular filtration rate but favourable long-term kidney outcomes in people with diabetes receiving sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors.

AIM: To assess if early change in albuminuria was linked to an initial change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and long-term kidney outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) receiving sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. METHODS: Using a medical database from a multicentre healthcare institute in Taiwan, we retrospectively enrolled 8310 people receiving SGLT2 inhibitors from 1 June 2016 to 31 December 2021. We compared the risks of initial eGFR decline, major adverse renal events (MARE; >50% eGFR reduction or development of end-stage kidney disease), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: In all, 36.8% (n = 3062) experienced a >30% decrease, 21.0% (n = 1743) experienced a 0%-30% decrease, 14.4% (n = 1199) experienced a 0%-30% increase, and 27.7% (n = 2306) experienced a >30% increase in urine albumin-to-creatine ratio (UACR) after 3 months of SGLT2 inhibitor treatment. Greater acute eGFR decline at 3 months correlated with greater UACR reduction: -3.6 ± 10.9, -2.0 ± 9.5, -1.1 ± 8.6, and -0.3 ± 9.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 for the respective UACR change groups (p < 0.001). Over a median of 29.0 months, >30% UACR decline was associated with a higher risk of >30% initial eGFR decline (hazard ratio [HR] 2.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.61-4.47]), a lower risk of MARE (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.48-0.89), and a comparable risk of MACE or HHF after multivariate adjustment (p < 0.05). The nonlinear analysis showed early UACR decline was linked to a lower risk of MARE but a higher risk of initial steep eGFR decline of >30%. CONCLUSION: Physicians should be vigilant for the potential adverse effects of abrupt eGFR dipping associated with a profound reduction in UACR, despite the favourable long-term kidney outcomes in the population with T2D receiving SGLT2 inhibitor treatment.

Gender Differences in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulants.

Background: Gender is a well-recognized risk factor in atrial fibrillation (AF)-related ischemic stroke. The association of gender with the use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) and prognosis remains unknown. Methods: The National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan identified 203,775 patients with AF aged ≥ 20 years from 2012 to 2018, with 55.4% of males. Our main study cohort included 67,426 patients using OACs. The study endpoints include death, ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, and composite adverse events. Results: Significant differences were found in baseline characteristics between sexes. Female patients with AF were older and had higher CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc and HAS-BLED scores. Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) use was more prominent in females while the use of warfarin was similar in both sexes. The distribution of baseline characteristics between the warfarin and NOAC groups in both sexes was much alike. Among the whole study cohort, NOAC was associated with a decreased risk of clinical endpoints compared to warfarin, which remained the same in subgroup analyses of both sexes. Additionally, a greater risk reduction of ischemic stroke with NOAC was observed in female patients compared to male patients (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.517 in males, 0.425 in females, interaction p = 0.040). Conclusions: This nationwide cohort demonstrated the differences between male and female patients with AF, including baseline characteristics, risk profiles, and medication use. Despite great differences in baseline demographic data, NOAC was associated with better clinical outcomes compared to warfarin in both sexes, and females benefited more than males in preventing ischemic stroke using NOACs.

Combination therapy of beta-blockers and digoxin is associated with increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the GLORIA-AF registry.

The effect of digoxin and beta-blockers on cardiovascular outcomes and mortality remains unclear. The study aimed to determine differences in cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and death rates among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who were prescribed with beta-blockers, digoxin or combination therapy. Data from phase II/III of the prospective Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) were analysed. The risk of major cardiovascular events (MACE) and death among patients with different prescriptions using COX proportional hazard regression was considered. Propensity score (PS) matching and weighting were further used to adjust for potential confounders of prescription use. A total of 14,201 patients [median age: 71.0 (IQR 64.0-77.0) years; 46.2% female] were recruited. After a median follow-up of 3.0 (IQR 2.4-3.1) years, 864 MACE, and 988 all-cause deaths were recorded. The incidence rate (IR) of MACE was 22.4 (95%CI 21.0-24.0) per 1000 person-years, while the IR of all-cause death was 25.4 (95%CI 23.8-27.0) per 1000 person-years. After multivariate adjustment with Cox regression, the risk of MACE (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.09-1.68) and the risk of all-cause death (HR 1.28, 95%CI 1.04-1.57) were significantly higher in the combination therapy group, compared to the beta-blockers alone group. The risks of MACE and all-cause death remained significant in both PS matched and PS weighted cohort Among AF patients, combination therapy of beta-blockers and digoxin was associated with higher risks of MACE and all-cause death compared to beta-blockers alone.

Signal-averaged electrocardiography as a noninvasive tool for evaluating the ventricular substrate in patients with nonischemic cardiomyopathy: reassessment of an old tool.

Introduction: Signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG) provides diagnostic and prognostic information regarding cardiac diseases. However, its value in other nonischemic cardiomyopathies (NICMs) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the role of SAECG in patients with NICM. Methods and results: This retrospective study included consecutive patients with NICM who underwent SAECG, biventricular substrate mapping, and ablation for ventricular arrhythmia (VA). Patients with baseline ventricular conduction disturbances were excluded. Patients who fulfilled at least one SAECG criterion were categorized into Group 1, and the other patients were categorized into Group 2. Baseline and ventricular substrate characteristics were compared between the two groups. The study included 58 patients (39 men, mean age 50.4 ± 15.5 years), with 34 and 24 patients in Groups 1 and 2, respectively. Epicardial mapping was performed in eight (23.5%) and six patients (25.0%) in Groups 1 and 2 (p = 0.897), respectively. Patients in Group 1 had a more extensive right ventricular (RV) low-voltage zone (LVZ) and scar area than those in Group 2. Group 1 had a larger epicardial LVZ than Group 2. Epicardial late potentials were more frequent in Group 1 than in Group 2. There were more arrhythmogenic foci within the RV outflow tract in Group 1 than in Group 2. There was no significant difference in long-term VA recurrence. Conclusion: In our NICM population, a positive SAECG was associated with a larger RV endocardial scar, epicardial scar/late potentials, and a higher incidence of arrhythmogenic foci in the RV outflow tract.

Educational status and the risk of adverse outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of educational status (ES) on the clinical course of Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: We used data from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry. ES was classified as follows: low (primary school), medium (secondary), and high (University). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Secondary outcomes were each component of the primary outcome, cardiovascular death, and major bleeding. The one-year risk of primary and secondary outcomes was assessed through Cox-regressions. Adherence to the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway was assessed. RESULTS: Among 2697 AF patients (69±12 years, 34.8% females), 34.6% had low ES; 37.3% had medium ES; and 28.1% had high ES. Compared to patients with medium-high ES, patients with low ES were older, more often females, with a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, and a lower ABC pathway adherence (30.4% vs. 40.2%, P<0.001). On multivariable analysis, low ES was associated with a higher risk for the primary outcome (HR 1.52,95%CI 1.11-2.06) and all-cause death (HR 1.76,95%CI 1.10-2.83) than medium-high ES. A significant interaction was found for the risk of composite outcome among the different age strata, with the higher risk in the elderly (P for int=0.008), whereas the beneficial effect of the ABC pathway was irrespective of ES (P for int=0.691). CONCLUSIONS: In Asian AF patients, low ES is associated with high mortality. Efforts to improve education and include ES evaluation in the integrated care approach for AF are necessary to reduce the cardiovascular burden in these patients.

Initial eGFR Changes with SGLT2 Inhibitor in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Associations With the Risk of Abnormal Serum Potassium Level.

BACKGROUND: Both high and low levels of serum potassium measurements are linked with a higher risk of adverse clinical events among patients with type 2 diabetes. The study was aimed at evaluating the implications of the various degrees of initial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) change on subsequent serum potassium homeostasis following sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) initiation among patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used medical data from a multicenter health care provider in Taiwan and recruited 5529 patients with type 2 diabetes with baseline/follow-up eGFR data available after 4 to 12 weeks of SGLT2i treatment from June 1, 2016, to December 31, 2018. SGLT2i treatment was associated with an initial mean (SEM) eGFR decline of -3.5 (0.2) mL/min per 1.73 m2 in overall study participants. A total of 36.7% (n=2028) of patients experienced no eGFR decline, and 57.9% (n=3201) and 5.4% (n=300) of patients experienced an eGFR decline of 0% to 30% and >30%, respectively. Patients with an initial eGFR decline of >30% were associated with higher variability in consequent serum potassium measurement when compared with those without an initial eGFR decline. Participants with a pronounced eGFR decline of >30% were associated with a higher risk of hyperkalemia ≥5.5 (adjusted hazard ratio,4.59 [95% CI, 2.28-9.26]) or use of potassium binder (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.65 [95% CI, 1.78-3.95]) as well as hypokalemia events <3.0 mmol/L (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.21 [95% CI, 1.90-5.42]) or use of potassium supplement (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.37-2.56]) following SGLT2i treatment after multivariate adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: Physicians should be aware that the eGFR trough occurs shortly, and consequent serum potassium changes following SGLT2i initiation.

Patterns of comorbidities in patients with atrial fibrillation and impact on management and long-term prognosis: an analysis from the Prospective Global GLORIA-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Clinical complexity, as the interaction between ageing, frailty, multimorbidity and polypharmacy, is an increasing concern in patients with AF. There remains uncertainty regarding how combinations of comorbidities influence management and prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to identify phenotypes of AF patients according to comorbidities and to assess associations between comorbidity patterns, drug use and risk of major outcomes. METHODS: From the prospective GLORIA-AF Registry, we performed a latent class analysis based on 18 diseases, encompassing cardiovascular, metabolic, respiratory and other conditions; we then analysed the association between phenotypes of patients and (i) treatments received and (ii) the risk of major outcomes. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary exploratory outcomes were also analysed. RESULTS: 32,560 AF patients (mean age 70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.4% females) were included. We identified 6 phenotypes: (i) low complexity (39.2% of patients); (ii) cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (28.2%); (iii) atherosclerotic (10.2%); (iv) thromboembolic (8.1%); (v) cardiometabolic (7.6%) and (vi) high complexity (6.6%). Higher use of oral anticoagulants was found in more complex groups, with highest magnitude observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity phenotypes (odds ratio and 95% confidence interval CI): 1.76 [1.49-2.09] and 1.57 [1.35-1.81], respectively); similar results were observed for beta-blockers and verapamil or diltiazem. We found higher risk of the primary outcome in all phenotypes, except the CV risk factor one, with highest risk observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity groups (hazard ratio and 95%CI: 1.37 [1.13-1.67] and 1.47 [1.24-1.75], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities influence management and long-term prognosis of patients with AF. Patients with complex phenotypes may require comprehensive and holistic approaches to improve their prognosis.

Adverse Events and Clinical Correlates in Asian Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Diabetes Mellitus: A Report from Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society Atrial Fibrillation Registry.

Aims. To evaluate the adverse events (and its clinical correlates) in a large prospective cohort of Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM). Material and Methods. We recruited patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) from the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) AF Registry and included those for whom the diabetic mellitus (DM) status was known. We used Cox-regression analysis to assess the 1-year risk of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, heart failure and major bleeding. Results. Of 4058 patients (mean age 68.5 ± 11.8 years; 34.4% females) considered for this analysis, 999 (24.6%) had DM (age 71 ± 11 years, 36.4% females). Patients with DM had higher mean CHA2DS2-VASc (2.3 ± 1.6 vs. 4.0 ± 1.5, p < 0.001) and HAS-BLED (1.3 ± 1.0 vs. 1.7 ± 1.1, p < 0.001) risk scores and were less treated with rhythm control strategies compared to patients without DM (18.7% vs. 22.0%). After 1-year of follow-up, patients with DM had higher incidence of all-cause death (4.9% vs. 2.3%, p < 0.001), cardiovascular death (1.3% vs. 0.4%, p = 0.003), and major bleeding (1.8% vs. 0.9%, p = 0.002) compared to those without DM. On Cox regression analysis, adjusted for age, sex, heart failure, coronary and peripheral artery diseases and previous thromboembolic event, DM was independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.00-2.19), cardiovascular death (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.01-5.40), and major bleeding (HR 1.91, 95% 1.01-3.60). On interaction analysis, the impact of DM in determining the risk of all-cause death was greater in young than in older patients (p int = 0.010). Conclusions. Given the high rates of adverse outcomes in these Asian AF patients with DM, efforts to optimize the management approach of these high-risk patients in a holistic or integrated care approach are needed.

Risk of Death and Cardiovascular Events in Asian Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Report From the Prospective APHRS Registry.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with an increased risk of adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); however, few data are available on this topic in Asian populations. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective observational study conducted on patients with AF enrolled in the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) AF Registry. The diagnosis of COPD was based on data reported in the case report form by the investigators. Cox-regression models were used to assess the 1-year risk of a primary composite outcome of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Analysis on single outcomes and cardiovascular death was also performed. Interaction analysis was used to assess the risk of composite outcome and all-cause death in different subgroups. The study included 4094 patients with AF (mean±SD age 68.5±12 years, 34.6% female), of whom 112 (2.7%) had COPD. Patients with COPD showed a higher incidence of the primary composite outcome (25.1% versus 6.3%, P<0.001), all-cause death (14.9% versus 2.6%, P<0.001), cardiovascular death (2.0% versus 0.6%, P<0.001), and heart failure (8.3% versus 6.0%, P<0.001). On multiple Cox-regression analysis, COPD was associated with a higher risk of the primary composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 3.17 [95% CI, 2.05-4.90]), all-cause death (HR, 3.59 [95% CI, 2.04-6.30]), and heart failure (HR, 3.32 [95% CI, 1.56-7.03]); no statistically significant differences were found for other outcomes. The association between COPD and mortality was significantly modified by the use of beta blockers (Pint=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: In Asian patients with AF, COPD is associated with worse prognosis. In patients with AF and COPD, the use of beta blockers was associated with a lower mortality. REGISTRATION INFORMATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT04807049.

SGLT2 inhibitors vs. GLP-1 receptor agonists and clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes with/without atrial fibrillation.

CONTEXT: The coexistence of diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with substantial risks of adverse cardiovascular events. OBJECTIVE: The relevant outcomes associated with the use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) with/without concomitant AF remained unknown. METHODS: In this nationwide retrospective cohort study from Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, there were 344,392 and 31,351 patients with T2D without AF, and 11,462 and 816 T2D patients with AF treated with SGLT2i and GLP-1RA from May 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019. Patients were followed from the drug-index date until the occurrence of study events, discontinuation of the index drug, or the end of the study period (December 31, 2020), whichever occurred first. We used propensity score stabilized weight to balance covariates across two medication groups. RESULTS: The incidence rate of all study outcomes in patients with concomitant AF was much higher than in those without concomitant AF. For the AF cohort, SGLT2i vs. GLP-1RA was associated with a lower risk of hospitalization for heart failure (2.32 vs. 4.74 events per 100 person-years; hazard ratio (HR):0.48 [95% confidential interval (CI):0.36-0.66]), with no benefit seen for the non-AF cohort (P for homogeneity < 0.01). SGLT2i vs. GLP-1RA was associated with a lower risk of composite kidney outcomes both in the AF (0.38 vs. 0.79 events per 100 person-years; HR:0.47; [95%CI:0.23-0.96]) and non-AF cohorts (0.09 vs. 0.18 events per 100 person-years; HR:0.53; [95%CI:0.43-0.64]). There were no significant differences in the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in those who received SGLT2i compared to GLP-1RA for the AF or non-AF cohorts. CONCLUSION: Considering the high risk of developing HF and/or high prevalence of concomitant HF in patients with diabetes, whether SGLT2i should be the preferred treatment to GLP-1RA for such a high-risk population requires further investigation.

The optimal antithrombotic strategy for post-stroke patients with atrial fibrillation and extracranial artery stenosis-a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In post-stroke atrial fibrillation (AF) patients who have indications for both oral anticoagulant (OAC) and antiplatelet agent (AP), e.g., those with carotid artery stenosis, there is debate over the best antithrombotic strategy. We aimed to compare the risks of ischemic stroke, composite of ischemic stroke/major bleeding and composite of ischemic stroke/intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) between different antithrombotic strategies. METHODS: This study included post-stroke AF patients with and without extracranial artery stenosis (ECAS) (n = 6390 and 28,093, respectively) identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Risks of clinical outcomes and net clinical benefit (NCB) with different antithrombotic strategies were compared to AP alone. RESULTS: The risk of recurrent ischemic stroke was higher for patients with ECAS than those without (12.72%/yr versus 10.60/yr; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.104, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.052-1.158, p < 0.001). For patients with ECAS, when compared to AP only, non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) monotherapy was associated with lower risks for ischaemic stroke (aHR 0.551, 95% CI 0.454-0.669), the composite of ischaemic stroke/major bleeding (aHR 0.626, 95% CI 0.529-0.741) and the composite of ischaemic stroke/ICH (aHR 0.577, 95% CI 0.478-0.697), with non-significant difference for major bleeding and ICH. When compared to AP only, warfarin monotherapy was associated with higher risks of major bleeding (aHR 1.521, 95% CI 1.231-1.880), ICH (aHR 2.045, 95% CI 1.329-3.148), and the composite of ischaemic stroke and major bleeding. With combination of AP plus warfarin, there was an increase in ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, and the composite outcomes, when compared to AP only. NOAC monotherapy was the only approach associated with a positive NCB, while all other options (warfarin, combination of AP-OAC) were associated with negative NCB. CONCLUSIONS: For post-stroke AF patients with ECAS, NOAC monotherapy was associated with lower risks of adverse outcomes and a positive NCB. Combination of AP with NOAC or warfarin did not offer any benefit, but more bleeding especially with AP-warfarin combination therapy.

Feasibility of Auto-Quantified Epicardial Adipose Tissue in Predicting Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Catheter Ablation.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to build an auto-segmented artificial intelligence model of the atria and epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) on computed tomography (CT) images, and examine the prognostic significance of auto-quantified left atrium (LA) and EAT volumes for AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective study included 334 patients with AF who were referred for catheter ablation (CA) between 2015 and 2017. Atria and EAT volumes were auto-quantified using a pre-trained 3-dimensional (3D) U-Net model from pre-ablation CT images. After adjusting for factors associated with AF, Cox regression analysis was used to examine predictors of AF recurrence. The mean (±SD) age of patients was 56±11 years; 251 (75%) were men, and 79 (24%) had non-paroxysmal AF. Over 2 years of follow-up, 139 (42%) patients experienced recurrence. Diabetes, non-paroxysmal AF, non-pulmonary vein triggers, mitral line ablation, and larger LA, right atrium, and EAT volume indices were linked to increased hazards of AF recurrence. After multivariate adjustment, non-paroxysmal AF (hazard ratio [HR] 0.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.4-0.8; P=0.003) and larger LA-EAT volume index (HR 1.1; 95% CI 1.0-1.2; P=0.009) remained independent predictors of AF recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: LA-EAT volume measured using the auto-quantified 3D U-Net model is feasible for predicting AF recurrence after CA, regardless of AF type.

Atrial fibrillation: stroke prevention.

Stroke prevention is central to the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) which has moved towards a more holistic or integrative care approach. The published evidence suggests that management of AF patients following such a holistic approach based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway is associated with a lower risk of stroke and adverse events. Risk assessment, re-assessment and use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are important for stroke prevention in AF. The stroke and bleeding risks of AF patients are not static and should be re-assessed regularly. Bleeding risk assessment is to address and mitigate modifiable bleeding risk factors, and to identify high bleeding risk patients for early review and follow-up. Well-controlled comorbidities and healthy lifestyles also play an important role to achieve a better clinical outcome. Digital health solutions are increasingly relevant in the diagnosis and management of patients with AF, with the potential to improve stroke prevention. In this review, we provide an update on stroke prevention in AF, including importance of holistic management, risk assessment/re-assessment, and stroke prevention for special AF populations. Evidence-based and structured management of AF patients would reduce the risk of stroke and other adverse events.

Predicting stroke in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation using machine learning: A report from the KERALA-AF registry, with external validation in the APHRS-AF registry.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant risk factor for stroke. Based on the higher stroke associated with AF in the South Asian population, we constructed a one-year stroke prediction model using machine learning (ML) methods in KERALA-AF South Asian cohort. External validation was performed in the prospective APHRS-AF registry. We studied 2101 patients and 83 were to patients with stroke in KERALA-AF registry. The random forest showed the best predictive performance in the internal validation with receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) and G-mean of 0.821 and 0.427, respectively. In the external validation, the light gradient boosting machine showed the best predictive performance with AUC and G-mean of 0.670 and 0.083, respectively. We report the first demonstration of ML's applicability in an Indian prospective cohort, although the more modest prediction on external validation in a separate multinational Asian registry suggests the need for ethnic-specific ML models.

Use of artificial intelligence and I-Score for prediction of recurrence before catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Based solely on pre-ablation characteristics, previous risk scores have demonstrated variable predictive performance. This study aimed to predict the recurrence of AF after catheter ablation by using artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled pre-ablation computed tomography (PVCT) images and pre-ablation clinical data. METHODS: A total of 638 drug-refractory paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) patients undergone ablation were recruited. For model training, we used left atria (LA) acquired from pre-ablation PVCT slices (126,288 images). A total of 29 clinical variables were collected before ablation, including baseline characteristics, medical histories, laboratory results, transthoracic echocardiographic parameters, and 3D reconstructed LA volumes. The I-Score was applied to select variables for model training. For the prediction of one-year AF recurrence, PVCT deep-learning and clinical variable machine-learning models were developed. We then applied machine learning to ensemble the PVCT and clinical variable models. RESULTS: The PVCT model achieved an AUC of 0.63 in the test set. Various combinations of clinical variables selected by I-Score can yield an AUC of 0.72, which is significantly better than all variables or features selected by nonparametric statistics (AUCs of 0.66 to 0.69). The ensemble model (PVCT images and clinical variables) significantly improved predictive performance up to an AUC of 0.76 (sensitivity of 86.7% and specificity of 51.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Before ablation, AI-enabled PVCT combined with I-Score features was applicable in predicting recurrence in paroxysmal AF patients. Based on all possible predictors, the I-Score is capable of identifying the most influential combination.

Which dose of apixaban is suitable for Asian patients with atrial fibrillation who have a serum creatinine < 1.5 mg/dL but an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 50 mL/min?

Introduction: Reduced-dose (Low-dose [LD]) apixaban is recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who fulfill 2 of 3 criteria: age ≥ 80 years, body weight ≤ 60 kg, and a serum creatinine (sCr) ≥ 1.5 mg/dl. However, the suitable (appropriate) dose for Asian patients who have a sCr < 1.5 mg/dl but an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 50 mL/min is unknown. Methods: This is a retrospective study using the Chang Gung Memorial hospital medical database in Taiwan. A total of 13,508 AF patients receiving oral anticoagulants (OACs) from 2012 to 2018 were reviewed and 1595 patients with a sCr < 1.5 mg/dL and an eGFR < 50 mL/min who met 1 criterion of dose reduction of apixaban other than sCr (that is, age ≥ 80 years or body weight < 60 kg) were identified. Clinical outcomes were compared between LD and SD apixaban versus warfarin. Results: Their OACs use was as follows: 343 receiving apixaban (128 patients on standard dose [SD] and 215 on LD), 174 receiving warfarin, and 1078 on other NOACs. Patients with an eGFR < 50 mL/min had higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.264; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.086-1.472) and composite endpoint of 'ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (IS/SE) or major bleeding or mortality (aHR, 1.202; 95 % CI, 1.056-1.370) compared to those with an eGFR ≥ 50 mL/min whereas the risk of IS/SE and major bleeding were similar. LD apixaban was associated with lower risk of composite endpoint of IS/SE or major bleeding (aHR, 0.567; 95 % CI, 0.331 - 0.972), mortality (aHR, 0.336; 95 % CI, 0.138 - 0.815), and 'IS/SE or major bleeding or mortality (aHR, 0.551; 95 % CI, 0343 - 0.886) compared to warfarin while the risk was comparable between SD apixaban and warfarin (aHR, 0.745; 95 % CI, 0.402 - 1.378; aHR, 0.407; 95 % CI, 0.145 - 1.143; aHR, 0.619; 95 % CI, 0.354 - 1.084, respectively). Conclusion: In patients with sCr < 1.5 mg/dL and eGFR < 50 mL/min, SD and LD apixaban were comparable in the prevention of IS/SE, but LD apixaban was superior in reducing the composite endpoint of 'IS/SE or major bleeding or mortality'. Therefore, LD apixaban might be a preferred dose for this population.