The 2017 Women's Health Initiative study and use of hormone therapy: an emulated repeated cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Hormone therapy (HT) use among menopausal women declined after negative information from the 2002 Women's Health Initiative (WHI) HT study. The 2017 post-intervention follow-up WHI study revealed that HT did not increase long-term mortality. However, studies on the effects of the updated WHI findings are lacking. Thus, we assessed the impact of the 2017 WHI findings on HT use in Taiwan. METHODS: We identified 1,869,050 women aged 50-60 years, between June and December 2017, from health insurance claims data to compare HT use in the 3 months preceding and following September 2017. To address the limitations associated with interval-censored data, we employed an emulated repeated cross-sectional design. Using logistic regression analysis, we evaluated the impact of the 2017 WHI study on menopausal symptom-related outpatient visits and HT use. In a scenario analysis, we examined the impact of the 2002 trial on HT use to validate our study design. RESULTS: Study participants' baseline characteristics before and after the 2017 WHI study were not significantly different. Logistic regressions demonstrated that the 2017 study had no significant effect on outpatient visits for menopause-related symptoms or HT use among women with outpatient visits. The scenario analysis confirmed the negative impact of the 2002 WHI trial on HT use. CONCLUSIONS: The 2017 WHI study did not demonstrate any impact on either menopause-related outpatient visits or HT use among middle-aged women in Taiwan. Our emulated cross-sectional study design may be employed in similar population-based policy intervention studies using interval-censored data.

Cost-effectiveness of ivosidenib versus chemotherapy for previously treated IDH1-mutant advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: International guidelines recommend ivosidenib followed by modified FOLFOX (mFOLFOX) for advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) with isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1) mutations. Taiwan National Health Insurance covers only fluorouracil/leucovorin (5-FU/LV) chemotherapy for this ICC group, and there has been no prior economic evaluation of ivosidenib. Therefore, we aimed to assess ivosidenib's cost-effectiveness in previously treated, advanced ICC-presenting IDH1 mutations compared with mFOLFOX or 5-FU/LV. METHODS: A 3-state partitioned survival model was employed to assess ivosidenib's cost-effectiveness over a 10-year horizon with a 3% discount rate, setting the willingness-to-pay threshold at 3 times the 2022 GDP per capita. Efficacy data for Ivosidenib, mFOLFOX, and 5-FU/LV were sourced from the ClarIDHy, ABC06, and NIFTY trials, respectively. Ivosidenib's cost was assumed to be NT$10,402/500 mg. Primary outcomes included incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and net monetary benefit. Deterministic sensitivity analyses (DSA) and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were employed to evaluate uncertainty and explore price reduction scenarios. RESULTS: Ivosidenib exhibited ICERs of NT$6,268,528 and NT$5,670,555 compared with mFOLFOX and 5-FU/LV, respectively, both exceeding the established threshold. PSA revealed that ivosidenib was unlikely to be cost-effective, except when it was reduced to NT$4,161 and NT$5,201/500 mg when compared with mFOLFOX and 5-FU/LV, respectively. DSA underscored the significant influence of ivosidenib's cost and utility values on estimate uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: At NT$10,402/500 mg, ivosidenib was not cost-effective for IDH1-mutant ICC patients compared with mFOLFOX or 5-FU/LV, indicating that a 50-60% price reduction is necessary for ivosidenib to be cost-effective in this patient group.

Cost-effectiveness of pemigatinib as a second-line treatment for advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma with fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 fusions in Taiwan: from the evidence of the phase II trial and the perspective of Taiwan's National Health Insurance Administration.

BACKGROUND: In December 2022, the Taiwan National Health Insurance Administration (NHIA) announced the reimbursement of three dosages of pemigatinib 4.5 mg, 9 mg, and 13.5 mg for treating advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) with fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) fusions/rearrangements and set the reimbursement price for pemigatinib 4.5 mg at NT$6600. This study aims to analyze the cost-effectiveness of pemigatinib 13.5 mg as a second-line treatment compared to mFOLFOX and 5-FU chemotherapy for advanced ICC patients with FGFR2 fusions/rearrangements from the perspective of Taiwan's NHIA. METHODS: This study used a 3-state partitioned survival model to analyze the 5 year cost-effectiveness of pemigatinib as a second-line treatment for advanced ICC patients in whom first-line gemcitabine-based chemotherapy failed and to compare the results with those for the mFOLFOX and 5-FU chemotherapy regimens. Overall survival and progression-free survival were estimated from the FIGHT-202 trial (pemigatinib), ABC-06 trial (mFOLFOX), and NIFTY trial (5-FU). The price of pemigatinib 13.5 mg was set at the potentially highest listing price (NT$17,820). Other parameters of utility, disutility, and costs related to advanced ICC were obtained from the published literature. The willingness-to-pay threshold was three times the forecasted gross domestic product per capita in 2022 (NT$2,928,570). A 3% discount rate was applied to quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs. Several scenario analyses were performed, including a gradual price reduction for pemigatinib. Deterministic sensitivity analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA), and value of information were performed to assess uncertainty. RESULTS: Pemigatinib was not cost-effective compared to mFOLFOX or 5-FU in the base-case analysis. When the price of pemigatinib was reduced by 50% or more, pemigatinib gained a positive net monetary benefit (mFOLFOX: NT$55,374; 5-FU: NT$92,437) and a 72% (mFOLFOX) and 77.1% (5-FU) probability of being cost-effective. Most of the uncertainty came from the medication cost of pemigatinib, health state utility, and the overall survival associated with pemigatinib. CONCLUSIONS: According to the NCCN guidelines, the daily use of pemigatinib 13.5 mg at the hypothesized NHIA price of NT$17,820/13.5 mg was not cost-effective compared to mFOLFOX or 5-FU. The price reduction scenario suggested a 50% price reduction, NT$8910 per 13.5 mg, for advanced ICC patients with FGFR2 fusions/rearrangements.

This study performed a cost-effectiveness analysis on the use of targeted therapy pemigatinib 13.5 mg daily in second-line treatment for Taiwanese patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) harboring FGFR2 fusions/rearrangements. This regimen was approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in 2020 and recommended by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN). Taiwan's National Health Insurance Administration (NHIA) has announced the reimbursement of three pemigatinib dosages of 4.5 mg, 9 mg, and 13.5 mg to be listed in the NHI coverage in 2022. However, as of the middle of April 2023, only the listing price for pemigatinib 4.5 mg has been determined, while pricing for the other two dosages remains pending. Based on a hypothesized NHIA price of NT$17,820/13.5 mg, this study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pemigatinib 13.5 mg as a second-line treatment for advanced ICC with FGFR2 fusions/rearrangements compared to mFOLFOX (a regimen recommended by NCCN) and 5-FU (a regimen fully covered by Taiwan NHIA) and recommended a listing price for NHIA as reference. Our study showed that the hypothesized price of NT$17,820/13.5 mg was not cost-effective compared to mFOLFOX or 5-FU. The price reduction scenario suggested a 50% reduction (NT$8910) in the hypothesized NHIA price for advanced ICC patients with FGFR2 fusions/rearrangements.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a New Second-Line Treatment Regimen for Advanced Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Biomarker-Driven Targeted Therapy of Pemigatinib Versus 5-FU Chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The National Comprehensive Cancer Network recommends a second-line treatment of pemigatinib for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma with fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) fusions/rearrangements and modified FOLFOX (mFOLFOX) for those without FGFR2 alterations. However, these regimens are not yet covered by Taiwa's National Health Insurance. This cost-effectiveness analysis evaluated the cost-effectiveness of the pemigatinib/mFOLFOX regimen as the second-line treatment for advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma based on FGFR2 status in comparison with the regimen of fluorouracil chemotherapy and provided a cost-effectiveness analysis-based reference price for pemigatinib. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model with a 5-year time horizon was constructed for patients with advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who did not respond to first-line therapy. Overall and progression-free survival functions of pemigatinib, mFOLFOX, and fluorouracil were estimated from the FIGHT-202, ABC-06, and NIFTY trials, respectively. The utility of health states and disutility of adverse events were obtained from the literature. The genetic testing fee and price of pemigatinib were set as the market price. Other costs related to advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma were calculated using National Health Insurance claims data. The willingness-to-pay threshold was three times the gross domestic product per capita in 2021 (NT$2,889,684). A 3% discount rate was applied to quality-adjusted life-years and costs. Scenario analyses included a gradual price reduction of pemigatinib, alternative survival models, application of a National Health Insurance payment conversion factor to non-medication costs, and consideration of life-years as effectiveness. A deterministic sensitivity analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis, and a value of information analysis were performed. RESULTS: The new regimen provided an incremental 0.13 quality-adjusted life-years, with incremental costs of NT$459,697, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of NT$3,411,098 per quality-adjusted life-year and an incremental net monetary benefit of - NT$70,268. The new regimen was found to be 53.2% cost effective in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. The expected value of uncertainty measured by the expected value of perfect information was NT$80,695/person. In scenario analyses, the incremental net monetary benefit was positive when the price of pemigatinib was reduced by 40% or more. When applying a conversion factor to non-medical costs, the probability of the new regimen being cost effective was slightly increased from 53.2 to 56.5% compared with the base-case analysis. The utility and the cost of the new regimen were the main drivers of uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: Although the new second-line genetic-based and biomarker-driven regimen of pemigatinib/mFOLFOX appears not cost effective for patients with advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in the base-case analysis, our analysis suggests it is highly likely to be cost effective in the case of a 40% price reduction on pemigatinib.

Impacts of intervals between sequential development of depression and dementia in older adults: A nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Depression has been reported as a risk factor for dementia, as well as the continuation of dementia development. This study aimed to stratify older people with dementia (PwD) into three groups (no depression, early depression and recent depression) to compare their inpatient health care utilization and to explore related clinical impacts. METHODS: Overall, 11,612 PwD were identified from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database and were further divided into 9,257 PwD without depression, 1,179 PwD with recent depression (< 2 years from dementia diagnosis), and 1,176 PwD with early depression (> 2 years from dementia diagnosis). Three matched cohort pairs (Cohort 1: no depression versus recent depression, Cohort 2: no depression versus early depression, and Cohort 3: recent depression versus early depression) were constructed to compare inpatient health care utilization three years after dementia onset. RESULTS: The incidence of hospitalization related to mental illness among PwD with a recent or early depression onset were significantly higher than their matched cohort without depression. The recent depression group had a greater rate ratio (RR) with a longer length of stay due to depression (RR: 8.29, 95% CI: 2.74-25.12) compared to the no depression group, and the early depression group had 4.24 times (95% CI: 1.56-11.59) and 6.40 times (95% CI: 2.18-18.82) longer length of stay than the no depression group due to depression, and mood disorders. CONCLUSIONS: Depression significantly increased inpatient health care utilization of depression and mood disorder among older PwD with early depression.