Using routine health-care data to search for unknown transfusion-transmitted disease: a nationwide, agnostic retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Identification and prevention of transfusion-transmitted disease is essential for blood transfusion safety. However, current surveillance systems are largely driven by reports of sentinel events, which is an approach that might be inadequate for identifying transmission of pathogens not known to be transmissible or pathogens with long incubation periods. Using a combination of health-data registers and blood-bank databases, we aimed to perform an agnostic search for potential transfusion-transmitted diseases and to identify unknown threats to the blood supply. METHODS: In this nationwide, agnostic retrospective cohort study, we developed a systematic algorithm for performing a phenome-wide search for transfusion-transmitted disease without consideration of any a-priori suspicion of blood-borne transmissibility. We applied this algorithm to a nationwide Swedish transfusion database (SCANDAT-3S) to test for possible transmission of 1155 disease entities based on all relevant diagnostic coding systems in use during the period. We ascertained health outcomes of blood donors and transfusion recipients from the Swedish National Inpatient Register, Swedish Cause of Death Register, and Swedish Cancer Register. Analyses were two-pronged, studying both disease diagnosis concordance between donors and recipients and a possible shared increased disease risk among all recipients of a given donor. For both approaches, we used Cox proportional hazards regression models with time-dependent covariates. Adjustment for multiple comparisons was done using a false discovery rate method. FINDINGS: The analyses included data on 1·72 million patients who had received 18·97 million transfusions (red blood cell, plasma, platelet, or whole blood units) between Jan 1, 1968, and Dec 31, 2017, from 1·04 million blood donors. The median follow-up was 4·5 (IQR 0·9-11·4) years for recipients and 18·5 (8·3-26·2) years for donors. We found evidence of transfusion-transmission for 15 diseases, of which 13 were validated using a second conceptually different approach. We identified transmission of viral hepatitis and its complications (eg, oesophageal varices) but also transmission of other conditions (eg, pneumonia of unknown origin). The diseases that could not be validated in this second approach, HIV and abnormal findings in specimens from male genital organs, were not statistically significant after adjustment for multiple testing. The effect sizes were small (close to 1) for other conditions. INTERPRETATION: We find no strong evidence of unexpected, widespread transfusion-transmitted disease. This novel approach serves as a proof-of-concept for agnostic, data-driven surveillance for transfusion-transmitted disease using routinely collected blood-bank and health-care data. FUNDING: Department of Health and Human Services, US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, US National Institutes of Health, Swedish Research Council and Region Stockholm.

Intracerebral Hemorrhage Among Blood Donors and Their Transfusion Recipients.

Importance: Recent reports have suggested that cerebral amyloid angiopathy, a common cause of multiple spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhages (ICHs), may be transmissible through parenteral injection of contaminated cadaveric pituitary hormone in humans. Objective: To determine whether spontaneous ICH in blood donors after blood donation is associated with development of spontaneous ICH in transfusion recipients. Design, Setting, and Participants: Exploratory retrospective cohort study using nationwide blood bank and health register data from Sweden (main cohort) and Denmark (validation cohort) and including all 1 089 370 patients aged 5 to 80 years recorded to have received a red blood cell transfusion from January 1, 1970 (Sweden), or January 1, 1980 (Denmark), until December 31, 2017. Exposures: Receipt of red blood cell transfusions from blood donors who subsequently developed (1) a single spontaneous ICH, (2) multiple spontaneous ICHs, or (3) no spontaneous ICH. Main Outcomes and Measures: Spontaneous ICH in transfusion recipients; ischemic stroke was a negative control outcome. Results: A total of 759 858 patients from Sweden (median age, 65 [IQR, 48-73] years; 59% female) and 329 512 from Denmark (median age, 64 [IQR, 50-73] years; 58% female) were included, with a median follow-up of 5.8 (IQR, 1.4-12.5) years and 6.1 (IQR, 1.5-11.6) years, respectively. Patients who underwent transfusion with red blood cell units from donors who developed multiple spontaneous ICHs had a significantly higher risk of a single spontaneous ICH themselves, compared with patients receiving transfusions from donors who did not develop spontaneous ICH, in both the Swedish cohort (unadjusted incidence rate [IR], 3.16 vs 1.12 per 1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.73; 95% CI, 1.72-4.35; P < .001) and the Danish cohort (unadjusted IR, 2.82 vs 1.09 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.04-5.19; P = .04). No significant difference was found for patients receiving transfusions from donors who developed a single spontaneous ICH in the Swedish cohort (unadjusted IR, 1.35 vs 1.12 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.84-1.36; P = .62) nor the Danish cohort (unadjusted IR, 1.36 vs 1.09 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.70-1.60; P = .73), nor for ischemic stroke as a negative control outcome. Conclusions and Relevance: In an exploratory analysis of patients who received red blood cell transfusions, patients who underwent transfusion with red blood cells from donors who later developed multiple spontaneous ICHs were at significantly increased risk of spontaneous ICH themselves. This may suggest a transfusion-transmissible agent associated with some types of spontaneous ICH, although the findings may be susceptible to selection bias and residual confounding, and further research is needed to investigate if transfusion transmission of cerebral amyloid angiopathy might explain this association.

A population-based, retrospective cohort study of the association between ABO blood group and risk of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have investigated associations between ABO blood group and risk of COVID-19, with inconsistent results. OBJECTIVE: To study associations between ABO blood group and risk of different stages of COVID-19. METHODS: The study was based on nationwide registers encompassing all blood-grouped persons in Sweden, and all of their COVID-19-related outcomes. Associations between ABO blood group and COVID-19 outcomes were estimated using Poisson regression models. Analyses were conducted overall and stratified by vaccination status. RESULTS: A total of 4,986,878 individuals were included. The incidence rate ratios of testing positive for COVID-19 were 1.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.08), 1.06 (95% CI, 1.05-1.07), and 1.01 (95% CI, 1.00-1.01) for blood groups A, AB, and B, respectively, as compared to O. Similar associations were seen for risk of hospital admissions, intensive care unit admissions, and risk of death. For most outcomes, associations with ABO blood group were much attenuated or even reversed in vaccinated individuals. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with blood groups A, AB, and B are at increased risk of contracting COVID-19 as well as developing more severe forms of the disease.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratios in Patients Undergoing Aortic Valve Replacement: The PARTNER Trials and Registries.

Background The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a marker of systemic inflammation has been associated with worse prognosis in several chronic disease states, including heart failure. However, few data exist on the prognostic impact of elevated baseline NLR or change in NLR levels during follow-up in patients undergoing transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement (TAVR or SAVR) for aortic stenosis. Methods and Results NLR was available in 5881 patients with severe aortic stenosis receiving TAVR or SAVR in PARTNER (Placement of Aortic Transcatheter Valves) I, II, and S3 trials/registries (median [Q1, Q3] NLR, 3.30 [2.40, 4.90]); mean NLR, 4.10; range, 0.5-24.9) and was evaluated as continuous variable and categorical tertiles (low: NLR ≤2.70, n=1963; intermediate: NLR 2.70-4.20, n=1958; high: NLR ≥4.20, n=1960). No patients had known baseline infection. High baseline NLR was associated with increased risk of death or rehospitalization at 3 years (58.4% versus 41.0%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.39; 95% CI, 1.18-1.63; P<0.0001) compared with those with low NLR, irrespective of treatment modality. In both patients treated with TAVR and patients treated with SAVR, NLR decreased between baseline and 2 years. A 1-unit observed decrease in NLR between baseline and 1 year was associated with lower risk of death or rehospitalization between 1 year and 3 years (aHR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.82-0.89; P<0.0001). Conclusions Elevated baseline NLR was independently associated with increased subsequent mortality and rehospitalization after TAVR or SAVR. The observed decrease in NLR after TAVR or SAVR was associated with improved outcomes. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00530894, NCT0134313, NCT02184442, NCT03225001, NCT0322141.

Adverse outcomes in chronic myeloid leukemia patients treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors: Follow-up of patients diagnosed 2002-2017 in a complete coverage and nationwide agnostic register study.

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have profoundly improved the clinical outcome for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), but their overall survival is still subnormal and the treatment is associated with adverse events. In a large cohort-study, we assessed the morbidity in 1328 Swedish CML chronic phase patients diagnosed 2002-2017 and treated with TKIs, as compared to that in carefully matched control individuals. Several Swedish patient registers with near-complete nationwide coverage were utilized for data acquisition. Median follow-up was 6 (IQR, 3-10) years with a total follow-up of 8510 person-years for the full cohort. Among 670 analyzed disease categories, the patient cohort showed a significantly increased risk in 142 while, strikingly, no category was more common in controls. Increased incidence rate ratios/IRR (95% CI) for more severe events among patients included acute myocardial infarction (AMI) 2.0 (1.5-2.6), heart failure 2.6 (2.2-3.2), pneumonia 2.8 (2.3-3.5), and unspecified sepsis 3.5 (2.6-4.7). When comparing patients on 2nd generation TKIs vs. imatinib in a within-cohort analysis, nilotinib generated elevated IRRs for AMI (2.9; 1.5-5.6) and chronic ischemic heart disease (2.2; 1.2-3.9), dasatinib for pleural effusion (11.6; 7.6-17.7) and infectious complications, for example, acute upper respiratory infections (3.0; 1.4-6.0). Our extensive real-world data reveal significant risk increases of severe morbidity in TKI-treated CML patients, as compared to matched controls, particularly for 2nd generation TKIs. Whether this increased morbidity may also translate into increased mortality, thus preventing CML patients to achieve a normalized overall survival, needs to be further explored.

The frequency of misattributed paternity in Sweden is low and decreasing: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of misattributed paternity has consequences throughout society with implications ranging from inheritance and royal succession to transplantation. However, its frequency in Sweden is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the contemporary frequency of misattributed paternity in Sweden. METHODS: The study was based on nationwide ABO blood group data and a nationwide register of familial relationships in Sweden. These data were analysed using both a frequentist Poisson model and the Bayesian Gibbs model. The conduct of the study was approved by the regional ethics committee in Stockholm, Sweden (reference numbers 2018/167-31 and 2019-04656). RESULTS: Nearly two million mother-father-offspring family units were included. Overall, the frequency of misattributed paternity was estimated at 1.7% in both models. Misattributed paternity was more common among parents with low educational levels, and has decreased over time to a current 1%. CONCLUSIONS: The misattributed paternity rate is similar to the rates in other West European populations. Apart from widespread societal implications, studies on heritability may consider misattributed paternity as a minor source of error.

An agnostic study of associations between ABO and RhD blood group and phenome-wide disease risk.

Background: There are multiple known associations between the ABO and RhD blood groups and disease. No systematic population-based studies elucidating associations between a large number of disease categories and blood group have been conducted. Methods: Using SCANDAT3-S, a comprehensive nationwide blood donation-transfusion database, we modeled outcomes for 1217 disease categories including 70 million person-years of follow-up, accruing from 5.1 million individuals. Results: We discovered 49 and 1 associations between a disease and ABO and RhD blood groups, respectively, after adjustment for multiple testing. We identified new associations such as a decreased risk of kidney stones and blood group B as compared to blood group O. We also expanded previous knowledge on other associations such as pregnancy-induced hypertension and blood groups A and AB as compared to blood group O and RhD positive as compared to negative. Conclusions: Our findings generate strong further support for previously known associations, but also indicate new interesting relations. Funding: Swedish Research Council.

The blood types that many people are familiar with, such as O-negative or AB-positive, are determined by two systems of antigens or proteins on the surface of the red blood cells: the ABO system and the RhD system. The ABO system types people's blood as A, B or AB if they have A and/or B antigens, or as type O if they have neither; while the RhD system provides the positive or negative label depending on whether or not the RhD antigen is present. Previous studies have found that some ABO blood groups are linked to increased risk and severity of a variety of conditions, including blood clots in veins, bleeding disorders and gastric ulcers. Despite the known influence that blood groups can have on disease, the connection has not been fully studied in many conditions, particularly for RhD status. Knowing the differences in risk and disease severity between different populations could help clinicians identify individuals that they need to monitor more closely and include blood group information in prediction models. To fill this gap in information, Dahlén et al. systematically looked for relationships between diseases and blood groups using records from 5.1 million people on a Swedish national blood donation-transfusion database. Examining 1,217 disease categories revealed that the vast majority did not appear to have a connection to either the ABO or RhD systems of classifying blood. However, the analysis identified 49 diseases with links to ABO blood types and one linked to RhD status. One notable finding was that people with blood group B have an decreased risk of kidney stones. The distribution of blood groups varies significantly around the world, so this relationship between disease and blood group may in part explain regional differences in disease occurrence. In the future, identifying relationships with blood groups may help to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms of diseases and lead to new avenues of research.

Successful tyrosine kinase inhibitor discontinuation outside clinical trials - data from the population-based Swedish chronic myeloid leukaemia registry.

Clinical trials show that tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment can be discontinued in selected patients with chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML). Although updated CML guidelines support such procedure in clinical routine, data on TKI stopping outside clinical trials are limited. In this retrospective study utilising the Swedish CML registry, we examined TKI discontinuation in a population-based setting. Out of 584 patients diagnosed with chronic-phase CML (CML-CP) in 2007-2012, 548 had evaluable information on TKI discontinuation. With a median follow-up of nine years from diagnosis, 128 (23%) discontinued TKI therapy (≥1 month) due to achieving a DMR (deep molecular response) and 107 (20%) due to other causes (adverse events, allogeneic stem cell transplant, pregnancy, etc). Among those stopping in DMR, 49% re-initiated TKI treatment (median time to restart 4·8 months). In all, 38 patients stopped TKI within a clinical study and 90 outside a study. After 24 months 41·1% of patients discontinuing outside a study had re-initiated TKI treatment. TKI treatment duration pre-stop was longer and proportion treated with second-generation TKI slightly higher outside studies, conceivably affecting the clinical outcome. In summary we show that TKI discontinuation in CML in clinical practice is common and feasible and may be just as successful as when performed within a clinical trial.

Costs associated with transfusion therapy in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes in Sweden: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Blood transfusion is a cornerstone therapy for many patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), but ranges from few to no transfusions to intensive transfusion therapy. To date, no large studies have described transfusion use or costs for patients with MDS, accounting for the range of disease severity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A nationwide cohort study was conducted with all patients diagnosed with MDS in Sweden between 2008 and 2017, based on the Swedish MDS register and the Swedish part of the Scandinavian Donations and Transfusions Database 3 (SCANDAT3-S). Patients were followed from diagnosis until death, emigration, allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation or end of follow-up. Average cumulative transfusion count and costs over time were calculated, stratified by the revised international prognostic scoring system (IPSS-R) and age at diagnosis. Costs calculations used data on incident transfusions and laboratory testing and were divided into: direct material costs, direct labour costs and laboratory costs. RESULTS: In total, 2311 patients were included in the cohort. In the first four years after diagnosis, patients in the very low IPSS-R category received on average 25 red cell (95% confidence interval, 20-32) and 4 (3-7) platelet transfusions. Conversely, patients in the very high-risk category received on average 171 (135-200) red cell and 66 (51-78) platelet transfusions. Correspondingly, transfusion costs ranged from $8805 ($6482-$11 625) to $80 106 ($61 460-$95 792). CONCLUSION: Transfusion count and costs for patients with MDS increased markedly with IPSS-R risk category, but were similar across age groups. Transfusion costs were considerable for the highest IPSS-R risk categories.

Risk of hematological malignancy in blood donors: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There has been a concern that blood donations can increase the risk of hematological malignancies. We investigated if blood donations increase the risk of developing hematological malignancies, specifically acute lymphoblastic leukemia, acute myeloid leukemia (AML), chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), chronic myeloid leukemia, Hodgkin lymphoma, and myeloma, as well other non-Hodgkin lymphoma. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In total, the study included 1,021,433 Swedish blood donors, with 19.5 million person-years of follow-up. Two sets of analysis were performed. In the first cohort analysis, standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated, comparing the incidence of the different types of hematological cancers in blood donors to that of the general population. In the second analysis, a nested case-control study was conducted, investigating the association between number of donations and the risk of each type of malignancy. RESULTS: Apart from a modestly elevated risk of CLL (SIR, 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.15) and a modestly decreased risk of AML (SIR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.77-0.83), the risk of hematological malignancies did not differ between blood donors and the general population. In the nested case-control study there were no convincing associations between number of prior whole blood donations and site-specific malignancy risk. CONCLUSIONS: There was no convincing evidence of an increased risk in any hematological malignancy when interpreting the results from both series of analyses.

Measurable health effects associated with the daylight saving time shift.

The transition to daylight saving time (DST) is beneficial for energy conservation but at the same time it has been reported to increase the risk of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular problems. Here, we evaluate the effect of the DST shift on a whole spectrum of diseases-an analysis we hope will be helpful in weighing the risks and benefits of DST shifts. Our study relied on a population-based, cross-sectional analysis of the IBM Watson Health MarketScan insurance claim dataset, which incorporates over 150 million unique patients in the US, and the Swedish national inpatient register, which incorporates more than nine million unique Swedes. For hundreds of sex- and age-specific diseases, we assessed effects of the DST shifts forward and backward by one hour in spring and autumn by comparing the observed and expected diagnosis rates after DST shift exposure. We found four prominent, elevated risk clusters, including cardiovascular diseases (such as heart attacks), injuries, mental and behavioral disorders, and immune-related diseases such as noninfective enteritis and colitis to be significantly associated with DST shifts in the United States and Sweden. While the majority of disease risk elevations are modest (a few percent), a considerable number of diseases exhibit an approximately ten percent relative risk increase. We estimate that each spring DST shift is associated with negative health effects-with 150,000 incidences in the US, and 880,000 globally. We also identify for the first time a collection of diseases with relative risks that appear to decrease immediately after the spring DST shift, enriched with infections and immune system-related maladies. These diseases' decreasing relative risks might be driven by the documented boosting effect of a short-term stress (such as that experienced around the spring DST shift) on the immune system.

Estimating heritability and genetic correlations from large health datasets in the absence of genetic data.

Typically, estimating genetic parameters, such as disease heritability and between-disease genetic correlations, demands large datasets containing all relevant phenotypic measures and detailed knowledge of family relationships or, alternatively, genotypic and phenotypic data for numerous unrelated individuals. Here, we suggest an alternative, efficient estimation approach through the construction of two disease metrics from large health datasets: temporal disease prevalence curves and low-dimensional disease embeddings. We present eleven thousand heritability estimates corresponding to five study types: twins, traditional family studies, health records-based family studies, single nucleotide polymorphisms, and polygenic risk scores. We also compute over six hundred thousand estimates of genetic, environmental and phenotypic correlations. Furthermore, we find that: (1) disease curve shapes cluster into five general patterns; (2) early-onset diseases tend to have lower prevalence than late-onset diseases (Spearman's ρ = 0.32, p < 10-16); and (3) the disease onset age and heritability are negatively correlated (ρ = -0.46, p < 10-16).

Cost Effectiveness of the Third-Generation Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor (TKI) Ponatinib, vs. Second-Generation TKIs or Stem Cell Transplant, as Third-Line Treatment for Chronic-Phase Chronic Myeloid Leukemia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Third-line treatment options for patients with chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia include tyrosine kinase inhibitors and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHSCT). The objective of this study was to develop a Markov model with a lifetime time horizon to assess the cost effectiveness of ponatinib for third-line chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia vs. second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (dasatinib, nilotinib, bosutinib) or alloHSCT from the public healthcare system perspective in Germany, Sweden, and Canada. METHODS: Clinical outcomes were derived from the literature, and from patient-level data (phase II PACE trial) for ponatinib. Resource use included drugs, alloHSCT, monitoring and follow-up, adverse events, and end-of-life care; costs were based on national tariffs. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were calculated using chronic myeloid leukemia health-state utilities from an international time-trade-off study. Costs and benefits were discounted at 3% per annum for Germany and Sweden, and 5% for Canada. RESULTS: Ponatinib yielded more discounted QALYs than any second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor/alloHSCT in all three countries, mainly owing to better response rates and longer durations of response. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for ponatinib vs. second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors were US$21,543-37,755/QALY in Germany, $24,018-38,227/QALY in Sweden, and $43,001-58,515/QALY in Canada. Ponatinib was dominant over alloHSCT in Germany, while incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for ponatinib vs. alloHSCT in Sweden and Canada were $715/QALY and $31,534/QALY, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Ponatinib may improve outcomes (mainly because of higher response rates and longer response durations) at an acceptable cost level compared with other third-line treatment options for chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia in Germany, Sweden, and Canada; however, the lack of an indirect comparison is a limitation of our study.

Advanced phase chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) in the tyrosine kinase inhibitor era - a report from the Swedish CML register.

OBJECTIVES: The primary goal in management of chronic phase (CP) chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) is to prevent disease progression to accelerated phase (AP) or blast crisis (BC). We have evaluated progression rates in a decentralised healthcare setting and characterised patients progressing to AP/BC on TKI treatment. METHODS: Using data from the Swedish CML register, we identified CP-CML patients diagnosed 2007-2011 who progressed to AP/BC within 2 yrs from diagnosis (n = 18) as well as patients diagnosed in advanced phase during 2007-2012 (n = 36) from a total of 544 newly diagnosed CML cases. We evaluated baseline characteristics, progression rates, outcome and adherence to guidelines for monitoring and treatment. RESULTS: The cumulative progression rate at 2 yrs was 4.3%. All 18 progression cases had been treated with imatinib, and six progressed within 6 months. High-risk EUTOS score was associated to a higher risk of progression. Insufficient cytogenetic and/or molecular monitoring was found in 33%. Median survival after transformation during TKI treatment was 1.4 yrs. In those presenting with BC and AP, median survival was 1.6 yrs and not reached, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this population-based setting, progression rates appear comparable to that reported from clinical trials, with similar dismal patient outcome. Improved adherence to CML guidelines may minimise the risk of disease progression.

Cardiovascular Events Associated With Use of Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors in Chronic Myeloid Leukemia: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have increased survival dramatically for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), but continuous administration of these drugs may elicit long-term toxicity. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the incidence of vascular events in patients with CML treated with first- and second-generation TKIs. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using nationwide population-based registries. SETTING: Sweden. PATIENTS: All patients diagnosed with chronic-phase CML in Sweden from 2002 to 2012 and treated with a TKI, and 5 age- and sex-matched control individuals per patient. MEASUREMENTS: Relative risks, expressed as incidence rate ratios comparing patients with control individuals, were calculated. Events per 1000 person-years were assessed in interdrug comparisons. RESULTS: 896 patients, 94.4% with documented TKI treatment, were followed for a median of 4.2 years. There were 54 arterial and 20 venous events in the CML cohort, corresponding to relative risks of 1.5 (95% CI, 1.1 to 2.1) and 2.0 (CI, 1.2 to 3.3), respectively. The event rate for myocardial infarction was higher in patients treated with nilotinib or dasatinib (29 and 19 per 1000 person-years, respectively) than in those receiving imatinib (8 per 1000 person-years), although data are limited and the CIs were wide and overlapped. Among 31 patients treated with a TKI who had myocardial infarction, 26 (84%) had at least 1 major cardiac risk factor diagnosed before the event occurred. LIMITATIONS: Patients may have been exposed to multiple TKIs. Data on second- and third-generation TKIs were limited. CONCLUSION: An increased risk for arterial and venous vascular events was seen in patients with CML treated with a TKI. Further study is needed to determine whether the risk for myocardial infarction increases with second-generation drugs. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: No external funding.

Decreased invasive fungal disease but no impact on overall survival by posaconazole compared to fluconazole prophylaxis: a retrospective cohort study in patients receiving induction therapy for acute myeloid leukaemia/myelodysplastic syndromes.

OBJECTIVE: Posaconazole prophylaxis during induction chemotherapy for acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) has been shown to significantly decrease the incidence of invasive fungal disease (IFD) and increase overall survival in a trial setting, but only small real-life studies have been published. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study including consecutive patients with AML/MDS treated with intensive induction chemotherapy; 176 patients received fluconazole prophylaxis 2008-2011 and 107 patients received posaconazole prophylaxis 2011-2013. Only proven and probable IFD according to the revised EORTC/MSG criteria were included in the analysis. RESULTS: The two cohorts were well matched without significant differences in patient characteristics. At day 100, patients receiving posaconazole had a significantly lower incidence of total IFD (0.9% vs. 10.8%, P < 0.01), invasive aspergillosis (0% vs. 5.7%, P = 0.02) and invasive candidiasis (0% vs. 4.0%, P < 0.05). There was no significant difference in overall survival, neither at day 100 (87% in the posaconazole group vs. 85% in the fluconazole group) nor at end of follow-up (78% vs. 77%). CONCLUSIONS: Posaconazole prophylaxis decreased the incidence of IFD but did not improve short-term overall survival. Improved treatment efficacy of manifest IFD is likely to explain the lack of survival benefit.