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BACKGROUND: Unsupervised machine learning describes a collection of powerful techniques that seek to identify hidden patterns in unlabeled data. These techniques can be broadly categorized into dimension reduction, which transforms and combines the original set of measurements to simplify data, and cluster analysis, which seeks to group subjects based on some measure of similarity. Unsupervised machine learning can be used to explore alternative subtyping of disorders of gut-brain interaction (DGBI) compared to the existing gastrointestinal symptom-based definitions of Rome IV. PURPOSE: This present review aims to familiarize the reader with fundamental concepts of unsupervised machine learning using accessible definitions and provide a critical summary of their application to the evaluation of DGBI subtyping. By considering the overlap between Rome IV clinical definitions and identified clusters, along with clinical and physiological insights, this paper speculates on the possible implications for DGBI. Also considered are algorithmic developments in the unsupervised machine learning community that may help leverage increasingly available omics data to explore biologically informed definitions. Unsupervised machine learning challenges the modern subtyping of DGBI and, with the necessary clinical validation, has the potential to enhance future iterations of the Rome criteria to identify more homogeneous, diagnosable, and treatable patient populations.
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INTRODUCTION: Gout is one of the most common forms of arthritis worldwide. Gout is particularly prevalent in Aotearoa/New Zealand and is estimated to affect 13.1% of Maori men, 22.9% of Pacific men and 7.4% of New Zealand European men. Effective long-term treatment requires lowering serum urate to <0.36 mmol/L. Allopurinol is the most commonly used urate-lowering medication worldwide. Despite its efficacy and safety, the allopurinol dose escalation treat-to-target serum urate strategy is difficult to implement and there are important inequities in allopurinol prescribing in Aotearoa. The escalation strategy is labour intensive, time consuming and costly for people with gout and the healthcare system. An easy and effective way to dose-escalate allopurinol is required, especially as gout disproportionately affects working-age Maori men and Pacific men, who frequently do not receive optimal care. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A 12-month non-inferiority randomised controlled trial in people with gout who have a serum urate ≥ 0.36 mmol/l will be undertaken. 380 participants recruited from primary and secondary care will be randomised to one of the two allopurinol dosing strategies: intensive nurse-led treat-to-target serum urate dosing (intensive treat-to-target) or protocol-driven dose escalation based on dose predicted by an allopurinol dosing model (Easy-Allo). The primary endpoint will be the proportion of participants who achieve target serum urate (<0.36 mmol/L) at 12 months. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The New Zealand Northern B Health and Disability Ethics Committee approved the study (2022 FULL 13478). Results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed journals and to participants. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12622001279718p.
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Allopurinol , Antigoutteux , Goutte , Acide urique , Humains , Allopurinol/administration et posologie , Allopurinol/usage thérapeutique , Goutte/traitement médicamenteux , Goutte/sang , Nouvelle-Zélande , Antigoutteux/administration et posologie , Antigoutteux/usage thérapeutique , Acide urique/sang , Mâle , Relation dose-effet des médicaments , Adulte , Essais d'équivalence comme sujet , FemelleRÉSUMÉ
OBJECTIVES: The minor allele of the common rs2231142 ABCG2 variant predicts inadequate response to allopurinol urate lowering therapy. We hypothesize that additional variants in genes encoding urate transporters and allopurinol-to-oxypurinol metabolic enzymes also predict allopurinol response. METHODS: This study included a subset of participants with gout from the Long-term Allopurinol Safety Study Evaluating Outcomes in Gout Patients, whose whole genome was sequenced (n = 563). Good responders had a 4:1 or 5:1 ratio of good (serum urate (SU) <0.36 mmol/l on allopurinol ≤300 mg/day) to poor (SU ≥ 0.36 mmol/l despite allopurinol >300 mg/day) responses over 5-6 timepoints, while inadequate responders had a 1:4 or 1:5 ratio of good to poor responses. Adherence to allopurinol was determined by pill counts, and for a subgroup (n = 303), by plasma oxypurinol >20µmol/l. Using the sequence kernel association test (SKAT) we estimated the combined effect of rare and common variants in urate secretory (ABCC4, ABCC5, ABCG2, SLC17A1, SLC17A3, SLC22A6, SLC22A8) and reuptake genes (SLC2A9, SLC22A11) and in allopurinol-to-oxypurinol metabolic genes (AOX1, MOCOS, XDH) on allopurinol response. RESULTS: There was an association of rare and common variants in the allopurinol-to-oxypurinol gene group (PSKAT-C = 0.019), and in MOCOS, encoding molybdenum cofactor sulphurase, with allopurinol response (PSKAT-C = 0.011). Evidence for genetic association with allopurinol response in the allopurinol-to-oxypurinol gene group (PSKAT-C = 0.002) and MOCOS (PSKAT-C < 0.001) was stronger when adherence to allopurinol therapy was confirmed by plasma oxypurinol. CONCLUSION: We provide evidence for common and rare genetic variation in MOCOS associating with allopurinol response.
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AIMS: Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PlGF), components of the vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) system, play key roles in angiogenesis. Reports of elevated plasma levels of sFlt-1 and PlGF in coronary heart disease and heart failure (HF) led us to investigate their utility, and VEGF system gene single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), as prognostic biomarkers in HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: ELISA assays for sFlt-1, PlGF and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were performed on baseline plasma samples from the PEOPLE cohort (n = 890), a study of outcomes among patients after an episode of acute decompensated HF. Eight SNPs potentially associated with sFlt-1 or PlGF levels were genotyped. sFlt-1 and PlGF were assayed in 201 subjects from the Canterbury Healthy Volunteers Study (CHVS) matched to PEOPLE participants. All-cause death was the major endpoint for clinical outcome considered. In PEOPLE participants, mean plasma levels for both sFlt-1 (125 ± 2.01 pg/ml) and PlGF (17.5 ± 0.21 pg/ml) were higher (both p < 0.044) than in the CHVS cohort (81.2 ± 1.31 pg/ml and 15.5 ± 0.32 pg/ml, respectively). sFlt-1 was higher in HF with reduced ejection fraction compared to HF with preserved ejection fraction (p = 0.005). The PGF gene SNP rs2268616 was univariately associated with death (p = 0.016), and was also associated with PlGF levels, as was rs2268614 genotype. Cox proportional hazards modelling (n = 695, 246 deaths) showed plasma sFlt-1, but not PlGF, predicted survival (hazard ratio 6.44, 95% confidence interval 2.57-16.1; p < 0.001) in PEOPLE, independent of age, NT-proBNP, ischaemic aetiology, diabetic status and beta-blocker therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma sFlt-1 concentrations have potential as an independent predictor of survival and may be complementary to established prognostic biomarkers in HF.
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ABSTRACT: Persistent opioid use (POU) is a common marker of harm related to opioid use after trauma. This study determined the incidence and risk factors for POU after hospitalisation due to trauma in New Zealand, among opioid-naïve patients. This was a population-based, retrospective cohort study, using linked data, involving all trauma patients of any age admitted to all NZ hospitals between 2007 and 2019. We included all patients who received opioids after discharge and were considered opioid naïve, defined as not having received opioids or not having a prior diagnosis of opioid-use disorder up to 365 days preceding the discharge date. The primary outcome was the incidence of POU defined as opioid use after discharge between 91 and 365 days. We used a multivariable logistic regression to identify independent risk factors for POU. A total of 177,200 patients were included in this study. Of these, 15.3% (n = 27,060) developed POU based on criteria used for the primary analysis, with sensitivity analyses showing POU incidence ranging from 14.3% to 0.8%. The opioid exposure risk factors associated with POU included switching between different opioids (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.62; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.51-2.73), prescribed multiple opioids (vs codeine, aOR 1.44; 95% CI 1.37-1.53), slow-release opioid formulations (aOR 1.32; 95% CI 1.26-1.39), and dispensed higher total doses of on the initial discharge prescription (aOR 1.26; 95% CI 1.20-1.33). Overall, 1 in 7 opioid-naïve patients who were exposed to opioids after trauma developed POU. Our findings highlight clinicians should be aware of these factors when continuing opioids on discharge.
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INTRODUCTION: The disease severity index (DSI) encapsulates the inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) burden but requires endoscopic investigations. This study developed a non-invasive DSI using faecal calprotectin (DSI-fCal) and faecal myeloperoxidase (DSI-fMPO) instead of colonoscopy. METHODS: Adults with IBD were recruited prospectively. Baseline biomarker concentrations were used to develop DSI-fCal and DSI-fMPO, and these were correlated with the original DSI, IBD-symptoms, endoscopic activity, and quality-of-life (QoL). Area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curves (AUROC) assessed DSI-fCal/DSI-fMPO as predictors of clinical and biochemical remission at six months (symptom remission and fCal <150 µg/g, respectively), and a complicated IBD-course at 24 months (disease relapse needing escalation of biologicals/immunomodulators/recurrent corticosteroids, IBD-hospitalisations/surgeries). Multivariable logistic regression assessed the utility of DSI-fCal/DSI-fMPO in predicting a complicated IBD-course at 24 months. RESULTS: In total, 171 patients were included (Crohn's disease=99, female=90, median age=46y (IQR 36-59)). DSI-fCal and DSI-fMPO correlated with the original DSI (r>0.9, p<0.001), endoscopic indices (r=0.45-0.49, p<0.001), IBD-symptoms (r=0.53-0.58, p<0.001) and QoL (r=-0.57-0.58, p<0.001). Baseline DSI-fCal (AUROC=0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.92) and DSI-fMPO (AUROC=0.80, 95% CI 0.67-0.93) were associated with 6-month clinical and biochemical remission. DSI-fCal (AUROC=0.83, 95% CI 0.77-0.89) and DSI-fMPO (AUROC=0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.87) performed similarly in predicting a complicated IBD-course to the original DSI (pdifference>0.05). The non-invasive DSI was independently associated with a complicated IBD-course on multivariable analyses (DSI-fCal28, aOR=6.04, 95% CI 2.42-15.08; DSI-fMPO25, aOR=7.84, 95% CI 2.96-20.73). CONCLUSIONS: The DSI-fCal and DSI-fMPO perform similarly in prognosticating the longitudinal disease course as the original DSI, whilst avoiding a need for an endoscopic assessment.
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BACKGROUND: There has been increasing interest in examining the potential moderating effects that cognitive functioning has on treatment outcome in bipolar disorder (BD) and major depressive disorder (MDD). Therefore, the aim of this exploratory study was to examine the relationship between baseline cognitive function and treatment outcome in individuals with mood disorders who completed 12 months of interpersonal and social rhythm therapy (IPSRT), and were randomised to receive adjunctive cognitive remediation (CR) or no additional intervention. METHODS: Fifty-eight patients with mood disorders (BD, n = 36, MDD, n = 22), who were randomised to IPSRT-CR or IPSRT, underwent cognitive testing at baseline and completed follow-up mood measures after 12 months. General linear modelling was used to examine the relationship between baseline cognitive function (both objective and subjective) and change in mood symptom burden, and functioning, from baseline to treatment-end. RESULTS: Poorer baseline attention/executive function was associated with less change in mood symptom burden, particularly depressive symptoms, at treatment-end. Additionally, slower psychomotor speed at baseline was associated with less improvement in mania symptom burden. Subjective cognitive function at baseline was not related to change in mood symptom burden at treatment-end, and neither objective nor subjective cognitive function was associated with functional outcome. LIMITATIONS: Due to the exploratory nature of the study, there was no correction for multiple comparisons. CONCLUSION: Aspects of objective cognitive function were associated with treatment outcomes following psychotherapy. Further large-scale research is required to examine the role that cognitive function may have in determining various aspects of mood disorder recovery.
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INTRODUCTION: Clinical assessment in emergency departments (EDs) for possible acute myocardial infarction (AMI) requires at least one cardiac troponin (cTn) blood test. The turn-around time from blood draw to posting results in the clinical portal for central laboratory analysers is ~1-2 hours. New generation, high-sensitivity, point-of-care cardiac troponin I (POC-cTnI) assays use whole blood on a bedside (or near bedside) analyser that provides a rapid (8 min) result. This may expedite clinical decision-making and reduce length of stay. Our purpose is to determine if utilisation of a POC-cTnI testing reduces ED length of stay. We also aim to establish an optimised implementation process for the amended clinical pathway. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This quality improvement initiative has a pragmatic multihospital stepped-wedge cross-sectional cluster randomised design. Consecutive patients presenting to the ED with symptoms suggestive of possible AMI and having a cTn test will be included. Clusters (comprising one or two hospitals each) will change from their usual-care pathway to an amended pathway using POC-cTnI-the 'intervention'. The dates of change will be randomised. Changes occur at 1 month intervals, with a minimum 2 month 'run-in' period. The intervention pathway will use a POC-cTnI measurement as an alternate to the laboratory-based cTn measurement. Clinical decision-making steps and logic will otherwise remain unchanged. The POC-cTnI is the Siemens (Erlangen Germany) Atellica VTLi high-sensitivity cTnI assay. The primary outcome is ED length of stay. The safety outcome is cardiac death or AMI within 30 days for patients discharged directly from the ED. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval has been granted by the New Zealand Southern Health and Disability Ethics Committee, reference 21/STH/9. Results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal. Lay and academic presentations will be made. Maori-specific results will be disseminated to Maori stakeholders. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12619001189112.
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Syndrome coronarien aigu , Service hospitalier d'urgences , Amélioration de la qualité , Humains , Syndrome coronarien aigu/sang , Syndrome coronarien aigu/diagnostic , Syndrome coronarien aigu/thérapie , Marqueurs biologiques/sang , Prise de décision clinique , Études transversales , Durée du séjour/statistiques et données numériques , Infarctus du myocarde/sang , Infarctus du myocarde/diagnostic , Systèmes automatisés lit malade , Analyse sur le lieu d'intervention , Appréciation des risques , Troponine I/sangRÉSUMÉ
AIMS: To compare sodium valproate dispensing in women of childbearing age diagnosed with borderline personality disorder in 2014 and 2019 to discover if prescribing practices in Aotearoa New Zealand have changed in response to international recommendations. METHODS: National dispensing data from the Pharmaceutical Collection were linked with diagnostic data from PRIMHD (the national mental health and addiction database) to identify people diagnosed with borderline personality disorder in Aotearoa New Zealand who were dispensed psychotropic medication. Dispensing of sodium valproate for women of childbearing age was compared between 2014 and 2019. Rates of dispensing were compared between ethnicities. RESULTS: In 2014, 10% of women of childbearing age diagnosed with borderline personality disorder were dispensed sodium valproate. This reduced to 6% of women in 2019 (p<0.001). In 2014, there was substantial ethnic disparity with 18.1% of Maori women and 15.8% of Pacific women dispensed sodium valproate compared with 7.4% of New Zealand Europeans. This disparity reduced in 2019, with 6.4% of Maori women and 12.5% of Pacific women dispensed sodium valproate compared with 5.6% of New Zealand Europeans. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that international recommendations and guidelines have been effective in changing clinical practice and reducing ethnic inequities. Given the significant risk to offspring exposed to sodium valproate, we echo warnings against off-label prescribing of sodium valproate in borderline personality disorder.
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Trouble de la personnalité limite , Acide valproïque , Adolescent , Adulte , Femelle , Humains , Adulte d'âge moyen , Jeune adulte , Trouble de la personnalité limite/traitement médicamenteux , Trouble de la personnalité limite/diagnostic , Trouble de la personnalité limite/ethnologie , Nouvelle-Zélande , Types de pratiques des médecins/statistiques et données numériques , Acide valproïque/usage thérapeutiqueRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: Older adults living in residential care facilities are commonly given laxatives to treat constipation; however, these may not always provide full relief, and side effects include diarrhea. Dietary fiber effectively prevents constipation, and international guidelines recommend 25 g/d for optimal laxation. Older adults in residential care rely on the facility menu to provide their nutritional requirements, including adequate dietary fiber. Little is known about how much dietary fiber is provided and consumed. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the provision and consumption of dietary fiber for older adults living in residential care facilities. METHODS: We systematically searched available literature for studies reporting the analysis of residential care menus and meals consumed by residents aged over 65 y. A meta-analysis was performed on the studies that provided the mean amount of dietary fiber provided and consumed by residents. A random effect model was applied due to the heterogeneity of study methodologies. RESULTS: The literature search yielded 4406 publications, but only 28 studies were eligible for our meta-analysis. The study sample comprised 4817 residents. The mean amount of fiber provided to residents was 21.4 g/d [standard error (SE): 1.2; 95% confidence interval: 18.8, 24.2 g/d], the mean amount of fiber consumed by residents was 15.8 g/d (SE: 0.6; 95% confidence interval: 14.7, 16.9 g/d). CONCLUSIONS: Older adults living in care facilities are provided with dietary fiber below the recommended guidelines. Compounding this is that residents consume much less than what is provided and do not meet the recommendations for dietary fiber consumption. There is scope to improve dietary fiber provision, promote consumption to residents to aid laxation, and potentially reduce laxative use and the unwanted side effects of diarrhea. This trial was registered at PROSPERO as CRD42023427265.
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Fibre alimentaire , Sujet âgé , Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus , Humains , Constipation/diétothérapie , Fibre alimentaire/administration et posologie , Maisons de retraite médicalisées , Maisons de repos , Établissements de soins de long séjourRÉSUMÉ
AIM: Uptake of nasal high-flow therapy in infants with bronchiolitis has grown in the last decade with some evidence suggesting a reduction in escalation of care. The effect of the implementation of recent available evidence on clinical practice remains unclear. METHODS: In a prospective observational study over 6 months in six metropolitan hospitals in Australia, we investigated the clinical practice of high-flow in infants admitted with bronchiolitis and an oxygen requirement. To assess the choice by clinicians of the initial oxygen therapy (standard oxygen or high-flow) the disease severity was measured by physiological parameters obtained prior to oxygen therapy commencement. Additional secondary outcomes were hospital length of stay and transfers to intensive care. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-five infants with bronchiolitis were admitted for oxygen therapy over 6 months during the winter season. Infants who received high-flow on admission to hospital displayed significantly higher respiratory rates, higher heart rates and higher early warning tool scores with more severe work of breathing than those commenced on standard oxygen therapy as a first line of oxygen therapy. A significantly longer hospital length of stay of 0.6 days occurred in infants commenced on high-flow. A significantly greater proportion on high-flow (23.3%) were admitted to intensive care compared to infants commenced on SOT (10.4%) despite the severity of disease in both groups being similar. CONCLUSIONS: Infants with bronchiolitis presenting with greater disease severity are more likely to receive high-flow therapy. Escalation of care in an intensive care unit occurred more frequently on infants on high-flow. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial is registered in the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry ACTRN12618001206213.
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Bronchiolite , Oxygénothérapie , Humains , Bronchiolite/thérapie , Oxygénothérapie/méthodes , Études prospectives , Nourrisson , Mâle , Femelle , Australie , Durée du séjour/statistiques et données numériques , Indice de gravité de la maladie , Résultat thérapeutique , Nouveau-néRÉSUMÉ
AIM: To report dispensing trends for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in Aotearoa New Zealand, focussing on adults in order to highlight increasing demand for ADHD treatment by adults and to prompt discussion. METHOD: Demographic and dispensing data for ADHD were obtained from the Pharmaceutical Collection between the years 2006 and 2022. This was stratified according to child (<18 years) and adult (≥18 years) populations. Population dispensing rates for methylphenidate and atomoxetine were calculated. Key findings are reported to reveal demographic and dispensing trends for medication treated ADHD in Aotearoa New Zealand. RESULTS: More males are dispensed ADHD medication than females, although this is less evident for adults (54.8% male). Maori adults are dispensed ADHD medication at a lower rate (10.1%) than Maori children (22.9%). There was a 10-fold increase in dispensing of ADHD medication for adults compared to a three-fold increase for children over the study period. New dispensing for adults doubled between 2011 and 2022. CONCLUSION: Medication treatment for adult ADHD is increasing in Aotearoa New Zealand and includes treatment for persisting childhood ADHD and new diagnoses made in adulthood. Despite increases, dispensing rates for ADHD remain lower than prevalence estimates, suggesting a significant treatment gap. Addressing the treatment gap for ADHD may reduce negative effects of ADHD, but wider social influences should also be considered.
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Chlorhydrate d'atomoxétine , Trouble déficitaire de l'attention avec hyperactivité , Stimulants du système nerveux central , Méthylphénidate , Adolescent , Adulte , Enfant , Femelle , Humains , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Jeune adulte , Inhibiteurs de la capture adrénergique/usage thérapeutique , Chlorhydrate d'atomoxétine/usage thérapeutique , Trouble déficitaire de l'attention avec hyperactivité/traitement médicamenteux , Stimulants du système nerveux central/usage thérapeutique , Méthylphénidate/usage thérapeutique , Nouvelle-Zélande/épidémiologie , MaorisRÉSUMÉ
Importance: Despite increased use of antibiotic-loaded bone cement (ALBC) in joint arthroplasty over recent decades, current evidence for prophylactic use of ALBC to reduce risk of periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) is insufficient. Objective: To compare the rate of revision attributed to PJI following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) using ALBC vs plain bone cement. Design, Setting, and Participants: This international cohort study used data from 14 national or regional joint arthroplasty registries in Australia, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, Sweden, Switzerland, the Netherlands, the UK, and the US. The study included primary TKAs for osteoarthritis registered from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2020, and followed-up until December 31, 2021. Data analysis was performed from April to September 2023. Exposure: Primary TKA with ALBC vs plain bone cement. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was risk of 1-year revision for PJI. Using a distributed data network analysis method, data were harmonized, and a cumulative revision rate was calculated (1 - Kaplan-Meier), and Cox regression analyses were performed within the 10 registries using both cement types. A meta-analysis was then performed to combine all aggregated data and evaluate the risk of 1-year revision for PJI and all causes. Results: Among 2â¯168â¯924 TKAs included, 93% were performed with ALBC. Most TKAs were performed in female patients (59.5%) and patients aged 65 to 74 years (39.9%), fully cemented (92.2%), and in the 2015 to 2020 period (62.5%). All participating registries reported a cumulative 1-year revision rate for PJI of less than 1% following primary TKA with ALBC (range, 0.21%-0.80%) and with plain bone cement (range, 0.23%-0.70%). The meta-analyses based on adjusted Cox regression for 1â¯917â¯190 TKAs showed no statistically significant difference at 1 year in risk of revision for PJI (hazard rate ratio, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.89-1.52) or for all causes (hazard rate ratio, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.89-1.40) among TKAs performed with ALBC vs plain bone cement. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, the risk of revision for PJI was similar between ALBC and plain bone cement following primary TKA. Any additional costs of ALBC and its relative value in reducing revision risk should be considered in the context of the overall health care delivery system.
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Antibactériens , Arthroplastie prothétique de genou , Ciments osseux , Infections dues aux prothèses , Enregistrements , Réintervention , Humains , Arthroplastie prothétique de genou/effets indésirables , Ciments osseux/usage thérapeutique , Femelle , Sujet âgé , Mâle , Antibactériens/usage thérapeutique , Infections dues aux prothèses/épidémiologie , Infections dues aux prothèses/étiologie , Réintervention/statistiques et données numériques , Adulte d'âge moyen , Études de cohortesRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) has been shown to be associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients after an acute coronary syndrome when measured soon after an event. Although dynamic in the acute phase after myocardial injury, GDF-15 has been shown to remain stable during convalescence. In this study, we aimed to assess the value of GDF-15 as a long-term prognostic marker for clinical outcomes when measured in the convalescent phase following an acute coronary syndrome. METHODS: GDF-15 concentrations were measured in 1945 patients who were recruited between 2002 and 2009 to the Coronary Disease Cohort Study. For this analysis, follow-up was curtailed at 10 years and association of GDF-15 with all-cause death, cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalizations were assessed with multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. RESULTS: After 10 years of follow-up, there were 648 deaths (348 from cardiovascular causes), 500 admissions for myocardial infarction, and 436 for heart failure. Four-month convalescent GDF-15 demonstrated a robust independent association with all endpoints, which remained after adjustment for Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score and other convalescent biomarkers. When compared to the lowest quartile of GDF-15 concentrations, those in the highest quartile had a 3-fold increased risk of all-cause death. CONCLUSIONS: Convalescent plasma GDF-15 is a strong and independent predictor of 10-year all-cause death, cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and heart failure admission following an acute coronary syndrome. AUSTRALIAN NEW ZEALAND CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRY TRIAL ID: ACTRN12605000431628.
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Syndrome coronarien aigu , Marqueurs biologiques , Facteur-15 de croissance et de différenciation , Humains , Facteur-15 de croissance et de différenciation/sang , Syndrome coronarien aigu/diagnostic , Syndrome coronarien aigu/sang , Syndrome coronarien aigu/mortalité , Syndrome coronarien aigu/thérapie , Mâle , Femelle , Sujet âgé , Adulte d'âge moyen , Marqueurs biologiques/sang , Pronostic , Infarctus du myocarde/diagnostic , Infarctus du myocarde/sang , Infarctus du myocarde/mortalité , Infarctus du myocarde/thérapie , Défaillance cardiaque/diagnostic , Défaillance cardiaque/sang , Défaillance cardiaque/mortalité , Hospitalisation/statistiques et données numériques , Convalescence , Études de suivi , Modèles des risques proportionnelsRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: Routine total hip arthroplasty (THA) using a short cemented stem as compared with a standard length cemented stem may have benefits in terms of stress distribution, bone preservation, stem subsidence and ease of revision surgery. Two senior arthroplasty surgeons transitioned their routine femoral implant from a standard 150 mm Exeter V40 cemented stem to a short 125 mm Exeter V40 cemented stem for all patients over the course of several years. We analysed revision rates, adjusted survival, and PROMS scores for patients who received a standard stem and a short stem in routine THA. METHODS: All THAs performed by the two surgeons between January 2011 and December 2021 were included. All procedures were performed using either a 150 mm or 125 mm Exeter V40 stem. Demographic data, acetabular implant type, and outcome data including implant survival, reason for revision, and post-operative Oxford Hip Scores were obtained from the New Zealand Joint Registry (NZJR), and detailed survival analyses were performed. Primary outcome was revision for any reason. Reason for revision, including femoral or acetabular failure, and time to revision were also recorded. RESULTS: 1335 THAs were included. 516 using the 150 mm stem and 819 using the 125 mm stem. There were 4055.5 and 3227.8 component years analysed in the standard stem and short stem groups respectively due to a longer mean follow up in the 150 mm group. Patient reported outcomes were comparable across all groups. Revision rates were comparable between the standard 150 mm stem (0.44 revisions/100 component years) and the short 125 mm stem (0.56 revisions/100 component years) with no statistically significant difference found (p = 0.240). CONCLUSION: Routine use of a short 125 mm stem had no statistically significant impact on revision rate or PROMS scores when compared to a standard 150 mm stem. There may be benefits to routine use of a short cemented femoral implant.
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Arthroplastie prothétique de hanche , Ciments osseux , Prothèse de hanche , Mesures des résultats rapportés par les patients , Conception de prothèse , Réintervention , Humains , Arthroplastie prothétique de hanche/méthodes , Arthroplastie prothétique de hanche/instrumentation , Réintervention/statistiques et données numériques , Mâle , Femelle , Sujet âgé , Adulte d'âge moyen , Défaillance de prothèse , Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus , Adulte , Études rétrospectives , CimentationRÉSUMÉ
INTRODUCTION: Surgical options for patients with unicompartmental knee osteoarthritis include high tibial osteotomy (HTO) or unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA). When managing younger patients with a higher chance of further surgery, the outcome of any subsequent conversion to total knee arthroplasty (TKA) also needs to be considered. The aim of this study was to compare implant survivorship and patient-reported outcomes for patients undergoing TKA after previous HTO or UKA, with comparisons for age, gender and comorbidities. METHODS: Revision risk and 6-month Oxford Knee Scores (OKS) from the New Zealand Joint Registry were compared for patients who underwent TKA after HTO (HTO-TKA; n = 1556) or UKA (UKA-TKA; n = 965) between 1999 and 2019, with a comparison group of primary TKA (n = 110,948). Mean follow-up was 8.2 years. RESULTS: Adjusted revision risk was similar for HTO-TKA and UKA-TKA groups (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, p = 0.84); and risk for both groups were higher than primary TKA (HTO-TKA HR 1.45, p = 0.002; UKA-TKA HR 1.51, p = 0.01). Overall adjusted mean OKS at 6 months for HTO-TKA (36.2) was similar to primary TKA (36.8, p = 0.23); and both were higher than UKA-TKA (34.2, p < 0.001). For the youngest patient group (< 55 years), revision rates of UKA-TKA were two-fold higher than HTO-TKA (2.8 vs. 1.3 per 100 component yrs, p < 0.03). HTO-TKA had better OKS (37.5 vs. 34.1, p < 0.0001) for males. Mean OKS for UKA-TKA was lower than HTO-TKA for patients with ASA 1-2 (35.6 vs. 37.5, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The findings from this study suggest that revision rate following TKA after HTO and UKA are similar. However, TKA after HTO have superior functional outcomes compared with TKA after UKA and are comparable to functional outcomes post primary TKA. The results support the use of HTO for young, male and less co-morbid patients.
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BACKGROUND: Total elbow arthroplasty (TEA) is an appropriate surgical treatment option for a variety of conditions ranging from inflammatory arthritis to trauma. Because of a high complication profile, implant companies have attempted to improve patient outcomes with evolving design mechanics and philosophy. However, the Nexel TEA prosthesis has been criticized for its unacceptably high revision rate by other research groups in the literature. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the survivorship and revision rates of the Nexel and Coonrad-Morrey TEA implant systems in New Zealand. METHODS: Prospectively collected National Joint Registry data were used to compare the survival rates of these prostheses. Underlying diagnoses, reasons for revision, and patient demographics were all recorded. Statistical analysis included survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves and comparison between groups using independent t tests. RESULTS: Over the 23-year study interval, the Nexel and Coonrad-Morrey prostheses showed similar survivorship and revision rates. The revision rates at 5 years were 7.3% for Nexel and 4.5% for the Coonrad-Morrey cohorts. The average time to revision for those who are revised was 3.13 ± 1.74 years in the Nexel group and 4.93 ± 4.13 years in the Coonrad-Morrey population. CONCLUSION: Our study confirms a lower revision rate of the Nexel TEA compared to other studies in the literature. Additionally, the Nexel TEA implant performs comparably to its predecessor, the Coonrad-Morrey prosthesis in New Zealand. Although it is difficult to explain the discrepancy in results with the study by Morrey et al, future studies should focus on investigating postoperative radiographs and a deep analysis of the specific surgical technique used for this implant.
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Arthroplastie de remplacement du coude , Conception de prothèse , Défaillance de prothèse , Enregistrements , Réintervention , Humains , Nouvelle-Zélande , Réintervention/statistiques et données numériques , Mâle , Femelle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Sujet âgé , Prothèse de coude , Adulte , Articulation du coude/chirurgie , Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plusRÉSUMÉ
AIMS: The performance of circulating soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) for predicting the composite endpoint of subsequent heart failure (HF) hospitalisation and/or death at 1 year was assessed in (i) patients with undifferentiated breathlessness, and generalisability was compared in (ii) disparate Western versus Asian sub-cohorts, and in (iii) the sub-cohort adjudicated with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with acute breathlessness were recruited from the emergency departments in New Zealand (NZ, n = 612) and Singapore (n = 483). suPAR measured in the presentation samples was higher in patients incurring the endpoint (n = 281) compared with survivors (5.2 ng/mL vs 3.1 ng/mL, P < 0.0001). The discriminative power of suPAR for endpoint prediction was c-statistic of 0.77 in the combined population, but was superior in Singapore than NZ (c-statistic: 0.83 vs 0.71, P < 0.0001). Although the highest suPAR tertile (>4.37 ng/mL) was associated with risks of >4-fold in NZ, >20-fold in Singapore, and ≥3-fold in HF for incurring the outcome, there was no interaction between country and suPAR levels after adjustment. Multivariable analysis indicated suPAR to be robust in predicting HF/death at 1-year [hazard ratio: 1.9 (95% CI:1.7 to 2.0) per SD increase] and improved risk discrimination for outcome prediction in HF (∆0.06) and for those with NT-proBNP >1000 pg/mL (∆0.02). CONCLUSION: suPAR is a strong independent predictor of HF and/or death at 1 year in acutely breathless patients, in both Asian and Western cohorts, and in HF. suPAR may improve stratification of acutely breathless patients, and in acute HF, for risk of later onset of heart failure or mortality.
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Marqueurs biologiques , Dyspnée , Défaillance cardiaque , Récepteurs à l'activateur du plasminogène de type urokinase , Humains , Mâle , Femelle , Défaillance cardiaque/sang , Défaillance cardiaque/mortalité , Défaillance cardiaque/diagnostic , Sujet âgé , Singapour/épidémiologie , Pronostic , Récepteurs à l'activateur du plasminogène de type urokinase/sang , Adulte d'âge moyen , Dyspnée/sang , Dyspnée/mortalité , Dyspnée/diagnostic , Marqueurs biologiques/sang , Nouvelle-Zélande/épidémiologie , Maladie aigüe , Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus , Asiatiques/ethnologie , Études de cohortes , Mortalité/tendances , Études de suiviRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Modifiable risk factors in Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD), such as physical activity, may be utilised as prevention strategies. However, the findings of previous studies on the association between physical activity and IBD risk have been inconsistent. We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the effect of physical activity on IBD risk. METHODS: A search was conducted for relevant studies published before April 2023 that assessed the effect of pre-IBD diagnosis levels of physical activity on IBD incidence. Individual summary statistics (relative risks; RR), and confidence intervals (CI) were extracted with forest plots generated. We used the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach to assess the quality of evidence. RESULTS: 10 observational studies were included. For cohort studies, there were 1,182 Crohn's disease (CD) and 2,361 ulcerative colitis (UC) patients, with 860,992 participants without IBD. For case-control studies, there were 781 CD to 2,636 controls, and 1,127 UC to 3,752 controls. Compared to individuals with low physical activity levels, the RRs of CD in individuals with high physical activity levels for cohort and case-control studies were 0.78 (95% CI 0.68-0.88, P = 0.0001) and 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.95, P = 0.003), respectively. For UC, the RRs were 0.62 (95% CI 0.43-0.88, P = 0.008) and 0.74 (95% CI 0.51-1.07, P = 0.11). CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis suggests that physical activity is inversely associated with the risk of developing IBD, more so in CD than in UC.
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HYPOTHESIS AND BACKGROUND: Recently, the indication of reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA) has expanded beyond rotator cuff arthropathy to include treatment of complex acute proximal humeral fracture (PHF). Limited previous studies have compared the long-term clinical and functional outcomes of patients undergoing RTSA for PHF vs. elective indications for degenerative conditions. The purpose of this study was to compare implant survivorship, reasons for revision and functional outcomes in patients undergoing RTSA for acute PHF with those undergoing elective RTSA in a population-based cohort study. METHODS: Prospectively collected data from the New Zealand Joint Registry from 1999 to 2021 and identified 6862 patients who underwent RTSA. Patients were categorized by preoperative indication, including PHF (10.8%), rotator cuff arthropathy (RCA) (44.5%), osteoarthritis (OA) (34.1%), rheumatoid arthritis (RA) (5.5%), and old traumatic sequelae (5.1%). Revision-free implant survival and functional outcomes (Oxford Shoulder Scores [OSSs] at the 6-month, 5-year, and 10-year follow-ups) were adjusted by age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists class, and surgeon experience and compared. RESULTS: Revision-free implant survival at 10 years for RTSA for PHF was 97.3%, compared with 96.1%, 93.7%, 92.8%, and 91.3% for OA, RCA, RA and traumatic sequelae, respectively. When compared with RTSA for PHF, the adjusted risk of revision was significantly higher for traumatic sequelae (hazard ratio = 2.3, P = .023) but not for other elective indications. The most common reason for revision in the PHF group was dislocation or instability (42.9%), which was similar to the OA (47.6%) and traumatic sequelae (33.3%) groups. At 6 months post-surgery, OSSs were significantly lower for the PHF group compared with the RCA, OA, and RA groups (31.1 vs. 35.6, 37.7, and 36.5, respectively, P < .001), and similar to traumatic sequelae (31.7, P = .431). At 5 years, OSSs were only significantly lower for PHF compared with OA (37.4 vs. 41.0, P < .001) and there was no difference between the PHF and other groups. At 10 years, there were no significant differences between groups. CONCLUSIONS: RTSA for PHF demonstrated reliable long-term survivorship and functional outcomes compared with elective indications. Despite lower functional outcomes in the early postoperative period for the PHF group, implant survivorship was similar in patients undergoing RTSA for the primary indication of acute PHF compared with RCA, OA, and RA and superior compared to the primary indication of traumatic sequelae.