Longitudinal evaluation of cervical length and shear wave elastography in women with spontaneous preterm birth.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate longitudinal changes in cervical length (CL) and mean cervical shear wave elastography (CSWE) score in women with a singleton or twin pregnancy who undergo spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) compared with those who deliver at term. METHODS: This was a prospective longitudinal study of unselected women with a singleton or twin pregnancy attending a dedicated research clinic for screening for sPTB at four timepoints during pregnancy: 11 + 0 to 15 + 6 weeks, 16 + 0 to 20 + 6 weeks, 21 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks and 28 + 0 to 32 + 6 weeks. At each visit, a transvaginal ultrasound scan was conducted to measure the CL and the CSWE scores in six regions of interest (ROI) (inner, middle and external parts of anterior and posterior cervical lips). The mean CSWE score from the six ROIs was calculated for analysis. Log10 transformation was applied to data to produce a Gaussian distribution prior to statistical analysis. A multilevel mixed-effects analysis was performed to compare longitudinally CL and CSWE between the sPTB and term-delivery groups. RESULTS: The final cohort consisted of 1264 women, including 1143 singleton pregnancies, of which 57 (5.0%) were complicated by sPTB, and 121 twin pregnancies, of which 33 (27.3%) were complicated by sPTB. Compared to those who delivered at term, women with sPTB had a lower CL across gestation when controlling for history of cervical surgery, number of fetuses, gestational age (GA) at cervical assessment and the interaction between GA at cervical assessment and sPTB (P < 0.001). Specifically, CL in the sPTB group was significantly lower at 21 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks (P = 0.039) and 28 + 0 to 32 + 6 weeks (P < 0.001). Twin pregnancies had significantly greater CL throughout pregnancy compared with singleton pregnancies (regression coefficient, 0.01864; P < 0.001). After adjusting for maternal age, weight, height, body mass index and GA at cervical assessment, CSWE score in the sPTB group was significantly lower compared with that in the term-delivery group across gestation (P = 0.013). However, on analysis of individual visits, CSWE score in the sPTB group was significantly lower than that in the term-delivery group only at 11 + 0 to 15 + 6 weeks (P = 0.036). There was no difference in CSWE score between singleton and twin pregnancies throughout gestation (regression coefficient, -0.00128; P = 0.937). CONCLUSIONS: Women with sPTB have a shorter and softer cervix across gestation compared with those who deliver at term. A shorter cervix in the sPTB group is observed from the late second trimester onwards, while lower cervical stiffness in the sPTB group is observed primarily in the first trimester. CL is significantly lower in singleton pregnancies compared with twin pregnancies, while cervical stiffness does not differ between the two. Our findings indicate that the cervix tends to undergo a softening process prior to shortening in sPTB cases. © 2024 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

A molecular staging model for accurately dating the endometrial biopsy.

Natural variability in menstrual cycle length, coupled with rapid changes in endometrial gene expression, makes it difficult to accurately define and compare different stages of the endometrial cycle. Here we develop and validate a method for precisely determining endometrial cycle stage based on global gene expression. Our 'molecular staging model' reveals significant and remarkably synchronised daily changes in expression for over 3400 endometrial genes throughout the cycle, with the most dramatic changes occurring during the secretory phase. Our study significantly extends existing data on the endometrial transcriptome, and for the first time enables identification of differentially expressed endometrial genes with increasing age and different ethnicities. It also allows reinterpretation of all endometrial RNA-seq and array data that has been published to date. Our molecular staging model will significantly advance understanding of endometrial-related disorders that affect nearly all women at some stage of their lives, such as heavy menstrual bleeding, endometriosis, adenomyosis, and recurrent implantation failure.

Delayed coloanal anastomosis as a stoma-sparing alternative to immediate coloanal anastomosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Recent clinical trials have demonstrated favorable outcomes associated with trans-anal colonic pull-through for rectal resection followed by delayed coloanal anastomoses (DCA), resulting in a resurgence in popularity of the technique. This meta-analysis aims to review existing literature to evaluate the postoperative complications associated with DCA, and to make comparisons with immediate coloanal anastomoses (ICA) after colorectal resection to assess the suitability of DCA as an alternative form of surgical treatment. METHODS: Medline and Embase databases were reviewed from inception until 31 July 2020 in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. Single-arm studies that involved patients undergoing DCA for benign or malignant causes were selected, and meta-analysis of proportions was conducted to determine the prevalence of postoperative complications following DCA. Comparative studies comparing postoperative outcomes between DCA and ICA were also included for comparative meta-analysis. RESULTS: Patients undergoing DCA were significantly less likely to require diverting stoma construction as compared to ICA (odds ratio [OR] = 0.04; confidence interval [CI]: 0.02-0.07; P < 0.001). Overall postoperative morbidity (OR = 0.50; 95% CI: 0.23-1.12; P = 0.09) and mortality (OR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.12-1.98; P = 0.32) was comparable between DCA and ICA groups. No significant differences in perioperative complications, such as anastomotic leakage (OR = 0.42; 95% CI: 0.11-1.64; P = 0.21), postoperative ileus, pelvic abscesses, or sepsis, were noted between DCA and ICA. CONCLUSION: Our study shows no differences in complications or functional outcomes between DCA and ICA. Pooled analysis expectedly revealed a lower rate of diverting stoma in patients undergoing DCA. DCA is thus a safe alternative to current surgical practices where avoidance of a stoma is desired.

Machine learning application for the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 infection using blood tests and chest radiograph.

Triaging and prioritising patients for RT-PCR test had been essential in the management of COVID-19 in resource-scarce countries. In this study, we applied machine learning (ML) to the task of detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection using basic laboratory markers. We performed the statistical analysis and trained an ML model on a retrospective cohort of 5148 patients from 24 hospitals in Hong Kong to classify COVID-19 and other aetiology of pneumonia. We validated the model on three temporal validation sets from different waves of infection in Hong Kong. For predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection, the ML model achieved high AUCs and specificity but low sensitivity in all three validation sets (AUC: 89.9-95.8%; Sensitivity: 55.5-77.8%; Specificity: 91.5-98.3%). When used in adjunction with radiologist interpretations of chest radiographs, the sensitivity was over 90% while keeping moderate specificity. Our study showed that machine learning model based on readily available laboratory markers could achieve high accuracy in predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Evaluating online learning engagement of nursing students.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest that increased learning satisfaction may encourage learning engagement in an online learning environment. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the level of learning engagement and its relationship with students' perceived learning satisfaction in an online clinical nursing elective course. DESIGN: A prospective interventional study. SETTINGS: A nursing course was converted to an online format because of the coronavirus disease COVID pandemic. PARTICIPANTS: Part-time post-registration nursing undergraduates enrolled in an elective online clinical course. METHODS: Related teaching and learning strategies were deployed in the course using the Community of Inquiry framework. All students who completed the course were invited to complete an online survey that included a validated Online Student Engagement questionnaire (OSE). Pearson's correlations were used to determine the association between perceived learning satisfaction and learning engagement. A logistic regression model was used to explore the associations of gender, age, working experience and perceived learning satisfaction with higher learning engagement. RESULTS: The questionnaires were completed by 56 of 68 students (82%). The Pearson's correlation coefficient between the mean perceived learning satisfaction and OSE scores was 0.75 (p < .001). Twenty-five students (45%) were identified as highly engaged, using a cut-off of ≥3.5 for the mean OSE score. The mean perceived learning satisfaction (SD) score differed significantly between highly engaged and not highly engaged students [4.02 (0.49) vs. 3.27 (0.62), p < .001]. The logistic regression model showed that a greater perceived learning satisfaction [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 17.2, 95% C.I.: 3.46-86.0, p = .001] was associated with an increased likelihood of higher learning engagement, and >1 year of working experience (adjusted OR: 0.11, 95% C.I.: 0.01-0.89, p = .0039) was associated with a decreased likelihood of higher learning engagement. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings suggest that perceived learning satisfaction predicts learning engagement among nursing students in this online learning course.

Quantifying the rate of recurrence of postoperative Crohn's disease with biological therapy. A meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Preventing the postoperative recurrence (POR) of Crohn's disease (CD) poses a significant challenge to clinicians. With the advent of biologics, various studies have observed a reduction of recurrence after surgery. Hence, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify the rate of POR at different time points in the era of biologic use. METHODS: We performed a literature search using Medline and Embase databases for studies investigating biologics in preventing the POR of CD. Data were extracted, and a single-arm meta-analysis with generalized linear mixed model and Clopper-Pearson method for confidence interval (CI) was performed to identify endoscopic, clinical and surgical recurrence rates at 6 months and 1, 2 and 5 years postoperatively. RESULTS: Altogether 24 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The endoscopic, clinical and surgical POR rate with the use of anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α agents at 1 year was 21.72% (95% CI 16.28%-28.37%), 13.06% (95% CI 8.18%-18.92%) and 3.76% (95% CI 1.37%-9.91%), respectively. The 5-year recurrence rate was 84.21% (95% CI 72.35%-91.57%) and 17.49% (95% CI 9.17%-30.80%) for endoscopic and surgical recurrence, respectively. Subgroup analyses at 1 year for the type of anti-TNF-α agent or the timing of initiation after surgery showed no significant difference in endoscopic, clinical and surgical recurrence rates. CONCLUSIONS: Anti-TNF-α agents are effective at preventing clinical, endoscopic and surgical POR of CD. The timing of initiating biological therapy after surgery has no significant effect on the rate of POR. The efficacy of infliximab and adalimumab for postoperative recurrence prevention is similar.

Optimal estimation of initial concentrations and emission sources with 4D-Var for air pollution prediction in a 2D transport model.

Attributing sources of air pollution events by deploying an efficient observational network is an important and interesting problem in air quality control and forecast studies, but it is very challenging. In order to estimate the sensitivities of pollution events to emission sources, a comprehensive framework is built based on a horizontal 2-dimensional transport model and its adjoint in solving this problem. In an analysis of an idealized air pollution event of PM2.5 over the region of North China, an objective function is defined to optimally estimate the initial concentrations and emission sources through a series of minimization procedures. Results by means of the 4-dimensional variational approach show that, with the optimal initial conditions and emission sources, the model can successfully forecast the pollution event in a few days. The optimal observing network based on sensitivity analysis takes only one third of the cost but greatly retains predictability skill compared to the full-grid observing system, while nearly no predictability skill is detectable if the same number of observational sites is randomly deployed. We evaluate air pollution predictability in the point of focusing on to what degree the root mean square errors between the modeled concentration and the targeted air pollution are limited by the optimal observational network. Results show that air pollution predictability in association with the optimal observational network is limited in the time scales about 6 days. With the high efficiency and in an economic fashion, such a sensitivity-based optimal observing system holds promise for accurately predicting an air pollution event in the targeted area once the adjoint and variational procedure of a realistic atmosphere model including transport and chemical processes is performed.

Genetic risk factors for endometriosis near estrogen receptor 1 and coexpression of genes in this region in endometrium.

The etiology and pathogenesis of endometriosis are complex with both genetic and environmental factors contributing to disease risk. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified multiple signals in the estrogen receptor 1 (ESR1) region associated with endometriosis and other reproductive traits and diseases. In addition, candidate gene association studies identified signals in the ESR1 region associated with endometriosis risk suggesting genetic regulation of genes in this region may be important for reproductive health. This study aimed to investigate hormonal and genetic regulation of genes in the ESR1 region in human endometrium. Changes in serum oestradiol and progesterone concentrations and expression of hormone receptors ESR1 and progesterone receptor (PGR) were assessed in endometrial samples from 135 women collected at various stages of the menstrual cycle. Correlation between hormone concentrations, receptor expression and expression of genes in the ESR1 locus was investigated. The effect of endometriosis risk variants on expression of genes in the region was analyzed to identify gene targets. Hormone concentrations and receptor expression varied significantly across the menstrual cycle. Expression of genes in the ESR1 region correlated with progesterone concentration; however, they were more strongly correlated with expression of ESR1 and PGR suggesting coregulation of genes. There was no evidence that endometriosis risk variants directly regulated expression of genes in the region. Limited sample size and cellular heterogeneity in endometrial tissue may impact the ability to detect significant genetic effects on gene expression. Effects of these variants should be validated in a larger dataset and in relevant individual cell types.

Clinical predictors of donor antibody titre and correlation with recipient antibody response in a COVID-19 convalescent plasma clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Convalescent plasma therapy for COVID-19 relies on transfer of anti-viral antibody from donors to recipients via plasma transfusion. The relationship between clinical characteristics and antibody response to COVID-19 is not well defined. We investigated predictors of convalescent antibody production and quantified recipient antibody response in a convalescent plasma therapy clinical trial. METHODS: Multivariable analysis of clinical and serological parameters in 103 confirmed COVID-19 convalescent plasma donors 28 days or more following symptom resolution was performed. Mixed-effects regression models with piecewise linear trends were used to characterize serial antibody responses in 10 convalescent plasma recipients with severe COVID-19. RESULTS: Donor antibody titres ranged from 0 to 1 : 3892 (anti-receptor binding domain (RBD)) and 0 to 1 : 3289 (anti-spike). Higher anti-RBD and anti-spike titres were associated with increased age, hospitalization for COVID-19, fever and absence of myalgia (all P < 0.05). Fatigue was significantly associated with anti-RBD (P = 0.03). In pairwise comparison amongst ABO blood types, AB donors had higher anti-RBD and anti-spike than O donors (P < 0.05). No toxicity was associated with plasma transfusion. Non-ECMO recipient anti-RBD antibody titre increased on average 31% per day during the first three days post-transfusion (P = 0.01) and anti-spike antibody titre by 40.3% (P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Advanced age, fever, absence of myalgia, fatigue, blood type and hospitalization were associated with higher convalescent antibody titre to COVID-19. Despite variability in donor titre, 80% of convalescent plasma recipients showed significant increase in antibody levels post-transfusion. A more complete understanding of the dose-response effect of plasma transfusion amongst COVID-19-infected patients is needed.

Generation of immortalized human endometrial stromal cell lines with different endometriosis risk genotypes.

Endometriotic lesions are composed in part of endometrial-like stromal cells, however, there is a shortage of immortalized human endometrial stromal cultures available for research. As genetic factors play a role in endometriosis risk, it is important that genotype is also incorporated into analysis of pathological mechanisms. Human telomerase reverse transcriptase (hTERT) immortalization (using Lenti-hTERT-green fluorescent protein virus) took place following genotype selection; 13 patients homozygous for either the risk or non-risk 'other' allele for one or more important endometriosis risk single nucleotide polymorphism on chromosome 1p36.12 (rs3820282, rs56318008, rs55938609, rs12037376, rs7521902 or rs12061255). Short tandem repeat DNA profiling validated that donor tissue matched that of the immortalized cell lines and confirmed that cultures were genetically novel. Expression of morphological markers (vimentin and cytokeratin) and key genes of interest (telomerase, estrogen and progesterone receptors and LINC00339) were examined and functional assays for cell proliferation, steroid hormone and inflammatory responses were performed for 7/13 cultures. All endometrial stromal cell lines maintained their fibroblast-like morphology (vimentin-positive) and homozygous endometriosis-risk genotype following introduction of hTERT. Furthermore, the new stromal cultures demonstrated positive and diverse responses to hormones (proliferation and decidualisation changes) and inflammation (dose-dependent response), while maintaining hormone receptor expression. In conclusion, we successfully developed a range of human endometrial stromal cell lines that carry important endometriosis-risk alleles. The wider implications of this approach go beyond advancing endometriosis research; these cell lines will be valuable tools for multiple endometrial pathologies offering a level of genetic and phenotypic diversity not previously available.

Hepatitis B Vaccination in Patients Receiving Oral Antiviral Therapy Without Hepatitis B Immunoglobulin After Liver Transplant.

Our study aimed to determine if a double-dose pre-S containing hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination (Sci-B-Vac) could elicit an adequate and sustainable immune response in HBV patients who developed spontaneous hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs) response after liver transplant. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients who received transplants for HBV-related disease for >1 year with normal graft function and hepatitis B surface antigen seronegativity were evaluated. They received a 40-µg HBV vaccine if they were responders in our previous vaccine trial, if anti-HBs was positive for >1 year after liver transplant (LT), or if a peak anti-HBs at any time point after LT was >100 mIU/mL. Primary endpoint was the development of anti-HBs ≥ 10 mIU/mL from previous negative value or a 1-log increase from baseline. RESULTS: A total of 86 patients were recruited; 5 were responders from a previous trial; 45 patients had detectable anti-HBs >1 year after LT, and 36 patients had an anti-HBs >100 mIU/mL. All (5/5, 100%) previous responders responded to booster vaccination. For the remaining 81 patients, 10 of 81 (12.3%) responded. CONCLUSION: All previous responders responded to booster vaccination, implying durability and memory of HBV immune response, which is an important prerequisite for definitive host immunity for HBV. In patients who had spontaneous anti-HBs production after LT, a single vaccination can induce response in 12.3% of patients.

Clinical and genetic profile of congenital long QT syndrome in Hong Kong: a 20-year experience in paediatrics.

INTRODUCTION: Congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS) is a genetically transmitted cardiac channelopathy that can lead to sudden cardiac death. This study aimed to report the clinical and genetic characteristics of all young patients diagnosed with LQTS in the only tertiary paediatric cardiology centre in Hong Kong. METHODS: This is a retrospective review of all paediatric and young adult patients diagnosed at our centre with LQTS from January 1997 to December 2016. The diagnosis of LQTS was established with a corrected QT interval (QTc) ≥480 ms, Schwartz score of >3 points, or the presence of a pathogenic mutation. RESULTS: Fifty-nine patients (33 males) from 52 families were included, with a mean age of 8.17 years (range, 0.00-16.95 years) at presentation. Five patients had concomitant congenital heart diseases. The mean follow-up duration was 5.33 ± 4.65 years. The mean QTc in the cohort was 504 ± 47 ms. They presented with syncope and convulsion (49%), cardiac arrest (10%), bradycardia and neonatal atrioventricular block (12%). Fifteen (25%) patients were asymptomatic at diagnosis. Thirty-eight (64.4%) patients were confirmed to have a pathogenic mutation for LQTS genes. Forty-five (76.3%) patients received beta blocker therapy. Thirteen (22.0%) patients required implantable cardioverter defibrillator. There was no mortality in the study period. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year breakthrough cardiac event-free rates were 93.0%, 80.7%, and 72.6%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Identification of the disorder, administration of beta blockers, and lifestyle modification can prevent subsequent cardiac events in LQTS. Genotyping in patients with LQTS is essential in guiding medical therapy and improving prognosis.

Changing Paradigm in the Surgical Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Salvage Transplantation.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to compare the long-term outcomes of primary and salvage liver transplantation for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHOD: This was a 10-year retrospective analysis in a tertiary referral center. RESULTS: There were 184 patients recruited (primary liver transplantation [pLT]:salvage liver transplantation [sLT], 143:41). The median follow-up time was 79 months. Operation time was shorter in the pLT group than the sLT group (661 ± 164 minutes vs 754 ± 206 minutes; P = .01) and the blood loss was 3749 mL and 3545 mL for pLT and sLT, respectively (P = .735). The reoperation rate was 5.6% and 4.9%, respectively (P = 1.0). The 5-year overall and disease-free survival rates from the time of transplantation for pLT and sLT were 84.1% versus 70.2% (P = .01) and 82.2% versus 65.8% (P = .01), respectively. The 5-year overall survival rate from the time of primary treatment for sLT was 80.3% (P = .1). Subgroup analysis of sLT showed that young age (50 vs 56 year old; P = .004) was the only factor associated with poor overall survival. Young age (P = .004) and microvascular permeation (P = .008) in the recurrent tumor were associated with HCC recurrence. Young age stands out to be the only independent factor associated with HCC recurrence. CONCLUSION: sLT is the treatment of choice for patients with recurrent HCC in regions of graft shortage.

Inverse relationship between hepatic steatosis and hepatitis B viremia: Results of a large case-control study.

The potential interaction between chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), two of the most prevalent liver diseases worldwide, has not been well defined. We performed liver stiffness (LS) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) measurements using transient elastography in 1202 CHB patients. Of these, 601 steatotic patients were matched with nonsteatotic controls in a 1:1 ratio by age, gender, nucleoside analogue treatment status, and treatment duration. Severe fibrosis was defined according to EASL-ALEH criteria, and steatosis was defined as CAP ≥222 dB m-1 . Anthropometric measurements and metabolic-related parameters were recorded. The mean age of the 1202 patients (51.4% male) was 51.8 years. 696 patients (57.9%) were on nucleoside analogues for a median duration of 76.2 months. Among treatment-naïve patients, median serum HBV DNA was lower in steatotic individuals than in controls (3.0 vs 3.4 log IU mL-1 , P < .05), with this inverse relationship remaining significant in multivariate analysis (odds ratio 0.859, 95% CI 0.743-0.994, P < .05). With increased steatosis severity, there was a stepwise decrease in median HBV DNA levels (3.1 and 2.6 log IU mL-1 in no steatosis and severe steatosis, respectively, P = .032). Steatosis was associated with a higher median LS (5.4 kPa vs 5.0 kPa, P < .001). Severe steatosis, when compared to mild/moderate steatosis, was associated with an increased percentage of severe fibrosis (23.2% and 12.6%, respectively, P = .005). We conclude that severe steatosis was associated with increased fibrosis in CHB patients. Increasing steatosis was independently associated with lower serum HBV DNA levels, suggesting its potential negative effects on viral replication.

Pain Control, Glucose Control, and Quality of Life in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis After Total Pancreatectomy With Islet Autotransplantation: A Preliminary Report.

BACKGROUND: Total pancreatectomy (TP) is offered as a last treatment option for pain relief in patients with chronic pancreatitis. Concurrent islets autotransplantation (TP-IAT) may improve glucose control. METHODS: We analyzed results in 20 recent patients who underwent TP-IAT at The University of Chicago. The median observation period was 28 months (2-38). Data were collected prospectively then analyzed retrospectively. RESULTS: The number of patients requiring opioids daily for pain control decreased from 16 (80%) prior to surgery to 2 (13%) 1 year after, with only 1 (6.5%) patient experiencing persistent phantom pancreatic pain. Opioid requirements decreased from a median 56.3 (0-240) morphine equivalent dose to 5 (0-130) on day 75 and to 0 (0-30) at 1-year follow up. Five patients (25%) completely stopped insulin support prior to day 75 while maintaining hemoglobin A1c of 5.9% (5-6.3). Eight (53%) patients were insulin free at 1 year with A1c of 6% (5.5-6.8) and a similar rate persisted in next 2 years. For the remaining patients, the more islet function that was preserved, the less insulin they required and A1c was closer to optimal. Quality of Life (QoL) measured by SF36 Physical (PCS) and Mental (MCS) Component Score improved on day 75 (P < .001) and maintained improvement later on. Both PCS and MCS improved regardless of whether patient requires insulin support or not. CONCLUSIONS: Improvements of QoL with pain resolution and good glucose control can be achieved after TP-IAT in properly selected patients with CP and intractable pain, regardless of patient insulin support status.

External Validation of the Newly Developed BETA-2 Scoring System for Pancreatic Islet Graft Function Assessment.

BACKGROUND: BETA-2 score using a single fasting blood sample was developed to estimate beta-cell function after islet transplantation (ITx) and was validated internally by a high ITx volume center (Edmonton). The goal was to validate BETA-2 externally, in our center. METHODS: Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were obtained to see if beta score or BETA-2 would better detect insulin independence and glucose intolerance. RESULTS: We analyzed values from 48 mixed meal tolerance tests (MMTTs) in 4 ITx recipients with a long-term follow-up to 140 months (LT group) and from 54 MMTTs in 13 short-term group patients (ST group). AUROC for no need for insulin support was 0.776 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.539-1, P = .02) and 0.922 (95% CI 0.848-0.996, P < .001) for beta score and 0.79 (95% CI 0.596-0.983, P = .003) and 0.941 (95% CI 0.86-1, P < .001) for BETA-2, in LT and ST groups, respectively, and did not differ significantly. In LT group BETA-2 score ≥ 13.03 predicted no need for insulin supplementation with sensitivity of 98%, specificity of 50%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 93%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 75%. In ST group the optimal cutoff was ≥13.63 with sensitivity of 92% and specificity, PPV, and NPV 82% to 95%. For the detection of glucose intolerance BETA-2 cutoffs were <19.43 in LT group and <17.23 in ST group with sensitivity > 76% and specificity, PPV, and NPV > 80% in both groups. CONCLUSION: BETA-2 score was successfully validated externally and is a practical tool allowing for frequent and reliable assessments of islet graft function based on a single fasting blood sample.

Historical epidemiology of hepatitis C virus in select countries-volume 4.

Due to the introduction of newer, more efficacious treatment options, there is a pressing need for policy makers and public health officials to develop or adapt national hepatitis C virus (HCV) control strategies to the changing epidemiological landscape. To do so, detailed, country-specific data are needed to characterize the burden of chronic HCV infection. In this study of 17 countries, a literature review of published and unpublished data on HCV prevalence, viraemia, genotype, age and gender distribution, liver transplants and diagnosis and treatment rates was conducted, and inputs were validated by expert consensus in each country. Viraemic prevalence in this study ranged from 0.2% in Hong Kong to 2.4% in Taiwan, while the largest viraemic populations were in Nigeria (2 597 000 cases) and Taiwan (569 000 cases). Diagnosis, treatment and liver transplant rates varied widely across the countries included in this analysis, as did the availability of reliable data. Addressing data gaps will be critical for the development of future strategies to manage and minimize the disease burden of hepatitis C.

Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus infection disease burden-Volume 4.

The hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic was forecasted through 2030 for 17 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and the Middle East, and interventions for achieving the Global Health Sector Strategy on viral hepatitis targets-"WHO Targets" (65% reduction in HCV-related deaths, 90% reduction in new infections and 90% of infections diagnosed by 2030) were considered. Scaling up treatment and diagnosis rates over time would be required to achieve these targets in all but one country, even with the introduction of high SVR therapies. The scenarios developed to achieve the WHO Targets in all countries studied assumed the implementation of national policies to prevent new infections and to diagnose current infections through screening.