Cost-Effectiveness of AI for Risk-Stratified Breast Cancer Screening.

Importance: Previous research has shown good discrimination of short-term risk using an artificial intelligence (AI) risk prediction model (Mirai). However, no studies have been undertaken to evaluate whether this might translate into economic gains. Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of incorporating risk-stratified screening using a breast cancer AI model into the United Kingdom (UK) National Breast Cancer Screening Program. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study, conducted from January 1, 2023, to January 31, 2024, involved the development of a decision analytical model to estimate health-related quality of life, cancer survival rates, and costs over the lifetime of the female population eligible for screening. The analysis took a UK payer perspective, and the simulated cohort consisted of women aged 50 to 70 years at screening. Exposures: Mammography screening at 1 to 6 yearly screening intervals based on breast cancer risk and standard care (screening every 3 years). Main Outcomes and Measures: Incremental net monetary benefit based on quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and National Health Service (NHS) costs (given in pounds sterling; to convert to US dollars, multiply by 1.28). Results: Artificial intelligence-based risk-stratified programs were estimated to be cost-saving and increase QALYs compared with the current screening program. A screening schedule of every 6 years for lowest-risk individuals, biannually and triennially for those below and above average risk, respectively, and annually for those at highest risk was estimated to give yearly net monetary benefits within the NHS of approximately £60.4 (US $77.3) million and £85.3 (US $109.2) million, with QALY values set at £20 000 (US $25 600) and £30 000 (US $38 400), respectively. Even in scenarios where decision-makers hesitate to allocate additional NHS resources toward screening, implementing the proposed strategies at a QALY value of £1 (US $1.28) was estimated to generate a yearly monetary benefit of approximately £10.6 (US $13.6) million. Conclusions and Relevance: In this decision analytical model study of integrating risk-stratified screening with a breast cancer AI model into the UK National Breast Cancer Screening Program, risk-stratified screening was likely to be cost-effective, yielding added health benefits at reduced costs. These results are particularly relevant for health care settings where resources are under pressure. New studies to prospectively evaluate AI-guided screening appear warranted.

Evaluating social rehabilitation of aggression for persons with Acquired Brain Injury: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Social rehabilitation of aggression following an Acquired Brain Injury (ABI) is critically important for persons with ABI due to increased vulnerability of criminal behaviour related to post-injury changes in functioning. This review presents findings from studies that evaluated aggression interventions in both community and forensic populations of people with ABI. METHODS: We searched PsycINFO, EMBASE, SocINDEX, CINAHL and Medline databases for studies published between 1st January 2000 and 15th October 2023. RESULTS: There were 15 studies (14 community-based, one forensic) that met inclusion criteria. Pharmacological management (6) was largely ineffective and anger management interventions (6) presented with inconsistent effectiveness. Emotion regulation (1) may be effective for externalised aggression. Both mindfulness and transcranial direct current stimulation (1) were effective, and the results of a forensic peer group approach (1) were not tested for statistical significance. There was variability in the measurement of aggression, injury severity, and cognitive impairment. CONCLUSIONS: Whilst community interventions for aggression in persons with ABI are prevalent, findings for effectiveness have been mixed and there is a paucity of evaluated interventions in forensic samples. Further research is needed to unravel the complex interplay of factors contributing to aggression and develop effective social rehabilitation for persons with ABI.

Social rehabilitation is critical following an Acquired Brain Injury (ABI) due to increased risk of displaying challenging behaviours, such as aggression, that may significantly reduce an individual's quality of life.The current review highlights a lack of suitable interventions targeting aggression for individuals with ABI that account for injury-related impairments which impact capacity to engage in intervention.Findings emphasise the need to develop appropriate and relevant social rehabilitation interventions for aggression in ABI populations, particularly forensic populations, to prevent negative outcomes.

A phase 3 randomised double-blind placebo-controlled trial of mirtazapine as a pharmacotherapy for methamphetamine use disorder: a study protocol for the Tina Trial.

BACKGROUND: There are no approved pharmacotherapies for methamphetamine use disorder. Two preliminary phase 2 randomised controlled trials have found mirtazapine, a tetracyclic antidepressant, to be effective in reducing methamphetamine use. The proposed Tina Trial is the first phase 3 placebo-controlled randomised trial to examine the effectiveness and safety of mirtazapine as an outpatient pharmacotherapy for methamphetamine use disorder. METHODS: This is a multi-site phase 3 randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled parallel trial. Participants are randomly allocated (1:1) to receive either mirtazapine (30 mg/day for 12 weeks) or matched placebo, delivered as a take-home medication. The target population is 340 people aged 18-65 years who have moderate to severe methamphetamine use disorder. The trial is being conducted through outpatient alcohol and other drug treatment clinics in Australia. The primary outcome is measured as self-reported days of methamphetamine use in the past 4 weeks at week 12. Secondary outcomes are methamphetamine-negative oral fluid samples, depressive symptoms, sleep quality, HIV risk behaviour and quality of life. Other outcomes include safety (adverse events), tolerability, and health service use. Medication adherence is being monitored using MEMS® Smart Caps fitted to medication bottles. DISCUSSION: This trial will provide information on the safety and effectiveness of mirtazapine as a pharmacotherapy for methamphetamine use disorder when delivered as an outpatient medication in routine clinical practice. If found to be safe and effective, this trial will support an application for methamphetamine use disorder to be included as a therapeutic indication for the prescription of mirtazapine. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12622000235707. Registered on February 9, 2022.

Evaluating patient immunocompetence through antibody response to pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine using a newly developed 23 serotype multiplexed assay.

Assessing T-cell independent antibody response to polysaccharide vaccines is crucial for diagnosing humoral immune deficiencies. However, immunocompetence criteria based on S. pneumoniae vaccination remain unclear. We evaluated IgG antibody vaccine response in healthy individuals to establish interpretive criteria. Pre- and 4-week post-vaccination sera were collected from 79 adults. Antibody concentrations to PNEUMOVAX 23 serotypes were measured using a multiplexed platform. Immunocompetence was determined by fold increase in post-vaccination response, percentage of serotypes achieving 4- or 2-fold antibody ratio, and post-vaccination concentration ≥ 1.3 µg/mL. Immunogenicity varied widely across the 23 serotypes (26.6% to 94.9% for ≥4-fold increase, 51.9% to 98.7% for ≥2-fold increase). Immunocompetence based on historic criteria of ≥4-fold increase in antibody ratio to ≥70% of serotypes was low (72.2%), but increased to 98.7% with criteria of at least a 2-fold increase and/or post-vaccination concentration ≥ 1.3 µg/mL. Current criteria for assessing immunocompetence may be overly stringent and require updating.

Specimen type validation and establishment of normal cytokine reference intervals in cerebrospinal fluid.

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is a critical body fluid to examine in attempts to discover potential biomarkers for neuroinflammatory and other disorders of the central nervous system (CNS). Serum and/or plasma cytokine levels have been associated with a variety of inflammatory conditions, and some have been shown to be actionable therapeutic targets. Less is known, however, about cytokine levels in CSF. Serum and plasma cytokine testing is widely available in clinical and research laboratories, but cytokine testing in CSF is extremely limited and if performed, accompanied by a disclaimer that it is an unvalidated specimen type. In this study, we validate CSF as a suitable specimen type and determine normal reference intervals for multiple cytokines as well as a soluble cytokine receptor. CSF was validated as a specimen type for testing using a laboratory developed multiplexed cytokine assay previously validated to measure 13 cytokines/markers in serum and plasma. Performance parameters including specimen dilution, specimen interference, linearity and precision were examined. Reference intervals were established using 197 normal and control CSF specimens by non-parametric quantile-based methods. CSF cytokine analysis demonstrated within and between run precision of <10% and < 20% CV, respectively and linearity of ±15% for all analytes throughout the analytical measurement range of the assay. Reference intervals for the 13 cytokines/markers were established from 197 normal and control CSF specimens (78 Male; mean 44.8 y ± 21.7 SD, 119 Female; mean 42.8 y ± 20.3 SD). Cytokine concentrations in CSF from normal donors and controls were less than the lower limit of quantitation of our assay for 6 of the 13 measured cytokines/markers. The chemokine IL8 demonstrated the highest concentration of all analytes measured. CSF demonstrated acceptable performance as a specimen type in our multiplexed cytokine assay. By validating CSF as a specimen type and establishing normal reference intervals for cytokine concentrations in CSF, their potential as biomarkers for infectious, autoimmune and other inflammatory CNS disorders can be more appropriately investigated.

Psychiatrists can save lives with naloxone.

OBJECTIVES: Naloxone is an effective medication used to reverse opioid overdoses. Distributing naloxone directly to those at risk, therefore, reduces the risk of opioid-related deaths. New legislation in Australia means a prescription is no longer required to access naloxone. Whilst acknowledging the benefits of increased access, we aim to evaluate the impact psychiatrists can have on naloxone provision due to their unique position as doctors often working with those who may be at risk. METHODS: Data was recorded on those accessing naloxone from a co-located addiction and mental health service. Descriptive statistics were generated to establish the cohort characteristics, prior knowledge of naloxone and outcome of previously supplied naloxone. RESULTS: Naloxone was dispensed 488 times from 2021 to 2023. 267 people had previously been prescribed naloxone from these sites where 137 (51.3%) were reportedly used in an opioid reversal. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the importance of community access to naloxone in reducing opioid-related harm. Whilst removing the need for a prescription makes naloxone more accessible, it remains vital that doctors remain involved in this process to broaden the reach of supply to those at risk.

Catheter Event Rates in Medical Compared to Surgical Peritoneal Dialysis Catheter Insertion.

Introduction: How patient, center, and insertion technique factors interact needs to be understood when designing peritoneal dialysis (PD) catheter insertion pathways. Methods: We undertook a prospective cohort study in 44 UK centers enrolling participants planned for first catheter insertion. Sequences of regressions were used to describe the associations linking patient and dialysis unit-level characteristics with catheter insertion technique and their impact on the occurrence of catheter-related events in the first year (catheter-related infection, hospitalization, and removal). Factors associated with catheter events were incorporated into a multistate model comparing the rates of catheter events between medical and surgical insertion alongside treatment modality transitions and mortality. Results: Of 784 first catheter insertions, 466 (59%) had a catheter event in the first year and 61.2% of transitions onto hemodialysis (HD) were immediately preceded by a catheter event. Catheter malfunction was less but infection was more common with surgical compared with medical insertions. Participants at centers with fewer late presenters and more new dialysis patients starting PD, had a lower probability of a catheter event. Adjusting for these factors, the hazard ratio for a catheter event following insertion (medical vs. surgical) was 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43 to 1.13), and once established on PD 0.77 (0.62 to 0.96). Conclusion: Offering both medical and surgical techniques is associated with lower catheter event rates and keeps people on PD for longer.

An optimization framework to guide the choice of thresholds for risk-based cancer screening.

It is uncommon for risk groups defined by statistical or artificial intelligence (AI) models to be chosen by jointly considering model performance and potential interventions available. We develop a framework to rapidly guide choice of risk groups in this manner, and apply it to guide breast cancer screening intervals using an AI model. Linear programming is used to define risk groups that minimize expected advanced cancer incidence subject to resource constraints. In the application risk stratification performance is estimated from a case-control study (2044 cases, 1:1 matching), and other parameters are taken from screening trials and the screening programme in England. Under the model, re-screening in 1 year for the highest 4% AI model risk, in 3 years for the middle 64%, and in 4 years for 32% of the population at lowest risk, was expected to reduce the number of advanced cancers diagnosed by approximately 18 advanced cancers per 1000 diagnosed with triennial screening, for the same average number of screens in the population as triennial screening for all. Sensitivity analyses found the choice of thresholds was robust to model parameters, but the estimated reduction in advanced cancers was not precise and requires further evaluation. Our framework helps define thresholds with the greatest chance of success for reducing the population health burden of cancer when used in risk-adapted screening, which should be further evaluated such as in health-economic modelling based on computer simulation models, and real-world evaluations.

The cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified breast cancer screening in the UK.

BACKGROUND: There has been growing interest in the UK and internationally of risk-stratified breast screening whereby individualised risk assessment may inform screening frequency, starting age, screening instrument used, or even decisions not to screen. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of eight proposals for risk-stratified screening regimens compared to both the current UK screening programme and no national screening. METHODS: A person-level microsimulation model was developed to estimate health-related quality of life, cancer survival and NHS costs over the lifetime of the female population eligible for screening in the UK. RESULTS: Compared with both the current screening programme and no screening, risk-stratified regimens generated additional costs and QALYs, and had a larger net health benefit. The likelihood of the current screening programme being the optimal scenario was less than 1%. No screening amongst the lowest risk group, and triannual, biennial and annual screening amongst the three higher risk groups was the optimal screening strategy from those evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: We found that risk-stratified breast cancer screening has the potential to be beneficial for women at the population level, but the net health benefit will depend on the particular risk-based strategy.

Corrigendum: IgG2 rules: N-acetyl-ß-D-glucosamine-specific IgG2 and Th17/Th1 cooperation may promote the pathogenesis of acute rheumatic heart disease and be a biomarker of the autoimmune sequelae of Streptococcus pyogenes.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.919700.].

Cost-Effectiveness of Robot-Assisted Radical Cystectomy vs Open Radical Cystectomy for Patients With Bladder Cancer.

Importance: The value to payers of robot-assisted radical cystectomy with intracorporeal urinary diversion (iRARC) when compared with open radical cystectomy (ORC) for patients with bladder cancer is unclear. Objectives: To compare the cost-effectiveness of iRARC with that of ORC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This economic evaluation used individual patient data from a randomized clinical trial at 9 surgical centers in the United Kingdom. Patients with nonmetastatic bladder cancer were recruited from March 20, 2017, to January 29, 2020. The analysis used a health service perspective and a 90-day time horizon, with supplementary analyses exploring patient benefits up to 1 year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken. Data were analyzed from January 13, 2022, to March 10, 2023. Interventions: Patients were randomized to receive either iRARC (n = 169) or ORC (n = 169). Main Outcomes and Measures: Costs of surgery were calculated using surgery timings and equipment costs, with other hospital data based on counts of activity. Quality-adjusted life-years were calculated from European Quality of Life 5-Dimension 5-Level instrument responses. Prespecified subgroup analyses were undertaken based on patient characteristics and type of diversion. Results: A total of 305 patients with available outcome data were included in the analysis, with a mean (SD) age of 68.3 (8.1) years, and of whom 241 (79.0%) were men. Robot-assisted radical cystectomy was associated with statistically significant reductions in admissions to intensive therapy (6.35% [95% CI, 0.42%-12.28%]), and readmissions to hospital (14.56% [95% CI, 5.00%-24.11%]), but increases in theater time (31.35 [95% CI, 13.67-49.02] minutes). The additional cost of iRARC per patient was £1124 (95% CI, -£576 to £2824 [US $1622 (95% CI, -$831 to $4075)]) with an associated gain in quality-adjusted life-years of 0.01124 (95% CI, 0.00391-0.01857). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was £100 008 (US $144 312) per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Robot-assisted radical cystectomy had a much higher probability of being cost-effective for subgroups defined by age, tumor stage, and performance status. Conclusions and Relevance: In this economic evaluation of surgery for patients with bladder cancer, iRARC reduced short-term morbidity and some associated costs. While the resulting cost-effectiveness ratio was in excess of thresholds used by many publicly funded health systems, patient subgroups were identified for which iRARC had a high probability of being cost-effective. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03049410.

Reduced quantity and function of pneumococcal antibodies are associated with exacerbations of COPD in SPIROMICS.

While hypogammaglobulinemia is associated with COPD exacerbations, it is unknown whether frequent exacerbators have specific defects in antibody production/function. We hypothesized that reduced quantity/function of serum pneumococcal antibodies correlate with exacerbation risk in the SPIROMICS cohort. We measured total pneumococcal IgG in n = 764 previously vaccinated participants with COPD. In a propensity-matched subset of n = 200 with vaccination within five years (n = 50 without exacerbations in the previous year; n = 75 with one, n = 75 with ≥2), we measured pneumococcal IgG for 23 individual serotypes, and pneumococcal antibody function for 4 serotypes. Higher total pneumococcal IgG, serotype-specific IgG (17/23 serotypes), and antibody function (3/4 serotypes) were independently associated with fewer prior exacerbations. Higher pneumococcal IgG (5/23 serotypes) predicted lower exacerbation risk in the following year. Pneumococcal antibodies are inversely associated with exacerbations, supporting the presence of immune defects in frequent exacerbators. With further study, pneumococcal antibodies may be useful biomarkers for immune dysfunction in COPD.

Neurologic Manifestations of Common Variable Immunodeficiency: Impact on Quality of Life.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Common variable immunodeficiency is a systemic disease and not solely a disease of humoral immunity. Neurologic symptoms associated with common variable immunodeficiency are underrecognized and warrant further study. This work aimed to characterize the neurologic symptoms reported by people living with common variable immunodeficiency. METHODS: We conducted a single academic medical center study of neurologic symptoms reported by adults previously diagnosed with common variable immunodeficiency. We used a survey of common neurologic symptoms to determine the prevalence of these symptoms in a population with common variable immunodeficiency and further assessed these patient-reported symptoms with validated questionnaires and compared symptom burden with other neurologic conditions. RESULTS: A volunteer sample of adults (aged 18 years or older) previously diagnosed with common variable immunodeficiency at the University of Utah Clinical Immunology/Immune Deficiency Clinic who were able to read and comprehend English and willing and able to answer survey-based questions were recruited. Of 148 eligible participants identified, 80 responded and 78 completed the surveys. The mean age of respondents was 51.3 years (range 20-78 years); 73.1% female and 94.8% White. Patients with common variable immunodeficiency reported many common neurologic symptoms (mean 14.6, SD 5.9, range 1-25), with sleep issues, fatigue, and headache reported by more than 85%. Validated questionnaires addressing specific neurologic symptoms supported these results. T-scores on Neuro QoL questionnaires for sleep (mean 56.4, SD 10.4) and fatigue (mean 54.1, SD 11) were higher, indicating more dysfunction, than in the reference clinical population (p < 0.005). The Neuro QoL questionnaire for cognitive function showed a lower T-score (mean 44.8, SD 11.1) than that in the reference general population (p < 0.005), indicating worse function in this domain. DISCUSSION: Among survey respondents, there is a marked burden of neurologic symptoms. Given the impact of neurologic symptoms on health-related quality-of-life measures, clinicians should screen patients with common variable immunodeficiency for the presence of these symptoms and offer referral to neurologists and/or symptomatic treatment when indicated. Frequently prescribed neurologic medications may also affect the immune system, and neurologists should consider screening patients for immune deficiency before prescribing them.

Can foodborne illness estimates from different countries be legitimately compared?: case study of rates in the UK compared with Australia, Canada and USA.

OBJECTIVE: Mathematical models have gained traction when estimating cases of foodborne illness. Model structures vary due to differences in data availability. This begs the question as to whether differences in foodborne illness rates internationally are real or due to differences in modelling approaches.Difficulties in comparing illness rates have come into focus with COVID-19 infection rates being contrasted between countries. Furthermore, with post-EU Exit trade talks ongoing, being able to understand and compare foodborne illness rates internationally is a vital part of risk assessments related to trade in food commodities. DESIGN: We compared foodborne illness estimates for the United Kingdom (UK) with those from Australia, Canada and the USA. We then undertook sensitivity analysis, by recreating the mathematical models used in each country, to understand the impact of some of the key differences in approach and to enable more like-for-like comparisons. RESULTS: Published estimates of overall foodborne illness rates in the UK were lower than the other countries. However, when UK estimates were adjusted to a more like-for-like approach to the other countries, differences were smaller and often had overlapping credible intervals. When comparing rates by specific pathogens, there were fewer differences between countries. The few large differences found, such as virus rates in Canada, could at least partly be traced to methodological differences. CONCLUSION: Foodborne illness estimation models are country specific, making international comparisons problematic. Some of the disparities in estimated rates between countries can be shown to be attributed to differences in methodology rather than real differences in risk.

Addiction experts: The discrepancy between expectations and reality of generalist psychiatry training.

OBJECTIVE: The generalist psychiatrist is recognised in Australia as a specialist in the management of addiction. However, generalist training does not adequately prepare psychiatrists to take on this expert role. This problem is exacerbated by the lack of consensus around core competencies and training pathways. This article conceptualises the status of addiction training in generalist psychiatry training, outlines current gaps and worrying trends and provides suggestions for how these can be addressed. CONCLUSION: Limited international leadership in the field provides an opportunity for psychiatry training in Australia and New Zealand to set a gold standard for training general psychiatrists to hold core competencies in addiction psychiatry. Key strategies will include: the identification and monitoring of addiction rotations; providing a formal training module in addiction; specifying a set proportion of addiction exam questions; and obtain consensus on core competencies.