High drug loading nanosized amorphous solid dispersion (NASD) with enhanced in vitro solubility and permeability: Benchmarking conventional ASD.

Through liquid-liquid phase separation (LLPS), it is possible to generate drug-rich nanoparticles during the dissolution of conventional amorphous solid dispersions (ASDs). These self-generated nanoparticles may improve the oral absorption of poorly water-soluble drugs by enhancing the drug's apparent solubility and effective membrane permeability. However, due to the high concentration threshold required for LLPS, conventional ASDs that can consistently generate drug-rich nanoparticles during dissolution are rare. More importantly, the quality of these meta-stable drug-rich nanoparticles is hard to control during dissolution, leading to inconsistency in formulation performances. This work has described a continuous twin-screw extrusion process capable of producing nanosized ASD (NASD) formulations that can offer better solubility and permeability enhancements over conventional ASD formulations. Two polymeric carriers, polyvinylpyrrolidone-co-vinyl acetate (PVPVA) and hydroxypropyl methylcellulose acetate succinate (HPMCAS), with a model hydrophobic drug celecoxib (BCS II), were formulated into both ASD and NASD formulations. Compared to the conventional ASD formulation, the prefabricated NASD (sizes ranging between 40 and 200 nm) embedded within a polyol matrix can be rapidly dispersed into a nanoparticle suspension in the presence of aqueous media. The resulting NASDs achieved drug loadings up to 80 % w/w and a maximum of 98 % encapsulation efficiency. Because of the TSE platform's high drug-loading capacity and high scalability, the developed method may be useful for continuously producing personalized nanomedicines.

Design and scale-up of amorphous drug nanoparticles production via a one-step anhydrous continuous process.

Polymeric nanoparticle drug delivery systems are increasingly viewed as crucial building blocks for efficacious treatments of disease conditions. However, production methods at commercially practical scales pose a significant challenge for successfully translating such technology. This paper describes a novel, anhydrous, twin-screw extrusion (TSE) platform-based technology to overcome the issues associated with developing and scale-up production of nanoparticulate drug delivery systems. With polyol as the process medium, the proposed TSE platform enables the encapsulation of the drug and reduction of particle size in a one-step process without the requirement for organic solvents or water. pH-responsive nanoparticle drug delivery of two nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, naproxen, and celecoxib, was successfully produced using the TSE process. Remarkably, these resulted in nanoparticles with sizes ranging from 80 to 240 nm, up to 98 % drug encapsulation efficiency, and maximum production throughput of 400 g/hour. pH-responsive drug release for both naproxen and celecoxib was also achieved: immediate drug release with enhanced solubility was obtained for naproxen-Eudragit®E nanoparticles (6 times higher) at pH 1.2 and celecoxib-HPMCAS nanoparticles (15 times higher) at pH 6.8, whilst sustained drug release was achieved for naproxen-Eudragit®E nanoparticles at pH 6.8 and celecoxib-HPMCAS nanoparticles at pH 1.2. We expect this platform technology to streamline the development and scale-up production of various polymeric nanoparticle drug delivery systems.

Impact of applying a diabetes risk score in primary care on change in physical activity: a pragmatic cluster randomised trial.

AIM: There is little evidence of the impact of diabetes risk scores on individual diabetes risk factors, motivation for behaviour changes and mental health. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of applying a noninvasive diabetes risk score in primary care as component of routine health checks on physical activity and secondary outcomes. METHODS: Cluster randomised trial, in which primary care physicians (PCPs), randomised (1:1) by minimisation, enrolled participants with statutory health insurance without known diabetes, ≥ 35 years of age with a body mass index ≥ 27.0 kg/m2. The German Diabetes Risk Score was applied as add-on to the standard routine health check, conducted in the controls. Primary outcome was the difference in participants' physical activity (International Physical Activity Questionnaire) after 12 months. Secondary outcomes included body mass index, perceived health, anxiety, depression, and motivation for lifestyle change. Analysis was by intention-to-treat principle using mixed models. RESULTS: 36 PCPs were randomised; remaining 30 PCPs (intervention: n = 16; control: n = 14) recruited 315 participants (intervention: n = 153; controls: n = 162). A slight increase in physical activity was observed in the intervention group with an adjusted mean change of 388 (95% confidence interval: - 235; 1011) metabolic equivalents minutes per week. There were no relevant changes in secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The application of a noninvasive diabetes risk score alone is not effective in promoting physical activity in primary care. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03234322, registration date: July 31, 2017).

Socio-economic inequalities in glycaemic control in recently diagnosed adults with type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It is unclear whether socio-economic status (SES) is associated with glycaemic control in people with recently diagnosed diabetes. The aim was to investigate whether SES is related to haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) during the first year after diagnosis in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes and if metabolic, quality of care or mental factors may explain the association. METHODS: In the German Diabetes Study, people with type 1 (n = 274, median age 36 [25th; 75th percentile: 28; 48] years) and type 2 diabetes (n = 424, 54 [47; 60] years) underwent detailed metabolic characterisation within the first year after diagnosis. SES was documented using a standardised questionnaire. Associations between SES and HbA1c were assessed using multivariable linear regression and restricted cubic spline regression analyses. Additional covariables were patient characteristics, laboratory measurements, health behaviour, quality of care and depression variables. Models were separately fitted for diabetes type, SES and its dimensions (income, education, occupation). RESULTS: Higher SES score was associated with lower HbA1c (-0.7 mmol/mol per unit increase in SES, 95% CI: -1.1; -0.2 mmol/mol [-0.1%, 95% CI: -0.1; 0.0%]) in people with type 1 diabetes. Included covariates did not attenuate this association. In people with type 2 diabetes, effect estimates were close to zero indicating no relevant difference. CONCLUSION: Socio-economic inequalities in HbA1c already exist during the first year after diagnosis in people with type 1 diabetes. The absence of association between glycaemic control and SES in type 2 diabetes could be due to the lower complexity of diabetes therapy compared to type 1 diabetes.

Clinical impact of assessing thrombus age using magnetic resonance venography prior to catheter-directed thrombolysis.

OBJECTIVES: Magnetic resonance venography (MRV) is underutilized in the evaluation of thrombus properties prior to endovascular treatment but may improve procedural outcomes. We therefore investigated the clinical impact of using a dedicated MRV scoring system to assess thrombus characteristics prior to endovascular intervention for iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis (DVT). METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of data from the CAVA trial ( Clinicaltrials.gov :NCT00970619). MRV studies of patients receiving ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT) for iliofemoral DVT were reviewed. Thrombus age-related imaging characteristics were scored and translated into an overall score (acute, subacute, or old). MRV scores were compared to patient-reported complaints. MRV-scored groups were compared for CDT duration and success rate. RESULTS: Fifty-six patients (29 men; age 50.8 ± 16.4 years) were included. Using MRV, 27 thrombi were classified acute, 17 subacute, and 12 old. Based on patient-reported complaints, 11 (91.7%) of these old thrombi would have been categorized acute or subacute, and one (3.7%) of the acute thrombi as old. Average duration of CDT to > 90% restored patency differed significantly between groups (p < 0.0001): average duration was 23 h for acute thromboses (range: 19-25), 43 h for subacute (range: 41-62), and 85 h for old thromboses (range: 74-96). CDT was almost eleven times more successful in thromboses characterized as acute and subacute compared to old thromboses (OR: 10.7; 95% CI 2.1-55.5). CONCLUSION: A dedicated MRV scoring system can safely discriminate between acute, subacute, and old thromboses. MRV-based selection is predictive of procedural duration and success rate and can help avoid unnecessary complications. KEY POINTS: • Thrombus age, characterized by MRV as acute, subacute, and old, can predict CDT duration and probability of success. • Accurate pre-interventional MRV-based thrombus aging has the potential to facilitate identification of eligible patients and may thus prevent CDT-related complications.

Amorphous solid dispersions: Utilization and challenges in preclinical drug development within AstraZeneca.

The poor aqueous solubility of many active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) dominates much of the early drug development portfolio and poses a major challenge in pharmaceutical development. Polymer-based amorphous solid dispersions (ASDs) are becoming increasingly common and offer a promising formulation strategy to tackle the solubility and oral absorption issues of these APIs. This review discusses the design, manufacture, and utilisation of ASD formulations in preclinical drug development, with a key focus on the pre-formulation assessments and workflows employed at AstraZeneca.

Educational Level, but Not Income or Area Deprivation, is Related to Macrovascular Disease: Results From Two Population-Based Cohorts in Germany.

Objectives: An inverse relationship between education and cardiovascular risk has been described, however, the combined association of education, income, and neighborhood socioeconomic status with macrovascular disease is less clear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of educational level, equivalent household income and area deprivation with macrovascular disease in Germany. Methods: Cross-sectional data from two representative German population-based studies, SHIP-TREND (n = 3,731) and KORA-F4 (n = 2,870), were analyzed. Multivariable logistic regression models were applied to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association between socioeconomic determinants and macrovascular disease (defined as self-reported myocardial infarction or stroke). Results: The study showed a higher odds of prevalent macrovascular disease in men with low and middle educational level compared to men with high education. Area deprivation and equivalent income were not related to myocardial infarction or stroke in any of the models. Conclusion: Educational level, but not income or area deprivation, is significantly related to the macrovascular disease in men. Effective prevention of macrovascular disease should therefore start with investing in individual education.

CAVA (Ultrasound-Accelerated Catheter-Directed Thrombolysis on Preventing Post-Thrombotic Syndrome) Trial: Long-Term Follow-Up Results.

Background The CAVA (Ultrasound-Accelerated Catheter-Directed Thrombolysis Versus Anticoagulation for the Prevention of Post-Thrombotic Syndrome) trial did not show a reduction of post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) after additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis in patients with acute iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis at 1-year follow-up. This prespecified analysis of the CAVA trial aimed to determine the impact of additional thrombolysis on outcomes of PTS at long-term follow-up. Methods and Results Patients aged 18 to 85 years with a first-time acute iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis were included and randomly assigned (1:1) to either standard treatment plus ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis or standard treatment alone. The primary outcome was the proportion of PTS (Villalta score ≥5 on 2 occasions ≥3 months apart or venous ulceration) at the final follow-up visit. Additionally, PTS according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH) consensus definition was assessed to allow external comparability. Major bleedings were the main safety outcome. At a median follow-up of 39.0 months (interquartile range, 23.3-63.8), 120 patients (79.8%) participated in the final follow-up visit: 62 from the intervention group and 58 from the standard treatment group. PTS developed in 19 (30.6%) versus 26 (44.8%) patients, respectively (odds ratio [OR], 0.54; 95% CI, 0.26 to 1.15 [P=0.11]), with an absolute difference between groups of -14.2% (95% CI, -32.0% to 4.8%). Using the ISTH consensus definition, a significant reduction in PTS was observed (29 [46.8%] versus 40 [69.0%]) (OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.19-0.84 [P=0.01]) with an absolute difference between groups of -22.2% (95% CI, -39.8% to -2.8%). No new major bleedings occurred following the 12-month follow-up. Conclusions The impact of additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis on the prevention of PTS was found to increase with time. Although this study was limited by its sample size, the overall findings indicate a reduction of mild PTS without impact on quality of life. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00970619.

Estimating the impact of tax policy interventions on the projected number and prevalence of adults with type 2 diabetes in Germany between 2020 and 2040.

INTRODUCTION: As a population-wide intervention, it has been proposed to raise taxes on unhealthy products to prevent diseases such as type 2 diabetes. In this study, we aimed to estimate the effect of tax policy interventions in 2020 on the projected prevalence and number of people with type 2 diabetes in the German adult population in 2040. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We applied an illness-death model and the German Diabetes Risk Score (GDRS) to project the prevalence and number of adults with type 2 diabetes in Germany under a base case scenario and under a tax policy intervention scenario. For the base case scenario, we assumed constant age-specific incidence rates between 2020 and 2040. For the intervention scenario, we assumed a 50% price increase for sugar-sweetened beverages, tobacco and red meat products in the year 2020. Based on price elasticities, we estimated the impact on these risk factors alone and in combination, and calculated subsequent reductions in the age-specific and sex-specific GDRS. These reductions were used to determine reductions in the incidence rate and prevalence using a partial differential equation. RESULTS: Compared with the base case scenario, combined tax interventions in 2020 resulted in a 0.95 percentage point decrease in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes (16.2% vs 17.1%), which corresponds to 640 000 fewer prevalent cases of type 2 diabetes and a relative reduction by 6%. CONCLUSIONS: Taxation of sugar-sweetened beverages, tobacco products and red meat by 50% modestly lowered the projected number and prevalence of adults with type 2 diabetes in Germany in 2040. Raising taxes on unhealthy products as a stand-alone measure may not be enough to attenuate the future rise of type 2 diabetes.

Association of Successful Ultrasound-Accelerated Catheter-Directed Thrombolysis with Postthrombotic Syndrome: A Post Hoc Analysis of the CAVA Trial.

BACKGROUND: The CAVA trial did not show the anticipated risk reduction for postthrombotic syndrome (PTS) after thrombus removal via additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis (UACDT) in patients with acute iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis (IFDVT). Difficulties in achieving an effective degree of recanalization through thrombolysis may have influenced outcomes. We therefore assessed whether successful UACDT (restored patency ≥ 90%) did reduce the development of PTS. METHODS: This CAVA trial post hoc analysis compared the proportion of PTS at 1-year follow-up between patients with successful UACDT and patients that received standard treatment only. In addition, clinical impact as well as determinants of successful thrombolysis were explored. RESULTS: UACDT was initiated in 77 (50.7%) patients and considered successful in 41 (53.2%, interrater agreement κ = 0.7, 95% confidence interval 0.47-0.83). PTS developed in 15/41 (36.6%) patients in the successful UACDT group versus 33/75 (44.0%) controls (p = 0.44). In this comparison, successful UACDT was associated with lower Venous Clinical Severity Score (3.50 ± 2.57 vs. 4.82 ± 2.74, p = 0.02) and higher EuroQOL-5D (EQ-5D) scores (40.2 ± 36.4 vs. 23.4 ± 34.4, p = 0.01). Compared with unsuccessful UACDT, successful UACDT was associated with a shorter symptom duration at inclusion (p = 0.05), and higher rates of performed adjunctive procedures (p < 0.001) and stent placement (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Successful UACDT was not associated with a reduced proportion of PTS 1 year after acute IFDVT compared with patients receiving standard treatment alone. There was, however, a significant reduction in symptom severity and improvement of generic quality of life according to the EQ-5D. Better patient selection and optimization of treatment protocols are needed to assess the full potential of UACDT for the prevention of PTS. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00970619.

The design and development of high drug loading amorphous solid dispersion for hot-melt extrusion platform.

Amorphous solid dispersion (ASD) is a formulation strategy extensively used to enhance the bioavailability of poorly water soluble drugs. Despite this, they are limited by various factors such as limited drug loading, poor stability, drug-excipient miscibility and the choice of process platforms. In this work, we have developed a strategy for the manufacture of high drug loaded ASD (HDASD) using hot-melt extrusion (HME) based platform. Three drug-polymer combinations, indomethacin-Eudragit®E, naproxen-Eudragit®E and ibuprofen-Eudragit®E, were used as the model systems. The design spaces were predicted through Flory-Huggins based theory, and the selected HDASDs at pre-defined conditions were manufactured using HME and quench-cooled melt methods. These HDASD systems were also extensively characterised via small angle/wide angle x-ray scattering, differential scanning calorimetry, Infrared and Raman spectroscopy and atomic force microscopy. It was verified that HDASDs were successfully produced via HME platform at the pre-defined conditions, with maximum drug loadings of 0.65, 0.70 and 0.60 w/w for drug indomethacin, ibuprofen and naproxen respectively. Enhanced physical stability was further confirmed by high humidity (95%RH) storage stability studies. Through this work, we have demonstrated that by the implementation of predictive thermodynamic modelling, HDASD formulation design can be integrated into the HME process design to ensure the desired quality of the final dosage form.

Ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis versus anticoagulation for the prevention of post-thrombotic syndrome (CAVA): a single-blind, multicentre, randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Early thrombus removal might prevent post-thrombotic syndrome by preserving venous function and restoring flow. Previous trials comparing additional catheter-directed thrombolysis to standard treatment showed conflicting outcomes. We aimed to assess the benefit of additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis for the prevention of post-thrombotic syndrome compared with standard therapy in patients with iliofemoral deep-vein thrombosis. METHODS: We did a multicentre, randomised, single-blind, allocation-concealed, parallel group, superiority trial in 15 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients aged 18-85 years with a first-time acute iliofemoral deep-vein thrombosis and symptoms for no more than 14 days were randomly assigned (1:1) to either standard treatment with additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis or standard treatment alone. Randomisation was done with a web-based automatic programme and a random varying block size (2-12), stratified by age and centre. Standard treatment included anticoagulant therapy, compression therapy (knee-high elastic compression stockings; 30-40 mmHg), and early ambulation. Additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis was done with urokinase with a starting bolus of 250 000 international units (IU) in 10 mL NaCl followed by a continuous dose of 100 000 IU/h for a maximum of 96 h through the Ekos Endowave-system. Adjunctive percutaneous transluminal angioplasty, thrombosuction, or stenting was performed at the discretion of the physician who performed the intervention. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with post-thrombotic syndrome at 12 months diagnosed according to the original Villalta criteria-a Villalta-score of at least 5 on two consecutive occasions at least 3 months apart or the occurrence of venous ulceration-and was assessed in a modified intention-to-treat population of all randomly assigned patients who passed screening and started treatment. The safety analysis was assessed in the same modified intention-to-treat population. This study is complete and is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00970619. FINDINGS: Between May 28, 2010, and Sept 18, 2017, 184 patients were randomly assigned to either additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis (n=91) or standard treatment alone (n=93). Exclusion because of screening failure or early withdrawal of informed consent resulted in 77 patients in the intervention group and 75 in the standard treatment group starting allocated treatment. Median follow-up was 12·0 months (IQR 6·0-12·0). 12-month post-thrombotic syndrome occurred in 22 (29%) patients allocated to additional treatment versus 26 (35%) patients receiving standard treatment alone (odds ratio 0·75 [95% CI 0·38 to 1·50]; p=0·42). Major bleeding occurred in four (5%) patients in the intervention group, with associated neuropraxia or the peroneal nerve in one patient, and no events in the standard treatment group. No serious adverse events occurred. None of the four deaths (one [1%] in the intervention group vs three [4%] in the standard treatment group) were treatment related. INTERPRETATION: This study showed that additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis does not change the risk of post-thrombotic syndrome 1 year after acute iliofemoral deep-vein thrombosis compared with standard therapy alone. Although this trial is inconclusive, the outcome suggests the possibility of a moderate beneficial effect with additional ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis. Further research is therefore warranted to better understand this outcome in the context of previous trials, preferably by combining the available evidence in an individual patient data meta-analysis. FUNDING: The Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development (ZonMw), Maastricht University Medical Centre, BTG-Interventional Medicine.

Off to a good start after a cancer diagnosis: implementation of a time out consultation in primary care before cancer treatment decision.

PURPOSE: Supportive care for cancer patients may benefit from improving treatment decisions and optimal use of the family physicians' and specialists' strengths. To improve shared decision-making (SDM) and facilitate continuity of primary care during treatment, a cancer care path including a "time out consultation" (TOC) in primary care before treatment decision, was implemented. This study assesses the uptake of a TOC and the added value for SDM. METHODS: For patients with metastatic lung or gastro-intestinal cancer, a TOC was introduced in their care path in a southern region of The Netherlands, from April until October 2016. Uptake of a TOC was measured to reflect on facilitation of continuity of primary care. The added value for SDM and overall experiences were evaluated with questionnaires and semi-structured interviews among patients, family physicians, and specialists. RESULTS: Of the 40 patients who were offered a TOC, 31 (78%) had a TOC. Almost all patients, family physicians, and specialists expressed that they experienced added value for SDM. This includes a stimulating effect on reflection on choice (expressed by 83% of patients) and improved preparation for treatment decision (75% of patients). Overall added value of a TOC for SDM, only evaluated among family physicians and specialists, was experienced by 71% and 86% of these physicians, respectively. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: The first experiences with a TOC in primary care before cancer treatment decision suggest that it may help to keep the GP "in the loop" after a cancer diagnosis and that it may contribute to the SDM process, according to patients, family physicians, and specialists.

The Investigation of Flory-Huggins Interaction Parameters for Amorphous Solid Dispersion Across the Entire Temperature and Composition Range.

Amorphous solid dispersion (ASD) is one of the most promising enabling formulations featuring significant water solubility and bioavailability enhancements for biopharmaceutical classification system (BCS) class II and IV drugs. An accurate thermodynamic understanding of the ASD should be established for the ease of development of stable formulation with desired product performances. In this study, we report a first experimental approach combined with classic Flory-Huggins (F-H) modelling to understand the performances of ASD across the entire temperature and drug composition range. At low temperature and drug loading, water (moisture) was induced into the system to increase the mobility and accelerate the amorphous drug-amorphous polymer phase separation (AAPS). The binodal line indicating the boundary between one phase and AAPS of felodipine, PVPK15 and water ternary system was successfully measured, and the corresponding F-H interaction parameters (χ) for FD-PVPK15 binary system were derived. By combining dissolution/melting depression with AAPS approach, the relationship between temperature and drug loading with χ (Φ, T) for FD-PVPK15 system was modelled across the entire range as χ = 1.72 - 852/T + 5.17·Φ - 7.85·Φ2. This empirical equation can provide better understanding and prediction for the miscibility and stability of drug-polymer ASD at all conditions.

Association between regional deprivation and type 2 diabetes incidence in Germany.

Objective: The aim of this analysis was to estimate the association between regional deprivation and type 2 diabetes incidence and to investigate differences by age and sex for Germany. Research design and methods: Type 2 diabetes incidence rate ratios comparing the most deprived fifth of the population to the remainder of the population (divided into quintiles) were estimated using the illness-death model, which describes the relationship between prevalence, mortality, and incidence. For the analysis, we used the type 2 diabetes prevalence and the general mortality rate according to deprivation quintiles, which we calculated based on valid estimates for Germany. Because mortality rate ratios for people with type 2 diabetes compared with people without type 2 diabetes are lacking for Germany, we used estimates from Scotland. Estimates were standardized to the German population in 2012 and stratified by sex. Results: Incidence of type 2 diabetes was estimated to be over twice as high among people living in the most deprived regions of Germany compared with people living in the least deprived regions (men: 2.41, 95% CI 1.27 to 4.28; women: 2.40, 95% CI 1.25 to 4.29). The strength of the association increased with increasing age until the age of 75 years. No sex differences were present. Conclusions: The study adds new evidence regarding the association between type 2 diabetes incidence and regional deprivation for Germany. The results underpin the importance to intensify public health actions to reduce social inequalities in Germany and whole Europe in the future.

Regional differences of macrovascular disease in Northeast and South Germany: the population-based SHIP-TREND and KORA-F4 studies.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies found regional differences in the prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes between Northeast and South of Germany. The aim of this study was to investigate if regional variations are also present for macrovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes and in the general population. A further aim was to investigate if traditional risk factors of macrovascular complications can explain these regional variations. METHODS: Data of persons aged 30-79 from two regional population-based studies, SHIP-TREND (Northeast Germany, 2008-2012, n = 2539) and KORA-F4 (South Germany, 2006-2008, n = 2932), were analysed. Macrovascular disease was defined by self-reported previous myocardial infarction, stroke or coronary angiography. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for prevalence of macrovascular disease in persons with type 2 diabetes and in the general population. RESULTS: The prevalence of macrovascular disease in persons with type 2 diabetes and in the general population was considerably higher in the Northeast (SHIP-TREND: 32.8 and 12.0%) than in the South of Germany (KORA-F4: 24.9 and 8.8%), respectively. The odds of macrovascular disease in persons with type 2 diabetes was 1.66 (95% CI: 1.11-2.49) in the Northeast in comparison to the South after adjustment for sex, age, body mass index, hypertension, hyperlipidemia and smoking. In the general population, SHIP-TREND participants also had a significantly increased odds of macrovascular disease compared to KORA-F4 participants (OR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.33-2.00). After excluding coronary angiography (myocardial infarction or stroke only), the ORs for region decreased in all models, but the difference between SHIP-TREND and KORA-F4 participants was still significant in the age- and sex-adjusted model for the general population (OR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.01-1.78). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an indication for regional differences in macrovascular disease, which is not explained by traditional risk factors. Further examinations of other risk factors, such as regional deprivation or geographical variations in medical care services are needed.

Protocol of a cluster randomized trial to investigate the impact of a type 2 diabetes risk prediction model on change in physical activity in primary care.

BACKGROUND: Little evidence exists on the impact of diabetes risk scores, e.g. on physicians and patient's behavior, perceived risk of persons, shared-decision making and particularly on patient's health. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of a non-invasive type 2 diabetes risk prediction model in the primary health care setting as component of routine health checks on change in physical activity. METHODS: Parallel group cluster randomized controlled trial including 30 primary care physicians (PCPs) and 300 participants in the region of Düsseldorf and surrounding urban and rural municipalities, West Germany. On cluster level, PCPs will be randomized into intervention or control group using a biased coin minimization technique. Participants in the control group are going to have a routine health check "Check-up 35" which is recommended biannually for all people ≥35 years of age in Germany. In the intervention group, the routine health check is expanded by usage of a non-invasive diabetes risk prediction model (German Diabetes Risk Score). Primary outcome is change in physical activity after 1 year. Secondary outcomes include aspects of targeted counseling, motivation of participant's to change lifestyle, perceived and objectively measured diabetes risk, acceptance of diabetes risk scores, quality of life, depression and anxiety. Patients will be followed over 12 months. Hierarchical or mixed models will be conducted, including a random intercept to adjust for cluster, the respective baseline value, and covariates to compare the groups. DISCUSSION: This pragmatic cluster randomized controlled trial will enhance our knowledge on the clinical impact of diabetes risk scores for the first time in the real-life primary health care setting. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03234322 , registered on July 28, 2017.

Burden of Mortality Attributable to Diagnosed Diabetes: A Nationwide Analysis Based on Claims Data From 65 Million People in Germany.

OBJECTIVE: In Germany, as in many other countries, nationwide data on mortality attributable to diagnosed diabetes are not available. This study estimated the absolute number of excess deaths associated with diabetes (all types) and type 2 diabetes in Germany. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A prevalence approach that included nationwide routine data from 64.9 million people insured in the German statutory health insurance system in 2010 was used for the calculation. Because nationwide data on diabetes mortality are lacking in Germany, the mortality rate ratio from the Danish National Diabetes Register was used. The absolute number of excess deaths associated with diabetes was calculated as the number of deaths due to diabetes minus the number of deaths due to diabetes with a mortality that was as high as in the population without diabetes. Furthermore, the mortality population-attributable fraction was calculated. RESULTS: A total of 174,627 excess deaths were due to diabetes in 2010, including 137,950 due to type 2 diabetes. Overall, 21% of all deaths in Germany were attributable to diabetes and 16% were attributable to type 2 diabetes. Most of the excess deaths (34% each) occurred in the 70- to 89-year-old age-group. CONCLUSIONS: In this first nationwide calculation of excess deaths related to diabetes in Germany, the results suggest that the official German estimates that rely on information from death certificates are grossly underestimated. Countries without national cohorts or diabetes registries could easily use this method to estimate the number of excess deaths due to diabetes.