Correlation between hospital rates of survival to discharge and long-term survival for in-hospital cardiac arrest: Insights from Get With The Guidelines®-Resuscitation registry.

AIM: Given challenges in collecting long-term outcomes for survivors of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), most studies have focused on in-hospital survival. We evaluated the correlation between a hospital's risk-standardized survival rate (RSSR) at hospital discharge for IHCA with its RSSR for long-term survival. METHODS: We identified patients ≥65 years of age with IHCA at 472 hospitals in Get With The Guidelines®-Resuscitation registry during 2000-2012, who could be linked to Medicare files to obtain post-discharge survival data. We constructed hierarchical logistic regression models to compute RSSR at discharge, and 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year RSSRs for each hospital. The association between in-hospital and long-term RSSR was evaluated with weighted Kappa coefficients. RESULTS: Among 56,231 Medicare beneficiaries (age 77.2 ± 7.5 years and 25,206 [44.8%] women), 10,536 (18.7%) survived to discharge and 8,485 (15.1%) survived to 30 days after discharge. Median in-hospital, 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year RSSRs were 18.6% (IQR, 16.7-20.4%), 14.9% (13.2-16.7%), 10.3% (9.1-12.1%), and 7.6% (6.8-8.8%), respectively. The weighted Kappa coefficient for the association between a hospital's RSSR at discharge with its 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year RSSRs were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.76), 0.56 (0.50-0.61), and 0.47 (0.41-0.53), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: There was a strong correlation between a hospital's RSSR at discharge and its 30-day RSSR for IHCA, although this correlation weakens over time. Our findings suggest that a hospital's RSSR at discharge for IHCA may be a reasonable surrogate of its 30-day post-discharge survival and could be used by Medicare to benchmark hospital performance for this condition without collecting 30-day survival data.

Efficient deep learning-based automated diagnosis from echocardiography with contrastive self-supervised learning.

BACKGROUND: Advances in self-supervised learning (SSL) have enabled state-of-the-art automated medical image diagnosis from small, labeled datasets. This label efficiency is often desirable, given the difficulty of obtaining expert labels for medical image recognition tasks. However, most efforts toward SSL in medical imaging are not adapted to video-based modalities, such as echocardiography. METHODS: We developed a self-supervised contrastive learning approach, EchoCLR, for echocardiogram videos with the goal of learning strong representations for efficient fine-tuning on downstream cardiac disease diagnosis. EchoCLR pretraining involves (i) contrastive learning, where the model is trained to identify distinct videos of the same patient, and (ii) frame reordering, where the model is trained to predict the correct of video frames after being randomly shuffled. RESULTS: When fine-tuned on small portions of labeled data, EchoCLR pretraining significantly improves classification performance for left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and aortic stenosis (AS) over other transfer learning and SSL approaches across internal and external test sets. When fine-tuning on 10% of available training data (519 studies), an EchoCLR-pretrained model achieves 0.72 AUROC (95% CI: [0.69, 0.75]) on LVH classification, compared to 0.61 AUROC (95% CI: [0.57, 0.64]) with a standard transfer learning approach. Similarly, using 1% of available training data (53 studies), EchoCLR pretraining achieves 0.82 AUROC (95% CI: [0.79, 0.84]) on severe AS classification, compared to 0.61 AUROC (95% CI: [0.58, 0.65]) with transfer learning. CONCLUSIONS: EchoCLR is unique in its ability to learn representations of echocardiogram videos and demonstrates that SSL can enable label-efficient disease classification from small amounts of labeled data.

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been used to develop software that can automatically diagnose diseases from medical images. However, these AI models require thousands or millions of examples to properly learn from, which can be very expensive, as diagnosis is often time-consuming and requires clinical expertise. Using a technique called self-supervised learning (SSL), we develop an AI method to effectively diagnose heart disease from as few as 50 instances. Our method, EchoCLR, is designed for echocardiography, a key imaging technique to monitor heart health, and outperforms other methods on disease diagnosis from small amounts of data. This method can advance AI for echocardiography and enable researchers with limited resources to create disease diagnosis models from small medical imaging datasets.

Transforming Hypertension Diagnosis and Management in The Era of Artificial Intelligence: A 2023 National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Workshop Report.

Hypertension is among the most important risk factors for cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and dementia. The artificial intelligence (AI) field is advancing quickly, and there has been little discussion on how AI could be leveraged for improving the diagnosis and management of hypertension. AI technologies, including machine learning tools, could alter the way we diagnose and manage hypertension, with potential impacts for improving individual and population health. The development of successful AI tools in public health and health care systems requires diverse types of expertise with collaborative relationships between clinicians, engineers, and data scientists. Unbiased data sources, management, and analyses remain a foundational challenge. From a diagnostic standpoint, machine learning tools may improve the measurement of blood pressure and be useful in the prediction of incident hypertension. To advance the management of hypertension, machine learning tools may be useful to find personalized treatments for patients using analytics to predict response to antihypertension medications and the risk for hypertension-related complications. However, there are real-world implementation challenges to using AI tools in hypertension. Herein, we summarize key findings from a diverse group of stakeholders who participated in a workshop held by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute in March 2023. Workshop participants presented information on communication gaps between clinical medicine, data science, and engineering in health care; novel approaches to estimating BP, hypertension risk, and BP control; and real-world implementation challenges and issues.

Artificial intelligence-enhanced patient evaluation: bridging art and science.

The advent of digital health and artificial intelligence (AI) has promised to revolutionize clinical care, but real-world patient evaluation has yet to witness transformative changes. As history taking and physical examination continue to rely on long-established practices, a growing pipeline of AI-enhanced digital tools may soon augment the traditional clinical encounter into a data-driven process. This article presents an evidence-backed vision of how promising AI applications may enhance traditional practices, streamlining tedious tasks while elevating diverse data sources, including AI-enabled stethoscopes, cameras, and wearable sensors, to platforms for personalized medicine and efficient care delivery. Through the lens of traditional patient evaluation, we illustrate how digital technologies may soon be interwoven into routine clinical workflows, introducing a novel paradigm of longitudinal monitoring. Finally, we provide a skeptic's view on the practical, ethical, and regulatory challenges that limit the uptake of such technologies.

Internal tremors and vibrations in long COVID: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Internal tremors and vibrations are symptoms previously described as part of neurologic disorders but not fully described as a part of long COVID. This study compared pre-pandemic comorbidities, new-onset conditions, and long COVID symptoms between people with internal tremors and vibrations as part of their long COVID symptoms and people with long COVID but without these symptoms. METHODS: The Yale Listen to Immune, Symptom and Treatment Experiences Now (LISTEN) Study surveyed 423 adults who had long COVID between May 12, 2022 and June 1, 2023. The exposure variable was long COVID symptoms of internal tremors and vibrations. The outcome variables were demographic characteristics, pre-pandemic comorbidities, new-onset conditions, other symptoms, and quality of life. RESULTS: Among study participants with long COVID, median age was 46 years [IQR, 38-56]), 74% were female, 87% were Non-Hispanic White, and 158 (37%) reported "internal tremors, or buzzing/vibration" as a long COVID symptom. The 2 groups reported similar pre-pandemic comorbidities, but people with internal tremors reported worse health as measured by the Euro-QoL visual analogue scale (median: 40 points [IQR, 30-60] vs. 50 points [IQR, 35-62], P = 0.007) and had higher rates of new-onset mast cell disorders (11% [95% CI, 7.1-18] vs. 2.6% [1.2-5.6], P = 0.008) and neurologic conditions (22% [95% CI, 16-29] vs. 8.3% [5.4-12], P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Among people with long COVID, those with internal tremors and vibrations had different conditions and symptoms and worse health status compared with others who had long COVID without these symptoms.

Designing medical artificial intelligence systems for global use: focus on interoperability, scalability, and accessibility.

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning systems promise faster, more efficient, and more personalized care. While many of these models are built on the premise of improving access to the timely screening, diagnosis, and treatment of cardiovascular disease, their validity and accessibility across diverse and international cohorts remain unknown. In this mini-review article, we summarize key obstacles in the effort to design AI systems that will be scalable, accessible, and accurate across distinct geographical and temporal settings. We discuss representativeness, interoperability, quality assurance, and the importance of vendor-agnostic data types that will be available to end-users across the globe. These topics illustrate how the timely integration of these principles into AI development is crucial to maximizing the global benefits of AI in cardiology.

Using Artificial Intelligence to Predict Heart Failure Risk from Single-lead Electrocardiographic Signals: A Multinational Assessment.

Importance: Despite the availability of disease-modifying therapies, scalable strategies for heart failure (HF) risk stratification remain elusive. Portable devices capable of recording single-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) can enable large-scale community-based risk assessment. Objective: To evaluate an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm to predict HF risk from noisy single-lead ECGs. Design: Multicohort study. Setting: Retrospective cohort of individuals with outpatient ECGs in the integrated Yale New Haven Health System (YNHHS) and prospective population-based cohorts of UK Biobank (UKB) and Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil). Participants: Individuals without HF at baseline. Exposures: AI-ECG-defined risk of left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD). Main Outcomes and Measures: Among individuals with ECGs, we isolated lead I ECGs and deployed a noise-adapted AI-ECG model trained to identify LVSD. We evaluated the association of the model probability with new-onset HF, defined as the first HF hospitalization. We compared the discrimination of AI-ECG against the pooled cohort equations to prevent HF (PCP-HF) score for new-onset HF using Harrel's C-statistic, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results: There were 194,340 YNHHS patients (age 56 years [IQR, 41-69], 112,082 women [58%]), 42,741 UKB participants (65 years [59-71], 21,795 women [52%]), and 13,454 ELSA-Brasil participants (56 years [41-69], 7,348 women [55%]) with baseline ECGs. A total of 3,929 developed HF in YNHHS over 4.5 years (2.6-6.6), 46 in UKB over 3.1 years (2.1-4.5), and 31 in ELSA-Brasil over 4.2 years (3.7-4.5). A positive AI-ECG screen was associated with a 3- to 7-fold higher risk for HF, and each 0.1 increment in the model probability portended a 27-65% higher hazard across cohorts, independent of age, sex, comorbidities, and competing risk of death. AI-ECG's discrimination for new-onset HF was 0.725 in YNHHS, 0.792 in UKB, and 0.833 in ELSA-Brasil. Across cohorts, incorporating AI-ECG predictions in addition to PCP-HF resulted in improved Harrel's C-statistic (Δ=0.112-0.114), with an IDI of 0.078-0.238 and an NRI of 20.1%-48.8% for AI-ECG vs. PCP-HF. Conclusions and Relevance: Across multinational cohorts, a noise-adapted AI model with lead I ECGs as the sole input defined HF risk, representing a scalable portable and wearable device-based HF risk-stratification strategy.

Performance of contemporary cardiovascular risk stratification scores in Brazil: an evaluation in the ELSA-Brasil study.

AIMS: Despite notable population differences in high-income and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), national guidelines in LMICs often recommend using US-based cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk scores for treatment decisions. We examined the performance of widely used international CVD risk scores within the largest Brazilian community-based cohort study (Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health, ELSA-Brasil). METHODS: All adults 40-75 years from ELSA-Brasil (2008-2013) without prior CVD who were followed for incident, adjudicated CVD events (fatal and non-fatal MI, stroke, or coronary heart disease death). We evaluated 5 scores-Framingham General Risk (FGR), Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs), WHO CVD score, Globorisk-LAC and the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 score (SCORE-2). We assessed their discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration with predicted-to-observed risk (P/O) ratios-overall and by sex/race groups. RESULTS: There were 12 155 individuals (53.0±8.2 years, 55.3% female) who suffered 149 incident CVD events. All scores had a model AUC>0.7 overall and for most age/sex groups, except for white women, where AUC was <0.6 for all scores, with higher overestimation in this subgroup. All risk scores overestimated CVD risk with 32%-170% overestimation across scores. PCE and FGR had the highest overestimation (P/O ratio: 2.74 (95% CI 2.42 to 3.06)) and 2.61 (95% CI 1.79 to 3.43)) and the recalibrated WHO score had the best calibration (P/O ratio: 1.32 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.48)). CONCLUSION: In a large prospective cohort from Brazil, we found that widely accepted CVD risk scores overestimate risk by over twofold, and have poor risk discrimination particularly among Brazilian women. Our work highlights the value of risk stratification strategies tailored to the unique populations and risks of LMICs.

Transforming Cardiovascular Care With Artificial Intelligence: From Discovery to Practice: JACC State-of-the-Art Review.

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to transform every facet of cardiovascular practice and research. The exponential rise in technology powered by AI is defining new frontiers in cardiovascular care, with innovations that span novel diagnostic modalities, new digital native biomarkers of disease, and high-performing tools evaluating care quality and prognosticating clinical outcomes. These digital innovations promise expanded access to cardiovascular screening and monitoring, especially among those without access to high-quality, specialized care historically. Moreover, AI is propelling biological and clinical discoveries that will make future cardiovascular care more personalized, precise, and effective. The review brings together these diverse AI innovations, highlighting developments in multimodal cardiovascular AI across clinical practice and biomedical discovery, and envisioning this new future backed by contemporary science and emerging discoveries. Finally, we define the critical path and the safeguards essential to realizing this AI-enabled future that helps achieve optimal cardiovascular health and outcomes for all.

Computational Phenomapping of Randomized Clinical Trials to Enable Assessment of their Real-world Representativeness and Personalized Inference.

Importance: Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are the standard for defining an evidence-based approach to managing disease, but their generalizability to real-world patients remains challenging to quantify. Objective: To develop a multidimensional patient variable mapping algorithm to quantify the similarity and representation of electronic health record (EHR) patients corresponding to an RCT and estimate the putative treatment effects in real-world settings based on individual treatment effects observed in an RCT. Design: A retrospective analysis of the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist Trial (TOPCAT; 2006-2012) and a multi-hospital patient cohort from the electronic health record (EHR) in the Yale New Haven Hospital System (YNHHS; 2015-2023). Setting: A multicenter international RCT (TOPCAT) and multi-hospital patient cohort (YNHHS). Participants: All TOPCAT participants and patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and ≥1 hospitalization within YNHHS. Exposures: 63 pre-randomization characteristics measured across the TOPCAT and YNNHS cohorts. Main Outcomes and Measures: Real-world generalizability of the RCT TOPCAT using a multidimensional phenotypic distance metric between TOPCAT and YNHHS cohorts. Estimation of the individualized treatment effect of spironolactone use on all-cause mortality within the YNHHS cohort based on phenotypic distance from the TOPCAT cohort. Results: There were 3,445 patients in TOPCAT and 11,712 HFpEF patients across five hospital sites. Across the 63 TOPCAT variables mapped by clinicians to the EHR, there were larger differences between TOPCAT and each of the 5 EHR sites (median SMD 0.200, IQR 0.037-0.410) than between the 5 EHR sites (median SMD 0.062, IQR 0.010-0.130). The synthesis of these differences across covariates using our multidimensional similarity score also suggested substantial phenotypic dissimilarity between the TOPCAT and EHR cohorts. By phenotypic distance, a majority (55%) of TOPCAT participants were closer to each other than any individual EHR patient. Using a TOPCAT-derived model of individualized treatment benefit from spironolactone, those predicted to derive benefit and receiving spironolactone in the EHR cohorts had substantially better outcomes compared with predicted benefit and not receiving the medication (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.62-0.89). Conclusions and Relevance: We propose a novel approach to evaluating the real-world representativeness of RCT participants against corresponding patients in the EHR across the full multidimensional spectrum of the represented phenotypes. This enables the evaluation of the implications of RCTs for real-world patients. KEY POINTS: Question: How can we examine the multi-dimensional generalizability of randomized clinical trials (RCT) to real-world patient populations?Findings: We demonstrate a novel phenotypic distance metric comparing an RCT to real-world populations in a large multicenter RCT of heart failure patients and the corresponding patients in multisite electronic health records (EHRs). Across 63 pre-randomization characteristics, pairwise assessments of members of the RCT and EHR cohorts were more discordant from each other than between members of the EHR cohort (median standardized mean difference 0.200 [0.037-0.410] vs 0.062 [0.010-0.130]), with a majority (55%) of RCT participants closer to each other than any individual EHR patient. The approach also enabled the quantification of expected real world outcomes based on effects observed in the RCT.Meaning: A multidimensional phenotypic distance metric quantifies the generalizability of RCTs to a given population while also offering an avenue to examine expected real-world patient outcomes based on treatment effects observed in the RCT.

Real-world evaluation of an algorithmic machine-learning-guided testing approach in stable chest pain: a multinational, multicohort study.

Aims: An algorithmic strategy for anatomical vs. functional testing in suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) (Anatomical vs. Stress teSting decIsion Support Tool; ASSIST) is associated with better outcomes than random selection. However, in the real world, this decision is rarely random. We explored the agreement between a provider-driven vs. simulated algorithmic approach to cardiac testing and its association with outcomes across multinational cohorts. Methods and results: In two cohorts of functional vs. anatomical testing in a US hospital health system [Yale; 2013-2023; n = 130 196 (97.0%) vs. n = 4020 (3.0%), respectively], and the UK Biobank [n = 3320 (85.1%) vs. n = 581 (14.9%), respectively], we examined outcomes stratified by agreement between the real-world and ASSIST-recommended strategies. Younger age, female sex, Black race, and diabetes history were independently associated with lower odds of ASSIST-aligned testing. Over a median of 4.9 (interquartile range [IQR]: 2.4-7.1) and 5.4 (IQR: 2.6-8.8) years, referral to the ASSIST-recommended strategy was associated with a lower risk of acute myocardial infarction or death (hazard ratioadjusted: 0.81, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.85, P < 0.001 and 0.74 [95% CI 0.60-0.90], P = 0.003, respectively), an effect that remained significant across years, test types, and risk profiles. In post hoc analyses of anatomical-first testing in the Prospective Multicentre Imaging Study for Evaluation of Chest Pain (PROMISE) trial, alignment with ASSIST was independently associated with a 17% and 30% higher risk of detecting CAD in any vessel or the left main artery/proximal left anterior descending coronary artery, respectively. Conclusion: In cohorts where historical practices largely favour functional testing, alignment with an algorithmic approach to cardiac testing defined by ASSIST was associated with a lower risk of adverse outcomes. This highlights the potential utility of a data-driven approach in the diagnostic management of CAD.

Video-Based Kinematic Analysis of Movement Quality in a Phase 3 Clinical Trial of Troriluzole in Adults with Spinocerebellar Ataxia: A Post Hoc Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Traditional methods for assessing movement quality rely on subjective standardized scales and clinical expertise. This limitation creates challenges for assessing patients with spinocerebellar ataxia (SCA), in whom changes in mobility can be subtle and varied. We hypothesized that a machine learning analytic system might complement traditional clinician-rated measures of gait. Our objective was to use a video-based assessment of gait dispersion to compare the effects of troriluzole with placebo on gait quality in adults with SCA. METHODS: Participants with SCA underwent gait assessment in a phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of troriluzole (NCT03701399). Videos were processed through a deep learning pose extraction algorithm, followed by the estimation of a novel gait stability measure, the Pose Dispersion Index, quantifying the frame-by-frame symmetry, balance, and stability during natural and tandem walk tasks. The effects of troriluzole treatment were assessed in mixed linear models, participant-level grouping, and treatment group-by-visit week interaction adjusted for age, sex, baseline modified Functional Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (f-SARA), and time since diagnosis. RESULTS: From 218 randomized participants, 67 and 56 participants had interpretable videos of a tandem and natural walk attempt, respectively. At Week 48, individuals assigned to troriluzole exhibited significant (p = 0.010) improvement in tandem walk Pose Dispersion Index versus placebo {adjusted interaction coefficient: 0.584 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.137 to 1.031]}. A similar, nonsignificant trend was observed in the natural walk assessment [coefficient: 1.198 (95% CI - 1.067 to 3.462)]. Further, lower baseline Pose Dispersion Index during the natural walk was significantly (p = 0.041) associated with a higher risk of subsequent falls [adjusted Poisson coefficient: - 0.356 [95% CI - 0.697 to - 0.014)]. CONCLUSION: Using this novel approach, troriluzole-treated subjects demonstrated improvement in gait as compared to placebo for the tandem walk. Machine learning applied to video-captured gait parameters can complement clinician-reported motor assessment in adults with SCA. The Pose Dispersion Index may enhance assessment in future research. TRIAL REGISTRATION-CLINICALTRIALS. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT03701399.

The PAX LC Trial: A Decentralized, Phase 2, Randomized, Double-Blind Study of Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir Compared with Placebo/Ritonavir for Long COVID.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with long COVID lack evidence-based treatments and have difficulty participating in traditional site-based trials. Our digital, decentralized trial investigates the efficacy and safety of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, targeting viral persistence as a potential cause of long COVID. METHODS: The PAX LC trial (NCT05668091) is a Phase 2, 1:1 randomized, double-blind, superiority, placebo-controlled trial in 100 community-dwelling, highly symptomatic adult participants with long COVID residing in the 48 contiguous US states to determine the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of 15 days of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir compared with placebo/ritonavir. Participants are recruited via patient groups, cultural ambassadors, and social media platforms. Medical records are reviewed through a platform facilitating participant-mediated data acquisition from electronic health records nationwide. During the drug treatment, participants complete daily digital diaries using a web-based application. Blood draws for eligibility and safety assessments are conducted at or near participants' homes. The study drug is shipped directly to participants' homes. The primary endpoint is the PROMIS-29 Physical Health Summary Score difference between baseline and Day 28, evaluated by a mixed model repeated measure analysis. Secondary endpoints include PROMIS-29 (Mental Health Summary Score and all items), Modified GSQ-30 with supplemental symptoms questionnaire, COVID Core Outcome Measures for Recovery, EQ-5D-5L (Utility Score and all items), PGIS 1 and 2, PGIC 1 and 2, and healthcare utilization. The trial incorporates immunophenotyping to identify long COVID biomarkers and treatment responders. CONCLUSION: The PAX LC trial uses a novel decentralized design and a participant-centric approach to test a 15-day regimen of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir for long COVID.

Data Interoperability for Ambulatory Monitoring of Cardiovascular Disease: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association.

Wearable devices are increasingly used by a growing portion of the population to track health and illnesses. The data emerging from these devices can potentially transform health care. This requires an interoperability framework that enables the deployment of platforms, sensors, devices, and software applications within diverse health systems, aiming to facilitate innovation in preventing and treating cardiovascular disease. However, the current data ecosystem includes several noninteroperable systems that inhibit such objectives. The design of clinically meaningful systems for accessing and incorporating these data into clinical workflows requires strategies to ensure the quality of data and clinical content and patient and caregiver accessibility. This scientific statement aims to address the best practices, gaps, and challenges pertaining to data interoperability in this area, with considerations for (1) data integration and the scope of measures, (2) application of these data into clinical approaches/strategies, and (3) regulatory/ethical/legal issues.

Study Protocol for the Artificial Intelligence-Driven Evaluation of Structural Heart Diseases Using Wearable Electrocardiogram (ID-SHD).

Introduction: Portable devices capable of electrocardiogram (ECG) acquisition have the potential to enhance structural heart disease (SHD) management by enabling early detection through artificial intelligence-ECG (AI-ECG) algorithms. However, the performance of these AI algorithms for identifying SHD in a real-world screening setting is unknown. To address this gap, we aim to evaluate the validity of our wearable-adapted AI algorithm, which has been previously developed and validated for detecting SHD from single-lead portable ECGs in patients undergoing routine echocardiograms in the Yale New Haven Hospital (YNHH). Research Methods and Analysis: This is the protocol for a cross-sectional study in the echocardiographic laboratories of YNHH. The study will enroll 585 patients referred for outpatient transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) as part of their routine clinical care. Patients expressing interest in participating in the study will undergo a screening interview, followed by enrollment upon meeting eligibility criteria and providing informed consent. During their routine visit, patients will undergo a 1-lead ECG with two devices - one with an Apple Watch and the second with another portable 1-lead ECG device. With participant consent, these 1-lead ECG data will be linked to participant demographic and clinical data recorded in the YNHH electronic health records (EHR). The study will assess the performance of the AI-ECG algorithm in identifying SHD, including left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD), valvular disease and severe left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), by comparing the algorithm's results with data obtained from TTE, which is the established gold standard for diagnosing SHD. Ethics and Dissemination: All patient EHR data required for assessing eligibility and conducting the AI-ECG will be accessed through secure servers approved for protected health information. Data will be maintained on secure, encrypted servers for a minimum of five years after the publication of our findings in a peer-reviewed journal, and any unanticipated adverse events or risks will be reported by the principal investigator to the Yale Institutional Review Board, which has reviewed and approved this protocol (Protocol Number: 2000035532).

A Multimodal Video-Based AI Biomarker for Aortic Stenosis Development and Progression.

Importance: Aortic stenosis (AS) is a major public health challenge with a growing therapeutic landscape, but current biomarkers do not inform personalized screening and follow-up. A video-based artificial intelligence (AI) biomarker (Digital AS Severity index [DASSi]) can detect severe AS using single-view long-axis echocardiography without Doppler characterization. Objective: To deploy DASSi to patients with no AS or with mild or moderate AS at baseline to identify AS development and progression. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a cohort study that examined 2 cohorts of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography in the Yale New Haven Health System (YNHHS; 2015-2021) and Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC; 2018-2019). A novel computational pipeline for the cross-modal translation of DASSi into cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging was further developed in the UK Biobank. Analyses were performed between August 2023 and February 2024. Exposure: DASSi (range, 0-1) derived from AI applied to echocardiography and CMR videos. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annualized change in peak aortic valve velocity (AV-Vmax) and late (>6 months) aortic valve replacement (AVR). Results: A total of 12 599 participants were included in the echocardiographic study (YNHHS: n = 8798; median [IQR] age, 71 [60-80] years; 4250 [48.3%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 4.1 [2.4-5.4] years; and CSMC: n = 3801; median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 1685 [44.3%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 3.4 [2.8-3.9] years). Higher baseline DASSi was associated with faster progression in AV-Vmax (per 0.1 DASSi increment: YNHHS, 0.033 m/s per year [95% CI, 0.028-0.038] among 5483 participants; CSMC, 0.082 m/s per year [95% CI, 0.053-0.111] among 1292 participants), with values of 0.2 or greater associated with a 4- to 5-fold higher AVR risk than values less than 0.2 (YNHHS: 715 events; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 4.97 [95% CI, 2.71-5.82]; CSMC: 56 events; adjusted HR, 4.04 [95% CI, 0.92-17.70]), independent of age, sex, race, ethnicity, ejection fraction, and AV-Vmax. This was reproduced across 45 474 participants (median [IQR] age, 65 [59-71] years; 23 559 [51.8%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 2.5 [1.6-3.9] years) undergoing CMR imaging in the UK Biobank (for participants with DASSi ≥0.2 vs those with DASSi <.02, adjusted HR, 11.38 [95% CI, 2.56-50.57]). Saliency maps and phenome-wide association studies supported associations with cardiac structure and function and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography or CMR imaging, a new AI-based video biomarker was independently associated with AS development and progression, enabling opportunistic risk stratification across cardiovascular imaging modalities as well as potential application on handheld devices.

A Novel Digital Twin Strategy to Examine the Implications of Randomized Control Trials for Real-World Populations.

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are essential to guide medical practice; however, their generalizability to a given population is often uncertain. We developed a statistically informed Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) model, RCT-Twin-GAN, that leverages relationships between covariates and outcomes and generates a digital twin of an RCT (RCT-Twin) conditioned on covariate distributions from a second patient population. We used RCT-Twin-GAN to reproduce treatment effect outcomes of the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) and the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) Blood Pressure Trial, which tested the same intervention but had different treatment effect results. To demonstrate treatment effect estimates of each RCT conditioned on the other RCT patient population, we evaluated the cardiovascular event-free survival of SPRINT digital twins conditioned on the ACCORD cohort and vice versa (SPRINT-conditioned ACCORD twins). The conditioned digital twins were balanced by the intervention arm (mean absolute standardized mean difference (MASMD) of covariates between treatment arms 0.019 (SD 0.018), and the conditioned covariates of the SPRINT-Twin on ACCORD were more similar to ACCORD than a sprint (MASMD 0.0082 SD 0.016 vs. 0.46 SD 0.20). Most importantly, across iterations, SPRINT conditioned ACCORD-Twin datasets reproduced the overall non-significant effect size seen in ACCORD (5-year cardiovascular outcome hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 0.88 (0.73-1.06) in ACCORD vs median 0.87 (0.68-1.13) in the SPRINT conditioned ACCORD-Twin), while the ACCORD conditioned SPRINT-Twins reproduced the significant effect size seen in SPRINT (0.75 (0.64-0.89) vs median 0.79 (0.72-0.86)) in ACCORD conditioned SPRINT-Twin). Finally, we describe the translation of this approach to real-world populations by conditioning the trials on an electronic health record population. Therefore, RCT-Twin-GAN simulates the direct translation of RCT-derived treatment effects across various patient populations with varying covariate distributions.

Artificial Intelligence in Cardiovascular Care-Part 2: Applications: JACC Review Topic of the Week.

Recent artificial intelligence (AI) advancements in cardiovascular care offer potential enhancements in effective diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes. More than 600 U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved clinical AI algorithms now exist, with 10% focusing on cardiovascular applications, highlighting the growing opportunities for AI to augment care. This review discusses the latest advancements in the field of AI, with a particular focus on the utilization of multimodal inputs and the field of generative AI. Further discussions in this review involve an approach to understanding the larger context in which AI-augmented care may exist, and include a discussion of the need for rigorous evaluation, appropriate infrastructure for deployment, ethics and equity assessments, regulatory oversight, and viable business cases for deployment. Embracing this rapidly evolving technology while setting an appropriately high evaluation benchmark with careful and patient-centered implementation will be crucial for cardiology to leverage AI to enhance patient care and the provider experience.